Oh Mr. das...

[Andyzipp]

Can you provide a professional's view on the upcoming hurricane season?

The local talking heads are already peeing themselves because it's potentially going to be an active one.

[Alkie]

Thereby ensuring there won't be anything above a Cat 2, and certainly nowhere near the Gulf.

[Fredia]

with all that oil out there its a scary thing. pray for my friends in Louisiana

[Waldo]

with all that oil out there its a scary thing

I was thinking about that the other day.  One of the worst possible scenarios is a Gulf hurricane that picks up a lot of that oil and dumps it inland.

[das]

Can you provide a professional's view on the upcoming hurricane season?

The local talking heads are already peeing themselves because it's potentially going to be an active one.

Sure thing.  Indications are that it will be a whopper.  The National Hurricane Center, assisted by the Climate Prediction Center has just issued their formal season forecast.  I don't recall them ever forecasting such large quantities of all storm types (tropical storm, hurricane, major hurricane).  A good, not particularly technical read and can be found here:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

The NOAA presser and very high-level synopsis can be found here:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/20100527_hurricaneoutlook.html

I'll post a detailed forecast document cobbled together from discussions from friends and peers sometime later this afternoon.

[Lurch]

I was thinking about that the other day.  One of the worst possible scenarios is a Gulf hurricane that picks up a lot of that oil and dumps it inland.

Ive read that this is a very light oil that evaporates and dissipates more easily than a refined oil like the valdez dumped.  While pushing it inland is certainly bad, I wonder if storms might also churn/spread it in a way that allows it to evaporate more quickly

Of course, storms also mean that there cant be crews out there cleaning it up...

[Duman]

Forget all this stuff.  I just need a good soaking rain in Greeneville to avoid a forfeit in little league tonight.  Can you make it happen Das?

[Bench]

Ive read that this is a very light oil that evaporates and dissipates more easily than a refined oil like the valdez dumped.  While pushing it inland is certainly bad, I wonder if storms might also churn/spread it in a way that allows it to evaporate more quickly

Of course, storms also mean that there cant be crews out there cleaning it up...

According to a scientist I heard on NPR, the oil on the water may disperse or weaken a hurricane.  Or, because the oil on top of the water absorbs the sunlight, it makes the water a lot warmer which will make the hurricane even fiercer. 

[Waldo]

Ive read that this is a very light oil that evaporates and dissipates more easily than a refined oil like the valdez dumped.  While pushing it inland is certainly bad, I wonder if storms might also churn/spread it in a way that allows it to evaporate more quickly

I admittedly don't know anything about oil, but apparently now they've got the lighter-colored oil on the surface and clouds of darker oil down below.  Don't know what that translates into with hurricanes, but they did say they were concerned about the darker oil.

According to a scientist I heard on NPR, the oil on the water may disperse or weaken a hurricane.  Or, because the oil on top of the water absorbs the sunlight, it makes the water a lot warmer which will make the hurricane even fiercer. 

Gotta love it when "experts" hedge their bets.

[strosrays]

What das is saying is, the government controls the weather.  Don't worry about it.

[Andyzipp]

Thanks, das!

[MRaup]

Forget all this stuff.  I just need a good soaking rain in Greeneville to avoid a forfeit in little league tonight.  Can you make it happen Das?

You obviously misunderstand Das's powers. If you're looking for a losing streak, he could easily help you out though.

[das]

Forget all this stuff.  I just need a good soaking rain in Greeneville to avoid a forfeit in little league tonight.  Can you make it happen Das?

Look to the southeast, not at the big, towering storms on the ridges to the northwest.  These storms poping to the east will fill in but better coverage will be as the day/evening go on.  What time is your game?

