Author Topic: Albers up, Wandy down...  (Read 6350 times)

Greg D

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Albers up, Wandy down...
« on: July 20, 2006, 10:27:47 pm »
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The Astros will have to make another roster move on Saturday, when Backe is officially activated from the DL. That move will not involve Albers, who will be given a fair chance to display his talents on the Major League level.  That leaves either Fernando Nieve or Taylor Buchholz as the likely candidates to be sent down.




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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2006, 10:30:37 pm »
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juliogotay

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #2 on: July 20, 2006, 10:43:46 pm »
I'm surprised to see Albers oome up now and don't understand why Nieve or Bucholtz may go down. If it's Buckholtz who is the fifth starter? Nieve? We've been told Albers is working out of the pen.

I won't miss Wandy Robertson.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #3 on: July 20, 2006, 11:23:35 pm »
The move still doesn't make sense to me in that, if Albers replaces Rodriguez, then who is going down when Backe is activated?

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #4 on: July 21, 2006, 01:22:58 am »
Quote:

The Link

Quote:

The Astros will have to make another roster move on Saturday, when Backe is officially activated from the DL. That move will not involve Albers, who will be given a fair chance to display his talents on the Major League level.  That leaves either Fernando Nieve or Taylor Buchholz as the likely candidates to be sent down.




Somebody's gonna have to explain this to me.
 





What do the off-days look like after the 22nd?  If there aren't many then I'd guess Taylor stays.  If there are plenty then Nieve stays.

Looks a little like a bullpen desperation move.  Trying to inject some life in the erratic bullpen by bringing in an electric arm from the minors that has shown more consistency than Wandy and Fernando.  I wonder if a bullpen trade is coming soon?

I also wonder if Hirsh's arm problems killed his chances at the call-up?
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Golden Sombrero

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #5 on: July 21, 2006, 02:17:08 am »
Quote:

I wonder if a bullpen trade is coming soon?




That seems to be the rumblings.  At least a trade involving some in the bullpen--could be that both Buchholz and Nieve stay and someone like Lidge goes.  I hope that Purp doesn't trade too much away if he does deal--Buchholz and Nieve have a place at the Astros table.  Lidge has had a rough season and may be soured after being booed by his own fans.  I guess I've gotten so used to this team that a major trade would be shocking.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2006, 02:26:23 am »
At this point might as well wait and see if we are buyers or sellers...
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #7 on: July 21, 2006, 10:14:54 am »
 
Quote:

At this point might as well wait and see if we are buyers or sellers...




Yup.  Should know by Sunday.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #8 on: July 21, 2006, 10:21:20 am »
never heard of Albers b/c i do not follow the minors except for RR. i wonder why him instead of Sampson?
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #9 on: July 21, 2006, 10:22:14 am »
Quote:

Quote:

I wonder if a bullpen trade is coming soon?




That seems to be the rumblings.  At least a trade involving some in the bullpen--could be that both Buchholz and Nieve stay and someone like Lidge goes.  I hope that Purp doesn't trade too much away if he does deal--Buchholz and Nieve have a place at the Astros table.  Lidge has had a rough season and may be soured after being booed by his own fans.  I guess I've gotten so used to this team that a major trade would be shocking.





Also keep in mind that a 40-man spot is still needed for Backe.  That also argues for a trade.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #10 on: July 21, 2006, 10:24:06 am »
I'm don't know where one gets stats for ERA for starter vs. reliever, but for Nieve's last seven appearances, his ERA is 2.70.  Given our bullpen's performance, I bet this is above avearge for the period.

So, why would the Astros move down a performer whose ability is somewhat known and has performed well lately, just to replace him with someone whose performance they will be unsure about?

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #11 on: July 21, 2006, 10:26:29 am »
Quote:

Also keep in mind that a 40-man spot is still needed for Backe.  That also argues for a trade.




For that reason and the move made, I would think it indicates Buchholz is part of the trade too.  Albers (while any pitcher can try to pitch out of the pen) has always been a starter, IIRC, in the minors.  I am not sure he has not pitched out of the bullpen anymore than say Oswalt has done it in the majors.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #12 on: July 21, 2006, 10:26:40 am »
I thought the same thing.  If you must replace Nieve or Buchholz, why not Sampson?  I concluded thay must view Sampson solely as a starter.  That's all I could surmise.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #13 on: July 21, 2006, 10:30:14 am »
man, i hope not. i think Nieve and Buchholz are keepers. if the Astros trade them, it needs to be for someone reeeaaaal good, imo.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #14 on: July 21, 2006, 10:39:56 am »
Quote:

man, i hope not. i think Nieve and Buchholz are keepers. if the Astros trade them, it needs to be for someone reeeaaaal good, imo.




