Author Topic: contraction back in play?  (Read 3773 times)

OldBlevins

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contraction back in play?
« on: January 11, 2006, 01:18:41 pm »
Old news from yesterday--the Twins have filed to declare they have no lease at the Metrodome.  What are the chances MLB will try to contract 2 teams after the 2006 season?  I think, under the bargaining agreement, it has the right to do so.  I would say the odds are pretty high, given the Twins' situation, the hassles with D.C., the Marlins' situation, and the lack of a new stadium in Oakland.
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Ryan in Houston

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2006, 02:01:18 pm »
for an interesting read,  check this out

 or this...

Minnesota has one of the "worst" leases because the citizens actually make money off them, not the other way around.  there is another article that I read, but I can't find a link for, that basically says the Metrodome is the *only* deal that actually benefits tax payers from a pure cash-flow basis, that is, the team is not getting any corporate welfare...

TTFWIW.

Andyzipp

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2006, 02:06:32 pm »
If you're picking from that list, Minnesota and Florida would be the most likely.

But I doubt greatly that contraction ever actually happens.

Ryan in Houston

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #3 on: January 11, 2006, 02:14:01 pm »
why would they ever contract when they can just move them around....Vegas seems (excuse the pun) ready, willing, and able, and Portland has been Jones-ing for a team for a while, too.

Marlins are DOA in 2006.  MLB should act quickly in deciding their fate.

awrr

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #4 on: January 11, 2006, 02:32:30 pm »
Contraction will never happen.  MLB can't be subject to and independent of its anti-trust exemption as it suits them.  When it comes down to it, I can't see Selig fighting to overrule anti-trust precedent just to knock two teams off.

Froback

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #5 on: January 11, 2006, 03:24:55 pm »
Quote:

Contraction will never happen.  MLB can't be subject to and independent of its anti-trust exemption as it suits them.  When it comes down to it, I can't see Selig fighting to overrule anti-trust precedent just to knock two teams off.




Forgive my ignorance but what does Anti-Trust law and Contraction have to do with each other?  And technically MLB owns the Nationals so as long as the Minn owner agrees to contraction I don't see who anyone can complain if two teams choose to close their clubs. (Minn and Wash)  You can then move the Marlins to DC if there is indeed a stadium being built.

das

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #6 on: January 11, 2006, 03:28:29 pm »
MLB will never "close" the DC club and the fans would never stand for the old Expos being dismantelled in favor of the Marlins team moving here.
Another trenchant comment by a jealous lesser intellect.

Froback

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #7 on: January 11, 2006, 03:33:02 pm »
I only mention that option as it relates to possible illegal actions of FORCING a team to contract.  Since MLB owns the Nationals still they would not be forcing anyone.  And the Twins owner has volunteered for contraction before.

BUWebguy

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #8 on: January 11, 2006, 03:48:35 pm »
Quote:

why would they ever contract when they can just move them around....Vegas seems (excuse the pun) ready, willing, and able, and Portland has been Jones-ing for a team for a while, too.




Portland doesn't sound too interested, actually:
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David in Jackson

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #9 on: January 11, 2006, 03:52:26 pm »
Heck, even the NHL can't contract.
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pravata

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #10 on: January 11, 2006, 03:54:37 pm »
Quote:

I only mention that option as it relates to possible illegal actions of FORCING a team to contract.  Since MLB owns the Nationals still they would not be forcing anyone.  And the Twins owner has volunteered for contraction before.




Very delicate situation for Selig.  Last time they used the contraction ploy, Congress started writing bills to restrict their exemption.  Messing with DC wouldn't be a politically smart thing to do.

OldBlevins

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #11 on: January 11, 2006, 04:44:08 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

I only mention that option as it relates to possible illegal actions of FORCING a team to contract.  Since MLB owns the Nationals still they would not be forcing anyone.  And the Twins owner has volunteered for contraction before.




Very delicate situation for Selig.  Last time they used the contraction ploy, Congress started writing bills to restrict their exemption.  Messing with DC wouldn't be a politically smart thing to do.





MLB's other problem is that the potential locations to move to get dicier and dicier.  Las Vegas and Portland can barely support their AAA teams.
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PSR

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #12 on: January 11, 2006, 04:50:09 pm »
If MLB is going to contract, how about we start with the Braves and the Yankees?

Arky Vaughan

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #13 on: January 11, 2006, 04:56:05 pm »
The only way to contract is to buy out the owners of the contracted teams.  That means the surviving teams' owners have to come up with cash.  Maybe they could be presuaded that two fewer teams is worthwhile for surviving teams getting 1/28th rather than 1/30th of the national media and merchandising revenues and having two fewer snouts in the luxury-tax trough.

In 2005, Forbes valued the two cheapest teams, the Devil Rays and Twins, at $176 million and $178 million, respectively, so that's $12.6 million for each surviving team's owner to pay, assuming the owners of the Devil Rays and Twins would walk away for those amounts.