(http://9yjl8q.blu.livefilestore.com/y1p5TIbi7OX8Tu7Nv5jPRSR3Nrr3wvNjSNiIW-2rAH8Z2zwMsmTRSmRKsMGjbQApjlBZkgd9ZCDu-ipO6KOVdaxWt9lf6QXiMQT/GSP_N0R_1005281832_1280x960_none__348_an.gif)

[Duman]

6:00 game time.  It is thundering right now.  I need it to be called off before we are supposed to show up at the park (5:30)

[Duman]

BTW I am in GreenEville TN so it is in that stuff to the NW of Greenville SC

[MRaup]

I clicked to see if Das had responded to my zinger 30 minutes ago, and just woke up on my back on the floor of my office. That is one seriously weird radar picture.

[Andyzipp]

I clicked to see if Das had responded to my zinger 30 minutes ago, and just woke up on my back on the floor of my office. That is one seriously weird radar picture.

Do you happen to be a Japanese school girl?

[MRaup]

Do you happen to be a Japanese school girl?

Not that I'm aware of... But I'll keep you posted.

[AtascAstro]

Do you happen to be a Japanese school girl?

I started to imagine the wardrobe that would involve 30 minutes ago, and just woke up on my back on the floor of my office living room. That is one seriously weird radar picture mental image.

[Bench]

Today's the day.  Hurricane season has officially started.  Who's your favorite new named storm?

Hermine is just too Harry Potterish for my tastes.  It would suck to get hit by something named Hermine.  Igor, however, is an awesome name for a Hurricane.  Just think about all great Young Frankestein jokes we can make.  "If you are evacuating, walk this way." 

Otto is pretty cool too.

[Limey]

Today's the day.  Hurricane season has officially started.  Who's your favorite new named storm?

Hermine is just too Harry Potterish for my tastes.  It would suck to get hit by something named Hermine.  Igor, however, is an awesome name for a Hurricane.  Just think about all great Young Frankestein jokes we can make.  "If you are evacuating, walk this way." 

Otto is pretty cool too.

Igor is the easy winner.

[S.P. Rodriguez]

Today's the day.  Hurricane season has officially started.  Who's your favorite new named storm?

Hermine is just too Harry Potterish for my tastes.  It would suck to get hit by something named Hermine.  Igor, however, is an awesome name for a Hurricane.  Just think about all great Young Frankestein jokes we can make.  "If you are evacuating, walk this way." 

Otto is pretty cool too.

Totally off topic, my kids are in gymnastics.  There's a 4 yr old girl in the class who's name is Hermione.  I must refrain from jumping to the conclusion that her parents are HUGE Harry Potter fans.  Then again, my 4 yr old son's soccer team was named the Gryffons, and yes also Harry Potter inspired and no, not my doing.  

[Ty in Tampa]

Otto is pretty cool too.

"I think Otto is a great name, always liked it! 'Here comes fucking Otto!' 'We don't know if he's coming or going 'cause he's fucking Otto!' - You know? Also, I like Otto 'cause 'Otto' is 'Toot' inside out!"

[strosrays]

I'm thinking Nicole will be a storm that looks really impressive at first, but as it gets closer, one begins to realize there is not a whole lot to it behind the facade.  Mostly just some high altitude winds, strip the leaves off the trees.  A stripper, in other words.

Virginie is where Billy "Gas Can" Wagner is from.

[Duman]

Forget all this stuff.  I just need a good soaking rain in Greeneville to avoid a forfeit in little league tonight.  Can you make it happen Das?

Nice try but it didn't work. Had to forfiet.  Thunder stopped at 5:30, fields were still dry.  Games went as scheduled.

[EasTexAstro]

So close with "Colin".

"Colin Dumps Rain on South East."

"Winds from Colin stronger than expected."

"Colin cleanup ongoing."

"...and now, a look inside Colin."

[Ebby Calvin]

Hurricane Matthew has a nice ring to it.  It would be difficult to track, but in the end completely harmless.  Always forgetting where it was headed and losing interest in the whole destruction and, you know, rain and wind stuff.  They chose that name because of me, right?

