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Messages - Nate Colbert

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1
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 23, 2019, 09:48:54 am »
And why all of this obsession with staying under the CBT number?

Because the owner has said he won't exceed it. Don't know/don't care about that, then don't read the fucking thread and whine about others who do so.

2
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 22, 2019, 05:44:52 pm »
And was DFA'd today by the Giants after going 3-27 (all singles).

Cleared waivers and returned to the Astros.

3
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: March 22, 2019, 06:28:56 am »
Pitcher Jose Cisnero was signed by the Astros back in 2007, spent all or parts of 7 years in the minors and reached Houston for 28 appearances in 2013 and another 5 appearances in 2014. In the final game of that latter year, he blew out his elbow pitching at Comerica Park. It turned out to be his final game with the Astros and last major league appearance to date. He moved on to short stints with the Reds and D-Backs. Since then there's been time in the Mexican League and an indy league and finally a last gasp chance in 2018 in an obscure DR league called the Cibao Summer League. It's for released players and Cubans who haven't yet caught on with an MLB organization. Pitched well enough there to gain an invite to the DWL where the Tigers saw him and signed him. They even gave him a non-roster invite to big league camp this spring. Showing off 97/98 velo, he's pitched well enough that he's one of three guys being considered for the final spot in the Detroit bullpen.

https://www.mlive.com/tigers/2019/02/in-baseball-wilderness-for-years-tigers-jose-cisnero-never-gave-up-on-return.html

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/mlb/tigers/2019/03/21/power-up-detroit-tigers-have-added-some-muscle-bullpen-mix/3233503002/

4
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 22, 2019, 05:41:03 am »
Just noticed a 5th recent signee, another older pitcher from the DR...

Update #11:

Miguel Palma, c, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /170 Age: 16
Tomas Ramirez, of, Dominican Republic--$250K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /172 Age: 16
Johangel Ramirez, rhp, Venezuela--$275K   B/T: R/R 6' 2" /193 Age: 16
Yohander Martinez, ss, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /175 Age: 16
Cristian Gonzalez, ss, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /180 Age: 16
Reimy Beltre, rhp, Dominican Republic -- $135K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /170 Age: 17
Omar Diaz, of, Dominican Republic--$85K   B/T: L/L 6' 1" /180 Age: 16
Danny Subero, rhp, Venezuela--$200K   B/T: R/R 6' 4" /194 Age: 16
Ayendy Ortiz, ss, Dominican Republic--$240K   B/T: S/R 6' 1" /170 Age: 16
Carlos Calderon, rhp, Dominican Republic--$80K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /175 Age: 16
Daniel Pacheco, rhp, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /160 Age: 16
Frank Perez, of, Cuba--$275K  B/T: R/R 6' 2" /180 Age: 16
Jairo Jose, of, Dominican Republic--$75K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /160 Age: 16
Jesus Liranzo, of, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /185 Age: 16
Ricardo Balogh, ss, Dominican Republic -- $300K   B/T: S/R 6' 3" /175 Age: 16
Andres Monzon, cf, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 11" /152 Age: 16
Antonio Placencia, rhp, Dominican Republic   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /170 Age: 19
Freddy Guilamo, c, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 5'11" /160 Age: 17
Miguel Padilla, rhp, Venezuela -- $50K  B/T: R/R 6'2" /180 Age: 16
Marcos Eusebio, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'1" /180 Age: 18
Edinson Batista, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'2" /185 Age: 16
Misael Tamarez, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'1" /162 Age: 19
Jose Yordan Nodal, lhp, Cuba B/T: L/L 6'3" /195 Age: 16
Juan De Los Santos, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'0" /140 Age: 19

Total of 24 players signed to date with reported and/or inferred bonuses on 15 of those.

5
Talk Zone / Re: Ichiro
« on: March 21, 2019, 10:52:00 pm »
Great player, HOF career, good article. But if I were picking nits...

Quote
Ichiro was arguably the greatest leadoff hitter of his era, collecting 2,529 of his hits from the top spot, which ranked behind only Rickey Henderson (3,020) and Rose (2,924). However, compared to those two, Ichiro compiled a much higher batting average from the No. 1 hole, with a .323 clip, compared to Rose's .308 and Henderson's .280.

Ichiro had a career .367 OBP out of the top spot while Rose reached at a .379 clip and Rickey blew by both at .401.

6
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 21, 2019, 09:36:02 pm »
Not on the club: Drew Ferguson (just 2-15 on the spring for the Giants)

And was DFA'd today by the Giants after going 3-27 (all singles).

7
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 21, 2019, 06:53:57 pm »
LHP Parker Mushinski
The Red Raider ex had shaky control while pitching in Lubbock and that has continued into the pros. This season for QC the 22-year old out of the Metroplex had a 11.9% BB rate, one of the highest of any starter (min: 80 IP) in the system. But there were significant positives as well--a BAA of just .189 and a K rate topping 30%. Given his wildness issues, org brass may have realized his future was not as a starter and on Aug 3 he was moved to the River Bandits bullpen. Alternatively, the move was made to simply limit his innings for the year. Whichever the reason, the results were pretty slick: 14.1 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 28 K. He also ended the regular season not having given up an ER over his last 21.1 innings. Low 90s FB (T94) and above avg curve was the scouting report from 2017. They've got him listed at 6'0" 225 lbs. A Jim Stevenson signee.

After watching and talking with JBB, Mushinski added a slider last season to what he says is a FB/cutter repertoire.

https://www.crawfishboxes.com/2019/3/19/18269675/a-conversation-with-astros-pitching-prospect-parker-mushinski

8
Beer and Queso / Re: Podcasts
« on: March 21, 2019, 02:34:28 pm »
So a vote for the podcast, a vote for the book and I'll toss in a vote for the doc.

9
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 21, 2019, 02:28:37 pm »
Better today with 1 1/3 scoreless and allowing just 1 hit.

Devo again with 1 1/3 scoreless today. No hits, 1 walk.

10
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: March 21, 2019, 01:28:03 pm »
Rangers sign Hunter Pence to a minor league deal with an invite to major league camp.

Apparently he's been told he's made the OD roster.

11
Talk Zone / Re: Aches and Pains (2019)
« on: March 21, 2019, 01:25:07 pm »
Derek Fisher injured his left shoulder and was removed from today's game after trying to make a diving catch.

ETA:
Later reported as precautionary measure. Day to day.

12
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 21, 2019, 10:26:09 am »
What are the remaining roster battles?

Guduan vs Framber (though Guduan surely has the inside edge at this point).

13
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 21, 2019, 10:08:24 am »
Cuts #4 of the spring:
Fisher, Perez, Straw, Alvarez, Emanuel, Mayfield, McCurry, Tanielu, Toro.

Cuts #5:
Dean Deetz sent down.

14
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 21, 2019, 10:05:09 am »
Jeff Passan  @JeffPassan 40s ago
Alex Bergman’s contract extension with the Houston Astros will begin next year and pay him $100M over five years, sources tell ESPN — $11M a year for the first three, $28.5M for final two and a $10M signing bonus. Deal also includes a limited no-trade clause: 10 teams in 2023-24.

15
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 20, 2019, 04:48:19 pm »
In addition to the Cuban lefty (see the separate thread on Cuban signings), the Astros sign an older (and apparently underfed) pitcher from the Dominican. No bonuses yet reported on either.

Update #10:

Miguel Palma, c, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /170 Age: 16
Tomas Ramirez, of, Dominican Republic--$250K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /172 Age: 16
Johangel Ramirez, rhp, Venezuela--$275K   B/T: R/R 6' 2" /193 Age: 16
Yohander Martinez, ss, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /175 Age: 16
Cristian Gonzalez, ss, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /180 Age: 16
Reimy Beltre, rhp, Dominican Republic -- $135K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /170 Age: 17
Omar Diaz, of, Dominican Republic--$85K   B/T: L/L 6' 1" /180 Age: 16
Danny Subero, rhp, Venezuela--$200K   B/T: R/R 6' 4" /194 Age: 16
Ayendy Ortiz, ss, Dominican Republic--$240K   B/T: S/R 6' 1" /170 Age: 16
Carlos Calderon, rhp, Dominican Republic--$80K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /175 Age: 16
Daniel Pacheco, rhp, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /160 Age: 16
Frank Perez, of, Cuba--$275K  B/T: R/R 6' 2" /180 Age: 16
Jairo Jose, of, Dominican Republic--$75K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /160 Age: 16
Jesus Liranzo, of, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /185 Age: 16
Ricardo Balogh, ss, Dominican Republic -- $300K   B/T: S/R 6' 3" /175 Age: 16
Andres Monzon, cf, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 11" /152 Age: 16
Antonio Placencia, rhp, Dominican Republic   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /170 Age: 19
Freddy Guilamo, c, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 5'11" /160 Age: 17
Miguel Padilla, rhp, Venezuela -- $50K  B/T: R/R 6'2" /180 Age: 16
Marcos Eusebio, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'1" /180 Age: 18
Edinson Batista, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'2" /185 Age: 16
Jose Yordan Nodal, lhp, Cuba B/T: L/L 6'3" /195 lbs Age: 16
Juan De Los Santos, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'0" /140 Age: 19

Total of 23 players signed to date with reported and/or inferred bonuses on 15 of those.

16
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Cubans in the System
« on: March 20, 2019, 04:26:12 pm »
Make it 19 Cuban players signed or acquired with 14 of whom still in the system as the Pelota Cubana blog reports (and the MLB transactions page confirms) the signing of a young lefty out of Cienfuegos who brings it at 91-92...

RHP Rogelio Armenteros ($40K bonus)--24 year old on the 40-man who has 206 Ks vs 67 BBs in 176 AAA innings.
RHP Michel Martinez (bonus not dislosed)--released
RHP Yoanys Quiala ($794K bonus)--released
OF Alejandro Garcia ($750K bonus)--released
RHP Carlos Sierra (bonus not disclosed)--24 year old who missed a month due to injury who posted 40 Ks vs 21 BBs in 43 combined IP in 2018 between CC and BC.
OF/1B Norberto Castellanos (Astros-$75K bonus)--released
1B/3B Yuli Gurriel--signed to MLB contract in July 2016.
OF/1B Yordan Alvarez ($2MM bonus + equivalent tax)*--Top 100 prospect who missed a month in 2018 with a right wrist injury, hitting .259/.349/.452 for Fresno after going .325/.389/.615 earlier in the year for Corpus
INF Anibal Sierra ($1.5MM bonus + equivalent tax)--25 year old who has a career .219/.302/.330 line after 3 years in the minors.
LHP Cionel Perez ($2MM bonus + equivalent tax)--the then 22 year old made his major league debut on 7/11/18.
RHP Jesus Balaguer (bonus not disclosed)--released
RHP Elian Rodriguez ($1.9MM bonus + equivalent tax)--22 year old who hasn't been able to find the plate in his first 2 pro seasons with 56 BBs, 16 HBPs and 24 WPs in 48 innings split between GCL and the DSL.
INF/OF Rolando Espinosa ($175K bonus)--18 year old with a .170/.245/.234 slash line in 2018 in 59 games in the DSL.
C Lorenzo Quintana ($200K bonus)--30 year old who in his first year of pro ball in the US hit .254/.316/.484 for Corpus including .289/.345/.586 in the 2nd half.
LHP Julio Robaina ($220K bonus)-- now 18 but as a 17 year old last year he skipped the DSL and whiffed 27 in 25 IP in the GCL with a 1.56 WHIP.
RHP Franny Cobos ($125K bonus)--as a 17 year old was pretty slick last year in the DSL with just 29 hits allowed in 45 IP and 39/7 K to BB.
OF Frank Perez ($275K bonus)--a J2 signee as a 16-year old in 2018 who'll make his professional debut this year (likely in the DSL).
UTIL Aledmys Diaz--acquired in trade from the Blue Jays in exchange for minor leaguer Trent Thornton.
LHP Jose Yordan Nodal--recently signed 16 year-old.

*paid by Dodgers

17
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 20, 2019, 07:51:35 am »
The difference in signing the contract before or after Opening Day, is that if it's signed after Opening Day of a particular season, and that season's salary is guaranteed under the contract, then that season's salary is not included in the AAV equation, it's simply the base salary for that season, pro-rated based on when it was signed.  So it depends on what years are guaranteed by the extension in addition to when it is signed.  From what I've seen, the guaranteed years of Bregman's extension are 2020-2024, so the AAV calculation doesn't kick in until next season.  His 2019 CBT base salary is simply his salary for 2019, which is only $640,500.

I think you're right in this.

18
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 20, 2019, 07:46:42 am »
As for the salary cap effects, does today count as opening day because of the game in Japan?

That's a good question. I suspect the answer is no.

19
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 20, 2019, 06:29:14 am »
Have to admit I'm still lacking some clarity on how the Bregman/Pressly extensions will impact the Astros' CBT calculations. Several older things I've read have suggested that whether or not an extension is signed prior to or after opening day is the key here. Sign before opening day and the extension is considered a modification of the existing contract and thus the AAV calculation period is consolidated and covers the final year of the "old" contract and the new contract years. If the extension is signed after opening day, then for AAV purposes there is no consolidation. I'm having some problem locating the exact language in the CBA which supports the above reading (there is some language that might support such a conclusion but the wording is dense enough that I can't quite get there).

I do know this: if both the Bregman and Pressly extensions are consolidated respectively for AAV purposes, then the hit for 2019 is massive and pushes the Astros' CBT payroll to $204.4MM. Which of course is less than $2MM from the threshold and would leave the Astros with little flexibility in adding a piece of any significance at the trade deadline. That alone tells me that the above interpretation has some merit and likely means at the very least the Bregman extension (which alone would otherwise have about a $16MM CBT hit while the Pressly extension has a potential $4MM CBT hit) won't be signed until after opening day.

20
Nunes co-sponsored the "Discouraging Frivolous Lawsuits Act" in 2017

Ha!

21
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/19/us/politics/devin-nunes-twitter-lawsuit.html

Is this what "snowflake" means?

It also sounds like the textbook definition of a nuisance lawsuit the type of which R's have always railed against.

22
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 19, 2019, 12:10:41 pm »
Say hello to minor league camp: Brady Rodgers, Erasmo Pinales, Jose Hernandez, Ryan Hartman and Lorenzo Quintana.

Round #2 (ICYMI from yesterday): Pitchers Bryan Abreu and Akeem Bostick, catchers Garrett Stubbs and Chuckie Robinson, infielders Taylor Jones and Josh Rojas and outfielder Ronnie Dawson.

Today's cuts: Tucker, Armenteros, Whitley, Martin, Bukauskas, Bielak, DeGoti.

Cuts #4 of the spring:
Fisher, Perez, Straw, Alvarez, Emanuel, Mayfield, McCurry, Tanielu, Toro.

The Perez move implies things are looking good for Reymin Guduan.

23
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 18, 2019, 11:19:12 pm »
Hasn’t Machete signed?

Fixed.

24
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 18, 2019, 10:43:05 pm »
Apparently it wasn't a good offseason to be named Gonzalez...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list/traded to Reds)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

25
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 18, 2019, 10:19:09 pm »
Callis on Bryan Abreu:

Quote
Members of Houston's player development staff will go even further, with some likening Abreu's curveball to the absolute hammer that Lance McCullers Jr. possesses. He generates huge spin rates and tremendous depth on his low-80s curve, and he said he actually has more trust in an upper-80s slider that he tightened last season with the help of pitching coach Graham Johnson at Class A Quad Cities. Abreu's breaking balls destroyed right-handed hitters last season, as he held them to a .380 OPS while striking out 52 percent of them. He posted a 1.49 ERA with 90 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings between short-season Tri-City and Quad Cities.

Abreu's fastball is difficult to contend with as well, ranging from 92-96 mph with running action. His biggest needs at this point are to refine his circle changeup and continue to improve his control and command. He did a better job of locating his pitches in 2018, cutting his walk rate to 3.8 per nine innings after averaging 6.2 in his first four pro seasons.

26
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 18, 2019, 10:13:50 pm »
https://www.mlb.com/news/astros-prospects-at-spring-training?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage

Quote
After tearing the ACL in his right knee playing football in November 2016, third baseman/second baseman Nick Tanielu played in just two games in 2017 and wasn't back to 100 percent last season. Finally healthy again, he's topping the Astros in slugging (.829), OPS (1.239), hits (12), extra-base hits (eight), homers (four) and RBIs (13) while striking out just three times in 39 plate appearances. "He's always made a lot of contact and hit the ball hard," Putila said. "He's been working with Ben Rosenthal, our Triple-A hitting coach, on improving his load. His OPS last year [.755] doesn't do him justice because he was coming back from the ACL. He's very interesting."

27
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor League Salaries
« on: March 18, 2019, 09:58:42 pm »
This is bullshit.

MLB wants to bask in the glow of positive press for increasing minor league salaries and working conditions but at the same time appears to want to shift as much of those increased costs as possible on to the shoulders of the minor league owners.

Having said that, more of those minor league teams are owned today by their major league affiliates than in the past so perhaps the cost-shifting won't be too great. Even so, depending on how hard MLB wants to push in that direction a contraction in affiliated teams (as Passan notes) might be the result. That could in turn result in the rise of (1) more indy league teams as a player development source and (2) a further increase in the number of complex-based teams (i.e., AZL, GCL, DSL).

28
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor League Salaries
« on: March 17, 2019, 03:50:09 pm »
Toronto starts the (relatively minor but still a more than welcome step in the right direction) revolution.

https://theathletic.com/872732/2019/03/17/blue-jays-ready-to-embrace-change-finalizing-minor-league-pay-increase-of-more-than-50-percent/

https://theathletic.com/873079/2019/03/17/blue-jays-do-the-right-thing-on-minor-league-salaries-but-acknowledge-more-is-needed/

The pay raises will not catapult Toronto farmhands into fancy condos or upscale restaurants. And baseball has much left to do to improve the lives of minor-league players, many of whom will still work for wages that put them below the poverty line while living in cramped quarters and enduring long bus rides, acknowledged Mike Murov, the Jays’ director of baseball operations. “It’s not something we wanted to do overly publicly because we’re not solving all of the issues with minor-league baseball,” Murov said in an interview. “We’re not going to toot our own horn when there are significant challenges that remain. Until you get comprehensive reform regarding facilities, wellness, travel, all of those things, there are going to be significant challenges.”

But Murov stressed that the pay increases are a natural progression from the Jays’ investments in other resources for minor-league players  – high-performance medical and mental support; a greater emphasis on a healthy diet through staff nutritionists and better clubhouse food; and improved facilities (weight rooms, for example, and the major construction, now in its nascent stage, for new training quarters in Dunedin).

29
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 16, 2019, 01:33:59 pm »
Ok. I thought at one time I remembered 1B being his natural position. Perhaps next season Gurriel transitions to DH and Alvarez takes over at 1B??

Just to be sure we're all on the same page...

1B is where he played in Cuba. He's played about 75% of the time in LF and the rest at 1B since joining the Astros (not counting time at DH which is considerable but not surprising given the other folks vying for playing time at LF/1B).

Projecting forward, most of the reports I've read (and based on my own limited looks at the guy this spring) says he ends up at either 1B or DH. The Astros hope given enough time and repetition he'll be able to play LF. I have my doubts but let's hope that works out.

30
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 16, 2019, 01:17:02 pm »
Could be wrong but I've only heard of him as LF or DH.

1B or DH.

If he's ever able to play a passable LF that would be a huge bonus.

31
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Under the Knife 2019 & Prior
« on: March 16, 2019, 09:47:37 am »
Updating...

Players Undergoing TJS
  • Dean Deetz: 4/1/12 (as a HS senior/RS his 1st year in college)
  • Ben Smith: 4/1/14 (while in college/released after several years in the system)
  • Derick Velazquez: 1/1/15 (missed 2015 & 2016 seasons/subsequently retired)
  • Kent Emanuel: 6/3/15 (missed most of 2015 and some of 2016 season)
  • Devin Conn: 1/1/16 (while in college)
  • Kyle Serrano: 3/1/16 (while in college)
  • Chad Donato: 7/1/16 (missed 2016 after being drafted)
  • Jose Hernandez: 1/1/17 (missed all of 2017 and returned in June 2018)
  • Brady Rodgers: 5/2/17 (missed remainder of 2017 and returned in June 2018)
  • Joe Perez: 6/3/17 (returned in June 2018)
  • Edgardo Sandoval: 6/21/17 (missed remainder of 2017 and returned in June 2018)
  • Jandel Gustave: 6/21/17 (since released)
  • Nick Hernandez: 3/27/18
  • Gerardo Bojorquez: 4/25/18
  • Ryan Thompson: 5/1/18 (claimed by Rays in minor league phase of 2018 Rule 5 draft)
  • Francis Martes: 8/15/18
  • Alex House: 9/1/18
  • Jairo Solis: 9/1/18
  • Lance McCullers, Jr: 11/6/18

Players Undergoing Ulnar Nerve Transposition Surgery
  • Derick Velazquez: 1/1/16 (missed 2015 & 2016 seasons/subsequently retired)
  • Matt Ruppenthal: 4/11/18 (returned in Aug 2018)
  • Jandel Gustave: summer 2018 (since released)

Players Undergoing Shoulder Surgery
  • Riley Ferrell: 5/11/16 (fix aneurysm/subsequently missed remainder of 2016 season/claimed by Marlins in 2018 Rule 5 draft)
  • Joe Perez: 11/26/18 (fix labrum tear)

Unknown
  • Hunter Martin: missed all of 2018 season

32
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 15, 2019, 11:19:26 pm »
Hunter Atkins  @HunterAtkins35 2h ago
Hinch said Angel Hernandez once admitted to him he makes “four bad calls a game.” Hinch took issue with the calls in the first inning and from the dugout shouted, “You’ve used all four.” Hernandez tossed him immediately.

33
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: State of the System 2019
« on: March 15, 2019, 06:04:45 pm »
What does "topical substances" mean here?

Ask Trevor Bauer.

34
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: State of the System 2019
« on: March 15, 2019, 12:06:45 pm »
[Houston] now sends individuals with Edgertronic cameras to amateur games in lieu of traditional area scouts. While this style of scouting has yielded stylistic uniformity across Houston’s prospect population — they almost invariably acquire high-spin, four-seam/curveball pitchers with a 12:30 spin axis, most of whom are adding cutters early in pro ball, while targeting college bats who have performed on paper and have big exit velos — it has also yielded a bunch of talented players, and further use of the tech on the player development side has made those players better.

...the types of pitchers Houston seems to like are becoming more sought after by other teams as a better understanding of how pitching works permeates baseball. Fewer pitchers of this type will be available to Houston as a result, but of course, Houston is likely also identifying players who can be altered to become this type of pitcher, even if they aren’t one yet.

...it’s getting harder to learn about Houston from the outside, as paranoia and acrimony have begun to impact industry discourse about the Astros in a way that makes it difficult to know which rumors about them are true and which are BS. Some of the things that have been mentioned consistently, and which seem plausible and interesting, include experimentation with visual machine learning and work with topical substances to improve pitch spin/movement. Of course, all the Rapsodo and Motus sleeve stuff is already widely known or knowable with quick use of Google.


https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-39-prospects-houston-astros/

35
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 15, 2019, 10:51:29 am »
The Astros target spin? If you somehow had your doubts before...

Breaking Ball Spin Rate
  • 4 of the top 9 belong to Astros prospects (6 of the top 11 if you include recent exes Patrick Sandoval & Trent Thornton)
  • 9 of the top 63
  • 12 of the top 90

Fastball Spin Rate
  • 4 of the top 14 belong to Astros prospects
  • 11 of the top 95

https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-prospect-list?sort=11,1&type=3&pageitems=10000000000000&pagenum=0

36
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 14, 2019, 02:57:10 pm »
FG with their new list out on the Astros which contains a total of 46 players if you include the "other prospects of note"...

5 or More Prospect Lists (25)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
3B Abraham Toro...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey..........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon.................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder.............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ross Adolph........................FG/BA/BP/MP/1500

4 Prospect Lists (6)
OF Myles Straw........................BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson..................BA/MP/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena....................... FG/BA/MP/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/PL/1500
SS Deury Carrasco...................FG/BA/MP/1500
RHP Cristian Javier...................FG/MP/PL/1500

3 Prospect Lists (3)
RHP Brandon Bailey.................FG/PL/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan................FG/BA/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes....................FG/MP/1500

2 Prospect Lists (5)
RHP Manny Ramirez................FG/BA
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte................FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.........................FG/1500
OF Carlos Machado..................FG/1500
RHP Heitor Tokar......................PL/1500

1 Prospect List (21)
RHP Carlos Sanabria................FG
RHP Angel Macuare.................FG
RHP Cody Deason....................FG
RHP R.J. Freure.........................FG
RHP Jose Hernandez................FG
UTIL Enmanuel Valdez.............FG
C Chuckie Robinson.................FG
C Scott Manea...........................FG
RHP Brady Rodgers..................BA   
UTIL Nick Tanielu.....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman..................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas.........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti.....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock.....................1500
RHP Chad Donato....................1500
OF Jake Meyers.........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed...........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick..................1500
1B Taylor Jones.........................1500
OF Corey Julks...........................1500
C Nathan Perry.........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--26
LHP--6
C--4
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--4
UTIL--5
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "Astro's Top 39 Prospects" plus 7 add'l prospects of note for a total of 46 prospects (retrieved 3/14/19)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects published in Feb. 2019 as adjusted (since the list was finalized before the JD Davis trade, I chose to also include Luis Santana and Ross Adolph who were #13 and #18 respectively on BA's Mets list so in actuality we're talking 32 prospects here)
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 17 Prospects (retrieved 2/13/19)
MP = MLB Pipeline's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 2/28/19) plus Best Prospect Who Just Missed (retrieved 3/8/19) for a total of 31 prospects
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

37
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 14, 2019, 02:27:30 pm »
I despise 99.9% of player interviews but really enjoy listening to Tony Kemp. Could have a nice broadcasting career once his playing days are over.

38
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 14, 2019, 01:56:33 pm »
Today's game: McHugh battered (and batted around on), Bregman/Correa/Tanielu continue to rake and Alvarez sucks in LF.

39
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 14, 2019, 01:39:09 pm »
Further re the Reddick seeing time at 1B thing:

Jake Kaplan  @jakemkaplan 3h ago
Astros right fielder Josh Reddick will play first base in a minor league game today. "I'm really looking at it more as like an emergency or an option, not necessarily a priority," Hinch said. "But he's working hard to at least get a little bit more familiar with the position."

40
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 14, 2019, 10:13:47 am »
In that BA article recapping 2018 calendar year int'l signings, Ben Badler had nothing to add regards signing bonuses for the 2018 signing period other than contradicting his site's own reporting of the amount paid to OF Jesus Liranzo. The BA signing tracker had previously reported his bonus at $300K while in the article Badler says it was $270K.

41
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2017 International Signing Period
« on: March 14, 2019, 10:04:11 am »
In an article recapping the Astros international signings for calendar year 2018 (which would cover the back half of the 2017 international signing period), Ben Badler notes that Jojanse Torres signed for $150K in Apr 2018. Also notes that he gets up to 98 with his heater which confirms a tweet that Oz Ocampo sent out last year.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2018-19-international-reviews-houston-astros/

42
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 13, 2019, 07:54:11 pm »
Does anyone have an understanding about why Josh Fields was released by the Dodgers?

Dodgers apparently wanted more lefty/righty balance in pen, Fields was out of options, more advanced stats say he was more lucky than good in 2018 which apparently is why there wasn't a trade market for him.

All those things would have been known by the Dodgers months ago so the real question is why the Dodgers didn't non-tender him.

43
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ex-Bus Rider News 2019
« on: March 13, 2019, 06:56:38 pm »
Daz Cameron outplayed incumbent Jacoby Jones with an impressive .360/.448/.720 spring but will still start the year at AAA Toledo (where he finished 2018 playing in 15 games).

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/daz-cameron-is-driven-to-succeed/

44
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 13, 2019, 06:27:53 pm »
BA's Fifteen Players Turning Scouts' Heads At Spring Training

Not-so-random scout on Nick Tanielu:

 "He’s absolutely raking, and he’s making me a believer. Granted the stuff he’s facing is not the stuff he’s going to be facing in the big leagues if he gets there this year, but he’s kind of interesting. I think he’s just a hitter. He plays second base and they've had him play some outfield, but he’s just a hitter for me. He could start in the big leagues for some teams, although probably not on a World Series team.”

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/fifteen-players-turning-scouts-heads-at-spring-training/

45
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 13, 2019, 05:43:28 am »
D3 Draft Names to Know

With the Astros' increasing interest in recent years in drafting players from smaller 4yr schools, this is an attempt to compile a list of interesting 2019 draft prospects from the D3 ranks.

College of Wooster (OH)
1B/OF Dan Harwood (lefty hitter/listed at 6’3” 210 lbs/Astros drafted Michael Wielansky out of same school in ‘18 as 18th rounder/Wielansky posted 1.173 OPS as JR while Harwood had 1.162 OPS as SO)

Baldwin-Wallace (Berea, OH)
RHP Danny Cody (SR/listed at 6’3” 175 lbs/100 Ks vs 28 Ws in 83 IP in ‘18/22 Ks vs 5 Ws in 16 IP this spring)

Wheaton College (IL)
RHP Michael McCraith (SR/listed at 6’3” 210 lbs/83 Ks in 68 IP in ‘18/22 Ks vs 3 Ws in 12 IP this spring)

Rowan U (Glassboro, NJ)
RHP Danny Serraino (SR/listed at 6’3” 225 lbs/89 Ks in 79 IP in ‘18 and his 0.84 WHIP was 2nd-best in all of D3)
RHP Andrew DePiazza (SR/listed at 6’7” 235 lbs/78 Ks in 60 IP in ‘18 with a 1.00 WHIP)

Stevens Inst. of Technology (Hoboken, NJ)
LHP Danny Poidomani (SR/51 Ks vs 5 Ws in 41.2 IP in Coastal Plains League in ‘17/a 1.00 WHIP in 23 IP in the CCBL in ‘18 tho w/just 14 Ks)

SUNY-Oswego
OF Mike Dellicarri (SR/lefty hitter/1.034 OPS in ‘18)

St. John Fisher College (Rochester, NY)
OF Allen Murphy (off to a .439/.500/.707 start this spring after hitting .324/.399/.581 in ‘18)

Salve Regina (Newport, R.I.)
LHP Patrick Maybach (listed at 6’3” 195 lbs/77 Ks in 66.2 IP in ‘18/26 Ks in 16 IP this spring/accounting major)

U of Southern Maine (Portland)
2B/RHP Jake Dexter (SR/listed at 6’2” 215 lbs/OPS has gone from .562 to .798 to .940 over 1st 3 years/109 Ks vs 26 Ws in 111 career IP and 25 saves over last 2 seasons)

Middlebury College (Vermont)
RHP Colby Morris (SR/listed at 6’3” 190 lbs/27 IP in the Northwoods League this past summer and 1 IP in the Cape)

Salem State (Mass.)
RHP Brock Riley (SR/listed at 6’1” 188 lbs/pitched briefly in the Cape this past summer)

UMass-Dartmouth
RHP Matt Cronin (SR/saw 6.2 innings of work in the CCBL in ‘18)

Western New England (Springfield, Mass.)
SS Alex Loparco (SR/1.022 OPS last spring for WNE)

Randolph-Macon College (Ashland, VA)
RHP Nick Roth (SR/just 18 BBs allowed in 162 career innings for the Yellow Jackets)

Emory U (Atlanta, GA)
OF/RHP Richard Brereton (K’d 25 in 17.2 IP in the Futures Collegiate League this past summer while posting an 0.96 WHIP)

U of Pittsburgh-Bradford
C Austin Parent (SR/listed at 5’11” 200 lbs/his numbers were certainly...umm...interesting in 2018 with a .496/.616/.916 slash line and 34 BBs vs 13 Ks)
RHP Ryan Boyer (SR/listed at 6’2” 210 lbs/a 10.1 K/9 in ‘18/whiffed 16 and walked 0 in his 1st start this spring)

Keystone College (Factoryville, PA)
RHP/OF Dakota McFadden (SR)

Willamette U (Salem, OR)
OF Connor Bailey (SR/went .339/.418/.683 in ‘18 and is hitting .379/.479/.707 this spring/89 BBs vs 51 Ks in his career w/12 BBs vs just 3 Ks in ‘19/econ major)
RHP Matt Steindorf (SR/listed at 6’0” 160 lbs/37 Ks vs 4 BBs in 37.2 IP this spring/econ major)

Pacific U (Forest Grove, OR)
LHP Casey Brown (SR/listed at 6’0” 185 lbs/52 Ks vs 3 BBs in 46 IP this spring)

Chapman University (Orange, CA)
RHP Jonathan Hernandez (SR/posted a 0.90 WHIP in the Northwoods League last summer with 37 K’s in 42 IP)

Southwestern U (Georgetown)
INF Daniel Montgomery (Boling HS grad has had up and down career for the Pirates but is off to a .415/.510/.927 start this spring)
RHP Colton Hunter (ex-RR HSer has 30 Ks vs just 2 BBs so far in ‘19/listed at 6’1” 210 lbs)

Texas Lutheran (Seguin)
RHP Nathan Malinovsky (SR/ex New Braunfels HSer is listed at 6’4” 200 lbs)
OF Tyler Cauley (the former Barbers Hill HSer hit .371/.438/.693 as soph last year and led all D3 in total bases/accounting major)

East Texas Baptist (Tyler)
RHP Call Florence (SR)

Trinity U (San Antonio)
OF Rafe Chaumette (ex Clements HSer/lefty hitter/hit .392/.449/.596 in ‘18)

Dubuque U (Iowa)
LHP Nathan Schneiderman (SR/listed at 6’5” 220 lbs/55 Ks vs 14 Ws in 39.2 IP in ‘18)

U of Wisconsin-La Crosse
RHP Mason McMahon (SR/107 Ks vs 32 Ws in 67 IP in ‘18)

U of Wisconsin-Oshkosh
RHP Colan Treml (SR)

U of St. Thomas (St. Paul, MN)
LHP Henry DeCaster (SR/72 Ks vs 18 BBs in 63 IP in ‘18)

Macalester College (St. Paul, MN)
RHP Matthew Plisko

46
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 12, 2019, 10:56:55 pm »
Toro has been at 3B exclusively...

He's already played nearly 10 innings at 1B in games this spring.

47
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 12, 2019, 09:47:22 pm »
Updating...

Spring Injury List

LHP Cody Bradford, Baylor (out for year with TOS)
RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn (forearm tightness has him on the shelf for now)
LHP Braidyn Fink, OU (out for year with TJS)
RHP Andrew Peters, John Logan CC (out for year with partially torn UCL)
3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL) (delayed start to spring while recuperating from knee surgery)
OF/RHP Matt Wallner, Southern Miss (forearm tightness has limited him to DH thus far)
OF Jeremy Ydens, UCLA (broken ring finger puts him out of action for 6 weeks)
C/1B DJ Petrinsky, Horns (shoulder problem turned out to be a labrum tear for which he had surgery/looks like he'll redshirt and return to campus next year, taking him out of this year's draft)
C Drew Millas, Missouri State (pulled hammy kept him out a couple of weeks)

48
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 12, 2019, 05:36:16 pm »
Tucker is good insurance for a Josh Reddick injury or lack of performance in 2019. That's good insurance to have too. Who has impressed me most is Nick Tanielu, the New Zealander.  He's been quite steady on defense at third and has hit well from the right side. I'd personally rate him as higher in the pecking order than Tyler White right now, but I'm not the judge of anything, so it means nothing what I think.

But if you think about Tanielu as insurance, it's good to know he can be in the same role as White in 2018. In the minors ready to come up when injury or lack of performance is keeping the team from winning. Another player who early on impressed me was Abraham Toro. His ability to hit with power from both sides is there, just needs to be more consistent. If Toro continues to improve in the minors, he can eventually be the heir apparent to Marwin Gonzales on this team. Here is hoping his switch goes off in the minors as he continues to get the experience.

As I understand it, Tanielu's dad was born in Samoa so let's call him of Samoan descent (unless you want to go down the ethnological rabbit hole of examining the ties between Samoans and Maoris). Tanielu's only personal ties to New Zealand were having played for the Auckland team in the ABL this winter.

