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Messages - Froback

Pages: [1] 2 3 4
1
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2012 draft
« on: March 07, 2012, 02:32:48 pm »
Golito out for season.  Should scratch him off the short list.

You hate to see that for any young pitcher, but when you have the potential pay-off of being the #1 overall pick, I think it hurts that much more.

Do you have a link, what happend?

2
Talk Zone / Re: SnS fantasy football 2010!!!
« on: August 20, 2010, 08:13:00 am »
I posted on the FFB site, but I will post here for those who are here more often.

Would it be possible to move the draft from 8pm to 9pm?  I have a preset thing on Tuesdays but am home by 9 with no issue, 8 is kindof in the middle of it.

3
Talk Zone / Re: Mets vs. Astros: I See Your Schwartz is as Big as Mine
« on: August 16, 2010, 02:35:59 pm »
Series Preview posted.  Hold your nose and click here.
Your very good with the Schwartz, you have learned how to make links disappear!

4
Talk Zone / Re: Olney article about Astros
« on: August 16, 2010, 08:41:33 am »
But strikeouts are cool.  One time, there was this guy...Kerry Woods...he struck out 20 guys in the same game.

I liken strikeouts for pitchers to homeruns for hitters.  They are an important quality in a pitcher/hitter, but more often then not they are over-hyped.

And can make for good highlight spots (probably why they are over-hyped)

5
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2010
« on: August 12, 2010, 12:05:24 pm »
Think we have found the replacement for Spaz since getting rid of Lee is only going to happen if he is given his unconditional release.

6
Talk Zone / Re: SnS fantasy football 2010!!!
« on: August 10, 2010, 08:37:51 am »
I would like to be back in, after missing last season I am itching to get back into the swing of things.

7
Talk Zone / Re: Angel Sanchez
« on: August 04, 2010, 02:16:27 pm »
Now you're just making shit up...

I had this exact thought for both the following ones...   Although most of these have made me laugh so hard people are wondering what I am doing.

Joe Morgan said, "I'm not worthy..."

He provided enough run support to make Roy happy.

8
Talk Zone / Re: Berkman's contract
« on: July 30, 2010, 03:32:43 pm »
No, no, no... we've already documented our belief systems.
I figure it was just deep cover... our own version of the Russian Spy thing.

ETA: Some of them were from NY too.

9
Talk Zone / Re: Berkman's contract
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:50:27 pm »
I believe you are looking for Alkie.
Wait, extensive research is pointing to JACkAstro... the W is silent.

10
Talk Zone / Re: Berkman's contract
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:47:48 pm »
Yeah, but he's already posting here, right?
Only under a pseudonym ..... my guess is Limey.

11
Talk Zone / Re: Berkman's contract
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:45:27 pm »
I think it's more accurate to say NYC is half Jewish, half Catholic, half atheist, half agnostic, and 10% wiccan.
Not to mention the small pocket of Agnostic Atheist Catholic wiccans with Jewish tendencies.

12
Talk Zone / Re: Edwin Jackson, anyone?
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:22:04 pm »
So this would be McLane putting his money where his mouth is?

13
Talk Zone / Re: Berkman's contract
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:20:28 pm »
Thanks.  It's not that I don't trust you, it's that I don't trust Pinwheel.
years of .... evidence to support the position too.

14
Talk Zone / Re: The Morning After
« on: July 30, 2010, 02:11:49 pm »
He cleaned out the Phillies?
He spent so much time pissing and moaning, where else do you think he resides?

15
Talk Zone / Re: The Morning After
« on: July 30, 2010, 01:59:54 pm »
roy o would probably not even be in mlb had the astros scout not found him. and now he is one major dude douche

FIFY

16
Talk Zone / Re: Roy O to Phillies
« on: July 29, 2010, 02:48:04 pm »
I seem to recall something about Singleton not being eligible to be in a trade until he is under club control for 1 yr.  He was drafted last year and signed late, IIRC.  So it MIGHT be that Singleton cannot be officially added to this trade until later, thus why people are not listing him.  Perhaps there will be the infamous PTBNL in this trade that will be Singleton once his year in the Philly organization is reached.

Just something to think about....

btw, I have no access to media other than here and on internet as I am at work.  So this is speculation on my part.

17
Talk Zone / Re: Roy O to Phillies
« on: July 29, 2010, 01:33:18 pm »
I love Kepp on the team too, but if it takes Kepp to get Singleton in the deal, I am not going to miss Kepp that much.

18
Talk Zone / Re: Nolan suing himself
« on: July 16, 2010, 10:59:51 am »
Is it still the position of MLB that this entire Ryan-Rangers-Astros dynamic is completely devoid of any conflict-of-interest? 

He still owns two of our affiliates, doesn't he?

No he does not, his son does though.

19
Talk Zone / Re: Lowest Rated ASG Ever
« on: July 15, 2010, 02:50:00 pm »
It's not hard to fix the All-Star game.

1) Reduce the roster size back to 25 for each side.
2) Get rid of the every team needs a rep rule
3) You only get Qualified as an All-Star if you actually are on the 25 ACTIVE man roster.  None of this I am injured and can't play or I pitched on Sunday and can't play BS, you have to be willing and able to play along with being selected.  You want your contract bonus, you better show up!
4) You tell the managers to manage like a real game, none of this everybody needs to participate crap!  Your starting pitchers should go at least 5 or 6 innings, if not a complete game, unless they get shelled. 
5) Losing players give up a game check (each), winners get 1/25 of that total.  (I want them to feel like this game matters to them)

You want it to mean something, then act like it means something.  You want it to be an exhibition then stop acting like it means something, but be prepared for it to become as watchable as the NFL Pro-bowl.

20
Beer and Queso / Re: On the razor's edge...
« on: July 14, 2010, 02:46:49 pm »
I'm sure it is hard to find an unemployed, blackberry-carrying financial boob in NYC. It's not like a cigar shop where you have to decide which end of the block to walk to.
I thought all financial boobs carried a blackberry.

21
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2010
« on: July 14, 2010, 01:30:03 pm »
I wouldn't wonder if it is a lyles family connection since he is from SC.
I figured that must be what occured, but then if the Astros were meeting to talk about if they want to promote someone, I find it hard to believe they would tell the player, BEFORE they meet.... but maybe that is just me.

22
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2010
« on: July 14, 2010, 01:14:02 pm »
South Carolina reporter Lou Bezjak tweets that the Astros brass will meet soon to decide if Lyles should be promoted to Round Rock.
Not that I doubt him, but I am trying to figure out the connection that allows a reporter from South Carolina to hear about this before Corpus, Austin or Houston reporters....

23
Talk Zone / Re: God bless A. Footer
« on: July 14, 2010, 01:09:48 pm »
Hi-Yo Chalk — A pasty white horse with the speed of El Caballo, a cloud of dust and a hearty Hi-Yo
Chalk … the Lone Offender!
With his faithful Indian companion, Squanto, the bumbling and clueless masked rider of
the plains led the fight for law and order in the National League Central. Return with us now to those
thrilling days of yesteryear. The Lone Offender rides again!

24
Talk Zone / Re: Nolan suing himself
« on: July 14, 2010, 01:04:14 pm »
i hear the creditors are pisssed
finally they all agree on something!

25
Beer and Queso / Re: Happy 50th Mr. Happy!!
« on: June 16, 2010, 11:17:47 am »
Happy Mr Birthday Mr Happy

26
Beer and Queso / Re: Copa Mundial 2010
« on: June 16, 2010, 10:12:50 am »
Aaaaaaand right on cue, the Swiss take the cheese lead.
That was pretty awesome little exchange too... If keep gave up his body on that one, like US goalie did, he might have some broken ribs, but the Swiss would not have scored.

27
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2010 Draftees and Status
« on: June 15, 2010, 08:35:57 am »
I find it really interesting that with all their signings so far, they still have 3 Seniors who have not signed.  I always figured those should be the quickest cause they have no other strings left... this assumes they WANT to try to play Pro ball.  Well and of course if they are not still in the CWS.

28
Beer and Queso / Re: Conference Realignment
« on: June 15, 2010, 08:31:31 am »
Is it me or wouldn't now be the perfect time for A&M to just say, thanks but no thanks and head to the SEC.  I mean if they really want to "get out from under UTs shadow" wouldn't now be the perfect time for it?  Especially when you consider that UT has already told the Pac-10 "No thanks." 

I am just saying...

29
Beer and Queso / Re: Copa Mundial 2010
« on: June 14, 2010, 04:18:00 pm »
France forfeits?

ETA: Japan did get an unexpected opening win...

So I should be looking for some team to drop the bomb on Japan in the game that eliminates them from the World Cup... Got it!

30
Beer and Queso / Re: Conference Realignment
« on: June 14, 2010, 04:13:44 pm »
No ragging intended -- I thought that was clear fact: Aggies are all about traditions.

And yes, I am fully aware that Baylor right now needs help to stay in a major conference. Sad, but true.

Actually I am an Aggie, so I do understand our love for tradition.  And just for the record, I couldn't understand why the Pac-10 wanted Tech instead of Baylor... To me Baylor at least adds in areas outside of athletics...  But then I am guessing the whole state-school vs private school is the reasoning.

31
THREAD MERGE WARNING:

The Big 12 is about to die!  The Big 12 needs food badly!

Bebee's numbers look like that poisoned food that looks good till you try to eat it...

32
Beer and Queso / Re: Conference Realignment
« on: June 14, 2010, 02:58:06 pm »
So here is your new conferece
A&M ($20M) - back in UT's shadow, still wondering what it would be like in the SEC

So let's put this into a relatable analogy....  Your company wants to relocate you to a place you don't want to go and is offering more money to do so, a rival company offers similar money but is in a much more appealing location.  You tell your company about this new deal, they then offer you more money (but less than previous offer) and says you don't have to move now....  What would you do?

Take less money to stay with company that just tried to move you someplace you don't want to go, or go with the rival company who is offering more money and located in a place you would have been happy to go to?

To me, I don't understand why other than "tradition" A&M would want to stay under the current circumstances.  The whole conference looks like a big house of cards now... ready to collapse at a moments notice.

Or am I just totally missing something here?

33
Beer and Queso / Re: Conference Realignment
« on: June 14, 2010, 11:26:27 am »
I don't think it makes any substantial difference to recruiting.  I think it hurts TV contract negotiations.

The only way it makes an impact on UT recruiting (and this is highly speculative) is that A&M might "steal" recruits with the idea of playing in the SEC (a better conference) and still staying in Texas.

Now that is vastly tempered by UT have the sweet deal like it does in the Big-12 where it basically is an automatic max 1 loss team heading into bowl selection which has meant a BCS bowl every year.  That is hard to sell against for any HS recruit.  So I don't think Texas recruiting will change. 

However I do think A&M would see a boost in recruits that might have gone elsewhere, that choose A&M instead of going to somewhere outside of Texas.

34
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 10, 2010, 03:10:34 pm »
Per MLBDraft via Twitter: Astros ink 9 #mlbdraft picks: Doran (4) Buchanan (8) Shirley (9) Redinger (11) Robinson (12) Wallace (16) Sogard (26) Cole (34) Lane (41)

Will get the draftees and status thread as able.
Now that you are a moderator, how about a sticky that is just a spreadsheet of the draftees and their status... I recall you had something similar that you put within a thread and updated it as info came out.  Figure Sticky that noone can respond to might be easier on the site and you.

Just a thought.

35
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 09, 2010, 03:06:59 pm »
Three-year attention spans are in short supply nowadays.
So are Three-minute attention spans.... Hey look at that shiny penny just sitting there...

36
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:58:05 pm »
Oh, okay.  But seems odd to be projecting the kid this early.  He hasn't even signed yet. I don't think anyone can say now if he'll even be tried at third until they actually take him to Florida for Instructionals.  I believe he's going to start his rookie ball right where he plays right now.
Having had no life when drafts have rolled around previously I know that when players are drafted the team asked MLB to list them as <instert_position_name_here> which to me at least indicates where they plan to play them at first when they get them under club control.  Obviously this is a bigger deal when a player could be either a pitcher or position player, but I believe it still holds true in cases like this too.

37
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:54:32 pm »
I'm curious how Boras will advise Jones in this instance.  From a pure 'Boras is a money-grubbing slut' perspective, I'd think it would be 'play the school angle hard, I'll raise a stink about the Astros being cheap and then we'll take our best money on the eve of the signing deadline.'  If he won't be a draft-eligible Sophomore (I'm too lazy to look it up right now) then. with the LSU commitment he won't be eligible for the draft until 2013.  Given the way that Selig in beating the drums about a hard slotting system agreement in the next CBA(?) in 2012(?), I have to think it will be implemented by 2013.  Then what is the kid going to do?  Roll the dice, hope he is a top 5 pick and get $2.5M to $3.0M, or take $1.5M or so, an additional 'college fund' from the club (Houston has added college money to the deal for a number of younger draftees), and start his career now.  Somehow (given the 'Boras is a money-grubbing slut' factor) I'm guessing (hoping) it will be the latter...
Someone is turning into Noe...

So what you are saying is you hope the greed of Boras advises him to sign for as much as he can get now, cause the new CBA might make it difficult for him to sign for as much next time.

Ok... I hope so too.

38
Talk Zone / Re: STRASBURG HAS A PERFECT GAME!
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:38:01 pm »
And that's if he doesn't go via trade.
If that happends Congress will waste more tax-payer money on a probe into collusion in MLB.

39
Talk Zone / Re: STRASBURG HAS A PERFECT GAME!
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:31:10 pm »
No one expects Dusty Baker.   Fear, surprise, and ruthless inefficiency.
Was that the Judean People's Front or the People's Front of Judea?

40
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:28:37 pm »
First one's in the barn - UH catcher Chris Wallace signed with the Astros.
Let's see HS in Houston, College in Houston, MLB in Houston... talk about dream coming true.  Good luck to him, and congrats on signing their first player before the draft is even over!  THAT is a multi-tasking front office.

41
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 09, 2010, 01:24:52 pm »
"Jones declined to say exactly how much they were asking for, but said it was, “way above seven figures.” The Astros countered with an offer that was a little over $1 million"


Goodness.  Just how much is way over?  5 mil?  Got news for Mr. Jones.  A bachelor's isn't worth very much these days.  He'll have to improve to top 10 to catch the numbers he's looking for. Is the odds of that similar to him making it to the majors (which gaurantees a salary of 400k)?


If it was me, I'd get the Astros high enough to clear a cool million after taxes.  Invest that into retirement.  If baseball doesn't work out then at 30 you can retire.  

While I don't understand the thinking in turing down $1Mil, for it.  I have a nephew who just completed his Soph year in HS and was part of this Texas team of all-stars in Ok City this past week.  He even had a walk off 3-run HR that my sister said was pretty impressive.  Anyway, I asked her about the draft and such since I know he has to have been scouted for as good as he supposedly is.  Her response made it clear that SHE wants him to go to college, and then after a degree think about professional ball.  Supposedly he wants to stay close to home in Houston, so my guess is the common goal of mom and son will be Rice, although she is a UofH grad, so you never know.

But I am interested to see if he is truly good enough to be offered something like a $1 Mil if my nephew will forego College for Minor League ball.  And just for the record he does get good grades (at least to this point).


42
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: June 07, 2010, 01:43:25 pm »
5PM can't get here fast enough!

43
I liked one scenario that had Berkman and Oswalt going to the Giants for Cain, Bumgarner, and 2-3 position prospects.  It was just posted on a blog somewhere, so it was at least as credible as Richard Justice.

If it came from a pixie panda it would be MORE credible than big dick Justice.

44
One caveat to that, if they'll take Lee with Oswalt, I'd see that as a win/win.  Clearing 32mil in payroll is not a sacrifice of the future.  That would let them go after a big FA (such as Crawford or even Cliff Lee) and come out neutral on money.  The key is finding someone who wants to come to Houston and is willing to be part of a youth over-haul.  It's been stated before, but at some point they have to cut bait on this season.  That will allow them to promote Chris Johnson, and maybe others, to see exactly what they have and, subsequently, what they will need during the offseason.

   While I love the idea of Crawford in Houston, I can't help but think... "That is how we got into this mess, signing big $$ players and losing top draft picks along with it."

   The team needs to keep on the path toward rebuilding.  The reality is that it started when Wade came in and had his first draft.  Rebuilding doesn't always happen at the ML level.  It starts first in the minors and having good drafts.  If you give up 1st and 2nd round picks to sign FAs you better be in a position to make a run at the ML level or you are just prolonging the rebuilding process.  Dragging it out far longer than is required to comlpete.

   So the Astros need to say NO to all top FAs until they are just that one player or two away from making their next run.  Trading away Lee, Oswalt, Berkman or whom ever can speed up the process by adding more talent to your minor league system outside of the draft.  You should NOT be looking at signing anything more than journeyman or short term vets to help the process along.  People like Blum are ideal, because they can both be a bench player and a good mentor for how to play the game the right way.

   If you want the Astros to be good again, given their current situation, you have to let them fill from within (and likely struggle along the way) until you find some cornerstone players who you acquire via trade or come up through your system (or both).  Remember the Astros got good not from FAs signed, but from building from within (Biggio, Bagwell, Oswalt, etc.).

   Wishing or hoping they could have done this WHILE they were still winning thus allowing them to continue the legacy is a moot point now.

45
Talk Zone / Re: Rangers not yet to Ryan
« on: May 25, 2010, 12:12:59 pm »
I paid for tickets in the middle 00's, can I be listed as a creditor too?  I figure they owe me for the bait and switch they pulled when I paid to see major league baseball....

46
Talk Zone / Re: Prediction
« on: May 25, 2010, 09:57:24 am »

47
Talk Zone / Re: Prediction
« on: May 25, 2010, 09:12:16 am »
I don't know the answer to that question, but I can tell you what cougars dream of.
Putting a link like THAT on here might not be considered family friendly.

However if you PM it to me....

48
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Castro on fire
« on: May 25, 2010, 08:57:57 am »
Hitting nearly .350 in his last 10 games and slugged his first homer of the year tonight.
I think at best Castro will be called up only after the Super 2 point is passed, thus not "starting his clock" to allow the Astros to keep control longer... when is that, June 1st or later?  I always forget that part.

49
Talk Zone / Re: RIP Jose Lima
« on: May 24, 2010, 08:37:51 am »
Many people live twice as long, yet are less than half as fondly remembered as Lima, that alone speaks to how special he was.  He truly understood how special his place was and enjoyed every minute of it.

I think we all wish we were as lucky as he was.

50
Is that what you get when cross a lesbian and a bisexual?  NTTAWWT....

Actually I was thinking it was a procrastinator with ADHD, but then it would probably be a Trylateralist.

51
Talk Zone / Re: If Blum is our new SS most of the time...
« on: May 20, 2010, 03:40:13 pm »
Not saying you're ultimatly right or wrong, but using the results from a small fraction of the season as basis for your argument is just silly.
Ok, let's try this, of the 10 teams listed how many made the playoffs last year?
Or is a year not a good sample size, either?
I am not saying having a good SS isn't helpful, but it isn't the end all be all either.  Plenty of teams have success with SS who are more glove than bat.  The reality is, even in todays era, the good hitting AND good glove SS's are pretty rare and hard to find.  So there are plenty of clubs who don't have one and still find a way to win.

52
Talk Zone / Re: If Blum is our new SS most of the time...
« on: May 20, 2010, 03:27:04 pm »
That would be the Yankees, Cubs, Red Sox, Marlins, Rockies, DBacks, Rangers, Indians, Giants, and Nationals.

Let's see that is above .500, below, above(barely), above(barely), below, below, above, below, above and above

6 above .500 and 4 below... guess what, it means nothing toward if you are a good club or not.

53
Talk Zone / Re: If Blum is our new SS most of the time...
« on: May 20, 2010, 03:23:17 pm »
I'd listen to offers for Lindstrom. 

And people wonder why some posters get frustrated with others here.

I am going to assume you have not read this whole thread... giving you the benefit of the doubt.

Noe has been trying to explain the difference between listening and offering.  See his issue is that Lindstrom is not enough of a
"value" to really stir up the market by offering him.  Oswalt and to a lesser extent Berkman and Pence might cause some teams to contact them if they hear they are "on the market".  It is just the nature of the beast this early in the season.  He doesn't have enough skins on the wall nor does he play a "in demand" position (no matter what anyone might tell you about closers) to draw that kind of attention to get the Astros more than if they Astros just sit back and let others come to them about Lindstrom.

It is all about leverage in any type of negotiation.  If you are initiating the negotiation you better have competition for the "chip" otherwise you are better off letting them (other clubs) initiate the negotiation.

The other arguing is over who is worth giving a shot to (see Manzella) and who isn't worth the time.

54
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Draft 2010
« on: May 20, 2010, 10:58:34 am »
I have not heard anything, but the McGuire pick has some solid foundation to it.  I too think Mayo may be on to something.
Mayo isn't always right, but he does have good connections and isn't just a parrot of them.  He tends to be one of the better quality guys out there to listen to, even though all of them are guessing alot at this point.

55
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 03:11:51 pm »
Which one plays rover?
Say no to all of them!

56
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:54:19 pm »
It certainly feels like he has gotten all his saves in the last week.

57
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:50:09 pm »
I knew this girl once who was going for the record number of putouts in an inning...

58
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:47:38 pm »
Even by this team's standards.
And THAT is saying something!

59
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:38:37 pm »
LaRussa pinch-hitting for Carpenter, only to bunt, is a classic .093 move.
But you see this is why the tank commander is thought to be such a genius... cause nobody can figure out why he does the shit he does... if he hadn't won much he would be considered a fucking idiot... oh wait, we already think of him that way... nevermind

60
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:36:16 pm »
He waved 200lbs buh-bye decades ago.
Actually there were so many ways I could go with that, I chose to make it open-ended so people could fill in their own ideas on where it could have gone.

61
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:32:09 pm »
And back below .200 he goes...
Oh wait, you were talking about his average...

62
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 02:15:01 pm »
He may be a whiney Jake, but Carpenter is a helluva pitcher.

And I agree with MM, kind of a pitchers job to get people out!

63
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 01:56:45 pm »
  -50 pitches for Bud to this point
Ball just outside
K swinging.

On to the 6th.  4-0 astros

Back to the game...

That is some efficient pitching by Bud!

64
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 01:46:35 pm »
Spaz.

Fouls off first pitch.
Grounds second one to second.  4-6-3 DP.  3 outs.

Middle of the 5th, 4-0 good guys.
And the inconsistency continues... so much for my hope.

Thanks for pbp though!

65
Game Zone 2010 Archive / Re: Astros @ Jakes, 5/13/10 DAY GAME!
« on: May 13, 2010, 01:35:54 pm »
Is it so wrong of me the cheer for a massive hot streak from Pence to boost his trade value?

(not that I won't enjoy the Astros winning some along the way, but priorities...)

66
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Lancaster 2010
« on: May 13, 2010, 01:25:22 pm »
While I hate seeing him with the Rangers, I am excited about Nolan making an effort to change that culture in baseball.  I never have understood how pitchers today cannot throw as many pitches as guys did, say 20 yrs ago.

You would think with more days off (5 starters instead of 4) and better medical knowledge they should AT LEAST be able to match those "back in the day"....

And yes I know it has to be changed at lower levels first so they "build up to" those numbers, but why nobody does it anymore seems like short-sightedness on their part to me.

67
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Lancaster 2010
« on: May 13, 2010, 11:00:01 am »
I would be interested in the pitch count, have to believe it pretty low, considering how rare we see 9 inn from any starter at any level in our org.

Maybe this is something else they are changing.  But never known that to be a hallmark of Wade.

68
Talk Zone / Re: No mo' Nomar
« on: March 11, 2010, 12:43:48 am »
Most offensive SS of all time?   Walt Fucking Weiss.
I hate you!
I really hate you!

69
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: ESPN scouting reports on Bud Norris
« on: November 11, 2008, 10:36:18 am »
They only check ESPN for the pictures.
And almost always smarter for it!

But it is nice to hear the Scout's comments on him... but if he really is developing that change-up, and it becomes more consistent, he isn't going to be moving into relief just yet.

70
Talk Zone / Re: MLB blackballs Mark Cuban
« on: November 10, 2008, 09:57:59 am »
My guess is that Cuban has a proven track record of doing what he wants with his team even if the league may not agree with his choices.  So just using one example, he would never feel obligated to stay within slot money for draft pick signing.

Selig wants everyone to follow a common line.... probably most of the MLB owners want this too.  Cuban would never do this.  He would always do what he thought helped his team the most without caring what the other owners thought.

71
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy considers the AL wussified candyasses
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:58:24 am »
Did he wink when he said it? Regardless, I say yes.

In response, Mr. Towers, the pumpkins are in the coal car. Repeat, the pumpkins are in the coal car. Over.
I think you want to go with multiple methods of signal sending... he already did verbal, now try visual, like a Minute Maid juice box for his drink while he answers questions instead of a water bottle.

72
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy considers the AL wussified candyasses
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:56:50 am »
In any case, I think the Astros are more likely to be in the running if it's a multi-team deal.  AND, Towers did say “The train’s kind of left the station,”.  Hint?
I like where your mind is at, but I think you are reaching.

As for Pence's replacement... I am ok with someone who was on the team last year or a FA addition if it means adding Peavy.  I think it WAY to early, but Bogusevic is a possibility down the road.  It isn't like the team wasn't rotating the OF last year when Lee went down and they still made that run at the end of the year, so they are not devoid of options.

73
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy considers the AL wussified candyasses
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:43:57 am »
Towers,...anticipates a trade before the winter meetings open in Las Vegas on Dec. 8. ...
“We’re not to the point where we’ve agreed on who the players are coming back. We just have an idea of who’s available to us and who’s not,” Towers said. “Now it’s just a matter of looking at three priority teams that are involved and trying to figure out what our optimum deal is. Some of them involve third teams and potentially fourth teams, so it becomes a little more complicated.”
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-gmmeetings&prov=ap&type=lgns
My concern here is, if the Astros are the "3rd team" then they are not landing Peavy.  If, however as MM proposed, the Braves are the "3rd team" then it works.

Just thought I would share that thought... if the Astros are involved and NOT landing Peavy, who might they be looking to add... just to add a total "EXIT RAMP" tangent to this thread.

74
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy considers the AL wussified candyasses
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:42:11 am »
Braves don't want another Jeff Francouer clone.  Don't take this literally...I like alot of things about Pence more, but they are similar.  Francouer came up from the minors mashing (messiah tag applied shortly thereafter), he was all the rage with the female fanatics and he's failed miserably to live up to expectations ever since. 
Perhaps you follow the Braves more closely than I, but given how BAD their OF was, I think they would be happy with Pence.  But the catch might be for them, they have some really hot prospects in the OF, but they are still 1-2 yrs away, min from all I have heard.

75
Talk Zone / Re: Hawkins
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:35:02 am »
pricey for a middle inning guy, but I have long been a big fan of his... but that also underscores he isn't a spring chicken either.

Still, if they are willing to spend that kind of money on middle inning guys... it helps keep the dream alive... the one with even less chance than the Peavy addition dream... the dream to land C.C.

76
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: top prospect list season
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:33:03 am »
It's that time of the year when different folks start putting out their top 10/20 prospect list.  Baseball America started theirs off with the O's and named former Astro farm hand Troy Patton as #8.  They will do their Astros list on Jan 16.  This thread will be a way to keep up with the list as they come out.  Feel free to post one if you find it first.
Not meaning to clutter this thread up, so feel free to delete it if you want, but....

When are we doing the annual guess what Jacksonian and Duman think the top 10 prospects are for the Astros, game?

77
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Arizona Fall League
« on: November 07, 2008, 09:28:55 am »
There are a lot of hitters who have been very good ML players who don't pull the ball when they could.  Usually it means they give up some power (as you normally have a lot more power when pulling it, if it is one you "should" try to pull), but they do tend to be higher averages to balance it out.

I don't know much about his speed as far as base-stealing potential and such, but every line-up needs guys who are very good at just putting the ball in play (singles/doubles type hitter).  You want a balanced line-up.

From all I have heard, his "return" to position player makes me think Hunter Pence is more expendable now than he used to be. (dreaming the impossible Peavy dream...)  I don't know about Bogusevic's ability to play CF, or I might think he could push for that spot too if he can.

It is still very early to tell for sure if he can hit at the big-league level, but so far all indications are looking favorable, IMO.

78
Talk Zone / Re: SAD, SHOCKING NEWS
« on: November 04, 2008, 10:20:17 am »
WOW!

My prayers and thoughts are with his family during this time.

Most of us have a limited relationship with each other through this forum, but they are a part of our lives, and especially those as active and engaging as Michael was, he will be missed.

79
Talk Zone / Re: Playoffs
« on: October 21, 2008, 03:33:17 pm »
Already lived through a YouTube ban.  You can have my iPhone when you can pry it from my hot, sweaty hand.
You know, people I know have a running joke that only women and gay-men have iPhones.  They actually even did some personal research on this with people they have come in contact with that have them.  The percentages were pretty surprising from what they found...  I had no idea of this perception before they told me about it.

Your comment made me thing about that as I read it.

80
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy considers the AL wussified candyasses
« on: October 21, 2008, 03:26:36 pm »
Back from deep recesses of nothingness and my first topic to read is this....

The idea of landing Peavy, to me, has always been a never-gonna-happen-in-a-million-years dream, ever since I learned about how close Roy and Jake were.  Now the idea of it being one tick above that level now, has my fan-brain going crazy.

But looking at the common names being thrown out, I got to thinking what each guy is perceived as:

Pence: I think he is a nice player who shows real promise at times, but mostly is highly erratic, but plays the game with passion.  It depends on which side your scouts sit as to his real value, but he is definitely the highest valued trade chip the Astros "might" have.

Wigginton: I think he is an above average 3B, who has the prevailing perception he is an average MLB 3B.  Basically meaning those who have seen him play, regularly, think more of him than those that have not.

Wandy: I am throwing him in, because if you are getting Peavy, you probably have to give up more than just the prospects the Astros have currently.  Wandy has shown signs of brilliance and signs of being Jose Lima.  In my opinion he seems to be showing more of the former than the later, but until he is more consistent from start to start, you have to be willing to part with him for Peavy.

As for the minor league pitchers, it really depends on which scouts you talk to as to the "projectability" of them.  And as we have learned, no scout is 100% correct, and very few ever agree 100%.  So who knows the real value placed on them by other organizations.

I think if they are looking for 2 high-level pitching prospects in any deal for Peavy the Astros are likely out, but if you could swing Pence+Wiggy+Wandy+1pitching prospect, I think you might be able to string something together.  Or at least get the talks started.  But then you are really relying on two people to emerge as replacements in your Position players... when in all honesty, you are already looking for a CF and C replacement.  Now maybe Chris Johnson is ready to take a shot at 3B, and maybe you can find some other journeyman or two to fill in the other spots, but that is also an issue that would have to be addressed while making this deal.

I am in the camp for get Peavy to Houston just about anyway you can, but you cannot ignore the ripple effect that it will cause to the ML club too.  As has been pointed out, it is highly doubtful the Astros have anything close to a package of prospects to entices San Diego, without including players at the ML level already.

81
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2008 Draftees and Status
« on: June 18, 2008, 02:54:41 pm »
I have little doubt Castro will sign.  I'm a little surprised but pleased about Dyalphabet and still expect Davidson to ink.
Is that hopeful wishing or do you have some extra reason to expect he will?

Also I recall thinking Seaton was a long shot to sign when they drafted him, yet I recall hearing lots of favorable (nothing certain) comments about the Astros chances of signing him.  As a result there was some debate around here about that too.

That would be pretty sweet to sign all the picks from round 1 through 13.

82
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2008 Draftees and Status
« on: June 18, 2008, 01:52:43 pm »
Chalk another one up that's headed for Greeneville. I am excited about this signing.

http://www.statesman.com/blogs/content/shared-gen/blogs/austin/varsitynews/entries/2008/06/18/dydalewicz_make.html
So that leaves Davidson and Seaton as the only question among the top 10 picks for the Astros... very nice info indeed!

83
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Afternoon Delight 6/12/08
« on: June 12, 2008, 03:47:49 pm »
The offense is producing something today, but the pitching isn't helping things any.

84
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2008 Draftees and Status
« on: June 11, 2008, 04:06:19 pm »
22 of 52 signed within a week -- is than an unusually high percentage to be in the fold so quickly?
Depends on the draft, if you draft alot of 4yr SRs, then it is low, if you draft mostly HS players it can be considered high...  It is about what you would expect at this point, I think.

There is still 2 SRs left to sign, and then the intertesting part starts, how many of those that can play somewhere else choose to take the money offered and play in the minors.

You typically want to look at what is your % for non-4yr SRs and top 15 round picks.  The more you sign of each, typically the better.

85
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2008 Draft Thread
« on: June 09, 2008, 10:15:28 am »
I am probably just not looking hard enough, but couldn't find last year's draft recap to confirm...


Duman, don't you usually work with Jacksonian to compile the draft recap?  I recall someone did, or maybe I am just confusing that recap and the general "minors/prospect" recap/list.

Either way, I have been SO out of it this year, I nearly missed the draft and missed most of the 2nd day of it as I was traveling.  I will try to do my normal ferreting of obscure data on them, but doubt it will be the usual depth I do.  Although in recent years I just pass my data on to Jacksonian, who usually has what I find and more...  But then the people on this site are very good a finding "nuggets" of data so that isn't a big shock.

86
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2008 Draft Thread
« on: June 05, 2008, 10:37:08 am »
Beckham confirmed at #1.
The little blurb at the end of that article shows that even the top pick is very much a crap shot as are all picks in the MLB draft.  (granted not all the TB picks were #1, but most if not all were top 5-7, I think).

87
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi Hooks
« on: April 28, 2008, 11:29:23 am »
Here's the thing.  When he was drafted it was with the intent of replacing Everett at some point with a similar player.  With Wade I'm not sure that holds.  I haven't got a good feel yet for what he's looking for and how he'll handle player development.
My guess is we will learn quite a bit based on what types of players get drafted this year.  In the past the Astros have tended to go for guys (particularly middle infield) more on glove/defense/make-up than bat potential.

I think it is hard to evaluate a GM based on how he moves guys who he didn't draft through the system.  Not saying you can't get something from that, but looking at what he emphasises in the draft is often a good indicator.  Like, does he look for pitchers with good "stuff" or guys who get "good results" or guys who project well; stuff like that.

88
Talk Zone / Re: Pence
« on: April 13, 2008, 06:37:42 pm »
They will probably give him 3 weeks to come out of it.  I think he will come out of it and start hitting again.
Well of course that settles it doesn't it.

You just want to confirm why so many people have you on ignore, don't you?

89
Talk Zone / Re: I saw a great game tonight
« on: April 12, 2008, 01:33:14 pm »
He's 13 in Junior League (13-15 yr olds).

On the first pitch of the game, he was hit by a come-backer to the mound off his calf.  Stayed in to pitch, but today he is pretty bruised.
He has great stuff AND he is a gamer!  NICE COMBO!

Must be good genes.

90
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 04:25:41 pm »
tell me why. he was pitching when they tied it up with base hits.
True but I think he just ran out of gas.  He seemed to be pitching really well until then.

I figure his stamina will get better the more he starts.  After a few seasons of yo-yo-ing between starting and relieving has hurt him in that area.

91
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:50:12 pm »
Whew!   Excellent game.

Too bad Sampson doesn't get the win, he deserved it.

92
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:48:10 pm »
Pence is a terrible 2.
I am not sure I would go THAT far, but I agree he is not what you want there.  I look forward to Matsui for that role.

ETA: My liking of Pence in that spot is more a matter of best current option.

93
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:46:43 pm »
Ah crap!

94
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:44:21 pm »
You know they are talking about how Coop wants to give Erstad a start, and I understand that, but on this team I am looking at where he would play....  and I don't want anyone at those spots missing too many games on the year, unless they need the breather...


1B: Berkman is the big cog that tends to keep the whole offensive machine running
LF: Lee did a huge part of carrying the offense last year
RF: Pence I like in the 2 spot in the order, and I have no idea about Erstad's arm
CF: Bourn has more then proven his worth defensively if nothing else.

Make me feel good to know there is a pretty good gap from starter to bench guys.  And not because the bench guys are bad either.

95
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:28:25 pm »
ST is no place to evaluate fielding. he looks good enough to make the routine plays. i'll take that.
From what I have seen (very limited) he has average range, but a very strong arm.  So comparing to AE, he has less range but a better arm.  Not to diminish AEs defense, AE was a better defensive SS.

96
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:24:00 pm »
i think he does
Or the scorer does...

97
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:22:05 pm »
He is better at SS than I was led to believe.
I have not seen enough to judge that just yet, but I am pleased to learn that he gives 100% all the time.  And I have learned about his love for the game.

He might be one of those throw back kind of guys who used to make comments like, "I would have played for food money if it meant being able to play ball.."  

VERY nice to see that type of player still on the club after Biggio and Bagwell have moved on.

98
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:19:18 pm »
The biggest inning of a game is the half inning after a team scores.


Astros answer back with another 2 spot!

SWEET!

99
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 03:17:46 pm »
I love Soriano in the OF..... of the opposing team.

100
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros @ Cubs, 4-4-08
« on: April 04, 2008, 02:42:47 pm »
I can't even get regular gameday at work right now. Just white boxes where the field and boxscore are supposed to be.
I am getting it to work fine.

101
Talk Zone / Re: baseball movie brackets
« on: March 28, 2008, 01:48:25 pm »
The remake sucked.  That is all.
It is my experience that nearly all remakes of movies that were once "successful" ussually pale in comparrison.  Although this is not always true of remakes of movies that were not "successful" the first time around.  Maybe that is the old man in me comming out... "They don't make em like they used to..."

102
Talk Zone / Re: Forum downtime - Sunday night (3/30)
« on: March 28, 2008, 01:44:00 pm »
Better than DURING the season... oh wait...

103
Talk Zone / Re: Race for the Lid (and then some) VIII (2008)
« on: March 28, 2008, 01:41:57 pm »
94,

When all others are taken, you are sometimes stuck with the lotto odds picks.

ETA: And if it wins, I will feel as good as I would if I won the lotto... well almost as good.

104
I am going to use this because of the Subject specific makes it easier to separate.

I am going to love some first hand reports on Qualben, I really want to see him succeed... mostly because I love the idea of a guy with a pick-off move as good as his is reported to be.

I am also anxious to see if Parraz can have a breakout year and put all those "tools" to use.

While there are some other people to watch, those are the two that I am most interested in at this time.  But then I am still unfamiliar with some of these players (not unusual as this is the time most start to assert themselves anyway)

105
Beer and Queso / Re: Financial Calculations (non-bb)
« on: March 25, 2008, 09:32:34 am »
Thanks the 2nd one seems to be what I was looking for.