Ok, MAJOR SUPPOSITIONS here.

IF Buchholz is involved
IF he would only be included for someone reeeaaaal good
IF that someone reeeaaaal good was Tejada
IF Everett had to be included to get Tejada

Whom else would likely have to also be included?

Would this be a good deal in your eyes?

I have to admit I am becoming more and more worried about the future pitching staff because I viewed the future including Hirsh, Albers and Buchholz. (and I am very skeptical of Backe being anything more than a back of the roation starter)  I would hate to lose any of them.  And I am not as high on Tejada as I was to start this year (although he would definately improve the offense).

I think IF all those things are true my interest in the deal would depend greatly on who is the 3rd person of interest the Astros would have to give up.  If it included any of the following: Hirsh, Albers, Pence, Patton; I would have to say NO DEAL.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #15 on: July 21, 2006, 10:41:35 am »
Quote:

Quote:

I wonder if a bullpen trade is coming soon?




That seems to be the rumblings.  At least a trade involving some in the bullpen--could be that both Buchholz and Nieve stay and someone like Lidge goes.  I hope that Purp doesn't trade too much away if he does deal--Buchholz and Nieve have a place at the Astros table.  Lidge has had a rough season and may be soured after being booed by his own fans.  I guess I've gotten so used to this team that a major trade would be shocking.





By wondering, I was wondering if Purp has been able to find an arm to fit into the Astros bullpen.  In the absence of a trade to improve the pen, it looks like a desperation move.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #16 on: July 21, 2006, 11:01:22 am »
right. Astros management is well known for its desperation moves.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #17 on: July 21, 2006, 11:12:05 am »
Tejada's due to make $12mm in '07 and $13mm each for '08 and '09.  Of course, he can demand a trade so, if the Astros could keep him beyond the end of this year, he'd become more expensive.  At the same time, though, Bagwell, Rajah and Andy's big contracts all run out so there will be wiggle room.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #18 on: July 21, 2006, 11:14:33 am »
Quote:

right. Astros management is well known for its desperation moves.




Smart ass.  That's why I'm surprised by the move.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #19 on: July 21, 2006, 11:22:26 am »
Any chance they just want to get Nieve more innings? Is he getting enough work?

If there are trades in the backgraound, would the Astros want to bring up Albers, see how he handles the majors,  and just see what they've got before trading any of their pitchers away?
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #20 on: July 21, 2006, 11:33:23 am »
Quote:

never heard of Albers b/c i do not follow the minors except for RR. i wonder why him instead of Sampson?




Well...if you were looking for help in the bullpen, wouldn't you like to fill the spot with a guy that as the ability to strike people out?  Just an idea.  If I'm right, then Sampson doesn't fit that bill...I haven't seen Albers pitch, but he sounds like a power pitcher and has better than average K/IP numbers.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #21 on: July 21, 2006, 11:36:20 am »
uh, no. i'd like a guy who keeps the ball down, throws a lot of ground balls and gets guys out. i do not care about Ks. they are gravy.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #22 on: July 21, 2006, 11:46:20 am »
Quote:

uh, no. i'd like a guy who keeps the ball down, throws a lot of ground balls and gets guys out. i do not care about Ks. they are gravy.




Well...I guess my signature should read...."Always wrong, and never suprised about it".  Oh well, took a shot and missed I guess.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #23 on: July 21, 2006, 11:47:13 am »
Quote:

uh, no. i'd like a guy who keeps the ball down, throws a lot of ground balls and gets guys out. i do not care about Ks. they are gravy.



They'd better start cloning Borkowski.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #24 on: July 21, 2006, 11:49:05 am »
no right or wrong, just preferences. if your setup guy strikes everyone out, that's good too. how many of them are they?

we did not know at the time how amazing Lidge to Dotel to Wagner was.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #25 on: July 21, 2006, 11:51:46 am »
I did see on the Hooks website  link he has only given up 4 homers and 2 sac flys in 116 innings and 19 starts.  Reads like he can keep the ball down or at least in the park.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #26 on: July 21, 2006, 11:53:40 am »
 we did not know at the time how amazing Lidge to Dotel to Wagner was.

That was ridiculous.  I remember Whitey or someone else commenting that we would be tough down the stretch and in the playoffs with that triple threat in the bullpen.  He commented how hard it was to get anything going when batters could put the ball in play.