I like both Toro and Tanielu but as far as an heir apparent to Marwin if you mean ability to play multiple positions, I think that's probably Tanielu rather than Toro. Toro to me looks more like a 1B/3B type while Tanielu perhaps could play 4 positions (2B, 1B, LF, maybe 3B).

49
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 12, 2019, 03:42:10 pm »
Mascai is the recently-turned 18 year old Brazilian who hit .259/.336/.388 in the DSL last year in his first year after signing...

Thiago Ramos De Sousa @Thiago_Baseball 18h ago
Just heard good news! 1B/OF Victor Mascai is being promoted from DSL to the GCL Astros! ⚾️👏🇧🇷 #Astros

50
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: March 11, 2019, 10:20:27 pm »
His silly stare and cockiness really wore thin last year.

As one of the oldest and fartiest of old farts, I loved it. I never got the impression he was trying to show up the other side at any time.

51
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 11, 2019, 08:23:24 am »
"...am assuming (for now) Roster Resources is accurate in identifying player who'll be Rule 5 eligible for the first time."

No more assumptions with regards to RR. The error on Arauz I noted previously should have been an immediate red flag to check their work on other players and particularly the international signees. Updating from the work I did for the 2018 Rule 5 draft thread, the following 4 categories have to be considered when evaluating potential 2019 protectees:

Category
1. A HS draftee taken in 2015 or earlier: none
2. A college draftee taken in 2016 or earlier: Bailey, Dawson, Adcock, Toro, Wrenn, Nick Hernandez, Hartman, Donato, Benedetti, Ryne Birk, LaRue, De Goti, Colin McKee, Jones, Robinson, Manea <1>
3. IFAs aged 16-18 at signing who inked a contract in Aug 2015 or earlier: Urdaneta, Yeuris Ramirez, E. Valdez, Humberto Castellanos, L. Rodriguez, Paredes, Rosado, Felipe Tejada  <2>
4. IFAs aged 19 and older at signing who inked a contract in Aug 2016 or earlier: Anibal Sierra, Yohan Ramirez, Jose Bravo, Ronel Blanco, Carlos Sierra, Alfredo Angarita <3> <4>


<1>Problem #1 to fix is that Nick Hernandez, Ryne Birk and Colin McKee need to be added since RR failed to include them.
<2>Problem #2 to fix is that Yeuris Ramirez, Humberto Castellanos and Felipe Tejada need to be added since RR also failed to include them.
<3>Problem #3 to fix is that Anibal Sierra, Yohan Ramirez, Jose Bravo, Carlos Sierra and Alfredo Angarita need to be added since again RR failed to include them.
<4>Problem #4 to fix is certainly the biggest name of all and involves the incorrect inclusion rather than incorrect exclusion. That would be Yordan Alvarez. Alvarez was signed by the Dodgers on June 15, 2016. That was a mere 12 days away from his birthday. A birthday on which he would have turned 19.  So he instead falls into Category 3 (age 16-18 at signing) which means he still has one more year before becoming subject to the Rule 5.


So the corrected list with the 60 players who have an R5 bullseye on them...

RHP Brandon Bailey
RHP Ronel Blanco
RHP Akeem Bostick
RHP Jose Bravo
RHP Humberto Castellanos
RHP Chad Donato
RHP Justin Ferrell
RHP Ralph Garza
RHP Jose Hernandez
RHP Nick Hernandez
RHP Cristian Javier
RHP Carson LaRue
RHP Brendan McCurry
RHP Colin McKee
RHP Enoli Paredes
RHP Hansel Paulino
RHP Erasmo Pinales
RHP Yohan Ramirez
RHP Leovanny Rodriguez
RHP Cesar Rosado
RHP Abdiel Saldana
RHP Carlos Sanabria
RHP Edgardo Sandoval
RHP Carlos Sierra
RHP Cy Sneed
RHP Felipe Tejada
RHP Gabriel Valdez

LHP Brett Adcock
LHP Kent Emanuel
LHP Ryan Hartman
LHP Carlos Hiraldo
LHP Alex Winkelman

C Oscar Campos
C Ruben Castro
C Scott Manea
C Jamie Ritchie
C Chuckie Robinson

1B Taylor Jones

3B Abraham Toro

SS Jonathan Arauz
SS Anibal Sierra
SS Miguelangel Sierra

INF Alfredo Angarita
INF Ryne Birk
INF Juan Pineda
INF Yeuris Ramirez
INF Nick Tanielu
INF Ronaldo Urdaneta
INF Enmanuel Valdez

UTIL Alex De Goti
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte
UTIL Jack Mayfield
UTIL Antonio Nunez

OF Carmen Benedetti
OF Ronnie Dawson
OF Bryan De La Cruz
OF Carlos Machado
OF Hector Martinez
OF Andy Pineda
OF Stephen Wrenn

Bold = Rule 5 eligible for first time


Remind me to shoot myself if I ever cite RR again. MLBTR owns and/or is affiliated with RR but the accuracy of one certainly doesn't extend to the other.

52
Talk Zone / Re: Recapping front office changes
« on: March 11, 2019, 02:27:24 am »
A bit more on how those Edgertronic cameras are being used:

A Peek into the Astros’ Secret Sauce for Pitching

53
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 11, 2019, 01:50:51 am »
Yordan Alvarez and his play in LF:

Quote
...but the prospect has impressed both Hinch and outfield coach Gary Pettis with his work in left field. "He's a little more athletic and a little bit better in left field than I had anticipated, just because there's so much attention and talk about his bat," Hinch said of Álvarez. [His] size almost pigeonholes him to first base. Instead, the Astros view him more as an option in left field, especially in Minute Maid Park's small configuration. Hinch said this week Álvarez will take a few grounders at first base but will see game time mostly in left field. "He's a big fella that has to work on being fairly perfect with his fundamentals," Hinch said. "He's good in his space — I don't think range is going to be huge for him — but he's attentive, we let him know that needs to be important for him because it gives us an option to call him up."

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/astros/article/Defense-key-Houston-Astros-prospect-Yordan-Alvarez-13677455.php#photo-17050255

54
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 11, 2019, 01:40:29 am »
Fixing that previous post:

More praise for Brandon Bielak after his 3 shutout innings yesterday:

Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome 13h ago
A.J. Hinch: Bielak "probably should be talked about as a guy in the same breath as Whitley and Bukauskas and Martin," Hinch said. "He's got great stuff."

55
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: March 10, 2019, 10:34:07 pm »
Brian Bogusevic--didn't realize the ex-1st rounder had officially ended his playing career (last played in the Red Sox org in 2017) and is now doing studio work for ATTSW on Astros' broadcasts this spring.

56
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: March 10, 2019, 04:12:20 pm »
The Dodgers released Josh Fields.

Yordan Alvarez says hi.

57
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 10, 2019, 07:49:28 am »
NAIA Draft Names to Know

With the Astros' increasing interest in recent years in drafting players from smaller 4yr schools, thought I should at least make an attempt to compile a list of 2019 draft prospects from those schools starting with the NAIA.

Hope International (Fullerton, CA)
RHP Justin Friedman (SR/43 Ks vs 12 BBs in 31.2 IP this spring/but 74 BBs in 139 IP at 3 previous stops, including 2 D1 programs)
C/OF Sam Cohen (SR/transfer from UCSB)
SS Shane Martinez (went 5-13 as a freshman with the Arizona Wildcats back in ‘17)
C/INF William Aguilar

Georgia Gwinnett College
SS/RHP Brent Burgess (SR/40th rounder of Rangers in ‘16 & 38th rounder of Yankees in ‘17/hitting .415/.469/.830 this spring)
OF Brody Wofford (SR/LSU-->Chipola CC-->UCF-->GGC/14th rounder in ‘17 by Reds out of juco/hitting .340/.456/.620 in ‘19)
OF CJ Ballard (SR/38th round pick of Red Sox out of HS in ‘15/played 2 years at Georgia Southern/a .427/.504/.545 hitter in ‘18)
RHP Matthew Swain (SR)
LHP Greg Loukinen (SR/35 Ks vs 7 BBs in 31 innings in ‘19)

Middle Georgia State (Macon)
OF Zach Cornell (lefty hitter/1.160 OPS so far this spring/1.026 OPS in ‘18)
SS Trent Nash (SR/1.101 OPS so far in ‘19/1.047 OPS in ‘18/1st 2 years spent at Bethune-Cookman)
3B Blake Jackson (SR/1.485 OPS so far in ‘19/.998 OPS in ‘18/Georgia Tech as a frosh)

Southeastern U (Lakeland, FL)
OF Manuel Mesa (SR/switch-hitter/from the Dominican/off to a .354/.436/.622 start in ‘19)
1B Noah Strohl (also does some pitching/batting .382/.436/.691 on the spring)
RHP Bryce Oriold-Fraser (Lethbridge, Alberta native)
LHP Austin Covers (SR/previous school: East Carolina U)
LHP Felix Dieguez (SR/27 Ks in 15.2 IP this spring)
OF Mike Taylor (.410/.480/.607 to kick off ‘19/previous school: Southeastern Louisiana U)
1B/OF Dan Valerio (SR/off to .354/.462/.646 start in ‘19 after hitting .390/.438/.703 in ‘18)
3B Ivan Nunez (SR/batting .408/.500/.718 this spring)
2B Dom Anagnos (SR/former RR HSer whose previous school was Purdue/hitting .389/.560/.444 in ‘19 with 17 BBs vs 5 Ks)
UTIL Abdel Guadalupe (switch-hitter/juco transfer off to .306/.469/.710 start this spring/from Puerto Rico)

Tennessee Wesleyan
OF Tyler Reichenborn (35th round pick of LAA in ‘18 draft out of Iowa Western CC/hit .327/.440/.481 in the Northwoods League this past summer)
RHP Cole Bellair (SR/1st 2 years at U of Illinois/32 Ks & 9 Ws in 32 IP in Northwoods Lg in ‘18/30 Ks & 9 Ws in 21 IP this spring)
OF Dan Fry (lefty hitter/juco transfer off to .339/.433/.589 start this spring with 10 Ws vs 6 Ks)

Bryan (Dayton, Tenn)
3B Gabe Howell (20th rounder of Braves in 2016 out of HS/PED suspension in ‘17 followed by his release/off to a .348/.458/.681 start in 1st college season)

Faulkner U (Montgomery, Ala)
C Max Guzman (juco transfer who’s hitting .392/.484/.582 this spring/3rd-ranked HS catcher out of Florida in ‘16 by PG)
LHP Antonio Frias (Panamanian/juco transfer/42 Ks vs just 5 BBs in 28 IP this spring)
OF Marcus Ragan (15th-rounder of the Red Sox in ‘17 out of juco/56-3 in steals over last 3 seasons)

Webber International (Lakeland, FL)
OF Rougie Odor (yes, the Odor plague has reached pandemic status)

U of Rio Grande (Ohio)
C Dylan Shockley (.391/.486/.598 thus far in ‘19)

Indiana Tech (Fort Wayne)
1B Glen McClain (SR/2 years at Xavier but DNP/posted a 1.186 OPS in ‘18)

Lawrence Tech (Southfield, MI)
OF Sean Fannon (SR)

Central Methodist (Fayette, Missouri)
C/INF Sergio Macias (transfer from San Jac)
RHP Peyton Long (transfer from Kirkwood CC)
1B Logan Haring (lefty hitter/posted a 1.100 OPS in ‘18)

Missouri Baptist (St. Louis)
SS DeShawn Lookout (transfer from Seminole State CC)
LHP Josh Ray (transfer from Jefferson CC)

Southwestern Christian (OKC)
LHP Juan Carlos Gonzalez (SR/originally from the Dominican)
RHP Victor Del Carmen (originally from the DR/12.9 Ks per nine in ‘18 which has increased to 16.4 thus far in ‘19)

Oklahoma City U
RHP Bryce Milligan (41 Ks vs just 4 walks in 34.2 IP this spring with just 17 hits allowed)

U of Science & Arts of Oklahoma (Chickasha)
LHP Colton Williams (listed at 6’5” 215 lbs/Magnolia West HS grad spent 2 seasons at Galveston CC)

Oklahoma Wesleyan  (Bartlesville)
SS Austin Sojka (SR/silly 1.720 OPS on the spring with 12 BBs vs just 3 Ks/1.173 OPS in ‘18)
OF Drenis Ozuna (juco transfer from Connors State is posting a 1.434 OPS so far this spring)

William Penn (Oskaloosa, Iowa)
RHP Chase Stratton (49 Ks and just 6 Ws in 29.2 IP this spring)

Campbellsville U (Kentucky)
RHP Malcolm Gray (SR/37th rounder of Phillies in 2015 out of HS/12 Ks vs 3 BBs in 9 IP this spring)

58
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 10, 2019, 05:52:33 am »
Brian McTaggart  @brianmctaggart 13h ago
Hinch was very complimentary today of LHP Reymin Guduan, saying he was "97 and nasty." He's in the mix for last bullpen spot.

59
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 10, 2019, 05:43:18 am »
More praise for Brandon Bielak after his 3 shutout innings yesterday
Quote
:

Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome 13h ago
A.J. Hinch: Bielak "probably should be talked about as a guy in the same breath as Whitley and Bukauskas and Martin," Hinch said. "He's got great stuff."

60
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 10, 2019, 05:33:02 am »
Say hello to minor league camp: Brady Rodgers, Erasmo Pinales, Jose Hernandez, Ryan Hartman and Lorenzo Quintana.

Round #2 (ICYMI from yesterday): Pitchers Bryan Abreu and Akeem Bostick, catchers Garrett Stubbs and Chuckie Robinson, infielders Taylor Jones and Josh Rojas and outfielder Ronnie Dawson.

61
Really?   Pizzagate was made up nonsense that ended up with someone walking into the establishment with guns demanding answers.  Luckily no one was shot.  There weren’t any actual kids involved.  There wasn’t even a fucking basement. 

Madame Massage Parlour ran a bunch of establishments, at least one of which was staffed with trafficked women.  Do you think it’s a coincidence that of all the rub ‘n’ tug shops in all the world Bob Kraft walked into that one?

This whole thing is sleazy as fuck and also - like everything else in the Trump administration- potentially a gargantuan security risk.   I think the fake child slaves would be ok with some outrage about that.

I think there's a failure to communicate here because you misunderstand what the word projection means.

I don't need a lecture from you about how sleazy and corrupt this whole Cindy Yang/Bob Kraft/Trump thing is. That's obvious on its face.

62
The lady who co-founded massage parlors that are staffed with trafficked women turns out to be a doyen of right wing gatherings, and the host of events for Chinese business folk at Mar-a-Lago where they were promised they would get to...erm...press the flesh with the President.

I know all right wing rhetoric is projection, but I had no idea that this principle extended even to PizzaGate.

The fact that trafficked women were involved is unspeakably horrible enough but unless you have some evidence that they were also underage then I would suggest you go easy on the Pizzagate references.

63
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 09, 2019, 12:56:56 pm »
Maldonado to KC, 1-yr, 2.5M, with another 1.5 in incentives.

Wow. How Scott Boras Lost Me Nearly $10MM in a Matter of Months.

64
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 09, 2019, 12:53:59 pm »
MLB Network apparently thought we'd enjoy a Phillies/Blue Jays game instead today (yeah, phuck Harper). It now says Cards/Astros will be shown on a delayed basis tomorrow morning.

Feb. 23 (Sat) vs Nats MLB Network
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Braves ATTSW
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Mets MLB Network
Feb 25 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Feb. 27 (Wed) vs Nats ATTSW
Feb. 28 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 2 (Sat) vs Mets MLB Network

Mar 9 (Sat) vs Cards MLB Network [not broadcast]
Mar 10 (Sun) vs Cards MLB Network
Mar 10 (Sun) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 11 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Mar 12 (Tue) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 14 (Thur) vs Mets MLB Network
Mar 14 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 16 (Sat) vs Phillies MLB Network
Mar 19 (Tue) vs Phillies ATTSW
Mar 20 (Wed) vs Yankees ATTSW

Some of those MLB Network games are being shown on a delayed basis.

65
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 09, 2019, 12:29:04 pm »
Correcting the Josh Rivera line...

Spring Injury List

LHP Cody Bradford, Baylor (out for year with TOS)
RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn (forearm tightness has him on the shelf for now)
LHP Braidyn Fink, OU (out for year with TJS)
RHP Andrew Peters, John Logan CC (out for year with partially torn UCL)
3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL) (delayed start to spring while recuperating from knee surgery)
OF/RHP Matt Wallner, Southern Miss (forearm tightness has limited him to DH thus far)
OF Jeremy Ydens, UCLA (broken ring finger puts him out of action for 6 weeks)

66
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: State of the System 2019
« on: March 09, 2019, 12:03:13 am »
Just one man's opinion but FG's Kylie McDaniels with his take:

"Running a team costs anywhere from 500k to $1M a year depending on the exact situation. I’ve been stumping on here for awhile that every team should have at least 2-3 DSL teams and really should have more like 5-6. If you have a successful int’l dept, you won’t have to wait long to see value created. You’d have to add some lower level american clubs as an on-ramp to the higher leagues."

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/kiley-mcdaniel-chat-3-6-19/

Basically he's saying additional teams pay for themselves given that the more players you have in your system the more prospects you're eventually going to develop.

And remember you can sign as many international players as you want with bonus amounts up to $10K without counting against your international pool and as many domestic amateur players as you want up to $125K without counting against your draft pool. [As an aside, that discrepancy on max bonuses between int'l and US players makes absolutely no fucking sense. At the very goddamn least, increase the max on int'l players to at least $25K.]

I have no idea whether Kylie is right or wrong but it sure as hell is one fucking seductive argument. Which again leads back to the question numerous folks on the board have asked: why did the Astros decide to eliminate one DSL club and their Appy club last year? If you trust your analytics dept, if you trust your amateur scouts, if your organization has an extremely good reputation for developing players (particularly pitchers) , then why not increase your odds by adding rather than subtracting clubs?

If they do decide to reverse course and add clubs rather than subtracting, the Astros could hold down costs a bit by (in addition to adding a DSL club or two) adding a 2nd club in the GCL rather than trying to return to the the Appy. That certainly would hold down travel and administrative costs. The Yankees, Tigers and Phillies already have multiple teams in the GCL while the Padres, Cubs, Indians and Giants have done so in the AZL. And I think I read some other organizations were planning to do so for 2019.

Anyway, if I've touched on these issues previously, then just call this my annual rant.

67
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 08, 2019, 10:36:02 pm »
Rounding up folk's comments and adding a few more:

Spring Injury List

LHP Cody Bradford, Baylor (out for year with TOS)
RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn (forearm tightness has him on the shelf for now)
LHP Braidyn Fink, OU (out for year with TJS)
RHP Andrew Peters, John Logan CC (out for year with partially torn UCL)
3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL) (delayed start to spring while recuperating from
OF/RHP Matt Wallner, Southern Miss (forearm tightness has limited him to DH thus far)
OF Jeremy Ydens, UCLA (broken ring finger puts him out of action for 6 weeks)

68
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 08, 2019, 10:03:19 pm »
The actual Johnny Bench plans to be in the stands when former Johnny Bench award winner Garrett Stubbs makes his MLB debut.

https://theathletic.com/858326/2019/03/08/catching-the-ultimate-break-how-an-astros-prospect-struck-up-a-friendship-with-johnny-bench/


69
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: March 08, 2019, 04:03:05 pm »
According to a new report that just hit MLB Trade Rumors, we offered Martin Maldonado a 2 year contract at the beginning of the offseason that he and Boras turned down.

Maldonado has dumped Boras and hired new representation.

Rosenthal reporting it was for 2 yrs/$12MM.

70
Talk Zone / Re: Changes to the game coming this year??
« on: March 08, 2019, 03:08:05 pm »
Here's a summary of experiments they'll be running in the Atlantic League:

1. Computers will call balls/strikes

2. Pitching rubber extended to 62 feet 6 inches from home plate

3. The distance between bases will be shortened by 3 inches (by increasing the size of the bases)

4. Infield defensive shifts restricted by requiring two fielders on either side of second

5. Infielders also will be prohibited from setting up on the outfield grass

6. Each pitcher must face at least three batters or complete the half-inning, unless injured.

7. Between inning breaks will be cut from 2 minutes, 5 seconds to 1:45.

8. Mound visits are banned, except for pitching changes or medical issues.


Plate umpires will wear earpieces and be informed of ball/strike calls by a TrackMan computer system that uses Doppler radar. Umps will have the ability to override the computer, which considers a pitch a strike when the ball bounces and then crosses the zone. TrackMan also does not evaluate check swings.

Looks familiar.

71
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Skeeters News
« on: March 08, 2019, 11:25:53 am »
The complete list of experimental rules that will be implemented this season were announced today:

1. Computer assisted strike zone
2. No mound visits by players other than pitching changes/injury
3. Pitchers face minimum of 3 batters or end of inning.
4. Increase bases by 3 inches (to 18 inches)
5. Two fielders in infield on each side of 2B
6. Time between innings cut from 2:05 to 1:45
7. Mound moved back two feet in second half of season

72
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 08, 2019, 11:00:50 am »
Based on those recent MLB.com "how's the roster shaping up?" stories:

On the club: Riley Ferrell (3.2 scoreless IP for the Marlins with 5 Ks and just 3 hits & 0 walks allowed)

Not on the club: Drew Ferguson (just 2-15 on the spring for the Giants)

73
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: March 08, 2019, 10:28:59 am »
Since MLB Pipeline came out with an article looking at each team's best prospect beyond the Top 30 I've added Cristian Javier to their list...

5 or More Prospect Lists (24)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
3B Abraham Toro...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey..........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon.................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder.............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana........................BA/BP/MP/PL/1500

4 Prospect Lists (7)
OF Myles Straw........................BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson..................BA/MP/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena....................... FG/BA/MP/1500
OF Ross Adolph.......................BA/BP/MP/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/PL/1500
SS Deury Carrasco...................FG/BA/MP/1500
RHP Cristian Javier...................FG/MP/PL/1500

3 Prospect Lists (3)
RHP Brandon Bailey.................FG/PL/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan................FG/BA/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes....................FG/MP/1500

2 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Heitor Tokar......................PL/1500
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte................FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.........................FG/1500
RHP Manny Ramirez................FG/BA

1 Prospect List (16)
RHP Carlos Sanabria................FG
RHP Cody Deason....................FG
RHP Brady Rodgers..................BA   
UTIL Nick Tanielu.....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman..................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas.........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti.....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock.....................1500
RHP Chad Donato....................1500
OF Jake Meyers.........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed...........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick..................1500
1B Taylor Jones.........................1500
OF Corey Julks...........................1500
OF Carlos Machado..................1500
C Nathan Perry.........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--23
LHP--6
C--2
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--4
UTIL--4
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects published in Feb. 2019 as adjusted (since the list was finalized before the JD Davis trade, I chose to also include Luis Santana and Ross Adolph who were #13 and #18 respectively on BA's Mets list so in actuality we're talking 32 prospects here)
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 17 Prospects (retrieved 2/13/19)
MP = MLB Pipeline's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 2/28/19) plus Best Prospect Who Just Missed (retrieved 3/8/19) for a total of 31 prospects
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

74
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 08, 2019, 09:57:48 am »
JBB and the additions to his arsenal...


Quote
The morning after Bukauskas' third Grapefruit League outing, McCullers recited the rookie's velocities and pitch sequences. The changeup Bukauskas claimed has "come a long way" got rave reviews. "The beautiful thing is he's got a live fastball and he's got a quick, deceiving arm action and the changeup is just a f----ing power pitch," McCullers said. "He doesn't realize it yet, but it is and it will be, when he learns kind of how to mix and match and do his things and creates that plan."

In five innings, Bukauskas has five strikeouts. All appearances have been from the bullpen, not unusual in spring training but unconventional for Bukauskas. One of his most preeminent takeaways from his first month in camp is his seamless implementation of a reliever routine — a trait which could serve well should the major league team require his services later in the season. On Wednesday against the Marlins, Bukauskas sat at 97 mph consistently through a 30-pitch outing.

Bukauskas can incorporate a cutter, too. He began throwing it in West Palm Beach last year, while rehabilitating from a car accident in which he suffered a slipped disc in his back. Using it in Grapefruit League play and seeing a major league hitter break his bat against it bolstered Bukauskas' confidence.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/texas-sports-nation/astros/article/Astros-veterans-aim-to-bring-out-the-best-in-J-B-13672491.php

75
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 07, 2019, 05:43:36 pm »
I think he's still pissed because the Astros killed Keuchel's Korner.

76
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 07, 2019, 04:39:32 pm »
Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 1m ago
Astros have had recent dialogue with Dallas Keuchel about a possible deal, but as of last night, not close to a deal.

Ken Rosenthal @Ken_Rosenthal 1 hour ago
#Astros have made both one- and two-year offers to free-agent left-hander Dallas Keuchel, sources tell The Athletic. Offers not in range Keuchel is seeking. Desired terms not known.

77
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 07, 2019, 03:51:49 pm »
Given a good year I'd bet one or both of Adcock and Hartman would be put on the 40-man.

Agree on Adcock, disagree on Hartman.

78
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 07, 2019, 03:47:49 pm »
Guys who'll either be traded or on the 40-man roster come draft day in December: Yordan Alvarez, Abraham Toro, Ronnie Dawson, Brandon Bailey.

I could also make the case for some additional pitchers beyond Bailey to force their way into serious consideration depending on how they progress in 2019.

79
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Cubans in the System
« on: March 07, 2019, 10:42:42 am »
18 Cuban players signed or acquired, 13 of whom are still in the system...

RHP Rogelio Armenteros ($40K bonus)--24 year old on the 40-man who has 206 Ks vs 67 BBs in 176 AAA innings.
RHP Michel Martinez (bonus not dislosed)--released
RHP Yoanys Quiala ($794K bonus)--released
OF Alejandro Garcia ($750K bonus)--released
RHP Carlos Sierra (bonus not disclosed)--24 year old who missed a month due to injury who posted 40 Ks vs 21 BBs in 43 combined IP in 2018 between CC and BC.
OF/1B Norberto Castellanos (Astros-$75K bonus)--released
1B/3B Yuli Gurriel--signed to MLB contract in July 2016.
OF/1B Yordan Alvarez ($2MM bonus + equivalent tax)*--Top 100 prospect who missed a month in 2018 with a right wrist injury, hitting .259/.349/.452 for Fresno after going .325/.389/.615 earlier in the year for Corpus
INF Anibal Sierra ($1.5MM bonus + equivalent tax)--25 year old who has a career .219/.302/.330 line after 3 years in the minors.
LHP Cionel Perez ($2MM bonus + equivalent tax)--the then 22 year old made his major league debut on 7/11/18.
RHP Jesus Balaguer (bonus not disclosed)--released
RHP Elian Rodriguez ($1.9MM bonus + equivalent tax)--22 year old who hasn't been able to find the plate in his first 2 pro seasons with 56 BBs, 16 HBPs and 24 WPs in 48 innings split between GCL and the DSL.
INF/OF Rolando Espinosa ($175K bonus)--18 year old with a .170/.245/.234 slash line in 2018 in 59 games in the DSL.
C Lorenzo Quintana ($200K bonus)--30 year old who in his first year of pro ball in the US hit .254/.316/.484 for Corpus including .289/.345/.586 in the 2nd half.
LHP Julio Robaina ($220K bonus)-- now 18 but as a 17 year old last year he skipped the DSL and whiffed 27 in 25 IP in the GCL with a 1.56 WHIP.
RHP Franny Cobos ($125K bonus)--as a 17 year old was pretty slick last year in the DSL with just 29 hits allowed in 45 IP and 39/7 K to BB.
OF Frank Perez ($275K bonus)--a J2 signee as a 16-year old in 2018 who'll make his professional debut this year (likely in the DSL).
UTIL Aledmys Diaz--acquired in trade from the Blue Jays in exchange for minor leaguer Trent Thornton.

*paid by Dodgers

80
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 07, 2019, 09:51:08 am »
Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 1m ago
Astros have had recent dialogue with Dallas Keuchel about a possible deal, but as of last night, not close to a deal.

81
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 06, 2019, 06:22:24 pm »
The New Thing I Learned Today...

I was aware of the rule allowing an athlete to compete professionally in one sport while still maintaining amateur status in a second sport. But I was unaware of the rule that allows you to regain your amateur status in the same sport after having lost such status previously. To wit these provisions that exists in the NAIA rules (don't have a clue as to whether the NCAA has a similar provision):


Quote
Article VII Section E of the 2018-2019 NAIA Handbook for having amateur status reinstated:

1. Discontinue violation of NAIA amateur-standing regulations.

2. You will be charged a season of competition for every year you competed at a professional level.  The NAIA gives you four seasons of competition for the first 10 semesters or 15 quarters you are enrolled in college.
 
3. Attending two consecutive semester, or three consecutive quarters, at an institution prior to being a part of an athletic team.
 
4. Finally, an athlete must submit verification to the NAIA National Coordinating Committee proving they have completed the three previous requirements to restore their amateur status.

I was curious and had to track down the provision after noticing that Matthew Merrill was playing baseball for the University of Science & Arts of Oklahoma (USAO). Merrill was taken by the Astros out of high school in the 37th round of the 2017 draft. He then signed a contract, was assigned to the GCL and pitched in 6 games. He was subsequently released in May of 2018 without pitching in a game in '18. By my reading of the above rule, he should have at most 3 seasons of eligibility with the Drovers (and perhaps only 2 depending on how 2018 is factored in).

82
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / 2019 Rule 5 Draft
« on: March 06, 2019, 02:54:11 pm »
Stop laughing.

It's never too early to know who's at risk for being lost (and relatedly who might be more likely to be included in deals at the trade deadline). I haven't done any independent research and am assuming (for now) Roster Resources is accurate in identifying player who'll be Rule 5 eligible for the first time*. Herewith the 50 players with an R5 bullseye on them...

RHP Brandon Bailey
RHP Ronel Blanco
RHP Akeem Bostick
RHP Chad Donato
RHP Justin Ferrell
RHP Ralph Garza
RHP Jose Hernandez
RHP Cristian Javier
RHP Carson LaRue
RHP Brendan McCurry
RHP Enoli Paredes
RHP Hansel Paulino
RHP Erasmo Pinales
RHP Leovanny Rodriguez
RHP Cesar Rosado
RHP Abdiel Saldana
RHP Carlos Sanabria
RHP Edgardo Sandoval
RHP Cy Sneed
RHP Gabriel Valdez

LHP Brett Adcock
LHP Kent Emanuel
LHP Ryan Hartman
LHP Carlos Hiraldo
LHP Alex Winkelman

C Oscar Campos
C Ruben Castro
C Scott Manea
C Jamie Ritchie
C Chuckie Robinson

1B Taylor Jones

3B Abraham Toro

SS Jonathan Arauz
SS Miguelangel Sierra

INF Juan Pineda
INF Nick Tanielu
INF Ronaldo Urdaneta
INF Enmanuel Valdez

UTIL Alex De Goti
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte
UTIL Jack Mayfield
UTIL Antonio Nunez

OF Yordan Alvarez
OF Carmen Benedetti
OF Ronnie Dawson
OF Bryan De La Cruz
OF Carlos Machado
OF Hector Martinez
OF Andy Pineda
OF Stephen Wrenn

Bold = Rule 5 eligible for first time


*As I go thru their list I immediately see one error with Arauz being identified as Rule 5 eligible for the first time in 2019 when in fact it was 2018.

83
Only for those who know what is being talked about here.  Anyone care to summarize what happened?

The Mets hired her for a front office job.

84
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 06, 2019, 09:00:34 am »
Say hello to minor league camp: Brady Rodgers, Erasmo Pinales, Jose Hernandez, Ryan Hartman and Lorenzo Quintana.

85
Talk Zone / Re: Rusty Staub in the bottom of the ninth
« on: March 06, 2019, 08:42:16 am »
The Wilson story remains heart-breaking to me after all of these years.

Yeah, me too. Maybe I'm just being Astros-centric but I'm still surprised given the quality of his career, the abrupt ending to it and the mystery of his death that no one ever wrote a book on the man. But again kudos to Mike Lynch for this article.

86
Talk Zone / Re: Rusty Staub in the bottom of the ninth
« on: March 06, 2019, 07:55:38 am »
The score was 2-1 Reds in the bottom of the 8th. Both runs scored on an error after walks.

Only resurrecting the thread, not Rusty himself.

The error that allowed those runs to score was by the usually reliable Roger Metzger.

Unconnected to the above but the NY Times article about Metzger's later encounter with a table saw.

And what would Carlos May's career have looked like if he hadn't lost his right thumb in a training accident while in the Marine Reserves in Aug. 1969? Even thumb-less, it wasn't shabby.

Was Carlos the only MLB player to ever where his birthday on his uni? "May 19"

Yes, I'm sure you knew Carlos was Lee May's brother.

Touched on in the thread but had Wilson gotten that 3rd no-no he would have joined Ryan, Koufax, Feller, Cy Young and Larry Corcoran as the only members of an exclusive clique with more than 2 no-hitters.

And finally why I sought this thread out in the first place was to post a link to this: Don Wilson's life and death, his career, how Clay Kirby was probably sympathizing with Wilson during the near no-hitter and why the Claude Osteen acquisition stunk for several reasons.

And it's a damn good article and I don't really give a flying fuck if someone might've previously linked to it in the past 8 years.

Why yes, I am having one of those stream of consciousness type mornings. How's yours?


87
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 06, 2019, 12:07:16 am »
Astros selections since the draft was shortened to 40 rounds in 2012 (which also coincides with the Luhnow era):

2018
D2/D3/NAIA--8 draftees
JUCO--1 draftee

2017
D2/D3/NAIA--3 draftees
JUCO--5 draftees

2016
D2/D3/NAIA--6 draftees
JUCO--6 draftees

2015
D2/D3/NAIA--5 draftees
JUCO--3 draftees

2014
D2/D3/NAIA--5 draftees
JUCO--9 draftees

2013
D2/D3/NAIA--3 draftees
JUCO--2 draftees

2012
D2/D3/NAIA--3 draftees
JUCO--4 draftees


TOTALS (2012-2018)
D2/D3/NAIA--33 draftees
JUCO--30 draftees

TOTALS (2015-2018)
D2/D3/NAIA--22 draftees
JUCO--15 draftees

TOTALS (2012-2014)
D2/D3/NAIA--11 draftees
JUCO--15 draftees

88
Heads among the haters must have absolutely exploded today.

89
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 05, 2019, 11:10:57 pm »
Signings out of Mexico have been frozen since June after MLB put a ban on them after certain shenanigans by Mexican League owners. MLB has now worked out a new agreement with that league and instead of getting up to 75% of a players' signing bonus ML owners will now "only" receive 35%. And with that agreement the ban has now been lifted. Given the Astros usually have a couple of signings each year out of Mexico, expect a few with 3 months left in the signing period.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/mlb-ends-ban-on-mexican-league-signings-with-new-deal/

90
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 05, 2019, 10:46:54 pm »
Any relation to Tony?

Not a friggin' clue.

91
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 04, 2019, 01:50:21 pm »
Disastrous outing for Devenski today.

Better today with 1 1/3 scoreless and allowing just 1 hit.

92
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 04, 2019, 12:55:11 pm »
Another Dominican righty gets signed with no bonus info reported...

Update #9:

Miguel Palma, c, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /170 Age: 16
Tomas Ramirez, of, Dominican Republic--$250K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /172 Age: 16
Johangel Ramirez, rhp, Venezuela--$275K   B/T: R/R 6' 2" /193 Age: 16
Yohander Martinez, ss, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /175 Age: 16
Cristian Gonzalez, ss, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /180 Age: 16
Reimy Beltre, rhp, Dominican Republic -- $135K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /170 Age: 17
Omar Diaz, of, Dominican Republic--$85K   B/T: L/L 6' 1" /180 Age: 16
Danny Subero, rhp, Venezuela--$200K   B/T: R/R 6' 4" /194 Age: 16
Ayendy Ortiz, ss, Dominican Republic--$240K   B/T: S/R 6' 1" /170 Age: 16
Carlos Calderon, rhp, Dominican Republic--$80K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /175 Age: 16
Daniel Pacheco, rhp, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /160 Age: 16
Frank Perez, of, Cuba--$275K  B/T: R/R 6' 2" /180 Age: 16
Jairo Jose, of, Dominican Republic--$75K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /160 Age: 16
Jesus Liranzo, of, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /185 Age: 16
Ricardo Balogh, ss, Dominican Republic -- $300K   B/T: S/R 6' 3" /175 Age: 16
Andres Monzon, cf, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 11" /152 Age: 16
Antonio Placencia, rhp, Dominican Republic   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /170 Age: 19
Freddy Guilamo, c, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 5'11" /160 Age: 17
Miguel Padilla, rhp, Venezuela -- $50K  B/T: R/R 6'2" /180 Age: 16
Marcos Eusebio, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'1" /180 Age: 18
Edinson Batista, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'2" /185 Age: 16


Total of 21 players signed to date with reported and/or inferred bonuses on 15 of those.