106
Beer and Queso / Financial Calculations (non-bb)
« on: March 25, 2008, 09:00:31 am »
I am having an arguement with a friend and I think the only way to solve it is to put in some generic numbers and see what comes out.

What I am looking for:

A place where I can do simple financial calulations related to, If you put $X into some investment each month and it earned a flat Y% interest annually (but compounded monthly, or something), what would your balance be after Z months.

Not looking for real world restrictions and such, just some tool that can run this simplified sim.

I am having trouble finding exactly what I am looking for without having to pay or "register" for something.

107
Talk Zone / Re: "Assuming the Astros carry 12 pitchers"
« on: March 24, 2008, 04:43:01 pm »
The back was a known issue when they signed Matsui, and I don't think they would consider the fissure a long-term issue.

I don't think they ever expected Loretta to accept arb, and when he did, he became somewhat redundant to Blum.  I would not be surprised if they still try to move him, especially given Newhan's presence.
I agree, Newhan makes that very do-able.  Any word on if Ransom made the Yankees?  That would also be a nice fallback.

108
Talk Zone / Re: "Assuming the Astros carry 12 pitchers"
« on: March 24, 2008, 04:29:38 pm »
Yes - I still think they're trying to work a trade.  The problem is, the O's (not surprisingly) have gummed up the works by not moving Roberts.
But this is assuming that Loretta would then be an option to trade to the O's, right?  So then the Astros have to deal with them AGAIN, and that is often a huge PIA.

Also that would further deplete the 2B options while Matsui is out.

Shouldn't they be looking at trading Quintero for something?  Or is there still the big fear of "what if Towles flops?"

109
Talk Zone / Re: Omen?
« on: March 21, 2008, 08:39:14 am »
The Chron right now has this article with this title.

Tejada's happy with Houston
Miguel Tejada brings a potent bad to the Astros...
Not an Omen, just another in a HUGE list of why the Chronicle sucks.  Their editors are terrible.

110
Talk Zone / Re: Another Loretta rumor
« on: March 21, 2008, 08:38:05 am »
To me the part of the article that made the biggest impression on me was this:

Quote
Inge, who lost his everyday job when the Tigers traded for third baseman Miguel Cabrera, says he began to appreciate Cabrera's hitting genius while watching him in a bunting drill.
Inge says Cabrera's eyes would follow the ball to the bat. He would make contact without blinking, squinting or flinching, then follow the ball off the bat as well.

It just underscores a quote from Pence about how he was told by the veterans last year to focus on the little things, because that is often the difference in games.

111
Talk Zone / Re: "Assuming the Astros carry 12 pitchers"
« on: March 20, 2008, 04:34:05 pm »
Wouldn't this depend upon who's in the starting rotation?
I would be interested in hearing who Footer thinks makes the rotation.

Assuming Oswalt, Rodriguez and Backe are safe; and Chacon looks like he might have pulled ahead in the race for one of the remaining starting spots, that would leave Woody battling Sampson.  Is there anyone else reallying fighting for it other than those two?

Not that I have a real issue with Moehler, but I hope if he is kept this year he is used more often.  Not that I want them to be in a position where they "need" him to pitch more, but there were many times I thought he was a wasted spot on the roster last year, given he saw action maybe once every 2-3 weeks.  That is probably an exaggeration, but it seemed like it.

112
Talk Zone / Re: Collusion against Bonds?
« on: March 19, 2008, 05:22:54 pm »
There is no room for him on the Astros roster with Lee and Pence manning the corners, so who cares that he isn't signed

113
Talk Zone / Re: McLemore outrighted to AAA
« on: March 19, 2008, 04:38:17 pm »
as Bob says, he cannot throw.
But if he could learn to throw with his other hand...


(Sorry, I feel dirty now, I need to go shower)

114
Talk Zone / Re: McLemore outrighted to AAA
« on: March 19, 2008, 03:42:08 pm »
It sounds to me like he is "pretty good in the field for a left-fielder", which is not exactly to imply gold-glove caliber.  I predict RR will see Gorneault in LF, Ramirez in CF and Diaz in RF on a pretty regular basis.  Cruz or Abercrombie would figure in the mix if either is sent down and accepts the assignement (Cruz) or clears waivers (Abercrombie), with the DH rule giving plenty of AB's to whoever is 4th.  Of course, there is also Self (OF/1B), Niekro (1B), Newhan (IF/OF) and Saccomanno (1B and maybe 3B) to fit into the puzzle somewhere.
Quick guessing of the names you mentioned:
1B: Niekro
2B: Newhan (assuming Ash is at AA, otherwise might split, with Manzella manning SS)
3B: Saccomanno (yeah, I know)
LF: Gorneault
CF: Ramirez
RF: Diaz
DH: Self

115
Talk Zone / Re: Cubs contemplate their two hole.
« on: March 19, 2008, 03:32:11 pm »
Or my cranium was in said location.
FIFY

As we have learned this Spring, the sphincter while a threshold is definately NOT a hole, and if it gets one, it can cause problems, sometimes resulting in surgery.

116
Talk Zone / Re: Opening Day held hostage
« on: March 19, 2008, 02:05:35 pm »

It wasn't just MLB.  The cost for international games is born by both MLB and the MLBPA.  The costs come out of the revenue both sides earn, and if the venture loses money, both sides still pony up in various ways. 
I am hoping they lose tons on this, mostly because I think it stupid to having opening day almost a full week before anyone but 2 teams play. (ideally all 30 teams playing on opening day) I also think it stupid to have opening day (or any other regular game) either someplace other than a MLB baseball field or outside the country (unless they have a team, ala Canada with Tor).

I can understand them trying to expand the sphere of influence they have, but please keep it to ST type games, or exhibition games.  Leave the regular season and post season games alone!

117
Talk Zone / Re: would you trade within the division?
« on: March 19, 2008, 10:46:47 am »
I hear they're down on Homer Bailey.  We'll take him too.
Why do you tempt the animals, I mean Clarks, this way?

118
Talk Zone / Re: We'll be using pink bats (non-BB)
« on: March 18, 2008, 12:54:21 pm »
Just a little announcement: got back from the big 20-week ultrasound today, and my husband and I are happy to announce that we are expecting a little girl :) So, looks like pink bats in our future!

Carry on  ;D
Congrats.  That is great news.

I am broken and was only able to produce male off-spring.   Being the baseball fan, I figured, 3 strikes and I was out.

119
Talk Zone / Re: Stupid Is As Stupid Does
« on: March 17, 2008, 10:04:35 am »
I think that Williams' spot is on the line today. I think that if the Dodgers jump all over him, he'll retire and not put the Astros in a bad position.
Given you have been calling for his head for a while, don't be upset if I generally ignore your comments on him for awhile.

120
Hilarious!  I thought I heard them say Berkman was thinking about keeping the chops.
I bet Pam is drooling over the Elvis type promotions she can use if he does.

121
Talk Zone / Re: Stupid Is As Stupid Does
« on: March 17, 2008, 09:23:51 am »
While I agree Sampson looks like he is getting by with smoke and mirrors, it is amazing to me that he has been as servicable as he is when he is given Starts.

I keep thinking, eventually his luck will run out and he will just get abused.  And sometimes he does throw out clunker games (but then most pitchers do that too).

I keep thinking about him like I did about Moyer.  He was/is a pitcher that I just could never figure out how is remained as successful as he did, even being lefty.  He did have good stuff, he didn't seem to fool a ton of people, he didn't throw a knuckler.  And yet he lasted 21 years in the majors (and I am not sure if he is going to make a team this year for yr 22).

Now I am not saying Sampson will have a career like his, but I keep thinking of him (Moyer) as the proto-typical no-stuff guy that just seems to make rotations each year and is pretty decent 4/5 starter.  Sampson just seems like that kind of starter each time he gets a chance.

It will be interesting to see if Chris sticks in the rotation this year and pulls a Moyer type season.

122
Talk Zone / Re: Horacio Ramirez
« on: March 13, 2008, 01:31:57 pm »
He had an injured finger much of the time last year. My friend thinks he could help the good guys.
I think he at least worth a look, not exactly like they have obviously better options at the moment.

123
Talk Zone / Re: Horacio Ramirez
« on: March 13, 2008, 01:17:15 pm »
Saw that as well.  I know he had a very good rookie season with the Braves and some pretty decent seasons afterwards.  Any thoughts as to why he sucked so badly last season (besides moving to a more powerful American League)?  
You might want to temper that a bit.  He was highly erratic while with the Braves... unfortunate by-product of being married to a Braves fan, that I know that.

124
Talk Zone / Re: semi-interesting factoid
« on: March 13, 2008, 01:15:37 pm »
During bfast this morning, GL returned Jayson Stark's call. "What does he want?" says I. "Information" says he.
Umm, who is GL?  I think I pieced together the rest of the comment.  Understand you are on Mobile device, so if someone else knows...

125
Comments about the article Duman linked about some of the Pitchers being sent to the minor league camp:

The quotes about getting the "potential" starters up to 4 or 5 inngs as far as stamina I found a little disconcerting.  This is from the perspective that I often wonder why they are not trying to at least focus on getting them used to pitching 7 innings at least.  I know they don't want to cause arm issues before they can get use out of them at the ML level and all.  I just am frustrated when I am seeing half of the AA starting pitchers not averaging 6 IP or more.  I understand at lower levels, but I would figure you do something like try to get them to 5-6IP at Low A, 6-7 at high A and then see if you can get them used to at least being ready to go 8-9 at AA and AAA.  So that when they make the club as a starter you aren't worried about them taxing the BP unless they just get hammer.  This is not an Astros only issue, as I think almost all of Baseball seems to have the same issue.

And on the topic of the Russ Dixon, I found the comment that he was taking mostly ground balls during ST and THEN they chose to put him in the OF exclusively... ouch how bad must he have been doing fielding? 

126
Talk Zone / Re: Houston Astros 2008, thy name is "Aggressive"
« on: March 11, 2008, 04:16:06 pm »
we may just throw away K/BB ratios a little
I think K/BB is still big, because Coop says "Don't F-in walk 'em!" or something like that.  K/9 on the other hand... that might not be a big deal.  I seem to recall the bullpen at least being on of the top if not the top in the league in that area almost every year the last several.  I think that might change with this philosophy change.

But I like what I am seeing in the aggressiveness of the team on both sides of the ball.  Put the pressure on and keep it on.  Find out just how much intestinal fortitude the opponent really has.

127
Talk Zone / Re: Lakey Tuesday tidbit
« on: March 11, 2008, 04:07:12 pm »
You misunderstand...I think there's a place on the White Sox for a player who hits a ton and can't field his position.  See Frank Thomas.
Isn't that true for all AL teams using the bastard postion of DH?

128
Talk Zone / Re: Josh Hamilton
« on: March 11, 2008, 04:05:35 pm »
I'm rooting for him in a big way.  It's good to see someone try to bury their demons and realize their potential.
I totally agree.
Glad he is in the AL, though.  I felt like a closet drinker last year rooting for him.  Kept peaking my head up to see who noticed I was rooting for a Red, when I had no connection to the player.

129
Talk Zone / Re: Footer says...
« on: March 11, 2008, 10:50:15 am »
Towles has kind of caught the "perfect storm".  While the Timmy P was moving guys a bit slower along then some other GMs might, Towles was not really planned to be "big league ready" until late 08/09 time-frame at the beginning of last year.  But with what occurred in 07, combined with the fact that 08 might be Ausmus' last year, it creates this "perfect storm".

I think you are right, from a baseball perspective Towles should probably be at AAA this year, but then that would mean when he comes up he would have less time (or no time) tutoring under Ausmus (I don't see Ausmus going from MLB Catcher to MLB Coach directly, MiLB coach maybe).  So when Towles showed enough last year to indicate he wouldn't be "over-matched" in the majors last September, things changed.  So I don't exactly expect what he showed in Sept to be the norm, but I think he showed enough that he wasn't intimidated or "over-matched" at the plate.  And he always has been good at working with pitchers (it was his blocking/throwing skills that needed more work defensively).

So I am guessing the thought this off-season based on what Towles showed last season (both in the minors and in Sept), was for Towles to be the #1 because Ausmus could then back-up (and step in as #1 if needed).  This would allow Towles to learn on the job and from one of the best at the position.  I have to believe this would be better for his development than learning from the minor league coaches (not to knock them).  From all I have heard, Ausmus is really good at teaching (to those that are willing) and Towles has been accepting of this.  Not to mention the 1-on-1 mentoring he could provide.

The fly in the ointment is that Q is out of options, there isn't any viable candidates the organization really trusts should something happen to Towles or Ausmus and the fact that Q is showing he is further along defensively than Towles and isn't a total liability (at least so far) with the bat.  And while Q is 29 and thus shouldn't be considered a "prospect", he is a viable option as a starter and will most definitely be picked up as someone's back-up, at least, via waivers should the Astros TRY to send him to AAA.

So that is the balance along with the whole PR side that the Astros have to figure out.  If they do keep 3 catchers, just like other bench guys, they have to provide more than just defensive back-up.  They have to also provide value as a Pinch-hitter too, and not just rot on the bench doing nothing.  Often times this is why teams don't carry 3 catchers.  Back-up Catchers rarely are multi-positional and about as rarely are on the team because of their bat.  So if they keep all 3, it is the PH aspect that I think would be the biggest impact (unless they keep only 11 pitchers which presents other issues).

130
Talk Zone / Re: The Jesus Who Came In From the Cold
« on: March 10, 2008, 04:12:24 pm »
Grown men should not wear sweat pants except while playing sports, in the gym, or lying on the couch. 
And Women shouldn't wear Rollers in their hair when shopping, but that isn't going to change either.  (BTW, I am not sure I even OWN a pair of sweat pants anymore)

131
Talk Zone / Re: Footer says...
« on: March 10, 2008, 04:07:55 pm »
All I've seen is this scenario where Towles is handed the starting position and Ausmus is his coach.  Cooper doesn't seem to want to buy into that and has been saying good things about Quintero too.  I have no information whether Towles starting is a pr move, but the way the Astros operated last season, I wouldn't doubt it.  Drayton Mclane is still the owner.  I know that Woody Williams had a bad season last year, but it seems to me that he is still respected in the dugout and by the coaches.  I would think that they'd listen to his input on the catchers.  If they listen to anyone.
I would point out that opinions on people can change, as players can change/develop.  So it is possible, Q is better in the areas that Woody had issue with, or maybe Woody was having a tough time, and was going to rip any "young" catcher.  Who knows.  But the keeping of Q or not should not be based on Woody's opinion.  Although I know you are not suggesting it should, I just want to head that one off.

I agree that Q creates an interesting situation, and one that will have to be addressed.  And how the team addresses it will have a ripple affect into other areas because of the roster situation the Astros are in.  I am not sure putting Towles in AAA is the best "baseball" option either, as some have suggested.  It would make other choices at lot easier to make, but that doesn't make it better.  I think Jacksonian got it right when comparing Q and Towles.  At this point they might balance out, but playing at the ML level might be the best for Towles at the point (and it might not).  That is why they pay those guys to make those choices.... let's just hope Pam lets them do that.

132
Palillo's sqwawking aside, Talbot is the one the Stros will miss.
As was stated by those in the know around here too.

Still there is value in the super-utility types.  Like Bruntlett, Loretta and Blum, just to name a few of the recent Astros to fill that role.

133
Talk Zone / Re: Footer says...
« on: March 10, 2008, 09:54:31 am »
Houston because I read somewhere or at least inferred from somewhere, maybe on astros.com, that Wade favored him.  And, I believe he'd have to pass through waivers to be sent down.  Wade didn't add him to the 40-man for no reason.  Sampson, McLemore and most of the others have options.  Paronto is one I forgot who could get Houston's spot.

So why include Houston and not Abercrombie when Abercrombie was added to the 40-man and would have to pass through waivers to be sent down?  Pitching is in much shorter supply than back-up outfielders.  Also, IMO, Q will be dealt.
I can buy all that reasoning, but I think Houston's spot is the one definite "up in the air" spot on the roster.  The others seem pretty set, at least to this point in the ST.  Cruz seems to have grabbed a stangle hold on the last position player spot.

134
Talk Zone / Re: am i the only one who hates the srping forward thing
« on: March 10, 2008, 09:43:08 am »
I work with people overseas alot, so I can say that it makes for some confusion when dealing with people in other countries.  Since the US (I think) is the only place that actually uses DST, I am seeing it as just another hinderence to global dealings, like the whole Metric vs English unit arguement.

I think as more and more companies deal with people outside the US as customers, vendors or even other corporate sites, you will see a bigger push to ending it, but like the unit system, I doubt it will ever stop.

135
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 03:40:29 pm »
I doubt it.  Erstad was signed to help Pence.
My feeling is Erstad is a lock, too.  But then that means one of 4 things:

1) Abercrombie, Cruz are out
2) Cruz, Q are out
3) Abercrombie, Q are out
4) Only 11 Pitchers taken and 1 of the above 3 is out.

At this point you can make a good case for any of the 4.

136
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 03:22:55 pm »
Another big day for Cruz Jr.
Ok, let's put this in perspective.

Starting 8 plus 12 pitchers (assuming).  Leave 5 bench spots.
Ausmus
Blum
Loretta
These seem to be locks.  That leave 2 spots.
Erstad - Closest to a lock, IMO
Abercrombie - Already on 40-man
Cruz - Doing well in ST, previous 30-30 and glove glove winner, son of coach
Quintero - 3rd catcher, out of options

My guess is Erstad makes it and Abercrombie and Cruz are fighting for last spot, unless team really serious about Q's chances.  If so, the 3-man race.

Could it be that Erstad is odd-man out?

137
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 03:08:36 pm »
DeJean pitching

Rodriguez: makes out, sorry missed AB.
DiFelice: fly out, missed most of AB too.
Brignac: b(inside)-f(to left side out of play)-b(outside)-grounder to 2B, throw to 1st, to end the game.


Astros WIN!

Astros 8 Rays 4

LOB: Astros 8, Rays 13.

138
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 03:02:52 pm »
Talbot pitching.  Guess all former Astros farm hands being used.


Manzella: Ked on a devistating breaker(and only 3 pitches).  Missed most of AB, but DoRay said Talbot was dominating.
Blum: ss-ss-b-ss, Ked.  Very impressive, same breaker that Ked Manzella.
Gorneault: lined into RCF, single (5-8 on the spring)
Abercrombie: hard drive, Perez catches it on dead run for 3rd out.

Astros 8 Rays 4 heading to bottom of 9th.

139
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:56:20 pm »
"Bottom of the 8th inning and that can only mean one thing..... The seagulls are back."
Moehler still pitching

Zobrist: s-f(back to screen)-f(back into stands)-b(low)-liner to 1B, Blum makes the play.  Brett talking about how Blum has been really good at 1B today.
Ruggiano: b-fly ball to CF, long run, drops right at fence, hustled back in, but Ramirez has no chance, double.
Guzman: s-plunked by Moehler
Hinske PH for Longoria: f(roller down 1B line)-sc(outside corner)-b(low)-b(in dirt, good block by Castillo)-b(inside)-roller to 1B, Moehler grabs it and flips to Blum, 2nd out, but runners advance to 2nd and 3rd.
Perez: sc-sc-ss(dropped by Castillo, who throws to 1B to complete the K).  Side retired.

DoRay speculating if there are more fans or seagulls there now.

Astros 8 Rays 4  After 8.

140
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:45:41 pm »
Kurt Birkins pitching

For those who don't know, Castillo is the friend of Tejada that Wade met when visiting Tejada in DR.

Castillo: b(low)-b(low)-b(low)-sc-b(wildly outside), walk
Ramirez: sc-grounder to 2b, setting them up for easy 6-4-3 DP.
Cruz(as DH, leaving him in to get ABs from both sides of plate): b(low)-b(low)-f(behind plate,beyond screen)-ss-b(breaker away)-rips one, foul-ss, ked to end inning.

Astros 8 Rays 4, Middle of 8th.

141
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:39:24 pm »
GREAT tons of changes.  I will try to get them all.

Perez to 3B, Manzella in at SS.  Castillo catching, Abercrombie to LF, Gorneault to RF, Ramirez to CF, Moehler pitching.

Rodriguez: grounder to Blum, unassisted put out.
DiFelice: b(low)-b-sc(inside corner)-b(outside)-hit hard down LF line, bangs high off fence, Abercrombie throw into 2B, just misses him.  Double.
Brignac: b(inside)-b(in the dirt)-b(inside)-sc(inside corner)-high fly to LF, Abercrombie makes to play.  Runner holds at 2B.
Johnson: (Brett makes joke how every team needs a Johnson) b(breaker inside)-hard grounder to 1B, Blum snares it and tosses it to Moehler, Brett thinks Astros get a gift call of the out on a close play.

Astros 8 Rays 4 After 7

142
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:31:40 pm »
i'm rooting for Cruz Jr.
Me too.  But getting close to being a numbers game, because I like Abercrombie too.

143
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:30:24 pm »
New pitcher Scott Munter

Blum: b(fastball away)-ss(in dirt)-pop up to shallow LF, drops in for a single.  DoRay made it sound like it should have been caught.
Wigginton: b(hard fastball, low)-hit hard to CF, scores Blum, stand up RBI double.  DoRay figure it was about the hardest hit ball of day.
Abercrombie batting for Diaz: b(fastball in on hands)-ss(Wigginton taking huge leads)-b(up and in)-sc(fastball on outside corner)-f(back)-b-b, walk.  Men 1st and 2nd now.
Newhan: b(high)-b(way inside, skips to backstop as Newhan dropped to knees to avoid it, runners advance)-sc-b-fly out, Abercrombie gets caught in run-down and eventually is tagged out.  Runs scores during run-down.
Perez: b-f-hit to RF, catch made easily for 3rd out.

Now talking about Hitchcock's "The Birds" with all the seagulls around.

Astros 8 Rays 4  Middle of 7th

144
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:18:51 pm »
Wright pitching

Johnson: Grounder off Wigginton, Perez grabbed it and almost got him.  Probably an error.
Zobrist: line-drive to RF, base hit.  Johnson to 2nd.
Ruggiano: b-b(down and away)-f(out of play to right side)-b(outside, runner steals 3rd, stolen off Wright, Q almost got him anyway)-grounder to Perez, who starts the DP, Johnson scores, but 2 out now.
Guzman: b(in dirt, kicks away)-b-s-b(low)-b(low) walks Guzman
Longoria: s-s-b-b(bounced infront of plate, Q knocks it down)-b(down)-f(into Astros dugout)-b(runner was moving), now 1st and 2nd
Perez: sc(fastball at knees)-ss(up and out that was chased)-f(back over roof to parking lot)-ripped hard down LF line, but foul-pop up behind plate, Q makes the play to end the inning.

DoRay talking about the potential new stadium, and questioning where the parking would be.
http://majorleaguedowntown.com is the website for TB projected stadium. according to DoRay.
Seems stadium would only seat 34,000.  Would cost $450 Mil, DoRay doubting it would pass vote.

Astros 6 Rays 4  After 6

145
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:07:16 pm »
Heard Neikro left game with bruised foot
Uhmmm

Newhan batting: stroked it to CF, but caught, for 2nd out.  Newhan was in for Neikro who left with a bruised foot.  Blum moved from 2B to 1B.
Nice to see people are enjoying my PBP.

146
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 02:05:07 pm »
Scott Dohmann (?) pitching

Brignat at SS, Guzman at 3B, Zobrist moved to 1B, someone else at 2B they said. Perez in CF, DiFelice catching.

Wigginton: blistered down the LF line, to the wall, stand-up double.
Diaz: stroked to RF, drops in (probably shouldn't have) Diaz pushes it to 2B, and barely makes it. as the RF trapped it. Wigginton only makes it to 3B.
Newhan: b(just missed in)-infield single, scores Wigginton, Diaz stayed at 2B.
Perez: bunt up 3B line, sac allows both runners to advance.
Q: f(back to screen)-ss(chased one down and out)-b-line drive to LCF, drops in, scores Diaz.  RBI Single.
Bourn: b-b(low and inside, Bourn had to avoid being hit)-b(high)-b, walked him
Cruz looking for 4th hit: ss(tried to check)-chopper up 1B side, just foul-Chopper to right side, tried for 2, but Bourn gave a hard slide to break it up allowing Cruz to reach 1B and Newhan to score.  Q to 3rd.
Pence: b(skips away from catcher(WP), Q scores, Cruz was stealing and reached 2B)-skies it to RF, easy play for 3rd out.

Q is having a good day, almost threw out runner at 2B(Q thought he got him), took the hard shot for the error, but having good day at plate and being agressive on the bases.

Astros 6 Rays 3  Middle of 6th

147
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:52:10 pm »
It's a great stadium. Right on the water.

I heard Carlos got his Rodeo pass for today. The Tampa radio dook said it's written in his contract.
Ty this seems like it would have been the perfect opportunity for you to be at the game with your Wifi to give us real PBP from the stands.

148
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:50:54 pm »
Cassel still pitching

Aybar batting: sc(big breaker)-sc(outside corner)-b(in the dirt)-b(down and in)-grounder to Wigginton, makes the play, 1 out.
Navarro batting: b-grounder to the hole, Perez makes the routine play. 2 outs
Richard batting: ss(big swing and a miss at a change-up)-ss(another big swing and a miss), guess it was a K, missed the other pitches.

Astros 2 Rays 3 After 5.

149
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:46:11 pm »
I thought I heard them say he'd reached his 'set pitch limit'.  Not swearin' to nothing though...
Wait, you were listening before I was and wasn't PBPing?  WTF?

150
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:45:31 pm »
Couple of changes for Rays.
Gary Glover pitching
Justin Rusiano (definately spelled wrong by me) in LF

Ok, another correction it is Jack Cassel, I should at least get the Astros players names right, huh?

Q batting: b-f(back)-b(way up)-b(way high)-b walked him
Bourn batting: DoRay making comments about how Bourn is going to lead the Grapefruit league in ABs (according to Cooper) b-b(up and outside)-pop-up mile high, 3B makes play at railing (Q was running).
Cruz batting: tomahawked a hit to RF. 3-3 so far now.  Looks like someone is making the case for the 25-man roster.
Pence batting: s-b(down and out)-b(low and away)-ripped high to CF, makes the catch just shy of track, Q advances to 3rd.
Blum batting: f(back behind plate)-groudball sharply hit to 2B, makes the play for the final out.

Astros 2 Rays 3  middle of 5th.

151
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:35:20 pm »
Correction, seems Elvys was lifted in the 3rd for Randolph who got the final 2 outs, but not before he walked two.

Not sure why Hernandez was pulled with 1 out in the 3rd with only one getting on, but none scoring since 1st.  Will update if DoRay tell me what happend.

Jack Castle pitching

Zobrist batting: b(down and out)-ss-chopper up 1B line, but goes foul-f(back over screen on 3B side)-dribbler up 1B line, 3-1 for the out.  Castle did a good job covering.
Crawford batting: roller to 1B, Blum made nice pick, but quick flick couldn't be fielded by Castle cleanly, safe at 1B.  Charged as an error on Blum, wild throw was apparently way off 1B.
Upton batting:  s-b(Q snap throws to 1B and Crawford barely makes it back in)-b(up and in)-sc(good breakingball)-f(pop-up back toward DoRay booth, Crawford was moving)-stroke to LF, over Diaz's head to the fence.  Crawford knocks Q over and ball rolls to dug out, Upton scores as well.  Crawford gave Q a big shot, Q might be hurt.  Seems also Crawford was in the way between Castle who grabbed the ball and Q who was still covering home after Crawford scored.

All seems to be getting back to normal, so maybe Q not hurt.  Ruled Double and error.

Floyd batting: b-s-b-b-f-hard smash down 1B line, Blum makes the play unassisted.  2 outs
Gomes batting: fly ball to CF, Bourn makes the routine catch, for final out.

Seems there are a ton of seagulls landing on the field from time to time.  DoRay making lots of comments about it.

Astros 2 Rays 3  - End of 3

152
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:22:22 pm »
Wheeler pitching (first inning for him)

Wigginton batting: ground out to Aybar (3B)
Diaz: Drives ball to CF, goes to the wall for a stand-up double.  Ball got over Upton's head.  Ball was hit right at him and he had a tough time.
Newhan batting: stroked it to CF, but caught, for 2nd out.  Newhan was in for Neikro who left with a bruised foot.  Blum moved from 2B to 1B.
Perez batting: Bad pick-off throw to 2B, bounced between Zobrist and Cannizaro, but someone was able to flag it down before Wigginton could move.  Pop-up to Navarro (the catcher).

Astros 2 Rays 1 - Middle of 4th.

153
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:18:16 pm »
Trying to give what has occurred to this point:

Astros brought Bourn, Pence and Wigginton because each team has to have some regulars in each game to make MLB happy.

Cruz is DHing and is 2-2 with a run and an RBI (involved in both Astros' runs).

Elvys pitched the first 2, Randolph pitched the 3rd.

Rays have left 8 on in 3 innings, but only managed 1 run.

Astros up 2 - 1 after 3.

154
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Spring Training: Astros vs Rays 3/5/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 01:15:14 pm »
I am disappointed nobody has been covering this before now.

I am just getting on, so give me a min to get myself settled.

Quick update is Astros up 2 - 1 bottom of 3rd, but Rays have them loaded and Randolph is pitching at the moment.

155
Talk Zone / Re: NL Win Totals via Vegas
« on: March 05, 2008, 11:31:13 am »
Just comparing vs last year (Vegas 2007)

East
NY Mets 93.5 88 +5.5 Changes: Added Santanna, Schneider, Church Lost: Glavine, Lo Duca, Green
Philly 88 89 -1 Changes: Added Lidge, Feliz, Jenkins  Lost: Lohse, Leiber, Nunez, Rowand
Atlanta 86 84 +2 Changes: Added Glavine, Kotsay Lost: Returia, Jones
Wash 71.5 73 -1.5 Changes: Added Milledge, Lo Duca Lost: Church, Schneider
Florida 68.5 71 -2.5 Changes: Added Miller, prospects Lost: Cabrerra, Willis

Central

Chicago Cubs 88 85 +3 Changes: Added Fukudome, Leiber Lost: Prior, Floyd
Milwaukee 84 83 +1 Changes: Added Cameron, Gagne Lost: Jenkins, Cordero, Linebrink
Cincinnati 77 72 +5 Changes: Added Cordero, Affeldt, Fogg Lost: Hamilton, Milton
St. Louis 76.5 78 -1.5 Changes: Added Glaus, Pineiro Lost: Edmonds, Rolen, Eckstein
Houston 75 73 +2  Changes: Added Tejada, Bourn, Matsui, Valverde, bullpen Lost: Everett, Scott, Biggio, Lidge, Qualls
Pittsburgh 70 68 +2 Changes: None

West

Arizona 87.5 90 -2.5 Change: Added Haren, Qualls Lost: Valverde
LA Dodgers 87 82 +5 Change: Added Jones Lost: Gonzalez
San Diego 84.5 89 -4.5 Change: Added Edmonds, Iguchi, Wolf, Prior Lost: Cameron, Bradley, Giles
Colorado 83 90 -7 Change: Lost Matsui
SF 72 71 +1 Change: Added: Rowand Lost: Bonds, Feliz

Things that stand out to me:
Mets swapped Glavine for Santanna which upgrades and Lo Duca for Schneider seems like even swap to me, but Green was pretty productive for them and not sure Church can match that.  Still healthy Pedro might help too, but a bump of almost 6 wins... call me skeptical, I will take the under.
Phily seems like they got a bigger bump.  Production wise is Jenkins that much a drop off from Rowand?  A bit, but they add a huge upgrade at 3rd base, and the get of Lidge allows Meyers to fill in loss of Lohse.  So I personally think they are better, Give me the over.
Atlanta adds effectively 2 pitchers with Hampton supposedly being healthy again, so that should help, maybe not a ton, but some.  The loss of Renturia will hurt, but this young kid they have replacing him looked pretty good in the limited action he saw last year, and Andruw Jones had fallen so far that Kotsay is about equivalent, so I see them improving about like projected.  Even on this one.
Washington isn't any different than last year, IMO.  I see Vegas pretty close on this one too.
Florida traded away their top hitter and supposedly their top pitcher for prospects.  Well it is hard to lose more than 110, but I am guessing they will lose even more than Vegas thinks, give me the under.

On to the West (saving the Central for last).
Arizona gained the AL All-start starter from last year and lost their closer for a quality set-up guy.  Not to mention they have a ton of young talent that was getting its feet wet last year.  I am not exactly sure how or why there is a predicted drop off, if anything I see them getting better.  Give me the over
LA Dodgers add Andruw Jones over Luis Gonzalez and also solidified some spots for some other players.  But I just don't see what makes them better, let alone 5 games better.  Give me the under, I just don't see it.
Padres made some of the biggest changes outside of Houston this offseason, but they added to their rotation and improved 2B significantly.  They did did also lose quite a bit in the OF.  But I just don't see a loss of almost 5 games from last year, when they kindof tanked at the end.  Give me the over on Vegas, but about the same as last year overall.
Rockies made very little changes overall.  The did play over their heads last year, and the are losing Matsui, who wasn't THE guy or anything, but was definately positive to their team overall. I see a drop, but 7 games seems a bit harsh, give me the over.
The Giants are about to be THE bottom feeder of the NL for a couple of years.  Bonds maybe a total ass, but the guy was the center of their offense.  Couple that with the loss of Feliz who was pretty productive himself, and Rowand isn't going to make up the difference.  If any team has a 7 game difference this year it is the Giants, and it isn't an improvement of 7 games, either.  Give me the under.

NL Central:
Cubs did make another series of moves to improve this off season.  The biggest question is what will Fukudome provide other than a Freudian slip waiting to happen.  They are better than last year, I think.  3 games seems reasonable.  But then these are the Cubs, right?  So who cares they will choke if the chance arises to.  So give me the under.
The Brew-Crew really looks tough.  Cameron when back from suspsension will make them better.  But don't dismiss the loss of Cordero.  He might have been having his career year, but he was a big reason for their success last year.  Gagne I don't trust.  But overall I see them improving from last year, so give me the over.
Reds made some big moves for pitching.  Overpaying was a given.  The loss of Hamilton will hurt them, offensively I think.  Plus they don't play like a team.  Still they are better than last year pitching wise, but 5 games seems like a big improvement.  I am going under on them, but not by much.
The Cards look terrible.  If Mulder and Carpenter truely come back they look better, but Pujols looks like the DL is going to happen in his future, probably this year.  So I see them dropping off from last year.  Give me the under.
The Astros have so many question marks.  We have beaten them up here, but I think the pitching will be about the same as last year and the offense improved but some to alot.  So I think they improve from last year, but probably not much more than .500 unless the pitching really comes through.  Give me the over.
The Bucs seem to have no direction and even less support from ownership.  They made next to no moves during the offseason yet Vegas gives them a 2 game bump?  I don't see it, take the under.

Ok, I wasted WAY too much time on this.

156
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 05, 2008, 09:38:45 am »
Saw two stolen bases on towles in the box score.  Were they stolen off him or the pitcher?  How close were they?
I cannot acurately vouch for either one as I was listening and not watching.  Based on what was said, the 2nd one was totally on the pitcher.  The 1st, I don't recall clearly enough, but don't think they said one way or another, but it was a speedy type guy.

157
Talk Zone / Re: Wandy struggled?
« on: March 04, 2008, 03:16:26 pm »
Yesterday Milo and Raymond were speculating that it would be Q over a 5th outfielder (if they kept Q), and Blum could serve as the all over guy (ala Bruntlett).
Milo and Brett mentioned the same thing today.  But I guess I was thinking about the NYCU stuff where they were talking about IF they were going to carry 12 pitchers or not, which is what got me thinking about that option instead of the 5th OFer.

158
Talk Zone / Re: Wandy struggled?
« on: March 04, 2008, 03:06:57 pm »
During the game, while JD and Brownie were interviewing Coop, JD asked if the position players on the 25-man were basically set except for the fifth outfielder.  Coop said that they were considering taking a third catcher instead of a fifth outfielder because Q was out of options (or words to that effect).  JD seemed surprised they would even consider taking a third catcher, as was I.  So I guess at least Coop, and possibly others in the front office, have been impressed with Q so far.
If I had to guess right now, I think it more a question of 3rd catcher vs 12th pitcher not 3rd catcher vs 5th OFer.  But then, that is my guess.

159
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 03:02:16 pm »
Any news about Berkman?  Also, thanks for the pbp. 
If you are asking about his "injury" he was DHing today and got walked, and didn't want to have to run the bases should that be required, so he asked the dug out to replace him.  I am guessing he then started acting like he pulled his hammy to "encourage" them to replace him.  I think it was just his way of asking out of the game.  I doubt it looked like anything other than a veteran doing a BAD acting job as humor.  Based on how Milo and Brett talked about it, it was a joke by Berkman to help get him out of the game before he had to run the bases.  He scored from 1B earlier in the game, from what they said, so there is no injury.

It was him screwing around to get pulled.

160
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:58:57 pm »
Final scoreboard:

Tigers 10 19 0
Astros 11 17 2

Astros notibles:
Towles 3-3, 3-Run HR, 3 runs scored, 4 RBIs
Erstad 2-3, 1 run scored, and threw a runner out at plate from RF
Lee 2-2, 1BB, RBI and Run scored
Each spot in line-up scored a run except 2-spot where Loretta and Mazella both had RBIs.

Erstad was player interviewed after the game.
Thinks transition to team is easy because of the quality guys in club house here.
Thinks transition to NL won't be issue, because he has played in most NL parks anyway (inter-league play).
Not much of value added in interview.

161
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:52:44 pm »
Geary staying in for the 9th

Hollimon batting - looper to LF, for a base-hit
Santiago batting - shot to 2B, flip and fire for a DP!  Newhan made a good play to control it and flip to Manzella
Ramirez batting - sc-chopper to SS, comes hard, SAFE at 1B, 2 hopper allows very fast runner to reach, it was VERY close though.
Thomas batting - throw to 1b, not close-b(down and out)-another throw to 1b, close this time-bouncer foul down right side-throw to 1b, runner dives back safely-fly ball to LF, ground rule double.  Run cannot score (saved a run).  Runners 2nd and 3rd now.
Guzman batting - s-pop out to SS, Manzella got it.

ASTROS WIN!!!

Astros 11 - Tigers 10    ---- FINAL

162
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:44:34 pm »
Beltran pitching for Tigers.  Big 6'6" righty.

