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David in Jackson

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By my count
« on: September 15, 2016, 11:09:50 am »
There are 16 games left. Four teams to catch (three outside of the wild card ahead of us -- DET, SEA, NYY -- plus one -- currently TOR). 

12-4 is 88 wins.  I think that's the minimum to have a chance (and wins against Seattle, especially, since those are the only games we have left against a team ahead of us).  Let's go.
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MrKnuckleball

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Re: By my count
« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2016, 11:11:58 am »
Probably more like 89 wins but as they say, you never know. Go Stros.
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juliogotay

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Re: By my count
« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2016, 11:22:23 am »
Hate to be a killjoy but Fangraphs has their odds at about 6% as of this morning. Sounds pretty reasonable.
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David in Jackson

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Re: By my count
« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2016, 01:38:34 pm »
Quote from: juliogotay on September 15, 2016, 11:22:23 am
Hate to be a killjoy but Fangraphs has their odds at about 6% as of this morning. Sounds pretty reasonable.

A lot of my joy was killed in the top of ninth on Tuesday night but you're saying there's a chance.
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BizidyDizidy

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Re: By my count
« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2016, 01:41:00 pm »
Quote from: David in Jackson on September 15, 2016, 01:38:34 pm
A lot of my joy was killed in the top of ninth on Tuesday night but you're saying there's a chance.

They had us over 50% this summer, so what the fuck do they know.
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MusicMan

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Re: By my count
« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2016, 04:11:57 pm »
Quote from: BizidyDizidy on September 15, 2016, 01:41:00 pm
They had us over 50% this summer, so what the fuck do they know.

That's not how probability works.


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BizidyDizidy

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Re: By my count
« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2016, 04:17:42 pm »
Quote from: MusicMan on September 15, 2016, 04:11:57 pm
That's not how probability works.


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Yeah, like I'm going to take advice on probability from an accountant.
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MusicMan

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Re: By my count
« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2016, 06:15:06 pm »
Quote from: BizidyDizidy on September 15, 2016, 04:17:42 pm
Yeah, like I'm going to take advice on probability from an accountant.

I don't miss telling clients that, more likely than not, they were screwed.


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Lefty

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Re: By my count
« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2016, 03:15:54 am »
Win em all, let god sort em out.
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Fredia

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Re: By my count
« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2016, 11:01:44 am »
replays scene mentally from  Major League. Who will be the strip off model tho?
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MrKnuckleball

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Re: By my count
« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2016, 01:11:42 pm »
Quote from: juliogotay on September 15, 2016, 11:22:23 am
Hate to be a killjoy but Fangraphs has their odds at about 6% as of this morning. Sounds pretty reasonable.
All the way up to 20% as of right now.
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