93
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 03, 2019, 03:13:14 pm »
Just cleaning up/updating...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list/traded to Reds)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

94
Talk Zone / Re: Aches and Pains (2019)
« on: March 03, 2019, 09:27:22 am »
McHugh was scheduled for two innings but came out after one due to back soreness.

And now is being skipped in his next start (which was scheduled for tomorrow) and won't pitch again until next weekend.

95
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 02, 2019, 06:47:24 pm »
Another game being televised on MLB Network next weekend:

Feb. 23 (Sat) vs Nats MLB Network
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Braves ATTSW
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Mets MLB Network
Feb 25 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Feb. 27 (Wed) vs Nats ATTSW
Feb. 28 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 2 (Sat) vs Mets MLB Network

Mar 9 (Sat) vs Cards MLB Network
Mar 10 (Sun) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 11 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Mar 12 (Tue) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 14 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 19 (Tue) vs Phillies ATTSW
Mar 20 (Wed) vs Yankees ATTSW

Some of those MLB Network games are being shown on a delayed basis.

96
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 02, 2019, 06:00:18 pm »
A FEW MORE HSers OF INTEREST

Note: Most of these guys probably won’t get drafted high enough to make it worth their while and instead will end up honoring their commitments.


Texas
OF/RHP Quinton Martin, Sweeny HS (Rice commit)
INF Brenden Dixon, Argyle HS (Longhorn commit)
SS/RHP Tyler Wade, Midland HS (Vols commit)
C Wyatt Childress, Georgetown HS (Aggie commit)
INF Beau Wimpee, Rockwall HS (TCU commit/yep, that’s his name)
LHP Bryson Lucas, College Station HS (TCU commit)
LHP Bodi Rascon, Decatur HS (OSU commit)
OF Logan Britt, Colleyville Heritage HS (Aggie commit)
RHP Evan Vanek, Frisco Heritage HS (Aggie commit)


Florida
OF Riley Greene, Hagerty HS (lefty hitter/U of Florida commit)
RHP Matthew Allan, Seminole HS (U of Florida commit)
LHP Hunter Barco, Bolles HS (U of Florida commit)
RHP Tyler Nesbitt, Labelle HS (U of Florida commit)
RHP Tyler Owens, Trinity Catholic HS (U of Florida commit)
C/3B Tyler Callihan, Providence HS (lefty hitter/U of South Carolina commit)
SS Tyler McKenzie, Benjamin HS (Vandy commit)
RHP Kendall Williams, IMG Academy (Vandy commit)
C/1B Will Bartlett, IMG Academy (Arizona commit)
RHP Joseph Charles, TNXL Academy (UNC commit)
2B Christian Cairo, Calvary Christian HS (LSU commit)
SS Connor Walsh, Niceville HS (Ole Miss commit)
RHP Hunter Mink, Palm Harbor HS (U of Florida commit)


Georgia
SS C.J. Abrams, Blessed Trinity HS (lefty hitter/Bama commit)
RHP Daniel Espino, Premier Academy HS (LSU commit)
SS Nasim Nunez, Collins Hill HS (switch-hitter/Clemson commit)
SS Myles Austin, Westlake HS (Bama commit)
RHP Landon Sims, South Forsyth HS (Miss State commit)
RHP Alex McFarlane, Habersham Central HS (Miami commit)
LHP/OF Michael Harris, Stockbridge HS (switch-hitter/TT commit)
C Jonathan French, Parkview HS (Clemson commit)
RHP Mason Barnett, Cartersville HS (Auburn commit)


California
LHP/1B Spencer Jones, La Costa Canyon HS (lefty hitter/Vandy commit)
SS Brooks Lee, San Luis Obispo HS (switch-hitter/Cal Poly commit)
RHP Derek Diamond, Ramona HS (Ole Miss commit)
RHP Evan Fitterer, Aliso Niguel HS (UCLA commit)


Washington
OF Corbin Carroll, Lakeside HS (lefty hitter/UCLA commit)
INF Carter Young, Selah HS (switch-hitter/Vandy commit)


Louisiana
RHP Thomas Wilhite, West Ouachita HS (LSU commit)
C Hayden Travinski, Airline HS (LSU commit)


Mississippi
OF John Rhys Plumlee, Oak Grove HS (U of Georgia commit)


Tennessee
LHP Hayden Mullins, Hendersonville HS (Auburn commit)


Alabama
3B Gunnar Henderson, Morgan Academy HS (lefty hitter/Auburn commit)
C Ethan Hearn, Mobile Christian HS (lefty hitter/Miss State commit)
C Nathaniel LaRue, McGill-Toolen HS (Auburn commit)


New York/New Jersey
SS Anthony Volpe, Delbarton (NJ) HS (Vandy commit)
RHP Michael Limoncelli, Horseheads (NY) HS (Coastal Carolina commit)
RHP Dave Falco, Center Moriches (NY) HS (U of Maryland commit)
RHP Joe Biancone, John Jay Cross River HS (George Washington commit)


Wisconsin
C Nathan Stevens, Waunakee HS (lefty hitter/Arkansas commit)


Michigan
LHP Colin Czajkowski, Woodhaven HS (U of Michigan commit)


Ohio
OF Jase Bowen, Toledo Central Catholic HS (Mich. State commit)
RHP Mack Anglin, Highland HS (Clemson commit)


Pennsylvania
OF Sammy Siani, William Penn Charter HS (lefty hitter/Duke commit)
RHP Jack Kochanowicz, Harriton HS (Virginia commit)
OF Chris Newell, Malvern Prep HS (lefty hitter/Virginia commit)


Indiana
OF Ethan Vecrumba, Edgewood HS (lefty hitter/U of Indiana commit)


Illinois
SS Jalen Greer, St. Rita of Cascia HS (Mizzou commit)
RHP Quinn Priester, Cary-Grove Community HS (TCU commit)
C Matt McCormick, St. Laurence HS (lefty hitter/WVU commit)


Kansas
OF Marcus Smith, Pembroke Hill HS (lefty hitter/U of Michigan commit)


Puerto Rico
SS Landy Pena, Leadership Christian Academy (switch-hitter/one of youngest players in HS draft class/uncommitted)


Canada
SS Cesar Valero, Foothills Composite HS (Calgary) (originally from Venezuela/one of youngest players in HS draft class/Oregon St. commit)
OF Dasan Brown, Abbey Park HS (Toronto) (one of youngest players in HS draft class/Aggie commit)
OF Ethan Sanasie-Edwards, Mississauga Secondary HS (Toronto) (Wabash Valley CC commit)


97
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 02, 2019, 05:47:13 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--PACIFIC/WEST REGION (PART 2)

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Southern California/Arizona D1’s & JUCO’s

LHP Justin Hooper, UCLA (missed 2018 due to TJ/25th round pick in 2015 draft out of HS)

RHP Chris Clarke, USC (one of the youngest players in college draft class/up to 94 on the heater)
RHP Connor Lunn, USC (up to 95 with the cheese)
LHP Quentin Longrie, USC (also can hit 95 but rarely where it needs to go)
C TJ Stubbs, USC (the brother of Garrett missed 2018 after undergoing TJS)

RHP Darius Vines, CSU-Bakersfield (32nd rounder of the Astros in 2016)

OF Bradlee Beesley, Cal Poly (hit .368/.419/.529 in the Cape last summer)

RHP Logan Boyer, SDSU (FB hitting 96 and healthy after injury-plagued 2018)
OF Julian Escobedo, SDSU (lefty hitter/batted .316/.419/.429 in 2018 w/37 BBs vs 30 Ks)

LHP Josh Hendrickson, U of SD (Aussie/20th rounder of Royals in 2018 out of juco)

SS Nick Sogard, LMU (Eric and Alex are cousins/Steve Sax is an uncle)

2B Hank LoForte, CSF (SR/listed at 5’6”)

LHP Jack Dashwood, UCSB (17 Ks vs 4 BBs in 12 IP with just 7 hits allowed to kick off this spring)
SS Andrew Martinez, UCSB (33rd round pick of the Marlins in 2018 as a draft-eligible FR)

RHP Tanner Brubaker, UCI (28th rounder of the Rays last year out of juco)

RHP Adrian Chaidez, Cypress CC (SO from Calif./converted catcher/UCLA commit)

INF Carter Aldrete, ASU (uncle Mike is the former big leaguer)
C Lyle Lin, ASU (29th rounder of the Astros in 2018 as a draft eligible soph)
C Sam Ferri, ASU (38th rounder of the Yankees in 2016 out of HS)

LHP Andrew Nardi, U of Arizona (39th rounder in both 2017 & 2018 by NYY & Nats out of juco)

1B/OF Kona Quiggle, Grand Canyon (lefty hitter out of Phoenix)

LHP Lucas Knowles, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Washington/U of Kentucky commit)
RHP Jason Nelson, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Phoenix/ULL commit)
SS Liam Spence, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Australia/Vols commit)
OF Hunter Jump, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Calif./ASU transfer)
SS Ernny Ordonez, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Goodyear/KU commit)
RHP Dakota Donovan, Central Arizona JC (SO out of Utah/Oregon State transfer)
LHP Leo Palacios, Central Arizona JC (FR out of Phoenix)

RHP Drew Hill, South Mountain (AZ) CC (SO out of Utah/TCU commit)
INF Juan Colato, South Mountain (AZ) CC (SO out of El Salvador/GCU commit)
OF Connor Kimple, South Mountain (AZ) CC (SO out of Wisconsin/ULL commit)

SS Carlos Arellano, Arizona Western CC (SO out of Calif./uncommitted)
RHP Gabe Ponce, Arizona Western CC (SO out of Arizona/USD transfer)
RHP Chris Koeiman, Arizona Western CC (SO out of Curacao/uncommitted)

RHP Chase Webster, Chandler-Gilbert CC (FR/has been hitting 96 this spring)
RHP Ben Thompson, Chandler-Gilbert CC (SO from New Zealand/Tulane commit)

RHP Dominic Hamel, Yavapai CC (SO out of Arizona/DBU commit)
SS Tommy Sacco, Yavapai CC (SO out of Arizona/TCU commit)
3B Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Yavapai CC (FR out of Calif.)

LHP Brendon Rodriguez, Scottsdale CC (SO out of Tucson/New Mexico State commit)

OF Antoine Mistico, Gateway CC (SO from Arizona/14th rounder in ‘17 out of HS/Grand Canyon commit)


Nevada/Utah/New Mexico/Colorado D1’s & JUCO’s

LHP Ryan Anderson, U of Nevada (30 Ks/16 hits/6 BBs allowed in 27 IP in Northwoods League in 2018)

OF/1B Steven Rivas, Southern Nevada CC (SO/37th rounder of LAA in 2017/Coogs’ commit)
LHP Nick Rupp, Southern Nevada CC (SO/Coogs’ commit)
RHP Matt Gilbertson, Southern Nevada CC (SO/U of Pittsburgh commit)

2B Oliver Dunn, Utah (lefty hitter)
C Zack Moeller, Utah (missed 2018 after undergoing TJS)

OF Brock Hale, BYU (SR/hitting .368/.458/.614 for his career)

RHP Justin Slaten, U of New Mexico (BA’s 4th-best prospect in the Northwoods League in 2018)

98
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 02, 2019, 12:21:29 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--PACIFIC/WEST REGION

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Northern California/Pacific Northwest/Hawaii D1’s & JUCO’s

C Carter Bins, Fresno State (35th round pick of the Phillies in 2016 out of HS)
RHP Ryan Jensen, Fresno State (touched 99 in the fall)
OF Zach Ashford, Fresno State (SR/hit .314 in the Cape in ‘18 though with limited pop)

RHP/DH Will Matthiessen, Stanford (interesting 2-way player off to a .400/.500/.700 start this spring & 9 Ks vs 2 BB in 6.1IP)
OF Brandon Wulff, Stanford (SR/hitting .393/500/.893 to begin ‘19/missed half of ‘18 season with foot injury)

C Korey Lee, Cal (also has seen work on the mound)
OF Brandon McIlwain, Cal (also Cal’s QB but future is in BB/.hitting .286/.333/.619 this spring after laying off the sport last 2 years)

RHP/1B Kevin Milam, St Mary’s (one of the best 2-way players in the country)

C James Free, U of Pacific (switch-hitter/monster freshman year in ‘17 at .343/.407/.652 but regressed some in ‘18)
RHP Ryan Shreve, U of Pacific (29 K/3 BB in 29 IP in Calif. Collegiate League in ‘18 and 16 Ks/2 BBs in 14 IP this spring w/just 7 hits allowed)

RHP Finn Del Bonta-Smith, SJSU (45 Ks/6 BBs in 26 IP in the Northwoods League in 2018)

LHP Chris Daniels, Sacramento City CC (FR)
OF Jaden Lyburtus, Sacramento City CC (FR)

LHP Robert Gasser, San Joaquin Delta CC (SO/Coogs’ commit/pitched at UNM in 2018)
RHP Gunner Mayer, San Joaquin Delta CC (FR)
RHP Jonathan Pierce, San Joaquin Delta CC (SO/Baylor commit)
SS Zack Mathis, San Joaquin Delta CC (SO/CSUN commit)

OF Jakob Goldfarb, Oregon (also getting some looks behind the plate)

LHP Jake Mulholland, OSU (not exactly a power arm but still manages to be one of the best closers in the country)
OF Tyler Malone, OSU (lefty hitter/moves to RF after a strong CWS in ‘18 where he hit 3 homers in 8 games as the Beavers’ DH)

LHP AJ Block, WSU (20 Ks in 12.2 IP in the Cape in ‘18 but also 17 hits allowed & 8 walks)

RHP Nick Iverson, Gonzaga (from Oakville, Ontario/15th round pick of the Brewers in 2018 out of juco)

RHP Bubba Hoopii-Tuionetoa, Pierce CC (FR/16th rounder of the Twins in 2018 out of HS)

RHP Dylan Thomas, U of Hawaii (CCBL relief POTY with a combined 76 Ks/6 BBs in 62 IP in 2018)

99
Talk Zone / Re: Aches and Pains (2019)
« on: March 02, 2019, 11:47:37 am »
Dean Deetz has right shoulder soreness.

Deetz "is a couple of weeks away from getting into games" says McTaggart.

We'll see how well that timeline holds up.

100
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: March 02, 2019, 08:42:31 am »
Salvador Perez likely headed to TJS.

101
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: March 01, 2019, 10:56:26 pm »
Toro and what he's doing differently at the plate...

Quote
An offensive adjustment prior to his Arizona Fall League tenure allowed him an eye-popping turnaround. Toro and Astros assistant hitting coach Troy Snitker refined his stance, taking out the pronounced leg kick with his front foot. Toro, who stands 6-foot-1, sets his feet closer together and bends lower at his knees. He still delivers a leg kick when he begins his swing, though it is considerably less demonstrative. [In the AFL] Toro knocked 23 hits in 66 at-bats, accruing a 1.023 OPS. A .463 on-base percentage was bolstered by as many walks (12) as strikeouts.

Hinch: “A very intriguing guy because of the work that he does and hits the ball as hard — or harder — than any of the new guys we have here. As he works on his defense and becomes comfortable at both corners, he becomes even more intriguing.”

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/astros/article/Astros-non-roster-invitee-Abraham-Toro-off-to-a-13657212.php

102
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: March 01, 2019, 09:07:35 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--GULF COAST (PART 2)

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Central/South Texas D1’s & JUCO’s

RHP Blair Henley, UT (Saturday starter for the Horns/22nd round pick of Yankees in ‘16 out of HS)
OF Austin Todd, UT (former RR HSer trying to rebound from injury-marred ‘18/off to a .371/.463/.571 start this spring)
OF Duke Ellis, UT (lefty hitter/speedy CFer but as his .279/.421/.279 line from the Cape shows he lacks pop)
1B Zach Zubia, UT (draft-eligible SO/hit .250/.390/.417 in the Cape in ‘18 after that huge performance in Northwoods League in ‘17)
C/1B DJ Petrinsky, UT (SR/shoulder issue has restricted his time behind the plate so far this spring)
3B Ryan Reynolds, UT (son of Shane/very solid defender/switch-hitter off to promising start at plate this spring)
RHP Matteo Bocchi, UT (SR/from Italy to Odessa JC to the Forty Acres & lights out in the NCAA regionals & CWS)

RHP Fred Villarreal, U of H (34 Ks/5 BBs in Valley League last summer/22nd rounder of the Rays in ‘16 out of HS)
OF/1B Lael Lockhart, U of H (.297/.425/.419 for the Coogs in 2018)
RHP Carter Henry, U of H (up to 93 on FB w/plus SL/40th round pick of Red Sox in ‘16 out of HS)
LHP Tristen Bayless, U of H (Hutto HSer-->Aggie-->juco-->Coogs/35th round pick of Nats in ‘16 out of HS)
1B/DH Joe Davis, U of H (SR/off to a .333/.455/.889 start this spring/16th rounder of Rays in ‘15 out of Austin Bowie HS)
RHP Devon Roedahl, U of H (West Brook HSer-->TCU-->San Jac-->Coogs/heater up to 93)
RHP Ryan Randel, U of H (SR/Coogs’ Saturday starter/FB now touching 93 to go along with an excellent CU)
OF/LHP Tyler Bielamowicz, U of H (Cy Ranch HSer a dual threat being the Friday night starter this spring & hitting .309/.449/.456 in ‘18 w/30 BBs/26 Ks)

RHP Garrett Gayle, Rice (FB up to 98/54 Ks in 42 IP for Owls in ‘18 but also 31 BBs, 17 WPs & 3 HBPs)
RHP Roel Garcia, Rice
2B Trei Cruz, Rice (draft-eligible SO/Cheo’s grandson picked by the Astros in 33rd round in 2017)

RHP Nick Fraze, Texas State (Friday starter/outstanding start vs Rice today with a 1-hitter over 7 IP & 12 Ks)
RHP Hunter McMahon, Texas State (juco transfer who’s the Saturday starter for the Bobcats)

RHP Hayden Wesneski, SHSU (up to 95 on FB/33rd rounder of Rays in ‘16 out of Cy Fair HS/27 Ks vs 3 BBs in 20 IP so far in ‘19)
LHP Kyle Backhus, SHSU (control issues continuing to go south)
RHP Nick Mikolajchak, SHSU (20 Ks vs just 2 BBs in 14.2 IP in the Cape this past summer)
LHP Brad Demco, SHSU (Lake Travis HS-ex had 28 whiffs vs 7 walks in 17 IP in Calif. Collegiate League in ‘18)

INF JC Correa, Lamar (Carlos’ bro/33rd round pick of Astros in 2018)

RHP Dustin Lacaze, Texas A&M--CC (up to 95 on FB/no runs & just 3 hits allowed in his 1st 13.2 IP this spring)

2B Bryan Arias, UTSA (SR/hit .362/.429/.621 in the Calif. Collegiate League this past summer)

INF/RHP Kyle Bergeron, Incarnate Word

RHP Dane Acker, San Jac (SO from Brenham/OU commit)
LHP Luke Little, San Jac (FR from NC/U of South Carolina commit)
OF/INF Andrew Papantonis, San Jac (SO from NJ/Coogs commit)
RHP Jonathan Jones, San Jac (FR out of Manvel HS/28th rounder of the Phillies in 2018)
RHP Jack Conlon, San Jac (SO out of Clements HS/4th rounder in 2017 failed 2 physicals/Rice commit)
SS Adisyn Coffey, San Jac (SO out of Indiana/ASU transfer)
LHP Mitchell Parker, San Jac (FR out of NM/28th rounder of the Cubs in 2018)
OF Hunter Townsend, San Jac (FR out of Rusk HS/Aggie commit)
OF Tyriece Silas, San Jac (SO out of Cy Falls HS/TSU commit)
RHP Austin Marozas, San Jac (FR out of IL/OSU commit)
1B Ryan Hernandez, San Jac (SO out of Boston/Coogs commit)
RHP Bryant Salgado, San Jac (FR out of Klein Forest HS)
INF/OF Camryn Williams, San Jac (SO out of FL/DBU transfer/39th rounder of Mariners in 2016)
RHP Dylan Lester, San Jac (SO out of Brenham HS/Coogs transfer/2-time TJS/U of Pitt commit)

RHP Nicco Cole, Howard JC (FR out of Southlake Carroll HS/CSF commit)
LHP Ricky Apodaca, Howard JC (FR out of Albuquerque)
1B/OF Brett Cain, Howard JC (SO out of Waco/Coogs commit)
RHP Jordan Mikel, Howard JC (SO out of IL/ULM commit)
RHP David Bates, Howard JC (FR out of TN/Tulane commit)

RHP Jackson Leath, Blinn (SO from Waxahachie/U of Tenn commit)
RHP Jace Hutchins, Blinn (FR from College Station HS)
RHP Jacob Millender, Blinn (SO from Lamar HS/TSU commit)

LHP Gerrit Van Zijll, Alvin CC (FR from Clear Lake HS/TT commit)

RHP Chase Embry, McLennan (SO/uncommitted)
LHP Grant Miller, McLennan (SO/the ex-RR HSer is a TCU commit)

103
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: March 01, 2019, 07:02:03 pm »
Framber with 48 pitches (23 balls) just to get thru 1 1/3 tonight.

104
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: March 01, 2019, 02:35:32 pm »
In the past couple of days the Astros signed a righty out of the Dominican. Given his age, it's highly doubtful the bonus amount was significant...

Update #8:

Miguel Palma, c, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /170 Age: 16
Tomas Ramirez, of, Dominican Republic--$250K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /172 Age: 16
Johangel Ramirez, rhp, Venezuela--$275K   B/T: R/R 6' 2" /193 Age: 16
Yohander Martinez, ss, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /175 Age: 16
Cristian Gonzalez, ss, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /180 Age: 16
Reimy Beltre, rhp, Dominican Republic -- $135K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /170 Age: 17
Omar Diaz, of, Dominican Republic--$85K   B/T: L/L 6' 1" /180 Age: 16
Danny Subero, rhp, Venezuela--$200K   B/T: R/R 6' 4" /194 Age: 16
Ayendy Ortiz, ss, Dominican Republic--$240K   B/T: S/R 6' 1" /170 Age: 16
Carlos Calderon, rhp, Dominican Republic--$80K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /175 Age: 16
Daniel Pacheco, rhp, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /160 Age: 16
Frank Perez, of, Cuba--$275K  B/T: R/R 6' 2" /180 Age: 16
Jairo Jose, of, Dominican Republic--$75K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /160 Age: 16
Jesus Liranzo, of, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /185 Age: 16
Ricardo Balogh, ss, Dominican Republic -- $300K   B/T: S/R 6' 3" /175 Age: 16
Andres Monzon, cf, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 11" /152 Age: 16
Antonio Placencia, rhp, Dominican Republic   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /170 Age: 19
Freddy Guilamo, c, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 5'11" /160 Age: 17
Miguel Padilla, rhp, Venezuela -- $50K  B/T: R/R 6'2" /180 Age: 16
Marcos Eusebio, rhp, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 6'1" /180 Age: 18


Total of 20 players signed to date with reported and/or inferred bonuses on 15 of those. Given the likelihood of a minimal bonus for Eusebio, we're gonna assume for now the Astros' international pool money remains unchanged:

Pool at beg. of year.................................................................$4,983,500
Less: Amt sent to LAA in Maldonado deal.............................  (250,000)
Less: Amt sent to MIA for 2 minor leaguers.........................   (500,000)
Amount available.....................................................................$4,233,500
Less: Total bonus already paid out to 15 players.................(3,165,000)
Less: Assumed bonus paid to 5 unreported players............     (95,900)
Amt available for future signings and/or trade......................$ 972,600



105
Talk Zone / Re: Aches and Pains (2019)
« on: March 01, 2019, 02:11:45 pm »
Dean Deetz has right shoulder soreness.

106
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 28, 2019, 11:51:44 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--GULF COAST

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Louisiana D1’s & JUCO’s

LHP Brendan Cellucci, Tulane (1.04 WHIP in the Cal Ripken League this past summer/up to 95 on FB)
RHP Kaleb Roper, Tulane (SR/the ex-San Jac Gator is the Green Wave Friday night starter for the 2nd year in a row)
OF/1B Grant Mathews, Tulane (.347/.412/.554 in ‘18 and off to a .364/.500/.576 start this spring)
RHP Keagan Gillies, Tulane (Saturday starter for the Green Wave)
RHP Chase Solesky, Tulane (Sunday starter/32 Ks in 26.2 IP in the NECBL this past summer)
RHP Trent Johnson, Tulane (up to 94 on FB)
SS Sal Gozzo, Tulane (son of ex-MLB pitcher Goose/twin brother Paul is the starting catcher at UConn)
1B/DH Trevor Jensen, Tulane (SR/hitting .462/.551/.744 in the early going in 2019)

LHP David Leal, Louisiana Tech (SR/will miss 2 months with broken foot)

LHP Gunner Leger, ULL (SR/had 2 surgeries & missed 2018/Marlins’ 26th rounder in ‘17 & turned down overslot money)

RHP Bryce Tassin, SE Louisiana (can hit 95 with the heater)

OF Shane Selman, McNeese State (SR/39th rounder of the Red Sox in ‘18)

INF/DH Rafael Ramirez, Grambling (lefty hitter/.353/.440/.735 for the Tigers in ‘18/SA McCollum HS ex is listed at 5’9” 225 lbs)

INF/OF Jarrett McDonald, LSU-Eunice (FR/lefty hitter)


Mississippi D1’s & JUCO’s

C Cooper Johnson, Ole Miss (BA rated him the best defensive catcher in the SEC)
UTIL Ryan Olenek, Ole Miss (SR/17th rounder of the Giants after hitting .350/.388/.464 last year)
1B Chase Cockrell,Ole Miss (SR/hit .317/.376/.539 in spring & .356/.446/.625 in summer last year)

1B Tanner Allen, Miss State (draft-eligible SO who hit .287/.353/.444 as a freshman)
OF Elijah MacNamee, Miss State (SR/Cy Ranch HSer hit .309/.377/.495 in 2018)
INF Gunner Halter, Miss State (22nd rounder in 2017 and 26th rounder in 2018 out of juco/dad is Shane)

2B Matt Guidry, So. Miss (undrafted in ‘18 as RS SO despite a .944 & 1.043 OPS respectively his first 2 years at USM)

INF/OF Dexter Jordan, Pearl River CC (FR)

RHP Chance Denson, East Mississippi CC (FR)

LHP Houston Harding, Itawamba CC (SO/Miss State commit)

OF Hayden Leatherwood, Northwest Mississippi CC (SO/lefty hitter/Ole Miss commit)
LHP Dalton Fowler, Northwest Mississippi CC (FR/Ole Miss commit)
1B Ben Van Cleve, Northwest Mississippi CC (SO/Ole Miss commit)


Alabama D1’s & JUCO’s

RHP Gordon Ashcraft, UAB (12th round pick of Dodgers out of HS in 2016)

RHP Levi Thomas, Troy (draft-eligible SO)

LHP Jared Shemper, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/Miss State commit)
1B/OF Oraj Anu, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/U of Kentucky commit)
RHP DJ Roberts, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/40th rounder in 2016 out of HS/FIU commit)
C Luis Aviles, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/uncommitted)
C/1B Golston Gillespie, Wallace Dothan (FR/switch-hitter)
OF Justin Farmer, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/uncommitted)
SS Jose Ciccarello, Wallace-Dothan CC (FR)
3B Brandon Dorsey, Wallace-Dothan CC (SO/uncommitted)

RHP Britt Sparks, Shelton State CC (SO/Bama commit)
OF Jason Rooks, Chattahoochee Valley CC (SO/uncommitted)
RHP Chase Patrick, Chattahoochee Valley CC (SO/Miss. State commit)


107
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 10:00:00 pm »
FWIW, near misses on the MLB Pipeline top 30 list...

Jim Callis  @jimcallisMLB 9h ago
The @astros had too much depth and I just ran out of spots. [Cristian] Javier literally was No. 31 on the list. Brandon Bailey was another pitcher who was tough to leave off the list.

108
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 07:34:28 pm »
Granden Goetzman was signed last July but barely played after being released by the Cardinals. I suspect they're trying to convert the long-time OF into a pitcher.

Actually they're trying to adjust his swing angle...

Robert Ford @raford3 10 minutes ago
Goetzman’s average exit velo is comparable to Giancarlo Stanton, but he was always hitting the ball on the ground. Astros seem to feel they can help him tap into his power.


If they're able to fix the former 2nd round pick of the Rays, will be interesting to see just where he would be assigned given all the outfielders who are due playing time at AAA and AA at some point this season--Tucker, Straw, Fisher, Alvarez, Dawson, Julks, Benedetti, Wrenn, Rojas (both LF and now CF in addition to his infield duties), Matijevic, McCormick, Beer, De La Cruz, Meyers).

109
Talk Zone / Re: Bryce Harper
« on: February 28, 2019, 06:10:04 pm »
The post-mortem view...

Out or Likely Out                In                         Wild Card                  Out there, Way Out there

                                               Phillies                                                           Cardinals
                                               Dodgers                                                              Astros 
                                                 Giants                                                               Angels
                                                                                                                         Nationals
                                                                                                                          White Sox
                                                                                                                              Cubs
                                                                                                                           Yankees
                                                                                                                            Atlanta

110
Talk Zone / Re: Recapping front office changes
« on: February 28, 2019, 05:43:41 pm »
If you needed a primer on Edgartronic, Rapsodo and Yakkertech (and the Houston pipeline feeding into it), then here's an article from last week...

https://www.mlb.com/news/rapsodo-and-edgertronic-are-changing-baseball

111
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 05:22:16 pm »
Bud Norris has to settle for a minor league deal with the BJs.

112
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 03:10:24 pm »
https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/alex-bregman-open-to-extension-with-astros

Quote
Pitcher Akeem Bostick, who split last year between Triple-A and Double-A and is in his first big league camp, has been working hard on improving the spin rate on his curveball while trying to get better command of his cutter. In his outing against the Nationals on Wednesday, Bostick – an imposing 6-foot-6 right-hander – said his curveball spin rate was close to 2,300 rpm, which is a step in the right direction. He said he’s typically around 2,100 rpm and is trying to reach 2,400 or 2,500 rpm.

113
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 01:06:09 pm »
Updating for the new Top 30 list from MLB Pipeline:

5 or More Prospect Lists (24)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
3B Abraham Toro...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey..........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon.................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder.............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana........................BA/BP/MP/PL/1500

4 Prospect Lists (6)
OF Myles Straw........................BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson..................BA/MP/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena....................... FG/BA/MP/1500
OF Ross Adolph.......................BA/BP/MP/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/PL/1500
SS Deury Carrasco...................FG/BA/MP/1500

3 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Cristian Javier...................FG/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bailey.................FG/PL/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan................FG/BA/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes....................FG/MP/1500

2 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Heitor Tokar......................PL/1500
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte................FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.........................FG/1500
RHP Manny Ramirez................FG/BA

1 Prospect List (16)
RHP Carlos Sanabria................FG
RHP Cody Deason....................FG
RHP Brady Rodgers..................BA   
UTIL Nick Tanielu.....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman..................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas.........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti.....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock.....................1500
RHP Chad Donato....................1500
OF Jake Meyers.........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed...........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick..................1500
1B Taylor Jones.........................1500
OF Corey Julks...........................1500
OF Carlos Machado..................1500
C Nathan Perry.........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--23
LHP--6
C--2
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--4
UTIL--4
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects published in Feb. 2019 as adjusted (since the list was finalized before the JD Davis trade, I chose to also include Luis Santana and Ross Adolph who were #13 and #18 respectively on BA's Mets list so in actuality we're talking 32 prospects here)
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 17 Prospects (retrieved 2/13/19)
MP = MLB Pipeline's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 2/28/19)
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

114
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 28, 2019, 12:29:44 pm »
MLB Pipeline grades the organizations...

Farm system talent rankings:

Law/ESPN......................#12
MLB Pipeline.................# 6
Baseball America..........# 5

115
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 27, 2019, 03:42:36 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--SOUTHEAST (PART 2)

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Florida D1’s & JUCO’s

OF Nelson Maldonado, U of Florida (SR)
INF Blake Reese, U of Florida (SR/switch-hitter)

C Mike Amditis, U of Miami (draft-eligible SO/37th round pick in 2016 draft by the Indians out of HS)

RHP Brenden Heiss, FGCU (FB up to 97 but BBs an issue/31st rounder of the Cubs in 2016 out of HS)
C Alex Brait, FGCU (.335/.404/.467 for the Eagles in ‘18 and off to a .400/.457/.567 start this spring)
3B Richie Garcia, FGCU (.944 OPS last spring)
1B/DH Kohl Gilmore, FGCU (.282/.399/.525 last spring in his first year at the D1 level after 1 year at juco)

OF Ray Alejo, UCF (speedy CF who hit .299/.379/.402 with 34 SBs in ‘18 & off to a .310/.375/.552 start this year)
RHP Trevor Holloway, UCF (juco transfer/FB up to 92 and decent slider/shaky command)
C/INF Dallas Beaver, UCF (lefty hitter/fall performance suggested breakout/off to a .304/.419/.609 start this spring)
RHP Jordan Spicer, UCF (SR/26th rounder of the Twins in 2017 out of juco)

RHP Robbie Peto, Stetson (3 quality pitches including a FB up to 94/30th round pick of LAA in ‘16 out of HS)
OF Jacob Koos, Stetson (SR/hit .306/.415/.379 in the NECBL last summer)

RHP Nelson Alvarez, USF (23rd round pick in 2018 and 26th rounder in 2016)
RHP Carson Ragsdale, USF (one of the better prospects in Northwoods Lg in 2018 w/ 40 Ks in 26 IP)

RHP Anthony Maldonado, Bethune-Cookman (FB up to 95)

RHP Blake Baker, Miami Dade CC (SO/Uncommitted)
LHP Matthew Stevens, Miami Dade CC (FR)

RHP DJ Wilkinson, Pensacola State CC (SO/Troy commit)
LHP Jake Sweeney, Pensacola State CC (FR)

RHP Ryan Gusto, Florida Southwestern CC (SO/WKU commit)

INF Kaden Polcovich, NW Florida State CC (SO/OSU commit)
OF Justice Thompson, NW Florida State CC (FR)
RHP/1B Will Moriarty, NW Florida State CC (FR/32nd round pick of the Rangers in 2017)
RHP Jacob Kush, NW Florida State CC (FR/Guelph, Ontario native)

OF Max Dineen, State College CC (FR/35th rounder of the Reds in 2018 out of HS)

RHP Jose Visaez, Chipola CC (SO/originally from Venezuela/uncommitted)
3B Julio Carrion, Chipola CC (SO/PR native/uncommitted)
OF Jordan Anderson, Chipola CC (SO/Miss State transfer/40th rounder of the Rangers in 2017 out of HS)
RHP Andrew Moore, Chipola CC (FR)
LHP/OF Parker Pillsbury, Chipola CC (FR)
SS Josh Rivera, Chipola CC (SO/21st rounder of Dodgers in 2017 out of Carlos Beltran BB Academy)
RHP Jake Smith, Chipola CC (FR/21st rounder of Phillies in 2018 out of HS)
LHP Jacob Smith, Chipola CC (FR)
OF Kyle Jacobsen, Hillsborough CC (SO/33rd rounder of the Brewers in 2017 out of HS/uncommitted)

RHP Yordy Cabrera, Palm Beach State (FR)

116
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 27, 2019, 02:43:32 pm »
Nice Chandler Rome profile on Nick Tanielu and his journey back from the torn ACL that wiped out his 2017 season.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/texas-sports-nation/astros/amp/Fully-healthy-Nick-Tanielu-shows-off-versatility-13647192.php?__twitter_impression=true

Tanielu hit .335 over his final 58 regular season games for Fresno last year and .371 with two homers, two doubles, five RBI and eight runs scored in PCL playoffs. He's 4-8 with a double, triple and homer thus far in the spring for the Astros.



