Author Topic: Pitching and defense  (Read 3375 times)

EasTexAstro

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Pitching and defense
« on: April 02, 2006, 01:35:59 am »
I am concerned with the 2nd string catcher situation. I am interested to see how Garner is going to work that out.

Defense-wise, this looks to be a pretty good team, if Lance can be reminded of the number of outs.

Roy, Andy,
Brandon, Wandy,
Taylor....

Not too bad...

The bats need to get going, but this looks like a pretty good team.
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mihoba

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2006, 09:36:14 am »
Quote:

Roy, Andy,
Brandon, Wandy,
Taylor....

Not too bad...

The bats need to get going, but this looks like a pretty good team.





Think about the rotation for a minute.

Roy Oswalt
Andy Pettitte

No concerns here, two of the best in MLB. If they stay healthy, the Astros will remain competitive.

Brandon Backe

Needs to improve consistency in his promotion to 3rd starter. We all know his success in big games, but can step up and give the team solid innings the entire year?

Wandy Rodriguez

Decent rookie season, but a 5.53 ERA is not going to cut it as the 4th starter.

Taylor Bucholtz

An unproven rookie in his ML debut.

Needless to say, I am quite worried about the rotation.
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Ankh

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2006, 12:59:55 pm »
At least Wandy and Buccholz can be replaced by Astacio, Nieve, and Carlos Harnandez.  We have good back-of-the-rotation depth, so we can switch these guys out without too much trouble.  Throw enough bodies at the problem, and something is bound to shake out.

Backe inconsistency is my biggest concern.  His big postseason games are sandwiched around some awful ones as well. And his midseason injury last year doesn't bode well for me, either.  Clearly, Backe has it in him to be a good pitcher.  Hopefully, he can put 35 starts together into a solid package.

Fredia

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2006, 05:09:38 pm »
spring training seemed to not go well for bache. but like limey and others have often remeinded me it it just spring. just have to wait to game three and see .. just hopes he stops throwing stuff down the middle
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NeilT

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #4 on: April 02, 2006, 05:50:19 pm »
I don't get it.  Clemens pitched spectacularly for a good part of the season, and with any luck he should have won 18 or 19 games.  He didn't though. The Clemens discussion reminds me of last year's Central Gardner discussion, except that Clemens actually had a great season.  Beltran didn't, at least until the playoffs.  Backe can win 10 games again. He could do better, and it won't take much to beat the 13 wins from the bottom of last year's rotation.  

We've got the same bullpen as last year, which was a great bullpen.  Defensively, who's better than the 'Stros?  Wilson may have lost some range, but watching him and Tuvariz Friday night was like watching 2 central gardners in the outfield. Wilson motors. Jugamientos. The offense can't be worse than last year, and I think it will be better enough to make a difference.

I just don't see how we're not as good or better of a team than last year.
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Greg M

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2006, 06:56:05 pm »
I don't see how you can't be apprehensive when the rotation has two starting pitchers with little to no big league experience.  The depth is nice but the bullpen's probably going to get worked pretty heavily to start the season.  Hopefully Pettitte's ready to pitch deep into games while the rest of the rotation finds its groove.

mihoba

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2006, 07:11:39 pm »
Quote:

I just don't see how we're not as good or better of a team than last year.




Look at it this way. The Astros are replacing a future Hall of Famer, one who pitched 211 innings with a ridicilous league-leading 1.87 ERA, in the rotation with an unproven rookie with 0 experience.

I agree the offense should be improved from last year, but the rotation is a cause for concern.
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EasTexAstro

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2006, 07:13:44 pm »
mihoba is correct, of course, but I think it is a good point to say there are some good options if one or more fails, and even more options, possibly, as the season progresses. With the solid defense, the pitching might have a little leeway, being able to pitch their game and trust to the fielders.

Backe is a concern for #3, but he can eat some innings and come up big.

Clemens could still come back and take up some slack in a month or so.

Yeah, Roy and Andy need to stay healthy.

I don't expect much from Wandy, who seems to be the pitcher with the least potential out of this group. Taylor has done nothing in the bigs so far, but he looks to have a higher upside if he can stick for a while.

Offense and defense are both better to start the season. It is a good place to begin.

I'm still not sure about Munson.
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Greg M

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2006, 07:22:13 pm »
The depth of starting pitchers is definitely a bonus but the bottom of the rotation may or may not be settled come the all-star break.  The strength of the bullpen will hopefully pick up the slack.

I'm as optimistic as you on the defense.  The offense can't be any worse than last year.  A full year of Wilson versus what was trotted out in LF last season alone will be a huge plus.  One concern are all of the low OBP guys.  Hopefully Lane, Taveras and Biggio will draw a few more walks this year.

mihoba

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2006, 07:28:50 pm »
Quote:

Clemens could still come back and take up some slack in a month or so.




My race for the lid is counting on it.
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NeilT

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2006, 07:31:16 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

I just don't see how we're not as good or better of a team than last year.




Look at it this way. The Astros are replacing a future Hall of Famer, one who pitched 211 innings with a ridicilous league-leading 1.87 ERA, in the rotation with an unproven rookie with 0 experience.

I agree the offense should be improved from last year, but the rotation is a cause for concern.