On a side note...I read that Dotel experienced arm soreness.  I was rooting for him notwithstanding the fact that he wears Yankee pinstripes.  Hopefully it's just scar tissue breaking up.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #27 on: July 21, 2006, 12:55:45 pm »
Quote:

no right or wrong, just preferences. if your setup guy strikes everyone out, that's good too. how many of them are they?

we did not know at the time how amazing Lidge to Dotel to Wagner was.





Best 1-2-3 punch I've ever seen.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #28 on: July 21, 2006, 12:57:53 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

no right or wrong, just preferences. if your setup guy strikes everyone out, that's good too. how many of them are they?

we did not know at the time how amazing Lidge to Dotel to Wagner was.





Best 1-2-3 punch I've ever seen.




Shouldn't that be 7-8-9 punch?
Pedantically yours...
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #29 on: July 21, 2006, 01:11:54 pm »
Quote:

Shouldn't that be 7-8-9 punch?
Pedantically yours...





Indeed. Just by way of comparison, 2005 was nice, but it pales to 2003:
2005       G  Sv Hld     IP   SO  H/9 BB/9 HR/9  SO/9   ERA
-----------------------------------------------------------
Qualls    77   0  22   79.7   60  8.2  2.6  0.8   6.8  3.28
Wheeler   71   3  17   73.3   69  6.5  2.3  0.9   8.5  2.21
Lidge     70  42   0   70.7  103  7.4  2.9  0.6  13.1  2.29
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total    218  45  39  223.7  232  7.4  2.6  0.8   9.3  2.62
2003       G  Sv Hld     IP   SO  H/9 BB/9 HR/9  SO/9   ERA
-----------------------------------------------------------
Lidge     78   1  28   85.0   97  6.4  4.4  0.6  10.3  3.60
Dotel     76   4  33   87.0   97  5.5  3.2  0.9  10.0  2.48
Wagner    78  44   0   86.0  105  5.4  2.4  0.8  11.0  1.78
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total    232  49  61  258.0  299  5.8  3.3  0.8  10.4  2.62

Limey

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #30 on: July 21, 2006, 02:14:51 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

Shouldn't that be 7-8-9 punch?
Pedantically yours...





Indeed. Just by way of comparison, 2005 was nice, but it pales to 2003




Some of the incidentals (strikeouts etc.) are better in '03, but the ERA was the same.  The only thing that jumps out as something meaningful in the W/L column is the Holds.  Any idea why so few Holds (with a similar # of Saves) for the '05 crew?
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #31 on: July 21, 2006, 02:52:47 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

Quote:

Shouldn't that be 7-8-9 punch?
Pedantically yours...





Indeed. Just by way of comparison, 2005 was nice, but it pales to 2003



Some of the incidentals (strikeouts etc.) are better in '03, but the ERA was the same.  The only thing that jumps out as something meaningful in the W/L column is the Holds.  Any idea why so few Holds (with a similar # of Saves) for the '05 crew?




Cause the team had more leads going into the 7th in 03 than in 05.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #32 on: July 21, 2006, 04:00:24 pm »
Quote:

Some of the incidentals (strikeouts etc.) are better in '03, but the ERA was the same.




Baserunners down about 1 per IP too.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #33 on: July 21, 2006, 04:05:39 pm »
Quote:

Baserunners down about 1 per IP too.



Probably due to the tendency of strikout pitchers to give up walks (Dotel and Wagner in particular) rather than contact pitchers (Qualls and Wheeler).
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #34 on: July 21, 2006, 04:19:40 pm »
Quote:

Probably due to the tendency of strikout pitchers to give up walks (Dotel and Wagner in particular) rather than contact pitchers (Qualls and Wheeler).




Couple of other differences:
2005      Avg   OBP   Slg   OPS  IR  IS  Pct
--------------------------------------------
Qualls   .249  .314  .358  .672  41  11  27%
Wheeler  .204  .265  .335  .600  34  11  32%
Lidge    .223  .293  .323  .616  17   7  41%
--------------------------------------------
Total    .226  .292  .339  .631  92  29  32%
2003      Avg   OBP   Slg   OPS  IR  IS  Pct
--------------------------------------------
Lidge    .202  .308  .323  .632  27   7  26%
Dotel    .172  .254  .302  .556  17   5  29%
Wagner   .169  .234  .266  .500  10   0   0%
--------------------------------------------
Total    .181  .266  .297  .562  54  12  22%

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #35 on: July 21, 2006, 06:27:13 pm »
Quote:

never heard of Albers b/c i do not follow the minors except for RR. i wonder why him instead of Sampson?