Diaz - b(ball thrown to backstop)-b(up and in)-b(baaaaaaalll three!)-b(way high) BB to lead off
House - (Milo making really bad jokes about his last name)sc(after long delay looking at Diaz)-b(up and in)-ss-smash foul down left side(seems Milo has a beard going and Brad's Mom told him he needs to shave it)-b(way high)-Beltran steps off-sc; House watched a good pitch go by, 1 out.
Niekro - b(pitch-out, Milo is talking about HR Niekro hit yesterday that was ruled foul)-s(???)-foul(to right side)-ss, ked, but Diaz steals 2nd.
Abercrombie - b-b-b(up and out)-sc(at knees on inside corner)-b(around shins) another BB.
Ramirez - pop up to 3B, final out of the 8th

Astros 11 - Tiggers 10  After 8 innings

163
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:33:04 pm »
Muecke in to pitch the 8th

Santiago batting - b(??? milo calling)-b(outside)-double to straight away left.  Wind pushed ball past Diaz (who is playing left)
Ramirez batting - ss(big rip at a sharp breaker)-ss(Milo just butchered Annette Funicello last name)-b(???)-b(tight at knees, just found out I missed a pitch)-(Joe West is home ump)- HIGH drive to left, 2-Run HR.  Ramirez races around the bases.  Ball was crushed.
Thomas - Struck out swinging (I think on 3 pitches, but only heard 1 or two called)
Guzman - b-(Milo makes joke that Skelton, the kid on deck, should be skeleton because he is so thin)b-s-line drive single to RF
Skelton - sc(pulled back bunt attempt)-(throw to 1b, not close)-looping liner to CF, single, runners 1st and 2nd.  Muecke not fooling anyone, Robinson goes to talk to him.
Sizemore batting - b(down)-sc(at the knees, inside corner)-b(Guzman steals 3rd 100% off Muecke)-base hit to CF, drives in 10th run and 16th hit for Tigers. (Astros have 17 hits) Runners at 1st and 2nd
Larish - b(down and out)-sc(right on hands, inside corner)-slow roller to 2B, too slow for DP, runners advance, but 2nd out made.

Pulling Muecke for Geary coming in to pitch.
Milo and Brett talking about having to weed out the 28 pitchers, because there are too many to really give all of them enough IP.

Trzesniak batting - Popped up for the final out.

Astros 11 - Tiggers 10  Middle of 8th

164
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:14:53 pm »
McBride pitching for Tiggers

Abercrombie rips the first pitch for a lead off double
Ramirez batting - f(down first base side)-f(back, was high)-b(just off outside corner)-Ked swinging (Abercrombie stole 3rd).  Swung at high pitch.  Abercrombie took a walking lead to get SB.
Towles - b(high)-double for his 3rd xtra-base hit today.  4th RBI as Abercrombie scores.
Newhan - f(swung hard)-blistered to CF - Towles advances on aggressive (but smart) play
Manzella - b(way high)-ripped into LF, Towles in to score, RBI single
Perez - b(breaker down)-b(big breaker, low and in)-chopper down 3B line, throws him out.  Ends inning

Muecke in the pen

Astros 11 - Tiggers 7 After 7

165
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 02:06:57 pm »
Top of 7:

Lots of changes:

Niekro at 1b, Manzella at SS, Abercrombie in RF, Newhand at 2B, Perez at 3B, Ramirez in CF
Borkowski pitching

Sizemore (minor leaguer) leads off with a laser past Manzella, for a lead off single.
Larish batting - s-b(Sizemore steals 2nd)-sc(just above knees)-grounder to Bork, Larish is out, Sizemore to 3rd.
Ordonez still batting - chopper to left size, Perez comes up with it and throws him out, but run scores.
Holloman batting - s-b-grounder to Niekro to end the inning

1 hit, 1 Run

Astros - 9   Tiggers - 7  - Middle of 7th.


166
Game Zone 2008 Archive / Re: Astros vs. Tigers from Kissimmee - 3/4/08
« on: March 04, 2008, 01:58:51 pm »
Damn it Jim...you scared off my only source for updates.
Astros took the lead by a run in the bottom of the 5th, I think Lee drove in Tejada.

Astros then scored 2 more in the bottom of the 6th, but should have had more as a DP ended it.  Berkman walked in the 6th, and then begged to be taken out, even acting like his hammy suddenly got hurt (AFTER getting to 1st), Bourn was sent to run for him.

Now that I am listening, I will try to give you better updates, but after 6, Astros up 9-6.

167
Talk Zone / Re: Wandy struggled?
« on: March 04, 2008, 10:22:03 am »
Q
From what I heard (radio broadcast) Q did really well, but the writing is all but on the wall.  Unless the Astros take 3 catchers (highly doubtful if they take 12 pitchers) Q won't make the club.

168
Talk Zone / Re: A headline I never thought I would read
« on: March 03, 2008, 11:41:43 am »
Another non-funny injury:

There are times when I wish we could just go back to the day when they just said stuff like, Pie is out for a couple of days with an undisclosed injury.  Today, only are the specific, but in some cases, they even tell you what that means... I mean, there are somethings I don't want to THINK about, you know?

169
Talk Zone / Re: Middle Relief
« on: March 03, 2008, 09:18:20 am »
Weeding out new faces, Coop frustrated with  base on balls.  Who do you like?  Villareal, James & Paulino?
Give me like 2-3 more weeks, then things might be clearer.  They have not even played a week of ST games yet and you want to make choices already?  Not impatient are you?

170
Talk Zone / Re: Low Minors Playing Guinea Pig Again This Season
« on: February 29, 2008, 03:07:04 pm »
I think MLB needs to take steps to reduce the time it takes to play a 9-inning game. 

Not meaning to target you David, but...

I think people who feel that Baseball games need to be "sped up" typically fall into two categories:

1) Those who don't like baseball anyway.  These people, assuming they are even sports fans, want high paced action.  They are like most people in society who want more in less time types.  The instant gratification of our society has bred tons of these.  "I want my entertainment in small, fast-paced bites, that I can consume and move on, of if I really like it, consume a bunch in a short period of time".

2) Those who don't understand or appreciate baseball.  Baseball has so much to it.  It is almost a way of life.  It grows with you, as you spend more and more time with it.  A fan will begin to learn more about each part of the game, and see new things in the game.  Those who don't understand baseball fail to appreciate the relaxing nature of sitting there and watching a game and not feel constantly rushed.  They miss the beauty of how each player plays a important role in each play (or could, and thus have to be ready to).  There is so much subtly to the game that is lost because it isn't always fast-paced, in your face type action.  Baseball allows you the chance to share the experience with a child and teach them about the game as it unfolds.  In other sports it moves to fast for you to be able to get the child's attention and point out something before it is over and there is nothing more to see.

Baseball is truly hard to explain to someone who doesn't spend the time to learn to love it.

I think baseball needs focus on who does watch baseball and learn how to appreciate them more, because baseball is truly the one sport that is handed down from generation to generation.  Make it easier for those who love it, to love it, and they will be able to pass it down that much more, because that kind of passion for things is contagious.  And should be cultivated, not ignored.

171
Talk Zone / Re: GAMEZONE for Spring Training????
« on: February 28, 2008, 02:46:05 pm »
As I recall they had some really rough ST games offensively last year too... seemed like the young players were the only ones producing then too.

172
Talk Zone / Re: Bill James suddenly discovers the aging process
« on: February 25, 2008, 05:03:31 pm »
Is there anyone who's hit 3,000 and not made the Hall upon becoming eligible?
Rafael Palmeiro will test that one, I think.

I always put over achieving in the same category as irregardless.

Words that make no sense.

I understand those that exceed expectation, because that implies you put a limit on them that they exceeded.  But if someone achieves something, how can that be considered over achieving, when by definition, they achieved it?  I think under achieving is possible, if you have seen that person achieve something more than what they are showing now.

173
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor league signings
« on: February 25, 2008, 04:22:05 pm »
concerning Jarred Ball... He signed with the Astros on December 13, 2007.  The same day that Patton was traded.  Patton and Ball were high school teammates.  My source, who wishes to remain anonymous, didn't know why the transaction didn't make it to MLB.com our other similar sources.  He'll be at Corpus or Round Rock to start the season.
Any history on what happend between 05 and 06, seems to have taken a terrible fall, in hitting, power and basestealing.  Ussually you don't see all 3 drop so dramatically unless there was something else that occured, be it physical or mental.

174
Talk Zone / Re: Astros "win"
« on: February 21, 2008, 01:37:47 pm »
Tal Smith outlined the Phillies position,

Smith said the Phillies’ case hinged on Howard’s limited major-league service time and how he slots into baseball’s salary scale. Howard hasn’t been in the majors for three full seasons. He can’t become a free agent until after the 2011 season.

It’s likely the Phillies argued that their $7 million offer matches the highest one-year proposal for a first-time arbitration-eligible player. The St. Louis Cardinals offered $7 million to Albert Pujols in 2004 before agreeing on a seven-year, $100 million extension.

“That’s certainly a major portion of the criteria,” Smith said. “It’s the length and consistency of the career. That’s basically what the discussion was about. There’s no denying his performance. It’s a question of how that slots into the criteria.”
Link
That is exactly as Tal has been portrayed in these things.  Never attack the player, but defend the number.

175
Talk Zone / Re: Good Stark article on Tejada deal
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:22:19 am »
Won't he be batting cleanup for the O's?
You ask like we follow them, or something... if he is, I am sure he will get some nice numbers.  Afterall SOMEBODY has to get the RBIs for every team.  And ussually the 3rd and 4th batters get more than the rest.

176
Talk Zone / Re: 5th outfielder
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:20:46 am »
Correct.
There are not problems with Ramirez going to AAA though, right?  No risk of losing him to FA?

Just want to be sure, because some people around here, who know more than I do, seem to think big things could be in Ramirez future... not that some don't feel that about Abercrombie too, but just not as many that I have heard (around here that is).

177
Talk Zone / Re: Hunter meets a glass door - There Will Be Blood
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:17:53 am »
stop thinking as if the glass is half empty!
It was full!

Problem was it was full of kool-aid and I drank some of it... sorry.

It tasted good though.

178
Talk Zone / Re: 5th outfielder
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:12:48 am »
The fact that Abercrombie is out of options is rather material to this decision, no?
I would imagine it is.  Wasn't that why most around here when trying to figure out the 25-man roster a month or so ago, were penciling him in as one of the bench players?

I keep getting Abercrombie and Yordany Ramirez confused, since both are new guys.  Ramirez is the one from San Diego, and Abercrombie is the one from Florida right?  Or am I still confused?

179
Talk Zone / Re: Good Stark article on Tejada deal
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:06:03 am »
So the Orioles weren't real particular about who they got in return for Tejada.  Of course Orioles fans think Luke Scott is the steal of the deal.
Depending on the extent of Patton's injury he might be all they yeild from the deal.  But then Scott was a decent to good OFer.  Although much more suited to LF than RF.  Still his bat was pretty decent and he is a lefty.  He just didn't have a spot in the Astros OF, but that doesn't mean he is a bad player...  But I would hardly call him a "steal".  But then, he might be when comparing to some other teams OF options.

180
Talk Zone / Re: Astros "win"
« on: February 21, 2008, 11:00:18 am »
I don't understand why the Phillies went to the mat on that one.  This isn't a backup, or a closer you think will be gone in two years - this is a franchise cornerstone.  Why risk pissing him off?
Or better yet, why are you not working on a long-term deal with him to avoid this whole process all together.  The dude is about the best masher in baseball.  Granted he Ks a ton, but mashers like him make the whole line-up better, IMO.

I am not a Philly fan, but I just don't want to see someone like that being the next Yankee or Red Sox... wait, if he is, then he won't be in the NL anymore. Ignore the man behind the curtain.

181
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: minor league spring training
« on: February 21, 2008, 10:36:25 am »
It's highly unlikely he'd been invited to the mini-camp.  It's usually the top guys plus as Bennett said guys who are going to move up a level.  Not everyone goes, not even close to everyone.
I understand that.  I guess I just wasn't clear in my statement.  Basically the Astros will be sure he is there when they need him to be.

182
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: BA- How close are they
« on: February 21, 2008, 10:35:18 am »
I give them some credit for recognizing the idea that prospect lists, or individual propects themselves and their "potential," don't begin to capture the value of one's minor league system.  BA has apparently begun to realize this and that is a step forward, imo.

An example of this ranking weakness is illustrated by Sampson in the 2007 list:  he was ranked 11th or so by BA, after he had already made a few major league appearances and showed he could at least, likely fill a roster spot.  Contrast that with Barthmaier, or Sapp who were ranked higher on the list, yet every honest evaluator knew that as lower level players, there was a large amount of uncertainty associated with them.  At that moment in time, Sampson's abilities, even with a lower ceiling, would presumably add some value to him relative to Sapp or Barthmaier, from the viewpoint of the GM at least, who needs to fill out a roster.  This value is never accounted for in those ranking lists, and tends to distort the value of a club's minor league system.
I think people like BA who do prospect list try to balance the projection of a player vs. the actual situation.  This means that the top "prospect" isn't always the closes to impacting the Major League Club, but more a matter of trying to project who will impact the Major League Club MORE for their career.  As with most projecting of this sort, it is very comparable to batting average.  The best are still hitting below .500 at it.

Now, this does not excuse some of the stupidity that is evident in their "evaluations".  And while they are doing some things better like that latest rating thing, that weights more on close to the majors type players, they still hold strongly to their pre-conceived notions and then try to explain why their results (BAs rating tools) don't say what they want them to say.

There is always a balance in methods, but reality is there is not certain way to determine who will or who won't be successful until they actual are or are not.  And those who want there to be one, can't seem to understand that, and thus try to find ways to convince us and themselves that one exists.  Then they try to make you believe they have it.

183
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: minor league spring training
« on: February 21, 2008, 10:26:10 am »
Isnt this mini spring training held in Italy?
Because Jan(The one who signed a couple months ago) is there at the moment for two weeks.
I am sure the team is working with Jan to have him arrive at the right time.  I think some will be dependent on which league they plan to assign him to.  Not all minor leaguers arrive to ST at the same time.

184
Talk Zone / Re: Good Stark article on Tejada deal
« on: February 20, 2008, 10:22:37 am »
So, basically, if you are seeking information regarding the Houston Astros, the Chronicle is among the last places to look.

In addition to Stark's column the Orlando Sentinel apparently is a useful source.
Footer is still the best source.  But Stark is often one of the better Baseball guys I see today.  Doesn't mean he isn't without faults too, but compared to the rest of them, he is significantly better.

185
Talk Zone / Re: NYCU 2/18 - McLane on Tejada
« on: February 18, 2008, 01:28:07 pm »
"We had to make a decision before the Mitchell Report came out because of several things that were occurring in baseball," he said.

Any ideas what he's referring to there?
As has been mentioned several times one was Everett.  And the fact they had to make a call on if they wanted to offer arbitration or let him walk.
A speculated one was that the deal had a deadline.  It could have been the Astros because of the Everett thing, or it could have been the Orioles because of the Mitchell Report.  Or both perhaps.

186
Talk Zone / Re: who will Ausmus catch?
« on: February 18, 2008, 01:20:40 pm »
Ah... But Footer vs. Ditka?
Chicago Player Ditka
-or-
Chicago Coach Ditka
-or-
New Orleans Coach Ditka

187
Talk Zone / Re: Nice prank by the Phillies
« on: February 18, 2008, 11:00:27 am »
Speaking of the Phillies, where's Eric Bruntlett?

"Notes

INF Wes Helms reported to camp, leaving Rollins and INF Eric Bruntlett as the only notable absences. "

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-boringphillies&prov=ap&type=lgns
Guessing here, but Arbitration?  Is he up for that?  Was it going to Arb?

188
Talk Zone / Re: who will Ausmus catch?
« on: February 18, 2008, 09:33:49 am »
Well, I guess this question has been answered.  See today's AP article about Towles getting the starting job and being tutored by Ausmus.  The article includes this interesting tidbit:

You know that part you quoted seems to re-enforce something I was thinking.  Supposedly one of Towles strength's is calling a game and working with pitchers (ok, two things).  While I know that is where Ausmus is strongest and has more experience, but Towles needs to learn to do this and you really only get better through doing, so....  Also since Towles is supposed to be the long term solution, better that he earns that trust/respect from the pitchers he will be catching, sooner rather than later.  With Oswalt since he doesn't rely on the catcher as much, he can wait longer to develop that relationship with Towles.  Plus, all indications were, Roy wanted to throw to Ausmus, and what Roy wants Roy gets.  One of the perks of being the Ace of the staff.

189
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: BA- How close are they
« on: February 15, 2008, 04:06:00 pm »
Our system may suck but we got players close to the Majors.  BA using their formula, ranked the Astros 3rd.  Which really screwed with their perception our system is the suckiest.


That part you quote kind of sounds like:

"Man ya'll suck!", a fan said to the team on the field that is losing 1-8.
Team proceeds to have 10 straight hits, punctuated with a GRAND SLAM to take a 11-8 lead.
"Well even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and again.", the fan said sheepishly.

It is like they are trying to justify their opinion with out making their "formula" look bad.  "You see what I said was true, but that doesn't mean the formula was wrong, it was just an aberration."

You know scientists have this happen sometimes, they have an original hypothesis, and through experimentation they find it was wrong.  At least THEY have the stones to say in their conclusion, my original hypothesis was wrong, here is what really happens.

190
Talk Zone / Re: Valverde vs. Wade
« on: February 14, 2008, 02:38:47 pm »
yeah, that is a pretty silly thing to say.
once it's all said and done, i do hope that all parties involved will feel that the outcomes are fair - with no hard feelings.  it's just business...nothing personal, right?   
Business is always personal.

No matter the outcome, it never ends "well" in arbitration.  Someone will leave not happy, because somebody has to lose.

191
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens deposition
« on: February 14, 2008, 12:34:14 pm »
There's lots of presupposition going on in the punditocrisy and amongst the Congressional committee members.
I don't think it limited to just them, on both sides of the arguement.

What I have been noticing, is more of the talking heads seem to be now on the while McNamee is a slimeball, Clemens still did the deed.  Which to me is a significant difference than where they used to be, which was "I don't know one way or the other, but that McNamee is a slimeball."

192
Bartman?
He may not think it, but I would imagine if they win, it will allow him to fade away.

I don't like the ScRubs, but could you imagine if you became the object of hate from your favorite team and its fans?  Even if a little while?  That had to suck.

But I for one become very tired of the athlete making stupid predictions like this.  I understand you shouldn't play the game if you are not trying to win it all, but comments like that make you look like an idiot, even if you turn out to be right.

193
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens deposition
« on: February 13, 2008, 02:22:46 pm »
Jason Whitlock, certainly calling it like he sees it.


Trying to figure out how to turn this into one of those CRACK KILLS! T-shirt ideas... anyone?

194
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens deposition
« on: February 13, 2008, 02:19:37 pm »
got him pegged, ok. omg, what if he has to pick up a check!
Or doesn't get invited to the next celebrity golf tournament?

195
Talk Zone / Re: In for a rude awakening
« on: February 13, 2008, 10:50:39 am »
I seem to recall Phil Garner saying the same things... then reality set in when it didn't work out that way.

196
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor league signings
« on: February 13, 2008, 09:49:32 am »
It seems there is so much in flux at both AAA and AA based on things like: Who makes the Astros 25-man roster? Who is being promoted (ready) from last year? Who is the best candidates to be called up should something bad happen to those on the 25-man roster? as well as Which young players still have "potential" but might be late-bloomers?

I am sure there are even more of those type of questions, but I doubt we will really be able to make many "for sure" type comments until much later in Spring Training.

197
Talk Zone / Re: The circus is in town.........oh goody
« on: February 13, 2008, 09:07:27 am »
WFW. there are hearings going on all the time about a million different things. tell the parents of kids who have had tragic effects from using them in HS that this is a trivial matter.
Sheesh, testy again are we.  I didn't say it was trival in the fact they are trying to curb a growing (or was at one time) problem of steroid use in this country.  Although it seems to have turned more into a focus on one man rather than trying to solve the issue.

I was just relaying a perspective I heard from some talking head that I thought was different.

198
Talk Zone / Re: JdJO interviews Bagwell
« on: February 13, 2008, 09:02:05 am »
Reading that, it just re-enforces what I have always believed.  Not everybody CAN be a leader.  Sure everyone can try to do some of the things that it takes to be a leader, but there is some quality in the true leaders that is just there.  The "stuff" it takes to be a leader just comes naturally to them.  They don't even think about it in most cases, because to them "It's just what you do."

I was pleased to hear the stuff Jeff said about the Tejada addition.  I think his comment about the team having more energy this year, even if it doesn't translated to more winning was interesting too.  We have talked often about the somewhat lazyness displayed by some of the club recently and how Pence was a nice change from that with his "hair on fire" approach.

Certainly got me excited about Spring Training (not that I needed much help in that area)

199
Talk Zone / Re: The circus is in town.........oh goody
« on: February 13, 2008, 08:48:19 am »
Nothing takes your mind off war, poverty and a crumbling infrastructure like a good old congressional hearing on steroids.
Our founding fathers would be turning over in their graves.
These bumbling fools have their priorities askew.

I heard someone make the funny arguement that is was good that Congress was spending all this time on the HGH use in baseball because it kept them from doing something stupid on other matters that they would be discussing otherwise.  (pick your favorite target amongst Immigration Reform, Universal Health Care, War on Terror, etc.)

The idea being that most American's don't have alot of trust in Congress as a whole right now.  I seem to recall their approval rating being lower than Bush's and look at how everyone is bashing Bush because of his approval rating.

200
Talk Zone / Re: BP NL Central preview up
« on: February 13, 2008, 08:45:13 am »
Right now, I'm not worried about any of it.
Me either.  I suspect the question of Drayton spending more than slot money on a draftee should it be required will probably be answered by the people Drayton asks "Is he worth spending the extra money on?".  My guess is that was also true last year and Drayton was told no.  The reason I believe this is because he has spent more than slot money before on some (Patton comes immediately to mind).  So we know he will do it for the right players.

I don't believe Drayton does these things arbitrarily.  I think he does ask people if it is worth it.  Then it becomes a matter of a) What do they think and b) Does Drayton trust what they tell him.

And having better and more picks certainly will help any draft.

201
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Just how BAD is the Astros Farm?
« on: February 12, 2008, 04:57:19 pm »
Me too, seems more than one of us here came up with the same idea around the same time.  I was researching and writing when the other one popped up.

202
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Just how BAD is the Astros Farm?
« on: February 12, 2008, 03:56:57 pm »
Ok, this is not meant to be real exhaustive, but looking at the people currently projected in some way on the 25-man roster for the Astros:

1B: Lance Berkman - Drafted by Houston
2B: Kaz Matsui - Signed FA
3B: Ty Wigginton - Traded Dan Wheeler
SS: Miguel Tejada - Traded Package B
LF: Carlos Lee - Signed FA
CF: Michael Bourn - Traded Package A
RF: Hunter Pence - Drafted by Houston
C: J.R. Towles - Drafted by Houston

Bench:
Brad Ausmus - Been with team since 2001 for 2nd tour.  Acquire via trade both times.
Mark Loretta - Signed with team as FA
Darin Erstad - Signed with team as FA
Geoff Blum - Signed with team as FA

Starters:
Roy Oswalt - Drafted by Houston
Brandon Backe - Traded Geoff Blum (irony, but Blum not Astros Farm product)
Wandy Rodriguez (signed by Houston as NDFA, so from Farm System)
Woody Williams - Signed with team as FA
Chris Sampson - Drafted by Houston

Bullpen:
Jose Valverde - Traded Burke (Astros Draftee), Gutierrez (Astros System, NDFA), Chad Qualls (Astros Draftee)
Oscar Villiareal - Traded Josh Anderson (Astros Draftee)
Geoff Geary - Traded Package A
Doug Brocail - Signed with team as FA
Mark McLemore - Drafted by Houston
Wesley Wright - Acquire via Rule 5 Draft

Package A: Brad Lidge (drafted by Houston), Eric Bruntlett (drafted by Houston)

Package B: Troy Patton (Drafted by Houston), Luke Scott (acquired via trade for Jerome Robertson who was drafted by Houston), Matt Albers (Drafted by Houston), Dennis Sarfate (Waiver pick-up), Mike Costanzo (acquired via trade in Package A)

That leaves two roster spots open, a position player and a pitcher (bullpen/starter).

So of the 23 people I just listed, 6 were drafted by Houston and have only played in Houston. 7 were acquired via FA signing.  And the remaining 10 were acquired via trade.  Only 3 of those trades (adding in Ausmus) wasn't acquired by trading only (or almost only) players drafted by Houston, thus in my book they were still added because of the Farm System.

So that is 13 of the 23 that are direct results of players the Astros have drafted.  And of the remaining 10, 7 were FA add ons which is pretty common for bench/bullpen types which is where most of them are.

To me that means the farm system is doing its job of providing Major League talent to the Major League level.

The reason I got on this little side issue is the constant hammering the club has been taking recently over the poor state of the farm system, yet last year it produced Hunter Pence and this year is producing J.R. Towles.  AND the talent provided the method through which they acquired Miguel Tejada, Michael Bourn, Jose Valverde, Geoff Geary and Oscar Villiareal.

That is quite a bit of talent given how "poor" the sytem is supposed to be, right?

203
Talk Zone / Re: BP NL Central preview up
« on: February 12, 2008, 03:00:44 pm »
if he can also play defense like Ausmus says he can, he'll be an All Star.
Just one more productive player out of that "crappy" farm system...

204
Talk Zone / Re: What's this I hear about Shawn Chacon?
« on: February 12, 2008, 02:05:47 pm »
Currently, the Astros' 3rd, 4th, and 5th spots are interchangable.
VERY true.  Adding Chacon isn't likely to change that fact was more my point.

205
Talk Zone / Re: BP NL Central preview up
« on: February 12, 2008, 02:01:32 pm »
couldn't you find anyone else to disagree with in your post?
Feeling left out?  I will see what I can do next time.

206
Talk Zone / Re: What's this I hear about Shawn Chacon?
« on: February 12, 2008, 01:59:07 pm »
Let's temper this a bit too with the comment that Chacon would prefer to stay with the Pirates but that he isn't good enough to win one of THEIR spots in the starting rotation.

So we are chasing a starting pitcher that isn't good enough to make the Pirates rotation.  Now, the Pirates rotation is better now than it has been in a long time, but still.  Should give you a perspective in what Chacon is being brought in for, namely to compete for the 5th spot, not the 2nd spot.

207
Talk Zone / Re: BP NL Central preview up
« on: February 12, 2008, 01:50:32 pm »
See: Astros 1998, Houston as an example of what a good lineup that needs a good to great pitcher can do at the trading deadline.
I think his point here is that they don't have the trade chips to get that pitcher at the deadline.  (ie to compete with others who might be trying to land the same pitcher)

In a way the Astros hope the starters are "filler".  Fill 5-6 innings every night.  (Except Roy) The plan is to be up 6-4 in the 6th and trust the bullpen.  Instead of previous seasons, down 2-0 and hope to come back.  For me, this will take some getting used to.
The problem with this is that eventually the bullpen will be overworked at that pace.  Or at least that is the theory.  Actually the bullpen had 507 IP last year which is just over 3 IP per game.  And that was pretty close to ML average.  So maybe it isn't unreasonable if the starters do average 6 IP per start, but problems might occur if they slide too close to 5 IP/start instead.

Wow.  First preview not to mention the "Ed Wade was a failure in Philly!!!" angle.  Kudos for that if nothing else.  I also don't get why he's harping on the second-tier moves, especially when he's ignoring the possible resurgence of Backe.  Did no one else watch the 2005 playoffs?
I like Backe too and I have high expectations, however he has yet to really pitch a full season without some type of significant injury (or recovery from).  Also the 2005 playoffs could be written off as just a hot streak and not the norm.  I think it does show what he is capable of, so that is why I am hopeful too.  Plus I think it would be the perfect story if he can rise to that level on a consistent basis.  But I understand skepticism on this area as well.

The truth is, the Astros have a many more questions than solid answers right now.  If they all work out right, this team could win 100 games, IMO.  Rarely does the perfect storm hit though.  So given the expectation of issues to occur, I would guess it more realistic to put them at 85 wins with a +/- of 15 games depending on how things do or don't work out.  There are teams in the NL Central with (at least at this point) more certainty than the Astros, thus writers find it easy to dismiss what could be for the Astros, and remain skeptical.

208
There has to be more than this to convict Clemens of whatever it is you and others want to pin on him.  Do I believe he's a saint?  No.  Do I believe he probably took steroids?  Yes.  Do I believe the case is real strong against him?  No.  Do I believe Clemens deserves to be dragged through the mud?  No.  Do I believe much of this Clemens brought upon himself because his ego wouldn't let him stay above this fray?  Yes.  Do I believe McNamee is credible?  No.
I agree close to 100% with everything you say here.  But I think the last question is built into the question about the strength of the case question.  The last question should have been, "Do I believe McNamee is telling the truth about him and Clemens and HGH?"  And to that one, I would answer yes, I believe McNamee did inject Clemens with HGH/Steroids.

But I also believe I would like to see this whole story just go away.  It is already pretty well established that players used Steroids and HGH.  This doesn't make it right, but at this point there isn't anything you can do to go back and change that.  Now you can keep them from getting new accolades (like the HOF) and such, but address that when it comes up.  They (the media) is already addressing that with McGwire.  So as long as MLB and the MLBPA honestly try to rid their sport of this activity in the future, I am ok with closing this chapter in baseball history and moving on.

And I am tired of Congress trying to go beyond their reasonable authority to address this.  That is what the Feds job is, if needed.  Congress' job is to write the laws (at least at their level).  It is someone else's job to enforce them.  If they really want to get involved, they ought to try to figure out why their Justice department failed to do something (or more) about the illegal steroid use, rather than figure out who was illegally using.

209
Talk Zone / Re: Bedard to Mariners
« on: February 08, 2008, 03:02:35 pm »
Don't forget that Bedard is under club control for 2 seasons (vs. one for Santana) and will be cheaper for the first season and probably the 2nd as well.  That adds value to Bedard.
True, but Santanna has a MUCH better track record of success.  Bedard basically broke through last year.  Santanna has been doing his best "Best Pitcher in Baseball" trick for 3+ years.

But I do understand where you are comming from, still think Minn got the short end of the stick.  But from what I have heard that is more because they got too greedy, and should have taken some of the earlier offers.  If you believe the rumor the Red Sox had at one time the best offer on the table, but pulled it off because the Twins asked for more.

210
But, the only context in which McNamee mentions Clemens is in the Mitchell investigation.  Here's where we're getting confused, the stories are saying that McNamee gave the evidence to "the Justice Department’s BALCO investigators".  However, Clemens is not named as a defendant in the Balco case.  Nor is he named as a defendant in any other case, civil or criminal.  There is only one proceeding that has named Clemens as having taken peds, the Mitchell Investigation.  And McNamee was "asked" by the Justice Dept. investigators involved in the BALCO case to cooperate with the Mitchell investigation.  Not  the BALCO case
I think in the BALCO case they are after the distributors and since Clemens got is "stuff" from McNamee, he was in the other direction from where they were targeting.  AND he is not in the BALCO case because he got his "stuff" from McNamee (supposedly).  So while it may have come from BALCO originally, Clemens was not in dealings with them directly, and may not have even know they existed (although I doubt that a bit).

So what benefit would the Federal Prosecutors care about evidence of Clemens use, when they are focusing on the providers and NOT the users?  (which fits Mitchell's claims about where the Fed put their emphasis)  I think the "evidence" is being brought up because Clemens challenged the credibility of McNamee, which would damage his testimony in the BALCO case.  Thus McNamee gives up his winning chip because it was now important to both McNamee and the Feds.  Before it wasn't going to matter to what was then the Fed's focus.

At least that is my thought on why now and not before.  It is even possible the Feds knew about this evidence before, but didn't "encourage" McNamee to come forward with it, until it became necessary.  After all you don't want to bring too much attention to your witness (especially given his past).

211
Talk Zone / Re: Bedard to Mariners
« on: February 08, 2008, 02:46:30 pm »
For Adam Jones, a reliever, and three starting prospects.  Read all about it here.

The story ends with this amusing typo:
Now, that's some cost-cutting!
According to the "experts" Balt got more for Bedard than the Twins got for Santanna.  Not sure how you really rate that given the uncertain nature of prospects.  But I have heard that Jones is better than anything the Twins got, plus the potential in the other players as well. FWIW

212
Talk Zone / Re: Link to Astros songs
« on: February 08, 2008, 02:39:42 pm »
Does anyone have a link to any of the songs associated with the team?  (not the ones that the players come up to bat with)

Wasn't there a song called "Here Come the Astros?"

Thanks in advance.
It went something like this (pardon my bad singing):

Here come the Astros, Burning with Desire!
Here come the Astros, Breathing Orange Fire!

You know I don't recall anything else about it... other than it was the theme around the time of the rainbow gut, IIRC.

213
Talk Zone / Re: ESPN releases Astros season preview
« on: February 08, 2008, 01:36:02 pm »
Karabell is what he is, and that is a Fantasy Baseball guy.  But like has been said by others, he doesn't hide that fact in his article.

I found it told you exactly what you "need" to know about the Astros from a fantasy baseball perspective.  He also showed much more insight than writers who are supposed to be talking about "REAL" baseball, when he points out the misconception about MMP being a hitters park.  I think he did emphasis that it is better for HRs than it is for runs scoring comparatively to other home parks, but in general is not the "hitters park" everyone labeled it as (and can't stop thinking of it as).

So to be honest, as far as fantasy baseball articles go, I thought it among the best analysis you might read.  But it should NEVER be considered beyond the fantasy baseball area for actual information.  But then, I get the impression, Karabell would agree with that point.

ETA: but then that is why (fantacrap) I chose not to post the article yesterday when I read it.

214
Talk Zone / Re: Look out, Roger
« on: February 07, 2008, 08:51:52 am »
Being from Alabama, Howell Helfin was always viewed as a good man.  He stayed in office too long however and became an embarrassment towards the end. 
Doesn't that describe most of congress?  I still believe that in most cases the first time elected people (irrelevant of affiliation) are there to "make a difference" and by the time they are up for re-election they have been "corrupted" into one of "them".

Goes along with something I was taught.  You become who or what you associate with, eventually.  So the more you hang around corrupt people the more corrupt you will become.

215
Talk Zone / Re: Magazine article
« on: February 06, 2008, 05:04:40 pm »
Sure hope this doesn't mean you are outgrowing us now.

Pretty soon they might ask YOU to be on "The Sports Reporters" or sump'n like dat.

216
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: But wait, there's more
« on: February 05, 2008, 09:06:10 am »
FWIW, the same transaction page has Mike Gallo signing with the Blue Jays.
Man it must be nice to be left-handed!

217
On the otherhand, Ortiz could have just left it out or forgotten to ask.

What's interesting to me is that although we wrote about a lack of talent, particularly at the higher levels and those with high end talent, there is talent in the system. And Ortiz highlights a few of them.  Some need to show development (most of our top 20), like those Ortiz listed, but most are just plain raw.
Oh course if some of those in the top 20 (on this site) do actually show development, that evaluation of who is "high end talent" might change as well.

218
Talk Zone / Re: denying work visas
« on: February 04, 2008, 01:08:11 pm »
Any player here would be subject to due process.  Any player out of the U.S. could have their re-entry blocked because of allegations.  Entry to the U.S. by non-citizens is a privilege granted at the pleasure of the U.S., not a right.

Having said that, I suspect that the chances of Tejada being barred from returning this year are pretty much zero.  If this thing snowballs, however, and he's formally busted, then he's got a big problem.
What are the US laws for people (like ballplayers) who come in on work Visas and return back to their home country?  Specifically say in the area of steroids.  They are illegal to purchase and use here without a prescription, but if you buy and use them outside of the country, that shouldn't matter to the government, right?

It is not like their use outside of the US is a threat to the US when they come into the US, right?  So while they can deny access to anyone they want, would this reasoning fly?  "We denied his work Visa because we discovered he did something in his country that they don't consider illegal, but we do."

I am not talking something like murder or anything like that, but more along the Steroid use level.

I know it is outside of the scope, because supposedly Tejada bought and used them while in the US.  Just wondering.

219
Talk Zone / Re: Talk about struggling to say something positive...
« on: February 04, 2008, 11:27:06 am »
Just my opinion based on late last year's observation, plus what I've heard from scouts...but count me in the "Towle's defense is mediocre" camp.
I guess is all depends on what you consider important for catcher defense.  From all I have heard about him (having not seen him anymore than most of you), he is very good at calling a game (or at least projects to be good at that), he works well with pitchers and his blocking is just above average (with signs of improvement) but that his throwing is average at best.  I have heard multiple reasons for this (as the scouts don't seem to agree which is the reason for it).

So it seems like he projects to be very similar to Ausmus in defense, although Brad has refined his non-throwing skills much much more, so Towles needs to learn Brad's dedication.  From what I have heard, Towles does seem to want to improve, so that is also a good sign.

People need to realize that Towles has really good potential, but he is making some serious jumps in levels that might result in some learning curve issues during this year.  But I think the hope is that with Brad there to mentor him, hopefully he can help Towles adjust more quickly.  Much will depend on Towles, and specifically his attitude this whole season.  If he shows the attitude he showed in 07, things will go great for him... if he shows the attitude he showed in 06... there might be some real rough spots.

As for his hitting, I don't care how much "pop" he has as long as he is not counted on for that.  If you are not hitting in a "power" spot, I would be willing to sacrifice power for BA/contact.  But as a catcher the first priority should always be about his defense.  If he does that well, I will accept whatever offense he can provide.

220
Talk Zone / Re: Talk about struggling to say something positive...
« on: January 31, 2008, 05:35:59 pm »
But that not only goes for Towles but for Pence as well.  I wouldn't feed that guy any fastballs, even those away.  Slider, slider, slider, down and away seems to be his achilles heel.  I suspect Pence will struggle until he adjust and forces guys into hitters counts.  Same will have to hold true for Towles.
I think it also helped a bunch that he was hitting in front of Berkman and Lee.  The 2 spot in the Astros line-up seems the ideal slot for a fastball hitter like Pence.

The team keeps parroting that the line-up will be Bourn, Matsui, then mashers.  But I wonder given Pence's plate approach if it wouldn't be better having him hit 2nd, if they don't have him hitting 3rd..... but then we hammered that one pretty good last time.

221
Talk Zone / Re: We're dooooooomed!
« on: January 31, 2008, 05:32:07 pm »
True, good catch.  Still, the idea that Houston has had a horrid farm systems for many years seems to be contradicted by this statistically based opinion.
Not only was it last Feb, but it was based on 2006 stats, which means Hirsh and Buchholz also added to the numbers.

