I'll be very surprised if he returns next year. He was beaten up physically by the end of the season, and he just hasn't sounded like a man who will continue playing. I know many people had the same impression the last 2 off-season (not me, by the way), but this just seems different. In any case, I'll be doubly surprised if he doesn't make the announcement well before the winter meetings, especially if he's already made up his mind. Last year's delay was in large part due to waiting for Beltran. There shouldn't be any such delay this time.