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  • Walking into the Record Books

Walking into the Record Books

Posted on May 9, 2001 by Arky Vaughan in Crunch Time

A little more than 10 years ago, 32-year-old Rickey Henderson was on top of the baseball world. Coming off an MVP season in 1990, Henderson, then with the Athletics, stole his 939th base on May 1, 1991, breaking Lou Brock’s career record. While Brock took 19 seasons and 1,245 attempts to set the mark, Henderson required slightly more than 12 seasons and 1,154 attempts to overtake it.

In his moment of glory, Henderson hoisted third base above his head and declared himself, before the Oakland Coliseum crowd of 36,139, “the greatest of all time.” Unexpectedly, Henderson had to share national headlines with 44-year-old Nolan Ryan, who struck out 16 Blue Jays en route to his seventh career no-hitter that night.

When he retires Henderson might be remembered for his immodesty as much as his feats on the basepaths. He has also acquired a reputation as a clubhouse cancer and a journeyman in his old age, changing teams eight times since 1993. For a brief moment two weeks ago, however, Henderson returned to the spotlight before a mere 12,573 fans at Qualcomm Stadium.

On April 25 Henderson drew his 2,063rd walk, breaking Babe Ruth’s 66-year-old career record. (Actually, Ruth’s mark was 2,056 for 63 years until six previously untabulated walks were added to his total in 1998.) Having started the season in the minor leagues, Henderson, 42, looked finished after 23 seasons when the Padres placed him on special waivers the day after he set the walks record.

Henderson was batting .136 when he overtook Ruth. Moreover, he has managed a batting average over .250 just once in the last five years, although his OBP has been above .400 three times and his walks and runs over 100 twice apiece during that span. Since that historic evening, though, Henderson is batting .378 with 12 runs, five extra-base hits, and eight walks in 10 games.

Henderson now needs 69 hits for 3,000 and 56 runs to pass Ty Cobb’s career record of 2,246. While his chances of reaching either highlight looked dim at the end of last month, it now appears he may add both achievements to his resume later this season. Henderson also needs 16 home runs for 300. He already holds the career record for lead-off homers.

Even in his old age, Henderson has continued to steal bases. Indeed, only once, when he played just 87 games in 1994, has Henderson failed to steal 30 bases in a season. Henderson may finally slow down this year, but if he can still post an OBP in the high .300s (his OBP is .417 so far this season), it is difficult to imagine that at least a few major-league teams cannot make use of him.

Henderson’s new record caps his career as the greatest lead-off hitter in history. His combined ability to reach base and steal bases at the top of the order is unparalleled. Most people think of Henderson for his stolen bases, not his walks, but Henderson has reached 100 bases on balls seven times and led the league four times, most recently with 118 in 1998 at 39.

In his prime, hitting in front of Don Mattingly and Dave Winfield for the Yankees and Jose Canseco and Mark McGwire for the Athletics, Henderson was a scoring machine, reaching more than 100 runs 11 times in 14 seasons from 1980 to 1993:

Year  Age   SB  CS   BB    R   OBP
----------------------------------
1979  20    33  11   34   49  .341
1980  21   100  26  117  111  .422
1981  22    56  22   64   89  .411
1982  23   130  42  116  119  .399
1983  24   108  19  103  105  .415
1984  25    66  18   86  113  .401
1985  26    80  10   99  146  .422
1986  27    87  18   89  130  .359
1987  28    41   8   80   78  .423
1988  29    93  13   82  118  .397
1989  30    77  14  126  113  .413
1990  31    65  10   97  119  .441
1991  32    58  18   98  105  .402
1992  33    48  11   95   77  .429
1993  34    53   8  120  114  .435
1994  35    22   7   72   66  .413
1995  36    32  10   72   67  .410
1996  37    45   8  125  110  .412
1997  38    45   8   97   84  .400
1998  39    66  13  118  101  .377  
1999  40    37  14   82   89  .425
2000  41    31   9   88   75  .368

The walks record was the last one held by Ruth in a counting statistic. If Henderson reaches the runs record, he will leave Cobb in a similar position. At one time Ruth and Cobb together held the career records for games, at-bats, runs, hits, home runs, RBI, strikeouts, walks, and stolen bases, every major counting statistic except doubles and triples, which are held by Tris Speaker and Sam Crawford, respectively.

In the years since Cobb and Ruth retired, Hank Aaron (games, at-bats, home runs, RBI), Pete Rose (hits), Mickey Mantle (strikeouts), Lou Brock (stolen bases), and  Henderson (walks) have dislodged them. (But for the Second World War and the Korean War, Ted Williams would likely have taken the lead in runs, RBI, and walks). Cobb still heads in batting average at .367, and Ruth in slugging average at .690, but their stranglehold on the record book has largely ended.

Depending on whether he surpasses Cobb in runs, Henderson will sit atop three categories, a feat that stands up to anyone’s. The 10-time All-Star is one of the finest players of his generation and a top-five left fielder. Despite his surliness and nomad status the latter half of his career, his accomplishments make it difficult to forget that Henderson is a baseball immortal.

Who’s on Third?

When he hit six home runs and slugged .692 in his first 11 games, Chris Truby had a lot of people believing he might present at least a short-term solution for the Astros at third base. Truby’s performance has fallen considerably, however, to the point where he is hitting .211 with a .279 OBP. Even his slugging average has descended to .440. Truby is batting .231/.288/.500 at home and .204/.283/.407 on the road.

The Astros are simply giving away outs at the bottom of the order. Consider the performance of the lower third of the line-up:

Spot    Avg   OBP   Slg
-----------------------
No. 7  .191  .250  .278
No. 8  .231  .289  .426
No. 9  .125  .229  .135

There is another way. Consider Morgan Ensberg’s numbers at AA Round Rock last season and AAA New Orleans thus far this season:

Year   Avg   OBP   Slg    G   AB    H  2B  3B  HR   R  RBI  BB
--------------------------------------------------------------
2000  .301  .416  .547  136  479  144  34   0  28  94   90  91
2001  .279  .350  .635   27  104   29   4   0  11  22   22  11

Ensberg is unlikely to slug above .600 all season at New Orleans. He has been on a homer binge as of late and should eventually cool off. His batting average and OBP are steady but unremarkable.

On the other hand, Ensberg, 25, is performing better than Truby, 27, did at AAA before his call-up last season. In 2000 at New Orleans, Truby batted .284/.318/.369 in 64 games. The year before at AA Jackson Truby batted .282/.329/.520 in 124 games. Ensberg hit better at AA and is hitting better at AAA. Why not give him the chance to hit better in the majors?

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