So tons has occured over the last 12 months to cause this to be way off.

I still find it tough to believe the Astros system was near the top 1/3 even prior to the Jennings trade.  But then given I would have rated it about average and that is 16th or so, I guess it is possible some statistical rankings could make it look better.

But the draft last year, combined with some less than expected improvements in players as well as the mass trade off of most of the top talent, I would say that would plummet the rankings if (when) it is done this year.

222
Talk Zone / Re: We're dooooooomed!
« on: January 31, 2008, 04:32:49 pm »
How serious of a rebuilding of the farm system?

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/ranking-organizations/
That is the first one in a long time that rated the Astros THAT high.

Even as a fan, I find it hard to believe it ranked that high.

223
Talk Zone / Re: We're dooooooomed!
« on: January 31, 2008, 03:06:56 pm »
I also love how the bag on Lee.  Always talking about this massive decline he is about to experience.  Correct me if I am wrong, but wasn't he rated by Elias as the 3rd best OFer in the NL?

And Berkman had a massively cold start to the year, but after that he hit pretty close to normal.  Not to mention that Tejada will now have tons of protection in the line-up (assuming he isn't behind all 3 of the others) compared to previous years so you would think he is in position to have a slight up-tick in production.... but I guess they all want to jump on the bandwagon that the Astros will be terrible don't they?

Seems really silly.  And the comments on the farm system seem to ignore how bad the farm was anyway, so it is not like it is THAT much worse than last year.  If they went from something like the Dodger's level to their level, now THAT would be significant, but to go from the 24 ranked system (or what ever it was) to the 31st... big deal!

The team was going to have to do some serious rebuilding of the farm system in either case.  At least now the ML club isn't in as much need as it was before.  That means they won't (in theory) need the far system as quickly, so they have time to "re-build" it.

MAN do I have superfical viewing of things.

224
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: ESPN top 100
« on: January 31, 2008, 02:17:15 pm »
I say he was pretty hard on Towles, but pretty fair on Paulino.

At least it appears he is showing more insight than most of the other "rankings" we have seen.

225
Talk Zone / Re: Santana a Met
« on: January 30, 2008, 02:30:32 pm »
Interesting.  On the flipside, who owns the greatest comeback...?
Depends on when you start the clock.  With 20 games left, 50 games left, 100 games left....  biggest deficit ever made up from any point?

See my point?

226
[hijack]
That's actualy one of the interesting issues to be decided in ST this year (IMO) ...

If Q takes an assignment to AAA, you basically have House/Quintero at RR, leaving Santangelo/??? at CC.  I figure "???" would probably be Mackor and/or Lopez.  (Mackor appears to me to be on the Danny Fatheree, Chris Tremie route to coaching, and Lopex continues to hang on without much future that I can see.)

So assuming that Clemens learns enough about catching to get a shot when the season opens, that leaves him, Sapp & perrenial non-prospect Justin Tellam to fight for time at Salem.  If Q opts for free agency, we might see a Mcakor/Lopez/Tellam trio at CC (which would set few offensive records and probably some pretty offensive defensive ones), but other than that, one of them goes back to Lexington.

My guess is that Tellam is the odd man out; perhaps to split time in Lexington with Pestana and/or Iacono (now that Ralphie has left the building).  Of course, it may just be the end of the line for Justin.  I really don't know much about the SS guys from last year, though. 
[/hijack] with appropriate apologies.

Sometimes the level of depth with which you analyze things like which catcher will be at which level and why makes me go....

"You guys need some help!  This is a serious illness you suffer from!"

But then I think... if they are doing this you don't have too, as well... and then I go

Thank you!

so

Thank you!

227
Explain to me how my player opinions are wrong?  
I don't think anyone is claiming your opinions are wrong, just the way you give them leads other to think there isn't much thought behind them.  But I will try to help out as best as I can.  So...

Right so basically you are saying is that we purged our minor league system in order to make the major league team better. Let me ask you how well you think that is going to work out? We traded some of our top prospects for a on the decline Major League ss who cannot take steroids anymore who might be jail by midseason?
This is a true statement.  The team DID purge the minor league system in oder to make the major league team better.  Now you can think that it was a bad move, and that would be your opinion, but that was widely discussed:
in this mammoth thread: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=104551.0
And here: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=104601.0
and way back here: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=104298.0

So this is a well discussed topic, but tons of reading to follow it all.  The mammoth thread is probably the best to deal with your specific issue, since it was the last one and the last bits of the farm were sent in that one, thus causing the discussions.

The team was horrible last year  this farm system is a product of horrible talent evaluators and the lack of spending money in the draft, Case in point the top pick 2 years ago and the second round pickin 05. Henriquez was traded for a minor league lefty retread and Sapp is going to eat himself back to florida.You can afford to misjudge 6th and 7th round picks not 1st and 2nd rounders.You do not justget rid of your whole scouting department, and minor league coordinators if they are doing a bang up job
Ok, I don't see much to support your opinion that the Astros have "horrible talent evaluators" other than the team was horrible last year.  I am not sure if you are referring to the Major league club, which wouldn't make much sense considering the "talent evaluators" tend to affect the minor league system (based on who they draft) more than the major league club (which was made up of mostly FA or trade acquisitions).  And then your references were to minor league players, so let's address those. 
The Ralph Henriquez thing was discussed in this thread: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=104593.0
And basically you get the impression the club probably would have just cut him lose if they couldn't get something for him, based on what they DID receive.  But if you look at his production and the comments scouts and coaches were making about him.  He wasn't developing at all, and in some areas was showing himself to be uncoachable because he wanted his father's approval on everything.  Now, maybe he will turn things around, I know I certainly hope he will because I want everyone the Astros have dealt with to be successful.  But he (Ralph) will have to change to make that happen.
And the Sapp comment showed no insight at all.  I am guessing you read an article somewhere that he was having weight issues.  If this was causing a problem with his development, I assure you the club has addressed this.  They want all of their players to develop.  So if they find something as simple as a weight issue, I am sure they will address it with the player.  It is then up to the player at that point to make the change.  And the comment you made seemed very superficial on the whole.  Had you had something like a recent article about someone asking him about it, or a Astros staffer making a comment on it, I am not sure the relevance of this, not to mention, I doubt he is in the top 10 prospects at this point.  Not everyone's top picks always pan out.  You have to look at the draft as a whole and right now that draft has: a 2nd and 6th rounder doing very well, a 4th, 6th 7th and 8th rounder showing lots of promise.  And that was the 06 draft which means most of them still have a few more years to show something (including Sapp, who is still only going to be 20 in about a month).
As for the lack of money spent has been talked about here (mostly near the end): http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=102446.0

Does anyone think that JR Towles and Hunter Pence are going to win the division. Pence is a good player who has the chance to be an all star. Towles was not even on Houstons radar until Santangelo went down for drugs.
Again, not sure the insight you are trying to provide here.  But yes, I expect the Astros to compete for and hopfully win the NL Central this year with JR Towles and Pence starting for the Astros.  Although I think I am counting on more from people like Berkman, Lee and Tejada than those 2, and certainly more than Towles.  Towles is still very young.  And yes he was on Houston's radar even prior to Santagelo testing positive.  Towles was rated by several sites (not this one) as the top prospect Houston had.  Now, you can argue if that ranking was justified or not, but I am guessing if everyone else thought that much of JR, the Astros "had him on their radar".  Santangelo had just shown more to that point than JR, mostly because of some attitude issues in 06 by JR.  Some of that was comment on in this tread: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=97655.0

So this comment was one that drew some specific references to you not knowing what you were talking about, and the read-more-post-less comment.  There are many comments about JR to be found over the last couple of years around this site.  Sure Lou's suspension helped JR to climb the ladder faster, but it was JR's production and attitude that really made the difference because an opportunity doesn't mean success.  JR took advantage and made it happen.  Otherwise you can be pretty sure Ausmus would be the primary catcher for 08, because the Astros wouldn't have had any better options.  Now they do (or they hope they do).

My qoute was in reference to having a minor league system that is in shambles having players who would not be in other organizations top 50 in their top 30? Until the Astros start building from within which requires good scouts and the willingness to spend money in the draft. They are going to just keep trying to patch the holes to make the playoffs.
Honestly at the end of the day, what is the GM's job?  It is to build the best team he can to try to win a World Series, right?  Well not 1 minor league player helps the team do that.  They only help the team do that when they either become a major league player, or are used (as trade fodder) to acquire a major league player.  And even then it is questionable if that move (promotion or trade) actually made the impact.  And right now the current GM had no control over what the Astros system was prior to arriving.  Now he did do what could easily be referred to as "clean house" in the minor league system.  But there isn't one prospect that you can say will be a sure fire All-Star.  Patton looks like was the best thing the Astros have given up and he looked like a solid lefty starter, but probably not an ace.  So it isn't like he gave away future Lance Berkman or Roy Oswalt's.  And what makes you think the Astros don't have good scouts?  Because they had a bad 07 draft?  Drafts are a crap shoot at best anyway.  The Astros have had their share of bad drafts (99 and 02), even when they were considered one of the best minor league systems: see this thread: http://www.orangewhoopass.com/forums/index.php?topic=102426.0

So just because you have a bad draft doesn't mean the scouts are bad. 

And finally to reference the patching holes comment, this team has been doing that approach since about 98.  Oddly enough this is also when they starting winning consistently. It is not really all that uncommon that once you break threw into being an annual thread to win divisions and challenge for the World Series, that you (as a team) do what you can to maintain that as long as you can.  And often this results in a big crash at some point.  Thankfully the Astros crash (at least to this point) has been mostly only on the minor league level as the team has still been competitive in most years, recently.  Now you can brush that off that they are in a weak division, which they are, but they also are considered to be one of the favorites in 08 to win the division, and once you get to the playoffs anything can happen (both good and bad).  Look, who thought Colorado was going to make it to the World Series last year?  And guess what, they are not favored to win their division this year either.  So the Astros organization has been trading away potential future capital to win now.  Sometimes that works, sometimes that doesn't.  But my guess is that the people running the team know more about what is best than you or I do.  It is their job after all.  And I am sure they are much like you and I.  They would prefer to keep theirs than lose it.  And if they don't win, they don't keep it.  So they are going to do what they think is best for this team to win, and in order to keep it longer than a year, they had better do what is best to keep the team winning too. 

Normally that means making your farm system produce.  Right now that weak system has produced 3.5 new opening day starters.  Bourn, Pence and Tejada.  I gave Towles .5 because he will be the primary catcher, but Ausmus will be the opening day starer (because Oswalt is pitching).  So that isn't too bad, given the farm system was ranked really low even prior to the mass trade exodus that Wade threw down this offseason.  And it is his job to re-stock it so if needed, he can do it again!

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But, in the last 10 years the Astros have been one of the premier teams in the NL.  Expected to win every year.  And the only two players they've brought up from the minors who have had sustained success has been Oswalt and Berkman.  Lidge comes closest out of the Hidalgo, Lane, Ensberg group.  Injuries brought down their pitching prospects. Their best successes have come through trade or free agent.
No arguement there, but when comparing prospects (which is mostly based on hype and minor league numbers which are only slightly less hollow than minor league hype), the Astros have been rated pretty low for the past 5 or 6 years... ever since they rose up to something like top 5 or 10 (I forget what it was) they have drooped into the 20s or worse and seem to be falling each year.

So typically you can get more out of your systems (via trades or promotions) if you have a better system.  This isn't always the case, but I would guess it is more common.  The Astros also had a strong core to start with for the past 10 or so years.  But now that Bagwell and Biggio have retired, most of that core has either retired (or is about to) or has moved on via FA.  So now the team was needing things to back-fill into those holes and found that they system didn't have what they needed, or they made choices that cost them.

This year the team had to trade for Bourn, because they traded Taveras away last year in the holes of filling the Pettitte/Clemens loses, which at the time seemed bigger than the hole of losing Taveras.  Now they are missing all 3 spots (CF and 2 starters) and the team traded to fill that one.  Each time they had to give up something to get something, eventually you find yourself with more holes... UNLESS you have been having success in the minor league system to back-fill those holes.  Well the Astros had a couple of terrible drafts in the last few years under The Hun, but 05 and 06 gave everyone hope that maybe that was changing... then 07 happened and it made the 03 and 04 drafts look better, but that didn't actually MAKE them better.  So that was a severe step back, but most of the damage to the 07 draft was done via lost picks from FA signings and some High School picks that turned sour due to unreasonable demands.  Sure Drayton could have opened the wallet and paid $1 for $.50 of product, but he chose to stand firm.  You can argue if that was a good choice or not, but since that was already done, I fail to see the benefit in that discussion.

The results are the same though.  The Short-season clubs stunk!  And actually took all the feelings of improvement we thought the minor league system was going to experience and threw a monkey wrench in it.  But if the 08 draft turns out as good as the 05 and 06 drafts looked, then maybe it is something that can be overcome, but at present the 07 draft is looking like it might be as bad as the 02 draft... and I think someone did a really good write up on this site about how bad that one was.

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Wow you think obviously that because you post more you guys have a better common knowledge than someone who does not . Lets see lets go over the studs that the Astros have turned out or lets say traded over the last three years that like you say abound through other minor league systems. Josh Anderson , if he was so good why did they trade him for a average reliever lets see how his speed plays up when he cant get on base for the Braves.Brooks Conrad lol that is all I need to say. We waived jimmy b because he was such a great prospect. Costanzo was not even from our system. Patton all of a sudden went from future ace to number 3 starter at best, and that leaves me with Albers another 3 or 4 at best. Jason Hirsch is also well on his way to becoming a 500 pitcher. I just posted what I thought about the system. You guys need to be objective and not be so fast as to make fun off what other people post. Maybe you guys should put down the cheetos and spend some time with your wife and kids instead of posting 9,000 times.  this is what i posted in response to his post that we traded away our stellar minor league system.  It just did not register as a response and posted on its own.  Im not the one who made personal attacks i never demeaned anyone to read more and post less like what was said to me. Then say i should do my research and maybe that will keep me busy from posting and bothering the more informed members of this blog. Sorry i thought that is what a blog is all about, and if anyone thinks those are personal attacks maybe they should get a sense of humor .
ok, no name calling here.

First, try to format your stuff more, it is very hard to read and understand what you are really saying.

Second, Bob's response (which I am guessing what set you off) was basically a tirade on how the Astros have traded away all their prospects, and the ones they still have you insulted in some way or another.  Now, I think that is what got Bob's ire up.

There are a couple of reasons for this causing issues with people around here.  The primary being that is has already been talked about in other threads.  And in those threads it was agreed that the team was basically mortgaging the future for the next couple of years production.  Now, you can agree or disagree with that rationality, but in most cases around here, we have learned to try to move forward since we have no control over what they actually do.  So we try to come up with answers to the "what do they do now?", with respect to the minor league system.  We also try to understand why these moves were made.  This is better than ranting about how stupid they are in the GM's office.  And certainly more productive use of time.

The other main reason that your comments cause issue, is because you are bashing members of the Astros' organization.  We are all for being honest about the players, but generic bashing is not well received.  We have no idea what your background is, therefore you come across as no better than the sports radio call in people who generally have no clue about what is really going on, and just pull crap out of their "ass" and form opinions from it.  Now you might be really smart and knowledgeable about the club and their minor league system.  We certainly have quite a few of those around here, even some with personal knowledge of inside stuff with the club as well as local people to the minor league clubs who even personally know the players.  But if you have this level of knowledge or insight, you lose all credibility by making sweeping comments like you did to Bob.  It was a rant that is typically associated with Sports radio call in types, who think the Astros should have traded Chris Burke and Brad Lidge for Erik Bedard.

I am not saying you ARE that type of person, but your response (based our lack of anything else to go on) would put you in that group.  Just the way things work in the world.  You come into a group a strangers, all they have to go on is our first impressions.  honestly the opening post was very good, or at least informative in that it wasn't posted previously.  So you had the chance to seamlessly join others in good discussions about the system.  This group here isn't quite as hostile as the main board, but they don't tolerate unfounded comments well, because most of them take the Astros minor league system, VERY seriously.  Many of them have been following the minor league system more than the major league club for many years.  They have done so with such passion that they have even made contacts with players and Astros staff to the point were they actually get information that never is talked about in the media.  So you might do well to follow the advise of reading more and posting less... and if not, at least give them the same level of respect you, yourself seem to be asking.  You will find this group much more willing to do the same in return than other message boards, if you only do that.

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Thank god for the Texans oh wait we are screwed with them too
Ok, Look I have seen lots of misguided people on this site, but this last comment gets you a definite "Troll" stamp.

I mean, where did this one come from?  Bashing the Texans here, screams that you are just looking to stir stuff up.  The funny thing is, most of the serious posters (at least on this area of the Forum) don't give a rat's butt about the Texans, except as off season distractions.

As for the Astros system.  It has been terrible for the last several years.  Nobody here is arguing that.  To go off on the list of top 30 prospect when in the past 2 off seasons the team has traded away basically around 10 or so of the top prospects the team has.  Now, as I stated before the system was pretty crappy before the trades, so these top prospects from the Astros system may not amount to much when compared to say the Dodgers or Diamondbacks, but it is all relative.  They WERE some of the best the Astros had.  PERIOD.

Now the problem is back to the days when "The Hun" was the GM.  Sure he did alot of good the the organization, but he left them with crap.  Timmy, got screwed by that and his lack of public image ability.  Now Wade is trying to step in and basically re-build it all from scratch.  That will take at least 5 yrs.  Maybe more.

And yet, even with all that, he still did manage to land a starting CFer who just might turn out to be exactly what the team needs (or he could bust like Jennings did).  AND he landed Tejada, who with all the other crap swirling around him is still a pretty darn nice player.  Now he isn't what he once was defensively, and maybe there is something to all the steroid talk about him, but he did produce decent numbers last year.  So because the club couldn't find anyone willing to part with decent starting pitching for less than a King's ransom, our new GM did the best he could to make the major league club better.

The Minor League clubs pay the price for that, but then, that is their role.  Hopefully they will be allowed to re-build with better talent than they were able to grab last year, but then last year they lost their top 2 picks to FA signings, and 2 more to stupid choices (in this fan's opinion) by the players they drafted.  So last year's draft class was doomed, not matter what they other guys did.  The honest truth was the draft in 06 was looking pretty good, as was the 05 one.  But that was still full of alot of speculation, as is ALWAYS the case with young players. 

Right now the team is improving its long term minor league system.  And while the levels (AA and AAA) are looking pretty bare, and the 07 draft didn't give much new talent, there is still quite a bit at the two A level clubs that might turn into something.  And you only need one or two to really bloom, to make an impact on the ML club.

And ultimately that is all that matters the the Astros organization.  Can they get new talent in when they need it.  Well they added a starter SS, CF, C and RF to last year's opening day roster all from their farm system.  (trades and promotions)

Name another team that did that, and has the same expectations as the Astros (which at worst is to compete for a division title)? 

So quit acting like a Troll, or if you are indeed a troll, just go away.

231
Talk Zone / Re: Want to own your very own minor league pitcher?
« on: January 28, 2008, 09:58:24 am »
He would have to make $62.5 Million in his career for you to make $1000.

Heck he would have to make $1.25 Million in his career for you to break even on the investment of $20.

232
Talk Zone / Re: NYCU - Ryan talking to Rangers
« on: January 28, 2008, 09:51:32 am »
I would also wonder about how that would work, if RR changed to the Rangers.  CC isn't going to change because it is already AA, and Frisco is Texas' AA affiliate, and I can't see any reason why that would change.

So I figure that is not an issue in any way (RR or CC changing to Rangers).

I think if Ryan leaves for Pres post in Arlington, about the only effect on the Astros would be PR issues.

I do question why Nolan would want to make that move though.  Has he expressed interest in being "more" in baseball than what he is right now?  Not even sure President of the Rangers would be more, as well.

But then everyone has different views.

233
Talk Zone / Re: BFiB? Only when they win.
« on: January 25, 2008, 02:20:17 pm »
I refuse to put Pete Rose's sausage into my mouth.
I am sure the rest of your post was enlightening, but I couldn't get past this part.

NTTAWWT

234
Talk Zone / Re: Ringolsby says the Mets are about to sign Livan Hernandez
« on: January 25, 2008, 02:13:28 pm »
Coop may have to resort to giving you those innings.
If very many starters get hurt, I am not sure it is much worse than the alternatives...

235
Talk Zone / Re: Rocket mulling Astros invite to elite camp?
« on: January 25, 2008, 09:43:26 am »
You mean he's not doing it out of a love for the game, comraderie, and to pass along his infinite wisdom?  Color me surprised!
Don't get me wrong, I still think he is an arrogant ass, but I do think Roger likes to help other pitchers improve.

I think it is just another way he strokes his ego, but I do think that is genuine about him.  If you are open to listening to his advice, I think he likes trying to "pass along his pitching wisdom".

236
Talk Zone / Re: Hunter Pence on the Caravan
« on: January 25, 2008, 09:20:59 am »

You were clear, and I thought I was too.  By age 9 I would not have fit in a booster.  Had that law been in affect when I was a kid, I would have the choice of doubling over trying to fit into a booster seat or breaking the law.  Booster seats are great for kids under certain heights and weights, but the required use of them should be based on that, not strictly age.
I totally agree.  All of it should be based on height, but for most parents the age thing is easier to remember.  I would imagine it is also easier for officers to determine age numbers because the parent would be able to provide that information easily when asked, than they would if checking height.  This would make the law easier to enforce with age requirements than height.

Often times parents are unsure of their children's height and weight.  I know I only really learn that information for sure when they have a check-up or doctor's visit.

The booster seat thing is only precautionary to ensure the shoulder seatbelts are able to be worn properly, if you are tall enough to wear them without them comming across your neck, then you should be fine without a car seat.

The same thing about air-bags.  Because air-bags are done on a standard basis for any particular make/model, they are designed for a "standard" sized person.  I also think with air bags it is one of those things where the potential for negative side-effects is greater when under than standard size than over.  So it is definitely something shorter people have to deal with as well.  So it is not restricted just to children, but ANYONE under a certain height.  And that height, I would guess could vary depending on the make/model of the car that it is installed in.

237
Talk Zone / Re: Jeremy Affledt, too pricey?
« on: January 25, 2008, 09:01:32 am »
Eh.  That's what the Void is for, right?

Jerry C over at ESPN breaks down some of the availables, and once again mentions the Astros with regard to Hernandez and Benson.  The point is made that Benson's infamous 70 mph workout was not at full health or effort.

If he's healthier than that workout implied, then Benson's ceiling could be higher than Hernandez's in terms of effectiveness.  But in terms of IP and durability, I'd take Hernandez every day and twice on Sundays.
Well if you are talking about ceilings, than I think it a no brainer that Benson's ceiling is higher than Hernandez.  But the fact that it is alot more iffy because while Hernandez is getting old (and fat), he is not coming back from an injury.  Any time a player is coming back from injury there is a high risk attached.  Sometimes it pays off, most times it doesn't.

As for Benson's workout, I think while he was not at full health, I would imagine he was giving full effort.  This was his one major demonstration to teams that he was worth signing and taking on the risk as he comes back from injury.  The better he does during it, the better his options are both with choice of teams and contracts.  So while he wasn't able to show he was fully healthy and do all that you would want a pitcher to be able to do, I doubt his effort was not 100%.   If it were (or that was the perception) it would torpedo any offer he might get because who wants a guy coming back from serious surgery who isn't giving full effort?  See my point?

At this point in the whole "who is going to start for the Astros" debate, I am now leaning toward the "they are not going to add anyone else" side than any other.  This is all in respect to when they open Spring Training.

238
Talk Zone / Re: Paulino's heat registered at 102
« on: January 25, 2008, 08:52:01 am »
I always like to hear how other teams think our players did more than our own organization does. (in this type of area, that is)

To me this adds some more validity to what is said about them, than it would if say our organization said he threw 102 and other teams thought he only threw 100.

239
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ralph Henriquez
« on: January 24, 2008, 09:18:16 am »
This is the most significant part to me:
I totally agree.  Which would explain why he has (based on his draft spot) been such a bust so far.

But still if you are trading for a guy who went undrafted but was signed in the same year as the guy you are giving up who was drafted in the 2nd round... That says alot, especially when you are just 3 seasons removed from when you drafted him.

Given he was taken out of HS, that isn't really THAT long.  He is still around 21, and catchers often take longer to develop than any other position... I think it says a TON about what the organization thought of him, beyond baseball skills, IMO.

240
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ralph Henriquez
« on: January 23, 2008, 04:16:22 pm »
WOW!  Talk about looking for addition by subtraction.  They got a virtual nothing for a 2nd round pick.  Granted he might have been nothing himself in the end, but still...

241
Talk Zone / Re: Hunter Pence on the Caravan
« on: January 23, 2008, 01:41:42 pm »
Can't tell you how much it drives me nuts to not just see kids riding in the front see, but seeing young children not in car seats, or even buckled in but crawling around in the car.

I know I grew up in times when this was more the norm, but today, it makes me really sick to think about it.

242
Talk Zone / Re: NL rotations ranked
« on: January 23, 2008, 08:46:00 am »
Now they have added the outfields

Astros in at #5 behind Rockies, Cubs, Dbacks & Mets.
I find it interesting that the Cubs are ranked 2nd, and yet Soriano is ranked after Lee on the individual ranking in the same article.

So basically he is saying that Pie and Fukudome (man that is hard to type right) are that much better than Bourn and Pence.  See I think Bourn has shown more in the majors than Pie (but Pie has the bigger hype), and Fukudome has done nothing in the majors (yet) and Pence was pretty good in his one partial season so far.

See this is what I hate about these things.  What basis other than hype is there to rate the Cubs that high?  They have one proven player (Soriano) who is not even rated as high as the Astros best OFer.  AND it seems heavily favored to offensive production too.

I have lots of issues with this list.  About the only thing I can agree with him on is who he has #1.

243
Talk Zone / Re: What's left
« on: January 22, 2008, 02:47:37 pm »

What are the ramifications of signing a type B? I was under the impression you lose a draft pick just not a sandwich pick between the 1st and 2nd round.
The only impact is for the team that LOST the type B FA.  They acquire a Sandwich pick, which I guess does impact everyone else, because they all are moved down one spot for each Sandwich pick acquired.

The team the signs another team's type B loses nothing but the money they have to pay the player they signed.

244
Talk Zone / Re: From NYCU: Wiggy Miggy Suey Suet
« on: January 21, 2008, 02:21:03 pm »
For whatever reason?  Aren't those the 4 biggest media markets in the country?
I am sure that helps... but just because you are a big media market, does that mean the media people actually hale from there?  They are also the largest populations too, but then why is Houston, Atlanta, DFW type places more represented... doesn't seem many at all, even relationally.  Seems like it more of a 65/20/10/5 split where it is NY&Bos/Chicago/LA/other.

245
Talk Zone / Re: From NYCU: Wiggy Miggy Suey Suet
« on: January 21, 2008, 01:18:52 pm »
I have XM and generally like it.  However, they could do a lot better job with the MLB channels.  An inordinate amount of Yankee/Red Sox chatter combined with the Dibble/Kennedy afternoon show where the hosts expound each day that steroids have no effect on performance.
I have it too... unfortunately in my wife's car (whole alternate new cars thing)...  Anytime you broadcast nationally you get an inordinate amount of New York/Boston crap, because there are that many of them and most don't have anything better to do with their time than call into those stupid things.

That and for whatever reason most national broadcast times seem to originate from 3 places: NorthEast (New York/Boston mostly), Chicago and LA.

246
Talk Zone / Re: My favorite Sports Writer of the Day
« on: January 17, 2008, 03:16:26 pm »
Not using the Cubs as a benchmark, I'm saying if the rankers can rank the Cubs bullpen high, then it's just as legitimate to rank the Astros bullpen as the "best".
Don't get me wrong, I think the Astros will have a very good bullpen.  But rating best vs worst is always on some level subjective.  And doing it in JANUARY is HIGHLY subjective in most cases.

And my comment was directed to the writer of the article, not you.


247
Talk Zone / Re: My favorite Sports Writer of the Day
« on: January 17, 2008, 02:57:00 pm »
Don't care, today I like him.
Hey, you can blow sun-shine up my butt any time you want too, but don't be upset when I choose to take a dump on you.

248
Talk Zone / Re: Cubs sign Jon Lieber
« on: January 17, 2008, 10:36:12 am »
not Benson unless he adds about 20 mph.
Agreed.  I guess I am being highly naive, but it seems like Houston would be almost an ideal situation for some of the marginal starters who are still left on the scrap heap at this point.

I mean Houston looks to have a pretty stout line-up, and a pretty weak division to play in.  Seems like that would offer the best option for wins and a potental playoff run.

But I guess it just re-enforces the "no matter how much they CLAIM to want to play for a winner, they are only interested in who pays the most" designation of ballplayers.

249
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 17, 2008, 09:43:42 am »
...unlike the wheels of Justice.
The just fall off.... and then grind on the ground making it painful for everyone to listen too...

Oh wait, you were talking about "Big Dick" Justice, right?

250
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 17, 2008, 09:16:06 am »
The wheels of justice don't spin that quickly.
Even if they did, I would imagine Matsui would move to SS and someone else (Loretta or Blum) would end up at 2B instead.

251
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 15, 2008, 03:41:17 pm »
Sounds like Froback is on the stand...you on the juice Froback?
If you ever saw me there is no doubt.  Actually, I am going to forward that comment to my wife.  I bet I can hear he laughing when she reads it (30 miles away)!

I am 5'9 and 205 lbs of very out of shape human.  My wife and I chose to join a gym in the hopes of actually changing that about ourselves and the "free" trainer session they give you to try to sell you on it, caused me to hurt for almost a full week.  I could barely raise my arms into a shape like you would use for an old fasion dance frame without extreem pain for the first 2 days after it.

But I am just so tired of this story, I just want to stop hearing about it.

252
Talk Zone / Re: Astros issue press release
« on: January 15, 2008, 03:36:26 pm »
Why is the college season being delayed two weeks?
Really out there thought, but was the MLB draft moved to be later?  If so, maybe there is some correlation.

253
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 15, 2008, 01:55:04 pm »
I don't remember the specific "proof" against Tejada contained in the Mitchell Report (something about someone seeing him inject something and later heard him talk about steroids?), but I doubt there will be much traction to this "investigation." I doubt the DOJ takes Waxman's invitation very seriously.
I think some guy has receipts with Tejada's signature on it.  But no actual accounts of him using.

254
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 15, 2008, 01:53:35 pm »
Palmiero told flat out lies and they couldn't get it together enough to make a case.  Tejada's lawyer is going to introduce enough doubt to make this go away.
Can we get him to make the media buzz over this go away too.  I am seriously getting tired of the frenzy over what happend in the past.  You work on learning from it and making changes in the present to prepare for the future.  MLB is trying to do that.  Now you should let them try, and then check on them in 5-10 years and see how it is doing, and if needed improve it again.

But can we please stop trying to hunt down specific people when it is largely considered a majority of the players in some fasion or another used at least once?  Just let it go with the understanding that it was really an issue that SHOULD have been addressed LONG before it was.  Now that they ARE "supposedly" doing something about it, let them do and stop dumping on them.  It isn't helping the past any.  And I doubt it is helping the future at the point either.

Just seems like another media grab by politcians (like they need an excuse or another reason in an election year).

255
Talk Zone / Re: Justice Department to investigate Tejada
« on: January 15, 2008, 01:29:04 pm »
People need to learn to stop lying to the Feds.  I understand still can and probably will get leaked even if you try to keep it quiet, but the results of lying to them is often MUCH worse than anything that could happen by not.

Even if Tejada had said he used during a certain period, and it got leaked, all that happens is a PR hit and a potential loss of the Hall of Fame.  Seems like that would be preferred to Serious Cash and/or Jail time. 

Maybe that is just me...

I mean as a professional athlete, haven't you learned how to respond without actually answering questions yet?

256
Talk Zone / Re: Cards/Jays swap
« on: January 14, 2008, 02:16:00 pm »
I don't think it's the Void.  Keeping up with teams in the Central is what we do all the time.  And especially the Cardinals.
Ok, but is there really a difference at this point between Glaus and Rolen?  I think they are both about the same level of production, albeit in different areas as each other at this stage.  (Although I think Rolen had the potential to be more productive if he really is healthy this year).

257
Talk Zone / Re: Cards/Jays swap
« on: January 14, 2008, 02:08:53 pm »
Is it me, or does there seem to be a rash of posts around here about other teams signing or trading people the Astros either no longer or never had interest in acquiring?

I guess it just shows how bad the void is that the best topic choices are non-bb related or dealing with players NOT in the Astros organization.  (I tend to group Clemens in that 2nd part, even though he has the personal services contract)

258
Talk Zone / Re: Runelyvs Hernandez?
« on: January 14, 2008, 10:44:07 am »
Better than Milo inevitably calling him "Runny".
That might actually compete for Guti which drove my wife nuts everytime she heard it.  She still refers to it when hearing him do one of his nick-names today!

259
Talk Zone / Re: Jason Jennings A Ranger?
« on: January 11, 2008, 10:43:08 am »
Jennings vs. AL hitters... that is a scary thought.

Best of luck to him.
Jennings vs AL hitters in THAT ballpark, even worse.

Ever since the modified it to add some high-tone club to it, the place is a launching pad.  First couple of years it was pretty average as far as AL parks go.  Kind of the opposite of MMP, where it started out as a launching pad, and has become more league average.

260
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor league signings
« on: January 11, 2008, 10:33:55 am »
Also to be added to the 25-man roster you first have to be on the 40-man.  And there are options implications, waiver implications...
Just to go a step further on this point.  While it is not required (as was seen last season), being on the 40-man roster ussually indicates that you are MORE likely to be added to the 25-man roster should a need at that level be required, than someone who is not on the 40-man roster as well.  This much more true for those at AA and AAA.  Those who are on the 40-man and at lower levels are there mostly to protect them for Rule 5 draft reasons.  You will occassionally see really high draft picks be given major league contracts (added to the 40-man), but you better be pretty darn special to get that one pulled off.  Ussually only the top 5 or so players seem to ever get that, if even then.

I think all players have things in their contract (minor, NRI, or major) that include $$$ amounts should they be placed on the 25-man roster.  This is true even if they have little to no chance of making the 25-man roster during the season in which the contract is good for.

261
Talk Zone / Re: Congrats, LSU
« on: January 10, 2008, 03:16:21 pm »
Where did I ever say January 1??

Here:

Quote
while using the higher profile bowls (i.e. BCS, New Year's Day games, Holiday, etc.) for the sixteen teams in the national championship playoff.

262
Talk Zone / Re: Congrats, LSU
« on: January 10, 2008, 03:14:42 pm »
It's about politics and the money they have vs the money they might get.  The moment enough top conference university presidents ask for a playoff is the moment it will happen.
In the end it always boils down to money to them.  If they think more can be had doing it a different way, they will do it a different way.  Now there is more money in leaving the status quo alone.

Politics is just something for sound-bites.

263
Talk Zone / Re: Does anyone else see similarities between Clemens & Rose?
« on: January 10, 2008, 03:08:38 pm »
The opinion of the police detective swayed my opinion on the matter with McNamee in St. Petersburg.  Go read the article and then get back to me.
I have read the article (or at least the one from Yahoo, which is what I assume you are referring to).

While it seems very damning to McNamee, you then have to question if they have that much evidence, why was he not charged?  Rape is taken very seriously no matter who is involved.  Even though he was working for the Yankees, I doubt him being charged would have damaged any situation with the Yankees.  McNamee was a virtual nobody to the Yankee's, as evidence by them firing him over the issue.

Even with all this, because he was not charge, in theory should be considered innocent, by the innocent until proved guilty comment you mention in regard to Clemens.

All this does prove is that while that is a legal distinction it is not the true method the public (or people) use to classify people.  When you hear of situations like this, (most times) people form an instant opinion of guilt or innocence.  It just seems in this case you are doing that for McNamee and chastising others for doing it to Clemens, thus my comment about you having a double standard here.

Seems like they are both shady in their own ways.  Rape obviously being more serious than taking steroids, but still both seem more likely to be guilty than innocent.  And there is just about nothing they can do to change that, just ask OJ.

264
Talk Zone / Re: Congrats, LSU
« on: January 10, 2008, 02:50:07 pm »
You can also keep the lower tier bowl games from the current system for the non-playoff teams, while using the higher profile bowls (i.e. BCS, New Year's Day games, Holiday, etc.) for the sixteen teams in the national championship playoff.  At the same time, it makes a lot of sense to maintain the existing revenue sharing each conference uses in divvying up bowl game money.  Just my two cents.
Good GRIEF, you want a 4 week playoff to start on Jan 1?  I hope that is not what you mean.

265
Talk Zone / Re: Congrats, LSU
« on: January 10, 2008, 02:49:11 pm »
I'm with HH.  How conferences determine their champion is irrelevent.  Just name one by whatever means you want and move on to the tournament.  You're not going to run the risk of getting a losing team in the tournament the way they do in college basketball, even with a conference championship game.
Why have a tournament for football?

I think that is the question that needs to be answered.  My guess is those that push for it want there to be a clear champion, right?  Do you think that is what the NCAA wants?  The answer to that is no, but it is not something they want to avoid.  What the NCAA wants is money, pure and simple.  The more the better.

Now if you understand this, the response that is typically lobbed back is "There is more money to be had in a tournament."  Which is then compared to the March Madness method used for College Basketball.

The reality is that there are many fundamental differences between basketball and football that has this comparison break down.  The first and obvious difference is that there IS a clear distinction between programs.  Most of this has to do with the fact that you only have 5 people playing at a time and something around 15-20 players on the team for a basketball team vs 100+ on a football team.  Therefore your needs are less per school, thus more talent is dispersed to more schools, thus creating situations where a small school like Xavier (for example) can put together a team that can compete and beat a typical power like Kansas (for example).  Because of this there is more reason to give the smaller schools a shot, and thus it will draw more interest.  If you have games like Georgia vs Hawaii every year, you will likely see similar results to what we saw in the Sugar bowl this year.  The talent level is just different.

Also IF there truly was more money to be made in having a playoff, I assure you the NCAA would be all over it.  They don't really have any special allegiances to the bowls other than the fact that they are already in place, thus nothing new has to be tried (or created) to put them together.  AND they (the bowls) make a ton of money for the NCAA.