Jim hasn't heard of him?  No wonder I haven't either.  He must be a real sleeper.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #36 on: July 21, 2006, 06:33:04 pm »
Quote:

Quote:

never heard of Albers b/c i do not follow the minors except for RR. i wonder why him instead of Sampson?




Jim hasn't heard of him?  No wonder I haven't either.  He must be a real sleeper.





Albers isn't a sleeper.  He's been a top 10 prospect within the organization for the last two years.  Check him out in the Minor Opinions forum.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #37 on: July 23, 2006, 01:16:17 pm »
I think Tim's looking at the risk vs. reward factor along  with the financial implications of acquiring outside help.  I don't think the guys that are rumored to be available are that much of an upgrade over what the Astros have on the team or in the system.  

Overwhelmed seems to be the prevalent word used to described what it would take to acquire someone along the likes of LHP Mike Gonzales of the Pirates.

If the Astros make a trade then the Astros need to acquire someone really good to make an immediate impact.  But the cost may be greater than the Astros can really afford.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #38 on: July 23, 2006, 01:44:31 pm »
first, i pay zero attention to those published Top 10 lists. i learned beyond a doubt in the Express' first year, that the authors of those lists seldom if ever see the players actually play. Chen-Feng Chin, or whatever his name was, showed me that. he was BA's number one prospect for LA, and the guy could not play even a little. he had no chance against a AA fastball.

more important, i just do not pay attention to who is in the system until they get to RR. i'm glad some folks do, but i am not one of them. i am not surprised to learn that Albers is good and that i never heard of him.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #39 on: July 23, 2006, 02:20:32 pm »

 first, i pay zero attention to those published Top 10 lists. i learned beyond a doubt in the Express' first year, that the authors of those lists seldom if ever see the players actually play.

I think the key point of interest from Astro Pete's post was the following:  "Check him out in the Minor Opinions forum."

He wasn't talking about BBA and/or that John Sickels character.  The Minor Opinions section has a Top-10 list too.  Jacksonian and GregD may not see all the minor leaguers play, but they get their information from people who do.  Those that have followed the minor leaguers from the Rookie Leagues on, for the last 5-6 years like I have, value thier opinion

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #40 on: July 23, 2006, 02:41:49 pm »
Good point. There's much more fizzle than sizzle when it comes to the development of prospects. But I like the fact that the Astros have a good player development system.  Good coaches throughout the system.

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #41 on: July 23, 2006, 04:17:24 pm »
Quote:


 first, i pay zero attention to those published Top 10 lists. i learned beyond a doubt in the Express' first year, that the authors of those lists seldom if ever see the players actually play.

I think the key point of interest from Astro Pete's post was the following:  "Check him out in the Minor Opinions forum."

He wasn't talking about BBA and/or that John Sickels character.  The Minor Opinions section has a Top-10 list too.  Jacksonian and GregD may not see all the minor leaguers play, but they get their information from people who do.  Those that have followed the minor leaguers from the Rookie Leagues on, for the last 5-6 years like I have, value thier opinion





Before his year at Salem, last year, a guy in the Astros system told me that Albers has 4 *nasty* pitches and can throw all of them for strikes.  As long as he keeps his head on straight there's no reason he and Hirsh can't be at the top of the Astros rotation for years.
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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #42 on: July 23, 2006, 04:22:04 pm »
Quote:

Quote:


 first, i pay zero attention to those published Top 10 lists. i learned beyond a doubt in the Express' first year, that the authors of those lists seldom if ever see the players actually play.

I think the key point of interest from Astro Pete's post was the following:  "Check him out in the Minor Opinions forum."

He wasn't talking about BBA and/or that John Sickels character.  The Minor Opinions section has a Top-10 list too.  Jacksonian and GregD may not see all the minor leaguers play, but they get their information from people who do.  Those that have followed the minor leaguers from the Rookie Leagues on, for the last 5-6 years like I have, value thier opinion





Before his year at Salem, last year, a guy in the Astros system told me that Albers has 4 *nasty* pitches and can throw all of them for strikes.  As long as he keeps his head on straight there's no reason he and Hirsh can't be at the top of the Astros rotation for years.




We may see him today.

JimR

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Re: Albers up, Wandy down...
« Reply #43 on: July 23, 2006, 04:22:06 pm »
sounds very good.
Often wrong, but never in doubt.