[Fredia]

i am sitting here trying to imagine a hurricane fredia. naa wont ever happen

[MusicMan]

i am sitting here trying to imagine a hurricane fredia. naa wont ever happen

the natinl waethr service has a hurricnane warn for the gufl cost regin due to huRRican fredia

[Noe]

the natinl waethr service has a hurricnane warn for the gufl cost regin due to huRRican fredia

hdie!

[chuck]

the natinl waethr service has a hurricnane warn for the gufl cost regin due to huRRican fredia

Definitely want to stock up on cnadles.

[Craig]

So close with "Colin".

"Colin Dumps Rain on South East."

"Winds from Colin stronger than expected."

"Colin cleanup ongoing."

"...and now, a look inside Colin."

If it stays a tropical storm, it'll just be Semi-Colin.

[Alkie]

If it stays a tropical storm, it'll just be Semi-Colin.

No.   Wrong.

[strosrays]

If it stays a tropical storm, it'll just be Semi-Colin.

If it gets really big, and covers the whole Gulf like Ike did, it'll be a Bartolo Colin.

[Col. Sphinx Drummond]

Quentin, Ursala, Xavier, Yuri, & Zach, all say, "what the fuck?"

[Alkie]

Zach, all say, "what the fuck?"

Ain't that the truth.

[MRaup]

Quentin, Ursala, Xavier, Yuri, & Zach, all say, "what the fuck?"

Actually, Zack says "What the fuck do you feed a turtle?"

[austro]

Actually, Zack says "What the fuck do you feed a turtle?"

Sorry, the real Alkie leaves off the "What".

[Alkie]

The real Zach doesn't have a K in his name like some fucking girl.

[Fredia]

one of the local stations was wondering if austin was going back into a draft and sounding all doom and gloom and its pouring buckets and not of beer

[Ron Brand]

no one, not even the rain, has such small hands

[Lurch]

one of the local stations was wondering if austin was going back into a draft

Homeless shelters are handing out windbreakers

[Fredia]

my bad i meant drought

[das]

Sure thing.  Indications are that it will be a whopper.  The National Hurricane Center, assisted by the Climate Prediction Center has just issued their formal season forecast.  I don't recall them ever forecasting such large quantities of all storm types (tropical storm, hurricane, major hurricane).  A good, not particularly technical read and can be found here:
http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml

The NOAA presser and very high-level synopsis can be found here:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/20100527_hurricaneoutlook.html

I'll post a detailed forecast document cobbled together from discussions from friends and peers sometime later this afternoon.

Here is the detailed forecast for those that might like a more technical read.  If anyone has questions about content or acronyms (that the mighty Google can't answer) as they peruse the document, feel free to ask. 

http://9yjl8q.blu.livefilestore.com/y1pF8QvukQl-YKyEKtp4ye4vjag6c7ifnOPU6pCscExRAMZskDLTc_zXMOMgBk-AKWdAx1u4ORN2bZqXuZrS39zPn3GdV1vg_vP/2010%20Atlantic%20Basin%20Hurricane%20Season%20Forecast.pdf

[Bench]

I'll take the penis mightier for $200, Alex.

[das]

I'll take the penis mightier for $200, Alex.

/Blush/  I didn't know anyone noticed last time I was doen there...


Here's a really cool link, freshly published by the NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML).  It is a link to the experimental NextGen Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Experimental System (HWRF-X)

https://storm.aoml.noaa.gov/hwrfx/

Links to the product descriptions, program details and project roadmap are sprinkled thougout. 

Link ot the actual tool is the flashing "real time forecast" link at the top left.  Enjoy!

[strosrays]

no one, not even the rain, has such small hands

women and men (both dong and ding)
summer autumn winter spring
reaped their sowing and went their came
sun moon stars rain

*****

I got the eec reset, if nothing else.

[Ron Brand]

Sweet. Nice pickup.