I also think in some pockets of the NCAA governing body they like the controversy the lack of a definitive champion brings.  That means more media coverage.  And as has been noted many times before, any publicity is good publicity.  Therefore they get stuff written about college football long after the season is over and huge debates rage beyond that up until the games start up again.  Do you hear anything like that kind of 365 day coverage about college basketball?  Maybe in some pockets of the country, but not to the scale nationally that the football programs get.  And I don't think it because "football is America's #1 sport", but more because there is no real answer to these debates in the current system, so people can argue all the time over the same topic.

So I don't think the Bowls are going away for a playoff system until a time when it truly is deemed more money for the NCAA to do it.  And THAT is the bottom line.

266
Talk Zone / Re: Does anyone else see similarities between Clemens & Rose?
« on: January 10, 2008, 02:31:48 pm »
Yes.  They sounded exactly alike.  But then again, Pete Rose signed a agreement with the commissioner stating his guilt and then recanted when he felt the commissioner violated the agreement.  I don't think Clemens has yet admitted to anything nor should he be given the "guilty until proven innocent" status either.
Ok, Noe, this seems like a bit of a double standard here for you.  Not meaning to pick too much, but you hold McNamee accountable for the sexual misconduct/rape issue he was questioned about, when no charges were even filed against him, yet you want Roger to be "innocent until proven guilty".

I understand the magnitude of the differences and that McNamee is a slime of the sort you don't ever want to be associated with, but supposedly in our country everyone in all situations should be treated "innocent until proven guilty".  Doesn't work that way in the public eyes, even though it should.  Just thought it odd that you are using a double standard here... Not normally your style.

267
Talk Zone / Re: OK, so this news conference...
« on: January 10, 2008, 10:09:28 am »
Thanks.

So pravata, explain this to me:

Why would McNamee want immunity in his Congressional hearings testimony?  Doesn't he already have immunity from prosecution (federal) as long as he tells the truth?  I don't get why he needs additional immunity from Congress, is it because his civil liberties lawyer (Emery) just knows you cannot go before Congress without the protection you need?  Does McNamee plan to say additional stuff to Congress that may be somewhat contradictory to his federal testimony?  If McNamee is not granted immunity, do you think he'll plead the fifth?

BTW - I'm so glad I'm now the one asking questions of someone else... it's so liberating!
I am speculating here, but...

McNamee is still in the middle of a federal investigation/case.  As such I think he is not allowed to discuss certain things because of that.  I am guessing he is looking for immunity because of this.  What I mean is he might be asked something by Congress that might get him in trouble with the Federal case he is involved with now.

Just a thought.

268
Talk Zone / Re: Gossage in; Rice close
« on: January 10, 2008, 09:48:37 am »
Just thank (insert the deity of your choice) that it's not a fan vote. Fans are fucking idiots.
AMEN to that!  While I may not always agree with the Writers, I almost never understand the fans when it comes to votes for things.

269
Talk Zone / Re: Lottery to be held to buy Yankees/ Red Sox tickets
« on: January 08, 2008, 05:01:45 pm »
No sense re-inventing the $100 bill.
Or in turning down several of them via stub-hub.

270
Talk Zone / Re: Gossage in; Rice close
« on: January 08, 2008, 02:03:53 pm »
So based on that, we have

Goose +14.6%
Rice +8.4%
Dawson +9.2%
Blyleven +14.2%

The others are too low to worry about just yet.

I seem to recall some article in the last 5 yrs or so about handicaping guys who didn't make it in for future votes, I think the big carrot is your actual %, as in get to this level and you almost always get in.  But I also recall something about big risers, but I think that also tied into some actual % level too...

Stupid work, keeping me from actually doing some searches to find that article!!!

271
Talk Zone / Re: Gossage in; Rice close
« on: January 08, 2008, 01:44:17 pm »
A last minute vote moved him back up.

The vote:
Rich "Goose" Gossage 466 (85.8%), Jim Rice 392 (72.2%), Andre Dawson 358 (65.9%), Bert Blyleven 336 (61.9%), Lee Smith 235 (43.3%), Jack Morris 233 (42.9%), Tommy John 158 (29.1%), Tim Raines 132 (24.3%), Mark McGwire 128 (23.6%), Alan Trammell 99 (18.2%), Dave Concepcion 88 (16.2%), Don Mattingly 86 (15.8%), Dave Parker 82 (15.1%), Dale Murphy 75 (13.8%), Harold Baines 28 (5.2%), Rod Beck 2 (0.4%), Travis Fryman 2 (0.4%), Robb Nen 2 (0.4%), Shawon Dunston 1 (0.2%), Chuck Finley 1 (0.2%), David Justice 1 (0.2%), Chuck Knoblauch 1 (0.2%), Todd Stottlemyre 1 (0.2%), Brady Anderson 0, Jose Rijo 0.
Going on memory here, but that means from Beck on down, these guys are done for voting.

Who were the big risers this year other than Goose?  I know Rice is now in that realm of "when they get here the always get voted in eventually" type area.  What about Dawson and Blyleven?

272
Talk Zone / Re: You decide... it is your fansite!
« on: January 07, 2008, 10:15:06 am »
Well wasn't there catch phrase thingy "Return of the Good Guys" or something like that.

How about playing on that and have it be something like "Return to the Ten-Run Field".

Just when the media was starting (in small pockets mind you) to notice that MMP was not the launching pad everyone saw in 2000 anymore... oops.

273
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: VWL - Stat update (10/15)
« on: January 07, 2008, 10:03:58 am »
Knew he had had surgery but had forgotten just when he had it so this give us a time frame for when he will start pitching again. 
Start pitching again and being ready to pitch again are not the same thing (for those who might not know the difference).

While I expect Backe to be back this year, anything he did last year I chalked up to just "getting back".  With Nieve since he had so little ML experience prior to the injury, I would hope that the team keeps him in AAA all year (or most of it) if possible.

274
Talk Zone / Re: Somebody's going to emergency...
« on: January 05, 2008, 12:51:52 am »
I guess all I can think at this point is:  "Our congressmen (and women) don't have anything better to do than this?!?!"  Just love seeing my tax dollars paying for them to do nothing AGAIN!

The worst part is, how much coverage this (what will in reality be) non-story will get.  Just like the huge coverage of the Iowa voting this past week.  Tons of coverage leading up to something that might have little impact on the rest of the nominations.  It isn't like the 2nd and 3rd place people from either party are packing it in after it.

Just more reason to avoid major news networks for the next 9 months.

275
Talk Zone / Re: Movie Day(non bb)
« on: December 21, 2007, 10:50:51 am »
I think you also should consider how long the class is.  Tron would be a great movie, but not sure you can finish it during one class.  IF you can, I think it would even allow you to pawn it off as "illustrating Geometry", and thus not just blowing off the class time.  Got to keep up appearances after all.

That and it might actually keep a 10th graders attention better than some of the other options.  Then again... I have no idea what 10th graders are into so...

276
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 21, 2007, 10:47:50 am »
Ok, thanks.  I thought that might be it, but wasn't sure to which point you were trying to attach him.

And yes I agree there is NOT a spot for Prior in San Diego, which is why they are not really in "hot pursuit" of him.

I think he ends up in Houston, personally.  But that is pure speculation on my part.  I think Buster is just running with what Prior (and his Agent) are saying.  All things being equal he wants to play for the Pads.

277
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 21, 2007, 10:30:04 am »
See: Perez, Oliver
Ok, because I am at work and don't have time to look it up, what is the obvious point I am missing here?

278
Talk Zone / Re: Tge dog ate it
« on: December 21, 2007, 09:43:28 am »
I don't think it unreasonable to think that the dog did eat the ball.

The part I find interesting is that he KNEW the dog had a preference for playing/eating baseballs.  If I had to guess he probably help that along by allowing him to eat them since I am sure he has a ton around the house, as I would expect of most professional baseball players.

And we have all seen baseball players be idiots (see Berkman's actions recently), so I am guessing he just didn't even consider that he SHOULD have put the ball in a place the dog COULDN'T get to (like in some case with a door and/or a lock.  I am also guessing he was "proudly" displaying it in his house (which I would do too if I were him).  So if he is displaying it AND it wasn't in some kind of case with a lock (like a glass display case with doors to keep the stuff in), the dog probably was able to reach it, and since he has been taught that playing/eating baseballs is ok... poof, there goes the World Series clinching ball.

Based on actions we have seen from baseball players in the past, this seems MUCH more likely than anything nefarious like him secreting it away.

279
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 21, 2007, 09:26:38 am »
Buster Olney reported that Padres were still interested in Prior last night and that they were probably the front runners.  Throw all the other crap out the window...probably doesn't hurt that Padres home field is a safe haven for pitchers huh?  My guess is that would be a great place to build value in '08.
I think what Buster is really saying is that Prior wants to pitch for San Diego MUCH more than ANYONE else.  And the reasons are very simple: He lives in San Diego, thus can play locally, AND the point you made, if he is healthy enough to pitch and is looking to spring board this 1 year deal into a huge one, the best place is to go to the most pitcher friendly ball-park in baseball to make you look better.  It also doesn't hurt that San Diego has just as good a shot at the playoffs as everyone else in the NL.  They did play Colorado in the play-in game last year, so it would seem that they are a pretty good team already.  Also factor in that in San Diego he would be "at best" the #3 pitcher behind Peavy and Young, and would also have Maddux there to help shoulder the pressure to produce.  In Houston he would be painted by the media as the definate #2 (even before he pitches a ball).  And that is extra pressure to perform well early.  Given his time off, I figure even if he is healthy at some point in 08, it will take him some time to re-gain the feel for pitching in the Majors, which means it likely he could have a rocky could of starts early even if all is going according to plan.

just some extra thoughts on why San Diego is #1.  I am pretty sure that Prior wants the Pads MUCH more than the Pads want Prior.  This does NOT mean they don't want him, just that they are not going to "fight" for him is someone else wants him more.

280
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 21, 2007, 09:19:44 am »
other than arm, which scott's wasnt great I call b.s.

Last I checked Wigg played 3b for the stros last year.  I also don't think he is worse than Morgan at 3rd.  Both average. 

Whatever "waaaaaaay" means.   And that is a huge assumption that Everett is healthy.
Well I think it hard to seperate Scott and Pence.  I think Pence has more range, but Scott is better at judging balls and reacting a bit quicker, so I think it probably a wash overall.  Neither has a great arm, but Scott was a better fundemental thrower (ie his throws were such that they hit the cut-off man, or could be cut-off better).  I actually think Pence's arm strength isn't less than Scotts, but that makes the difference between them defensively.  They about balance out with strengths and weaknesses.

Wigginton probably doesn't have the range that Ensberg did, but then I think Wigginton is much more consistent where as Ensberg could look great one play and terrible the next.  Wigginton is about the same on each play.  There is something to say about that.  And with Ensberg's shoulder issue, I think he lost what ever advantage he had in strong throws.  So again since Wigginton played most of the time after he was acquired, I don't see where this is even something to consider when comparing defenses.  Ensberg was NEVER going to be the 3B in Houston this year, so why even think about it.

Tejada vs Everett is interesting because we have ZERO idea of what Everett will be able to do this year.  Based on the fact that he WAS about the best in the game defensively it is very easy to assume that even less than 100% after the injury he would be better than Tejada.  Also I don't know if anyone really tracks this (and if they do, how to pull it all together) but I wonder what the age progression/breakdown is for defense.  Does a player hit there peak defensively around the same time as they do in batting?  And thus have a similar downward trend as they get older?  I am sure everyone gets worse as the get closer to 40, but I have seen quite a few guys keep doing A class defensive work long after their bat has shown considerable decline.  The reason I bring this up is that Tejada was a very good defensive SS at one time.  And it really has been over the past couple of years you have seen (and heard) about his decline defensively.  I wonder if some of that might be related to injuries (which he did play through last year) and not staying in the best of shape during the off-season (which is also something said about him recently).  I don't expect him to return to his best defensively, but I do wonder (much like I do with his bat) if this trade might rekindle the desire in him to be the best he can.  If so, I don't think it any more unreasonable to expect a bounce-back year defensively since I am also expecting the same offensively.

That all being said it will still be a big drop off from Everett Pre-injury to Tejada this year.  And Bruntlett was really good defensively.  Not Everett Level, but probably about as good as Tejada was during his better defensive years.  And we all know Loretta doesn't have nearly the range needed to play SS everyday, but in a pinch, he is better than their other options (because I doubt Matsui is moving to SS).

So there will be a big drop off at SS, but a big improvement in CF and 2B.  So it is really hard to judge how the overall team defense will be impacted.  The problem is you don't know where the balls put in play will go, although we know more go to SS than anywhere else.  This does not mean that just because SS is less defensively that the team defense will go down, because now more balls will be played at 2B and in the Outfield (because Bourn will make Lee and Pence better because of his range to help cover some of their limitations).

I think you should expect some improvement in defense, but not a ton from 07.  But then with the great unknown in Everett, you don't know how much worse it would be with Tejada instead of him.  Then there is the other side of the ball too (which is what Drayton and SMITHWADE is counting on), where Tejada SHOULD be a huge improvement over Everett.  Again we really don't know what to expect because Tejada is comming off a down year and one he was battling injury during.  AND we now know he was a Steroid and Greenies user.  The fact that he (in theory) will not be on them anymore what impact will that have to his expected production.

I think the team is banking on the loss of post-injury Everett in favor of Tejada will be a net gain in offense more than the net-loss in defense.  Until they actually play, you just don't know.  IF that works out in the Astros favor, than this team is vastly better because there is no question they are better defensively when looking at everyplace OTHER than SS.

281
So reporting without all the facts is not isolated to the comical.

BTW, I am guessing this is your news gathering time, based on this and your post in the other thread.

282
Talk Zone / Re: Next on the list Chad Paronto
« on: December 20, 2007, 01:35:21 pm »
Also, keep in mind that he was also released or sent to the minors (can't remember which) in the latter part of the year.
I was referring more to the less IP than appearances.

283
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 20, 2007, 01:33:51 pm »
My main point was not to shortchange Sampson, and I personally would make no plan that assumes Prior makes regular starts, at any time of the season, nor would I want to count on him as a filler should one of the other starters goes down.  Prior seems best for a team with plenty of warm bodies that can take the mound.  The Astros need to get to that point.
Acquiring Prior does not mean that is their only target.  I think that might be the disconnect here.  There is no indication that IF Prior is signed, that they won't still look at signing someone like Benson.  I see Prior as just one more fall-back option if they CAN'T get someone like Benson to come in provide something close to #2 starter type numbers.  So again I state, the moves are not mutually exclusive.  Acquiring one does not preclude the other from occuring.

284
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 20, 2007, 12:52:47 pm »
I am more concerned about Sampson's durability than his lack of ability.  In his first major league season, he posted what must be a near league average ERA, even when hampered by an injury in the late part of the season.  His ERA was also quite a bit better than Woody's.

I'm not trying to argue that he should be a lock for the rotation, but it seems like his very decent performance gets overshadowed by his lack of stuff.  Also, it is not unusual to see pitchers make some adjustments and improve in their second or third years in the majors.

I'd much rather see them go after Benson than Prior.  The Astros don't have the luxury of going after an all-or-nothing or even a something-or-nothing player; they need a high probability of getting a reliable something, imo.
These two thoughts don't match.  IF you think Sampson is a pretty decent option as a starter (with some questions about durability) then he would be the perfect stop-gap waiting on someone like Prior who can't start the season, but might join in May.

If the team goes for Benson then Sampson has no spot in the rotation and probably on the 25-man roster.

But as a final note, acquiring one (Benson or Prior) does not preclude acquiring the other.

285
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 20, 2007, 11:25:03 am »
Here's where I am in denial, I'm hoping for a #2 that throws 200 innings.
That is some standard considering only 38 pitchers in all of baseball threw 200 innings in 07.

286
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 20, 2007, 11:17:24 am »
Now, I don't know about you guys but what I'm hoping if Prior gets here, is that he'll pitch well. He'll help us get to the playoffs and do the whole win now thing Drayton likes. So, I'm just very weary of the chances of him using us to get more money to go elsewhere.
The only thing that doesn't benefit the Astros is if he is using them to get more money elsewhere right now.  And from all the sounds we have been hearing, there seems to be more waning interest in Prior right now, than growing.

And if he leaves after a successful 08 to someone else, chances are the Astros can offer arb to him and at least get compensation, since I am not sure he has enough numbers in previous years to bring down a good set of numbers put up this year to pull him out of at least being a B type FA.  (assuming a good year from him in 08, which I think is what would cause the issue you refer to in the first place)

287
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 20, 2007, 11:11:49 am »
Isn't it funny how every piece written about the Astros' rotation sort of glosses over Oswalt?
Wow either you are touchier than I or you read something I didn't.  I don't think I have read one article yet that didn't basically say something to the affect "After Oswalt they don't really have anyone else".

As for Prior and Benson, I think the fact that the Astros SHOULD have a productive offense and "with their addition" should be serious contenders for the NL Central in 08.  That combo is pretty tempting, especially if they are signing a 1 year make good type contract.  This would give them a chance to pitch with good run support (because that leads to more wins) and have the chance at some playoffs (which is more exposure).  So while other teams might also be appealing (don't forget Phili was also looking for 1 more starter), Houston should at least be something in their top options.  Also, I have noticed players like to go to teams where they can play against their former teams and kind of do the "rub your nose in it" type thing.  So that also might be a motivation for them to sign in Houston.

Going on the big IF train, IF the Astros do sign both, who is moving out of the rotation from the Wandy, Brandon, Woody group when Prior is finally ready to pitch?

288
Talk Zone / Re: Stark on Astros
« on: December 20, 2007, 11:01:02 am »
Abercrombie has power. In his major league career he has 7 HR in 331 ABs. In 2007, he slugged .584 in AAA. In 2005, 25 HR between two levels.
While he did have a very good year in AAA last year, his career minor league numbers prior to that (2000-2005) were: .258/.297/.418.
His best year prior to last year was 2005 where he split between A and AA (2006 he was in the majors all season from the best infor I could find). In that 2005 season he was  .274/.317/.485 in A and .253/.315/.483 in AA.

Since I didn't exactly follow this guy, I have to trust what others have learned about his, and according to them he does have talent and might be able to be that power bat, but so far has not been able to demonstrate that consistently at any level until last year.  Maybe he figured it all out last year.  Sometimes that happends.  At this point he is a big '?' though.

289
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 20, 2007, 09:56:29 am »
Schilling has called on Clemens to either clear his name or give back 4 Cy Young Awards.

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/sports/5392675.html
About the only current players with a bigger ego than Schilling is Clemens.  He is in some ways a bigger blow-hard too.

290
Talk Zone / Re: Stark on Astros
« on: December 20, 2007, 09:50:47 am »

Tremendous drop in quality between Lamb and Cruz as a hitter IMHO.
Not arguing that, but we are talking about 162 ABs max and Lamb played some so he was not always available off the bench to be in that role.  And while these ABs can occur in big moments, they don't always.

There WILL be an impact.  But is the impact going to cost the team games?  I am sure it might, and probably will cost a game or 2.  But I also have to judge that relative to other areas of concern.

This list includes (but may not be limited to): Starting pitching, Bullpen depth, Bench Power, Defensive at SS.  Compared to those where do you rate lefty bench bats?  I am not sure it is in my top 2 or 3.

291
Talk Zone / Re: ESPN rumor mill says......
« on: December 20, 2007, 09:43:46 am »
Imagine her taking on the Yvette role with Dierker and Worrell in the booth.  They'd have to be on a 5 second delay to avoid an FCC violation.
I imagine Yvette might prefer to NOT be the object of their leering and suggestive comments anymore.  I imagine that has to creep her out.

And honestly I don't think it is looks alone for Milo, he needs someone to actually respond to his comments (or at least humor him) too.

292
Talk Zone / Re: Stark on Astros
« on: December 20, 2007, 09:39:16 am »
I'm concerned about lefty hitting on the bench.
I am too, but not sure I am as concerned as you are.  Not meaning to down play the need for it, but who is going to be pinch hit for with a lefty other than the pitcher?

Bourn, nope he's a lefty; Matsui, nope he's a switch-hitter, Tejada, Berkman, Lee, Pence... I doubt it; About the best candidates are Wigginton and Towles.  

So while I am sure there will be 150+ ABs or so where a lefty bat is perfered, how many of those will be in games where its impact is significant.  Then take a look at the options today vs 07.  In 07 the lefty bench was mostly Lamb and OP (since Scott started more often than not until the season was decided).  In 08 you have Blum and Cruz Jr.  I include Cruz Jr. because at this point it just seems to make too much sense compared to other known options at this point.  The loss of OP probably won't be that significant since he didn't do all that much in 07.  The loss of Lamb we ALL knew would be an impact, but there was no way they were going to get someone as good in FA, IMO.

To me the bigger impact is who is going to be the POWER off the bench.  I don't care if righty or lefty.  Looking at the bench with the best guess as to who is going to be on it:
Loretta, no power
Blum, no power
Ausmus, no power
Abercrombie, no power
Cruz Jr, moderate power, which I guess is probably about what Lamb was.

So while there should be SOME concern about lefty bat off the bench, I am not sure if this is really something to worry about.  Starting pitching and depth in pitching in general ARE issues to be concerned with.  But given the offense this line-up SHOULD produce, I am not sure the slight dip in lefty bench ability will be THAT big an impact.  It is not like right-handed bench batting is that much better.

293
Talk Zone / Re: Van Halen
« on: December 20, 2007, 09:01:28 am »
Nirvana became popular because Kurt Cobain was an extremely talented songwriter who knew how to write a catchy hook. Prog metal sucked, btw.
I don't think there is any doubt that Cobain had talent.  But I am not sure he was the talent some people today make him out to be.  As was pointed out he died at the height of this popularity, thus making him legendary.  But I agree (and perhaps it is my age) that most of the music from the late 80's since has been pretty ordinary as far as music goes.  This statement is of course a generalization as anyone can find bits and pieces of good stuff here and there.

294
Talk Zone / Re: Astros better make another trade quick
« on: December 20, 2007, 08:49:03 am »
I've always thought of Berkman as being WYSIWYG.  What you see (and hear) is what you get.
Says what's on his mind and is brutally honest, but usually pretty good natured.  I think he's trying to assume the leader role of the clubhouse now.

Ok, Drayton doesn't want to rebuild and wants to win NOW while the Central is probably the weakest division in baseball.  Fine.  But by the trading deadline if (when) we are 10 games out of the lead I would trade both Lance and Oswalt (yes, they both have no trade clauses but would probably waive that to go to a contender) for an obscene package of can't miss prospects that could set us up for the next decade.
No such thing as a can't miss prospect.  As we have all learned (or should have) over the past 50 years of following baseball.  If he was can't miss, why is he still a prospect?

295
Talk Zone / Re: Stark on Astros
« on: December 20, 2007, 08:47:21 am »
Maybe I am just drinking the kool-aide or something, but the only spot of depth I see with the team is starting pitching.

I think there are enough pitchers for bullpen use, since there was alot of additions to that area this off-season and most of the talent left at the top of the minor league system are guys that project best as bullpen types.

And then looking around the team you:
1B: No real 1B to be found, but typically thought of as easy to find people who can play 1B.
2B: Loretta, Blum
SS: Loretta/Manzella
3B: Blum
LF: Pence (because of other options might be better RF)
CF: Abercrombie, Cruz Jr., Pence
RF: Same as CF
C: Ausmus (and if he is still around Quintero is a decent stop gap)

So really I am not sure their depth is really that bad, now, moving these guys up might cause some bench issues, but any time you have an injury it SHOULD impact the team a little, otherwise it shows how WEAK your starters were if the next guy can step in with no noticeable drop off.

But, these "revelations" should be nothing knew to anyone around here.  Starting pitching is their biggest issue at this time, so it stands to reason that depth in starting pitching should be their area of least depth.

296
Talk Zone / Re: Next on the list Chad Paronto
« on: December 20, 2007, 08:37:23 am »
I checked around...Basically, Paronto was Atlanta's answer to Brian Moehler, minus the occasional multi-inning appearence. 
With his numbers it had me wondering "Is he a righty specialist?"  Seems like his numbers are very similar to the lefty in the pen that is used only to get 1 (or 2) lefties out and then taken out for the first Righty to come to bat.

297
Talk Zone / Re: Special occasion restaurants in Houston? non-bb
« on: December 19, 2007, 04:57:52 pm »
If you like ruining pieces of meat in boiling oil and dipping stale bread in mediocre cheese, knock yourself out. 

My vote:  Cafe Annie, but it really depends on what you want to eat and how much you want to spend.  You can't go wrong with any of the suggestions above (except this fondue place, IMO).
WOW, you must have had a bad experience.  When I go we cook in a chicken broth type thing (with some wine, I think) and the bread is never stale, and the cheese is freshly melted in your pot.  It is really good stuff.

Get fresh veggies, Fruit and choice of beef, chicken, shrimp and lobster.  Also I typically get the banannas foster desert (not ussually on the menu, but my place still will make it for you).

Also the wines at the one in Dallas are some of the best in the city (or at least they win awards from local high-tone rags).

298
Talk Zone / Re: On deck, or in the hold? (non-BB)
« on: December 19, 2007, 04:54:00 pm »
Hah. Hm. Does MM not have any spawn?

Thanks, all!

Froback, by all means let us know -- I'm not a spotlight hog.
Check your PM.  This thread should be all about you! (and your news)

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Talk Zone / Re: On deck, or in the hold? (non-BB)
« on: December 19, 2007, 04:29:58 pm »
Congrats! 

I just got some really cool news about one of my kids today, too.  But I don't want to steal your spot light with that, but it reminds me:

They truly impact your lives in ways you never expect!

300
Those winter leagues in the Domincan and Venezuela are extremely important to the locals.  They love baseball and make it a pressure filled event.  Baseball is the national sport of Venezuela.  The young players get more exposure to in game situations in front of crowds larger than in the minors in the States.  It can be a great experiential event.  When not pitching, pitchers will work on the side on things they are trying to develop.  A lot of the Carribbean league coaches are also mlb coached.  Cheo used to coach winter ball for example.  So it's not like the kids get no competent instruction.
I am aware that these leagues are a big deal to the local areas they are in.  And I did know that some of the coaches either have been or are MLB experienced.  I guess I just have a hard time seeing how someone doing much development in an environment where sometimes they go 2 weeks between appearances (at least according to the reports we receive here).  I guess I keep looking for something more along the lines of what they receive during their minor league seasons, as far as playing time goes.  I figure not everyone goes out to these leagues and plays, and there are many teams to fill, so it shouldn't be like a person who was a starter in Greeneville would be looking at 2-6 IP over 2 weeks down there.

I guess that is where my disconnect is.  I am sure that every player in the minors who has aspirations to making it to the Majors works hard in the off-season.  Sometimes I see them in these leagues down there and question what kind of development are they really doing when they get such limited game time.  I know they can work on the side, but I don't recall ever hearing anyone really address what they do when in these leagues.... Hmm, sounds like a good idea for a book...

301
Talk Zone / Re: Special occasion restaurants in Houston? non-bb
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:57:04 pm »
There is one out Westheimer. Pricey but tasty fondue.
That is another reason to keep it to anniversaries only too.  But the uniqueness of it (since most people I know don't do much fondue), makes it fitting for special occasions like that, IMO.

302
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:55:18 pm »
According to Rosenthal, the Padres only have two more million to play around with this season before hitting their budget limit of $75 mil.

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7581498

In the same piece, Rosenthal insightfully opines on the Astros rotation:

"After Roy Oswalt, the Astros' rotation includes Wandy Rodriguez, Woody Williams, Brandon Backe and Chris Sampson. Fernando Nieve and Felipe Paulino represent less experienced options.

Prior could be a useful addition, and Steve Trachsel, Shawn Chacon and Jon Lieber are among the other free agents the Astros are considering. GM Ed Wade signed Lieber as a free agent when he was with the Phillies."
No mention of Benson even though the Astros were actually at his "demonstration".  And not mention of Livan, although I am not sure how much interest the team really has in him (I do know people here are agreeable).

303
Talk Zone / Re: Astros better make another trade quick
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:52:27 pm »
Open mouth Berkman and see what you went and done... you gave JdJO all the inspiration he needs for the next few months.

Thanks Lance.
Isn't it better to keep the evil you know, than risk the evil you don't?  We all know to ignore JdJO because we know what Berkman thinks already... imagine if he wrote about something original (If that were even possible)... someone might actually be suckered into reading his stuff...  At least we know what he will be saying for the next few months so we can ignore him and move on. (not much different than now, but a little better)

304
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:48:33 pm »
In the same vein, I've heard nothing about Freddie Garcia.  Has anyone?
Honestly I have not heard much of anything other than re-hashed rumors from any of the pitchers other than Benson lately (and I guess this recent stuff from Prior's Agent).

305
Talk Zone / Re: Special occasion restaurants in Houston? non-bb
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:46:50 pm »
Taco Cabana.  Mrs Limey is a lucky lady!
[digress]Don't laugh, I have a friend who doesn't do much more for his wife.  But then they have some super tight budget they run in the hopes of retiring at an early age.

And since he is the only one working, eating out is something they do almost never.

I think I recall saying he brought take-out Chinese home this last year.[/digress]

I have not lived in Houston in a number of years, but I know in Dallas I go to a place called "The Melting Pot".  Not sure if Houston has one, but if it is just a celebration with just the two of you, it is a nice place because it is different than typical restaurants.  My wife and I use it as our anniversary only place, to try to keep it special.

306
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 19, 2007, 03:37:56 pm »
It's not a gamble at all for the team.  You spend a year's worth of money.  If he's good, you got a great year or trading piece out of him, as well as additional time to negotiate a long term deal.  If he sucks, you're out one year, with no buyouts, options, etc.
And if it is a reasonable 1 yr deal the offer of arb after the year is easy to do, so even if you lose him you are likely to get something in return.  This all assumes he has a great year too.  Which of course if he does is good for the Astros (should they sign him).  All in all, I don't have an issue with them wanting to do this route.  I like it better than him making the team sign a 2 yr guarantee deal and then crapping out, leaving the team holding his bag of nothing for the extra year.

307
For some guys yes, it is instructional.  They are told to work on certain areas of their game and for some it is done to keep in shape.  I am not sure on the compensation piece.
I guess I have more questions about these winter leagues.  If a guy is only getting a couple of innings (if that) a week, how much work are they really getting in?  Is there much side instructional work going on?  If so, who is doing the instructing?  If not, how are they getting in any more work there then they could if they stayed in Houston and worked with the staff there.  I can't imagine where the coaches wouldn't stay around to help if asked...

I really have little to no idea what these players do in the offseason to "improve".  I can fully understand those that work-out or have trainers and such or even those who take it easy.  But those that are still young and working on things... I guess i get a little lost with what they do.  Does each player have a trainer that helps them with stuff like "how to throw a change" or " how to recognize pitches better", or do they just have trainers that help them keep in shape.

Having never played sports at any high levels, I have no idea what a person might do on their own to make themselves better.  I know when I am trying to improve myself, there is only so much I can do on my own and I typically need someone else to help me along, sometimes just because it is a different opinion/perspective than my own.

308
Talk Zone / Re: Next on the list Chad Paronto
« on: December 18, 2007, 05:19:23 pm »
honest question:

Which is better defensively?

Pence/Everett/Biggio/Scott

or

Bourn/Tejada/Matsui/Pence
Pence->Bourn : Significant upgrade
Everett->Tejada: Significant downgrade (pre injury Everett, recent Tejada)
Biggio->Matsui: Significant upgrade
Scott->Pence: about the same, maybe sight down-grade

Given how important SS is defensively it is probably a slight to moderate upgrade overall, but the loss at SS is probably the biggest change, but the gain in CF is probably closer than people might think.

309
Talk Zone / Re: this is a must-have for Cardinals haters...
« on: December 18, 2007, 04:33:39 pm »
Instead of a shirt, how about those shorts with words on the back like chicks wear?
This reminds me, ever noticed how people get offended when others stare at them when they wear clothing that is designed to make people notice you and stare at you?

shorts with words on the butt is just one of many examples you could use.

310
Talk Zone / Re: They still do press conferences don't they?
« on: December 18, 2007, 04:31:32 pm »
Tejada lives in Miami.
my bad.  I figured he was like most from the DR, and returned back to each off-season.

311
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 18, 2007, 04:30:31 pm »
According to the agent, he's fully healthy and ahead of the shape he normally goes to spring training in.  So I would assume they're selling him as an opening day member of the team he signs a contract with.
And of course we ALWAYS believe the agent, right?  I did read that in the article, but since I have not been following Benson and his injury or rehab, I have no idea how truthful that comment was.

312
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 18, 2007, 04:29:20 pm »
Anna, please don't put the cherries in that.  I was going to eat those.
And Anna's response would be "Wait did you say 'those' or 'that'?"

313
Talk Zone / Re: Next on the list Chad Paronto
« on: December 18, 2007, 04:26:35 pm »
While Gardner is whispering in McLane's ear, "It won't matter to the fans when he's hitting the cover off the ball.  They'll all be standing and cheering."
I almost want to hit you up side the head for putting those kind of thoughts in my head, but then I realize how close to true that might be!

And 5IP from your starters would be horrible!  I don't care how good a Bullpen you have in April, if you only get that, your bullpen will be toast by the end of July!

314
And according to BA ... http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/?p=697

Tim Johnson & Kevin Fox have been released (along with Eric King).
Can't say I am shocked.  And with as poor as the SS clubs did last year, I would not be surprised if (as Jacksonian said) we see alot more prior to them starting up again.

315
Talk Zone / Re: Next on the list Chad Paronto
« on: December 18, 2007, 03:17:45 pm »
He was very good reliever in Cleveland a very long time ago.
He was pretty decent the last couple of years in Atl too.  But he only had 35 App in Cle back in 02 (mostly) and 03.  But in Atl.

06: 65 games, 56.2 IP and 3.18 ERA
07: 41 games, 40.1 IP and 3.57 ERA

Not exactly a big IP type guy though, so not sure what slot he takes in the bullpen.  And if not the ML roster, seems like a pretty good bullpen type to settle for a minor league contract...  just curious I guess.

316
Talk Zone / Re: "With eyes on Prior"
« on: December 18, 2007, 03:02:53 pm »
Benson's agent  impressed, at least.  Kris, I mean.  Not Anna.  At least not in the article.
Ok, so let's assume for a second that the Astros sign Benson.  What is the actual expected time table he would be read to pitch in the majors?  Would he be read for ST? OD? Early season? Mid-season?

Oh and just because an agent is excited.... don't put too much stock, he is supposed to be giddy over his clients.  And it was interesting that like 6 teams were mentioned but that 25 scouts where there... wonder how many scouts Houston sent to watch?

317
Talk Zone / Re: Nice Analysis to Revisit
« on: December 18, 2007, 02:57:38 pm »
RE: Nieve.  They aren't talking about his recovery in specifics.  I have not heard whether he's even throwing or not.  Or if he is, how well.

And, that is one weakass rotation.
While I agree it is not very strong, IF those starters all stay healthy they are likely to be combined an average of 6 IP per start, which would actually be more than the starters did as a group last year.

Now from a quality standpoint, I agree, they are probably one of the lower tier starting staffs.

But if they do give the Astros 6 IP per start, that means 486 IP will fall to the bullpen (assuming 9 IP per game average, which isn't that much less than the 9.04 IP the Astros averaged last year).  The 486 IP is less than the 507 they pitched last year.  So this team might actually be better from that standpoint.

This all makes the HUGE assumption that the starters all stay healthy and they produce at least their recent career number of IP.  (Roy at 7 IP, Sampson at 5, the other 3 at 6).

I found it really intersting that the Astros last year had about dead center in average of bullpen IP at 507 (17th out of 30 teams, ML average was 509 and NL average was 524 IP).

318
Talk Zone / Re: Nice Analysis to Revisit
« on: December 18, 2007, 11:12:51 am »
That lack of OF depth (especially considering Bourn's lack of experience) is pretty frightening.
And you thought last year had better depth???

319
Talk Zone / Re: Nice Analysis to Revisit
« on: December 18, 2007, 11:12:13 am »
Forgot about the Rule V additions.  So that one makes sense.  I guess I favor Sampson because I know him.  I don't have any first hand experience with Houston to be sure what he brings and if that is/is not better than Sampson.  Mclemore makes sense being lefty and all, and not been terrible.  So having two lefties would be nice, assuming they are not Gallo types.

So that means more spots are actually spoken for then I listed.  Almost to the point of only missing a #2 starter from 25-man roster.  Might actually see the Astros go into ST with 0 rosters spots up for grabs this year (although I am sure they will claim there are).

320
Talk Zone / Re: They still do press conferences don't they?
« on: December 18, 2007, 10:36:25 am »
I think I heard mention that one or both was out of the country.
That tends to happen when they don't live IN the country.

321
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 18, 2007, 10:30:39 am »
Correct, Ortiz is not only within his rights, but merely doing his job.  Baseball players should play the game and when confronted by a reporter spew cliches at gaitlin gun frequency.  Sport reporters are paid to call up groggy 22 year old players who have just been traded, pretend they are his friend, and print the first thing that comes out of their mouths.
By comparing JdJO to Sports Reports, are you insulting all Sports Reporters or JdJO?  Sometimes it is hard to tell.

322
Talk Zone / Re: Nice Analysis to Revisit
« on: December 18, 2007, 10:28:28 am »
No lefty power on the bench.

Bullpen will also include McLemore and Wright.  Sampson is not a lock.  It should be Valverde, Villarreal, Brocail, Geary, McLemore, Wright, <open>.
Honestly I can't say for sure for any of the bullpen guys except the first 3.  I think everyone else is in a "earn" a spot position at this point.  I just figured Geary because he has more experience than most and Sampson because he seems the best candidate for the "swing" position out of the current list of applicants, so I listed them.  The two you added are both lefties, correct?  Is that why you listed them as more definite in your eyes?  Just curious not meaning to disagree, just trying to understand why you feel more strongly for them, than say a Sampson.

And yep, I think Lefty power is going to be lacking unless you consider Cruz Jr to be lefty power, since he seems one of the most likely candidates for the remaining 2 position player spots.

323
Talk Zone / Re: Pettitte's admission...........
« on: December 18, 2007, 10:20:51 am »

Not trying to justify cheating, just saying that sometimes when someone says "it was only that one time", they are telling the truth.  They aren't *always* lying.
While that is true, the problem people who lie (or in this case cheat) don't seem to understand is once you do this and others know about it, everything you do is questioned.  It takes years in some cases to earn back what is lost by one "mistake".  So while you can claim it was only the first time, at that point, how can you be trusted when you have already broken that trust?  Thus there is skepticism.

