Who Am I?

Josh Reddick

Corner outfield

Age: 30

Height: 6′ 2″

Weight: 195

Bats left, throws right

How Did I Get Here?

Reddick was originally drafted by Boston in the 17th round of the 2006 draft. He was traded to Oakland, along with Miles Head, for Andrew Bailey and Ryan Sweeney in December 2011. After several good seasons in Oakland, he was traded to the Dodgers (along with Rich Hill) for Grant Holmes, Jharel Cotton, and Frankie Montas. (At that point, Reddick’s season fell apart… he posted only a .396 OPS in August.) In November 2016, he signed as a free agent with the Astros.

Contract status:

Reddick signed a 4 year, $52M contract that pays evenly over the life of the contract. This seems like a huge amount for a slightly above-average corner outfielder, but according to the folks over at FanGraphs, who say that $8M per win above replacement is roughly the going rate, he may have come at a slight discount.

Why Am I Here?

Reddick was brought in to stabilize the outfield; expect to see him in right field on most days the good guys face a right handed starting pitcher.

What Are My Strengths?

Reddick has a pretty good eye, and home run strength that isn’t going to rate up there with Gattis or Correa but can definitely hold its own; 15-20 HR is a reasonable expectation. Reddick also had a reputation as a plus defensive outfielder earlier in his career, even winning a Gold Glove in 2012, but that seems to have fallen off in the last couple seasons. Finally, Reddick is slightly above average on the base paths – not a burner by any means, but showing good judgement in when to go for the extra base, and stealing at more than an acceptable rate.

What Are My Weaknesses?

Reddick looks to be prone to long slumps – his power has all but disappeared in the later parts of the season, and as mentioned above, he really cratered with the Dodgers. Also keep an eye on his defense – as mentioned above, that reputation as a plus-level defender in the corners seems to have fallen off, and right field at Minute Maid usually needs a very strong arm.

Loves to hit: Last year, Reddick was feasting on sliders, hitting .314 with a whopping .608 SLG in 51 AB.

Hates to hit: You may have heard the Spring Training reports that Reddick wants to face more left handed pitching.

Last year, Reddick got 104 plate appearances against lefties, and managed only a .155/.212/.155 line. Yes, you saw that right. He didn’t have a single extra base hit against lefties. He should only face lefties in cases of extreme emergency, or extreme blowout.

What is my future with the Astros?

You saw that contract – Reddick is here for a while. And while you’d love to see a $13M player every day, the fact of the matter is that a platoon is necessary for him – if they can work out the roster space, a Teoscar Hernandez platoon may be coming soon to an outfield corner near you.

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Who else would I remind you of?

Bats left, throws right, good eye, decent pop but not outstanding, capable outfielder… all of this screams “Terry Puhl” to me.

Who Am I?

Jake Marisnick

Outfield. (All of it. No matter where he plays.)

Age: 26

Height: 6′ 4″

Weight: 220 (significantly higher than I would have guessed)

Bats right, throws right

How Did I Get Here?

Marisnick was originally drafted by Toronto in the 3rd round of the 2009 draft. He was traded to Florida/Miami, along with (deep breath)… Henderson Alvarez, Anthony DeSClafani, Yunel Escobar, Adeiny Hechavarria, Jeff Mathis and Justin Nicolino in exchange for (another deep breath)… Emilio Bonifacio, John Buck, Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, and Jose Reyes.

(We interrupt this player history to remind you that George Steinbrenner committed actual, real crimes… and was a FAR superior to Joffrey Loria. Loria has to be on the short list for worst owners ever in any sport.)

Marisnick then came to Houston with Martes and Moran in the Jarred Cosart deal of July 2014.

Contract status:

Marisnick’s first arbitration year resulted in a $1.1M contract. He has two option years remaining and will be eligible for free agency in 2021.

Why Am I Here?

Marisnick is not your classic fourth outfielder; Beltran’s remaining ability to man left field fills that spot. No, Marisnick will be almost purely a defensive specialist, and (spring training shuffling aside) he should be in center field any time he is in the game.

What Are My Strengths?

Marisnick is simply outstanding in the outfield. Tampa Bay’s Kevin Kiermaier is, by consensus and by most statistics, the best center fielder in the game – he’s on a historical level of great center field play. Marisnick has a strong argument that he’s the second best center fielder right now. His range is the highlight of this package – there is not a ball hit to center field that you think “well, he’s not getting THAT.” (Offer does not apply to home runs. Some of them.)

Marisnick can also be a highly effective pinch runner.

What Are My Weaknesses?

It seems that each spring, we’re told that Marisnick has changed his mechanics to figure things out at the plate. Thus far, it’s never been true. If he could even give you a .300 OBP, you could argue that his glove makes him an every day player; but .300 is a high aspiration for a guy who has posted .231, . 281, .281, and .257. (His refusal to take pitches is a big part of this; he has only 48 career walks against 282 strikeouts.)

