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Astros @ White Sox – Do These Pale Hose Make My Loss Column Look Big?

Posted on May 17, 2016 by Waldo in Series Previews

SERIES PREVIEW

Wretched Refuse of the Teeming Gulf Shore @ The Wretched Refuse that is Chicago’s South Side

May 17-19, 2016

Second-best team in the AL.  Fewest runs allowed in the AL.  A pitcher whose name rhymes with a song that is the perfect blend of catchy and annoying and will now be stuck in my head for the foreseeable future.

Yes, the White Sox are a good team, but it’s not terribly unlikely for the Astros to steal a couple in this series.  See below for the matchups.

Some X-factors in this series could be some recent roster moves.  Evan Gattis is back; Erik Kratz is sent fudge packing.  Preston Tucker is back in AAA; Tony Kemp has been called up.  It also appears that third base prospect Colin Moran will be in uniform in Chicago.  As of the time of this writing it’s not certain what the corresponding 40-man roster move will be; it doesn’t appear anyone is headed to the DL, so many are hoping it will be the dumping of a certain player who is next-to-last in OPS for qualified hitters.

Tuesday, May 17 – 7:10pm CDT
Dallas Keuchel (2-5, 5.58) vs. Carlos Rodon (1-4, 4.99)

There’s not a whole to write here that hasn’t already been said or written.  Keuchel is this year’s ace in name only; you could make a pretty solid argument that he’s a #4/#5 starter.  He did pitch extremely well against the White Sox last year, going 1-1 with a 1.13 ERA in two starts.  We’ll know by about 9pm tonight if that’s worth anything.

Rodon has been a bit inconsistent this year and is certainly prone to giving up crooked numbers.  He does eat a lot of innings, except against the Angels where he gave up five runs and didn’t make it out of the 1st.  He’s coming off a loss in Arlington where he allowed six runs and twelve hits.  Rodon was 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA against Houston in his 2015 rookie campaign.

Wednesday, May 18 – 7:10pm CDT
Doug Fister (3-3, 4.22) vs. Mat Latos (5-0, 3.40)

If you had said before the season that Fister would be the Astros’ best starter by mid-May, I probably would have said that could only happen if the other starters had met their ends in bizarre fashion (e.g. Keuchel’s beard getting lopped off in a freak toenail-clipping accident).  Nevertheless, Fister has indeed been the steadiest arm not named Will Harris.  He was at least spared from the shitshow in Boston, but was robbed of a win in last week’s 16-inning game against the Indians.  He has not faced the White Sox since 2013 but their roster is an aggregate .242/.315/.394 against him – not too shabby.

Latos was beastly to start the season, allowing just two runs in his first four starts spanning 24.1 innings.  He’s allowed 13 runs in his three starts since so there is cause for hope.  A newcomer to the AL, he has not had any meaningful recent appearances against the Astros, but Houston hitters are .397/.431/.647 against him.  Of particular note, a player named Carlos Gomez is 10×24 with two homers against him.  It should be noted that the OWA series preview desk cannot confirm or deny that this is the same Carlos Gomez currently occupying a roster spot in the navy and orange, so readers should .

Thursday, May 19 – 7:10pm CDT
Collin McHugh (4-3, 5.58) vs. Chris Sale (8-0, 1.67)

Let’s dispense with the usual format here.

Chris Sale has notched a win in every game in which he has pitched this year.

There is nothing good about facing Chris Sale.

Oh Well

Posted on May 15, 2016 by Waldo in Game Recaps

May 15, 2016

Red Sox 10, Astros 9

W – Hembree (2-0)
L – Feldman (2-3)
S – Kimbrel (10)

Box Score

GameZone thread

I’m going to put a lot less effort into this recap than the team put into today’s game.  Clearly losing 10-9 means you’re doing a few things right, but it also means you’re doing a lot of things wrong as well.  Feel free to go read the official recap if you wish, but here are the highlights and lowlights:

  • Defense was sloppy: two Astro errors plus a costly missed fly ball in the outfield; five total errors for both teams
  • Both starters sucked: Devenski gave up six runs in two innings; Sean O’Sullivan allowed as many in 4+ innings
  • Valbuena and Correa both homered in the game; Valbuena drove in five of the team’s nine runs
  • The Astros clawed and scraped their way to a 9-8 lead after six, but they gave two runs back in the 7th

Dropping three of four from a good Sox team in Boston is not entirely unexpected, but it burns when it could’ve been 3-1 the other way.

