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Talk Zone / Re: The value of a good bullpen
« on: August 05, 2008, 03:33:43 pm »
What's up with Nieve? His K's are still pretty solid.
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Did I say you posted something wrong? Quit being so damn sensitive and grow a little bit of thicker skin. It will help you around here.
rent: Jackass
just go away. does not matter to me what you post. just leave.
STFU, please
You serious? I thought you were not one of those people I'm referring to.
We just see him swinging horribly on the offspeed stuff, so that's what sticks out in our memory the most.
Chris Sampson.
Does that suprise you?
The pitching gave up 20 runs; the offense only scored 14, with only 29 measly hits in 42 innings. We could have gotten by with the pitching we had if the offense had been up to snuff.
Which spot in the lineup was to blame?
Centerfield? Catcher? 4th Outfielder?
These people? It's just me, you can use my username. The offense would have needed to score 6, 6 and 8 runs in the first three games to win. The same offense that scored 4.25 runs per game during the regular season and 3.66 runs in the NLCS. I agree the offense was shit, especially with RISP, but I expected a better performance out of the pitching based on the previous four months.
If you're going to go after Dunn, and ignore defense entirely, then why not just go after Manny instead?
(Oh, I forgot: free agent, check, lives in the area, check...)
Aside from the fact that EVERY ball in the gap would either be a triple or a collision, yeah. That's a great point.
If you're playing Strat-O-Matic, yeah, it makes sense. If you're dealing with human beings in the real world, there are cascades of effects that would be catastrophic. For starters, go ahead and add a run to everybody's ERA. While you're at it, try to calculate the negative affect it would have on acquiring any pitcher who isn't trying just to hang on, because he knows that flyouts would become triples in Houston. Trading Dunn's bat for Bourn/Erstad isn't anywhere near an even swap; we've seen Pence gamely attempt to play CF in Houston and everybody knows he was way out of position. Dunn is a poor LF, and sticking him in right further devalues your defense AND costs you his contract vs. Bourn/Erstad. There's no way that the .300ish difference in OPS will give you enough runs to make up for what would be a painful outfield experience.
It is a mantra around here, and if you stick around you'll appreciate its truth. Read more and post less. There's a whole lot of folks here who have a great deal of baseball knowledge. Take advantage of it.
Do you really not see the train wreck OF that would be Lee, Pence and Dunn?
because the only player i could see him replacing is pence. and i don't think it would be an upgrade over pence.
you were the one saying he was horrible at ops or whatever it was. you kept using his stats to prove some point. you were complaining about him.
you liked what they used at the start of the season when the team was constructed, now you don't. they have made changes to areas that needed help. if you think adam dunn would help this team, then i think you are wrong.
you were the one using his stats, so you were complaining about him.
dunn to rf/1b??? where are you moving berkman? why break something that is working?
you are complaining about something you wanted?what an asshat.
i don't think the astros planned to build a roster with any of the worst offensive regulars in the NL or MLB. some things work out some don't.
but whatever.
BTW, if Hunter was in cf, who's rf? then who is on your bench?
i don't think he cares about defense.
so what if he does? i bet you were one that was glad he was starting this season because of what he did at the end of last season. and complaining about ausmus is stupid since he catches only 1-2 games a week.
Read about the team building strategy the Astros had in mind. Speed, up-the-middle defense, etc.
Quick question. Does OPS account for speed in any way? Defense? Baserunning?
i, of no line up making decisions, would rather see bourn (when healthy) play cf. I want hunter no where near there.
Then my advice is don't sign any of those black holes to your fantasy club.
towles isn't even in MLB anymore. what are your expectations of a catcher?
you missed the point that they didn't want pence in cf.
how many teams don't have a "black hole" in the catcher spot? seriously, i hate the same dead horse shit.
pence was so good in cf last year the astros went and found a cf. unfortnately they don't always play him.
Three black holes. Good grief. Read much, much more. And do us a favor and post much, much less.
Have you ever watched Pence play CF? What a dumb idea. As my mother would say, it's dumb overflowing.
Carrol at Baseball Prospectus reported "one of his sources" told him the Astros inquired about Adam Dunn. That makes zero sense to me, but something to keep in mind for the offseason.
You're the only one. An "RBI man" is a hitter that usually puts the ball in play. Ichiro qualifies but has other skills as well. Pence does not. There's also the context of the types of pitches the 6 hitter sees.
They might do this if there is a better option too lead off, which Pence! is not. Pence! is an RBI man who fits perfect at 6 or 7th in the lineup. Understand?
As someone else said, define better because 1b/dh and c are apples and oranges.
And, I don't bet on development.
Now you're just trolling. That won't last long.
Or that the whole idea of slot money is a general principle, agreed upon by MLB and the MLBPA to introduce some predictability into the draft process. But, hey, everyone else ignores it, why shouldnt the Astros?
Easy to say when it's not your money
The Chron says Yes.
This could turn out to be a pick reminiscent of Troy Patton who was nabbed in the 9th round but had 2nd round ability. Was signed for higher money and turned out to be a key piece in bring Tejada to the Astros.
no. the better pick for Houston was Castro. you lose.
did you understand Noe? we ain't a discussion forum about "better" picks.
next question.
you going to argue this one, too, clarkie? define "successful." define "developed."