But what was crazy about the 211 innings and the 1.87 ERA was that it translated into 13 wins.  The way he pitched, Clemens should have had 18-20 wins.  What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  Maybe.  Clemens had lousy offense (which I think is better) and lousy luck (which will be better if all of you will wear your lucky socks, eat tamales and frito pies twice a week, and abstain from sex for the season). For the rest of the rotation, we're no worse off than last year.

Come to think of it, I think I was making your argument a couple of weeks ago when ESPN published  its season projections.  I guess I should say that I understand the argument perfectly well, I'm still thinking that we can get through the regular season with as good or better record than last year.
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MusicMan

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #11 on: April 03, 2006, 10:00:19 am »
Quote:

What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  




Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.

Fortunately, by the end of the season, he'll be number 5, as Clemens comes back and Taylor (Babyface) Buchholz wins the ROY.
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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #12 on: April 03, 2006, 10:41:26 am »
Quote:

Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.





That statement is a good one to chew on.  A quick look a the other #4's in our division yields-

Marshal, Cubs
Milton, Reds
Bush, Mil
Maholm, Pit
Suppan, Stl

#3's are..

Maddux, Cubs
Clausen, Reds
Capauno, Mil
Snell, Pit
Marquis, Stl

If our starting rotation includes Roy, Andy and Roger, he's a #4 for sure, but I'd put Him at 3 on any of these with the exception of maybe Stl.  And in the play-off's? Well, we all know how that goes.
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NeilT

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #13 on: April 03, 2006, 11:01:54 am »
Quote:

Quote:

What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  




Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.

Fortunately, by the end of the season, he'll be number 5, as Clemens comes back and Taylor (Babyface) Buchholz wins the ROY.





Does Clemens win the Cy Young? Or does that go to Oswalt?  I'd think Oswalt.
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LonghornCDR

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #14 on: April 03, 2006, 11:24:10 am »
Quote:

Quote:

What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  




Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.





That's fantacrap talk right there.

Basically you're saying that there are 90 other pitchers in MLB that you would rather have in the three spot.

Might wanna rethink that one.
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MusicMan

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #15 on: April 03, 2006, 11:37:20 am »
Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  




Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.





That's fantacrap talk right there.

Basically you're saying that there are 90 other pitchers in MLB that you would rather have in the three spot.

Might wanna rethink that one.




Fantacrap my ass.  Backe has had some very nice playoff games, but he still can't find the plate in the reg. season.

Backe can only dream about having Buchholz's stuff.
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LonghornCDR

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #16 on: April 03, 2006, 11:50:26 am »
Maybe we should qualify it this way...

Backe will never be more than a #4 guy  for a top tier team .

But as Tralfaz points out, there are plenty of teams out there that would take him at #3.

We know that Backe can step up when the pressure's on.  Maybe the #3 spot will be enough pressure for him to pitch to his potential more consistently.
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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #17 on: April 03, 2006, 11:54:53 am »
Quote:

Maybe we should qualify it this way...

Backe will never be more than a #4 guy  for a top tier team .

But as Tralfaz points out, there are plenty of teams out there that would take him at #3.

We know that Backe can step up when the pressure's on.  Maybe the #3 spot will be enough pressure for him to pitch to his potential more consistently.





Brandon Backe hasn't proven out to be a consistent enough of a starter *for an entire* season to be a very good #3 for any team, let alone a top tier team.  It's not that he can't be, just that he hasn't done so yet.  His playoff performances leave hope that he can, but as been said many a time, the marathon season is different than the post-season.

It is also not an indictment against the guy to say he has far less experience being a pitcher than most, since he's a converted outfielder.  If his mental approach catches up to his talent and he also manages to stay healthy for an entire season, he can be serviceable as a #3.  Greatness, however, as a starter is not what Backe will have in his career... unlike Buchholz who could turn out to be a #2 or #3 starter for his career on talent alone.

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #18 on: April 03, 2006, 07:09:38 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

What he got were the results of a good #3 pitcher, which Backe can be.  




Backe will never be more than a #4 guy.





That's fantacrap talk right there.

Basically you're saying that there are 90 other pitchers in MLB that you would rather have in the three spot.

Might wanna rethink that one.




Fantacrap my ass.  Backe has had some very nice playoff games, but he still can't find the plate in the reg. season.

Backe can only dream about having Buchholz's stuff.




I don't think there's a huge difference between the two guys at all stuff wise. I'd put Backe's slider at least on par with Buchholz' curve.

JimR

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #19 on: April 04, 2006, 12:12:40 pm »
no way.
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No? in Austin

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #20 on: April 04, 2006, 02:54:10 pm »
Quote:

I'd put Backe's slider at least on par with Buchholz' curve.




Buchholz's curve is serious "out" pitch.  Backe's slider, while very good, seems to make a difference for some odd reason in playoffs games.  And it escapes him at some of those times as well.

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Re: Pitching and defense
« Reply #21 on: April 04, 2006, 03:08:07 pm »
From past observations, doesn't Backe also throw a late breaking curve?  I think his challenge is getting it over for strikes, called or otherwise.  I've never noticed anything unique about his fastball.  I don't know that this is a knock on his talent, but Backe doesn't appear to have any "nasty" pitch like a knee buckling curve or a 30mph difference between his curve and fastball.  Does that mean he'll never be more than a #3 or #4?  

Last I read, Garner would be happy if he simply throws strikes with greater consistancy.... oh, and win 15 games this year!
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