Loves to hit: Go ahead and get this guy some early games. In March and April, Marisnick has posted a .338/.387/.544 slash line. Compare that to a .216/.259/.323 line in every other month, and I don’t know what to tell you… maybe pitchers come into each season taking him for granted.

Hates to hit: Marisnick on pitches up and in makes Craig Biggio look like he destroyed sliders low and away. Average exit velocity on any given ball in play is in the 80-90 MPH range; up and in, Marisnick doesn’t quite average 50 MPH.

What is my future with the Astros?

Marisnick should stay on the roster as the designated defensive wizard until his arbitration clock runs out.

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Hey FanGraphs, there’s a bug in ZIPS. There is no conceivable way Jake Marisnick gets to double-digit homers.

Who else would I remind you of?

Look, we’re quite familiar with “this guy is so damn good in the field, if only he could hit a LITTLE bit!” But Marisnick doesn’t quite have Adam Everett’s bat, or his ears, so he doesn’t play every day.

Who Am I?

Tony Kemp

Second base / left field / wherever

Age: 25

Height: 5′ 6″

Weight: 165″

Bats left, throws right

How Did I Get Here?

Kemp was drafted by the Astros in the 5th round of the 2013 draft, and was first called up in May 2016.

Contract status:

Kemp has two option years remaining.

Why Am I Here?

Heck if I know. What makes this organization think that they can call up a second baseman who’s barely five feet tall, whose only appreciable skills are his speed and an ability to make contact, and think that he’ll amount to anything?

OK, so I guess if it works once, you should develop a backup.

What Are My Strengths?

Kemp has shown a plus hit tool in the minors, ranging from .300 to .350 batting average. He also is an eager base stealer, swing around 30 bags per full season.

Kemp is a decent second baseman, but seeing as we already have one of those pretty well entrenched, the Astros have started experimenting with him in left field.

What Are My Weaknesses?

In over 50 games in the majors, absolutely none of the above translated. Kemp barely hit .200, and in 40 times on base, only stole 2 bases.

Also, Kemp went only 10 for 18 stealing bases last year. One does worry that he’s making his way the only way he knows how, but it may be just a little bit more than catchers will allow.

Loves to hit: Kemp was a successful first pitch swinger, hitting .318 on the first pitch.

Hates to hit: Changeups, curveballs, sinkers, sliders… you name it, Kemp couldn’t handle offspeed pitches. He managed only 5 for 41 against all off speed offerings.

What is my future with the Astros?

Kemp will get every opportunity to show that he can adapt to major league pitching. Jose Altuve may not have convinced everyone that miniature second basemen are the new market inefficiency, so teams haven’t exactly demanded Kemp in a trade.

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Who else would I remind you of?

Hopefully, a poor man’s Jose Altuve.

Who Am I?

Teoscar Hernandez

Outfielder

Age: 24

Height: 6′ 2″

Weight: 180

Bats right, throws right

How Did I Get Here?

Hernandez signed with the Astros as an international free agent out of the Dominican Republic in 2011. He was added to the 40-man roster upon his call up in August 2016.

Contract status:

Hernandez has three full option years remaining.

Why Am I Here?

Hernandez is part of a crowded minor league outfield situation. While the Astros’ team site has him listed as a left fielder, his ability (or lack thereof) to man center field may ultimately determine his fate with the organization.

What Are My Strengths?

Well, Teoscar is unique. Upon his major league debut, Teoscar Hernandez became the first – and thus far, only – Teoscar in the history of major league baseball. So he’s got that going for him, which is nice.

Hernandez – or “Teo” as many affectionately call him – has speed to burn, and absolutely no conscience about stealing a base. In the minors, he’s been good for at least 30 steals per full season, and he stays around a 75% success rate – not great, but good enough to keep running. He has also shown 10-15 HR levels of pop.

What Are My Weaknesses?

While 10-15 HR pop is nice, it typically isn’t a carrying tool at a corner outfield spot. And Hernandez isn’t especially patient – certainly not to the degree that a speedster would need to offset a lack of power.

Between the two, Hernandez could still be fine with the bat as a center fielder. Unfortunately, his 15 games in center field at the major league level could charitably be called “adventurous”. He’s certainly closer to Biggio than Marisnick on the “center field defensive spectrum” at the moment.

Loves to hit: Teo jumped on lefties to the tune of .278/.381/.500 during his major league stint, leading to early questions of whether he would be a good platoon candidate.

Hates to hit: Unsurprisingly for a rookie, Teo struggled behind in the count, managing a meek 3 for 29 when behind.

What is my future with the Astros?

Completely up in the air. Can Springer be an effective center fielder? Can Marisnick really develop as a hitter? Can Hernandez actually play center field without causing cringe-related facial injuries to the fanbase? His potential ranges from “never more than occasional cups of coffee” to “regular center fielder.”

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Who else would I remind you of?

A certain former Astro earned the nickname “Crazy Ivan” for his rather indirect outfield routes, in a nod to an increasingly topical movie:

Russian captains sometime turn suddenly to see if anyone’s behind them. We call it “Crazy Ivan.” The only thing you can do is go dead. Shut everything down and make like a hole in the water.