117
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 27, 2019, 02:32:04 pm »
Those were pretty much a given with Kemp the one on the bubble. But Kaplan wrote an article in The Athletic the other day which suggested the Astros would carry only 12 pitchers which opens a spot for Kemp to make the roster with quotes from Luhnow:

 “In fact, (a roster with 13 position players is) probably more likely this year than it would have been last year.”

“We’re not going to make that decision until the very end,” Luhnow said. “But if I had to draw it up right now, that’s probably how I would draw it up because then we get to keep all of our players happy and productive and motivated.”

https://theathletic.com/824514/2019/02/18/houston-astros-spring-training-roster-tony-kemp-jake-marisnick/

McTaggart, quoting Hinch, also makes the case for Kemp making the opening day roster under this scenario.

https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/hinch-expects-12-pitchers-on-roster

118
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 27, 2019, 03:50:06 am »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--SOUTHEAST

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Virginia/The Carolinas/Georgia D1’s & JUCO's

C Logan Driscoll, George Mason (lefty hitter/plus arm/struggled in Cape but hit .342 for GMU in ‘18)

RHP Layne Looney, Richmond (SR/Highland Park HS-ex was 19th round pick of the Cubs in 2018)

OF Kerry Carpenter, Virginia Tech (lefty hitter/juco transfer has been the Hokies’ best hitter in fall/early spring)

RHP Ben Gross, Duke (grad transfer from Princeton was drafted in 2018 by the Astros in the 34th round)
OF Kennie Taylor, Duke (SR/good centerfielder)

RHP/OF Ty Adcock, Elon (up to 97 this spring)

RHP Alec Barger, NC State (16th rounder of the Brewers in 2018 out of juco)
1B Evan Edwards, NC State (SR)

SS Corey Joyce, NC Central U (.280/.383/.385 in the NECBL back in 2017)

LHP Scott Kobos, Coastal Carolina (38th round pick of the Indians in 2017 out of juco)

RHP Kyle Mott, Pitt CC (FR/UNC commit)

RHP Logan Bender, Catawba Valley CC (SO/NC State commit/64 Ks in 47 IP at Campbell U in 2018)

RHP Ridge Chapman, U of South Carolina (SR)
UTIL Jacob Olson, U of South Carolina (SR)
C Chris Cullen, U of South Carolina (SR)

OF Jeffery Brown, The Citadel (.331/.385/.404 in NECBL in 2018 with 19 SBs)

RHP Carson Spiers, Clemson (Bill’s nephew doesn’t have great stuff but is effective)

INF/OF Michael Neustifter, North Greenville U (transfer from OSU)

RHP Elian Almanzar, Florence-Darlington CC (FR)

INF L.J. Talley, U of Georgia (SR)
RHP Will Proctor, U of Georgia (converted to pitching full-time in 2018)

SS Austin Wilhite, Georgia Tech (twin brother Nick also plays for the Yellow Jackets)

RHP Seth Shuman, Georgia Southern (39th round pick of the Orioles in 2016 out of HS)
RHP Joe Nahas, Georgia Southern (FB hits 95/K’d 142 in 74 IP at juco in 2018)

OF Terence Norman, Kennesaw State


West Virginia/Kentucky/Tennessee D1’s & JUCO's

OF Darius Hill, WVU (SR/over his Mountaineers career has hit .326/.379/.469)
C/1B Paul McIntosh, WVU (draft-eligible SO/34th round pick in 2018 by Angels out of juco)

C Rey Pastrana, Marshall (SR/one of three Johnny Bench Award finalists in 2018)

OF Jaren Shelby, U of Kentucky (son of ex-MLB outfielder John)
1B Dalton Reed, U of Kentucky (no relation to the former UK 1B & current Astro minor leaguer)
1B/DH T.J. Collett, U of Kentucky (40th round pick of the Twins in 2016 out of HS)

1B/3B Davis Sims, WKU (hit .252/.349/.449 in CCBL last summer w/ league best 8 home runs)

INF Ethan Paul, Vandy (SR/26th round pick by Pirates in 2018 draft/lefty hitter)
RHP Patrick Raby, Vandy (SR)
C/UTIL Stephen Scott, Vandy (SR/31st rounder of the Marlins in 2018/lefty hitter/econ major)

OF Kevin Strohschein, Tennessee Tech (SR/has hit .351/.409/.620 over 3 seasons)

RHP Alex Haynes, Walters State CC (SO/29th rounder of the Mets in 2016 out of HS/Vols commit)
RHP Gage Gillian, Walters State CC (SO/UNC commit)
LHP Corey Stone, Walters State CC (SO/27th round pick of Rangers in 2017 out of HS/uncommitted)

119
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Skeeters News
« on: February 26, 2019, 05:59:28 pm »
Major League Baseball and the Atlantic League will announce the experimental playing rule and equipment changes for the 2019 ALPB Championship Season in the coming weeks.

And in the wake of that press release Baseball America is now reporting that among the changes will be:

(1) moving back the mound

(2) calling balls and strikes using that Trackman technology

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/atlantic-league-expected-to-add-robo-umps-other-changes-from-new-mlb-agreement/?utm_source=Newsletter&utm_medium=email

120
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Skeeters News
« on: February 26, 2019, 04:42:14 pm »
From today's press release...

Major League Baseball (MLB) announced today that it has reached a three-year agreement with the Atlantic League of Professional Baseball (ALPB) that will permit MLB to test experimental playing rules and equipment during the Atlantic League’s Championship Season.  In addition to rules governing the transfer of players from the Atlantic League to Major League Baseball, the new agreement includes rights for MLB to implement changes to Atlantic League playing rules in order to observe the effects of potential future rule changes and equipment.  MLB will work with ALPB to modify the experimental playing rules and equipment each season during the agreement.

MLB also will enhance its scouting coverage of the Atlantic League, installing radar tracking technology in the eight Atlantic League ballparks and providing statistical services to ALPB clubs.

The new agreement continues Major League Baseball’s longstanding practice of testing potential new approaches under game conditions.  In recent years, MLB has utilized and evaluated experimental rules in its Arizona Fall League, the game’s top off-season developmental platform.

Major League Baseball and the Atlantic League will announce the experimental playing rule and equipment changes for the 2019 ALPB Championship Season in the coming weeks.

121
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 26, 2019, 12:21:33 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST--MIDWEST

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Minnesota/Michigan/Nebraska/Iowa/Dakotas D1’s & JUCO’s

C Eli Wilson, U of Minnesota (son of 14-year big league catcher Dan)
C/1B Cole McDevitt, U of Minnesota (SR)

RHP Louie Varland, Concordia-St. Paul (older brother Gus was a 14th-round pick of A’s in 2018)

OF Dominic Clementi, U of Michigan (hit .368/.485/.574 with 29 BBs vs 27 Ks in 2018)

RHP Indigo Diaz, Mich State (Vancouver, BC native who spent 2 previous years at Iowa Western CC)

RHP Grant Jebbia, Lansing CC (SO/ULL commit)
RHP Wyatt Rush, Lansing CC (SO/Michigan State commit)

LHP Denson Hull, Creighton (SR/ex-San Antonio Churchill HSer can hit 94 but lacks command)
RHP Evan Johnson, Creighton (SR/1.12 WHIP in Northwoods League in ‘18/also up to 94)

OF/1B Connor McCaffery, U of Iowa (draft-eligible FR/also plays on hoops team under dad Fran)
RHP Cole McDonald, U of Iowa (SR)

OF Levi Usher, Kirkwood CC (FR from Iowa/Louisville commit/lefty hitter)
LHP Austin Krob, Kirkwood CC (FR from Iowa/TCU commit)
RHP Cameron Leff, Kirkwood CC (SO out of Wichita/FAU commit)

RHP Evan Reifert, North Iowa Area CC (SO from Iowa/UNC commit)
RHP Harrison Beethe, North Iowa Area CC (SO from Ft. Worth Arlington Heights HS/TCU commit)
LHP Tom Skoro, North Iowa Area CC (SO from Minnesota/Mizzou commit)
RHP Michael Oh, North Iowa Area CC (SO from Illinois/UNC commit)
SS Jake Hansen, North Iowa Area CC (SO from Illinois/U of Cincinnati commit/lefty hitter)

OF Austin Murr, Des Moines Area CC (SO from Minn./NC State commit/lefty hitter)

SS Candido Encarnacion, Marshalltown CC (SO/uncommitted)
INF/OF Tom Josten, Marshalltown CC (FR/switch-hitter/UCF commit)

LHP Brady Stover, South Dakota State (can get up to mid 90s on the heater)


Indiana/Illinois/Ohio D1’s & JUCO’s

RHP Cameron Junker, Notre Dame (outstanding work in NECBL with 46 Ks in 42 IP and 1.14 WHIP)

OF Logan Kaletha, U of Indiana (SR)
RHP Tanner Gordon, U of Indiana

RHP Cyrillo Watson, U of Illinois (up to 94 on the FB)
SS Ben Troike, U of Illinois

C Zade Richardson, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (FR)
OF Noah Myers, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO from Toronto/Gamecocks commit)
LHP Andy Samuelson, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO/NC State commit)
RHP Jon Beymer, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO/Campbell U commit)
RHP Nick King, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO/Bradley commit)
RHP Ryan O’Connell, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO/Bama commit)
LHP Cameron Tullar, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (FR)
RHP Austin Kelly, Wabash Valley (IL) CC (SO/uncommitted)

OF Luke Brown, John Logan (IL) CC (SO/uncommitted)

3B Jeff Heinrich, McHenry County (IL) CC (SO/uncommitted)

RHP Ricky Castro, Parkland (IL) CC (FR/Purdue commit)

LHP Jakob Brustoski, Sinclair (OH) CC (SO/TT commit)

122
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 25, 2019, 02:12:00 pm »
OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

Northeast & Mid-Atlantic D1’s & JUCO’s

OF Chris Galland, Boston College (draft-eligible SO/hit .316/.403/.398 as a FR with 28 SBs)

SS Anthony Prato, UConn (despite nagging injuries hit .320/.384/.406 for the Huskies in 2018)

SS Nick Grande, Stony Brook (.377/.468/.560 for the Seawolves in 2018 with 32 SBs)
OF Michael Wilson, Stony Brook (lefty hitter/15th rounder of the Red Sox in 2016 out of HS)

RHP Ben Anderson, Binghamton (26th rounder of the BJs in 2016 out of HS)

INF Danny Casals, U of Maine (SR)

OF Ryan Ward, Bryant U (draft-eligible SO/hit .306/.389/.435 in NECBL)

RHP Kyle Martin, Fordham (56 Ks in 39 IP as the Rams’ closer in 2018)

RHP July Sosa, Monroe College

LHP Tyler Blohm, U of Maryland (17th round pick of the Orioles in 2016 out of HS)

C Spencer Smith, Harford CC (SO/37th round pick of Rangers in 2017 out of HS/uncommitted)
SS Matt Shilling, Harford CC (SO/uncommitted)
LHP Mike Taylor, Harford CC (SO/EKU commit)

123
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: February 25, 2019, 01:43:37 pm »
Kyle Tucker's bro signed with the White Sox on a minor league deal with big league camp invite.

124
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 24, 2019, 08:40:36 pm »
Cionel Perez on (oof) breaking balls, adding 9 lbs to his formerly 170-lb frame and whether he's a reliever or starter going forward.

https://www.chron.com/sports/astros/article/Astros-Cionel-Perez-aims-for-starting-pitcher-s-13641053.php

125
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 24, 2019, 08:22:00 pm »
ICYMI that Myles Straw catch today vs the Mets...

https://twitter.com/MLB/status/1099745381179670531

126
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 24, 2019, 08:17:59 pm »
Article in the Chron about Brendan McCurry's multiple arm slots and his path from a 2B at Howard JC to becoming the closer at Okla. State.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/texas-sports-nation/astros/article/How-Astros-prospect-Brendan-McCurry-became-a-13640861.php

127
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 Rule 5 Draft
« on: February 24, 2019, 08:04:59 pm »
Giants take Drew Ferguson in the 2nd round.

Very interesting profile in The Athletic about Ferguson and his quest to make SF's opening day roster.

https://theathletic.com/834706/2019/02/23/drew-ferguson-is-the-sabermetrics-nerd-coming-to-claim-his-place-in-the-giants-outfield/

128
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 24, 2019, 07:15:10 pm »
Lists, lists and more friggin' lists...

OTHER DRAFT NAMES OF INTEREST

Note: Some of these players will go in the first 10 rounds, many will go in the 11th round and later and others (due to injury, poor springs, etc.) won’t get drafted at all.

North Texas D1’s & JUCO’s

LHP Brandon Williamson, TCU (36th round pick of the Brewers in 2018)
RHP Charles King, TCU (up to 94 on FB and excellent slider)
RHP Jake Eissler, TCU (58 Ks vs just 5 BBs in 42 IP for the Horned Frogs in 2018)
RHP Jared Janczak, TCU (SR/32nd round pick of Angels in 2018)
SS Hunter Wolfe, TCU (12th rounder of Pirates in 2017 & 19th rounder of Royals in 2018)
2B Austin Henry, TCU (juco transfer from Walters State CC)
1B Jake Guenther, TCU (converted from a pitcher while at juco/lefty hitter)
OF Johnny Rizer, TCU (SR/Cy Fair-ex had injury plagued spring in 2018 but hit .305/.391/.557 in NECBL)

RHP Kurt Wilson, TT (draft-eligible SO/up to 96 on FB but has struggled with command)

OF Luke Bandy, DBU (32nd round pick of the Royals out of HS in 2016)
OF Augie Isaacson, DBU (SR/transfer from an NAIA school/MVP of Northwoods League last summer)
C Herbert Iser, DBU (24th round pick of the Orioles in 2018 out of San Jac)
C Christian Boulware, DBU (juco transfer who is DH’ing to start off this spring)
RHP Luke Eldred, DBU (draft-eligible SO/son of 14-year MLB pitcher Cal)
LHP Jordan Martinson, DBU (SR/hampered by cyst in throwing shoulder in 2018)
RHP M.D. Johnson, DBU (SR/mid 90s FB)
RHP Parker Towns, DBU (SR/37th rounder of the Mariners in 2018)

C/OF Nick DeNicola, Paris JC (SO from NJ/OSU commit)

SS Kemuel Thomas-Rivera, North Central Texas JC (SO from Puerto Rico/uncommitted)

SS Joab Gonzalez, New Mexico JC (SO from Puerto Rico/uncommitted)
RHP Brayan Garcia, New Mexico JC (SO from NYC/uncommitted)


Oklahoma D1’s & JUCO’s

SS Brandon Zaragoza, OU (the glove works...the bat not so much)
RHP Nathan Wiles, OU (Saturday starter for the Sooners)

LHP Mitchell Stone, OSU (draft-eligible FR after a 2018 redshirt season)
RHP Logan Gragg, OSU (juco transfer who missed the 2017 season after undergoing TJS)
RHP Jensen Elliott, OSU (missed most of 2017 and 2018 after undergoing TJS)
OF Trevor Boone, OSU (lotsa pop but lotsa swing & miss as well)
C Colin Simpson, OSU (listed at 5’9” 228 lbs)

OF Marc Lebreux, Seminole State (OK) JC (SO from Quebec City/U of Virginia commit)
C Archer Brookman, Seminole State (OK) JC (SO from Montreal/Ohio State commit)

INF Matt Golda, Western Okla State (SO/U of Kentucky commit)
1B Dan Pruitt, Western Okla State (SO/a top hitter in the West Coast League this summer/uncommitted)

LHP Brian Martinez, Connors State (OK) (SO from Dominican Republic/uncommitted)


Kansas D1’s & JUCO’s

OF/LHP Will Brennan, K-State (hit .359/.454/.427 in ‘18 w/32 BBs vs just 11 Ks/on hill 30K/7BB in 28IP)
2B Cam Thompson, K-State (Deer Park HS grad hit .340/.468/.400 in 16 games in the Cape in 2018)

INF/OF Luke Ritter, Wichita State (SR/37th round pick of the Twins in 2018)
LHP Alex Segal, Wichita State (draft eligible SO/elbow surgery in ‘17/38th rounder in ‘16 out of HS)
RHP Clayton McGinness, Wichita State (SR)

RHP Cam Wynne, Johnson County (KS) JC (SO/Aggie commit)
OF Anthony Amicangelo, Johnson County (KS) JC (SO/WSU commit)
OF Jake Owens, Johnson County (KS) JC (SO/Wichita State commit)
1B/OF Malik Williams, Johnson County (KS) JC (SO from Toronto/Lipscomb commit)
RHP Zach Ebert, Johnson County (KS) JC (SO/Kansas State commit)

RHP Brannon Jordan, Cowley (KS) JC (FR/Gamecocks commit)
C Cody Milligan, Cowley (KS) JC (SO/Southern Miss commit)

INF Logan Sartori, Hutchinson (KS) CC (FR/Aggie commit)


Missouri D1’s & JUCO’s

C Ryan Hernandez, Saint Louis (good defender but major struggles with bat)

SS Freilin Cabrera, Crowder CC (SO/DR native/uncommitted)
RHP Ross Carver, Crowder CC (SO/DBU commit)
1B Colten Nix, Crowder CC (SO/uncommitted)

OF Matt Turino, Jefferson JC (SO/Scarborough, Ontario native/lefty hitter/Vols commit)


Arkansas D1’s & JUCO’s

RHP Cody Scroggins, U of Arkansas (FB up to 96 for the converted infielder)
RHP Kevin Kopps, U of Arkansas (Draft-eligible SO/the George Ranch HS grad is returning from TJS)
UTIL Trevor Ezell, U of Arkansas (SR/grad transfer from SE Missouri St. who hit .377/.442/.558 in ‘18)

C Justin Felix, Arkansas State (SR/missed all of 2018 with injury)

129
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 23, 2019, 10:19:42 pm »
Swing changes, ad nauseum...

Quote
Astros outfielder Derek Fisher has come into camp with a revamped swing he says feels more “natural” than in years past. Fisher, the Astros 2014 supplemental first-round pick, adjusted his swing to get the ball the air more two years ago in Triple-A and had his best minor league season. In the majors with that lofted swing, however, he’s hit .196 with a 38 percent strikeout rate. “I think I just tried to do too much,” said Fisher, 25. “I think I did really good things leading up and I just tried to do more. Now this past offseason I worked to get myself back to how I should be.” Fisher declined to go into details about his swing other than to say it felt better.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/spring-training-notes-hinch-seeks-to-make-whitley-bukauskas-uncomfortable/

130
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 23, 2019, 09:37:36 pm »
Nearly two years removed from TJS...

Quote
The 28-year-old already senses the progress surgery helped him achieve. The spin rate on his curveball accelerated. So did the velocity on his slider. Pre-surgery, [Brady] Rodgers sat 88-92 mph with his fastball. Now, he rests at 92 mph while bumping 94-95 with ease.

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/astros/article/Brady-Rodgers-No-52-comes-full-circle-for-13638187.php

131
Game Zone 2019 / Re: Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 09:19:18 pm »
Some cat named Taneliu or something just hit a homer. The Astros lead 6-2 middle of 6.

The Slammin' Samoan!

132
Game Zone 2019 / Re: Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 07:24:01 pm »
Kyle Glaser  @KyleAGlaser 2m ago
Astros No. 10 prospect Bryan Abreu on to pitch the bottom of the fifth. FB velo was 89-92 his first few, now he's up to 95-96.

133
Game Zone 2019 / Re: Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 06:54:12 pm »
Kyle Glaser  @KyleAGlaser 3m ago
Cy Sneed strikes out the side in the third for the Astros. FB 88-89 when he came out and finished at 92-93, lot of swings and misses on the FB. Some deception with the delivery there.

134
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 23, 2019, 06:03:36 pm »
Quote
Marisnick has changed his posture at the plate, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports. Manager A.J. Hinch described it as he's more "leaned over at his waist." To improve his roster chances, the 27-year-old -- who posted a .674 OPS and a 35.9 strikeout percentage in 2018 -- is working with new hitting coach Alex Cintron. In the past, Marisnick's first move was backwards, causing him to be underneath pitches. According to Hinch, that is what's contributing to his high swing-and-miss rate and low batting average.

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/astros-jake-marisnick-makes-stance-adjustment/

135
Game Zone 2019 / Re: Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 05:56:38 pm »
Today’s lineup....

Marisnick DH
Fisher LF
Diaz SS
Tucker RF
White 3B
Reed 1B
Stassi C
Tanileu 2b
Straw CF



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

136
Game Zone 2019 / Re: Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 05:55:21 pm »
Kyle Glaser  @KyleAGlaser 10m ago
Tucker stays back on a 1-2 curveball from Scherzer and shoots it for a single through the right side. Nice piece of hitting there by the Astros No. 2 prospect.

137
Game Zone 2019 / Astros vs Nats 2/23/19
« on: February 23, 2019, 05:53:54 pm »
Kyle Glaser  @KyleAGlaser 13m ago
Jake Marisnick opens the game with a leadoff home run. Took a 96 mph Scherzer fastball and sent it out to center field. Not many better ways to get started than that

138
Talk Zone / Re: Spring Training 2019
« on: February 22, 2019, 05:30:09 pm »
Some additional games being televised (at least according to my cable provider):

Feb. 23 (Sat) vs Nats MLB Network
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Braves ATTSW
Feb 24 (Sun) vs Mets MLB Network
Feb 25 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Feb. 27 (Wed) vs Nats ATTSW
Feb. 28 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 2 (Sat) vs Mets MLB Network
Mar 10 (Sun) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 11 (Mon) vs Mets ATTSW
Mar 12 (Tue) vs Nats ATTSW
Mar 14 (Thur) vs Marlins ATTSW
Mar 19 (Tue) vs Phillies ATTSW
Mar 20 (Wed) vs Yankees ATTSW

Some of those MLB Network games are being shown on a delayed basis.

139
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 22, 2019, 02:39:15 pm »
RHP Andrew Peters, John Logan CC (IL)
Listed at 6’2” 185 lbs. South Carolina commit.

Partially torn UCL and out for remainder of season.

3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL)
Listed at 6’2” 205 lbs. Florida commit.

Currently recuperating from knee surgery.

140
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: February 21, 2019, 11:32:34 pm »
Just updating for the final arb-eligible number and in case you wanted to compare my CBT number to the number calculated by one of the MLBTR guys (who doesn't show his work) here...

$MM
Guaranteed salaries (10 players).................................103.8 (A)
Arb-eligible salaries (10 players)....................................48.8 (B)
Pre-arb salaries (6 players)...............................................5.0 (C)
Total 2019 payroll (current 26-man roster)..........157.6 (D)

(A) Verlander, Reddick, Springer, Gurriel, Altuve, Smith, Rondon, Chirinos, Brantley and Miley. RR reports it as $103.8MM while ST says $104.2MM, with the minor difference being the calculation of the pro-ration of the Gurriel signing bonus.
(B) See the arb-eligible thread.
(C) The average pre-arb salary for the Astros in 2018 was $592K so I used $600K as the 2019 figure for everyone but Aledmys Diaz. While the recent trade acquisition is pre-arb, he was paid $2MM by the Blue Jays in 2018 and Article VI(B)(1) of the CBA comes into play here. That prevents a more than 20% reduction from a player's previous years salary. While in theory the Astros could cut Diaz's 2019 salary to $1.6MM, I would expect they'll do what the BJs did last year and renew him at $2MM (that was his salary in 2017 under the final year of his original 4-yr contract with the Cardinals). So a total of $5.6MM for 6 pre-arb players which includes $2MM for Diaz and $3.0MM for the remainder (5 players X $600K).
(D) Why 26-man roster instead of 25? Because this includes the salary for Lance McCullers who'll spend all of 2019 on the DL.


CBT Calculation
Let's now try and calculate the CBT figure. I used a third source (Cot's Contracts) for this purpose. There appear to be three primary differences between the CBT amount and the team payroll amount from above:
  • On guaranteed salaries, AAV is used instead of cash payments.
  • Benefits are added in so it's not just salary only.
  • An adjustment is made for the minor league salaries of 40-man roster players who are not on the 25-man roster.
So plugging in some numbers ($MM):
Team payroll (per above)......................................157.6
AAV adjustments:
--Altuve......................................................................13.9 (E)
--Verlander................................................................(2.3)
--Gurriel.....................................................................(0.9)
--Smith.......................................................................(0.5)
--Rondon...................................................................(0.3)
Benefits.....................................................................14.5 (F)
Minor's salaries..........................................................2.3 (G)
CBT Payroll........................................................184.3

So looking at CBT payroll and assuming no more moves before opening day, Crane & Co could add about $20MM in additional salary at the trade deadline and still be slightly below the CBT threshold.

(E) The AAV adjustments are relatively small with the exception of Altuve. Under the 7-year extension he signed back in March, he was to be paid $9MM for 2018/$9.5MM for 2019/$29MM for 2020-2024 for a total of $163.5MM. Divide that figure by 7 and you get an AAV of $23.4MM. Subtract his 2019 salary of $9.5MM from the AAV and that gets you the $13.9MM adjustment.
(F) Seems to be a standard amount plugged in for all clubs.
(G) Ditto.

141
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 21, 2019, 07:27:12 pm »
Another article on Ronnie Dawson, again noting his increased arm strength and the fact he has his weight down to 215 lbs (he's listed at 225 lbs on milb.com and elsewhere).

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/sports/astros/article/Astros-prospect-Ronnie-Dawson-is-finding-his-13635327.php

142
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 21, 2019, 04:57:39 pm »
Updating for the new Top 30 list from BA in their recently-published Prospect Handbook:

5 or More Prospect Lists (25)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez...............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
3B Abraham Toro....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey..........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon.................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder.............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana........................BA/BP/MP/PL/1500

4 Prospect Lists (5)
RHP Cristian Javier...................FG/MP/PL/1500
OF Myles Straw........................BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson..................BA/MP/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena........................FG/BA/MP/1500
OF Ross Adolph........................BA/BP/MP/1500

3 Prospect Lists (3)
RHP Brandon Bailey.................FG/PL/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan................FG/BA/1500
SS Deury Carrasco....................FG/BA/1500

2 Prospect Lists (5)
RHP Heitor Tokar......................PL/1500
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte................FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.........................FG/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes....................FG/1500
RHP Manny Ramirez................FG/BA

1 Prospect List (16)
RHP Carlos Sanabria................FG
RHP Cody Deason....................FG
RHP Brady Rodgers..................BA   
UTIL Nick Tanielu.....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman..................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas.........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti.....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock.....................1500
RHP Chad Donato....................1500
OF Jake Meyers.........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed...........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick..................1500
1B Taylor Jones.........................1500
OF Corey Julks...........................1500
OF Carlos Machado..................1500
C Nathan Perry.........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--23
LHP--6
C--2
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--4
UTIL--4
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects published in Feb. 2019 as adjusted (since the list was finalized before the JD Davis trade, I chose to also include Luis Santana and Ross Adolph who were #13 and #18 respectively on BA's Mets list so in actuality we're talking 32 prospects here)
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 17 Prospects (retrieved 2/13/19)
MP = MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/6/19)
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

143
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 21, 2019, 09:44:53 am »
Nate, any thoughts/predictions on our Outfield as ST begins and ends? 

Springer
Brantley
Reddick
Marisnick
Fisher
Tucker
Kemp
Straw

*** Seems like Fisher/Tucker/Straw are odd men out for Opening Day Roster?

Those were pretty much a given with Kemp the one on the bubble. But Kaplan wrote an article in The Athletic the other day which suggested the Astros would carry only 12 pitchers which opens a spot for Kemp to make the roster with quotes from Luhnow:

 “In fact, (a roster with 13 position players is) probably more likely this year than it would have been last year.”

“We’re not going to make that decision until the very end,” Luhnow said. “But if I had to draw it up right now, that’s probably how I would draw it up because then we get to keep all of our players happy and productive and motivated.”

https://theathletic.com/824514/2019/02/18/houston-astros-spring-training-roster-tony-kemp-jake-marisnick/


144
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 20, 2019, 11:32:16 pm »

145
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 20, 2019, 05:44:38 pm »
And Shea Langeliers will be out for a while with a broken hamate.

146
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 20, 2019, 05:01:18 pm »

147
Talk Zone / Spring Training 2019
« on: February 19, 2019, 11:56:52 pm »
ICYMI, the ATTSW broadcast sked:

Feb 24 (Sun) vs Braves
Feb 25 (Mon) vs Mets
Feb. 27 (Wed) vs Nats
Feb. 28 (Thur) vs Marlins
Mar 10 (Sun) vs Nats
Mar 11 (Mon) vs Mets
Mar 12 (Tue) vs Nats
Mar 14 (Thur) vs Marlins
Mar 19 (Tue) vs Phillies
Mar 20 (Wed) vs Yankees



148
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 19, 2019, 11:11:04 am »
Short profile on Josh Rojas with the news that apparently he'll also be playing some CF this year.

149
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 18, 2019, 09:45:01 pm »
Davis Daniel left a game this weekend with a forearm injury.  Dr. Andrews paying a visit.

In other injury news, TJS already on the schedule for OU's Braidyn Fink who's obviously out for the year.

150
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: February 18, 2019, 06:31:31 pm »
News on Jandel who's got a non-roster invite with SF...

Quote
The Giants went after Gustave hard when he became a minor league free agent, but he waited until about 10 days ago to sign. The front office was pretty psyched to get the 26-year-old right-hander.

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/giants/camp-observations-could-giants-successfully-carry-three-catchers

151
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 18, 2019, 05:17:18 pm »
Ronnie Dawson, in his first big league camp, on what he worked on over the winter...

Quote
...asked the club to give him a list of things he needed to work on. He was told to work on his arm strength, continuing to improve his defense and being more consistent with his load during his stance so he can hit lefties better.

https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/josh-reddick-looking-to-hit-to-opposite-field/c-304104044

152
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 18, 2019, 01:46:50 pm »
SEC Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

LHP Zack Thompson, Kentucky
Listed at 6’3” 225 lbs. Generally considered at Top 15 pick heading into the spring.

RHP Tyler Dyson, Florida
Listed at 6’3” 225 lbs. Didn’t really start pitching until his senior year in HS. Has a FB touching upper 90s and a high-spin SL but command/control and continuing to develop his CU needed. A shoulder impingement shut him down early last spring but he was back pitching in the summer both for Team USA and Falmouth so it couldn’t have been considered too serious. 51 Ks/28 BBs in 50 innings in 2018 for the Gators and 23 Ks vs 9 BBs in 19 IP in the Cape. D1 rated him the 5th-best righty in the CCBL and BA the 7th-best overall.

SS Brady McConnell, Florida
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. The draft-eligible soph played in only 9 games last year as a freshman due to a wrist injury. They say he has a good shot at sticking at short in the pros. 33rd round pick of the Reds in 2017 out of HS.

OF Wil Dalton, Florida
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. 19 HRs last spring for the Gators ranked 11th nationally while hitting .262/.338/.542. That was his 1st season with the Gators after spending his freshman year in JUCO. Apparently has the arm for RF. 29th rounder of the O’s in 2016 out of HS.

OF Austin Langworthy, Florida
Listed at 5’10” 195 lbs. .290/.404/.403 for the Gators last spring but poor numbers over 2 years in the CCBL (.222/.335/.352). Scouting folks seem to like him as noted by BA’s rating of 34th-best prospect in the Cape this past summer. He did hit 7 longballs in 26 games for Falmouth and there is some expectation that the power surge will continue this spring. The lefty hitter was the 31st round pick of the Reds out of HS.

SS Will Holland, Auburn
Listed at 5’10” 185 lbs. Expected to go in the Top 20 picks as we head into the spring.

RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn
Listed at 6’1” 190 lbs. A 1.59 WHIP last year for the Tigers though he did whiff 70 in 66 ⅔ innings. Began the spring as the Saturday starter but was demoted to the pen and impressed there. Followed that with more solid work for Chatham with 15 Ks/4 BBs in 15.2 innings. Tabbed as the Friday starter this spring (at least to begin this season). FB up to 96-97 and his SL can be plus at times say observers. 11th round pick of the Brewers in 2018 as a draft-eligible soph.

INF Braden Shewmake, A&M
Listed at 6'4" 190 lbs. Preseason projections say he’s gone in the Top 25 picks. The lefty swinger might not stick at shortstop long-term.

LHP John Doxakis, A&M
Listed at 6’4” 215 lbs. Impressive soph season for the Aggie in 2018, quickly going from reliever to mid-week starter to weekend rotation and ending up with 92 Ks vs 29 walks and just 72 hits allowed in 93 IP. He then spent the summer making 3 starts for Team USA and a couple of outings in the Texas Collegiate League. The Lamar HS grad opened this spring with a 1-hit blanking of outmanned Fordham with 12 Ks and 0 walks. A deceptive southpaw whose stuff seems to be getting better with a FB that sits in the 90-92 range along with a said-to-be improved SL and CU. A guy to watch this spring.

RHP Mason Cole, A&M
Listed at 6’6” 200 lbs. The former Round Rock HSer and RS soph has pitched just 9.2 innings for the Aggies after making just 2 appearances back in 2017 before having to undergo TJS. He returned to pitch in 7 games out of the bullpen last season. Followed that up with a summer in the Northwoods League where he walked 26 in 35.2 IP. Reports from the fall were encouraging with a FB up to 96. He’ll again be in pen this spring with a possibility of being the Aggie closer at some point.

OF JJ Bleday, Vandy
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. Missed 22 games in 2018 with an oblique injury but still managed to have a superb .368/.494/.511 season and ended the year with a 28 game on-base streak and 10-game hitting streak. Hit .391 in the 12 SEC games he was able to play in. Went on to hit .311/.374/.500 for Orleans in the CCBL and BA rated him 10th-best prospect in the league (D1 had him as the 2nd-best corner OF). Has 65 BBs vs 49 Ks over his first 2 seasons with the Dores. Lefty swinger who they say has the arm for RF.

OF Pat DeMarco, Vandy
Listed at 5’11” 205 lbs. The kid from Staten Island is a draft-eligible soph who (along with his dad who is a commodities trader) moved to Georgia his final 2 years of HS solely to play baseball. .277/.353/.479 with 11 homers and 10 steals as a freshman for the Dores in 2018 followed by a .265/.306/.355 summer with Orleans. Might be versatile enough defensively to play all 3 positions in the grass. 24th rounder of the Yankees out of HS in 2017.

LHP Jackson Gillis, Vandy
Listed at 6’3” 225 lbs. The reliever has a mid-90s FB, plus slider and apparently even a reliable CU. 44 whiffs vs 17 walks in 33.2 frames last year for the Commodores. A bit of a rough go in brief action with Harwich in the Cape with 13 baserunners allowed in 7.2 IP with 6 Ks.

RHP Drake Fellows, Vandy
Listed at 6’5” 2015 lbs. 107 Ks/35 BBs in 96 IP last spring with just 75 hits allowed. Again will be the Dores’ Friday night starter this season.Low 90’s FB that occasionally touches 94 with a SL and CU that reportedly need some additional work.

C Philip Clarke, Vandy
Listed at 5’11” 190 lbs. Draft-eligible soph hit a very fine .294/.382/.450 as a frosh last spring including .302 in SEC play but a subpar summer in Orleans at .232/.291/.284. Lefty hitter. Thumbs up seems to be the conclusion thus far on the defense.

LHP Zach King, Vandy
Listed at 6’6” 210 lbs. Being used out of the pen for the Dores but with a FB touching 93 and average to plus CB and CU he could start for many teams across the country. 51 Ks/21 BBs in 52 IP last spring. Saw brief action in the CCBL and punched out 9 in 7.2 innings.

OF Cameron Misner, Mizzou
Listed at 6’4” 225 lbs. Most preseason predictions have him going in the 15-25 range in the 1st round.

LHP TJ Sikkema, Mizzou
Listed at 6’0” 220 lbs. The Friday starter for the Tigers had something of a down season in 2018 as he pitched to a 1.36 WHIP in 70 innings with 75 Ks. Not horrible but certainly nothing like his freshman campaign when he posted an 0.88 WHIP (9th in the nation) and had 81 Ks vs just 18 BBs. Had an 0.99 WHIP in the Cape this past summer with 23 Ks in 31.2 IP. His stuff isn’t the greatest with a high 80’s FB and a slurvy breaking ball which is his go-to pitch.