I think contraction was a ploy to get more stadium financing and to threaten the players' union when it was floated a few years ago, and it will be a ploy if it's floated again.  It's surprising how many people take it seriously, though.

Arky Vaughan

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #14 on: January 11, 2006, 04:59:29 pm »
Also, if you look at the Forbes chart, some of the teams previously threatened with contraction made money last year.  Why would their owners agree to get out if the enterprise nets a return?

S.P. Rodriguez

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #15 on: January 11, 2006, 05:41:30 pm »
As a new resident of Austin (Pflugerville to be exact), I wonder if the combined cities of Austin, San Marcos, and San Antonio could not support a major sports franchise.  Especially with the development of 130 which will connect Austin to San Antonio (Seguin but it's near enough).  The area is booming and, IIRC, the Marlins were even exploring the area as part of their search, which included Portland.  

Round Rock has a AAA team and I believe San Antonio also has a minor league team.  That's a fairly substantial fan base to draw from if you build a stadium in the San Marcus/Buda area.  It was just a passing thought.  Then again, it could be left over residue from the Dallas/Fort Worth pollution.
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Andyzipp

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #16 on: January 11, 2006, 06:06:10 pm »
How much of a pay off did Peter Angelos receive when the Expos came to DC?

Assume that McLane and Hicks would want triple that.  Each.

Craig

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #17 on: January 11, 2006, 06:14:17 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

I only mention that option as it relates to possible illegal actions of FORCING a team to contract.  Since MLB owns the Nationals still they would not be forcing anyone.  And the Twins owner has volunteered for contraction before.




Very delicate situation for Selig.  Last time they used the contraction ploy, Congress started writing bills to restrict their exemption.  Messing with DC wouldn't be a politically smart thing to do.




MLB's other problem is that the potential locations to move to get dicier and dicier.  Las Vegas and Portland can barely support their AAA teams.




I think a team will end up in Vegas sooner or later. Maybe later though, because they don't have a stadium. AAA Cashman Field sure can't support an MLB team. But I think what they're counting on is building a fancy-ass whiz-bang stadium near The Strip, and getting tourists to see games.

Cashman Field isn't close enough to The Strip to get casual tourist traffic, and it's in a shitty part of town so the 51s don't get many locals. An MLB team might be a different story though, particularly with the huge population growth in Vegas.

Limey

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #18 on: January 11, 2006, 06:24:08 pm »
Quote:

I think a team will end up in Vegas sooner or later. Maybe later though, because they don't have a stadium. AAA Cashman Field sure can't support an MLB team. But I think what they're counting on is building a fancy-ass whiz-bang stadium near The Strip, and getting tourists to see games.



What's the point now?  With you out of town, the prospect of 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep is deader than I would be after 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep.
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Craig

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #19 on: January 11, 2006, 07:04:31 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

I think a team will end up in Vegas sooner or later. Maybe later though, because they don't have a stadium. AAA Cashman Field sure can't support an MLB team. But I think what they're counting on is building a fancy-ass whiz-bang stadium near The Strip, and getting tourists to see games.



What's the point now?  With you out of town, the prospect of 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep is deader than I would be after 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep.





Well yeah, but airfare to Vegas is always going to be cheap, so there's still the possibility of roadtrips. Which is why we should all hope the Marlins land there and not the Twins, because who wants to roadtrip to American League games?

I'd like to see Vegas in the running, just for the sheer spectacle of Mayor Oscar Goodman being in the nightly sports news. That's entertainment gold right there.

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Though there are rumors now that Harry Reid is trying to get Oscar to run for the Senate.

OldBlevins

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #20 on: January 12, 2006, 10:58:25 am »
Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

I think a team will end up in Vegas sooner or later. Maybe later though, because they don't have a stadium. AAA Cashman Field sure can't support an MLB team. But I think what they're counting on is building a fancy-ass whiz-bang stadium near The Strip, and getting tourists to see games.



What's the point now?  With you out of town, the prospect of 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep is deader than I would be after 72-hours of CTB, Foggy, drinking, baseball and no sleep.




Well yeah, but airfare to Vegas is always going to be cheap, so there's still the possibility of roadtrips. Which is why we should all hope the Marlins land there and not the Twins, because who wants to roadtrip to American League games?

I'd like to see Vegas in the running, just for the sheer spectacle of Mayor Oscar Goodman being in the nightly sports news. That's entertainment gold right there.

The Link

Though there are rumors now that Harry Reid is trying to get Oscar to run for the Senate.




If the Marlins land there I'll bet MLB will make them move to the American League so they can move Texas to the AL Central.  Maybe move Tampa Bay to the NL.
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Ty in Tampa

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Re: contraction back in play?
« Reply #21 on: January 12, 2006, 11:44:58 am »
Maybe move Tampa Bay to the NL.

Pleeeeeease let this happen. Pleeeeease, pleeeease.
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