324
Talk Zone / Re: Pettitte's admission...........
« on: December 18, 2007, 09:36:46 am »
The man took advice from Lance Berkman????
FIFY

325
Talk Zone / Re: Nice Analysis to Revisit
« on: December 18, 2007, 09:28:40 am »
Pretty interesting that he hit on all those things so well, but given that the Astros had made ovetures for Tejada before, makes this a pretty easy mark.  If they were interested in him before, you have to believe that Drayton was involved, because of the contract the team would add.  So while the GM might have changed, I am sure the owner still had interest on some level.

And looking at the Astros trade chips, the was nothing other than their minor league pitchers.  So that seems kind of obvious too.

Not much insight here, but looking back I can't say I saw THIS much turn over of players from last year to this.

I was throwing together the projected 25-man roster, and while we have discussed who we think the favorites for some of the holes are, I tried to only consider those that were under contract or offered arbitration, to get an idea of what was still open for debate vs what was pretty set.

Positon players were obvious:
C: Towles (Asumus will be opening day, but mostly back-up)
1B: Berkman
2B: Matsui
3B: Wigginton
SS: Tejada
LF: Lee
CF: Bourn
RF: Pence

Bench: Ausmus, Blum, Loretta, <open>, <open> 
Most around here feel those two open spots are Abercrombie and Cruz Jr.

Starters:
Oswalt
<open>
Rodriguez
Backe
Williams

Lots of debate over who is going to fill the open spot, but most feel that player is not on the roster yet.

Bullpen:
Valverde
Villiareal
Brocail
Geary
Sampson
<open>
<open>

While Geary and Sampson both might not be 100%, they seem to be in the "it's your job to lose" type position instead of having to "earn" a spot.  Tons of names potential for the open slots, including those not on the roster yet (FAs).

Also people have been wondering about the payroll, and that might (or might not) be a concern, but just think, Lee is going to get a $6 Million dollar raise in 09, and the two big ticket acquistions this year are both still under contract then too, so no matter what the payroll is this year, next year could be worse (although Woody and his $6.25 Million could come off the books if the option is declined).

326
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:20:11 pm »
Berkman pisses and moans about team chemistry in one breath, then turns around and completely shoots it in the ass in the next.
Seems to be something MLB was trying to clean up with the Mitchell report... oh wait you meant figuratively... nevermind.

327
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:17:44 pm »
The father of five young children thanks you all for the guidance and direction provided by this thread.  Who says ya' gotta pick six numbers correctly???
It doesn't hurt.

328
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:16:35 pm »
Also most of Bagwell's rants were more directed at the Organization, where as Berkman's seem to be more directed at the player.  IMO

329
Talk Zone / Re: McTaggart says don't rule out a return of Jennings
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:14:45 pm »
I don't know that I want to guarantee silva 5 years at 10 mil a season.   Personally, based on years and track record my preferences is for 1-2 year deal at about 7-10 mil a yr for Hernandez.   
I guess I put some weight into Silva's ability to continue to produce on the fact that the Twins (from stuff off MLB.com) want him back.  If you had a pitcher reach FA and you are trying to get him back on your club, to me that means something about the quality of the player.  Not saying Livan wouldn't be a nice option, however.

330
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:12:05 pm »
Not in December. 
While I know Jeff had the occassional foot-in-mouth issues, I don't recall him ever doing a scortched earth type thing like Berkman is now about current teammates still on the roster, especially ones he has never played with yet (thus developed a history with).

And typically when Jeff had gone off on a current player you see him quickly try to do damage control with that player.  Berkman doesn't seem to have that history, based on things we have (or better have not) heard.

331
Talk Zone / Re: McTaggart says don't rule out a return of Jennings
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:07:08 pm »
While I am still holding out for a Silva signing, Having Jennings too would be nice.  But not sure you can risk too much on him, shoulder injuries are ussually the worst type for pitchers to try to recover from.  (and he also has the HUGE butt issues too, NTTAWWT)

332
Talk Zone / Re: McTaggart says don't rule out a return of Jennings
« on: December 17, 2007, 05:03:56 pm »
If healthy, Jennings can put up huge IP for the season: 180 - 200 IPs would be outstanding.
Is that IP total even realistic with his injury?  I thought that surgery meant he might miss a month or two of the season... but then my memory and medical knowledge of such things is very fuzzy.

If he could provide that, wouldn't he be near the top of all the FAs?

333
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:59:00 pm »
Public library. Reference section.  Peterson's Guides to Universities I think is the exact title.  Peterson's Guides to _____ if Universities isn't correct.  The BEST resource for finding schools with particular degrees, contact info, general info about a school...  Better than any one person can possibly do.  The guides to graduate schools are even better.
Not really arguing that, but if the HS counselor knows their stuff, they should know about this reference material too, and probably have the latest version.  They can (and should be) the place to get all the info you want about Colleges and scholarship programs and such.  They are supposed to be there to guide you through things.  And as with most guides, you can do it on your own, or you can have someone help you along.  Most people don't have enough time to do the proper research into these things.  Obviously you have.  But in a general sense, they should be able to do this for you, or at least help you along in the process.  There is no rule saying you HAVE to use them or that even they can do it better than you can.  The idea is that this is part of their job, thus they should have more background into these things than you might.

Anyone can do enough research so as to not need people to help them, but the idea that you have to do it all is incorrect.

334
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:52:14 pm »
He can't or wont shut up, "In my opinion, we have to have to have another starter. …I don't think Brandon's (Backe) been healthy for a full season. ….Woody who’s getting older and more susceptible to injury."

"If nothing else, we have to have another arm or two in case these guys can't go. Now as far as I know we have absolutely nobody, …We've traded away all our upper level minor league pitchers. I would be shocked if they stood pat with the staff they had now."
Link
I would say it's safe to say Berkman probably SHOULD NOT be the leader because of things like this.  Even Bagwell generally knew when to stay quiet.

335
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:46:16 pm »
When I told my high school counselor I was interviewing with Carnegie Mellon, she said "Which school is she from?"

Most school's websites will have a lot of that info.  From my (super limited) experience, it's probably a better resource than the dept counselors.
Huh, either people in my family got very lucky or something because I had a great deal of help from my HS counselor (since my parents didn't help a ton, but did pay for what my scholarships didn't cover), as has my nieces and nephews (so far).  And I would argue that it depends on the competency of the person when comparing High School Counselors and Professional Advisors.  More often than not, the difference is just that one works for a college and the other a High School.  You can find examples on both sides were one is better than another.  I would say the the College level ones can help you more with specific college planning, but the High School ones can help you with getting Scholarships and suggesting schools to target for particular degree types.  But you should use both when ever possible.  

I would tend to start with High School level first, and then based on the help in narrowing down the field, then go and interview the College level types for more information beyond what the High School person can provide.  To not take advantage of both, would seem less than optimal.  The worst that is likely to happen is you have an idiot (or lazy) person on the High School level, but then the benefits if you get a good one can be significant.

336
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:36:42 pm »
That is who I would think as well, along with Brocail.  Might be able to help Hunter take over in the future.
Unfortunately Hunter (if indeed he ever will be) will always have some issues with the more established people like Roy, Lance and Carlos.  That is if they would have an issue today, they probably would in the future.  Also, leadership is not something you can choose to do, and then do well.  Often times leaders just are.  That is not to say that everyone doesn't have some leadership ability, but that true leaders show the quality all the time, even before they become "leaders".  I don't have any inside contact to determine who would or would not be a good leader for this team. 

That is why you often hear the need to add a veteran to a young club.  It is often not the veteran aspect but the leadership aspect they are looking for.  It is just that teams are more willing to let these types of leaders go when they are older than when they are younger and in their "prime".

Leaders are also alot more important to the young players than the older players.  That does not mean they are meaningless to the older players, just that the impact of good leadship is more evident in younger players and their development and performance.

337
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:18:05 pm »
Be careful.  Many of those are really about getting into a particular school, admissions.  As opposed to doing what's necessary once you get there, advising.  I've never heard of anyone doing "pre-advising" on a consultant basis.  There are a number that will help you with applications/letters... though.
As you stated before with School Counselors, it can be a crap shoot, but this is one of the roles that High School Counselors do.  In some schools they even have a specific person who focuses on just that type of "counseling".  So if you are lucky and you have one that treats that as being an important part of their job, they can be invaluable, because they know both your child (and their history) and the current things going on, at least in state and local schools.

338
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 04:12:55 pm »

Coach/Manager can also be the leader.  Just not sure the vets will allow Pence to become the leader while they are still there.  Is Pence going to tell Berkman to pull his head out of his ass and hustle?
I am not sure when Biggio and/or Bagwell started assuming leadership roles.  It is not a thing you technically take, although you can try, but in the end the other player has to "give" it to you.  I am sure that years of service makes THAT much difference.  I know I have been around those that had leadership qualities, and it never mattered to me if they were younger than I.  In some people's cases (like Berkman's) people WANT someone else to take that role, so they don't have to.

Coach/Manager is the default leader if nobody else steps up on the club, but I hardly think that ideal.  They are sort of like parents to children.  And like children sometimes they don't want to listen to their parents (coach/manager) but they will listen to their peers (the club house leaders).

339
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 03:58:49 pm »
Ausmus?
Not a terrible choice, but he may not be the right choice.  He is not going to be a regular starter (or at least that is the supposed plan going into the season, even though he will be OD starter).  Also not sure is status with players on other teams.  With so many new faces on the club, I am guessing they are more likely to listen to someone they feel has some skins on the walls outside of the Astros.  I might be wrong on this, but the only ones that seem to have that are Roy, Lance, Carlos and Hunter.  And I don't think the first 3 have many leadership qualities about them.  They are all more the type that would rather be in the background and let their play do their "leading".  People often accused Bagwell of that, but insiders talked about how he did alot of leading behind closed doors, where Biggio was the type to light a fire under people not doing their jobs.

The fact that the Astros had 2 such strong leaders is why they gained the strong reputation as the place players wanted to come back to after they left and saw other clubhouses.  The void of leadship was something we have discussed on this site before.  Nobody really has stepped up, yet to fill that void.  THAT is the reason we are all still left wondering and speculating.  (and hoping)

But as far as team chemistry goes, winning leads to chemistry.  Biggio and Bagwell were great leaders, that is true, but it was the fact that the team won under their leadership that gave them the chemistry in the first place.  I view leadership as being something different than chemistry, but the right kind of leadership CAN help teams win (or at least get more out of the team).  But I am not so sure leadership is required in order to win, but it is better to have it than not.

340
Talk Zone / Re: Lance says Roger should come clean
« on: December 17, 2007, 03:23:20 pm »
Actually, not really.  Alpha dog gets the respect because of leadership qualities, not because of tenure.  Berkman isn't seen as a leader, more of a team funny guy but not a true leader because he doesn't take things as seriously as perhaps a Jeff Bagwell did.  You need balance, like having a Luis Gonzales that keeps a clubhouse loose, but a Jeff Bagwell that provides the leadership.

Lance is great for the clubhouse in the likes of a Luis Gonzales, but the heir to the Bagwell leadership crown has to be Pence and his aggressiveness and take no prisoner way of hitting the field and making everyone notice.  I say it's good in a way, because as soon as Pence establishes himself as that leader in 2008 the team will fall into place in terms of chemistry and leadership.  That is asking a lot from the young player, but he can handle it with Cooper's help.
You know, I hope somebody like Pence does take the "leadership" mantel on this team.  When I heard Everett was taking that role, I was a bit surprised, because while I loved him as a player, I just wasn't sure how long he would be with the team.  To me a leader on a team probably ought to be one that is going to be around a while, or at least considered an elite player by others, thus giving more weight to his comments.

And pulling from a different sport where leadership has been seen in their actions, I would like to hear that someone on the team was calling all these new guys and doing the old, "Welcome" type conversation.  It was one of the things I liked when I heard the Texans had acquired Shaub, when he was reported to be calling all the players on the team and talking to them.  Maybe that is a silly thing, but I think as a leader your role should be to bring the whole team onto one page, and contacting them when they join the team seems like the first thing a "leader" would/should do.

Just my thoughts.

341
Talk Zone / Re: CJ Nitkowski defends the Finger Man
« on: December 16, 2007, 01:30:03 am »
Recognizing the problem is the first step...
But when you are drunk, recognizing the step is the first problem...

343
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 16, 2007, 01:12:28 am »
Froback- It's a Federal Case. Radomski is looking at 25 years. The IRS and FBI and U.S. Atty are working this. Do some research.
That may be true, but to this point, as far as I know, Clemens has not been implicated, or even asked to testify.  So while you are correct, I don't know many details on that case, I am sure I would have heard of something like Clemens being indicted or even called to testify.  With the sports reporters in a frenzy over the stuff in the Mitchell report, I am sure this would be a big talking point.

344
Talk Zone / Re: CJ Nitkowski defends the Finger Man
« on: December 16, 2007, 01:08:31 am »
He did, about Clemens.  And no one responded to him.  So now I'm stuck searching for cheese.
I responded to his comments on Clemens, then I guess he felt the need to attack me, because I didn't agree with them.  Maybe I missed the "one" post he was refering to.  But since the thread was over 200 messages, sometimes these things run together.

345
Talk Zone / Re: CJ Nitkowski defends the Finger Man
« on: December 16, 2007, 01:06:56 am »
Hey Froback, if you can only quote me and somehow be lame using my words, you need to check out, Tonto!
Funny, the only time I quoted you in THIS thread, was AFTER your post I am quoting now.

And just to give you some insight into the cream joke, she is refering to your THIN skin, as in, you can't take ANYONE poking fun at what you say or how you say it.

So if this little bit gets you all pissy, perhaps posting on internet message boards is something you should avoid, because chances are someone is going to do it from time to time.  And with arguements you try to make, I am guessing you will run into it more than most.

346
Talk Zone / Re: CJ Nitkowski defends the Finger Man
« on: December 16, 2007, 01:01:44 am »
Read the point I made in my first respone. Now don't all get mad at me!

Just because some of the female posters here should change their user name to "Face like Ausmus' Glove" gives me no joy. Really.

Just shaking things up and want the best, want to talk real baseball and many here don't. Many here need to take their "jokes" elsewhere.

I'd love to see and Ed Wade thread with real, insightful comments.

Also, a Purpura thread with the same.

Here, half the time it looks like a Dairy Queen conversation. I know what DQ is. I'm just saying it's fucking lame.
I am going to guess you have never been on the board before you started posting.  But since you think you know the level of baseball acumen on this board, go ahead try to show us the way.  I think you will find if you actually read more, that there are many people here who post alot of baseball stuff.  The fact that we don't ONLY post baseball stuff should not come as a big shock, as I have never been on an sports message board that didn't throw in other crap too from time to time.  This board does a ton of traffic (take a look at the stats page), so guess what, there is only so many ways you can say things.  Although you do get a variety of methods people use.  Some like me tend to write more verbose versions of things, others like JimR, would basically tell you to "Fuck off" and be done with it.

And believe me, if he told you Fuck off, it wouldn't be for humor or to be trite, he really means it.

So why don't you stop posting crap about you, your comments, or others responses to you, and read about the stuff you claim you want to see, then try responding to what THEY say about it, rather than refering back to yourself.

347
Talk Zone / Re: CJ Nitkowski defends the Finger Man
« on: December 16, 2007, 12:49:43 am »
Don't feed the trolls.
I agree, but this seems like such a rare breed of Troll.  I find it like the car crash, you just can't seem to take your eyes off it because it is so extreem!  I mean, I know there are alot of stupid people in the world, but this is almost forging on new boundries.  I hate to think what might have occured to cause this... uhh... freak of nature.  I am just disappointed it didn't occur mid-week when more people are reading and responding.... I think I would have loved to see the fire-storm that would have resulted.

348
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 16, 2007, 12:34:42 am »
I made a post on this thread in earnest about Rocket and legal options and noone even cared to answer it. It's much more salient with Andy Pettitte's quote's from today. Fucking Ponderous.
I sure hope you were not refering to your post about Roger being F-ed cause it was a federal case.  Because as far as I know the only federal case linking Baseball Players and Steroids (or HGH) is BALCO, which is only linked to Bonds because he LIED to a grand jury.  The Mitchell report has ZERO legal nature to it.  It was something like an internal corporate investigation.

Not saying you won't seem maybe some drug trafficing stuff related to some of the "trainers" down the road maybe, but at least at this point, Clemens is in no legal trouble that I am aware of and certainly not on the Federal level.

And as for nobody responding to your 1 or 2 posts in a thread this long.... WFW

349
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 14, 2007, 10:33:04 am »
having grown up in texas, the thing i don't get is the suddenly crazy texas-ou rivalry.  it was certainly always a big deal with the texas-ou game, but seemingly only in the brown-stoops era has it become the juvenile shit-spewing fest that it currently is.  growing up, the A&M rivalry was always front and center, with oklahoma mostly being known because of the brian bosworth/barry switzer business than for being a hated rival of ut.
You are showing your age then.  I actually think Texas/OU was bigger than Texas/A&M for the majority of the 1900s, although i think Texas/A&M has been a "rivalry" longer.

350
Talk Zone / Re: Everybody relax, Congress will fix this right up
« on: December 14, 2007, 10:28:45 am »
Actually, they think we're stupid because they do this and then keep getting elected.  Or in the worst case, getting defeated by someone who "does this" a little better than they do.
You know, I wonder sometimes... cause the mind wants to wander alot while at work.....  If everyone in America actually voted at every election (rather than the like 12% that actually do) what would our government really look like?  Would they still behave the same way?  Would we still even have a "two party system"?

As with most of my wondering, it is something you can never really know the answer to, but they can make for some pretty interesting discussions.

351
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 14, 2007, 10:19:40 am »
I think there is nothing that will actually come out of this report, other than perhaps a stronger incentive for MLB and MLBPA to stay vigilant on the task of doing what they can to keep things like steroids out of their sport (even if just from a public perception angle).

I think if you are a fan and looking for something from this report, I think you can take aware that if this many people can be even remotely linked by documents or people's accounts without much if any cooperation from MLBPA or the players themselves, you can be sure that the actual number of people involved in this type of thing was dramatically higher than the report indicates specifically.

But since that would mean probably close to 50% if not more of all MLB players were involved even occasionally in steroids, nobody should be vilified for it in retrospect.  But with testing in place, I think you can hope it will be better monitored to try to avoid the situation getting that bad again.  You are NEVER going to eliminate these players from looking for something to give them a competitive advantage.  So while we want to have pure heroes to "worship" the reality is they are just a human as the rest of us.

352
Talk Zone / Re: Mario Williams is a f***ing stud.
« on: December 14, 2007, 10:00:11 am »
Most that dislike are bitter aggys who haven't won a title since the Third Reich or finished in the top 5 since the Eisenhower Administration.  Vince will be fine....2 years from now people will wonder when he learned to pass so well.  He has a real good game and then a real bad game now (look at his gamelog -- his QB rating will be 90+ or around 50).  He is passing much better, he messes up mostly from making bad decisions.  This is much like his soph year at Texas.

Mario is a stud.  I am happy for him.
I am an Aggie, and everything you say is true about A&M.  And while I would like them to do better, I hold no ill will to any player from Texas, except on the specific day they play, and even then it is more a matter of hoping the Aggies play better.

That being said, your comments on Vince and where he will be in 2 years, I would remind you that a ton of people said the same thing about Michael Vick.  Heck I just heard a Cowboy player on a radio show (yes I live in Dallas) actually claim if he was starting a franchise today, Vick would be his 1st pick.  I hope Vince does discover how to harness all his obvious talent and make it work to his benefit in the NFL (although I wish death upon the Titans because of Bud Adams).  I have just noticed that it is very rare that a player "suddenly" figures it out in the NFL.  Most show either the ability day 1, or a stead progress toward "figuring it out".  There was a time when QBs didn't play much in the early part of their career because the coaching knew they needed time to learn and adjust.  So what Tony Romo has done the last couple of seasons was more the norm, but in today's NFL if you are drafted high you are expected to come in and almost right away produce.  Vince has enjoyed a great deal of success winning games, but I think you are hard pressed to say he was a big reason for most of those wins.  Heck, even Rex Grossman went to the Superbowl, and I doubt anyone thinks he is a good QB.  So wins don't always tell the story with QBs, but I will say that QBs are rated more than any other position based on their teams wins and losses.

But as for the Texans and Mario Williams, I think they made the right choice.  I think if you are building a team, yes it is nice to have a good QB, good RB, good WR and such, but you want to build a team that will win consistently, you need to start with the DL and OL.  You work from there first, and then build the other parts.  The last things I think you add are the QB and RB, not that you don't look to add them, but what good is a QB if you can't protect them, and what good is a good offense if you can't stop the opponents.

Much like baseball where if you are building a team, you should focus as WadeSmith have preached, with pitching, defense and speed.  Having hitting is nice for show, and you will need it to win it all, but if you want consistent success, you need the others more.  In Football you need quality play in the trenches to win consistently.

And as for Mario not being the best, 2nd best or 3rd best on his team...  Give him some time.  He may not be one of them yet, but I bet you he will be soon.  He may never be "better" than AJ, but if I were to guess, he looks like he will be better than anyone else very soon.

353
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 14, 2007, 09:35:59 am »
If I may raise a concern, here, I think we should be a little careful with all of our cheering and jeering.  DQ is self-evidently an egotistical jerk, but he is still entitled to some sort of due process.  The tactics below, especially while they remain unconfirmed by a reliable second witness, seem to smack of Nazi Germany or Soviet Russia.  It seems that the use was so widespread that there should be plenty of witnesses around, which makes it all the more important to seek them out before condeming anyone.

And please note:  I really do mean a reliable second witness, not a second reliable witness ... However strong our suspicions may be, I do not think we yet have our first reliable witness.

I don't think it goes even close to Nazi Germany with this.  Nobody is filing charges against him.  He isn't being treated like Michael Vick.  And celebrities ALWAYS have crap said about them, and if I were guessing most are either not true or a gross exaggeration of the truth.  There is a billion dollar industry built on that type of stuff, and you can see it in every supermarket check-out lane as proof.

As I stated before, regardless of the truth, this type of stuff comes with fame, so if you want to be famous for all the good stuff it brings you, you should not be so naive to believe that you can avoid the bad stuff that comes with it too!

354
Talk Zone / Re: The Astros respond
« on: December 14, 2007, 09:25:47 am »
The book is even better.  In fact, any book by Christopher Buckley is worth reading.  I remember reading "Thank you for Smoking" on the subway and laughing out loud.  That is not considered acceptable behavior on the subway.
Neither was women riding topless, but it has happend before.

355
Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 14, 2007, 08:45:18 am »
If Burke truely is done with this club as far as a future is concerned and his trade value is nil, then the club has two choices, dump him or somehow find time for him to play everyday to increase his value (if possible).

If he isn't going to play everyday at the ML level to make that attempt (mostly because the team can't afford to have him play that much and still try to win), then they are left with AAA or releasing.  As I see it, that is where the Astros and Burke are at.  If it is THAT obvious to me, it SHOULD be obvious to Burke, but I am betting he still complains when they send him to AAA after ST.

356
Talk Zone / Re: Seemingly Unnoticed on the List
« on: December 14, 2007, 08:37:04 am »
Barry Bones
Good Grief, if you came up with that on your own... WOW!  that was really creative and funny.

357
Talk Zone / Re: Everybody relax, Congress will fix this right up
« on: December 13, 2007, 06:00:04 pm »
I love seeing my tax dollars wasted like this, don't you?

I look forwardbackward to a time when Congressmen (and women) meet only when there is something worthy of their attention.


ETA: Did my own FIFY, cause it will never happen this way again, but just think there was a time when this was actually true!

358
Talk Zone / Re: Can you still root for Tejada?
« on: December 13, 2007, 05:24:23 pm »
Plus I don't think these were the only guys doing it either.
It is kind of like turning on the light at night and seeing a roach.  You might think, "It is only one roach.", but those who know better think, "Aw crap, how many more are where I can't see them?"

359
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 05:22:08 pm »
Here comes Team Racket...

"Clemens enlists attorney to fight steroid allegations"

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/sports/5376995.html

Even if what he says is true, my general response is "You wanted to be famous, this kind of stuff comes with the good stuff too. Enjoy!"

360
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 05:20:14 pm »
Does Buddy boy seriously think it's a good idea to do that?  He has a policy now in place, he has an awareness now in place, he has the public now on his side that he and the league are paying attention to the sin.  Does he really think it's a good idea to take it too far and lose his gains and momentum?
While he may look like it at times, Bud isn't stupid.  But I am betting he uses this as a way to get stronger policies in place from the MLBPA without having to give up as much as he would have prior to the report being release.

In the end, this is going to be mostly about nothing... with the possible exception as a small PR boon to the owners (and Bud) for the appearance that they are for more to be done, because that is what the report suggests.

361
Talk Zone / Re: Seemingly Unnoticed on the List
« on: December 13, 2007, 04:47:37 pm »
PS.  If NJ is the "hazardous waste dump state," then Texas must be the "Pawn Shop State." 
Not sure I agree with that, but "Strip-club Central" might be something to consider.  Don't know about Austin, but in Dallas and Houston you can't throw a stick and not come close to hitting one.

362
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 04:14:00 pm »
I'm looking forward to the union presser at 5p CST.
You WANT to see that degree of spin-doctoring?  crap I am already dreading the next 11 months of that crap from the a-holes running for President!

363
Talk Zone / Re: Can you still root for Tejada?
« on: December 13, 2007, 04:12:24 pm »
I agree.  I don't see any spin which would absolve them.  Either they knew the report was coming out and Tejada might be on it, or they act dumb, like this revelation was all unexpected.  Neither explanation works.  Since I don't think they are stupid, I can only assume that they were unconcerned about the public taint attached to Tejada, and still confident in his ability to produce offensively without the aid of supplements.
They have the built in responses that are surround "Second chances" and "that was in the past and we are sure he has changed" or the always popular "We have discussed this with him, and he acknowledged it was wrong and assured us it won't happen again.  He has matured alot since then as a person and a ballplayer."

364
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 03:57:51 pm »
Yeah really. How about a do-over on that series?
Somehow I don't think Bagwell's shoulder is up to it.  (Not to mention Randy Johnson's noodle arm)

365
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 03:44:49 pm »
He went on to talk about finding an HGH urine test, through funding (with NFL) and some type of HGH summit.
You would figure that if two billion-dollar industries like the NFL and MLB actually pooled their resources to discover something in the area of medicine, they could find a cure for cancer if they wanted to.  The real question is how hard are they going to look/push for this kind of test?  I for one will be cynical about this much like I am about oil companies who claim to invest money in looking for alternative "clean" energy production methods.

By now we SHOULD all be zooming in cars like the Jetson's!

366
Talk Zone / Re: Astros named in report
« on: December 13, 2007, 03:41:41 pm »
DAS BOOT!
Hmm, new angle on the whole Tejada pick-up.  If you can't beat them, join them!

367
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 03:40:35 pm »
So who plays SS for the first 15 games?
Burke?

*ducks for cover*

368
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 03:39:28 pm »
Selig says:

No more 24 notice for testing.

The recommendations that he can do unilaterally, will be done immediately.

Will deal with active players identified. Club personnel as well. Discipline on case by case basis.

Will continue to find new ways to detect.
I know I am being naive about this but, for that last one, my response is "You mean you needed this f-ing report to tell you that?!?!"

369
Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 13, 2007, 09:33:51 am »
I know he's a shell of what he was as a marlin/expo and it would depend on the terms of an offer but livan large could give you 200 innings while keeping you in most games.   silva will cost a team a pretty penny in years/dollars.
Signing Silva would be a true test of the question to Drayton, "How bad do you want to win in 08?".

370
Talk Zone / Re: Clemens in the Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 09:31:25 am »
And you had to suffer through Mike and Mike to get your info. 

Bravo.
Honestly as far as sports talk radio goes, they are not so bad... except when they have guest hosts sitting in, like today was Salisbury. (who is terrible in everything I have seen him do)

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Talk Zone / The Mitchell Report
« on: December 13, 2007, 09:28:12 am »
I keep seeing ESPN reports like, "Tune in tomorrow for complete coverage of the Mitchell Report starting a 1PM (EST)."  and "Here is what we have been able to learn about the upcomming Mitchell Report... turn in at 1PM (EST) for complete coverage."

And I can't get out of my head something along the lines of ESPN having Samuel L. Jackson, James Earl Jones and Kevin Costner lined up to actually read the report on camera until they finish it.  You know where they rotate who is reading it to allow them to get a drink, get something to eat, sleep, while the other one is reading their section.

I have heard rumor the thing is like over 1000 pages long.... What do you expect from a former congressman?  They can make a Dick-n-Jane book 500 pages!

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The tough ones for sure.  I do also want to see how well Abercrombie will do as the fourth outfielder on this team.  He's a talented kid who somehow just hasn't put it together yet.  Maybe he'll turn out to be a Carl Everett in 1998 for this current Houston Astros.   You know, guy who hasn't put it together yet, but has talent waiting to explode.
HUGE difference though, C4 was given a starting gig, at best Abercrombie will be an occassional start and 4th OFer mostly. (barring injury of course)

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 13, 2007, 09:13:34 am »
We will end up shopping from the damaged goods bin and sign a Jennings, Garcia or Prior.

We'll be fine in the pitching dept, someone(s) will step up.

Good things from Wandy and Sampson this year.

Watch..................and see.
Let's see how did that phrase go... oh yeah

Half full glass kind of guy, eh?

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 13, 2007, 09:12:35 am »
i know where are the deals for the pitchers. as an astro fan i demand pitching
I think unfortunately for the Astros this offseason it takes two to make a deal and I think this trade is a perfect example that nobody with a pitcher you would want to trade for was willing to deal for what the Astros had to offer.

This is why it is SO important that the Astros draft well this year (and the next multiple years) in order to try to even get to average!

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Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 12, 2007, 05:45:35 pm »
Where else do you see Tejada potentially batting in the order?  Do you believe the overall lineup would look better with Pence at #3, and Tejada at #6?  Or just something completely different?  I'd also like to see Pence batting somewhere in the lineup that will get him to see better pitches.

If you are going to put anyone in the 6 spot other than Pence, I think Lee might be the best bet, but then, i am not sure how well any of the veterans would take moving to that spot.  Might be best to put Pence in the 2 spot than move one of them to the 6 spot.  IMO.

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Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 12, 2007, 05:42:30 pm »
Way ahead of you.  Tejada hitting third may not be etched in stone as some may think.  I would think Cooper has plenty of time to align this lineup correctly and help out his prized young player (Pence) with all these fine players hitting around him.  I'm not sold that Miguel hitting third is the best option of all what may be.
Me neither, but with Tejada being very much like Lee as far as hitters go (at least last year was an anomoly), it is hard to fit 2 #5 hitters and a #4 hitter and Pence into the 3-5 spots... someone gets bumped.  Unless you move Pence to the #2 spot as some have indicated, but then Tejada or Berkman bats 3rd and the other 4/5.  Otherwise if you move Pence to #3, you are probably looking at Pence/Berkman/Lee/Tejada as your 3-6, and if you do that, what impact would that do to Tejada?

Actually in the Lee and Tejada comparison, I think Lee is the better hitter, but I used Lee as the example because both drive in tons of RBIs with relatively less HRs than say a Berkman type.  Berkman seems to be more the ideal 4 hitter because of his power and lack of base-running skills.  If he had the later he is probably the best 3 hitter.  Pence is so agressive, you would ideallly like him infront of those other mashers and not behind, but again, you either put him in the 2 spot, or move one of the big contract mashers to the 6 spot, which sometimes messes with their ego.

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 12, 2007, 05:36:12 pm »
I agree with this completely and you can bet Wade knows it's a part of why he got the job.
REALLY?  Crap I must have missed that part in the Press Conference when Wade got the job.  Hmm, maybe that is where I got the idea from...

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Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 12, 2007, 05:30:26 pm »
Tejada is not (no matter what people think about him) a power hitter.  He is an RBI type guy, like Carlos Lee, he might hit 30 HRs, but that is probably around the max you should reasonably expect out of him.  What you should be hoping for is around .310 BA and 110+ RBIs.  If you look at his career, he has always produced lots of RBIs, but not a ton of HRs like you might expect.

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 12, 2007, 05:20:36 pm »
Oh, I'm fine.  I just think this deal wrecked the Astros for even longer than they would have been before.  They've dealt 2 of the top 5 prospects in the system plus 2 guys who look like they can be major league closers for a big time hitter but IMO will still not come close to the World Series.  I'm seeing 2000 all over again.  And, I really think those guys will have even greater value next winter.  That is when I expected to see a major deal, not this year.

Duman and I have been talking about the top 10 article recently.  You have no idea how bad the system is.  When you see our top 10/20 and others you will hopefully see that.  The Astros simply cannot afford to deal any prospects at the wrong moment.  I think that just happened.  I'm afraid the Astros are now the National League version of the Orioles.  I hope to heaven I'm wrong.
I know I am derailing the subject but...

The Astros prospect list is terrible, I know.  But if they didn't do this deal, is the team really better off?  I mean, sure they have a few more prospects on their list than after the deal, but the idea behind having a good system is to do one of two things, one: give you a pipeline of players to help you make your club better and two: give you trade chips for deals.  Now the Astros have less to do those things, but then while I like the potential of some of those guys, I am not sure if any of them would have produced more than some other guys that are still in the system.

I think Patton is the biggest loss, because he really seemed to be everything you would want in a pitcher coming up.  No he wasn't going to be an ace most likely, but he had everything to be a solid ML starter, and looked to be really close to showing that.  Albers I think, had his chance in 07 and couldn't pull it off.  When Nieve went down and he was given several starts to grab that rotation/roster spot, he just couldn't seem to put it all together.  I think he still has the chance to do what Wandy did, but the Astros didn't seem to be as willing to give him the opportunities that they gave Wandy.  So he rates as the 2nd biggest loss.  Sarfate kind of pulled a Pence when coming to Houston in that he did stuff he never showed the ability to do before, exercise strike zone control.  He might be something pretty special, but then Mil gave him up for virtually nothing, so then again he might not.  Losing Scott hurts only because he was a trade chip, and good insurance policy in case of OF injury, but then losing him doesn't really hurt the teams future, because he wasn't going to be a big player in that as much more than a trade chip.  And the new 3B kids, well...  He MIGHT be the next Ryan Howard, but then he MIGHT also be the next Crash Davis.

So I am not sure how I feel about this trade, because it was a ton to give up for just 1 player.  I think everything rides on the type of season Tejada has.  Trade or no trade at the end of 08.  There are several more pitchers who are close to being able to "attempt" to contribute, because the Astros pitching talent was starting to build up at the AAA level to the point where someone needed to "put up or shut up".  I felt it was likely there would be some deals this season (big or small) because of it.  Just seemed like too many guys who all looked the same, in that they looked close, but not sure if they were ready.  Now there is more room, which in some cases might be better, because now there is not the same pressure to show us now or never, like I think Albers was forced into.

For some that change might be good, for others it might not, but I think the organization needed to do something about that glut that was forming.  And while I would have preferred keeping Albers and Patton, at least they made a choice.  Which is better than what the club seemed to be doing previously, which was an inability to choose, which resulted in lots of guys yo-yo-ing.  I would prefer to see them make a choice and stick with it, and if it fails, cut bait and move to the next.  But at least give the guys a true shot, not this 2 starts and then move on stuff.

Crap, now I am rambling.  I guess what I wanted to say is that the club needed to address the minor league system before the trade and they still need to address it after, but the only way this club was going to do that (in either case) was via the draft, and this trade should not negatively affect that.  And to say the loss of the players is going to hurt the Astros long term, I guess it all depends on what you call long term.  And it also assumes the other players who are close to being ML ready, don't step up and fill that void.

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Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 12, 2007, 04:56:28 pm »
He costs me nothing.  Let Drayton do his Christmas shopping and then go get him.
Well it costs more in ticket prices.. but then they go up even when payroll goes down...

But I hope you understand the point, what would be your response if they signed him to 5 years and $70 Mil or so.  Not my money, but that would seem to be something people around here might cringe at.

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Talk Zone / Re: Wade to be on 790 AM at 4:20pm (nm)
« on: December 12, 2007, 04:54:31 pm »
Summary:

Discussions started prior to Winter Meetings
Were counting on Patton for 08, including him was difficult
Initial request from O's included "several guys in the everyday lineup"
Costanzo was the last addition to the deal
T's range has declined, but still capable
Expects oportunity to "reinvigorate" T
Mitchell Report - "whatever happens, happens"
From all I have heard (granted take with massive grain of salt), Tejada had kind of let him self go physically, because of the preception that the team was not doing anything to compete in the AL East.

Not sure how true that is, but if there was any truth to that, maybe the idea of playing in Houston will cause him to get back to working hard and getting in better shape.....  Ok, I think I am just dreaming out loud now...

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Talk Zone / Re: So much for pitching and defense!
« on: December 12, 2007, 04:50:37 pm »
Put me down as favoring Silva.
While I agree, I think most every other GM looking for SP also agrees, which means he is gonna cost ya.

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 12, 2007, 04:48:00 pm »
Not saying Tejada is not in decline, but that is kind of like saying Berkman is a hitter in decline, because I think (have not officially checked though) that both declined in offensive numbers by about the same amount from 06 to 07.

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Talk Zone / Re: Major announcement at 12:30
« on: December 12, 2007, 04:24:06 pm »
I think it has been mentioned but I am guessing this was part of the motivation:

Players age 30 or older : Pitchers - 4 (3 more that are 29) Fielders - 7 (8 with Tejada)

I am not sure how old this team is compared to most others, but I am guessing it isn't one of the youngest.

So I am guessing they figured that this was there best shot. Given the age of there core players (Berkman, Lee and Oswalt).  Pence is the only one under 30.

Not saying I agree with this, but I can understand the move.  And I have to admit, I feel better about the deal now, then when I first heard about Patton being involved.

Seems that when work is the slowest, nothing happens and when I am swamped, there is much to discuss... my luck I guess.

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Talk Zone / Re: Asking price for Scott
« on: December 12, 2007, 02:27:35 pm »
I think you're being selective and missing some. Taveras and Scott were brought in late.  Pence and Towles certainly were products of Astros development.  But, Patton and Wandy aren't the only pitchers of note.  Gutierrez, Paulino, Sampson, Albers have all contributed and are still inexperienced.  And other than Sampson they all appear to have higher ceilings than any position player prospect in the minors except maybe Costanzo who isn't a product of Astros development.
Well true, but I guess my point is, the Astros system has been pretty barren of well thought of position players more so than well thought of pitching potential.  This has not been a just last year thing either, but what I was trying to point out is that Taveras turned out to be an everyday player (yes mostly developed in someone else's system), and so has Pence, and I think it can strongly be argued that Scott has the ability to play everyday, but on this team is getting squeezed out.  Wandy is the only one to really stick.  Albers has made several attempts, but can't seem to put it all together and the team is having a hard time figuring out what he is, starter/bullpen guy.  Part of that is because of the issues on the team, part if his performance.  Sampson looks like a swing guy, which while necessary, is not exactly a real hard thing to find.  The others have had too little experience to know for sure.