RHP Zack Hess, LSU
Listed at 6’6” 220 lbs. One of the older juniors in the college draft class. Moved from the closer’s role in 2017 (83 whiffs in 60.2 IP and a 1.14 WHIP) to the starting rotation in 2018 where the results were decidedly more mixed. Rang up 107 punchouts in 92.2 innings but also allowing 49 walks. To go along with that scatter-shot command, he’s got a FB that reaches mid 90s and a decent slider per those watch him. He had a good summer in limited appearances in the CCBL (just 2 walks/hits allowed in 7 innings with 8 Ks) and also reportedly for Team USA. Allegedly he looked good in the fall too before being shut down early but that may not have carried over to spring though as he got pounded by ULM in the season opener the other day. Drafted in the 35th round by the Yankees in 2016 out of HS and the Braves in the 36th round last year as a draft-eligible soph.

SS Josh Smith, LSU
Listed at 5’10” 175 lbs. A stress reaction in his back caused him to miss all but 6 games in 2018. Played in all 72 games for the Tigers in 2017 where he started at 3B and hit .281/.407/.409 with 39 BBs vs 33 Ks and then topped that with a .382/.478/.513 summer in the Cape. The lefty hitter will play SS this spring (as he did last year before getting injured) and gets good marks there. 38th rounder of the Tigers in 2016 out of HS.

OF Zach Watson, LSU
Listed at 6’0” 165 lbs. Posted .317/.376/.507 numbers as a freshman which dropped slightly last year to .308/.366/.479. Did miss 9 games early in the season with a strained oblique. Saw limited action in the Cape this past summer where he hit .382/.450/.500. He also played for Team USA. Has been the starting CF for the Tigers since claiming the job in March of 2017 and after being an infielder throughout his HS career. And yes he’ll definitely stick in the middle of the outfield grass at the next level. A 40th round pick of the Red sox in 2018 as a draft-eligible soph.

RHP Todd Peterson, LSU
Listed at 6’5” 230 lbs. Up to 95 on the FB this fall with a good CB. His overall numbers for 2018 don’t look particularly outstanding (only 38 Ks in 47 IP while surrendering 48 hits) but that masks what he did down the stretch. Over his last 8 appearances, allowed just 8 hits and 1 walk in 13.2 IP with 11 walks as he showed signs of becoming a dominant closer.

OF Antoine Duplantis, LSU
Listed at 5’11” 175 lbs. A senior who has put up a .324/.381/.420 line over his 3 seasons with the Tigers and .266/.319/.374 numbers over two summers in the Cape. Didn’t play this past summer after sustaining a shoulder injury while training with Team USA. Above-average defender in RF. Despite the lack of pop, did get drafted in the 19th round by the Indians in 2018. Has hit exactly 2 home runs in each of his first 3 seasons but already has 2 HRs after just 2 games this spring. A likely budget pick in rounds 6-10 but if he continues to show power might move up into the 1st 5 rounds. Hasn’t had much opportunity to play CF with LSU but that may be a realistic option as a pro.

C Saul Garza, LSU
Listed at 6’3” 230 lbs. Played 1 year at Howard JC before transferring and this will be his 1st season with the Tigers. BA rated him the 2nd best prospect in the Cal Ripken Collegiate League this past summer. His K rate there was 33% however so until proven otherwise there’s going to be questions about the stick. Based on his fall performance, Paul Mainieri thinks he’ll be fine both at the plate and behind it and was quoted as saying Garza reminds him of Baylor backstop Shea Langeliers. 31st round pick of the Cardinals in 2017 out of HS and is draft-eligible this season as a soph.

LHP Matt Cronin, Arkansas
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. The Hogs’ closer has a FB up to 95 and reportedly a good CB and has developed a splitter. 59 Ks/18 BBs in 48 IP last spring with an 0.81 WHIP and 14 saves.

RHP Isaiah Campbell, Arkansas
Listed at 6’4” 225 lbs. FB sat 94-96 in the fall with improved command said the reports. 75 Ks vs 29 BBs in 70 IP in 2018. Will be the Friday starter this spring. Bone spurs in his elbow wiped out his 2017 season which is why he was draft-eligible as a soph last season and was taken in the 24th round by the Angels.

OF Dominic Fletcher, Arkansas
Listed at 5’10” 185 lbs. The lefty hitter put up a .806 OPS in 2018 which was down from the .851 OPs he put up the prior year as a freshman. Despite the reports of superlative defense in CF, there is some question whether he can continue there at the next level given his somewhat fringey speed. If he doesn’t stick at that position in the pros, does have the arm for right (BA rated him having the best OF arm in the SEC)..

LHP Jacob Kostyshock, Arkansas
Listed at 6’4” and just 175 lbs. The results as a Razorback have yet to show up but he did gain a bit of traction this past summer in the Northwoods League with a 1.25 WHIP in 27 IP and continued on to the fall showing a plus SL and FB up to 96 with a developing CU. Will again be used out of the bullpen this spring or if things really go well as a mid-week starter.

SS Cam Shepherd, Georgia
Listed at 6’1” 187 lbs. Slumped to .244/.357/.385 last year after a solid .307/.354/.452 as a freshman. Had the opportunity to play in the Cape this past summer but instead chose to work out and get stronger. Reports said he looked much better in the fall. FWIW, went 5-10 this past weekend in the opening series against Dayton with a pair of doubles and 4 BBs vs 0 Ks. One report suggested he might eventually have to move off shortstop at the next level. Drafted in the 29th round out of HS by the Red Sox in 2016.

3B Aaron Schunk, Georgia
Listed at 6’2” 205 lbs. Can he take a step forward offensively this season? His numbers last year for the Dawgs don’t jump out at you (.299/.340/.411) at least on the power side. That lack of pop was also highlighted in the CCBL this past summer as he generated an ISO of just .049. Even so, D1 still ranked him the 10th-best corner infield prospect in the Cape. If the raw power he’s displayed in BP finally starts to show up in games this spring then he starts to look a lot more interesting. Also served as the closer for the Bulldogs last season and not surprisingly was rated by BA as having the best infield arm in the SEC and gets good marks for his work at 3B.

RHP Tony Locey, Georgia
Listed at 6’3” and a hefty 239 lbs. 97 Ks in 96 innings over his 1st 2 years with the Bulldogs but also 61 walks. A summer in the Cape back in 2017 went better and was listed by BA as the 42nd-best prospect there. But that promise is still mostly unrealized making this spring fairly critical to his draft hopes. Mid 90s FB with an improving CB and CU. If the command ever comes...

RHP Garrett Stallings, Tenn
Listed at 6’2” 200 lbs. More command and guile than plus stuff. BA said he was the 42nd-best prospect this past summer in the Cape after K’ing 21 and walking zip in 18 IP. Carried over to the start of this season as he blanked WVU over 7 innings last Friday in the season opener, allowing just 1 hit and 0 walks and whiffing a career high 8.

SS Andre Lipcius, Tenn
Listed at 6’1” 190 lbs. Had a very successful 2018, going .315/.399/.473 for the Vols and followed that with a .313/.391/.456 summer with Harwich. Played 1B as a freshman (Nick Senzel was staked out at short) but shifted to the left side of the infield last year. If he doesn’t stick at SS long-term, looks to have the arm for 3B. His twin brother Luc also plays for the Vols. Nuclear engineering major.

RHP Zach Linginfelter, Tenn
Listed at 6’5” 220 lbs. 132 Ks in 111 IP for the Vols over 2 seasons but also 63 walks. The free passes continued in the Cape with 18 walks this past summer in 31 innings. Low to mid 90s FB with inconsistent secondaries. Twice drafted previously--in 2016 in the 16th round out of HS by the Yankees and in 2018 as a draft-eligible soph in the 19th round by the Nats.

SS Grae Kessinger, Ole Miss
Listed at 6’2” 200 lbs. Hit .300/.389/.473 for the Rebs in 2018. Grandson of Don, the slick-fielding Cubs shortstop back in the 70’s. 26th rounder of the Padres in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Will Ethridge, Ole Miss
Listed at 6’5” 240 lbs. FB that can bump 94 and decent CB and CU. Friday night starter this spring after mostly pitching out of the bullpen his first 2 seasons where he racked up 103 Ks vs 25 BBs in 92 innings with 81 hits allowed. His CCBL experience has been a bit rougher with 30 hits surrendered in 23 IP and 21 Ks/7 BBs. 35th rounder of the Mariners out of HS in 2016.

1B/OF Thomas Dillard, Ole Miss
Listed at 6’0” 230 lbs. Terrific .310/.439/.563 season last spring although his subsequent Cape numbers were more subdued at .250/.383/.385. Switch-hitter. Runs pretty well, stealing 17 out of 20 bases in 2018.

RHP Parker Caracci, Ole Miss
Listed at 6’0” 205 lbs. Redshirted his first 2 seasons (no injury involved) before seeing action for the first time in 2018. And it was a helluva season as he established himself as one of the nations’ premier college closers with 73 Ks in 48 IP and 38 hits and 14 walks allowed. That got the draft-eligible soph selected in the 37th round last year by the Blue Jays. Has a heater that can get up to 96 and an excellent SL.

OF Jake Mangum, Miss State
Listed at 6’1” 180 lbs. 4-year starter in CF for the Bulldogs. .355/.420/.455 over his 3 seasons in Starkville. Draft pick in 2017 as a draft-eligible soph (30th round, Yankees) and again in 2018 as a junior (32nd round, Mets).

LHP Ethan Small, Miss State
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. The Friday starter punched out 122 while walking 33 over 101 innings last spring. FB up to 93 with a decent CB. Missed 2017 with TJS. 26th rounder by the D-Backs last year as a draft-eligible soph.

RHP Keegan James, Miss State
Listed at 6’2” 215 lbs. Sunday starter this spring after working out of the bullpen his first 2 seasons. Heater up to 95. Like Ethan Small, missed 2017 after undergoing TJS.

OF TJ Hopkins, South Carolina
Listed at 6’0” 195 lbs. .302/.376/.451 over his first 3 seasons for the Gamecocks. Has been bothered by injuries his last 2 years including a back problem.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

153
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 17, 2019, 09:10:43 pm »
Moose Tacos again has to settle for a 1-year contract as he re-signs with the Brewers...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

154
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 15, 2019, 01:03:06 pm »
Bowden with his Top 200 list in The Athletic:

4. Whitley
9. Tucker
54. James
58. Alvarez
72. Martin
121. JBB
148. Beer
150. Abreu
178. Nova
191. Framber


FG with their Top 130 list:

4. Whitley
10. Tucker
50. Martin
88. JBB
98. James
100. Cionel Perez
125. Alvarez


BP with their Top 100 list:

7. Whitley
14. Tucker
46. Josh James
49. Alvarez
80. JBB


And now BA with their Top 100:

5. Forrest Whitley
12. Kyle Tucker
34. Yordan Alvarez
77. Josh James
78. Corbin Martin


MLB Pipeline with their preseason Top 100 rankings:

7. Forrest Whitley, RHP
8. Kyle Tucker, OF
44. Yordan Alvarez, OF
62. Josh James, RHP
81. Corbin Martin, RHP
97. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP


Sickels' Top 100 list for The Athletic looks most similar to the Pipeline list:

5. Whitley
9. Tucker
37. Alvarez
59. James
82. JBB
90. Martin


And Keith Law with his preseason Top 100 rankings:

4. Whitley
17. Tucker
48. Martin
67. JBB
70. James

155
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: February 14, 2019, 05:46:12 pm »
Robbie Grossman signed with the A's, Xavier Cedeno with the Cubs and Doug Fister retires.

156
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 14, 2019, 03:28:37 pm »
Longenhagen and McDaniel take a stab at predicting who (not on this year's list) will make the 2020 Top 100 list. Among the Astros: Freudis Nova and Brayan Abreu.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/picks-to-click-who-we-expect-to-make-the-2020-top-100/

157
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 13, 2019, 10:58:43 pm »
Question for the experts, and apologies if it’s already been answered, but why the dramatically different opinions on Yordan Alvarez?

From the FG chat today:

Quote
Jackson: Yordan Alvarez didn’t rank after being high in your mid season list. What sorcery did Keith Law whisper in Eric’s ear? But for real, that’s a huge swing. What do you see now that you didn’t eight months ago.

12:08   
Eric A Longenhagen: We re-shuffled last year’s final update a bit and sent it around to teams for feedback and they almost all said to move him down, that they had him in as a DH-only.

158
Beer and Queso / Re: Dating App
« on: February 13, 2019, 07:11:26 pm »
Bovines & Concubines.

159
Beer and Queso / Re: Dating App
« on: February 13, 2019, 07:06:49 pm »
No Steers Here.

160
Beer and Queso / Re: Dating App
« on: February 13, 2019, 07:04:56 pm »
Bovine Date Line.

161
Beer and Queso / Re: Dating App
« on: February 13, 2019, 06:49:59 pm »
Studs & Cuds.

162
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 13, 2019, 06:13:37 pm »
Updating for that new BP list (which apparently contained a total of 17 names)...

5 or More Prospect Lists (21)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz..................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer...........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez...............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs.....................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Cristian Javier..................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
3B Abraham Toro....................FG/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna....................FG/BP/MP/PL/1500

4 Prospect Lists (7)
OF Myles Straw........................BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson..................BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey..........................FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon.................FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu.....................FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder.............FG/MP/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana........................BP/MP/PL/1500

3 Prospect Lists (3)
RHP Brandon Bailey.................FG/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena.........................FG/MP/1500
OF Ross Adolph.........................BP/MP/1500

2 Prospect Lists (6)
RHP Heitor Tokar......................PL/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan................FG/1500
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte................FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.........................FG/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes....................FG/1500
SS Deury Carrasco....................FG/1500

1 Prospect List (20)
RHP Manny Ramirez................FG   
RHP Carlos Sanabria................FG
RHP Cody Deason....................FG   
RHP Luis Garcia........................BA
RHP Johanse Torres.................BA
RHP Elian Rodriguez................BA
SS Miguelangel Sierra..............BA
UTIL Nick Tanielu.....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman..................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas.........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti.....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock.....................1500
RHP Chad Donato....................1500
OF Jake Meyers.........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed...........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick..................1500
1B Taylor Jones.........................1500
OF Corey Julks...........................1500
OF Carlos Machado..................1500
C Nathan Perry.........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--25
LHP--6
C--2
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--5
UTIL--4
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (as adjusted by their midseason update for the Top 10 prospects) + one bonus supplemental prospect (sent with prospect handbook) + three "rising prospects" from the midseason update
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 17 Prospects (retrieved 2/13/19)
MP = MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/6/19)
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

163
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 13, 2019, 03:33:18 pm »
FG with their Top 130 list:

4. Whitley
10. Tucker
50. Martin
88. JBB
98. James
100. Cionel Perez
125. Alvarez


BP with their Top 100 list:

7. Whitley
14. Tucker
46. Josh James
49. Alvarez
80. JBB


And now BA with their Top 100:

5. Forrest Whitley
12. Kyle Tucker
34. Yordan Alvarez
77. Josh James
78. Corbin Martin


MLB Pipeline with their preseason Top 100 rankings:

7. Forrest Whitley, RHP
8. Kyle Tucker, OF
44. Yordan Alvarez, OF
62. Josh James, RHP
81. Corbin Martin, RHP
97. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP


Sickels' Top 100 list for The Athletic looks most similar to the Pipeline list:

5. Whitley
9. Tucker
37. Alvarez
59. James
82. JBB
90. Martin


And Keith Law with his preseason Top 100 rankings:

4. Whitley
17. Tucker
48. Martin
67. JBB
70. James

164
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 13, 2019, 03:17:02 pm »
BA published their organizational  grading today...

Farm system talent rankings:

Law/ESPN......................#12
Baseball America..........# 5

165
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 13, 2019, 02:22:40 pm »
(Updated/Final)

Astros' arb cases under Luhnow/Crane:

2012 (0)
2013 (0)
2014 (0)
2015 (0)
2016 (1)
  -Castro (5MM vs 5.25MM)  Astros Won
2017 (1)
  -McHugh (3.35MM vs 3.85MM)  Astros Lost
2018 (2)
  -McHugh (4.55MM vs 5MM) Astros Lost
  -Giles (4.2MM vs 4.6MM)  Astros Lost
2019 (2)
  -Correa ($5MM vs $4.25MM) Astros Lost
  -Cole ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM) Astros Lost

Not a particularly winning strategy for the Astros to date with net losses of $3.9MM (not taking into account any ancillary expenses).

166
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 13, 2019, 02:14:51 pm »
And then there were none...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM    Actual: $13.5MM
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM  Actual: $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM  Actual: $5.8MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM    Actual: $5MM
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.2MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.1MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   Actual: $2.2MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM   Actual: $1.525MM

Total of arb salaries: $48.8MM.

And props to the guy who does the MLBTR estimates--just $700K off with his total projection of $48.1MM.

167
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 13, 2019, 07:33:27 am »
PAC 12 Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

C Adley Rutschman, OSU
Listed at 6’2” 216 lbs. The consensus #1 overall pick heading into the spring.

RHP Grant Gambrell, OSU
Listed at 6’4” 225 lbs. Inconsistent work as a starting pitcher for the Beavers last season. Struck out 57 in 57 IP but also yielded a 1.43 WHIP. Up to 96 on the FB and also has a good slider and a decent change.

LHP Brandon Eisert, OSU
Listed at 6’0” 209 lbs. Used as a reliever his first 2 seasons with the Beavers and likely returns there this spring. Up to 93-94 this fall and apparently has solid secondary pitches. 102 Ks in 103.2 innings of work in his OSU career with 76 hits and 31 walks allowed.

SS Beau Philip, OSU
Listed at 6’0” 188 lbs. The juco transfer has 55 speed and looks to be able to handle the SS position at the next level. One of the better prospects in the West Coast League this past summer--he hit .293/.364/.415.

RHP Ryne Nelson, Oregon
Listed at 6’4” 184 lbs. Two-way player for the Ducks as an infielder/reliever in 2017 & 2018 but will focus exclusively on mound work this spring as the hard-thrower will get a chance to move into the starting rotation. Whiffed 54 in 36.2 innings for the Ducks over the last 2 seasons. Opened eyes on the Cape this summer with 26 Ks in 17 IP while allowing just 17 baserunners (8 hits, 9 walks). BA named him 5th-best overall prospect in the league. Besides a FB reaching 99, also has a SL and CU but needs to work on both.

RHP Kenyon Yovan, Oregon
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. Dominant as the Ducks’ closer in 2017 (1.97 ERA, 16 saves, 36 Ks/6 BBs in 32 IP), the former 32nd round pick of the Mariners was nearly as successful last year after moving into the starting rotation. Had 98 Ks vs 37 BBs in 85 IP last spring. Split time in the summer between the CCBL (BA ranked him the 28th-best prospect there) and Team USA. Also expected to do some DH’ing this year for OU as he’s done the past 2 seasons. But the mound is his future--in addition to a FB reaching 94, his 3 secondaries (CB, SL, CU) are all at least average at this point with perhaps his slider a tick above the rest according to reports.

OF Jonny Deluca, Oregon
Listed at 5’11’’ 196 lbs. Played CF for OU in 2018 and expected to return there this spring but whether that’s his long-term position is a bit unclear. Has also worked out at 2B and that could be his position in the pros (at least according to his HC George Horton). The stick was not friendly for him as a freshman last year as he batted just .212/.270/.325 in the spring. But summer in the Cape was another story, going .296/.369/.368 and impressing scouts there. D1 even ranked him as the 3rd-best CF in the CCBL. Draft-eligible soph and a switch-hitter, he was a 39th rounder of the Twins in 2017 out of HS.

3B Spencer Steer, Oregon
Listed at 5’11” 190 lbs. Like Deluca, didn’t necessarily impress all that much at the plate last spring for the Ducks (.275/.381/.407) but got the stick going for Orleans in the summer and hit .304/.351/.481. BA’s Cape Cod rankings said he was the 49th-best prospect there. Reports on his defense at 3B seem pretty upbeat and he also showed he could play 2B well when positioned there in the CCBL. 29th rounder in 2016 out of HS.

1B Andrew Vaughn, Cal
Listed at 5’11” 214 lbs. Viewed as a Top 10 pick going into the spring.

RHP Jared Horn, Cal
Listed at 6’4” 225 lbs. Big-time arm but the control has been severely lacking as evidenced by the 90 walks in 149 innings over his first two years. Even after walking another 19 in 28 IP in the Cape this past summer, D1 still saw enough potential from his heater and CB to rate him as 9th best RHP in the league. 20th round pick of the Brewers out of HS in 2016.

SS Cameron Eden, Cal
Listed a 6’2” 180 lbs. Glove is currently showing more consistency than the bat. After an awfully nice freshman season for the Golden Bears (.315/.361/.472), everything came crashing down for him in 2018 with a .247/.306/.292 spring followed by a .254/.302/.325 summer for Brewster in the CCBL. Obviously needs a bounceback season offensively to sniff 1st five round consideration.

OF Kyle Stowers, Stanford
Listed at 6’3” 200 lbs. Lefty swinger for the Cardinal has arm for right. After struggling in limited action as a freshman in 2017, broke out with a decent season in the spring (.286/.383/.5112) but then really came on strong with a .326/.361/.565 summer in the Cape. BA tabbed him as the 14th best prospect there while D1 rated him the 3rd best corner OF.

LHP Erik Miller, Stanford
Listed at 6’5” 240 lbs. Big guy, big stuff, big control problems. 93-97 on the FB with a good CU and promising SL. But a combined 38 walks in 72 innings between Palo Alto and the Cape in 2018 though he also had 84 whiffs.

1B Andrew Daschbach, Stanford
Listed at 6’3” 225 lbs. .286/.358/.568 for the Cardinal in 2018 with 17 HRs and an ugly 25% K rate. .306/.424/.515 for Yarmouth-Dennis in the summer and reduced the K rate to 19%. 1B ultimately is probably his spot but might be a fit in LF. 40th round pick of the Rays in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Jack Little, Stanford
Listed at 6’4” 190 lbs. Perhaps the premier closer in all of college baseball. 56 Ks/8 BBs in 44 IP for the Cardinal in 2018 with 15 saves and an 0.60 ERA. 18 whiffs vs just 1 walk this past summer with Falmouth in 8.1 innings though he was touched up for 5 runs on 10 hits. Up to 94 on the FB and a very good SL.

C Maverick Handley, Stanford
Listed at 5’11” 205 lbs. Grades high on his defense and makeup but offense is a work in progress. A .231/.362/.350 spring in 2018 (shortened by a skateboard accident) was followed by a .252/.361/.369 summer with Falmouth in the Cape. Reports from the fall indicate he’s made improvements offensively. Bioengineering major and says he wants to be an orthopedic surgeon.

1B/OF Michael Toglia, UCLA
Listed at 6’5” 200 lbs. The Bruins’ slugger pumped out a .336/.449/.588 line last spring. Followed that up with a .209/.323/.388 performance in the Cape. While disappointing, BA still rated him 15th best prospect in the CCBL and D1 said he was the 3rd best corner infielder. The switch-hitter will be one of the youngest college juniors at the time of the draft. Above average defender at 1B but may be able to play corner OF. 35th round pick of the Rockies out of HS.

OF Chase Strumpf, UCLA
Listed at 6’1” 190 lbs. Big, big numbers as a soph last season--.363/.475/.633 as he led the Bruins in all 3 categories. Didn’t play this past summer due to injury (completely healthy now said reports from the fall) but did hit .335/.425/.549 in 2017 in the Northwoods League.

RHP Ryan Garcia, UCLA
Listed at 6’0” 180 lbs. Up to 94 on the FB among his 4 pitch arsenal which also includes an above average SL and decent CU. D1 rated him the 12th-best RHP in the CCBL this past summer after he posted 33 walks vs just 8 walks in 28 IP for Wareham. That followed a very nice soph season with the Bruins with an 0.98 WHIP and 76 whiffs in 76.2 frames.

3B Ryan Kreidler, UCLA
Listed at 6’4” 208 lbs. Strong defender who’s played both 3B and SS and likely plays the latter at the next level. Played short for Wareham last summer and D1 rated him the 13th-best middle infielder there. Bat is problematic as he’s gone .232/.337/.342 over his first 2 seasons for the Bruins and .229/.300/.339 in the Cape.

OF Jeremy Ydens, UCLA
Listed at 6’2” 200 lbs. Breakout season for the Bruins last year at .350/.421/.558 followed by a .304/.347/.432 summer with Wareham. D1 slotted him at 10th best CF prospect there. 40th rounder of the Cardinals in 2016 out of HS and 33rd round pick of the D-Backs last year as a draft-eligible soph.

C/OF Blake Sabol, USC
Listed at 6’4” 215 lbs. Will move to the outfield full-time this spring for the Trojans after spending time behind the plate and in the OF the previous 2 seasons. Unclear where he lands ultimately as a pro but I’d suspect corner OF or 1B if catcher doesn’t work out. So-so numbers in for the Trojans in 2018 at .276/.338/.390. Blasted off in the Cape however with .340/.445/.573 numbers which resulted in BA naming him 22nd best prospect there while D1 said he was the 8th best corner guy. Reports say the offensive improvement there carried over to the fall. The lefty hitter was drafted in the 33rd round of the 2016 draft out of HS. Football great Troy Palomalu is his 2nd cousin.

RHP Kyle Hurt, USC
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. Friday night starter who brings the FB at 95 with reportedly legit secondaries. Prior to the Trojans, pitched all 4 years under HC and ex-MLB hurler Kirk McCaskill at Rancho Santa Fe’s Torrey Pines HS. An horrendous 58 walks in 81 innings as a freshman last year for SC. Numbers in the Cape were more respectable with 22 Ks/9 BBs in 23 IP. Draft-eligible soph who was taken in the 34th round by the Phillies out of HS in 2017.

INF Cameron Cannon, Arizona
Listed at 5’10” 196 lbs. Bopped at a .321/.427/.549 pace last spring with 37 BBs vs just 22 Ks. A not quite so shiny .263/.298/.338 line in the CCBL but still was rated the 27th best overall prospect there by BA (and 9th best middle infield prospect by D1). He’s played mostly 2B for the Cats but played 3B for Falmouth during the summer and got good reviews there. He’s scheduled to start the season this spring at SS. We’ll see how long that lasts. But the positional versatility he’s shown thus far certainly won’t hurt his draft stock. The Glendale, AZ native was a 21st rounder of the D-Backs out of HS in 2016.

3B Nick Quintana, Arizona
Listed at 5’10” 187 lbs. The good news offensively was his .313/.413/.592 performance for the Wildcats in 2018. The bad news? A collective .230/.312/.423 over the last 2 years in the Cape with an appalling 38% K rate. Thumbs up on the defense say the reports. 11th rounder of the Red Sox in 2016 out of HS.

C Matt Dyer, Arizona
Listed at 6’4” 175 lbs. Glendale, AZ native and teammate of Cameron Cannon at Mountain Ridge HS who played at Oregon his freshman year in 2017 before transferring to Arizona and sitting out 2018. Did play during the summer for Yarmouth-Dennis and hit .250/.318/.317. Doesn’t exactly inspire confidence but he did hit a very decent .268/.355/.362 two years ago for the Ducks in his first taste of college ball. Aside from noting a decent arm, defensive reports are sketchy. Needs to get stronger overall.

OF Hunter Bishop, ASU
Listed at 6’4” 215 lbs. Call him a 4-tool player at this point. All the other elements are there (including the ability to play CF) but he’s yet to show he can consistently hit. A .250 BA for the Sun Devils last year and a .223 BA over 2 years in the CCBL attest to that. But the tools are sexy enough that BA still rated him the 46th-best overall prospect in the Cape this summer. His coach says he put things together at the plate this fall so we’ll see. Lefty hitter and 24th round pick of the Padres in 2016 out of HS. Brother Braden was a 3rd round pick of the Mariners in 2015.

RHP Alec Marsh, ASU
Listed at 6’2” 220 lbs. 94-95 on his FB in the Cape this summer where he racked up 20 whiffs in just 11.1 innings. But he does have problems finding the plate as indicated by a BB/9 of over 4. A Milwaukee kid.

C Nick Kahle, Wash
Listed a 5’10” 210 lbs. Gets good marks on the defensive side. Bat is not overwhelming--his numbers last spring were decent enough (.293/.392/.457) but he’s struggled to hit the last 3 summers in wood bat leagues.

RHP Josh Burgmann, Wash
Listed at 6’0” 2015 lbs. TJS wrecked his freshman year in 2017 causing him to miss the final 2 months of the season. Didn’t return until late March 2018. So the RS soph really only has about 4 months of college experience under his belt. FB up to 95 combined with what they say is an above average CU and good slider. 30th round pick of the Cardinals in 2016 out of Vauxhall Baseball Academy in Alberta, Canada.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

168
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / 2019 International Signing Period
« on: February 13, 2019, 12:45:59 am »
The one that starts this July 2nd...

  • The Astros are no longer in the penalty box and thus aren't restricted in how much they can pay individual players.
  • Estimated pool for this period is $5,232,500.*
  • As noted in the other thread, the club still has monies remaining in its 2018 international pool but anything unspent there will not carryover to 2019.

*MLB hasn't yet released the actual figure for 2019. The pools get adjusted upwards annually based on increases in league-wide revenue. I applied last year's 5% pool increase to arrive at an estimate for this year.


So BA with an article today about which players are linked to certain clubs. The Astros are expected to sign Dominican SS Dauris (aka Dauri) Lorenzo for an amount likely to be greater than $1.5MM. Switch-hitter. Some vid. Signed out of the Otro Nivel BB Academy (I believe that's the same academy Framber Valdez was signed out of).


https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2019-international-prospects-to-watch-version-20/

169
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Minors Spring Training 2019
« on: February 12, 2019, 12:17:51 pm »
According to an article by Kaplan in The Athletic (some day I'm going to get that wrong and refer to it as "The Atlantic"), spring training for minor leaguers starts on March 3 (pitchers and catchers) and March 7 (everyone else). Per usual, there is a mini-camp that starts sooner for several dozen of the minors guys. That begins on Feb. 21. Those invited:

Pitchers: Adcock, Bailey, Donato, Garza, Ivey, Javier, Paredes, Scheetz, Solomon.

Catchers: Manea, Papierski, Salazar

Infielders: Arauz, Duarte, Matijevic, Pena, Sierra, Valdez

Outfielders: Beer, Benedetti, Goetzman, Julks, Wrenn


Scott Manea came in the JD Davis trade.

Granden Goetzman was signed last July but barely played after being released by the Cardinals. I suspect they're trying to convert the long-time OF into a pitcher.

170
Talk Zone / Re: Changes to the game coming this year??
« on: February 12, 2019, 11:58:23 am »
Is that a change? I did not think I was asleep while scoring. But maybe I was.

No change.

171
Talk Zone / Re: Changes to the game coming this year??
« on: February 11, 2019, 10:39:19 pm »
It is the inning’s leadoff batter.

No, it's the prior inning's final batter.

172
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 11, 2019, 07:59:30 pm »
MLB Pipeline with their preseason Top 100 rankings:

7. Forrest Whitley, RHP
8. Kyle Tucker, OF
44. Yordan Alvarez, OF
62. Josh James, RHP
81. Corbin Martin, RHP
97. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP


Sickels' Top 100 list for The Athletic looks most similar to the Pipeline list:

5. Whitley
9. Tucker
37. Alvarez
59. James
82. JBB
90. Martin

https://theathletic.com/808011/2019/02/11/john-sickels-top-100-prospects-for-2019/

173
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 11, 2019, 06:26:53 am »
B1G and AAC Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

B1G

OF Matt Gorski, Indiana
Listed at 6’4” 195 lbs. Hit .356/.404/.554 for IU in 2018 and D1 rated him 10th-best corner outfielder in the Cape where he hit .286/.398/.329 and despite the 33% K rate there. Started at 1B as a freshman before moving to LF last year for the Hoosiers. Due to his strong arm, he’s slated for RF this year. Good speed--he’s 39-0 in steals over his two seasons.

2B Michael Massey, Illinois
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. Lefty hitter and high contact guy who limits the strikeouts. .326/.369/.514 for the Fighting Illini in 2018 followed by a .280/.337/.366 summer with Brewster in the CCBL.

LHP Tommy Henry, Michigan
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. 4 pitch repertoire kicked off by a 90-93 FB with a decent SL and CU and a CB needing more work say those who’ve seen him in action. 1.19 WHIP for UM in 2018 with 77 Ks in 81 IP. D1 rated him the 8th-best lefty in the CCBL after putting up a 1.36 WHIP for Yarmouth-Dennis this past summer.

RHP Jake Weisenburger, Michigan
Listed at 6’3” 220 lbs. FB up to 94 and developing SL and CU but has trouble locating them as evidenced by the 28 walks in 44 innings last year between the Wolverines and Sanford in the NECBL. But he did whiff 56. Again expected to work out of the bullpen for UM this spring.

OF Dominic Canzone, OSU
Listed at 6’1” 190 lbs. The lefty hitter went .323/.395/.447 for the Buckeyes in 2018 with 31 walks vs 29 whiffs. .276/.320/.345 with Brewster this past summer.  LF profile says at least one report so he’s gotta bring more power this spring..


AAC

LHP Mason Feole, UConn
Listed at 6’1” 194 lbs. Low 90s FB (can touch 94-95) coupled with an above average CB resulted in 120 Ks in 100 innings for the Huskies in 2018. Control problematic though with 49 walks. Also needs 3rd pitch. Pitched for Team USA this past summer (11 scoreless IP) and also tossed 2 starts for Wareham in the Cape, K’ing 10 and walking just 1 in 7 IP.

RHP Jacob Wallace, UConn
Listed at 6’1” 190 lbs. Has been used out of the Huskies’ bullpen his 1st two years and is scheduled to be their closer this spring. FB touching 96 and a plus SL has allowed him to rack up some incredible strikeout numbers--63 K in 43 innings last spring and 25 in 13.2 IP in the summer in the CCBL (didn’t allow a run and walked 5). Big spin on both pitches--up to 2600 on the former and 2700 on the latter. D1 ranked him as the 15th-best righty in the Cape.

OF Bryant Packard, East Carolina
Listed at 6’3” 200 lbs. The lefty hitter put up some big boy numbers for the Pirates last year at .406/.462/.671. Continued to hit in the Cape with a .305/.421/.576 line before departing for Team USA where he posted a .333 BA. Baseball America tabbed him as 17th-best prospect in the CCBL and D1 ranked him the 7th-best corner OF. A back issue has reportedly bothered him at times at ECU. Likely limited to LF.

1B Spencer Brickhouse, East Carolina
Listed at 6’4” 235 lbs. Another lefty hitter for the Pirates, something of an off year in 2018 (.298/.382/.502) compared to his freshman campaign (.310/.385/.513). 12% K rate for the Pirates last spring (vs a 11.8% BB rate) but did spike to a 25% K rate for Bourne in the Cape where he went just .247/.333/.373. BA still rated him the 38th-best prospect there and D1 12th among corner infielders. Limited to 1B so bat must carry. Engineering major.

LHP Jake Agnos, East Carolina
Listed at 5’11” 207 lbs. A swing man for ECU, he whiffed 86 in just 63.2 IP last year though he also walked 38. Made one start for Harwich in the CCBL when he K’d 10 and walked 2 in 6 scoreless innings before going off to pitch for Team USA and was superb there with 14 whiffs in 9.1 IP while allowing just 1 run on 1 walk and 5 hits. Reports say a FB up to 94, wipeout CB and average CU.

RHP Trey Benton, East Carolina
Listed at 6’4” 209 lbs. 68 Ks/13 BBs in 69 IP for ECU in 2018 but that control deserted him during the summer with Bourne as he yielded 10 walks in 22.1 IP while whiffing 19. FB can reach 94 at times and supposedly has 3 average secondary pitches.

3B Jared Triolo, U of H
Listed at 6’4” 215 lbs. The former Lake Travis HSer had a very nice soph season in 2018 as he went .344/.434/.457 for the Coogs. Also did a competent job in the Cape (.276/.364/.423) and D1 rated him 11th-best corner infielder there. Needs more of his raw power to show up in games. Reports on his defense at third seem positive so far.

