All the talk about Ty Wiggington got me thinking about the actual cost of getting a similar player on the open free agent market. I looked at Mark DeRosa, a player who has been very similar in career to Wiggington of sorts. DeRosa played all sorts of positions for the Atlanta Braves trying hard to land a full time job with them. Later, he spent some time with the Rangers, where he was on a similar path until the one day that second baseman Ian Kinsler went down to injury. Even then, DeRosa was playing quite a bit as a RF for the Rangers.
All that meant that as a full time player, DeRosa produced his best career numbers:
over 500 ABs for the first time in his career
132 games played
.296 Batting average
.357 OBP
.456 SLG
.813 OPS
13 Homeruns
74 rbis
So this guy hits the open market last off season. Those are good numbers, but not elite A-Rod numbers for sure. It speaks to role player, complimentary starter. So you figure this in days past was a 1.5 million per year player or so. Maybe 2 million per year tops, perhaps a two year with an option sort of deal... at the high end. But what the current open market for free agents produced for DeRosa was a 3 year deal at 4.3 million per year. 13 homeruns, 74 RBIs... 4.3 million per year for three years? Nice.
So if you think the Astros can just dive into the open free agent market and pull back a third baseman that is inexpensive and can produce over 20 homeruns and over 80 RBIs, guess again on the cost. Maybe it's good to look at Aubrey Huff: 21 homeruns, 66 RBIs, .813 OPS (looks similar to DeRosa) - contract: 3 years at 6.6 million per year. Remember, the market has been going up, not down each off season (and I blame the over inflation on the spending madness by owners, not the players asking for stupid contracts).
So a GM better pay attention to the market before he thinks he can just go to his owner and ask for money to go buy a shiny new corner infielder. At the inflation prices, you will be looking a complimentary type player... like DeRosa, like Huff... heck like Wiggington who is younger that the other two... at 3 years and of course probably in the neighborhood of 7 to 8 mil per year. Soon enough, we will be seeing mid-level players making 10 million per year. Out-freaking-standing! We're not talking A-Rod here, we're talking the market to purchase just a complimentary player... oh and you better hope they deliver at the very least their usual numbers instead of career numbers. Oh wait, let's see... oh yeah... Gary Mathews Jr.: 19 Homeruns, 79 RBIs, great defense in center. 10 million per year, 5 years. Oh yeah, we're there for career year guys for sure.
It means more and more that GMs will be trading for club controlled mid-level guys and we all will be left scratching our heads why in the world they would even bother trading for such a guy. Prospects we understand. Prized veteran players we understand. But trading for mid-level complimentary performers? Whaaa?
Perhaps a foray into the market trends helps us understand.