I am not saying they don't have the potential, I am just comparing those that have "made it" and those that have not.  And while you can say some of these guys have "made it" from a pitching stance, I look at making it as being a regular starter/closer/prime set-up guy for pitchers and a regular (or close to it) starting position player.  So while the guys you have mentioned have made some impressions and still might make more, I have just seemed to notice more from the batting guys breaking in than the pitchers.

And yes I am being a bit more focused on the last couple of years, but then it has been really obvious the last couple of years that the Astros system has gone in the toilet and most of the time people talk about the lack of positional prospects (justifiably).  I was just wanting to point out that for all the supposed lack of position players compared to pitching prospects the team seems to have produced more bats than pitchers.

Only mentioning those that saw extend action for the first time and fit my "made it" description
2005: Taveras, Qualls (pitch 33 IN in 04), Wandy (struggle in 05 and 06, but made major strides in 07)
2006: Scott (really made impact down the stretch)
2007: Pence (nobody saw him being THAT good),

So in the last 3 years we have seen 2 pitchers and 3 hitters come up and "make it" based on my criterion.  This is not to say the pitching has not produced anything, just that I personally would have expected more simply because there was more "talent" in the pitching side of the system each of those years, and supposedly next to nothing in the hitting and yet there were more batters coming out than pitchers.

I didn't include Sampson, because until they put him in the starters role and leave him there, or he rises to be more than a middle innings guy, I don't think his value is really that much.  And Backe was not included because he came from TB where he was already breaking in, at least with Taveras and Scott their first real ML action was with the Astros.

And right now on this team, it seems like they really could use some good pitching more than additional hitting (not that more hitting wouldn't be worth getting).  So I am really hoping that one of these guys on the cusp, like Albers, Patton or the others really steps up and makes the kind of impact that this team needs.  So far even with Wandy it has been more lack of better options than him claiming a spot unquestionably, at least until this year.

I guess that is more the point I was trying to make.

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Talk Zone / Re: Asking price for Scott
« on: December 12, 2007, 11:11:20 am »
Agreed.  One thought I have though - am I wrong in my impression that, as bad as the pipeline is, the pitching prospects are still vastly stronger than the position prospects?
While it is true that the Astros have better prospects on the pitching side than the hitting side at the moment, which part of the team needs more help?  Which is harder to acquire good pitching or good hitting?

I think when you look at those, I think you can understand why the pitching is sought after more.  And besides, just because you have more pitching prospects doesn't mean you will actually produce more quality ML level players there.  Look at the team just recently.  The best players to come up recently have almost all been position players, from Taveras and Scott, to Pence and Towles this year.  Patton and Wandy are the only ones who seemed to have shown something more than boarderline level of play recently.

Just some of my thoughts on it, at least.

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Talk Zone / Re: Talk about going to la-la land....come if you dare...
« on: December 07, 2007, 09:17:00 am »
Don't try that bullshit with me.   I know pitching and defense wins in the game, I spent 4 years on a HS team plus like 10 years of little league.   I'm not some sabermetric geek.   I also know that I never have been nor never will be comfortable with luke scott or ty wigginton batting 5th in the order in 2008 or beyond.       

Scott is overrated with the bat, do to his inconsistency. He's an average corner outfielder at best.  If he was that good, the astros would get the starter they want for him right now.  Instead they got offered middling prospects by SD.   In your 3-5 spots in the order consistency is critical.      Again, a deal like this robs peter( a dropoff from pence to scott is pretty big) to pay paul.   You help the rotation but create a gaping lineup hole.   

I'd prefer to get a number 2 starter via other means.  Eventually I think scott can bring a nice innings eater type for the number 2 spot, especially if packaged with a guy like albers, but that will be when fukudome signs and people realize scott at the minimum > geoff jenkins at 7-8 mil.

The only pitcher I part with hunter for right now(unless they could get a bat to replace him like tejada)  that is currently being shopped is if the twins would do him for johan(the best pitcher on the planet) and that would only work if they could agree on a contract extension.   Lincecum was erratic last year as it is, but obviously I realize his talent and potential.

And yes, I agree they need pitching now if they want to go anywhere now or in the future.   I just don't use pence to get it unless it is Santana with a contract extension that Drayton would be willing to pay.
I guess I can buy all that.  I may not agree, but I can accept your stance.  It does make sense.

I am not willing to just give Pence away either, but in my view Lincecum looks pretty good, and there is no way the Astros have enough to realistically compete with many teams for the top tier guys like Bedard or Santanna.  And personally I think this might be the buy low time on Lincecum anyway.  (and based on track record maybe the sell high time for Pence.)

So the Astros have a gaggle of young potential starters fighting over spots right now, but none of them look like they will be as good as Lincecum has shown so far... that might be off, because sometimes you never know when someone will step up and surprise you.  But I like the idea of having a rotation that starts off Oswalt, Lincecum, Patton for several years.  To me, you can always find enough offense if you have that kind of pitching.

I think another aspect that I take into account is that Pence is probably best at LF, not RF, and with Lee slotted as the LFer for the next several years, the defensive outfield of the Astros might be something teams take advantage of (even with Bourn patrolling CF).  Don't get me wrong, I don't want to change for the sake of changing, but it makes giving up Pence that much easier to swallow.  Is Scott a better fielder than Pence, I think that is questionable at best.

I still go back to the fact that "I think" the Astros as a team might be better with Lincecum than with Pence, at least right now.  So while I can understand your position, I just have a different opinion.

All this is really not much of an issue, at this time, because we have no real info about the Astros even TALKING to SF about Lincecum.  And it is highly possible they are working on getting some other pitcher, and won't have to give up Pence to get him.  Maybe Scott can be used as the chip to land that "other" pitcher.  But if SF does come along and IS willing to do a 1-for-1 with Lincecum and Pence, I know I would fully be behind THAT deal.  Still just a lot of SAMs at this point though.

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Talk Zone / Re: Talk about going to la-la land....come if you dare...
« on: December 06, 2007, 05:22:22 pm »
I like lincecum, but I wouldn't do this unless the tejada deal goes down or a similar transaction.   You are robbing peter to pay paul by creating a hole again in the middle of the order.   
Hmm, maybe you have not heard, you win with pitching and defense.  I love what Pence provides to the team, but until the Astros address their starting pitching needs, this team will struggle (at best) to be in the playoff hunt.

And as has been pointed out by several, Scott isn't a slouch with the bat.  Moving Pence would not hurt the offense NEARLY as much as adding Tim would help the pitching.

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Talk Zone / Re: Say it ain't so!!!
« on: December 06, 2007, 05:16:49 pm »
Out of curiosity, does the sampe size actually justify the extra degree of precision?  If we're going to screw with tradition, why not:

Player A: .28/.33/.46 with 22 HRs and 113 Ks
Player B: .30/.36/.44 with 18 HRs and 55 Ks
Ty had 547 ABs and Tejada had 514 in 07.  Depends on what you think a good sample size is I guess.

It is not like either (or both) only had like 200 ABs or anything.  500ABs is considered to be an everyday player, right?  I think that is the number you need to qualify for those end of year rankings at least.

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Talk Zone / Re: Some insight into the process of FA signings
« on: December 06, 2007, 04:56:10 pm »
I don't know, from rumors I have heard (and made up), Pettitte likes it when you reach around.

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Talk Zone / Re: Say it ain't so!!!
« on: December 06, 2007, 04:55:07 pm »
I know Tejada is a name and all, but maybe people haven't noticed how much he dropped off last year.

I am comparing him to Wigginton because I have heard SO MUCH about his defense at SS going to crap and the need for him to move to 3B.  But still it gives perspective:

Player A: .2779/.3328/.4589 with 22 HRs and 113 Ks
Player B: .2957/.3574/.4416 with 18 HRs and 55 Ks

Now looking at those, it is really hard to tell the difference between them.  Even if you could figure out which player is which, is one worth the difference you would have to pay to move Wigginton for Tejada?

Now maybe you could say that 2007 was a result of Tejada not being happy or maybe even injured or something (cause I really didn't follow Balt, I don't know).

His 2006 numbers definitely would make me happy with his .330/.379/.498 and 24 HRs.  Just something to think about.


Oh btw, Player A is Wigginton, Player B is Tejada.

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Talk Zone / Re: Yankees decline arb to Villone
« on: December 04, 2007, 03:47:12 pm »
Once dominant but now mostly ineffective?
Villone?  or Boras?

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Talk Zone / Re: Scott to San Diego?
« on: December 04, 2007, 03:45:27 pm »
Houston did SO well in 2007 that San Diego, who lost the one-game play in to the playoffs in 07, said "I want me some of that!"

And has acquired Ensberg, Lane and now potentially Scott....

I guess it takes some people a bit longer to learn that ramming your head into a wall is going to hurt you more than the wall.

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Talk Zone / Re: Winter Meetings
« on: December 04, 2007, 03:41:14 pm »
A's and Diamonback talk

Apparently Billy Beane is asking the Diamondbacks to send him four players, one of which is a good outfield prospect (Gonzales).  I personally do not think Beane will trade his relievers (Street or anyone else) when he can get teams to jump at his whim on Haren and Blanton.

The Dojers are said to be working on getting Blanton, so Beane is going to rake in a haul when all is said and done, maybe upwards of 8 quality young players for two starters.
But isn't that how the A's (and Twins for that matter) always operate?  Trade good players (as if they were great players) for lots of good prospects.  The idea behind always having good young players first starts with have a ton of good prospects.  Given that only a few of a group of prospects actually develops into a good player, the more prospects you have the better your odds of getting a (or a few) good players.

And Beane seems to know when to let them go for the biggest return.  (Well he does it better than most GMs who try similar tactics.)

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Talk Zone / Re: Carlos Quentin to the White Sox
« on: December 03, 2007, 04:33:59 pm »
i know Jackson's dad. word is Conor would welcome a trade.
Conor caught my attention his last year in AAA.  I have thought he was getting a pretty raw deal in Arizona, but then I have thought that about others before and turned out wrong.

Just seems like either he hasn't clicked like I thought he would in the Majors or the team isn't giving him a chance too.  Sometimes it is hard to tell the difference.

396
Talk Zone / Re: Jerry Craznick sez:
« on: December 03, 2007, 04:31:29 pm »
While I am not against moves that might improve the club, so far none of the FA names who are left with the possible exception of Silva, really do much for me.

Is the team really in need of a veteran pitcher that much?  Seems to me that the young guys they have fighting over the starting spots now are about on the same level as these other veteran types.  And at least the young ones "MIGHT" exceed expectations, whereas most veterans do about what you expect.

Not saying I am against getting a FA starter, but do any of them really excite you more than, Wandy, Brandon, Matt, Troy, <instert Astros boarderline starter/bullpen/AAA pitcher name>?

Now if the team is working on some trade where some (or all) of those young pitchers are gone, I can see grabbing someone.  But right now, with what is out there, I am not so sure.

But then I am not studying things as closely as I hope the GM and his team are.

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Talk Zone / Re: Matsui reported to be Astro
« on: December 01, 2007, 12:10:28 am »
Whew, just got through this whole mess.

OK, I think we all can agree that Matsui might be the best option for the Astros 2B given those that are currently available (to our knowledge) based on the WadeSmith professed philosophy of "Pitching, Defense and speed and the hitting will take care of itself."

If you can at least buy that part and it is true that the Astros have signed Matsui (which would make the point moot anyway (or was it moo... )).  Then you have to look at the line-up and options.

Well the team (Cooper) has come out and stated pretty much that Bourn is lead-off and Pence/Berkman/Lee make 3/4/5 in some order.  That leaves the following people to fill 2/6/7/8: Everett, Matsui, Towles and Wigginton.

Just breaking those down, I have not heard anyone suggest Wigginton or Towles to be top of the line-up types.  So unless something really odd happens I think we can take them out of the mix.  That leave Everett and Matsui for the options at the 2 spot in the line-up.

Now if we just take Arky's Matsui numbers sans Coors of a .309 OBP and think that looks pretty terrible, what would we think of Everett's .299 OBP instead?  Now I understand Everett has most of his ABs in the 7/8 spots, but still, I am guessing he is not going to turn into a .333 OBP guy just by moving him to the 2 spot and the sample size on AE in the 2 spot is just too small to believe that is a clear indicator of his production there.

In the end, the Astros seem to have two choices for the 2-spot in the order, Matsui and Everett.  From an OBP neither is desirable, but seems to me, if I were the Astros I might be leaning toward the player who has more experience in the role that a 2-hole hitter fills.  And that seems to be hands down Matsui.  So any futher mental masturbations should be kept in context of the Astros options and not vs the "ideal".

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect List Thread
« on: November 30, 2007, 02:02:35 pm »
I always question grades like that on players.  What does a C mean exactly?  Is that your projection of the player long term? is that based on their progress this year?  is that compared to their expectations going into the season?

Mostly it looks like crap to me.  Give me some insight you have heard from scouts.  Let me know some background stuff on your opinion of him.  I figure Sickles should have that kind of access.  I know they pump these things out cause the "masses" howl for these type of things, and then like to howl their responses to each other about them, but I would expect more from a guy writing the MiLB.com.  This is where they are "supposed" to be experts in this type of thing.

So skips the "grades" and give me true evaluations, with stuff to back it up.

399
radio this morning: did not take anything either time. left a knife on the bed the first time. caught him home this time and shot him in the groin.

what does that sound like to you?
Actually it sounds even more vicious than just a hit.  It sounds like a guy who knew where to hit to get the kill, but make it a slow and painful kill.

400
Talk Zone / Re: Astros agree to terms with Brocail
« on: November 27, 2007, 10:06:42 am »
Which means that even if Brocail were offered arbitration the Astros will not lose a draft pick.
That is correct, SD would get some extra late sandwich round pick, but it doesn't actually cost the Astros anything (other than their pick comes one later in the 3rd? round).

401
radio this morning: did not take anything either time. left a knife on the bed the first time. caught him home this time and shot him in the groin.

what does that sound like to you?
Sounds like after the first time I would not have been staying there until I had better security (at least if I made his kind of money).

402
Talk Zone / Re: Astros agree to terms with Brocail
« on: November 27, 2007, 09:31:03 am »
My guess is that Borkowski moves on.  I can't imagine there would be any compensation, but Brocail was not type B was he?
Yes, Brocail was a type B FA.  He was 45th of all NL Relief pitchers (57 were A or B).

403
it was no robbery. it was a hit.
Yeah, I guess it certainly seems that way.  I guess part of me was hoping he was leaving that type of lifestyle in his past... but then I guess that might also account for the cause too.

In any event it is sad.

404
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Tank Fatheree
« on: November 27, 2007, 09:20:42 am »
I think if he makes it into baseball management (with any club) your wish would have to be considered granted.  I think that would definately be his dream (at this point in his life).

405
Talk Zone / Re: 2008 HOF Ballot candidates released
« on: November 27, 2007, 09:18:40 am »
I think there is some screening process:
http://web.baseballhalloffame.org/hofers/bbwaa.jsp
While technically that might be true, I think it is often just a rubber stamp based on 10-years played.  I love JD, but even he made the ballot (and even got 1 vote).

So many guys who have ZERO chance make the ballot each year, so you have to figure the requirements are either really low, or something simple like 10 years experience.  I think this committee is to ensure that someone like a Koufax would not be left out if they actually had a yrs exp min.

406
Talk Zone / Re: Scrubs re-ink Kerry Wood
« on: November 27, 2007, 09:13:50 am »
When he pitches he is pretty darn good.  Last year:BAA 207, WHIP 1.27, less than a hit an inning .75 per, 24 s.o. in 24 innings. The guy has only pitched a little over 100 innings total in the last 3 years, if you look at the glass 1/2 full it is a vetran with an arm that is rested. IMHO the cubs got a good deal on Wood for next year, of coarse they had to pay him and get next to nothing for the past 3 years to get it.
Ok, while that all may be true.  Even if he is a closer (which I have my doubts if he can be) he will earn at least $4.2 Mil min.  And my guess lots of his $3.45 extras probably are tied to stuff like saves and IP or the like.  IF he does indeed stay the closer he could earn $7.65 Million.  Which is not terrible for a closer but on the expensive side for someone who has never done it before.

And if he can reach some of those extras without being the closer, he will be a very expensive middle reliever (or even set-up guy).  Seems awfully pricey for an iffy closer.  I am glad it was the ScRubs paying that price and not the Astros. 

407
Talk Zone / Re: Jayson Stark on Lidge, Bourn and Josh Anderson
« on: November 27, 2007, 09:01:21 am »
More walks, too. Of course, Stark refers to 2005, but Lidge's numbers were much better in '04: .174 average against, .254 OBP, .290 SLG. Yeeeeeshhh. He basically turned the average hitter into a pitcher with a bat.
I am not so sure it wasn't worse than that, given who he might have been called in to face in 04 (Dotel started the year as the closer).  He actually might have been turning Middle of the line-up type hitters into pitchers.  And it wasn't just 1 AB, but for the whole season (at least every AB he pitched in that season).

408
Talk Zone / Re: Kielty
« on: November 27, 2007, 08:54:20 am »
Not saying he wouldn't be nice to have, but from what I have heard he is pretty much like Luke Scott.  More stick than defense type corner OFer.

Seems like if the Astros got him, I would would expecting a future trade involving Scott shortly there after.

409
Talk Zone / Re: Yankees/Twins talk Santana trade...
« on: November 27, 2007, 08:49:57 am »
In other news, water is wet.

http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7493250
The asking price for him is super high.  I think someone did a breakdown of realistic candidates based on trade asking price and Santanna's extension (supposed) demands.  I am sure the article is linked in some other thread.

Unless the Yankees are offering Chamberlin, I am not sure they have the trade chips to land him.  But in the end if Houston doesn't land him, I am not that concerned...

410
Talk Zone / Re: Astros agree to terms with Brocail
« on: November 27, 2007, 08:47:23 am »
Just running through names in my head for the BP, obviously nothing is guaranteed:

Qualls (probably best of remaining last year's pen)
Villiareal (acquire via trade from Atl)
Brocail (just signed, based on this thread)
Geary (acquired via trade from Phi)
Sarfate (did well for Houston, erratic for Mil)
----------------
Nieve (DLed last year, out of options, I think)
Albers (Not sure options status, rotation looks like might push him to BP)
Sampson (Not sure options status, was on yo-yo last year, but might fill Moehler role)
Borkowski (did pitch in 64 games last year)
McLemore (Lefty option)
Paulino (late season call-up 07)
Gutierrez (late season call-up 07)

Not sure if I missed someone, but I think I addressed all who are on 40-man who are potentials to make bullpen.  I didn't include Patton cause I think he is a starter either in Hou or in RR.

The line is where I cut-off the probables to the maybes.  With a 12 man staff, that leaves 2 spots left outside of my probables and barring trading some of them away.

411
No doubt, very tragic.

Early story is that it was the 2nd home robbery in like 8 days.

Also very poor luck on Taylor's part as he was shot it the thigh, but the bullet hit a major artery, which lead to the massive bleeding.

Never a good thing when people die like this.

My thoughts are with his family and especially his 18 month old child.

412
Talk Zone / Re: Your NL MVP
« on: November 26, 2007, 02:39:07 pm »
huh?
I think he might be quoting a different Jim.

413
Talk Zone / Re: a shortstop named Jan
« on: November 26, 2007, 02:18:16 pm »
sort of.
Based on your previous posts, I could tell.

(Sorry, that was just too easy, like setting it up on a tee and all)

414
Talk Zone / Re: Your NL MVP
« on: November 26, 2007, 02:16:44 pm »
I have a character in Second Life.  He is also called Limey and also spends far too much time in a baseball-related chatroom.  The only difference is that Second Life Limey can fly.
I guess this must be a sign of my age, but I don't get Second Life.  I mean, I waste too much of my time as it is.  If I had a Second Life, too, there wouldn't be enough hours in the day to sleep.

If you want to improve your life, try doing it in the real world, rather than creating a virtual "Second Life" and doing it there.

415
Talk Zone / Re: More analysis of the Bourn trade
« on: November 26, 2007, 02:12:08 pm »

416
Talk Zone / Re: 2008 HOF Ballot candidates released
« on: November 26, 2007, 01:17:02 pm »
Seems like Blyleven is out vote here.

Mine:
Blyleven
Dawson (it is a shame what that field did to his knees)
Murphy (numbers don't stack up when looking at him now, but he did win 2 MVPs)
Raines (boarderline to me on him, but was feeling generous)


As an asside Lee Smith is the reason (IMO) why closers get a bad wrap.  Guy vultured a ton of saves helping to create the new "specialized" 9th inning only type closer.  It definately cheapened what the previous era closers did, and makes them look less because of it.

417
Talk Zone / Re: 2008 HOF Ballot candidates released
« on: November 26, 2007, 12:55:26 pm »
I still think that Tommy "Tommy John Surgery" John should get in for his contributions to sports medicine.  If they'll let in Lou Gehrig on the same pretense, it works for me.
Umm, you think maybe he was voted in based on merit and not his "contributions to sports medicine"?  And if you think THAT was why he was voted in, exactly how is ALS anywhere related to a sports medicine issue?

418
Talk Zone / Re: good game, Ags
« on: November 26, 2007, 11:01:41 am »
I think the big question is recruiting.  But that really depends on the staff he puts together...
With Sherman that might be true, but then Fran could recruit well, it was just he couldn't seem to coach as well as he needed too.  But then according to him his WR core sucked, so maybe it was his recruiting too.  Tech certainly landed a pretty awesome WR this past year in Crabtree.

419
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Jonny Ash?
« on: November 26, 2007, 10:59:14 am »
I may be losing it, but I swear I saw something recently about Ash signing with another club ... Did anyone else see that?  Link??
As if I needed another reason why Ash couldn't be the Astros 2B in 08...

Just for the record, while I view Ash as more of a 2B option for the Astros than most, it does not mean I think he would be a GOOD option, just perhaps better than the ones others have speculated (Burke/Ransom).

420
Talk Zone / Re: good game, Ags
« on: November 26, 2007, 10:56:55 am »
i have a friend at work who had the Sherman info two weeks ago.
Not that is matters, but was that a done deal then?  Rumor had it that Spurrier and Tuberville were options, but don't know how much of that was media speculation than reality?

421
Talk Zone / Re: Another Name to add to the wish list?
« on: November 26, 2007, 10:53:19 am »
Nothing is worth dealing with the O's.
Thus my requirement of a hole in the head.  I agree dealing with THAT owner is almost on the same level as dealing with Boras (although a different kind of head-ache).

This is purely hypothetical, assuming the owner could somehow keep his mits out of the deal, what do you think it would take?  If the roles were reversed and you were a fan of Balt, who would you want them to get?

I think in the end, any deal that could land him is out of the Astros reach, either in terms of cost being too high, or the Astros not having enough, but just curious since the rumor of his availability has been made known.

422
Talk Zone / Another Name to add to the wish list?
« on: November 26, 2007, 10:28:43 am »
Ok, I am fully aware that the Astros chances of landing this guy are probably only slightly more likely than them landing Santanna (which is about as close to zero as you get), but what would it take to get Bedard from Balt?

Other than a hole in your head for even talking to this team after the whole Tejada nightmare, what types of players would it take?  Obviously we are talking Pence or Patton probably being a must in this deal, but what else, and would it be worth it?

Would you offer Pence, if you could keep Scott, plus others to get Bedard?  You would think the Astros would have some ML ready pitchers to throw in the deal as adding Bedard would give you Oswalt, Bedard and Woody as likely 3 of your starters and Backe's trade value isn't probably enough to get him included but Wandy or Patton or even Albers would.  Seems like they could include 2 of those 3 (obviously prefering to keep Patton around).

Just trying to see how much people think they would have to give up to even be in the picture of landing him, and if that would really be worth it, in the long run.

423
Talk Zone / Re: good game, Ags
« on: November 26, 2007, 10:20:32 am »
Texans offensive coordinator Mike Sherman has been hired to replace Dennis Franchione. Press conference tomorrow at 11.
It never ceases to amaze me how quickly things like this come out on this board.  Not sure if this was just from web browsing or inside info, because we have both on this board.

424
Talk Zone / Re: Aggie/Longhorn Smack
« on: November 24, 2007, 02:13:14 pm »
The honest truth, while A&M wants to beat Texas more than anyone else, the rivialy is pretty respectful.  Perhaps it wasn't always so, but it has been in recent times (90s on).

Maybe that's just me though.

425
Talk Zone / Re: good game, Ags
« on: November 24, 2007, 09:20:26 am »
Sorry if in the other thread I seemed like I was down on the option, that was not my intention. What I was trying to say is they should have been running the offense like they played yesterday, which in my mind is what they did last year.

They have a talented QB, and while he can run the option, he seems like he can do so much more in the type of offense they played against Texas.

426
Talk Zone / Re: Aggie/Longhorn Smack
« on: November 24, 2007, 08:58:39 am »
As has been seen on both sides of the ledger, just because one is a good pro coach does not mean one is a good college coach.

I agree X's and O's are they same, but you have a different level of talent from one to the other, which requires you to modify things a bit, some coaches make that adjustment with no problem, others struggle.

The other thing that is a radical difference, at least going from Pro to College is the recruiting aspect.  The elite coaches are typically refered to as "closers".  They are the ones expected to be the one who cements a kids commitment to the program.  You have to be able to do the right type of convincing to make them pick you over the other head coaches who are "wooing" them.  This is often the hardest thing to do for most coaches.  If you can do it well, you can really flourish in college football, if not... well...  Don't expect to last too long.

If Sherman is the one they are targeting (I have no idea), he is a good coach, the question is will he be able to recruit.  A&M has everything that Texas or OU has, except the National Respect earned from years of great success.  Texas and OU are on the Elite level of College football.  A&M is on a level below, but because they have the financial backing that is equal to the Elite Level teams, they could one day achieve that, but it would take a special coach, one that can build a program to top 10 level and sustain it beyond just one or two years.  That coach would also have to be willing to ignore Elite School's offers when they come calling, not that anyone could out bid A&M.  Those coaches are pretty rare finds.  I thought they might have that for their basketball program, but then he bolted to Kentucky.

I thought it interesting because what was Duke's basketball before coach K?  Now he IS the big dog on campus.  Winning does that for you.  If A&M ever hopes to be elite in anything they need a coach who is willing to try to make himself into a coach K type for them.  I was foolish enough to believe that Fran might have been that guy when he was hired... too bad that didn't work out.

427
Talk Zone / Re: Jayson Stark on Lidge, Bourn and Josh Anderson
« on: November 21, 2007, 02:21:55 pm »
No doubt Phily is a tough place to play.  But like more places like that, the opposite can also be true.

If you "Wow!" them early on, you can often build up enough credit that they ignore occassionally issues.

But I agree the way he performs in April and May will play big on their reactions to him later in the year.

Show yourself to be dominate early and they will love you.  Fall flat early, and you are screwed.

428
Talk Zone / Re: Aggie/Longhorn Smack
« on: November 21, 2007, 02:11:03 pm »
Being an Aggie, I thought I would weigh in.

No doubt Slocum got a raw deal.  He was everything you wanted in a college coach.  He had a bit of bad luck in having some down years recruiting... Not that they were getting bad High School talent compared to other schools, just that they didn't develop like you would have expected them to.  You see that on every level of sports, couple of bad drafts in the NFL can kill you, it is just magnified in College, when you only have kids for 4-5 years max, you HAVE to hit on some each year to be successful.

I was big on the Fran hiring.  I have since watch alot of problems.  If you blame the Head Coach for the results (play?) of his coaching staff, then you have to blame Fran, because these guys have not shown to be much at all in developing players or schemes.  You figured the 4-2-5 scheme they were running for a while would mean really good against the pass, but they have been pathetic vs the pass every year that Fran has been the HC (at least compared to the teams they are "measured" against).

I don't dislike the option, but you have to be able to have versatility in an offense, and often times if you focus on the option, you really hurt the development of other parts of your team.  I think Fran has been too much in love with the option.  Just because you QB can run, and you have 2 strong tailbacks, doesn't mean you SHOULD run the option.  You can run up the gut too, and then mix it up with some sweeps (or option runs) and then play-action pass.  Even if the run is your bread-n-butter you have to be able to pass too.  I thought McGee produced better last year than this year.  And that was because they passed it more.  Maybe the WR core is really that terrible, but then you could also lay that at the feet of Fran.

Fran also doesn't seem to be a good coach in-game, being able to make the correct adjustments to deal with what the defense (or offense) is doing different than what you prepared for.  And he is really quick to abandon things that should be more of a role in his game plan, like running Lane a bunch.  

In College football it is all about match-ups.  Finding something you do well where they other team cannot handle it.  Right now, A&M has a RB in Lane that is so unique in college football, that that should be your #1 thing to make teams deal with first.  "We are going to run it down your throat with a guy bigger than your DT.  Show me you can deal with that!"  After they start to adjust to dealing with that, you have Goodson there to spread them out with sweeps and a change of pace.  Goodson is good enough to be the starting RB at most big schools, but he is more a typical RB, where as Lane is unique.  You should still use both alot early.  Then when the defense starts packing it in, you start play-action passing.  This is where McGee can become the dual threat, if the play breaks down, he can move to buy time, or if the opening occurs run for big yardage.

The reality is that this team just doesn't do that.  To me, this season at least, the team looks like it has NO CLUE what it's identity is, nor what they really want to do with the ball.

During games when they do look like they have a plan, they typically play well.  The problem is, that isn't happening against the bigger competition.  Although I will say that different parts of the team do respond to different games.  I thought the defense played very well against OU, but then the offense couldn't pull it's head out of it's ass, so the team go spanked.  To win against the better teams you have to have both sides playing well.  So far that has not happened.

This year, more often than not, it has been the offense that is MIA.  The defense has been getting warn-down and eventually bad things happen.  Kansas and OU are prime examples of this.

The one thing in A&Ms favor, is Texas has been playing about the same way all year too.  This  game could be very ugly for either team (or both) depending on who shows up to play and who doesn't (from both teams and both sides of the ball).

I think right now, from what I can see, both teams are pretty terrible for what they SHOULD be.

Fran is going to be gone.  He had his perfect job and totally blew it.  From what I have seen, he is NOT a very good coach for the level A&M is at.  He looks like a pretty good recruiter at getting people in, especially when you consider that Texas and Oklahoma are typically the preferred option for most of the best Texas talent (not including other National Powerhouse schools outside of the region).  So it should not be expected that A&M should beat Texas and OU every year, but given the talent he has garnered, he should be doing better than he is.

The option is a nice offense, but when you have the talent resources like A&M does, you should be able to do more than that.  They certainly look like they have a QB who can do more (as evidenced by last season).  The only reason why this team doesn't do me, to me, should be coaching.

I don't think A&M will get such a "hyped" hire this time like they did with Fran, unless you are getting a coach who is trying to regain something he lost (or screwed up), like Spurrier (not that I think they will get him, but someone of his ilk).

So Fran is gone, and I am not that sad to see him go (although I felt differently last year at this time).  This team had the look of a team moving forward, but this year they regressed badly, and most of that (to me) looks like it is coming more from the coaching staff than the players themselves.

429

I didn't interpret his comments to mean that.
Could it mean, maybe, that he is trying to distance himself from Boras, or at least trying to differentiate himself from Boras?

Just a thought, because it looks like owners are starting to black-ball Boras (and not via collusion).

430
I think it an indication at least.

He encourages his players to remain with the same team if they offer reasonable contracts.
Someone like Boras encourages his players to always sign with the highest bidder.

I think both seek players who fit the style they like to use in contract talks.  Helps them keep from getting fired for not matching up with the personality of the player.  I think that type of thing is very common among agents.

They like knowing they will keep a steady income like the rest of us, and by steady I mean not losing their players to other agents, especially around the time of big paydays.

431
Talk Zone / Re: Blum back in Mud and Blood?
« on: November 15, 2007, 08:44:52 am »
Wow!  What an offseason.

I am sitting here thinking about all the previous offseason when the Astros name was never mentioned in any offseason rumors, FA or Trade.

This year we have seen them make 1 trade already, and be mentioned in association with the following names for sure:

Cordero
Iguchi
Castillo
Blum
Loretta
Wolf
Garland (off-hand speculation based on references to Astros-WhiteSox rumors)

I am sure this list isn't even all of them either.  And then throw in some what realistic thoughts about Rolen. Pretty cool if you ask me.

432
Talk Zone / Re: Cardinals forced to trade Rolen
« on: November 14, 2007, 03:29:55 pm »
The biggest question is what does Wade have to offer the cardinal? IMO they will want pitchin and prospects? The astro just got a pretty good 3rd base prospect in the Lidge deal, now which pitcher?? Wandy? Is that enough?
Astros are looking for starting pitching, hard to imagine they would give away ones they have.  Wandy was arguably the 2nd best the Astros had last year.  Even if he isn't a #2, he was for Houston in 07.

I figure the market is going to be pretty down on Rolen given his injury history, the FA 3B that are available and the fact that Cabrerra is being offered around.  Seems like it might be the best time to buy low.

433
Talk Zone / Re: Blum back in Mud and Blood?
« on: November 14, 2007, 03:27:37 pm »
Blum was a fan-favorite, more so than Lamb.  And Blum seemed to have a knack for big hits at big moments.  Lamb seemed to be a bigger threat, but not sure I would say he had MORE big hits than Blum.

Blum is more reliable with the glove, so I figure it is about a wash among the two, depending on what your need is.

If Blum is Lamb's replacement color me happy.  You could do a whole lot worse.  And keep in mind Scott could still be the lefty power threat.  Although he has not shown to be very consistent off the bench, it is a learned skill (pinch-hitting) and one he might need to grow into.

434
Who said they refused?  They can still meet with him, but meet with A-Rod too, right?  Hard to prove, unless there is something they can point to.

You can bet that Boras is riding A-Rod about not letting them do this, but unless they are refusing to talk to Boras, I fail to see how talking directly with A-Rod without Boras present violates anything.  Now A-Rod could screw the Yankee's over by claiming they told him they would only deal directly with him, not Boras (even if they didn't say that).

435
Talk Zone / Re: Cardinals forced to trade Rolen
« on: November 14, 2007, 03:17:55 pm »
I'd think long and hard about a guy who's owed $36M over 3 years, who looks like he may be done as an effective hitter.
Agreed, but you always have the physical option.  Check him out.  If he can regain his health (or even close to it), he is worth that kind of money.  Imagine him close to what he was in 06 (.296/.369/.518) and a line-up like this:

Bourn
Pence
Berkman
Lee
Rolen
Wigginton
Towles
Everett
Pitcher

To me, you have to at least look before you make a choice.  Then again, will the Cards deal in-division?

436
Talk Zone / Re: Cardinals forced to trade Rolen
« on: November 14, 2007, 03:07:00 pm »
A chink in the genius armor. Gold glove winnin', power hittin, cleanup battin' 3rd basemen do not grow on trees.
I would think a smart baseball man would find away to keep that guy happy.
I can't believe that La genius thinks they are better off with out Rolen.
Although didn't Rolen wear out his welcome in Philly?
Based on how long he was in each city, he would be retired by the time he did this in Houston.  The biggest quesiton with him right now is health.  He play 112 games in 07, 142 in 06 and only 56 in 05.  His numbers were way down in 07, which would indicate that even when he was playing he was not 100%.  Or he has reached that nasty stage of every major leaguers career where they are a shadow of their former selves.

Hard to say, as he will only be 33 at the start of the 08 season (32 now).  To me this is a bit young to expect a big fall off due to age, but it has been known to happen to some.  But he does have the added spectre of injuries right now.

I think I would still gamble on him, but not sure I would pay a huge price for him.  Would they take Burke and Scott?  But then these are probably the big chips the team hopes to use to land a starting pitcher (if they can).

437
Talk Zone / Re: And your NL ROY is...
« on: November 13, 2007, 02:03:46 pm »
Yes, those powerhouse baseball markets of Pittsburgh and Florida really help prove the point.
I agree, it isn't about BIG so much in ROY, although I would believe that when they have someone battling for ROY, they do well.  Just they don't have many people in the running.

But it does show an Eastern bias in the NL, which does fit with my comment:

Quote
More media there, more opportunities for them to actually watch/follow the player...

So while ROY might not always go to big market, it does tend to go to East coast more often than not in the NL.  In the AL it goes to the "farm" teams of Minn, Oak and KC.  Just from sheer volume, is my guess.

438
Talk Zone / Re: And your NL ROY is...
« on: November 13, 2007, 01:37:34 pm »
How many players in the big Northeastern media markets have one the ROY the last 20 seasons?
I guess it depends on if you consider only big NorthEastern cities, ie Bos/NYM.  But my comment was more for East coast in general.  But Bos and NY have to have Rookies worth of consideration, if so, they ussually win I think.  Just they don't tend to have alot of rookies period.

NL ROY: Hanley Ramirez, 2006 (Fla), Ryan Howard, 2005 (Phi), Jason Bay, 2004 (Pit), Dontrelle Willis, 2003 (Fla, Should have been Webb in Ari), Rafael Furcal, 2000 (Atl), Scott Rolen, 1997 (Phi), David Justice, 1990 (Atl).

The Dodgers won it each year from 92-96.  So that is big market West Coast.

AL ROY, other than this year, has been all over the place.  Other than Nomar and Jeter in back-to-back years, it is mostly made up of A's, Twins and Royals.  But when you consider that is what those 3 clubs do, build up young talent and then either trade it away or let them go for big draft pick compensation, that is not very surprising.

So while i am proven wrong in AL ROY, and big market in NL ROY.  I still hold that if you have two deserving candidates, chances are it will lean heavily to East Coast teams and/or the Big City teams.

439
Talk Zone / Re: Hey the Astros could've had Jacque Jones?!
« on: November 13, 2007, 08:54:52 am »
Scott is not a bad OFer. i do not know why folks think he is.
At this point, I think I would rather have Scott than Jones.

440
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Manzella
« on: November 13, 2007, 08:52:33 am »
I think Manzella has always been viewed as Everett's replacement should he move on at FA time.  This off-season, I have heard rumblings that Manzella might be moved on in some deal.  His AA showing I think has opened some eyes about his offense.  It was long been considered he was a super defensive SS, and weak stick.  If he can show enough offense to allow his defense to make up the difference (ala Everett) than he will be a Major League SS somewhere.