3B Kody Hoese, Tulane
Listed at 6’4” 200 lbs. .291/.368/.435 for the Green Wave in 2018 and subsequently showed increased pop in the NECBL as he hit .283/.370/.493 over the summer with Newport. That increased power carried over to fall ball per at least one report. Considered a strong defender at 3B. 35th-rounder of the Royals in 2018 as a draft-eligible soph.

1B Joe Genord, South Florida
Listed at 6’2” 193 lbs. Breakout season (.306/.394/.633) for the Bulls last year after a mediocre first two years. A senior so probably more likely to be taken in rounds 6-10. Taken in the 19th round of the 2015 draft out of HS by the Dodgers but not taken in last year’s draft.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

174
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 10, 2019, 06:00:20 pm »
Free-agent left-hander Dallas Keuchel asked for a six- to seven-year contract worth $25MM to $30MM per annum at the beginning of the offseason, while fellow ex-Astros teammate and Scott Boras client Marwin Gonzalez sought a deal in the $60MM neighborhood, according to Buster Olney of ESPN.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/02/quick-hits-keuchel-marwin-padres-tribe-wilson-athletics.html


175
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 10, 2019, 01:20:01 am »
CUSA and Other Mid-Major Midwest Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

CUSA

OF/RHP Matt Wallner, Southern Miss
Listed at 6’5” 220 lbs. Projected 1st round pick heading into the spring who’s hit .343/.468/.637 over his first 2 seasons. Lefty hitter with arm for RF who currently patrols CF for the Golden Eagles. He’s also a force on the mound with a FB approaching 96. 32nd rounder of the Twins out of HS.

RHP Matt Canterino, Rice
Listed at 6’3” 220 lbs. The Southlake Carroll grad had a fantastic 2018 with 116 Ks vs 22 BBs in 94 IP (allowing just 65 hits) for the Owls before spending the summer with Falmouth in the Cape where he had 29 Ks/10 BBs in 24 innings and BA ranked him as the 20th-best prospect in the league. FB touching mid-90s and a plus CB reports indicate.

RHP Addison Ross, Rice
Listed at 6’1” 170 lbs. Conroe Oak Ridge HS kid who was reportedly 94-96 in the fall. Decent but not overwhelming results for the Owls in 2018 (53 Ks/16 BBs in 63 IP) and then on to the Cape where he was pummelled in a couple of starts.

3B Austin Shenton, Florida International
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. Drafted in the 34th round out of HS, he went the JUCO route in 2017 to try and improve his draft stock. When he failed to get picked after that initial season, decided to attend FIU for 2018. Hit .344/.417/.524 for the Panthers and then proceeded to tear up the CCBL in the summer with a .349/.450/.490 line and being named postseason MVP when he .522/.607/1.043 in 6 playoff games. BA ranked him 35th best prospect in the league while D1 tabbed him as the 4th best corner infield prospect. Reports don’t sound promising as to sticking at 3B long term.

RHP Mike Ruff, Florida Atlantic
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. A swing man for the Owls his first 2 years he moves into the weekend starting rotation this spring. Struck out 18 in 17.1 frames in the Cape this past summer. FB up to 95 with a full complement of other pitches (CB, SL, CU). Needs better command. Accounting major.

C Pedro Pages, Florida Atlantic
Listed at 6’1” 234 lbs. Hit .309/.368/.436 for the Owls in 2018 and .258/.319/.379 in the CCBL. Did miss about 18 games last year for FAU due to a wrist injury. Regarded as a strong defender. Born in Venezuela.


MAC

RHP Zach Kohn, Central Michigan
Listed at 6’4” 190 lbs. Can get up to 96 on the heater but normally sits in the 91-93 range. Has a CB that can be plus at times the reports say. Game results, though, have been a might unsatisfactory. He posted a 2.37 WHIP for the Chippewas in 2018 which included 27 walks in 23.2 IP. His talent still got him an invite to the Cape and the results over the summer were better with a 1.40 WHIP and “just” 19 walks in 32 innings. He did K 36. His control is said to have gotten better in fall workouts.

RHP John Matthews, Kent State
Listed at 6’0” 175 lbs. Position player to mound conversion as he was the Golden Flashes’ starting shortstop in 2017 as a freshman before transitioning to pitching in relief as a soph last year. Actually not so much a conversion as a re-conversion as he did pitch extensively in HS. 92-95 FB with a good CB. K’d 37 in 28 innings for KSU and allowed just 18 hits. Walks a bit high at 13. Really hit his stride this past summer in the Northwoods League with 53 Ks/12 BBs in 45 IP and dinged for just 28 hits.

RHP John Baker, Ball State
Listed at 6’3” 207 lbs. Doesn’t have the blazing FB (87-91) but still racks up the punchouts with a combo of good command and decent secondary pitches (CB, CU and cutter). 118 Ks vs 33 BBs in 95 IP for the Cardinals in 2018. His summer in the Cape with Cotuit yielded 31 strikeouts and just 2 walks in 37 innings.

RHP Drey Jameson, Ball State
Listed at 6’0” 165 lbs. The draft-eligible soph had a tremendous freshman debut for the Cardinals with 97 punchouts in 72 IP and ranking 19th in the country in K/9. FB up to 96 (94 said another report) with an above average CU and good-looking CB. Locating the plate is an issue with 44 walks.


MVC

OF John Rave, Illinois State
Listed at 6’0” 185 lbs. Lefty hitter who brings some pop, a bit o’ speed and a likelihood of staying in CF.  Went .347/.402/.571 for the Redbirds in 2018 and the followed that up with a nice .304/.392/.464 summer performance in the CCBL. Drafted in the 35th round by the Red Sox out of HS in 2016.

RHP Adam Lukas, Evansville
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. Touches mid 90s with a FB that often misses the mark. Walked 50 in 89 innings in 2018 combined between the Purple Aces and a summer spent in the Northwoods League. But he also struck out 104 and allowed just 65 hits. And his BB/9 did actually go down significantly from spring to summer [6.5 to 3.8] while his K rate went up (9.3 to 11.4).

C Drew Millas, Missouri State
Listed at 6’2” 205 lbs. Gets good marks for his work behind the plate. .321/.416/.500 for the Bears in 2018 and then moved on to the Cape where he hit an unremarkable .261/.327/.293. Switch-hitter.

RHP Ray Gaither, DBU
Listed at 6’3” 220 lbs. Was the Friday night starter for the Patriots as a freshman in 2017. Went down with injury after 2 appearances in 2018 and subsequently underwent TJS. If completely healthy, he’s going to be used out of the pen initially this spring.


HORIZON LEAGUE

OF Peyton Burdick, Wright State
Listed at 6’0” 210 lbs. He bashed at a .347/.437/.459 clip for the Raiders in 2018 followed by a credible .252/.351/.435 performance for Cotuit in the CCBL which created some prospect buzz. A RS junior (so a bit older for the college jr draft class) after having TJS and missing all of 2017. He’s rated as having above average arm strength so no lingering problems there and bodes well for possibly a RF slot as a pro.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

176
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 10, 2019, 12:13:18 am »
Probably won't make the roster this year, but an interesting BA article on Brandon Bielak who really doesn't get
much pub.

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/brandon-bielak-continues-to-impress/

I'm sure you're aware but he's been mentioned quite a bit in the Bus Ride particularly in the Top Prospects thread.

177
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2018 International Signing Period
« on: February 08, 2019, 11:25:41 pm »
Bonus amount inferred for the Miguel Padilla signing...

Update #7:

Miguel Palma, c, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /170 Age: 16
Tomas Ramirez, of, Dominican Republic--$250K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /172 Age: 16
Johangel Ramirez, rhp, Venezuela--$275K   B/T: R/R 6' 2" /193 Age: 16
Yohander Martinez, ss, Venezuela--$300K   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /175 Age: 16
Cristian Gonzalez, ss, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /180 Age: 16
Reimy Beltre, rhp, Dominican Republic -- $135K   B/T: R/R 6' 3" /170 Age: 17
Omar Diaz, of, Dominican Republic--$85K   B/T: L/L 6' 1" /180 Age: 16
Danny Subero, rhp, Venezuela--$200K   B/T: R/R 6' 4" /194 Age: 16
Ayendy Ortiz, ss, Dominican Republic--$240K   B/T: S/R 6' 1" /170 Age: 16
Carlos Calderon, rhp, Dominican Republic--$80K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /175 Age: 16
Daniel Pacheco, rhp, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 10" /160 Age: 16
Frank Perez, of, Cuba--$275K  B/T: R/R 6' 2" /180 Age: 16
Jairo Jose, of, Dominican Republic--$75K   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /160 Age: 16
Jesus Liranzo, of, Dominican Republic--$300K   B/T: R/R 6' 1" /185 Age: 16
Ricardo Balogh, ss, Dominican Republic -- $300K   B/T: S/R 6' 3" /175 Age: 16
Andres Monzon, cf, Venezuela   B/T: R/R 5' 11" /152 Age: 16
Antonio Placencia, rhp, Dominican Republic   B/T: R/R 6' 0" /170 Age: 19
Freddy Guilamo, c, Dominican Republic B/T: R/R 5'11" /160 Age: 17
Miguel Padilla, rhp, Venezuela -- $50K  B/T: R/R 6'2" /180 Age: 16


Total of 19 players signed to date with reported bonuses on 15 of those. As far as how much remains in the Astros' international pool:

Pool at beg. of year.................................................................$4,983,500
Less: Amt sent to LAA in Maldonado deal.............................  (250,000)
Less: Amt sent to MIA for 2 minor leaguers.........................   (500,000)
Amount available.....................................................................$4,233,500
Less: Total bonus already paid out to 15 players.................(3,165,000)
Less: Assumed bonus paid to 4 unreported players............     (95,900)
Amt available for future signings and/or trade......................$ 972,600


The $972,600 was what was reported today as the amount remaining in the Astros' international bonus pool. The previous amount reported back in October was $1,022,600. The reduction was $50K and since the only signing since then was Miguel Padilla then I'm going to assume for now that was the bonus paid out to him.

178
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 08, 2019, 08:55:25 pm »
If you want to see a bunch of the college guys from Texas play in one weekend go to the college classic at MMP this year.

Or you can watch all 9 games on ATT SportsNet (Mar. 1-3).

179
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 08, 2019, 02:34:27 pm »
ACC Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

LHP Graeme Stinson, Duke
Listed at 6’5” 250 lbs. Pretty much a consensus Top 10 pick heading into the spring.

LHP Adam Laskey, Duke
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. No plus pitches apparently and his first 2 seasons for the Blue Devils weren’t exactly amazing but he put things together this past summer in the CCBL and ended up being named the league’s outstanding pitcher. Giants’ 31st rounder in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Bryce Jarvis, Duke
Listed at 6’2” 185 lbs. Draft-eligible sophomore who used an outstanding CU en route to whiffing 67 in 47.2 IP in his freshman season last year while allowing just 23 hits and 22 walks. Son of ex-MLB pitcher Kevin who stuck for 12 years in the bigs.

SS Will Wilson, NC State
Listed at 6’0” 175 lbs. .307/.376/.588 as a soph in 2018 with 15 HRs (including 10 in ACC play). The Wolfpacker might have to shift to 2B in the pros say the experts.

RHP Dalton Feeney, NC State
Listed at 6’3” 224 lbs. The RS soph was up to 97 on FB as a freshman in 2017 before undergoing TJS and missing all of 2018. Will shoot up draft boards this spring if he shows he’s all the way back. Having grown up in Bismarck, ND and with only 21 innings of college work under his belt, may still be fairly raw. And with two years of college eligibility remaining after this season, signability may be an issue. Drafted out of HS in the 40th round in 2016 by the Tigers.

LHP Kent Klyman, NC State
Listed at 6’7” 235 lbs. K’d 67 in 61.2 IP last year working out of the pen. FB can get up to 93 at times, good SL and developing CU.

1B/OF Michael Busch, UNC
Listed at 6’0” 207 lbs. The lefty hitter has a terrific 2018 season for NC (.317/.465/.521 with 55 BBs vs 30 Ks) and in the Cape (.322/.450/.567). Luhnow likes his Tar Heels but might like this one more if he could play 2B or LF (which may be a possibility).

RHP Austin Bergner, UNC
Listed at 6’4” 195 lbs. He’s been inconsistent for the Heels but has been a stud the past 2 summers in the Cape with 56 Ks vs 18 BBs in 54 frames. Taken in last year’s draft as a draft eligible soph in the 32nd round and was taken in the 38th round in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Luca Dalatri, UNC
Listed at 6’6” 240 lbs. Missed nearly 2 months last spring with a stress reaction in his elbow (precursor to a stress fracture). 40th rounder in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Tyler Baum, UNC
Listed at 6’2” 175 lbs. Similar to Bergner, his performance for UNC has been up and down but his CCBL work in the summer has been outstanding with 53 whiffs vs 12 walks in 55 innings. Lotsa spin on the curveball.

C Brandon Martorano, UNC
Listed at 6’2” 160 lbs. .246/.375/.491 in 2018 for the Heels followed by a .241/.302/.431 summer in the Cape. 30th round pick out of HS in 2016. Reports from back then said he had the tools to stick behind the plate but also the athleticism to play other positions.

INF/OF Ashton McGee, UNC
Listed at 6’1” 200 lbs. Lefty hitter. Has some tools but the bat has cratered after a .327/.417/.484 freshman season. Just .257/.367/.366 in 2018 and a sickly combined .140/.246/.167 over 2 summers in the CCBL. Primarily a DH in 2017 before manning LF last year.

SS Ike Freeman, UNC
Listed at 5’10” 183 lbs. .305/.383/.377 for NC last spring followed by a .250/.329/.397 summer in the Cape.

1B Logan Wyatt, Louisville
Listed at 6’4” 230 lbs. Lefty hitter for the Cardinals. Great eye at plate with lotsa power. Huge step forward last season going .339/.490/.522 with a 21% walk rate vs a 12% K rate followed by a .305/.458/.438 line in the CCBL. Probably limited to 1B say the experts so the bat has to carry.

LHP Nick Bennett, Louisville
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. 133 Ks vs 40 BBs over 138 IP in his first two years with just 113 hits allowed. Mid to high 90s FB. No wood bat track record as he’s spent the last 2 summers either rehabbing or doing conditioning work. 40th round pick of the Giants out of HS.

RHP Bryan Hoeing, Louisville
Listed at 6’6” 225 lbs. Cape hitters tuned him up this past summer as he gave up 43 hits in 28 IP. Taken in the 36th round of last year’s draft as a RS sophomore and in the 32nd round in 2015 out of HS. Cousin is Angels’ pitcher Alex Meyer.

SS Tyler Fitzgerald, Louisville
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. Anemic but improving bat with an OPS of .575 as a freshman to .722 as a soph and .785 this past summer in the Cape. Excellent speed as represented by going 32 out of 33 in steals last year between spring and summer. Red Sox 30th rounder in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Michael McAvene, Louisville
Listed at 6’3” 207 lbs. Quality FB (up to mid-90s) and CB but has trouble locating. Because of those control problems, he’s only worked 39 innings since entering school (and that includes a summer in the CCBL) with 55 punchouts but 34 walks.

SS Logan Davidson, Clemson
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. Switch-hitter for the Tigers who folks say may be able to stick at SS at the next level. Wood bat struggles in the Cape (.570 OPS) are starkly different than his plate work with the Tigers (.907 OPS). 30th round pick of the Phillies in 2016 out of HS. Son of the former Astro outfielder Mark.

C Kyle Wilkie, Clemson
Listed at 5’11” 205 lbs. D1 had him ranked as the 7th-best catcher in the CCBL this summer and it’s doubtful his offense was a huge contributor to that ranking (he hit .226/.314/.226 for Hyannis). He did have a very nice season at the plate for the Tigers in 2018 hitting .324/.422/.440 and finishing the year on a 39-game on-base streak and a 29-game hitting streak (4th longest in Clemson history).

3B Drew Mendoza, FSU
Listed at 6’5” 225 lbs. Lefty hitter who’s success for the Noles (.296/.424/.508) hasn’t translated to the CCBL (.199/.291/.278). One of the older juniors in the college draft class. 36th round pick of the Tigers out of HS. Statistics major.

LHP Drew Parrish, FSU
Listed at 5’11” 200 lbs. Friday night starter for the Noles. Up to low 90s FB, CB with lotsa spin and a nice CU. 128 Ks/37 BBs in 107 innings with just 71 hits allowed as a soph in 2018. Pitched for Team USA this past summer.

RHP Evan McKendry, Miami
Listed at 6’3” 200 lbs. 114 Ks vs 33 BBs in 87 innings for the Canes in 2018. Didn’t pitch during the summer (or in fall workouts) after undergoing hip surgery. Projected Friday starter.

RHP Greg Veliz, Miami
Listed at 6’2” 200 lbs. The projected Sunday starter for the Canes this spring had a superb freshman season in 2017 (just 36 hits allowed in 61 IP with 66 Ks) but was limited to only 17 innings last year due to injury. He did however throw another 21 innings in the Cape over the summer and was outstanding with 32 Ks vs 8 BBs. In their summer wood bat league rankings, BA had him ranked as the 41st-best overall prospect in the CCBL while D1 had him as the 16th-best pitcher. FB up to 96 and a possible plus SL with an above avg CU say the scouting reports.

SS Tanner Morris, Virginia
Listed at 6’2” 190 lbs. Lefty hitter. Draft-eligible soph who had a slick season for the Cavaliers in 2018 as a freshman (.298/.397/.374, 31 BBs vs 29 Ks) and even slicker summer in the Cape (.331/.404/.449). BA had him as the 30th-best prospect in the CCBL while D1 had him as the 12th-best SS. Some disagreement as to whether he sticks at SS in the pros. Experts believe the power will come.

OF Cam Simmons, Virginia
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. The RS junior put up huge numbers as a soph in 2017 for the Cavs (.352/.432/.563) although his subsequent summer in the Cape was disappointing (.200/.310/.290). A left shoulder injury caused him to miss all of 2018. Despite that, the Rangers still drafted him in the 15th round.

RHP Noah Murdock, Virginia
Listed at a skinny 6’8” 175 lbs. Shut down on May 17 of his freshman year and subsequently had TJS. Returned in time last year to throw 13 innings. Ready for a full season and currently throwing low 90s. Drafted in the 38th round in 2016 out of HS.

OF Chase Murray, Georgia Tech
Listed at 6’0” 189 lbs. Lefty hitter. After a broken hand limited his effectiveness as a freshman, broke out last year to the tune of .343/.410/.510 followed by a .317/.363/.446 summer in the Cape. Game action has seen him in LF and DH but has seen time in practice at CF and 2B.

HP Connor Thomas, Georgia Tech
Listed at 5’11” 175 lbs. The repertoire ain’t overwhelming but the results were impressive: 106 whiffs and just 10 walks in 97 frames for the Yellow Jackets last year.

RHP Xzavion Curry, Georgia Tech
Listed at 5’10” 183 lbs. A 2-way player prior to college and one of many future college/professional stars produced by the East Cobb program in suburban Atlanta. FB touching mid-90s, effective CU and inconsistent but promising CB produced 101 Ks vs 23 BBs in 93 IP last year for GT. One of the younger players in the college draft class.

RHP Tristin English, Georgia Tech
Listed at 6’3” 214 lbs. Final member of the Yellow Jackets weekend pitching troika. With professional teams more open to the idea of 2-way players, he might be best of that kind in D1 baseball. Hit .279/.324/.442 for GT in 2018 and was named first team All-ACC as a utility player. That was followed by a .300/.366/.510 season in the Cape. On the mound, in his first season back after missing 2017 with TJS he punched out 51 and walked 13 in 57 IP and then threw 12 effective innings in the summer. 39th rounder in 2015 out of HS but not drafted last June as a RS sophomore.

C Kyle McCann, Georgia Tech
Listed at 6’2” 217 lbs. Moves behind plate to replace second overall pick Joey Bart after playing most of his first two seasons at 1B. Strong arm but obviously needs to develop other aspects of his game back there. The lefty hitter went .300/.423/.600 last year for the Yellow Jackets but wasn’t near as good in CCBL play (.219/.309/.344). Another East Cobb product.

RHP Colin Peluse, Wake Forest
Listed at 6’3” 230 lbs. Sinking FB that can reach 94 and an effective SL. CU is still being worked on but reports from the fall said it was improving. K’d 63 in 84 IP for the Demon Deacons in 2018 while posting a 1.20 WHIP. He made a couple of appearances on Cape Cod over the summer, punching out 10 in 7 innings and allowing 4 walks and 3 hits.

RHP Morgan McSweeney, Wake Forest
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. McSweeney is considered to have better stuff than Peluse with a FB that was 91-95 in the fall along with a wipeout slider and quality changeup. He has walked 57 in 109 IP over his first 2 seasons as a Deacon.

OF DJ Poteet, Wake Forest
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. A shortstop in HS who has transitioned to the outfield grass and was the starting CF for the Demon Deacons as a freshman in 2018. The switch-hitter and draft-eligible soph definitely has the defensive chops and based on fall reports looks ready to dramatically improve on his .255/.385/.462 numbers from last season.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles


180
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ex-Bus Rider News 2019
« on: February 08, 2019, 11:52:59 am »
Pitcher Adam Bleday, released by the Astros last year, gets brought in to the Orioles organization by Mike Elias as the development coach at Hi-A Frederick.

181
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 07, 2019, 11:54:35 am »
Mid-Major Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

BIG EAST

RHP Ricky Devito, Seton Hall
Listed at 6’3” 185 lbs. Reportedly has a sinker that gets up to 94 (or 96 depending on the reports). CB and CU are both seen as quality pitches. 87 Ks/30 BBs in his first 2 years for the Pirates with just 48 hits allowed. Opened some eyes with a very good summer in the CCBL (35 whiffs in 29 IP) and was named by BA as the 16th best prospect there and by D1 as the 7th best righty in the league. The Staten Island native is one of the younger players in the college draft class.

OF Will Robertson, Creighton
Listed at 6’2” 215 lbs. Considered a possible 1st or 2nd round pick heading into the spring after a standout 2018 campaign where he hit .333/412/.641 for the Omaha school and then .300/.385/.435 in the Cape. Lefty swinger for the Bluejays may be limited to left says MLBP and BA.

2B Isaac Collins, Creighton
Listed at 5’10” 185 lbs. Supposed 70-grade speed but that hasn’t necessarily been fully realized on the basepaths. Hit .266/.381/.392 for the Bluejays in 2018 followed by a better .308/.381/.367 summer with Wareham in the CCBL. Presumably gets more respect on draft boards if the power decides to make an appearance this spring. The speed seems a bit wasted at 2B so also curious to see if the evaluators think a move to CF might occur as a pro. D1 rated him the 15th-best middle infielder in the Cape. Switch-hitter.

LHP Jeff Belge, St John's
Listed at 6’5” 225 lbs. FB can reach 94-95. Allegedly developed an improved CB in the fall. Control also an area of intense focus as he walked 59 in 102 innings last year between SJU and Chatham in the Cape (he whiffed 125 however). 32nd round selection of the Red Sox in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Gavin Hollowell, St John’s
Listed at 6’7” 215 lbs. Upper 90s FB. Used exclusively as a reliever (and will continue to do so this spring), he’s punched out 71 in 65 IP over his 1st two seasons while surrendering just 37 hits and walking 24. Roughed up somewhat this summer in the CCBL with a 1.77 WHIP in 19.2 innings. Missed fall workouts with a bone spur in his elbow.

RHP Sean Mooney, St John’s
Listed at 6’1” 185 lbs. The Friday starter for the Red Storm has been dominant in his 1st two seasons, being named both the Big East POTY and Freshman POTY in 2017 and was one of five finalists for national POTY in 2018 when he punched out 104 in 95 IP en route to a 1.07 WHIP. NJ native is a finesse guy relying on a 4-pitch arsenal (fastball-cutter-change-breaking ball). His FB ain’t so fast (87-90, occasionally hitting 92-93) but relies more on a high spin rate.

RHP Nick Morreale, Georgetown
Listed at 6’5” 220 lbs. Primarily used out of the bullpen the last two seasons. Struck out 59 in 48 IP for the Hoyas in 2018 but also walked 39. Moved on to Bourne in the Cape and notched 33 Ks in 22 innings (11 walks). FB up to 94 and inconsistent but promising CB and CU.

LHP Brent Killam, Georgetown
Listed at 5’11” 180 lbs. Impressive development by the southpaw who did not pitch in HS and was converted from the outfield to the mound as a freshman with the Hoyas. Understandably, he wasn’t used  much out of the bullpen that year but there was a hint of things to come when he pitched in the Northwoods League as a closer that summer and K’d 42 in 24 IP with just 2 free passes allowed and racking up 9 saves. Moving into the rotation as a soph in 2018, he put up an outstanding 97/26 Ks to BBs in 82 frames (breaking the season strikeout record for Georgetown in the process) and followed that with a decent performance in the CCBL where he was used in relief to limit innings considering the massive expansion of his workload relative to 2017. FB is in the 89-92 range. His SL and CU have varying degrees of effectiveness with the former more advanced than the latter. An under the radar guy to keep an eye on this spring.

RHP Conor Grammes, Xavier
Listed at 6’1” 200 lbs. In addition to being the Musketeers’ 3B, was also used out of the bullpen for the Musketeers his first 2 seasons. He hit .330/.375/.517 in 2018 for the Cincy school (and .253/.302/.502 with 7 HRs in just 24 games in the Cape) and will again be a 2-way player this spring. His future however apparently lies on the mound and no wonder given a FB touching 99. Control and developing secondary pitches still on the agenda. 35th-rounder in 2018 as draft-eligible soph. 2-time state champion wrestler in HS.

RHP Ryan Pepiot, Butler
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. Rang up 101 Ks in just 75 innings in 2018 for the Bulldogs and followed that with a splash in the CCBL with another 33 Ks in 22 IP. Low 90s FB with above avg CB. This fall his fastball spin rate ranged from 2300-2500 rpm while his CB registered at 2800 rpm.


AMERICA EAST

OF Ashton Bardzell, Hartford
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. His 2018 junior season in Bagwell’s old stomping grounds was a quite respectable .308/.412/.532 though that was down from a .343/.457/.619 soph campaign. His recent .316/.415/.491 summer with Bourne in the Cape has brought him some scouting notice. One report described him as “a bit raw” but also athletic with above average power and the arm strength to play all 3 spots in the outfield. More likely a round 6-10 pick as a senior sign.


PATRIOT LEAGUE

RHP Levi Stoudt, Lehigh
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. FB occasionally touching 96, quality CU and a slider that still needs some work. 67 Ks in 65 IP for the Mountain Hawks in 2018 followed by a summer in Orleans where he struggled some in CCBL play but also whiffed 26 in 25 innings.


IVY LEAGUE

RHP Hunter Bigge, Harvard
Listed at 6’0” 205 lbs. A 2-way player for the Crimson as he plays 3B when not on the mound. He’ll move into the starting rotation this year after mostly pitching out of the pen his first 2 years. Sat 90-93 with the FB and touched 94 in the Northwoods League this past summer. K’d 52 and walked 18 in 51 innings while there and his slider was noted for being one of the best breaking balls in the circuit.


COLONIAL ATHLETIC

RHP George Kirby, Elon
Listed at 6’4” 201 lbs. FB sitting 94-96 and touching 97. CU his 2nd best pitch while breaking balls need work. Breakout season for the Phoenix in 2018 with 96 Ks in 90 IP. He was superb in the Cape with 24 punchouts and just 1 walk in 13 innings. 32nd rounder in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Kyle Brnovich, Elon
Listed at 6’2” 190 lbs. Another terrific pitcher for the Phoenix, was 4th in the nation in Ks in 2018 with 147  in 105 IP. Above average CU and can whip out “The Alien” which is considered one of the best sliders in the country. FB sits low 90s. Tossed 5 scoreless innings in the CCBL, allowing no hits and walking 2 while whiffing 6. Time there was short as he was also pitching for Team USA.

SS Greg Jones, UNCW
Listed at 6’2” 190 lbs. Draft-eligible soph who hit .278/.412/.370 as a freshman for the Seahawks in 2018. His summer in Chatham in the CCBL was solid if unspectacular (.259/.374/.353). 80-grade speed as demonstrated by going 36 for 43 in steals between Wilmington and the Cape (including a 20-3 mark with Chatham in just 37 games). Has added 3 inches and 20 lbs since HS so power may show shortly. May shift to CF in the pros. 17th rounder of the Orioles in 2017 out of HS. Switch-hitter.

LHP Sean Mellen, Northeastern
Listed at 6’5” 190 lbs. Low 90s FB, plus change. 81 Ks in 79 IP last year and just 49 hits allowed but walks high with 37.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1baseball.com’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

182
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 06, 2019, 11:18:18 pm »
And Keith Law with his preseason Top 100 rankings:

4. Whitley
17. Tucker
48. Martin
67. JBB
70. James

Notes on Law's rankings:
*Yordan Alvarez didn't even make his "near miss" list.

Given he put 5 of their guys in his Top 100 list, it's a bit odd that Law chose to put the Astros at #12 in his recent rankings of farm systems. They were #13 on his list last year.

Padres, Rays, Braves and Twins were 1-4 in his rankings.

Angels were at #7, Rangers at #20, Mariners at #22 and the A's at #27.

Yankees were at #19 and Red Sox at #24.

183
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 06, 2019, 05:50:41 pm »
Gerrit Cole's hearing is scheduled for next Monday.

184
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 06, 2019, 08:36:15 am »
Mid-Major Southeast Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

BIG SOUTH

RHP Seth Johnson, Campbell
Listed at 6’1” 200 lbs. A popup dude with little actual mound experience. He played at JUCO for his first two years where he mostly played the infield for Louisburg College. Did not get on the mound his freshman year and made just 5 appearances as a soph. Transferring to Campbell, in the fall he was throwing 92-95 with a pair of average breaking balls and was learning a change.

OF Matthew Barefoot, Campbell
Listed at 6’0” 205 lbs. Tore up the Big South in 2018 with a .364/.484/.585 line and was 6th in the nation in HBPs and was also 10th nationally in steals with 33 (caught just 5 times). To show his soph season for the Camels was no fluke (or beating up on subpar pitching), he then went on to wow folks in the Cape with a .379/.484/.521 line and was ranked by BA as the 47th-best prospect there. One evaluator suggested he might be limited to left due to the arm but I wonder given his speed if he has any chance of playing a halfway-decent CF. Given the Buies Creek Astros shared the Camels’ facilities and stadium the past two years, I’m guessing the Astros might have a lot more data and info on Barefoot than most other clubs. Not that it made any difference in 2018--as a RS soph he was eligible to be drafted.

RHP Zach Peek, Winthrop
Listed at 6’3” 185 lbs. His repertoire includes a FB sitting 91-95 and has touched 96. Reports say his CB had one of the highest spin rates for a soph in 2018. His CU is at least considered average. 99 Ks/24 BBs for the Eagles in 2018 in 89 innings. A bit rougher time in the CCBL with a 1.58 WHIP though he did have 27 punchouts in 26 IP.


SUN BELT

RHP Hunter Gaddis, Georgia State
Listed at 6’6” 212 lbs. FB up to 95 and both his breaking balls seem to be effective. Reports are his CU was really coming on in the fall giving him a more than decent 4 pitch arsenal. 29th-ranked prospect in the Cape by Baseball America. 98 Ks/24 BBs in 101 innings for the Panthers in 2018 followed by a summer with Chatham where he allowed just 11 hits and 4 walks in 18 IP while punching out 13.

LHP Anthony Veneziano, Coastal Carolina
Listed at 6’5” 205 lbs. The NJ kid looks to be the Chanticleers Saturday starter this spring. The stuff is there (a FB that can touch 95, a legit slider) but the control isn’t: 36 walks in 59 innings for the Chants in 2018 and another 8 in 14.2 IP for Cotuit in the CCBL.

1B Zach Biermann, Coastal Carolina
Listed at 6’3” 225 lbs. Two years at JUCO followed by his junior season with CC in 2018 in which he hit .302/.419/.561 followed by a .291/.359/.496 summer with Cotuit. Lefty hitter and as a senior probably is more likely to go in rounds 6-10. Missed fall workouts after breaking his hand on a HBP in the Cape.

2B Cory Wood, Coastal Carolina
Listed at 5’9” 180 lbs. The Chants’ leadoff hitter produced a .296/.435/.390 season in 2018 with a whopping 52 walks vs just 23 whiffs in 223 ABs. His summer with Cotuit wasn’t as good but he still had more walks than whiffs (27 vs 23). Could shoot up draft boards if he adds some pop this spring. Lefty hitter.

OF Todd Lott, ULL
Listed at 6’4” 235 lbs. 20th round pick of the Reds as a HSer in 2016 (would have gone higher but for a shoulder injury). Hasn’t really shown the promise he had coming out of high school with the Ragin’ Cajuns. A .266/.345/.344 freshman year was followed by a .246/.319/.462 soph year in 2018 in which he only played in 27 games. His wood bat summers have shown much more promise including most recently a .293/.333/.469 performance with Hyannis in the CCBL. Probably is limited to LF so the bat concerns ratchet up even more. Ex-NFL great Ronnie Lott is a cousin.

LHP Chandler Fidel, Arkansas-Little Rock
Listed at 6’5” 225 lbs. FB velocity nothing to write home about (tops out at 89) but does have a high spin rate slider. 92 Ks/21 BBs in 96 IP for the Trojans in 2018 before moving on to Yarmouth-Dennis in the Cape and punching out 27 in 18 innings there.


ATLANTIC SUN

LHP Mitchell Senger, Stetson
Listed at 6’7” 240 lbs. But no power arm here--he relies more on deception with a FB is in the upper 80s to low 90s. Dominated for the Hatters in 2018 (114 Ks in 93 IP against 28 walks and allowing just 66 hits) before spending the summer with Team USA and the Orleans Firebirds in the Cape. His CCBL experience wasn’t smooth but still rated a 36th-best prospect ranking by BA. Stetson alums include Corey Kluber and Jacob deGrom and the Hatters had 4 pitchers drafted last year including 1st rounder Logan Gilbert.

OF Tanner Murphy, North Florida
Listed at 6’4” 195 lbs. Pretty much led UNF in every offensive category in 2018 while batting .326/.418/.534. That slugging percentage led the ASUN. With the power comes 70-grade speed that he uses to patrol CF for the Ospreys.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1 Baseball’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

185
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: February 06, 2019, 07:58:01 am »
I have FUBO.TV now. They do not, as of yet, have Attsportsnet on their line-up.

Feb. 11, said that PR.

186
Talk Zone / Re: Changes to the game coming this year??
« on: February 05, 2019, 10:13:16 pm »
Other proposals from the owner's side:

--Reduce mound visits to 4 in 2019 (already on the table was a reduction to 5 visits this season)
--Further reduce mound visits to 3 in 2020
--Increase roster size to 26 beginning in 2020
--Lower Sept roster size to 28 from the current 40 (again for 2020)
--Raise required days on DL (presumably back to the old 15 days)
--Increase minimum days to be spent in the minors when optioned from 10 to 15

187
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 05, 2019, 07:51:48 pm »
Just updating...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM  Actual: $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM  Actual: $5.8MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM    Actual: $5MM
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.2MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.1MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   Actual: $2.2MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM   Actual: $1.525MM

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2019 agreed salary (or exchanged figures)

188
Talk Zone / Re: Arbitrations
« on: February 05, 2019, 07:37:26 pm »
They both have apparently been signed. I haven't seen that talked about. I could be wrong.

From that thread you were pointed to:

Correa won his case.

Devo agreement:

https://twitter.com/MarkBermanFox26/status/1092246014961037312?s=19

189
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 05, 2019, 02:37:51 pm »
(Updated)

Astros' arb cases under Luhnow/Crane:

2012 (0)
2013 (0)
2014 (0)
2015 (0)
2016 (1)
  -Castro (5MM vs 5.25MM)  Astros Won
2017 (1)
  -McHugh (3.35MM vs 3.85MM)  Astros Lost
2018 (2)
  -McHugh (4.55MM vs 5MM) Astros Lost
  -Giles (4.2MM vs 4.6MM)  Astros Lost
2019
  -Correa ($5MM vs $4.25MM) Astros Lost

Not a particularly winning strategy for the Astros thus far with net losses of $1.85MM (not taking into account any ancillary expenses).

190
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 05, 2019, 12:50:06 pm »
Mid-Major West Coast Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

BIG WEST

SS Christian Koss, UCI
Listed at 6’2” 185 lbs. Big defense, sucky offense with little hint of pop. Named 23rd-best prospect in the CCBL by BA despite hitting just .263/.323/.333. That came after a soph season for the Anteaters where he put up a .287/.343/.379 line.