For his sake, let’s hope Teo doesn’t go on to guest star on a horrible Netflix sitcom sequel/reboot.

Who Am I?

Andrew Aplin

Center Field

Age: 26

Height: 6′ 0″

Weight: 205

Bats left, throws left

How Did I Get Here?

Aplin was Houston’s 5th round draft pick in 2012 out of Arizona State. He was added to the 40-man roster after the 2015 season.

Contract status:

Aplin has two option years remaining.

Why Am I Here?

The hope is that Aplin will develop in to the classic good glove, good OBP, speedy center fielder type that people have idealized since the days of Vince Coleman.

What Are My Strengths?

Aplin has shown great discipline in most of his time in the minors, posting OBP north of .370 in every season before 2016. He is reputed to be a strong fielder, holding his own well in center field in the minors.

What Are My Weaknesses?

Aplin has absolutely no power whatsoever – his slugging percentage is usually under is on base percentage. To make matters worse, he absolutely cratered at the plate in 2016, posting a .223/.300/.318 line at AAA. It’s one thing to see that from a player in his first exposure at the level, but Aplin already had 100+ games at AAA in the previous two seasons.

Loves to hit: You know what? If a guy is barely making the Mendoza line in his second full tour of AAA, I think we can skip this section. Suffice it to say, any type of major league pitching will likely eat him alive right now.

What is my future with the Astros?

Aplin will need a big bounce back in 2017 at the plate to avoid the dreaded “designated for assignment.” If he can do that, he could carve out a niche for himself on the bench if/when Marisnick becomes too expensive for a backup outfielder.

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Who else would I remind you of?

Ah, the classic “if he could only get on base” center fielder… it reminds me of the glory days of Gerald Young and Eric “Cool Breeze” Yelding. If Aplin had a nickname nearly as fabulous as “cool breeze”, he’d have a better chance of sticking around in my opinion.

Who Am I?

Norichika Aoki

Corner outfield

Age: 35

Height: 5′ 9″

Weight: 180

Bats left, throws right

How Did I Get Here?

It’s been a long and winding road for Aoki. In 2012, he came to Milwaukee from the Yakult Swallows. (Try that Yakult to Milwaukee transition some time. A bit of culture shock.) After the 2013 season, he was traded by the Brewers to Kansas City for Will Smith, which shows you just how far Smith’s stock fell after releasing “After Earth”. After the 2014 season, he was non-tendered by Kansas City and signed as a free agent with San Francisco. After the 2015 season, he was non-tendered by the Giants and signed as a free agent with Seattle. (Seeing a pattern here?)

Finally, he was waived by Seattle after the 2016 to create room on their 40-man roster, and was claimed by the Astros.

Contract status:

Aoki is under contract for 2017 for $5.5M and is still eligible for arbitration in 2018.

Why Am I Here?

Whether by design or simply by result of using the players available to them, the Astros for the past few seasons had a lineup that was very right-handed, very powerful, and VERY prone to strikeouts. Aoki comes in to counterbalance all of these issues. He will hit for next to no power – but he will provide a left handed bat that makes a lot of contact and strikes out infrequently. Aoki looks like a platoon player coming into the season.

What Are My Strengths?

Aoki provides a dependable contact bat with a high level of consistency. His OBP by season for his career:

• .355
• .356
• .349
• .353
• .349

That’s a fairly minuscule standard deviation for a guy 5 years into his MLB career. He also walks as much as he strikes out, which is a quality that sticks out like a sore healthy thumb in this lineup.

What Are My Weaknesses?

I’ll allow the wordsmiths at Baseball Prospectus to properly describe Aoki’s defense:

If one were scoring the soundtrack of The Nori Aoki Show, it would be equal parts “Yakety Sax” and the theme from Curb Your Enthusiasm, with a soupçon of the Inception claxon for the darker moments when, as if propelled by the ballpark flipping on its side, he throws his body out of the path of an incoming fastball.

Also, you’d hope that a high-OBP guy would be a better baserunner, but he’s average at best and has shown alarmingly bad judgement in stolen base attempts.

Loves to hit: Much as described with Tyler White yesterday, Aoki uses his discerning eye to get himself to a good fastball. Last year, he hit .348 with a .529 SLG on fastballs, including 3 of his 4 homers.

Hates to hit:  Aoki seems to struggle identifying the changeup – last year he only went 13 for 57 on the change, with only one extra base hit.

What is my future with the Astros?

With one more season of arbitration eligibility, and as he is getting long in the tooth, Aoki’s future would not appear to extend beyond 2018 in Houston. For 2017, he’ll have every opportunity to hold down the job, but the kids like Fisher and the Tucker brothers are knocking on the door to take that corner OF spot.

What is my projected 2017 performance?

Who else would I remind you of?

On those 2004-05 teams, the Astros had a dependable veteran lefty with good contact and OBP skills and absolutely no power. I really liked what Orlando Palmeiro brought to the table, and I’m hoping Aoki can do the same.