Right now there are not a whole lot of other SS that seem to be pusing Manzella from the top SS in the org spot.  But that also means he moves up the trade interest ladder too.

Let's face it, it doesn't take much right now to be considered the best at anything in the Astros minor league system.  So take all thoughts with a grain of salt that way.  Although there are some in A-ball that have shown more promise than we have seen in a couple of years.  Let's hope they continue to showcase stuff to justify propect type tags.

441
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 13, 2007, 08:45:57 am »
IMO, you're all making this more complicated than it is.  SmithWade specifically emphasized speed.  Loretta doesn't have it.  There's a reason we're hearing about these quick prototypical 2-spot hitters for 2b.  It'll be a speedy 2b whether that's someone acquired by trade, FA, or Burke.  And that person will bat 2nd.  I don't believe the Astros currently see Everett as a better option at the 2-hole than the 2nd baseman; whoever that'll be.
I agree 100% with this statement.  Although I liked the quick reference more than the speedy for the 2B.  I think it would better describe what they are looking for, speedy would be a bonus.  And if Loretta is back next year, I think it almost definite as a safety-net/back-up for the 2B option they plan to go with, than to start.  Just the feeling I get at this point (no inside info on this).

442
Talk Zone / Re: people could learn a lot from alyson footer
« on: November 13, 2007, 08:42:39 am »
As was mentioned in the orginal trade thread, think of Costanzo as a Mike Lamb eventual replacement.  Although he might have more pop than Lamb, IMO.

443
Talk Zone / Re: And your NL ROY is...
« on: November 13, 2007, 08:34:28 am »
Not to get off topic but is anyone as upset with Pedroia getting the AL ROTY? If you ask me Brian Bannister got robbed after having an outstanding quiet year as a  the Royals' ace (forget Meche) yet writers continue to ride the Boston bandwagon
Batting almost always wins against pitching in these things.  And big market will always win against anyone else, especially if big market is on the East Coast.  More media there, more opportunities for them to actually watch/follow the player...  Just the way of the world.

BTW, I was following Bannister when he went to KC, because I heard alot of good things when he was just on the cusp of being up with the Mets in 06.  Very nice young starter.

444
Talk Zone / Re: Hey the Astros could've had Jacque Jones?!
« on: November 12, 2007, 04:57:38 pm »
Is Bruntlett better than Infante?  Link Maybe. Interesting comparison.  The Tigers were looking for a backup outfielder and they went with Jones.  The Cubs didn't ask for as much as did the Phillies.  Maybe they wouldn't have traded Jones within the Division.  Perhaps comparing this trade to the Bourn/Lidge trade suggest that the Astros were looking for younger, better defensively, better attitude, cheaper, and faster.  A longer term solution too.

Not to mention they were just looking for better.

445
Talk Zone / Re: And your NL ROY is...
« on: November 12, 2007, 04:56:43 pm »
As great as Tulowitzki was, it is hard to beat out the offensive numbers Braun put up.  He became the #3 in front of Fielder and thrived there.

Just goes to show, writers only care about offensive stats though, as Braun was still pretty terrible with the glove, and Tulo was pretty good.

Not to mention, Braun made more of a splash where as Tulowitzki was kind of steady all the way through the year.  It was only then that you looked at his numbers and went... "Wow, that is pretty good for a Rookie SS!"

446
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 12, 2007, 04:53:20 pm »
Point is moo.  WadeSmith is actively looking for a 2b who can hit 2 in the order.
Well, this probably is so, but there is always the chance they don't get a 2B who can hit 2.  If we had to stay in-house only, would Everett be worse than the other options?

I would point out, even if Everett is the best option at #2, he still might not be placed at #2 if the person who he beats out has a bigger drop off moving from #2 to say #8 than Everett would.

I think you would ideally like to have the best person for each spot in the order, in that spot, but since ideals rarely exist in baseball, you have to counterbalance each player to where they make the team the best.  Perhaps that is the case with Everett, he might be the best #2, but he might also be the best #8 and the drop off is worse for the person they actually do put in the #2 spot.  Just a thought.

447
Talk Zone / Re: Hey, Jim R
« on: November 12, 2007, 11:07:56 am »
i really do not know. my friend said there was fault on both sides, but i did not want to ask him what happened.
ok, I can live with that.  My experience is that when there is a falling out between people, there is ALWAYS fault on both sides.

448
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 12, 2007, 11:06:56 am »
my bet is that Anderson will be elsewhere. i have no info to that effect, though.
I could buy any number of people being moved this off-season based on the fact that the team has already shown a stronger willingness to trade than in previous years.

If Anderson and Scott are traded (pure speculation mind you), who would fill the role as 4th OFer?  Assuming that is not something they get back when moving these two.

449
Talk Zone / Re: Hey, Jim R
« on: November 12, 2007, 11:04:00 am »
some scout (Lakey, Noe?) assured Hun before the draft that Burke could play SS.
So Lakey was thrown to the proverbial dog-house because he claimed Burke could play ML SS, and Hunsicker found out that was WAY off base, and after not liking the dog-house, Lakey later resigned.

Is that an accurate time-line then?

450
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 12, 2007, 10:59:05 am »
they did not trade Lidge for a guy who might be a benchwarmer.
I agree, I think they plan on Bourn being the CF and lead off hitter.  I do too.  I guess my point is that I want Bourn to "earn" the spot as much as it is given to him.  Wouldn't it be nice if Anderson does push Bourn?  Not saying it will happen, but I think it will make the Astros better if it happens, especially if Bourn clearly beats out Anderson who IS pushing for the starting spot.

I want the best for the Astros.  (don't mis-construe to thing I am advocating Anderson over Bourn)

451
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 12, 2007, 09:40:03 am »
If sandwiched between Bourn and a #2 guy getting on-base and Berkman hitting like he normally does along with Lee, the idea of Pence getting a boatload of fastballs to hit (instead of those sliders that break away from the plate and make him look hapless at the plate) makes him a very good hitter.  In fact, the idea of Pence and fastball is so good that Pence will *look* like the best hitter on the team once everything is said and done.
I think he has the chance to be the "scariest" hitter, because of his agressiveness and speed. Especially infront of two very solid hitters like Berkman and Lee.  But this does depend on 1 and 2 getting on consistently in front of those 3. 

While I think Bourn was brought into be the 1, I don't think it is 100% that he will be that.  I still want to believe that Anderson can push for it (mostly because I want Bourn to play with that kind of hunger, more than I think Josh will beat him out).

452
Excellent.  What the upper minor leagues do is weed out those who push for numbers instead of develop, so this will be his test the coming years.
Yep, MLB does have this system of development right, because this is often true.  You have to prove yourself each year as you progress.  Just as you might explode one year, you might also completely fall apart.  The hope in any system is you have a couple of guys from each draft prove out to be deserving of ML spots.  You get more, bonus, you get less, well, you get a system kindof like the Astros are in now.  It is such a crap shoot sometimes, but then that is why they draft 50+ each year.

453
Talk Zone / Re: Hey, Jim R
« on: November 12, 2007, 09:29:10 am »
David Lakey was re-assigned by GM Gerry Hunsicker because of a difference of opinion on the value of Chris Burke.  Soon afterwards, Lakey quit.
That begs the question, who was on which side of that argument?

454
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 12, 2007, 09:24:43 am »
Coach said the #3 hitter should be the best hitter on the team. Is that Pence, Berkman or Lee?
It is all relative though.  It is not like you set a line-up one spot at a time. You generally have to consider all spots together (or at least the prime spots), rather than each in a vacuum.  As such, while Pence might not be the BEST hitter, because of what the other "best" hitters bring to the table, Pence becomes the "best" candidate for the #3 spot.  Berkman seems to have more power, and Lee seems to be the best RBI type (at least based on the last couple of years).

But as Coach has stated, there is some play room so to speak among those 3.  But when trying to consider all spots as a group rather than individual spots, it seems like the best combo is Pence/Berkman/Lee in that order.  And while they may go 2/3/4, seems more appropriate to have them 3/4/5.  I think anyone who bats in the 2-hole (in front of those 3) would find they "SHOULD" have a bump in offensive productivity than they would batting anywhere else.  Which should also factor into who is placed where.

Where you bat in a given line-up (not just any line-up) will affect your productivity.  Some hitters are good no matter where you bat them, but there are always spots where they are better than others.  The idea is to put the hitters in an order that maximizes their collective production, rather than considering each in a vacuum.

ETA: Which is why strict statistical analysis is not the best way to determine a line-up card.

455
I'm more excited right now about Brad James ...
I think this was in the Bus Ride section already, but a scout (granted just one scout) made a comment about James, and that he looked like he was pushing for better numbers in 07 (to make a statement) rather than really developing like THIS scout thought he should.

Not a reason to not watch him, as he does seem to be the "next" guy in the Astros system, but just something to consider.

456
Talk Zone / Re: El Caballo wins silver slugger award
« on: November 09, 2007, 06:12:18 pm »
Next stop, Gold Glove.
No you need two things.  Several highlight reel type catches shown adnauseum on ESPN, and a really good bat.  Carlos has the later... but hard to imagine the former.

Oh and once you win a couple they give them to you until you retire, see Maddux, Greg.

457
Talk Zone / Re: MLPBA - "COLLUSION!"
« on: November 09, 2007, 05:13:26 pm »
Ahh, Limass, I do care who screws me.
Is this more relating back to Brad since he is still a player, thus making it ok?

458
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 09, 2007, 04:45:04 pm »
Not to dismiss your well laid out missive, I believe that, in a civilized society, everyone should be entitled to healthcare.  How a society cares for its sick is a barometer of society as a whole.

Irrespective of that touchy-feely stuff, the healthcare system in this country is a major drain on businesses, particularly heavy industry which is getting the crap kicked out of it by everyone else, and restricts the abilities of individuals to pursue their dreams and desires.  It restricts entrepreneurship and holds families in poverty.  In that, I would argue that it is un-American.

The Federal Government builds roads to aid commerce and mobility.  Providing healthcare would do exactly the same thing.
I don't know I look at it differently I guess.  While I agree how a society cares for its sick is a good barometer, but I guess my perspective is that it is society's responsibility not the government.  So I separate the two.  I think when the government gets involved it removes the fabric of the society because society stops helping its own and lets someone else do it (in this case the government).

Health care should be an individual thing, what one person might need might be more than another, and not enough for still another.  When dealing with this kind of diversity it is best left to the individual and the society in which they exist, rather than have some government come in and make sweeping generalizations (because that is the best they can do).

As for the issue with big industry, they are being killed by unions and the fact that their competitors have an unfair advantage as a result of the way things are (international trade stuff combined with them not using Union labor in the US).  I recall hearing (so if the facts are a bit off, forgive) that a car made in a union plant makes about $250 profit for the company, where as the same car made in a non-union plant makes $2500 profit for the company.  When this is going on, it is hard for the companies using union workers to compete and they just can't move their base, because the expense (in cost and lost production) would be even more detrimental.  But that is a whole different can of worms.

But I think we are at a point where we have a run-away train as far as health care (and health insurance) is concerned.  That is why it as you stated "restricts entrepreneurship and holds families in poverty".  It has gone unchecked too long, because people were insulated from it by some factors like government intervention and health insurance and the like.  So in a way it is like an addict, we have become dependent on something that we shouldn't have been using in the first place.  It is much harder to get off of it when you get to this stage.  If we (as a society) can get off of it, it would be better in the long term, but very painful in the short term.  And I just don't think our society has the stomach to see it through.  This is evident by their losing resolve in other areas, just because it is hard.  But again that is another tangent I would rather avoid.  Tackle one beast at a time type of thing, you know.

459
Talk Zone / Re: MLPBA - "COLLUSION!"
« on: November 09, 2007, 04:29:39 pm »
So let me see if I have this straight, Agents and players can lie about who is interested in them and about the amount of money other teams are offering, but owners can not tell the truth about weather or not they are in the market for a player. All so a player can opt out of a 10 year 250 million dollar contact, because that just isn't enough money to keep his family in the style they have grown acustom to? NICE
But the owners are able to collude to screw the fan.  Just look at the price for tickets and food & drinks at a game.

But I agree, there is definately a double standard that is screwing the owners and not the players.

460
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 09, 2007, 03:25:58 pm »
Exactly. And Barry Zito was the FA pitcher equivalent of Carlos Lee last year. I'd say Zito is much more overpaid than Lee. On the other hand, as has been discussed at length on this site, it is perhaps not ideal to have two slow-moving sluggers with limited fielding ability on an NL team, so in that sense maybe you could argue signing Lee was a mistake. 
I think you could argue very strongly that Lee was worth his money alot more than Zito was worth his.  Both on pre-07 and 07 performances.  Zito had been showing that his numbers were sliding while Lee was showing at the very least a steady production of quality.  Zito is still living off of one spectacular year (when he won the Cy) and a good 1-2 years leading up to it.  But since he has been sliding more and more to mediocre and was paid like an Ace, even in today's wild spending.  Lee was paid like a strong hitter, but just shy of the elite levels.  And I think he has performed like one.  And time will tell how each will actually do over the lifetime of their contracts, but Lee looks like a safer bet to meet expectation than Zito at this point.

461
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 09, 2007, 03:16:27 pm »
How so?
Because more people began to feel they were entitled to more, because it was "given" to them.  If they had to pay for it directly themselves they would have had more appreciation for what they received, much like money earned vs given to someone.  If people realized how expensive things were getting, they would cause a market shift to more affordable options, thus controlling the market.  When it is someone else's responsibility (like the government) they don't care about the cost, and largely ignore the escalation of the issue until it becomes too late.

I am not sure I am being clear with this, but hope I am making my point.

Instead of people working for a goal they begin to treat the goal as being an entitlement.  The goal in this particular case is medical care.  If you want medical care, just like if you want food or shelter, you need to work for it in some fashion.  Even the Constitution does not indicate that the government is required to provide you with basic needs, but that you should desire these things enough to work for them and the Constitution provides protections for you to be able to work for these things.  People have perverted the meaning into the government shall ensure that everyone is provided for even on some basic level, which is wrong.  And it is wrong that it has been done that way.  Why work for that which is given freely?

Human nature is to do as little as possible to get maximum satisfaction.  Thus while your intent is to help people through things like government assisted medical care, you are in fact causing people to stop trying, because they don't "need" to.  You can look at Social Security in this country.  It was originally designed to help out people during the depression when work was hard to find and companies were going bankrupt with took pension plans with them, thus it was harder to put things away for retirement.  SS was create to offset some of these issues, but then people began to think of it as "their retirement fund" and stopped saving even when they could afford to.  Now the system is in a bad way, because 1) it was created to be a temporary thing and has grown into a permanent thing, and 2) because of so many people relying on it rather than being a supplement to what they should have been relying on it is becoming insolvent.  Too often the government tries to help out its citizens in short-sided ways without putting in place a way to end such programs that were intended to be temporary.  And eventually it becomes impossible to get rid of because society has adapted to rely on it, because of human nature to always want the maximum for the minimum effort.

Hope this makes some kind of sense and gives you an idea of where I am coming from.

462
Talk Zone / Re: MLPBA - "COLLUSION!"
« on: November 09, 2007, 02:16:21 pm »
¨I got a lot at risk here.  I got my family to feed.¨-- Latrell Sprewell (who had made close to $100M in the NBA) after turning down an ¨insulting¨ 3 year, $30M contract extension
Best part of that item, is that he never make even that much the rest of his career (collectively) after turning that deal offer down.

463
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 09, 2007, 02:07:08 pm »
I wasn't just talking about using the money last year or this year.  If we would have just signed Lee to a two year contract, then I would not have had a problem with the deal.  I meant for the life of the contract.  Lee is just going to get older and fatter as his contract progresses.  I would have taken my chances with other options instead of Lee, and used the money elsewhere.

Drayton was a damn idiot for thinking Lee was the missing link on last year's team anyway.  Anyone with any sense who could peruse our pitching staff knew we were in for a long year in 2007. 
The only reason his deal is bad is if you think he will suck after this year (since you stated you would have been fine with a 2-yr deal).  One, how do you know he will suck after this year since he was so productive he was rated as one of the top 3 OFers in the NL last year. Two, The only way he is bad for the team is if his contract prevents the Astros from signing another FA that would help the team as much or more than him -OR- he is blocking some player in the Organization from being able to play who would be as productive or more so.

So for the first you have to have the powers to see the future because if 07 was any indicator he is pretty damn good even being fat and old. (which I don't think he is either, at least detrimentally)

The second part I have a hard time in believing because the Astros have a lack of talented position players in the high minors as it is, I doubt Lee is holding any of THEM back.  And Drayton really has shown he will spend the money needed to get the talent that he thinks will help the club.  He did it with Pettitte and Clemens.  He did it with Lee.  He tried to do it with Beltran.  He has paid what it took to keep the talent he has from leaving.  I have yet to see him balk at paying someone to help this team.

So I just don't get any of your hatred for Lee.  Would it be nice if he was more Beltran-like with his defense and speed on the bases... sure.  But then I bet his contract would have been a ton bigger, and Houston would have had alot more competition for his services when they signed him too.

Lee is the best RBI guy on the team, bar NONE.  And he is argueably the best hitter right now.  His defense is lacking, but in case you didn't notice, alot of LF in ML baseball are not very good that way.  It is the primary spot to put big stick, poor defensive OF.  Red Sox just won a World Series with Manny, and I think Lee is a better fielder than Manny.  So what gives?  Did he punk you at some point?  You have a thing against his nickname?  What is it that makes you hate him so?

464
Talk Zone / Re: MLPBA - "COLLUSION!"
« on: November 09, 2007, 01:41:03 pm »
I am against collusion, but I wonder why the owners have to abid by this and players don't.  I mean if for example, two high profile 3B are FA, and both has the same Agent.  And one team in particular is interested in both (meaning they would want one of them, but would be happy with the other too), then the Agent can affectively make it so only one is reasonable to that team.  Much like owners can coordinate to make sure that a FA can only get a certain amount for his contract.

To me, there is a similarity there, but no rules against the Players colluding, just the owners.

I do understand collusion of owners is in the baseball agreement, but still seems like it is not a fair two-way street.

465
Talk Zone / Re: Closer
« on: November 09, 2007, 11:24:06 am »
twitter.com/edwade ?
SHHH!!! don't give away our insider access!!!

466
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 09, 2007, 11:22:48 am »
The UK's National Health Service was only initiated after WWII.  Before that, it was pay-as-you-go for those that could, or charity hospitals for those that couldn't.
It is my supposition that this is when things went down hill from a health care perspective.  No in quality, but in cost.  I think these actions were done with the best of intentions, but the long term impact ended up being more negative than the initial boon it was created to be.

467
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 09, 2007, 11:20:33 am »
Lastly, who would you like to have making decisions about your treatment: an elected Government official (or an appointee of an elected Government official) who wants your vote, or a insurance company bean-counter whose bonus is predicated on not providing you with treatment?
I guess my point is that because of past actions (and inactions) our society has removed the possibility that I want, which is I should be able to go to the doctor of my choice and be charged a reasonable rate, outside of the need for insurance at all.  There should be no need, because they are providing a service like any other business and can do so at affordable rates if they don't have to fear I will sue them in to oblivion if they screw up.

There was a time when medical treatment occurred this way.  It is only through the recent past that this possibility was corrupted to the point that it doesn't seem possible anymore.

To me, if they are bad doctors, there is so many ways this can be reported and researched that those that don't practice good medicine would eventually be force out of business much like any other local business today.

But then I tend to take an idealic look at this type of thing, because I know it is feasible, but given human nature I am not so sure it is possible.

468
Talk Zone / Re: Closer
« on: November 09, 2007, 11:00:31 am »
Surely you jest.
While he sucked in Bos, that was in the set-up role not the closer role.  He was pretty good in Texas as the Closer.  So no I don't jest.

But keep in mind there is a reason he is more affordable than the other options.  And if that makes better sense to the Astros, I could see it happening.

469
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:53:56 am »
Understood.  I'm merely using this to juxtapose the interpretation that the US is foundded on the principle of "I got mine, you get your own".  How the general welfare is promoted is a matter of opinion.  For healhtcare, the US decided to go with a private hospital system paid for, in the vast majority of cases, by insurance.  Not a system embraced by any other industrialised and/or first world country, but it is what it is.

Now that the system is breaking down (because of the insurance end of things) it's not out of character with the Constitution to consider fixes and/or alternatives.
Actually insurance only is a recent phenomenon.  As is several instances of the government "helping" people.  There was a time when the Texas had a massive drought (at least I think that was it) and applied for government aid.  The President at the time (might have been Teddy Roosevelt, but around that time) responded by stating something to the effect "I cannot find any basis in the Constitution to support the government intervening the help.  Furthermore I think it would undermine the unity that this country was founded up where neighbor picks up his neighbor in a time of need.  This breads at better relationship among the people rather than an expectation that someone else will help them out, so I don't need to".  This is a huge paraphrase on my part, I recall hearing a guy on the radio reading it off, so I don't have full recall of who it was and what he specifically said.

So the reality is that while at the time some government intervening has helped, and helped immediately, the long term results of this "help" ended up eroding alot of what made America the place it was and to a certain degree still is.  The other problem this governmental "help" caused was an expectation of them "helping" again and again until now we are looking at the government running too many things that people should be doing for themselves.  It creates an environment where insurance is more and more required.  Go ask some of the more elderly types like Jim (no offense) about if their parents or grandparents ever thought about insurance.  My guess is this is something that has come about around WWII and later.  And in the grand scheme of things, that is really recent stuff for the US.

470
Talk Zone / Re: Closer
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:38:26 am »
One name I have not heard mentioned much, but I know he wants to be a closer still and was pretty go as one, not so good as a set-up guy though.

Gagne.  Just a thought.  He would probably be alot cheaper than the two big names being thrown about.

And while I totally have not looked into this guy, wasn't Nathan of the Twins supposed to be a FA too?

471
Talk Zone / Re: Lineup Machinations 101
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:32:05 am »
Holy shit!  You mean I am starting to think like a Major League manager... damn it took me long enough...

Either that, or I was being possessed by some greater baseball mind for a brief time... jury is still out on that one.

472
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:30:24 am »
This may have been covered as I didn't read 15 pages, but although I agree it could be a man crush I hope there is some way that they can bring back Mike Lamb for the LH bench player instead of Scott. I know he is not in the elite of the defensive players in the league but he can play both infield corner spots and even play a little in a corner OF spot, although probably not a smart thing to do except in an extreme pinch. Plus he has a dependable bat off the bench.

Some team will probably give him a full time starting job and sing him but I wish the Astros could break camp next spring with both Lamb and Loretta in tow.
See what Noe said about Lamb, but if you think singing to him would work... umm, just don't ask me, I can't carry a tune at all.  As for Loretta, my guess is alot will depend on what 2B options the Astros acquire(or don't) and what other teams come calling.  I am guessing no matter or Mark goes, he will at best be competing for a starting gig, if not be told he will be comming off the bench.  If that latter is true, he has shown a desire to be in Houston, so we can hope in that area.

473
Talk Zone / Re: Tom Glavine? Please say no.
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:14:57 am »
I would boo him in his first start, just because.
If it happens please don't.  Imagine how bad this team will be if we replace our GM twice in the span of 6 months?

474
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 09, 2007, 10:06:14 am »
Goodness you and Burz have short memories.  If Pence were going to be the starting CF for 2008 the Astros would not have installed Anderson in center for September.  As has been pointed out Pence has never been an everyday CF.  You don't remove an inexperienced player from a position if you expect that player to be the starter in that position.  If Pence were going to be the CF the Astros would have wanted him to get all the experience there he could which would have meant a September outfield of Lee/Pence/Whoever.  Instead the Astros recognized that Pence wasn't good enough out there to justify giving him that position.  Hence, the Anderson promotion and starting job.  Which also leads to the most logical conclusion that Pence was NOT going to be the Astros starting CF.  Anderson was it.  That's why they dealt for Bourn.
Thank you for pointing this out.  I thought I was the only one to think this as I read through the arguing.

Basically you can look at the Astros thinking this way:

April 07: Burke is going to be our everyday replacement for Biggio, but is wasting away on the bench, we need to get him into the everyday line-up to prepare him for that roll.  With Taveras gone, we need a lead-off hitter and CF, and Burke looks like he can do both.  Although we are hoping a bit on the CF area, so let's get Pence some time in AAA there just in case.
May 07: Crap Burke shit the bed in all areas, where can we find a CF, because Jason Lane isn't getting it done either.  Hey look Pence is really doing well so far.  Let's give him a shot, cause what we are doing now isn't working.
June 07: Holy crap can that Pence kid hit.  He is really been a spark plug to the line-up.  Need to keep him in there, and while his defense isn't as good as Lane can give us, Scott is looking twice the hitter Lane is.  Lesser of evils Pence in CF, Scott in RF.
Sep 07: Now that we can expand our rosters and our AAA and AA teams have stunk, we can do this immediately.  Since we are out of things, let's mix and match a bit to see what they kids can do.  Hey that Towles kid is really comming on strong.  Didn't think he would be ready this soon, that is a nice sign.  Let's see what this Anderson kid can do, maybe some of Towles magic will rub off on him too.  Hmm, Anderson is all we thought he was defensively (MLB ready) and his offense isn't half bad, but his track record didn't indicate this.  Towles showed promise of this, but Anderson is doing much better than we had expected.
Oct 07: Ok, let's look at our options.  We want to focus on improving the teams defense and speed, because this team seems to have become very one-dimensional and station to station type scoring.  This was not working for the team.  Anderson was ok in CF, but we just don't trust him to be the only option with Pence the only back-up if he flops like Burke did last season.  So let's see what is out there.  Hmm, several nice but expensive options for CF in the FA market.  Wonder if we can take to one of those teams with a young CFer who can also be a lead-off guy.  Let's go talk to Phili again about Bourn.  They spurned our offers at the deadline because they had a bunch of injuries and were making a playoff push, maybe they will be more agreeable now. Oh good, Ausmus agreed to come back as the back-up Catcher to Towles and his mentor.  That should work out well, cause if anyone can teach you how to be a better catcher, Brad is definately the guy.
Nov 07: Deal has been made. It costs up Lidge, which hurts, but now we have 2 options in CF with Pence as a fall back.  This make Scott a bench player though.  Would like to see him in the line-up, but there just doesn't seem to be a spot, with our need for a better CF than Pence, and Pence and Lee being so important to the line-up.  Lee was voted one of the best OFers in 07 and Pence is a huge PR machine for us right now, just can't see us moving either one to make room for him.  But now have a definate lead-off hitter and solid defensive CF in Bourn or Anderson (we will let them battle it out in Spring Training).  Now let's go look at the best way to address the loss of Lidge...  We have Qualls, but are there better options internally or externally?  Let's talk to the FA closers and see what they are asking for.  Oh, and we better look at getting a good innings eater for the staff.  We would like to see these kids step up, but so far they show flashes, but can't seem to put it all together.  And Woody is ok, but he is becomming more of a back-end/mentor type than a solid #2 like he was earlier in his career.  Still good to have the vets around to help mentor the young kids that we have developing.  Wonder if this Costanzo kid can push Wigginton, or if we need to also look at upgrades there?  A-Rod and Lowell look like out of our league, but who else is there?  Oh and all we have at 2B is Burke right now.  Let's see we have a couple of in house guys.  Let's call the FA 2B guys and gauge their interest and demands.  Alright people, we have done ok so far, but we still have alot of work to do in putting this team in the best shape for 08.  Let's go!

How about that?

475
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 09, 2007, 09:24:26 am »
Cosy and Bourny.  Done.
Even without trying to think of what his nicknames will be, you can be sure he will have a whole host of pre-scripted comments relating to Jason Bourne references and Seinfeld references.

476
Talk Zone / Re: Good Molony article
« on: November 08, 2007, 04:40:11 pm »
I think calling them monkeys is giving them too much credit and a disservice to monkeys everywhere in the world.
I don't know, monkey's are famous for throwing their own poo on anyone who gets too close... maybe that is a good analogy.

477
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 04:00:36 pm »
I think before you pencil scott in that bench role, you have to explore what others will give you for him that you need.
Based on how quickly they pulled this deal off, I am pretty certain they are exploring a whole host of options, and I am pretty sure Scott is involved in a few of them.

478
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 03:58:05 pm »
he is the ideal #2 HITTER. i do not worry about his speed. he can get to third on a Pence double easily.
I totally agree, my comment was just in response to the comment about a speedy top of the order and that Loretta (if in the #2 hole) is not speedy.

And I agree with everyone else about Lee in the 5 spot, which is why I really liked the Pence/Berkman/Lee in the 3/4/5 spots.

And Pence would see alot more "hittable" pitches in front of Berkman, which would fit perfectly into his more aggressive approach.  To me, no matter who they get to man the #2 spot, as long as Bourn is leading off and Pence/Berkman/Lee are in the 3-5 spots, I really like this line-up, especially compared to last year.

479
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 03:33:05 pm »
That is a speedy top of the order.  I like it.
Not if Loretta is the 2B.

480
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 03:20:31 pm »
Knowing the source that Jim knows, I would say it's pretty much internal.
If so, I find that very telling (as to how far Burke has fallen) and interesting.

481
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 03:06:55 pm »
i have it on reasonably good authority that Burke is not the automatic answer at 2B.
As in not the automatic answer of internal options, or including external options too?

Cause I could easily believe the external version.  If internal only version, that to me would be pretty interesting.

And yes, I believe your comment, just trying to clarify it.

482
Talk Zone / Re: Legal Question: Calling all Lawyers (non-BB)
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:44:49 pm »
Your wife puts her place of work on the info sheet for the doctors office, also on that sheet is a HIPAA release allowing them to provide info to the insurance for billing.  That would be my guess that it comes second hand through the medical provider.
But then it would require them to do checks of this info for each person to track down if that place of employment actually does provide insurance to them.  I have to admit this sounds like alot of money for them to do all this, not to mention a ton of time.  And then you would get your typical invasion of privacy cry's.  Seems like a big expense for them to try to enforce.

483
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:41:16 pm »
That then begs the question: Should they go after Mark Loretta?
Depends.  I think the question should be "How hard they go after Mark Loretta?"
I think to common thought around here now is that with Bruntlett moving on, Ransom will slide into that role as super-sub.  Would Ransom be a candidate to back-up Burke?  Are there any other 2B prospects would could step up?  I am an Ash fan, but I seem to be in the minority that think he might be able to play everyday in the majors.

While I don't think this is as pressing a need as Starter and bullpen help, I would like be believe these discussion are going on in the Astros brass at this time too.

I think we are running into the same issues they are, and finding it just as muddy.

484
Talk Zone / Re: What happend?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:32:38 pm »
skullfingering ceremony
I am going to have to try to work that into my daily converstations now.

485
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:31:32 pm »
The only drawback to batting Loretta #2 is his base clogging speed. Ideally, I wouldn't want someone that slow on base in front of the sluggers.

And is this the same Luis Castillo who had to take regular days off in 2007 because of 'tired' legs? I'd rather... *gulp* ... see Burke out there.
Hence why I would prefer Iguchi over the other two.  But he might be the most pricey to get.

486
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:30:23 pm »
Hopefully Scott will produce a nice bullpen arm or a second baseman.
At least now they have reduced their needs to look for and can focus on the remaining.

It is so nice to see them act this quickly and reduce the number of "issues" to deal with.

487
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:28:37 pm »
You're just being stupid now.  Why?
When backed into a corner with more logic then they can refute... try to distract them... I see my kids try it all the time... doesn't work for them either.

488
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:26:51 pm »
Or to at least kindly tell him to go play with fantasy people who will appreciate his Berkman at the #2 spot in the lineup.
I think that is kind of demeaning to Fantasy Players who are smart enough to know the difference between fantasy and reality.

489
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:25:57 pm »
It just means you make a circle around the jerk...and tell him to 'fuck off'.
I could live with that.

490
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:23:18 pm »
Well I think that park in general sucks for anyone trying to be a power hitter, period.  But yes, I think it was built to try to neutralize Bonds.

But somehow I think getting Peavy is going to be very costly, now or next year.  He is one of the top 5 or so pitchers in the NL.  If you can find a deal for him, my guess it that same deal might land Santanna too.  But given the Roy connection I guess you might have a better shot of re-signing Peavy than Santanna.

491
Talk Zone / Re: Peavy?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:14:03 pm »
SD is not the ideal location for a LH "power" hitter.
I am confused, who was the LF "power" hitter mentioned?

492
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:09:41 pm »
i do too.
Ahh shit!  Jim, Noe and I all agree on something... you KNOW the Astros won't!

493
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:08:25 pm »
Or Bourn / Berkman / Pence / Lee / Wig / Burke / Towl / Everett
This from the guy who thinks Scott would be better for the team than Bourn, right?

Just checking...

494
Talk Zone / Re: A case for Mark Loretta to be a high priority?
« on: November 08, 2007, 02:07:39 pm »
I could live with your top 5 Noe.  Not that I like Burke, I do like the idea of 3/4/5 being Pence/Berkman/Lee.

And I think Burke is their saftey net at 2B.  I am not sure what the club thinks of him anymore, but I am sure he is AN option.

495
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 01:59:34 pm »
Yeah, that's valid. I hope he saves enough to balance the loss of production.
Look if Luke was all that, then why was the team even bothering to look at Josh Anderson at the end of last year?  Scott was not playing but Pence and Lee were still getting their normal ABs.  So putting that all together the club viewed Scott as the 3rd best of Pence, Lee and Scott... AND that they needed to see Josh Anderson play a little at the Major League level.  Now, if they were happy with Scott and planned on him being the starter for 08, why would they give 2 shits about Anderson and seeing him play, unless they were going to move Lee or Pence to make room for him?  AND if they were planning on doing that, why was Scott not playing everyday instead so they could see them playing together (Scott and Anderson)?

The reason.... Scott was NOT part of their future plans except as a back-up option if all others failed.  Scott was even losing time to Jason Lane in 07!!!!  While I like Scott well enough, he is not what everyone wants to make him out to be.  He was a decent #6 hitter, but not consistent enough to be a decent #5.  He played ok defense in RF, but definitely couldn't play CF, which is why Pence was there, and Lane before him.

Scott, like it or not is destined to be a good 4th OFer on a contending club or a decent 3rd OFer on a non-contending club.  To think he is more than that, is to admit you don't watch the games and only go by small sample sized stats.

It is AMAZING how 1 red-hot spring training can carry a guy for years in some fan's eyes!!!

496
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 10:51:58 am »
They love Victorino and that pretty much meant Bourn was a RF.
I would love him too, if he continues to perform like he did last year when not hurt.

497
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 10:50:20 am »
I agree with what you are saying Noe.  I think it is a win-win type trade.  And you really can't judge trades properly at any time, because early on you don't know how each player will perform in the future and later on you lose site of the expectations at the time of the trade.

I view the Astros as the winner simply because they addressed more "needs" in this trade than the Phillies... but then they had more significant needs so that SHOULD be expected.

498
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 10:42:20 am »
They are going to need a lot of pitching help to be a contender this year, but I think they just took one step towards that goal.
They were going to need that, even without this trade.  But they are closer to being back in contention after the trade then before, IMO.

499
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 10:17:31 am »
Another thing to consider about losing Lidge.

You have to trade quality to get quality.  

I think nobody will argue that Lidge is quality (and if they try, they are idiots).  So he was the Astros best chip to trade without really gutting the team in some way, and in return they did get quality.  Bourn might not be Ichiro, but he will be a good lead-off man.  And when people try to compare him to the "average" CFer they need to temper that with, not all CFers have the same function in a line-up.  Beltran was asked to be the best hitter in his line-up.  Torii Hunter was asked to be a run producer, not a run scorer.  Compare Bourn's career stats to lead-off hitters and suddenly his slugging being a bit low isn't as big a deal as his good OBP.  And on top of that Bourn has excellent range in CF, which is HUGE in MMP, as we have all noted.

On top of that, the Astros good a good 3B prospect, and a decent middle reliever and only had to add in Bruntlett whos is a great untility type, but not siginificantly more.  So I have to agree with those that say the Astros got the better end of this deal, but Philly fills a big need to them in a quality closer.

500
Talk Zone / Re: Lidge a Phillie
« on: November 08, 2007, 09:58:11 am »
Been totally out of touch last night, so when I came in today and saw this my first reaction was, "They traded Lidge?  What did they get?"

Then I saw the actually deal, read a bit on the 3B prospect and immediately thought, "Great deal!"

This deal perfectly fits the biggest needs in position players, that being CFer, Leadoff hitter and future 3B.  I was ok with the idea of Wigginton being the 3B for 08, but viewed him as a stop-gap until something better could be found.  This Costanzo kid might just come in and be the Astros #1 position player prospect right away.  And that would be very nice considering how this was a black hole in the minor league system (3B).  So now they Astros have a potential replacement for Wigginton.  I view Costanzo as battling for the 3B job in 3B, but likely going to AAA to start the season rather than beating out Wigginton.  So big improvement there.

And then Bourn in CF, fits the other two major holes, because while Hunter wasn't terrible in CF, it was obvious that he would be better as a corner OFer.  And Bourn also fills that HUGE hole (IMO) at lead-off.  The Astros just didn't have any good candidates other than perhaps Anderson or Burke (shudder at the thought).  So this quickly helps eliminate those areas.

The loss of Lidge hurts, he was a top tier closer no matter what anyone might say.  But they do get a decent to good middle reliever to replace him.  AND they save some big bucks by not having to play him.  To me this is a big deal.

The team is still looking for starting pitching (very scarce this offseason) and is looking to improve at 2B.  I think they will also look at the closers who are FAs, which there are a few good ones to choose from.  Because of the FA options at closer are pretty good this year, I think this was the perfect time to make this move.  Now you have several good options to replace Lidge with, and if you can't land any of the good closers on the FA market, you still have Qualls to fall back on, who people have been wondering if he could be the next closer out of the Astros org.  All of this looks very good.

And while I know alot of people are seeming to be pushing for Castillo, I also look at Iguchi as being a good option.  He is also experienced in the #2 batting position.  AND if worse comes to worse and Burke is the opening day 2B.  And from all accounts he was "supposed" to be more suited for the #2 batting hole than then lead-off role.  And if you are batting in front of Berkman, Lee and Pence, chances are you are going to get better pitches to swing at.  So this also might help Burke realize the potential he "supposedly" has.  This also assumes he stops hitting flyballs and starts doing more line-drive/groundball hitting.

So all things considered this is an excellent more, and the best part is, it was done early enough to allow them to move on to the other areas more quickly.  This has often been the Astros biggest fatal flaw, waiting until the best options were gone.

I can't find anything I don't like about this deal.

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