RHP Andre Pallante, UCI
Listed at 6’0” 203 lbs. Terrific 2018 with 115 Ks vs 30 BBs in 101 innings for the Anteaters followed by a short but strong performance in the CCBL (15 IP, 9 H, 5 BB, 15 K). He also pitched in the summer for Team USA where the scouting report said his FB sat 91-94 (reaching 95 once) with a better CB than SL. The evaluator also noted the FB was particularly effective up in the zone though Pallante didn’t throw it there often.

3B Brandon Lewis, UCI
Listed at 6’3” 215 lbs. JUCO transfer who led the California Collegiate League in both BA and HRs while posting a low 12.3% K rate. He ended up being named MVP of the league while Baseball America rated him 6th-best CCL prospect. Has a chance to stick at third.

SS Sahid Valenzuela, CSF
Listed at 5’9” 165 lbs. Some reports say he’ll have to move to 2B in the pros. 2018 was not particularly kind at the plate for Sahid. He dropped to .272/.313/.358 for the Titans (down from .314/.366/.378 as a freshman) prior to a CCBL season where he hit .286/.342/.410. Evidently that was good enough for D1baseball.com to name him 14th-best middle infielder in the Cape.

OF Tommy Jew, UCSB
Listed at 6’1” 185 lbs. Good reviews on his CF defense. Leadoff hitter with much more speed than pop at present. .313/.387/.456 for the Gauchos last year followed by a .245/.315/.357 summer in the CCBL. He did hit .328/.394/.578 in the NECBL the summer before so he does have at least some wood bat success (albeit at a lower level of competition).


WEST COAST CONFERENCE

LHP Chris Murphy, USD
Listed at 6’1” 175 lbs. Walks have been a problem in his first 2 years for the Toreros with 72 in 150 innings. But there were 180 Ks over that span. BBs continued in Cape Cod this summer with 18 in 23 IP but the 34 punchouts reflect the FB touching 95 when he pitches out of the pen (sits in low 90s as a starter). Both his CB and CU have shown potential at times. D1baseball.com ranked him the 4th-best southpaw in the Cape at the end of the summer.

LHP Ken Waldichuk, St. Mary's
Listed at 6’4 230 lbs. 118 whiffs vs 21 walks in 92 IP for the Gaels in 2018. Moved on to the CCBL for the summer and did a fairly credible job there (20 Ks/7 BBs/18 hits/18.1 IP).

RHP Riley Ornido, San Francisco
Listed at 6’4” 185 lbs. Seldom-used as a freshman, he burst out in 2018 with 95 Ks vs 32 BBs in 98 innings with only 63 hits allowed (including just 2 longballs). Followed that up with a short but quality stint in the CCBL with 15 whiffs to 3 walks in 12 IP while being dinged for just 8 hits.  Up to 93 on the FB. One of the younger players in the college draft class.

RHP Alek Jacob, Gonzaga
Listed at 6’1” 175 lbs. Yes, he’s a sidearmer. No, he doesn’t throw hard (or at least he didn’t coming out of HS 2 years ago). Probably not a recipe for great success at the next level but...he had a helluva impressive freshman debut for the Zags in 2018 with 95 Ks in 103 innings with a WHIP of 0.99. And apparently he’s a draft-eligible soph. So it’ll be an interesting spring to see how he follows up that freshman campaign.

RHP Casey Legumina, Gonzaga
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. Moved from a starter role into the bullpen in 2018 as the Zags’ closer and was immediately successful as he led the West Coast Conference in saves and notched 52 punchouts in 48 IP with just 7 walks. He also made a pair of starts in the CCBL over the summer, allowing no ER in 9 frames w/9 Ks and just 1 BB. FB touching 95 and a decent slider. Drafted in the 25th round in 2016 out of HS and in the 35th round last year as a draft eligible soph. Any further spike in velo this spring might push him up into Day 2 territory. Dad was a minor league pitcher in the Dodgers and Tigers orgs back in the 80’s.


MOUNTAIN WEST

SS Bryson Stott, UNLV
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. A likely 1st round pick say the experts who also believe he’ll probably stick at short in the pros. Hit .365/.442/.556 for the Rebels in 2018 with a walk rate of 10.9% and a K rate of just 6.1%. Played for Team USA in the summer after a brief stint in the CCBL (.275/.383/.325) where he didn’t impress anybody with his lack of pop.


WAC

OF Quin Cotton, Grand Canyon
Listed at 5’11” 200 lbs. His numbers out west in 2018 were predictably bubbly (.390/.462/.573) and fell back to earth when he headed east to spend the summer in the Cape (.286/.344/.367). D1baseball.com did however rate him the 11th-best corner outfielder in the CCBL. Folks say he doesn’t have the arm for right so putting even more pressure on him to produce offensively. Rockies drafted him in the 38th round in 2016 out of HS.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1 Baseball’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

191
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: February 05, 2019, 12:00:12 pm »

192
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Offseason Transactions 2018-2019
« on: February 04, 2019, 08:39:53 pm »
Brock Dykxhoorn was released so he could sign with the SK Wyverns of the KBO.

How the Canadian became a Wyvern.

193
Talk Zone / Re: Bryce Harper
« on: February 04, 2019, 02:44:12 pm »
I have no idea what category this particular wench wretch falls under, because I'm not familiar with her his work at all, but good journalists of all kinds should be celebrated, because they are few and far between these days.

"Ink stained wretch" may have been a pejorative once upon a time for a newspaper writer (although there are claims a newspaper writer may himself have coined the phrase) but these days is simply used in an ironic fashion.

Ink Stained Wenches I believe was a Russ Meyer film.

194
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Cubans in the System
« on: February 04, 2019, 02:26:11 pm »
Top amateur Sanchez eligible to sign Tuesday

Cuban shortstop Yolbert Sanchez will officially be eligible to sign a contract with a Major League club starting Tuesday, but it's unclear if he will sign with a team during the current international signing period that ends June 15 or wait until the next signing period that starts July 2. It's worth noting that Rangers general manager Jon Daniels and Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow both scouted Sanchez in person in the Dominican Republic recently. The Astros, who cannot sign an international prospect for more than $300,000 until the next period, could be players in the Sanchez market along with the Mets and White Sox if the infielder decides to wait.

195
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 04, 2019, 01:46:43 pm »
OTHER JUCO & HS Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

SS Bobby Witt, Jr., Colleyville Heritage HS
Listed at 6’1” 183 lbs. Sooners commit. Son of the former Rangers pitcher. Considered a Top 10 pick going into the spring.

3B Chandler Freeman, Colleyville Heritage HS
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. DBU commit.

RHP Blake Mayfield, Flower Mound Marcus HS
Listed at 6’2” 175 lbs. Aggie commit.

RHP Jack Leiter, Delbarton HS (NJ)
Listed at 6’0” 195 lbs. FB in the 91-94 range with a CB in the 2500-2600 rpm spin range. Yeah, another of the Leiter clan (papa Al, uncle Mark and cousin Mark).

RHP Brennan Malone, IMG Academy (FL)
Listed at 6’5” 210 lbs. UNC commit. Projected Top 10 pick heading into the spring.

3B Rece Hinds, IMG Academy (FL)
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. LSU commit.

3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL)
Listed at 6’2” 205 lbs. Florida commit.

OF Hylan Hall, TNXL Academy (FL)
Listed at 6’2” 190 lbs. U of Miami commit.

RHP Carter Stewart, East Florida State JC (FL)
Listed at 6’6” 200 lbs. Atlanta’s version of Brady Aiken. 8th overall pick of 2018 draft but the Braves didn’t sign him after finding a wrist problem during his physical. Rather than enrolling at Miss State (his original choice) he decided to go the juco route. FB touching 97-98 and silly CB spin rate in the 3000 range.

SS Ivan Johnson, Chipola JC (FL)
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. South Carolina commit. Switch-hitter.

RHP Thomas Farr, NW Florida State JC (FL)
Listed at 6’1” 175 lbs. Hit 97 in the fall. South Carolina commit.

RHP Conor Angel, NW Florida State (FL)
Listed at 6’4” 170 lbs. ULL commit. Canadian HSer prior to JUCO.

OF Jake Randa, NW Florida State (FL)
Listed at 6’0’ 185 lbs. Lefty hitter. Miss State commit. Dad is ex-big leaguer Joe.

RHP Chad Bryant, Pensacola State JC (FL)
Listed at 6’0” 210 lbs. Hit 96 in the fall. 36th round pick of the A’s in 2018. Bama commit.

RHP Hunter Perdue, State College (FL)
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. FSU commit.

RHP Haden Erbe, Seminole State (FL)
Listed at 6’3” 200 lbs. WVU commit.

RHP Orlando Ribalta, Miami-Dade CC (FL)
Listed at 6’6 210 lbs.

LHP Hunter Milam, Gulf Coast State (FL)
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. 22nd round pick of the Angels in 2018.

LHP Spencer Bodanza, Hillsborough (FL)
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. U of Miami commit.

RHP Donovan Benoit, Santa Fe (FL)
Listed at 6’3” 194 lbs. Tulane commit.

OF/RHP Jarrod Cande, Santa Fe (FL)
Listed at 6’1” 205 lbs. Florida Southern commit.

OF Emanuel Dean, Anaheim (CA)
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. UCLA commit.

OF Glenallen Hill, Jr., Santa Cruz (CA)
Listed at 5’9” 175 lbs. Arizona State commit. Son of the ex-MLB outfielder. Switch-hitter.

SS Kyren Paris, Oakley Freedom HS (CA)
Listed at 5’11” 167 lbs. Cal commit. One of the youngest players in the HS draft class.

SS Matthew Lugo, Carlos Beltran BB Academy (PR)
Listed at 6’0” 185 lbs. Defense purportedly is solid, reviews on the bat are mixed. U of Miami commit. Not only did he attend his academy but also is Beltran’s nephew.

OF Erik Rivera, Puerto Rico BB Academy (PR)
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. Florida Int’l commit. Lefty hitter.

SS Dilan Rosario, Leadership Christian Academy (PR)
Listed at 5’11” 178 lbs. USC commit.

SS Yan Contreras, Puerto Rico BB Academy (PR)
Listed at 6’1” 178 lbs. PG says he’s committed to San Jac.

RHP Bryce Osmond, Jenks HS (OK)
Listed at 6’3” 180 lbs. FB up to 94. Okla. State commit. Also has some potential as position player.

RHP Kale Davis, OKC Westmoore HS (OK)
Listed at 6’4” 210 lbs. Okla. State commit. One of the older players in the HS draft class.

3B Cade Doughty, Denham Springs HS (LA)
Listed at 6’1” 195 lbs. LSU commit.

RHP Andrew McDaniel, Lafayette St. Thomas More HS (LA)
Listed at 6’2” 170 lbs. Ole Miss commit.

RHP Antoine Harris, Chalmette HS (LA)
Listed at 6’4” 170 lbs. UNO commit.

RHP Jason Rackers, Jefferson JC (MO)
Listed at 6’7” 245 lbs. Vols commit.

RHP Andrew Peters, John Logan CC (IL)
Listed at 6’2” 185 lbs. South Carolina commit.

RHP Johnny Ray, John Logan CC (IL)
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. TCU commit.

OF Manny Gonzalez, Wabash Valley CC (IL)
Listed at 6’3” 180 lbs. PR native.

LHP Antoine Kelly, Wabash Valley CC (IL)
Listed at 6’5” 175 lbs. 13th rounder in 2018 by the Padres.

1B/OF Jason Hodges, Chicago Marist HS (IL)
Listed at 6’3” 210 lbs. Arkansas commit. LF or 1B type apparently so bat needs to carry.

LHP Chris Villaman, Thomasville Ledford HS (NC)
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. NC State commit.

SS Jamari Baylor, Benedictine College Prep (VA)
Listed at 5’11” 193 lbs. Louisburg JC commit.

OF Andre Tarver, Ringgold HS (GA)
Listed at 6’2” 210 lbs. Lefty hitter. Miss. State commit.

SS Jaden Brown, St. Marcellinus HS (ONT)
Listed at 6’1” 180 lbs. Kentucky commit. One of the youngest players in HS draft class.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1 Baseball’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles

196
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 04, 2019, 01:10:24 pm »
What happened to file and trial? Does club option count as multi-year?

Apparently.

197
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ex-Bus Rider News 17-18
« on: February 03, 2019, 09:43:46 pm »
Add Austin Wates to Ben Orloff and Kirk Saarloos on the list of ex-Bus Riders who are now assistants at D1 baseball programs. The former 3rd round pick (2010) was recently named to the coaching staff at Kansas State. Spent parts of 5 years in the system before going to the Marlins in the Marisnick trade.

With the retirement of legendary coach Mike Gillespie, Orloff has moved up and is now the HC for UC Irvine.

198
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 03, 2019, 09:07:07 pm »
Further reporting says the club option for Devo for 2020 is for $2.625MM with escalator clauses that bumps up that 2020 salary depending on # of games pitched in 2019...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM  Actual: $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM  Actual: $5.8MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($5MM vs $4.25MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.2MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.1MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   Actual: $2.2MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM   Actual: $1.525MM

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2019 agreed salary (or exchanged figures)


[Settlement 1st noted by moriartp over in the payroll thread]

199
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 03, 2019, 01:44:16 pm »
CENTEX/HOUSTON AREA JUCO & HS Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

RHP Matthew Thompson, Cy Ranch HS
Listed at 6’3” 184 lbs. Aggie commit. FB most recently reported at 91-93. Excellent SL and promising CU.

RHP JJ Goss, Cy Ranch HS
Listed at 6’2” 172 lbs. Aggie commit. FB they say has touched mid 90s and (like Thompson) has a promising SL and CU.

SS/OF/RHP Trey Faltine, Fort Bend Travis HS
Listed at 6’3” 185 lbs. Longhorn commit. Likely a future position player but his moundwork is also intriguing.

RHP/3B Andre Duplantier, Houston Summer Creek HS
Listed at 6’2” 195 lbs. Longhorn commit. Former Rice pitcher/1st round draft pick/Top 100 prospect Jon is his cousin.

RHP Josh Wolf, Bellaire St. Thomas HS
Listed at 6’2” 165 lbs. Aggie commit. Up to 93 on FB and good CB.

SS Armani Sanchez, Houston Heights HS
Listed at 6’2” 170 lbs. Sooners commit.

1B Brett Baty, Lake Travis HS
Listed at 6’3” 210 lbs. The lefty hitter is a Longhorn commit. Old for the HS draft class at 19.5 yrs.

RHP Jimmy Lewis, Lake Travis HS
Listed at 6’6” 200 lbs. LSU commit. Low 90s FB coupled with what they say is an average CB and CU.

OF Austin Plante, Lake Travis HS
Listed at 6’4” 214 lbs. TCU commit. Lefty hitter.

RHP Will Rigney, Waco Midway HS
Listed at 6’5” 190 lbs. Baylor commit. FB up to 95. SL especially is inconsistent but both it and the CU are promising.

RHP Jackson Rutledge, San Jac
Listed at 6’8” 255 lbs. Kentucky commit. The St. Louis native pitched at Arkansas his freshman year before moving on to the Gators. Reported as throwing consistently 96-97 and touching 98-99 in first outing of the season in late January. Plus SL and his CB and CU have some promise.


Note (1): If no draft history shown, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1 Baseball’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PBR = Prep Baseball Report Top 100 HS Draft Prospects & Top 20 JUCO Draft Prospects
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles


200
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 03, 2019, 01:30:40 pm »
I wish we had MiLB data to help supplement these numbers. I'd sure be interested to see spin data for Whitley, Bukauskas, Martin, etc.

As FG rolls out their updated team prospect lists, they're publishing this data. You can see that info here for the already-released teams & players. The Astros' info should be out in a couple of weeks.

Very, very cool shit.


201
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: February 02, 2019, 11:02:36 pm »
Eric Jagers @ericjagers 4 hours ago
Today we bid farewell to @BBailey_19 after an awesome two weeks of prep before Spring Training. How bout these @TrackManBB numbers from his live session: AVG FB spin rate- 2684 @ 93.4 mph (28.7 Bauer Units). Good for ~4.5 standard deviations above league average. Yep, that'll do.


As a point of reference, Justin Verlander's spin rate on his 4-seamer in 2018 was 2621 rpms while Ryan Pressly's spin rate last year on his 4-seamers was 2565 rpms (9th in MLB). The highest spin rate on 4-seamers in all of MLB was David Robertson at 2661 and Bailey exceeded that in his training session at Driveline. Verlander and Pressly are harder throwers than Bailey (by a couple of mph) while Robertson is almost exactly the same. FWIW, Robertson and Bailey are about the same height (5'11" and 5'10"). None of this of course tells us anything about location nor the effectiveness of pitches beyond the 4-seamer.


(For those curious, Bauer units is simply spin rate divided by velo.)

202
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 02, 2019, 04:45:26 pm »
I assume Zach Zubia (Texas) is draft-eligible, and though he’s a slug, his bat is pretty impressive. Surprised none of those sources mentioned him going within the top five rounds.

ZZ Bop (anyone else using that nickname?) has not shown up on any of the draft boards I've seen so far. But he had an amazing summer in the Northwoods League back in 2017 (.311/.455/.672, 57 BBs vs 51 Ks) and if he can approach anything close to that with the Horns this spring then he starts to look really interesting despite the lackluster 1B profile.

203
Talk Zone / Re: Bryce Harper
« on: February 02, 2019, 02:31:57 pm »
This ink-stained wretch for the TBT thinks the Rays should sign Harper on a 1-year/$40MM deal.

http://www.tampabay.com/sports/rays/2019/02/02/to-ponder-is-bryce-harper-for-one-year-a-worthy-rays-investment/

204
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: February 02, 2019, 02:06:12 pm »
Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 3m ago
Breakdown of Wade Miley's possible performance bonuses on top of his $4.5m salary with Houston: $100K for 10, 15, 20, 25 and 30 games started; $100K when he reaches 25, 35, 45, 55 and 60 relief appearances.

Just noting other Performance Bonuses and Award Bonuses the Astros are potentially on the hook for this year (per Cots):
  • Verlander: award bonuses, including $0.1M for All-Star selection
  • Brantley: award bonuses, including top 5 in MVP vote, WS MVP, LCS MVP, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, All Star
  • Gurriel: award bonuses include $0.1M for MVP ($50,000 for second in vote, $25,000 for third). $50,000 for WS MVP. $25,000 each for Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, All-Star, LCS MVP.

205
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: February 01, 2019, 11:47:09 pm »
Rolling out thumbnails on a conference by conference basis...

BIG 12 Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

C Shea Langeliers, Baylor
Listed at 6’0” 190 lbs. Going into the spring the Keller HS grad is considered a Top 10 pick.

3B Davis Wendzel, Baylor
Listed at 6’0” 205 lbs. .310/.435/.532 for the Bears in 2018 (almost exactly the same numbers as his freshman year) followed by a somewhat disappointing .236/.346/.385 summer in the Cape.

LHP Cody Bradford, Baylor
Listed at 6’3” 195 lbs. The Aledo HS valedictorian had a terrific soph season for the Bears in 2018 as he led the conference in ERA while whiffing 87 and walking 26 in 97 IP. He also tied some team records originally set by future MLBers Jason Jennings and Shawn Tolleson. He then made two starts in the Cape over the summer, giving up 2 runs on 5 hits over 8 innings.

3B Josh Jung, TT
Listed at 6’2” 215 lbs. Like Langeliers, the San Antonio native is generally considered a Top 10 pick currently.

2B/OF Gabe Holt, TT
Listed at 5’10” 170 lbs. Draft-eligible soph who had a huge freshman season as Tech’s leadoff hitter, batting .348 and ranking 2nd in the conference in hits and SBs (11th and 18th nationally). 29 steals, caught just once. A 12% walk rate vs an 11% K rate. Hit .400 in the NCAA tourney followed by a .315 BA in the CCBL. Signability concerns and questions about his power might drop him down to later in the draft. Possible utility type at the next level after playing SS in high school and then 2B and RF for the Red Raiders.

RHP Caleb Kilian, TT
Listed at 6’4” 180 lbs. The former Flower Mound HSer is scheduled to be the Friday starter for the Red Raiders this spring. As a draft-eligible soph, was taken by the Orioles in the 20th round this past June.

RHP John McMillon, TT
Listed at 6’3” 230 lbs. Scheduled to follow Kilian in the rotation as the Saturday starter. Has been a two way player his first couple of seasons for the Red Raiders. The kid from Jasper was a 21st round pick of the Rays out of high school in 2016.

RHP Caleb Freeman, TT
Listed at 6’3” 205 lbs. The Abilene Cooper grad has been used almost exclusively out of the pen for the Red Raiders. Walks have been an issue with 33 free passes in 50 IP for Tech and another 10 BBs in 18 innings this past summer in the Cape.

1B Cameron Warren, TT
A senior so more likely taken in rounds 6-10. Older guy who turns 24 shortly after draft day. Large dude at a listed 6’3” 230 lbs. Drafted in 39th round in 2014 by the Yankees but not selected last year despite hitting .326/.444/.549 for the Red Raiders with 34 walks vs 30 strikeouts.

2B Brian Klein, TT
Listed at 5’11” 190 lbs. Tremendous improvement from his freshman campaign resulted in a .317/.422/.480 year for the Red Raiders in 2018 with a 15.9% walk rate versus 14.7% K rate. Continued to hit over the summer by putting up a .317/.396/.427 line in the California Collegiate League. Lefty hitter.

LHP Nick Lodolo, TCU
Listed at 6'6" 180 lbs. The Horned Frog likely gets picked quickly if he steps up his game this spring after some inconsistency his first two years. A 1st round supplemental pick of the Pirates in 2016 out of HS.

RHP Alek Manoah, WVU
Listed at a husky 6’6” 260 lbs. Can run the FB up to 98. Not being able to find the plate resulted in working mostly out of the bullpen his first two years for the Mountaineers but turned heads this past summer with outstanding results in the starting rotation in the Cape. 48 Ks vs 11 BBs in 33 IP for Chatham with just 15 hits allowed and consequently BA ranked him as the #4 prospect in the CCBL.

C Chase Illig, WVU
Listed at 6’0” 210 lbs. Not drafted after HS in 2015 nor as a RS soph last year for West Virginia. Bat has been very weak for the Mountaineers but summer play has been a different story including a .363/.474/.699 line this past year in the California Collegiate League (garnering a #7 prospect ranking in that league by BA). Good defender says BA. Switch-hitter.

RHP Ryan Zeferjahn, KU
Listed at 6’4” 216 lbs. The stuff is there, the control not so much. Upper 90s FB along with a good slider. 74 walks in 133 career innings for the Jayhawks and another 9 in 15 IP this past summer in the Cape (but also allowed just 5 hits while whiffing 20). 37th round pick of the Rays out of HS.

LHP Braidyn Fink, OU
Listed at 6’1” 215 lbs. Walks have been problematic for the Sooners reliever but showed improvement this past year with a combined 57 Ks vs 21 BBs in 44 innings between Norman and the Cape.


Note (1): If no draft history noted, then player has never been drafted.

Note (2): Righty hitter unless otherwise noted.

Note (3): Some of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

Sources:
BA = BA 2019 Top 200 Draft Prospects
MLBP = MLB Pipeline 2019 Top 50 Draft Prospects
FG = Fangraphs 2019 Top 89 Draft Prospects
D1 = D1 Baseball’s 2019 Top 150 College Draft Prospects 1.0 (and supplemental lists)
PG = Perfect Games 2019 High School Prospect Profiles
             

206
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: February 01, 2019, 03:29:58 pm »
Correa's hearing was yesterday and normally decisions are announced within 24 hours but then there's this...

Jon Heyman  @JonHeyman 1h ago
Carlos Correa arbitration hearing was yesterday but the result is being held until Tuesday, AP reports. Results are sometimes held so as not to affect other upcoming hearings. Could be Tommy Pham in this case.


207
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 01, 2019, 02:12:47 pm »
Question for the masses but particularly Nate. Does Armenteros, provided he pitches well in spring training, have a realistic shot at making the big club? His stats are impressive and I thought he looked great in spring last year.

I like Armenteros but I think his shot is either later in the year or (more likely) 2020. Provided of course he doesn't get packaged in a deal before then.

208
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: February 01, 2019, 12:01:59 am »
So the way I read it, is that it would be hard for J Luhn to ship off some of our excess inventory (5 or 6 players) in bulk to get one solid gem?

It depends on how you define "excess inventory". The cupboard is clearly bursting with a lot of pitching prospects and I do see Luhnow dealing from that strength. Does JBB + Framber (or Cionel) + a couple of lower level pitching prospects get you your "gem"? Perhaps, though it might not be either of the 2 guys you mentioned.

209
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 11:50:10 pm »
Did you mean don’t  understand or don’t give a fuck?

Either. One tends to shorthand these things to save time and keystrokes.

210
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 08:56:49 pm »
Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 1h ago
The Astros always have some improvement plan in mind when they acquire pitchers. With Wade Miley, it's about refining and continuing to develop his cut fastball.

211
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: January 31, 2019, 08:29:42 pm »
Updating for the Miley signing...

$MM
Guaranteed salaries (10 players).................................103.8 (A)
Arb-eligible salaries (10 players)....................................48.1 (B)
Pre-arb salaries (6 players)...............................................5.0 (C)
Total 2019 payroll (current 26-man roster)..........156.9 (D)

(A) Verlander, Reddick, Springer, Gurriel, Altuve, Smith, Rondon, Chirinos, Brantley and Miley. RR reports it as $103.8MM while ST says $104.2MM, with the minor difference being the calculation of the pro-ration of the Gurriel signing bonus.
(B) See the arb-eligible thread.
(C) The average pre-arb salary for the Astros in 2018 was $592K so I used $600K as the 2019 figure for everyone but Aledmys Diaz. While the recent trade acquisition is pre-arb, he was paid $2MM by the Blue Jays in 2018 and Article VI(B)(1) of the CBA comes into play here. That prevents a more than 20% reduction from a player's previous years salary. While in theory the Astros could cut Diaz's 2019 salary to $1.6MM, I would expect they'll do what the BJs did last year and renew him at $2MM (that was his salary in 2017 under the final year of his original 4-yr contract with the Cardinals). So a total of $5.6MM for 6 pre-arb players which includes $2MM for Diaz and $3.0MM for the remainder (5 players X $600K).
(D) Why 26-man roster instead of 25? Because this includes the salary for Lance McCullers who'll spend all of 2019 on the DL.


CBT Calculation
Let's now try and calculate the CBT figure. I used a third source (Cot's Contracts) for this purpose. There appear to be three primary differences between the CBT amount and the team payroll amount from above:
  • On guaranteed salaries, AAV is used instead of cash payments.
  • Benefits are added in so it's not just salary only.
  • An adjustment is made for the minor league salaries of 40-man roster players who are not on the 25-man roster.
So plugging in some numbers ($MM):
Team payroll (per above)......................................156.9
AAV adjustments:
--Altuve......................................................................13.9 (E)
--Verlander................................................................(2.3)
--Gurriel.....................................................................(0.9)
--Smith.......................................................................(0.5)
--Rondon...................................................................(0.3)
Benefits.....................................................................14.5 (F)
Minor's salaries..........................................................2.3 (G)
CBT Payroll........................................................183.6

So looking at CBT payroll and assuming no more moves before opening day, Crane & Co could add about $20MM in additional salary at the trade deadline and still be slightly below the CBT threshold.

(E) The AAV adjustments are relatively small with the exception of Altuve. Under the 7-year extension he signed back in March, he was to be paid $9MM for 2018/$9.5MM for 2019/$29MM for 2020-2024 for a total of $163.5MM. Divide that figure by 7 and you get an AAV of $23.4MM. Subtract his 2019 salary of $9.5MM from the AAV and that gets you the $13.9MM adjustment.
(F) Seems to be a standard amount plugged in for all clubs.
(G) Ditto.

212
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 08:02:40 pm »
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/wade-miley-489119

You've got folks who don't understand wRC+ and now you want them to understand xwOBAcon?

One word: duck.

213
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 07:40:06 pm »
Could someone help me consider what a package of three or four players from below could get us (since they are out of options)?  Reverse engineering kind of question.  4 for 1 type trade

1. Tony Kemp
2. Derek Fisher
3. Great White
4. Max Stassi
5. AJ Reed
6. Jake Marisnick

Plus some mix of either Reddick/Bukauskas/Framber/Josh James

Thoughts?

Young, cheap and controllable is what the Marlins want (and the Royals, if they reverse course and decide to trade Salvy at the deadline). So that leaves the remaining 5 above (one of which has little or no value). Fisher's value probably is not all that high at this stage so you'd be selling low. JBB we know is available. One would suspect Framber is as well. I can't imagine Luhnow wanting to trade James.

My 2 cents.

214
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: January 31, 2019, 07:07:59 pm »
Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 3m ago
Breakdown of Wade Miley's possible performance bonuses on top of his $4.5m salary with Houston: $100K for 10, 15, 20, 25 and 30 games started; $100K when he reaches 25, 35, 45, 55 and 60 relief appearances.

215
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 06:37:47 pm »
Back to 39...

Pitchers (21)
Abreu
Armenteros
Cole
Deetz
Devenski
Guduan
Harris
James
Martes (questionable whether he's moved to 60-day DL due to possible service time implications)
McCullers (almost certainly gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training)
McHugh
Miley
Osuna
Peacock (out of options)
Perez
Pressly
Rodgers
Rondon
Smith (probably gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training if spot needed)
Valdez
Verlander

Catchers (3)
Chirinos
Stassi (out of options)
Stubbs*

Infielders [7]
Altuve
Bregman
Correa
Diaz
Gurriel
Reed*
White (out of options)

Outfielders [8]
Brantley*
Fisher*
Kemp* (out of options)
Marisnick (can elect free agency under Article XIX(A) if sent to minors 40 days after the season starts)
Reddick*
Springer
Straw
Tucker*

*Lefty-hitting

216
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 05:53:46 pm »
Fantastic!

Indeed. More than happy with the job Luhnow has done this offseason. Still got plenty of prospect powder to make a deadline deal(s). Not to mention CBT cushion.

217
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 31, 2019, 05:40:22 pm »
In addition to what's been noted already, re-posting this from three weeks ago...

Ken Rosenthal  @Ken_Rosenthal 5h ago
From a scout who recently saw free-agent LHP Wade Miley throw a bullpen: “He hasn’t changed since the post season. Every pitch was down with plus command of FB, CH, CB and cutter. He’s in great shape and clearly on a mission.”

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

218
Talk Zone / Re: Grass 27, Artificial Turf 3
« on: January 31, 2019, 01:19:47 pm »
Goddamn,  man.

Why didn't we think of this sooner?

We did...

Split-squadders sweep the Rainjizz!!!

But that was before the fun police intervened.

219
Talk Zone / Re: Jackie Robinson
« on: January 31, 2019, 01:09:32 pm »
...with former Astros coach Deacon Jones about his experiences meeting Jackie Robinson and his own baseball journey. I'm sure it will be great.

Journey indeed: you gotta read this about Deac and his wife Virginia's experience when he played in the Sally in 1961-1962. Powerful shit.

Also as that article notes, the man still holds the record for highest batting average (.409) in Midwest League history. And he did it despite suffering an arm injury.

220
Talk Zone / Re: Grass 27, Artificial Turf 3
« on: January 31, 2019, 12:06:26 pm »
Grass 26, Artificial Turf 4.

Rainjizz go with the fake stuff.

221
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 31, 2019, 08:11:36 am »
Solis has also had TJ.  https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/astros-jairo-solis-will-miss-entire-2019-season/

Don't read Rotowire or cbssports.com. Read me. You'll get your news two months sooner...

JJ Cooper in today's BA chat says Jairo Solis recently had Tommy John so adding him to the list.


222
I can't say with any certainty but Nate Shaver might be the first manager in baseball history to have a PhD.

https://www.fayobserver.com/sports/20190124/woodpeckers-will-have-phd-at-helm-for-inaugural-season


Mike Marshall was apparently born too soon.

223
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 30, 2019, 09:40:51 pm »
JB Shuck latches on to his 7th organization, signing a minor league deal with the Pirates with a big camp invite.

224
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 30, 2019, 04:25:01 pm »
And now BP with their list:

  • 7. Whitley
  • 14. Tucker
  • 46. Josh James
  • 49. Alvarez
  • 80. JBB

And now BA:

5. Forrest Whitley
12. Kyle Tucker
34. Yordan Alvarez
77. Josh James
78. Corbin Martin

Notes on the BA rankings:
*Nine organizations account for nearly 60% of the list: Padres (9), Rays (9), Braves [8], Blue Jays (7), Astros (5), White Sox (5), Cardinals (5), Reds (5), Dodgers (5).
*Red Sox, Yankees and Cubs all had zero prospects on the list.
*JBB one of the "last, last cuts" according to one of the BA writers.

MLB Pipeline with their preseason Top 100 rankings:

7. Forrest Whitley, RHP
8. Kyle Tucker, OF
44. Yordan Alvarez, OF
62. Josh James, RHP
81. Corbin Martin, RHP
97. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP

Notes on the MLBP rankings:
*Houston 3rd among all organizations with the most prospects on the list behind the Padres (10) and Braves [8] and tied with the ChiSox (6) and Rays (6).
*In terms of MLBP's prospect point rankings (which give more weight to the best prospects), the Astros ranked 5th while other prospective playoff teams ranked far behind (Dodgers 11th, Cardinals 17th, Indians 19th, Brewers 23rd, Yankees 24th, Red Sox 28th and Cubs 29th) suggesting Houston has more ammunition to make trade deadline deals.
*The Astros were 2nd only to the Braves with 4 RHPs on the list.

And Keith Law with his preseason Top 100 rankings:

4. Whitley
17. Tucker
48. Martin
67. JBB
70. James

Notes on Law's rankings:
*Yordan Alvarez didn't even make his "near miss" list.

225
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ex-Bus Rider News 2019
« on: January 30, 2019, 03:06:03 pm »
C Roberto Pena, 7th rounder (2010) and most recently with the Rays organization, signed a minor league deal with the Angels and receives a ST invite to big league camp.

226
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 29, 2019, 10:41:15 pm »
Not exactly a shocker but JBB had the best slider in MLB Pipeline's Best Tools list for the Top 100 Prospects.

227
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: January 29, 2019, 06:30:37 pm »
Not particularly draft-related but seems as good a place as any to drop this:

Of 297 Division I teams, 37 have TrackMan installed at their home ballpark. Of those 37 teams, 28 belong to Power 5 conferences. Not all of those teams are created equal. Some have gained reputations among the coaching community for using the technology in effective ways; others are still scratching the surface; and still others keep their strategies close to the vest. At UNC, [their] analytics department have found hundreds of ways to manipulate TrackMan and play-by-play data, arming the Tar Heel coaches and players with binders of charts, graphics, advanced stats and concepts that might not feel intuitive to a baseball purist. Daley-Harris and his team use coding language, like Python, to evaluate huge collections of data points at once and display them in accessible, appealing fashion.

“I think a lot of credit has to start with [Head] Coach [Mike] Fox, because there are coaches all over the country who want to do more of this stuff, but their head coaches are old school and they’re just not comfortable,” said Kyle Boddy, the founder of the data-driven Driveline Baseball program and one of the game’s most innovative thinkers. “I want to stress how rare that is that someone with so much history in the game—any game really—with that kind of pedigree is willing to make the changes he did. The credit starts at the top. It’s amazing the progress they’ve made there in a year and a half,” Boddy said. “When I went there and [they] showed me [their] spray charts and everything he had for guys, I was shocked. I was like, ‘Dude, this is better than 25 pro teams.’ I mean, you’re chasing down the Astros and a few other teams maybe. They’re leagues ahead of anybody else. I could tell you. I know all the teams that are doing analytics. It’s not even close. It’s a joke. There’s not even a 1B or a 1C. Realistically, there’s not even a No. 2.”

https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/north-carolina-leads-college-baseball-into-the-analytics-age/


Article was written over 9 months ago so additional schools undoubtedly have adopted TrackMan since then. But Tar Heel players working extensively with this data while in school may give Luhnow another reason to favor Tar Heel players.