You do understand that as a 1b/dh Smoak is a baseball one-trick pony? If he doesn't hit the way he's expected there's nowhere for him to go. And even if he does hit, as a 1b in the NL, if he's a butcher in the field he becomes a liability and devalued goods in trade. Castro as a catcher doesn't have to hit to the level of Smoak because he plays a position at least fairly well that few can. So even if he doesn't hit the way he's expected there's still a job for him in baseball. A valuable job. Notice there are no 1b in baseball that hit the way Ausmus does. And yet there are teams that would hand him a starting job much less a backup job. This is one reason why up the middle position players are so valuable. Few can do well what they can do. I am very glad they didn't pick Smoak.
You keep saying you like the 3rd supplemental pick. The first supplemental pick is signed and coming. We will be very lucky if the 3rd Supp. pick signs and if he does it will likely be for 1st round supp. money. One of the requirements that Heck expected of his scouts was to know what it would take to sign the player. That is why Seaton was available in the 3rd round supp. Signability. He may never throw a pitch. Draft picks don't help you if they don't play for you.
You're talking to the wrong guy. I thought you wanted to talk development and the sound organizational strategy to accomplish that. You're going to have to go find the numbers you seek somewhere else and then draw whatever conclusion you want from that I guess.
Two things (just to be very clear):
1. "Like or dislike the pick" really is not something many people, including myself, really understand unless it is within the context of what the Astros said they'd do. For instance, if I said "I dislike this pick", it probably means that I don't really understand what Heck and Wade are doing (which can almost always be the case) or Heck and Wade went against entirely everything they said mattered to them.
2. Opinions only matter to the person making the opinion known. They don't matter anywhere outside of that and this forum and fansite will usually let you know about it too.
I'm trying to understand. You dislike the 1st round pick because you believe Smoak will be a better hitter than Castro in the majors?
Why is it important?
when are you going to discuss it? all you have done is bitch about the picks. Noe has far more patience than i, but even he will tell you to take a hike eventually. no one here cares a bit about your opinions on the picks or whether you "like the pick." your opinion, like everyone else's here, does not matter one bit.
Heck and Wade. read more, post less, clarkie.
STFU.
my ridiculous posts? you register just so you can come here to bitch?
Great, now tell me in your own words what they said.
How does this mesh with "what they said"?
I'm not trying to be hard here, but who really cares if "you" like the pick? I don't think you understand the major league baseball draft well enough to know how to feel about a pick. This isn't the NFL where "development" is not an issue. Or the NBA. "Development" and "projectability" is what is the backbone of the MLB draft. "No liking a pick" is ignorance of those two very fundamental aspects of picking... none of which you've provided as keys to your dislike of the pick itself. Now you add in what Heck and Wade said and you can see why the pick was made and why it works for them... and *THAT* is who matters, not you or I.
Because Purpura and company decided that Sapp would translate well with his left handed power swing. No one believed he would turn into the Stay Puff Marshmellow man, but he did. But why do you take the word of a National publication over the word of the very people who run this organization and are willing to share information?
I'm trying to get to where you come from: Do you believe that the National media is going to tell you the truth whereas the local organization is trying to blow smoke up your ass? Basically, it's a tried and true method used by the media around here... don't believe the source, believe some disenfranchised National source for some damn reason. I think people can do better for themselves by being a bit less skeptical and understand what it is they're reading on all fronts.
Should I provide a primer on what "projectability" and "development" mean to how drafting works in the MLB?
Berkman is not the issue, Bobby Heck and Ed Wade are. Do you think if Heck and Wade were not there, they'd still pass on Smoak?
I don't think you do unless you recognize who is drafting, what is said in terms of what they're looking for and why they went after who they went after. Are they lying to you? Do you understand what they said? Are you dissatisfied that they decided on a plan and strategy and are implementing it?
What exactly did they say that is justifiable?
Houston does not have the luxury to limit themselves to one position and also the possibility of a DH in the making in the future. It's really not that hard to understand.
They use hindsight. They don't analyze rationale.
Depends on the size of the paycheck being asked. Several high school Boras clients, top 100 or so pitchers, have yet to be drafted.
why are you here, Clarkie? this kind of carping is not well received on this site. read more, post less is something you should consider. you may get more people after you than me if you do not stop what you are doing.
friendly advice: STFU for awhile.
BP was ragging on the Astros during back-to-back NLCS appearances. Was that justified by the results?
Drayton doesn't have anything to do with the draft other than approving the paycheck. He is not making personnel decisions unless they involve MLB FAs.
To be fair, no one involved with this draft with the exception of Rickey Bennett, has ever been involved in an Astros draft.
BP, year after year, goes after the Astros. add Ed Wade to the mix, and hoo boy, the perfect storm.
Um, the org needs EVERYTHING. There is nothing there. They have a young catcher in the majors they handed the job to. From that perspective catcher is not a need either. It is fully plausible that Castro was higher rated than Smoak when defense is factored in.
Plus you're still talking "catcher" for all intents and purposes. Catcher who can hit is a rarity and this kid apparently can do just that. He needs to develop the defense to be at least slighty better than average, but he's supposedly very smart and learns quickly. Give him a good development team in the minors and he may just do that.
Again, for everyone else, the problem was that he was not tabbed as a top ten selection and that threw everyone for a loop. To be a top ten guy, you have to have a well rounded game and very little gaps or at least great projectability.
If Wade is looking at offense AND defense, then I can believe Castro was above Smoak on his board. Fantacrap/AL team in need of a DH, pick is Smoak. That is the Rangers right now.
they do not want Berkman in RF. Pence is a terrible CF. that's why you're better off just watching, like i'm doing.
As opposed to the Mets who took a shortstop who will move to third base and is expected to move quickly through the organization.