Kicked in the Balls, Episode 23

Posted on May 14, 2016 by Waldo in Game Recaps

May 14, 2016

Red Sox 6, Astros 5 (11 innings)

W – Uehara (2-1)
L – Feliz (1-1)

Box Score

GameZone thread

We shouldn’t be surprised by any of this anymore.  After being nails on Friday night, Gregerson brought absolutely no command in Saturday’s save situation, allowing Boston to send the game to extras and ultimately win it.

Correa started the scoring in the first with a solo blast that cleared the Green Monster and left the damn building.  In the bottom of the inning the Sox loaded the bases knocked in a run with three straight hits and then loaded the bases with nobody out.  After a grounder to third that resulted in a force play at home, McHugh walked Travis Shaw to make it 2-1 Boston.  McHugh then induced an inning-ending double play.  All things considered, it could’ve been a lot worse.

In the 2nd Springer bested the Green Monster for the second time in as many games, this time with the bases juiced.  Clay Buchholz had walked a couple of hitters before getting to Springer, and when Springer worked the count to 3-1 Buchholz was clearly frustrated with the strike zone.  His next pitch landed 370+ feet away.

The Astro bats cooled afterward, and the Red Sox chipped away at the deficit, scoring a run in each of the 3rd and 4th innings.  Given his early struggles, though, McHugh pitched a tough six innings and was in line for the win, one that would have been well-deserved given the potency of the Boston lineup.  Neshek and Harris pitched scoreless 7th and 8th innings respectively.  The Astros threatened to add an insurance run a couple of times but never managed to.  Of particular suckage was in the 8th inning: with runners at the corners and one out, Castro missed the bunt signal for a squeeze play and Marwin was dead meat coming in from third.

Gregerson pitched the 9th and couldn’t have found the strike zone with Google Maps, throwing more balls than strikes.  Somehow he almost weaseled his way into a save anyway, getting a runner at first with two outs.  Then David Ortiz happened, tripling to deep left-center a couple feet past a diving Marisnick’s glove and tying the game.  Remarkably, Hanley Ramirez might have let the Astros off the hook by unsuccessfully trying to bunt his way on base and win the game.

In the bottom of the 11th, with Michael Feliz on the mound, Xander Bogaerts singled and reached second on a wild pitch to Ortiz.  Rather than walking Ortiz with first base open, Hinch elected to have Feliz continue pitching to Ortiz, who already had two RBI on the day.  This proved to be a mistake: Ortiz drove a double to center to win it.

Instead of being in the driver’s seat and having a legit shot to steal three out of four in Boston, the Astros now hope to split the series tomorrow.

Swingin’ in the Rain

Posted on May 13, 2016 by Waldo in Game Recaps

May 13, 2016

Astros 7, Red Sox 6

W – Feldman (2-2)
L – Barnes (2-2)
S – Gregerson (8)

Box Score

GameZone thread

The Astros were down 5-1 after two innings.

And won.

Yes, that happened.

In a steady rain that lasted the entire game, the Astros staked a 1-0 lead in the 1st when Marwin singled in Altuve.  Making his 2016 debut, Lance McCullers looked pretty sharp in the 1st, but the wheels came off big time in the 2nd.  McCullers lost all semblance of control, giving up a single, two walks, back-to-back doubles, a run-scoring wild pitch, and an additional RBI single.  The Red Sox had five runs in before the Astros had even recorded an out in the inning.  We were going to let our seven-year-old son stay up to watch the entire game, but at 5-1 I asked him if he wanted to do something else instead.  To his credit he still wanted to watch the game, so I settled in for seven innings of shit.

I’m glad I didn’t try to talk him out of it.  McCullers regained his control, facing the minimum in the 3rd and 4th innings.  This was thanks in part to Travis Shaw trying to leg out a double to left but getting gunned down by a Rasmus/Correa alleyoop at second.  Then the Astros got payback in the top of the 5th: Castro led off with a double, Marisnick bunted a single between the mound and first, Altuve drove in Castro with a double, and Springer doubled home Marisnick and Altuve to cut Boston’s lead to 5-4.  It was particularly nice to see Houston bang up Steven Wright, a pitcher who has had the Astros’ number and has pitched very well this year.  After Correa walked and Rasmus advanced both runners on a groundout, Wright left the game and Marwin lined a single up the middle off Matt Barnes to knock in Springer tie it up.

McCullers got two outs to start the 5th, but after Xander Bogaerts doubled to center Big Papi was intentionally walked with first base open.  With McCullers’ pitch count already at 88 pitches and with the team probably wanting to be careful with him, Hinch ended McCullers’ night.  Feldman induced a routine grounder to get out of the jam.

Castro led off the top of the 6th with another knock and three batters later Springer blasted off over the Green Monster for a 7-5 lead.  The Red Sox got one back from Feldman in the bottom half on a solo shot to center by Shaw, but they didn’t manage anything else.  Although the Red Sox threatened in the 7th with a couple runners on, Feldman, Sipp, and Giles combined for a scoreless inning.  Harris and Gregerson made the Sox look absolutely silly in the 8th and 9th innings, combining for five strikeouts.

Altuve (3×4), Springer (3×5), Marwin (2×5), and Castro (2×4) all had multi-hit games.  Carlos Gomez was 0x5 with… sigh… three K’s.

DM Archives #2: Whatever

Posted on May 13, 2016 by Dark Star in Columnistas, Dark Matter, Featured

Friday the 13th? What of it?

<><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>

DARKNESS, DARKNESS

So I have this mouth shut-off button installed on the side of my head, and I am constantly laying on it full force to try and stop some of the really stupid shit before it ejects from my mouth. No way I can stop it from running through my head, but . . . It is the end of spring, the beginning of summer. This is normally one of the brightest times in my year. This year, though, the darkness is unrelenting. I need another button that shines a Q-Beam, to try and see through the blackness. I’d be laying on that one, too, if I had it; not that it would do much good now.

Read More

Hello, McFly?

Posted on May 13, 2016 by MusicMan in Game Recaps

May 12, 2016

Red Sox 11, Astros 1

W: Price (5-1) L: Keuchel (2-5)

Abbreviated Game Zone – where was everyone?

Box score

Win probability

Doc Luhnow answers the door

Don’t say a word!

Dallas Keuchel, clearly flustered: Doc, Doc, it’s me, Dallas.  Doc, you gotta help me…

Doc: Don’t tell me anything.  Quiet, quiet. I’m gonna read your thoughts.  Let’s see now… you’ve come a great distance?

Dallas: Yes, exactly!

Doc: Don’t tell me! Uh… you want me to buy a subscription to Baseball Prospectus?

Dallas: No!

Doc: Not a word, not a word now! Donations… you want me to make a donation to buy out Carlos Gomez’s contract?

Dallas: Doc… I’m from the past.  I came here in a time machine that you invented.  Now, I need your help to get back to the year 2013.

Doc: My God… do you know what this means? It means that my plan didn’t work at all! 4 years of work!!

Other notes:

  • Keuchel’s ERA is now 5.58, placing him 41st out of 49 qualified AL starters.
  • David Price, who completely dominated the Astros for 6 2/3, has an ERA of 6.00, placing him tied for 45th (with Sonny Gray, supposedly the best pitcher available for trade).
  • Keuchel’s 1.60 WHIP is 45th of 49, so it’s not like it’s bad luck.
  • In 2013, those numbers for Keuchel for the season: 5.15 and 1.54.  He missed qualifying by 8 innings, otherwise he would have been 3rd-to-last and next-to-last in those categories.
  • Congratulations to Eric Kratz, who not only avoided a well-deserved Designated for Assignment, but actually got a hit last night! With this hit, he no longer holds the worst BA or OPS in last night’s lineup, which now belong to…
  • Jake Marisnick, who has posted an impressive 1-21 for .048/.091/.048 start!
  • Josh Fields absorbed the last 2 innings on the bullpen’s behalf before catching a (well-deserved) flight to Fresno.  But thanks to Marwin’s error, 2 of the 3 runs he allowed were unearned, so he lowered his ERA to 6.89!

Editorial note:

Seriously, if you could have picked one thing to guarantee that the Astros’ season would collapse, “Keuchel pitches like complete garbage” would have been at or very near the top.

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