228
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Ex-Bus Rider News 2019
« on: January 29, 2019, 12:38:10 pm »
Lefty Chris Nunn, who pitched in 15 games for CC and Fresno last year before getting released, was signed by the Rangers after a video went viral on twitter showing him throwing 97-99 in a workout. He's apparently pain-free after a left hip problem affected his mechanics for several years. Nice story.

https://www.mlb.com/news/chris-nunns-viral-video-leads-to-rangers-deal/c-303275704

229
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Ex-Bus Rider News 2019
« on: January 29, 2019, 12:23:08 pm »
Kevin Comer, who spent 6 years in the org and last year pitched at AAA in the Tigers system, signed a minor league deal with the Twins.

230
Mark Singelais of the the Times Union:

Quote
Guillen [age 27] is even younger than Jason Bell, 28, who guided the ValleyCats to the New York-Penn League title last season. And at least Bell had experience coaching in college and elsewhere in Houston's system before getting the job.

Bell was the 2nd youngest manager in affiliated ball last year so Guillen might possibly be the youngest manager this year.

Quote
Guillen interviewed with Astros director of player development Pete Putila, who says he prefers a younger, less-experienced candidate who can be taught the Houston way of instructing players. "One of the things that gets overlooked sometimes in player development is coach development, which for me personally is probably more important than player development,'' Putila said. "When you get coach development right, player development should come. We're really looking to redefine and enhance the role of manager and we're trying to figure out how we can get more out of those positions. It's a good opportunity for someone to learn how to manage the way we want them to manage in that regard."


231
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 28, 2019, 08:09:42 pm »
Dropping Sickels since he's lost his Vox Media platform and announced recently he wouldn't be doing org Top 20 lists. Adding Prospects 1500 which does a Top 50 org list and has been around for 3 years now...

5 or More Prospect Lists (20)
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
C Garrett Stubbs....................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF J.J. Matijevic.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
SS Jonathan Arauz..................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL/1500
OF Seth Beer...........................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Josh James.......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Brandon Bielak...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
3B Joe Perez.............................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Dean Deetz......................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
LHP Framber Valdez...............FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Cristian Javier..................FG/BA/MP/PL/1500
OF Myles Straw.......................BA/BP/MP/PL/1500

4 Prospect Lists (7)
3B Abraham Toro..................FG/MP/PL/1500
OF Ronnie Dawson................BA/MP/PL/1500
RHP Tyler Ivey........................FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Peter Solomon...............FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Bryan Abreu...................FG/MP/PL/1500
RHP Jayson Schroeder...........FG/MP/PL/1500
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/MP/PL/1500

3 Prospect Lists (3)
RHP Brandon Bailey...............FG/PL/1500
2B Luis Santana......................MP/PL/1500
SS Jeremy Pena.......................FG/MP/1500

2 Prospect Lists (9)
RHP Heitor Tokar....................PL/1500
OF Carlos Machado................BP/1500
C Nathan Perry........................BP/1500
OF Ross Adolph.......................MP/1500
LHP Reymin Guduan..............FG/1500
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte..............FG/1500
LHP Kit Scheetz.......................FG/1500
RHP Enoli Paredes..................FG/1500
SS Deury Carrasco..................FG/1500

1 Prospect List (18)
RHP Manny Ramirez...............FG   
RHP Carlos Sanabria...............FG
RHP Cody Deason...................FG   
RHP Luis Garcia.......................BA
RHP Johanse Torres................BA
RHP Elian Rodriguez...............BA
SS Miguelangel Sierra.............BA
UTIL Nick Tanielu....................1500
LHP Ryan Hartman.................1500
UTIL Josh Rojas........................1500
UTIL Alex De Goti....................1500
LHP Brett Adcock....................1500
RHP Chad Donato...................1500
OF Jake Meyers........................1500
RHP Cy Sneed..........................1500
RHP Akeem Bostick.................1500
1B Taylor Jones........................1500
OF Corey Julks..........................1500

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--25
LHP--6
C--2
1B--1
2B--1
3B--2
SS--5
UTIL--4
OF--11


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (as adjusted by their midseason update for the Top 10 prospects) + one bonus supplemental prospect (sent with prospect handbook) + three "rising prospects" from the midseason update
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 21 Prospects
MP = MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/6/19)
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)
1500 = Prospects 1500 Top 50 Prospects (retrieved 1/28/19)

232
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 26, 2019, 09:25:46 pm »
And now BP with their list:

  • 7. Whitley
  • 14. Tucker
  • 46. Josh James
  • 49. Alvarez
  • 80. JBB

And now BA:

5. Forrest Whitley
12. Kyle Tucker
34. Yordan Alvarez
77. Josh James
78. Corbin Martin

Notes on the BA rankings:
*Nine organizations account for nearly 60% of the list: Padres (9), Rays (9), Braves [8], Blue Jays (7), Astros (5), White Sox (5), Cardinals (5), Reds (5), Dodgers (5).
*Red Sox, Yankees and Cubs all had zero prospects on the list.
*JBB one of the "last, last cuts" according to one of the BA writers.

MLB Pipeline with their preseason Top 100 rankings:

7. Forrest Whitley, RHP
8. Kyle Tucker, OF
44. Yordan Alvarez, OF
62. Josh James, RHP
81. Corbin Martin, RHP
97. J.B. Bukauskas, RHP

Notes on the MLBP rankings:
*Houston 3rd among all organizations with the most prospects on the list behind the Padres (10) and Braves [8] and tied with the ChiSox (6) and Rays (6).
*In terms of MLBP's prospect point rankings (which give more weight to the best prospects), the Astros ranked 5th while other prospective playoff teams ranked far behind (Dodgers 11th, Cardinals 17th, Indians 19th, Brewers 23rd, Yankees 24th, Red Sox 28th and Cubs 29th) suggesting Houston has more ammunition to make trade deadline deals.
*The Astros were 2nd only to the Braves with 4 RHPs on the list.

233
Talk Zone / Re: Astros Hall of Fame
« on: January 26, 2019, 07:39:28 pm »
Why not Walt Bond?

Heart-warming of the Twins to release a guy dying of leukemia.

Trivia note: until Aaron Judge tied him this past season the 6'7" Bond was the tallest player ever to play CF when he started a game for the Colt 45s at the position in 1964.

234
Chandler Rome on Ozney Guillen...

Ozney is bilingual, valued in every organization but especially with the Astros, and grasps what his father calls the "new side" of baseball. The Guillens are close with Omar Lopez, the manager at Class AA Corpus Christi, and have watched both Alex Cora and Alex Cintron advance within the organization. Ozney's repertoire "checked a lot of boxes for us," Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow said Saturday. "Hopefully he has some of Ozzie's personality," Luhnow said with a grin, "but he's going to be great. We're excited to have him and everyone that interviewed him thought it as a slam dunk that we should try to hire him."

"He's not afraid to be around people and talk around people and put it together," Ozzie said of his son. "He knows how to be a manager off the field, how to talk to Dominican kids, how to talk to Venezuelan kids, how to talk to kids from the South, from North Carolina. He's been in the game for so long that he has the privilege of knowing how people grow up and that will help him to go through different players and different cultures."

235
Talk Zone / Astros Hall of Fame
« on: January 26, 2019, 03:51:48 pm »
More details released today including the composition of the committee making the selections...

Quote
...Astros President of Business Operations Reid Ryan, Astros Manager of Authentication and Team Historian Mike Acosta, 2019 Astros HOF inductee and Special Assistant to the GM Craig Biggio, Astros Community Outreach Executive and former broadcaster Bill Brown, Astros VP of Communications Gene Dias, 2019 Astros HOF inductee Larry Dierker, President of the Houston / Larry Dierker Chapter of SABR Bob Dorrill, Astros VP of Foundation Development Marian Harper, MLB.com National Correspondent Alyson Footer, MLB.com Astros Beat Writer Brian McTaggart, and baseball and Houston historian Mike Vance.

List of inaugural inductees is also in the article if you hadn't seen the list previously.

https://astros.mlblogs.com/astros-reveal-full-details-of-new-astros-hall-of-fame-presented-by-houston-methodist-e0e52bbfe1fb?sf98037439=1

236
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 26, 2019, 03:44:22 pm »
For lack of a better spot to put it, an article on Cavan Biggio on his transition to playing multiple positions and the possibility he makes his MLB debut with the BJs this year.

237
Talk Zone / Re: Cuba
« on: January 26, 2019, 03:05:17 pm »
As I said, they were at the end of their World Series, and we did not stop in either one the towns.

Actually you did NOT say that Jim.

238
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 26, 2019, 02:54:33 pm »
Added the Indians...

Minor Leagues
Casey Candaele--manager at short season Vancouver/skill development coordinator (Blue Jays)
Adam Everett--infield coordinator (Braves)
Mike Brumley--hitting coordinator (Braves)
Doug Mansolino--field coordinator (Braves)
Dave Wallace--director of pitching (Braves)
Randy Niemann--pitching instructor (Cardinals)
Greg Gross--hitting coach @ AAA Reno (D-Backs)
Doug Drabek--pitching coach @ AA Jackson (D-Backs)
Franklin Stubbs--hitting coach @ short season Hillsboro (D-Backs)
Dave Borkowski--pitching coach @ AA Tulsa (Dodgers)
Jason Bourgeois--coach @ low-A Great Lakes (Dodgers)
Jim Pankovits--manager @ hi-A Lynchburg (Indians)
Pete Harnisch--special assignment pitching coach (Mariners)
Jimmy Van Ostrand--peak performance coach (Mariners)
Randy Knorr--manager @ AAA Fresno (Nats)
Jimmy Jones--pitching coach @ AA Amarillo (Padres)
Burt Hooton--pitching coach @ low-A Fort Wayne (Padres)
John Halama--pitching coach @ short season Peoria (Padres)
Jonathan Meyer--fielding coach @ short season Peoria (Padres)
Fernando Nieve--pitching coach @ short season GCL (Pirates)
Quinten McCracken--coach @ AAA Durham (Rays)
Morgan Ensberg--manager @ AA Montgomery (Rays)
Rafael Valenzuela--manager @ short season GCL (Rays)
Danny Darwin--pitching coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Daryle Ward--hitting coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Ricky Gutierrez--manager @ hi-A Daytona (Reds)
Rich Gedman--hitting coach @ AAA Pawtucket (Red Sox)
Doug Henry--pitching coach @ AA Northwest Arkansas (Royals)
Brooks Conrad--manager @ low-A Lexington (Royals)
Harry Spilman--special ass't to player development (Royals)
Leon Roberts--senior hitting advisor (Royals)
Willie Blair--pitching coach @ low-A West Michigan (Tigers)

239
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 26, 2019, 02:07:00 pm »
Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome 12m ago
Justin Verlander, who is a free agent after this season, said the topic of a contract extension with the Astros "has not even been breached."

"I don't know what their organizational plans are. It's something I wouldn't be opposed to."

240
Talk Zone / Re: Cuba
« on: January 26, 2019, 02:04:15 pm »
So you weren't actually able to see a CNS game? Is that because being on a cruise time just didn't allow for attending one?

The reason why I ask is because my wife and I have talked about taking a cruise to Cuba but for me it was kinda a dealbreaker if I couldn't see a Serie Nacional game.

242
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: January 26, 2019, 01:32:17 am »
(Expanded again.)

Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

BIG 12
C Shea Langeliers, Baylor
LHP Cody Bradford, Baylor
3B Josh Jung, TT
2B Gabe Holt, TT
RHP Caleb Freeman, TT
RHP Caleb Kilian, TT
RHP John McMillon, TT
LHP Nick Lodolo, TCU
RHP Alek Manoah, WVU
C Chase Ellig, WVU
RHP Ryan Zeferjahn, KU
LHP Braidyn Fink, OU

ACC
LHP Graeme Stinson, Duke
LHP Ryan Laskey, Duke
SS Will Wilson, NC State
1B/OF Michael Busch, UNC
RHP Austin Bergner, UNC
RHP Gianluca Dalatri, UNC
RHP Tyler Baum, UNC
C Brandon Martorano, UNC
INF/OF Ashton McGee, UNC
SS Ike Freeman, UNC
1B Logan Wyatt, Louisville
LHP Nick Bennett, Louisville
RHP Bryan Hoeing, Louisville
SS Tyler Fitzgerald, Louisville
SS Logan Davidson, Clemson
3B Drew Mendoza, FSU
RHP Evan McKendry, Miami
SS Tanner Morris, Virginia
OF Chase Murray, Georgia Tech
RHP Colin Peluse, Wake Forest

SEC
LHP Zack Thompson, Kentucky
RHP Tyler Dyson, Florida
SS Brady McConnell, Florida
OF Wil Dalton, Florida
OF Austin Langworthy, Florida
SS Will Holland, Auburn
RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn
INF Braden Shewmake, A&M
LHP John Doxakis, A&M
RHP Mason Cole, A&M
OF JJ Bleday, Vandy
OF Pat DeMarco, Vandy
OF Cameron Misner, Mizzou
RHP Zach Hess, LSU
SS Josh Smith, LSU
OF Zach Watson, LSU
LHP Matt Cronin, Arkansas
RHP Isaiah Campbell, Arkansas
OF Dominic Fletcher, Arkansas
SS Cam Shepherd, Georgia
3B Aaron Schunk, Georgia
RHP Garrett Stallings, Tenn
SS Andre Lipcius, Tenn
RHP Parker Caracci, Ole Miss

PAC 12
C Adley Rutschman, OSU
RHP Ryne Nelson, Oregon
RHP Kenyon Jovan, Oregon
OF Jonny Deluca, Oregon
1B Andrew Vaughn, Cal
OF Kyle Stowers, Stanford
LHP Erik Miller, Stanford
OF Andrew Daschbach, Stanford
1B/OF Michael Toglia, UCLA
OF Chase Strumpf, UCLA
RHP Ryan Garcia, UCLA
3B Ryan Kreidler, UCLA
C/OF Blake Sabol, USC
RHP Kyle Hurt, USC
INF Cameron Cannon, Arizona
3B Nick Quintana, Arizona
OF Hunter Bishop, ASU
C Nick Kahle, Washington

B1G
OF Matt Gorski, Indiana
2B Michael Massey, Illinois
LHP Tommy Henry, Michigan

AAC
LHP Mason Feole, UConn
OF Bryant Packard, East Carolina
1B Spencer Brickhouse, East Carolina
LHP Jake Agnos, East Carolina
RHP Trey Benton, East Carolina

CUSA
OF Matt Wallner, Southern Miss
RHP Matt Canterino, Rice
3B Austin Shenton, Florida International

BIG EAST
RHP Ricky Devito, Seton Hall
OF Will Robertson, Creighton
LHP Jeff Belge, St John's

COLONIAL ATHLETIC
RHP George Kirby, Elon
RHP Kyle Brnovich, Elon
SS Greg Jones, UNCW

BIG WEST
SS Christian Koss, UCI
RHP Andre Pallante, UCI

WCC
LHP Chris Murphy, USD
LHP Ken Waldichuk, St. Mary's

MOUNTAIN WEST
SS Bryson Stott, UNLV

MVC
OF John Rave, Illinois State
RHP Adam Lukas, Evansville

BIG SOUTH
RHP Seth Johnson, Campbell
OF Matthew Barefoot, Campbell

PATRIOT LEAGUE
RHP Levi Stoudt, Lehigh

SUN BELT
RHP Hunter Gaddis, Georgia State

WAC
OF Quin Cotton, Grand Canyon

CENTEX/HOUSTON AREA JUCO & HSers
RHP Matthew Thompson, Cy Ranch HS
RHP JJ Goss, Cy Ranch HS
INF/OF Trey Faltine, Fort Bend Travis HS
RHP/3B Andre Duplantier, Houston Summer Creek HS
1B Brett Baty, Lake Travis HS
RHP Jimmy Lewis, Lake Travis HS
OF Austin Plante, Lake Travis HS
RHP Will Rigney, Waco Midway HS
RHP Jackson Rutledge, San Jac
SS Armani Sanchez, San Antonio Reagan HS

OTHER HSers
SS Bobby Witt, Jr., Colleyville Heritage HS
3B Chandler Freeman, Colleyville Heritage HS
RHP Blake Mayfield, Flower Mound Marcus HS
3B Rece Hinds, IMG Academy (FL)
3B Josh Rivera, IMG Academy (FL)
OF Hylan Hall, TNXL Academy (FL)
RHP Carter Stewart, East Florida State JC (FL)
SS Ivan Johnson, Chipola JC (FL)
RHP Thomas Farr, NW Florida State JC (FL)
RHP Chad Bryant, Pensacola State JC (FL)
OF Emanuel Dean, Anaheim (CA)
OF Glenallen Hill, Jr., Santa Cruz (CA)
SS Kyren Paris, Oakley Freedom HS (CA)
SS Matthew Lugo, Carlos Beltran BB Academy (PR)
OF Erik Rivera, Puerto Rico BB Academy (PR)
SS Dilan Rosario, Leadership Christian Academy (PR)
RHP Bryce Osmond, Jenks HS (OK)
RHP Kale Davis, OKC Westmoore HS (OK)
3B Cade Doughty, Denham Springs HS (LA)
RHP Andrew McDaniel, Lafeyette St. Thomas More HS (LA)
RHP Antoine Harris, Chalmette HS (LA)
RHP Jason Rackers, Jefferson JC (MO)
1B/OF Jason Hodges, Chicago Marist HS (IL)
LHP Chris Villaman, Thomasville Ledford HS (NC)



Note: A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.

243
Talk Zone / Re: Recapping front office changes
« on: January 25, 2019, 07:09:44 pm »
(Putting this response in what I feel is a more appropriate thread)

Nate, since I sort of tune out in the off-season and am unaware, has there been something written on the "10,000 feet" view of the "purge"?  Seems like there was a lot of movement beyond folks taking their skills to other organizations.

I really think you just chalk it up to a multitude of reasons: chance to be the GM for the team you rooted for growing up and near where you're from (Elias), guys bottlenecked in the organization (Fast, Sig), other teams desperate to hire your guys hoping some of the magic rubs off (Elias, Fast and many others), taking a higher level job with another organization (Dave Hudgens, Doug White, Jeff Albert, Josh Bonifay, Chris Holt, Dillon Lawson), going in a different direction with your life (Ryan Hallahan), phasing out some player development jobs likely the result of even further usage of technology (elimination of nine coaching jobs in the minors which resulted in some folks not returning), perhaps not retaining people who are unable to keep up with the pace of change in the organization (I'll let you fill in the blank there).

For those unfamiliar with some of the above names and other items, you haven't been reading this thread/soliloquy.

And just for the helluvit (and at the risk of being redundant, cabrera'd or just beating the hell out of things), I would also reference again the McKinsey interview Luhnow did here and here. Some quotes I saw where I kinda/sorta gleaned information from or just found interesting:

Quote
We decided that in the minor leagues, we would hire an extra coach at each level. The requirements for that coach were that he had to be able to hit a fungo, throw batting practice, and program in SQL. It’s a hard universe to find where those intersect, but we were able to find enough of them—players that had played in college that maybe played one year in the minors that had a technical background and could understand analytics.

...until the point where we realized that we no longer needed that, because our hitting coaches and our pitching coaches and our managers are now fully technology enabled. They can do the translation. And they’re actually real baseball people who have had careers in coaching and playing.

Quote
You’ve got 150 people working in baseball operations, 200 players in a system, some of them have no high-school education. Some don’t speak English. You’re dealing with a very difficult population to implement new things that are not normal to them. The program of sending the people out and eventually changing over a large part of our hitting and pitching coaches and managers, quite frankly, to be a bit more open-minded, progressive group is when our implementation started to take root.

Quote
Big data combined with artificial intelligence is the next big wave in baseball, and I think we’re just starting to scratch the surface. But we’re making a big investment in this area.

Quote
You have to be first. You have to create an advantage for yourself. If you’re not looking at what’s coming down the road—and technology and data are so important— somebody else is going to.

Quote
...Yuli Gurriel, a guy we found in our international scouting out of Cuba who took a lower-dollar offer to be with the Astros and could’ve gone to another team.



244
Talk Zone / Re: Team Payroll 2019
« on: January 24, 2019, 11:52:25 pm »
Guaranteed money gets factored in as part of the AAV calculation--besides signing bonuses, a club buyout of an option year also goes into the AAV (if Brantley had a club option of $15MM for 2021 but the Astros had a buyout option of $3MM, that $3MM is considered guaranteed money and therefore also would have been pro-rated over 2019 and 2020).

There's an interesting wrinkle illustrated by Pollack's contract today with the Dodgers. It was 4 yr deal for $55MM with a player option for a 5th year at $10MM. If Pollack decides not to exercise that 2023 option, then the Dodgers owe him $5MM. The contract could have been structured slightly differently--if the 2023 option was a club option rather than a player option with the Dodgers owing Pollack $5MM if they decide not to exercise it. The total guarantee is $60MM in either instance but the luxury tax hit will be different.

In scenario #1 (the actual contract), it's considered a 5-year deal for CBT purposes so that the AAV hit will be calculated at $12MM ($60MM divided by 5). In scenario #2 (club option rather player option), it's considered a 4-year deal so that the AAV hit would be $15MM ($60MM divided by 4). By agreeing to the player option, the Dodgers give themselves a bit more breathing room in staying under the CBT threshold in 2019 to the tune of $3MM*.

*The tradeoff of course is that the Dodgers may end up paying Pollock a total of $65MM under the contract rather than $60MM if Pollock does exercise that 2023 option.

245
Speaking of Dillon Lawson, an interesting article on him in The Athletic and his work with Dr. Peter Fadde on pitch recognition.

246
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 24, 2019, 07:54:52 pm »
Scratching off Pollock...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

248
Those who were promoted to the MLB level or have departed the organization...
  • Josh Bonifay--fielding coordinator who left to become director of player development for the Phillies.
  • Josh Miller--pitching coordinator who is now the Astros' bullpen coach.
  • Chris Holt--asst pitching coordinator who left to become pitching coordinator with the Orioles.
  • Rodney Linares--Fresno manager fired and then hired by the Rays as their 3rd base coach.
  • Dyar Miller--Fresno pitching coach who at age 72 and after 51 years in professional baseball we'll guess has chosen to finally hang 'em up.
  • Darryl Robinson--the 51-year old hitting coach for Fresno wasn't retained after 10 years with the org.
  • Troy Snitker--son of the Braves' manager who goes from Corpus Christi hitting coach to co-hitting coach with the Astros.
  • Mycal Jones--the development coach at Corpus Christi whose position was eliminated.
  • Morgan Ensberg--the ex-Astro and Buies Creek manager was fired and then hired as AA manager for the Rays.
  • Dillon Lawson--the Quad Cities hitting coach moved to the Yankees as their hitting coordinator.
  • Cesar Cedeno--the 68-year old ex-Astro was a hitting coach for the GCL Astros last year but apparently wasn't retained after 31 years with the organization.
  • Ralph Dickenson--the 71-year old who has held a variety of jobs with the Astros for the last 6 years (including last year as hitting instructor at the West Palm Beach complex) either retired or was not asked back.
  • Charlie Romero--at age 52 and after 5 years with the organization the DSL manager won't be back.



249
The nine coaching/development positions eliminated for 2019 by the Astros (by my count):

Asst Pitching Coordinator
Development Coach--Round Rock
Development Coach--Corpus Christi
Development Coach--Buies Creek/Fayetteville
Development Coach--Quad Cities
2nd Hitting Coach--GCL
Hitting Coach--West Palm Beach complex
Coaching Positions (2)--Dominican Summer League

250
Significant changes in player development staff from year to year is pretty much a given but it was turbocharged in 2019. Only a handful of guys return in the same positions they held in 2018. With the expansion of coaching positions throughout the minor league levels, it's rather odd that the Astros chose to eliminate the position of development coach. Luhnow had previously cited the creation of that position as a big reason for the org's success. In addition to the elimination of those four development coach positions, I count the elimination of at least five other coaching positions.

Pitching Coordinator..............Bill Murphy (prev: pitching coach--CC)
Hitting Coordinator................Jeremy Barnes (prev: hitting coach--TRC)
Fundamentals Coordinator...Jason Bell (prev: manager--TRC)
Catching Coordinator............Mark Bailey


Round Rock
Manager...............Mickey Storey (prev: manager--QC)
Pitching Coach.....Drew French (prev: pitching coach--BC)
Hitting Coach.......Ben Rosenthal (prev: hitting coach--BC)

Corpus Christi
Manager...............Omar Lopez
Pitching Coach.....Graham Johnson (prev: pitching coach--QC)
Hitting Coach.....Tim LaMonte (prev: private hitting instructor)

Fayetteville
Manager...............Nate Shaver (prev: development coach--BC)
Pitching Coach...Thomas Whitsett (prev: director of pitching development--U of Arizona)
Hitting Coach.....Jason Kanzler (prev: asst coach--Katy HS and asst coach--Brewster Whitecaps in CCBL)

Quad Cities
Manager..............Ray Hernandez (prev: development coach--Fresno)
Pitching Coach....Erick Abreu (prev: pitching coach--TRC)
Hitting Coach......Rafael Pena (prev: development coach--QC)

Tri-City
Manager............Ozney Guillen (prev: Ozzie's son spent 5 years playing in indy leagues)
Pitching Coach..John Kovalik (prev: pitching coach--Slippery Rock U)
Hitting Coach....Sean Godfrey (prev: hitting coach--Indiana Southeast U)

 
GCL Astros
Manager...............Wlad Sutil
Pitching Coach.....Jose Rada
Hitting Coach.......Rene Rojas
Rehab Coach.......Todd Naskedov

DSL Astros
Manager..............Carlos Lugo (prev: coach at the DSL academy in 2018 and manager before that of 2nd DSL team)
Pitching Coach....Rick Aponte
Hitting Coach....Ernesto Irizarry (prev: private hitting instructor)


bold = new to organization


I'll discuss the folks who didn't return in a separate post.

251
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 24, 2019, 02:23:51 pm »
Jayson Stark @jaysonst 3 hours ago
The more I look at Lance Berkman, the more I think he ranks as one of the worst one-and-dones in #HOF voting history.

The  only others players with 1900+ hits & as good an OPS-Plus (144) as  Berkman who aren't in the Hall? Barry Bonds & Manny Ramirez - for  other reasons!

252
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 24, 2019, 02:12:21 pm »
Bo Porter joins the commentator team on pre and postgame shows on Nats' TV broadcasts. He's replacing ex-Astro Ray Knight who was fired for some contretemps with a MASN staffer last year. Porter of course spent 2 seasons as 3B coach for Washington before being hired by the Astros.

253
Astros with the full announcement of minor league managers, coaches and development staff. I'll break everything down later.

254
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 24, 2019, 01:52:15 pm »
Chandler Rome @Chandler_Rome 14m ago
Carlos Correa said his arbitration hearing is Jan. 31. Correa said he and the Astros are not engaged in any negotiations on a multi-year deal.


ETA:
Devenski's hearing is scheduled for Feb. 5.

255
White smoke, probably need to get the engine checked. there's a new car in your future.

FIFY.

256
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 23, 2019, 02:46:07 pm »
I'm glad that stupid tradition is dead.

In its place, B.O. wants to create an equally stupid tradition...

Buster Olney  @Buster_ESPN 12m ago
Some fans have felt that the HOF is diminished by the high volume of entrants. Now that this is finally possible, moving forward, the new 100% standard will help to create an inner circle of HOFers -- the players who are unanimous selections from 2019 forward.

258
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 23, 2019, 01:01:43 pm »
Pomeranz to the Giants for a pittance...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

259
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Minor League Salaries
« on: January 23, 2019, 11:51:15 am »
After spending millions on lobbying efforts last year to avoid federal minimum wage requirements, MLB has now turned its sights on the state of Arizona's minimum wage law.

260
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 23, 2019, 09:00:29 am »
And now they have MLB Pipeline with their end of season Top 100 rankings:

  • 5. Tucker
  • 8. Whitley
  • 42. Alvarez
  • 95. Josh James

http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2018?list=prospects

And now BP with their list:

  • 7. Whitley
  • 14. Tucker
  • 46. Josh James
  • 49. Alvarez
  • 80. JBB

And now BA:

5. Forrest Whitley
12. Kyle Tucker
34. Yordan Alvarez
77. Josh James
78. Corbin Martin

Notes on the BA rankings:
*Nine organizations account for nearly 60% of the list: Padres (9), Rays (9), Braves [8], Blue Jays (7), Astros (5), White Sox (5), Cardinals (5), Reds (5), Dodgers (5).
*Red Sox, Yankees and Cubs all had zero prospects on the list.
*JBB one of the "last, last cuts" according to one of the BA writers.

261
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 22, 2019, 07:42:29 pm »
Is Clemens trending upwards? I have not kept up with his previous years, but I seem to remember a year where he got less than double digit votes.

Re-read my post.

262
So I stand humbly in the presence of your exalted judgement, a bothsideismist.

Pick a lane, dude, pick a lane. With Trumpelstiltskin and his braying acolytes, it ain't that hard.

263
I would like to vote for John Hickenlooper in 2020. Maybe Kamala Harris. Otherwise I might vote Green Party again.

I definitely could see myself voting for Hickenlooper if he runs. Harris, not so sure. My eight years living in Cali turned me from a Democrat to an independent and I still have a residual distrust for politicians from that state.

I'd vote Libertarian before I ever voted Green Party. And I'll never vote Libertarian.

264
You know I think it's funny that I'm looked at as some kind of Republican apologist. I'm a registered Democrat who voted for Bernie in the primaries.

If you tell us Jill Stein was next on your ballot your bothsidesism will be complete.

ETA:
And re-reading your post I see the word "again" so I'll take the Stein vote as a given.

265
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 22, 2019, 05:33:19 pm »
Other exes (including prior year results):

Schilling....60.9%
Quote
2013 BBWAA (38.8%)
2014 BBWAA (29.2%)
2015 BBWAA (39.2%)
2016 BBWAA (52.3%)
2017 BBWAA (45.0%)
2018 BBWAA (51.2%)
Clemens...59.5%
Quote
2013 BBWAA (37.6%)
2014 BBWAA (35.4%)
2015 BBWAA (37.5%)
2016 BBWAA (45.2%)
2017 BBWAA (54.1%)
2018 BBWAA (57.3%)
Kent..........18.1%
Quote
2014 BBWAA (15.2%)
2015 BBWAA (14.0%)
2016 BBWAA (16.6%)
2017 BBWAA (16.7%)
2018 BBWAA (14.5%)
Wagner....16.7%
Quote
2016 BBWAA (10.5%)
2017 BBWAA (10.2%)
2018 BBWAA (11.1%)
Pettitte......9.9%

266
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 22, 2019, 05:29:12 pm »
Oswalt and Berkman are both going to drop off the ballot. That's pretty surprising.

Finish with just 0.9% and 1.2% respectively. Also dropping off ballot is Miguel Tejada who also got 1.2%.

267
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 22, 2019, 05:24:53 pm »

268
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 HOF Ballot
« on: January 22, 2019, 05:21:12 pm »
Mike Mussina joins Rivera, Halladay and Edgar Martinez in the Hall.

With Baines and Smith, it'll be a 6-man class.

269
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 22, 2019, 05:18:48 pm »
Reportedly the Dodgers are close to acquiring Russell Martin.

Seems like everybody in MLB is telling the Marlins to screw off with their asking price.

Unfortunately, Dodgers are still in talks for Realmuto.

But the Marlin's beat writer still says Astros one of five other teams still in the mix (I think he must just copy and paste this from previous articles).


270
I also think both sides are guilty.

Bull and shit, sir.

271
DING, DING, DING... oh wait, did I just insult you by doing that?

Oh you don't know how proud I am to be among the meek and lucky.

272
Better than the delightful circle jerking off of each other I see in this.

Colorful...yes. Insulting, painting with the broadest of brushes and completely inaccurate...also yes.

273
This social media experiment, it isn't as fall-safe as one might think.

After the manipulation of an election, I think we all kinda get that by now.

274
As a parent, this might be the one thing that would make me prone to violence if because of a social mandate, my parenting is overridden by a social media scorecard.

Mandate? Since when did sharing opinions morph into a mandate?


275
It takes a village.

I had thought earlier about posting something along those lines. Except my post wouldn't have required turning on the sarc meter.

276
Fine, you think those kids are just stupid.  But, I also think kids learn from the actions of the adults around them.  So, if you think they are going to be taught a lesson at home, you have more faith in their families than I do.

This.

277
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 22, 2019, 02:04:19 pm »
Since Stubbs is on the 40 man now, doesn't the ST list automatically include him?

Yes it does.

278
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 22, 2019, 12:52:58 pm »
Not really any surprises in the list of NRIs to big league camp:

The group of 22 non-roster invites at Major League camp will be OF Yordan Alvarez, RHP Brandon Bielak, RHP Akeem Bostick, RHP J.B. Bukauskas, OF Ronnie Dawson, IF Alex De Goti, LHP Kent Emanuel, RHP Ryan Hartman, RHP Jose Luis Hernandez, IF Taylor Jones, RHP Corbin Martin, IF Jack Mayfield, RHP Brendan McCurry, RHP Erasmo Pinales, C Lorenzo Quintana, C Jamie Ritchie, C Chuckie Robinson, IF Josh Rojas, RHP Cy Sneed, IF Nick Tanielu, IF Abraham Toro and RHP Forrest Whitley.

17 of the 22 are getting their 1st time invite (in bold).

279
Tell that to a BoSox fan who doesn't mind beating the crap out of a Yankee wearing fan at Fenway.

Hard to disagree when you qualify it like that.

280
Eggszactly. Sorta like a Yankee cap.

No, not even remotely like a Yankees cap.

281
I certainly might have missed it, but I didn't see anyone on this thread make or defend any threat of violence. I'm not sure who you are arguing with.

Yeah, I wasn't getting that either.

282
But violence being justified? I personally do not have that threshold. For example, if I'm pro-lifer (ardent) do I justify groups that advocate violence against doctors because we hold similar views on life? I would hope not, it's not that clear cut. I would distance myself from those prone to violence (*righteous indignation*) because they think the other person deserves it.

It's just not right.

I spent hours upon hours this weekend reading comments and I didn't see one that suggested violence or even hinted at it. Having said that, I have no doubt in the charged environment we live in that such comments were made. The *righteous anger* I referred to earlier was a very strong pushback against the MAGAs and the perceived culture the Covington kids were growing up in. Nearly all the folks I read on twitter have concerns about violence being perpetrated on them and aren't exactly the type to go out and look for fights themselves.


283
By a young man who is what, 16 years of age? That allows adults to confront them?

True. But does not give anyone license to confront them with their own morality.

Personally, I think it's an abdication of moral responsibility to not confront those who are wearing symbols of hate. But maybe that's just me.

Quote
Perhaps to avoid being bullys ourselves, we should learn to not allow our prejudice over a stupid cap to drive us to the dark side of us and yet rather look to the better angels of our nature.

I'd like to think that I am looking to the "better angels of our nature" by speaking out about the prejudice represented by the cap.


284
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 21, 2019, 03:38:29 pm »
The Sonny Gray trade did go through with the Reds able to sign him to a quite reasonable 3-year extension at $10.2MM per...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

285
As humanitarian as we want to be towards others, we should practice the same for all... cap or no cap. Else you have *NO* "right" to stand on.

Ah yes, the cap. Some see it as just the expression of a (perhaps unpopular) political view. But for many it's come to be seen as a representation of hate and oppression and most especially a lack of humanitarianism. The culture at Covington Catholic also seems to be more than problematic with a number of stories surfacing of bullying of gays and others. So yes there's a learning experience here but I'm not quite sure folks have quite grasped the totality of it if the takeaway is simply "oh how mean people on twitter were to those Covington kids".

286

I encourage anyone who feels this way about Confederate iconography to read Battle Cry of Freedom. Actually, I encourage everyone to read Battle Cry of Freedom.

You're defending usage and display of that flag? How does a book that discusses the two decades leading up to the Civil War and the war itself and not the 150+ years of racism and terrorism since make you feel comfortable with said iconography?

If I read the book, am I supposed to feel differently about slavery afterwards?


287
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 20, 2019, 11:34:23 pm »
Rosenthal in his latest column for The Athletic says the Astros were one of several teams who "expressed interest" in lefty Martin Perez before he signed with the Twins (for $3.5MM).

288
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 20, 2019, 05:14:33 pm »
Heyman says Reds are “finalizing” a deal for Gray.

Ken Rosenthal  @Ken_Rosenthal 17m ago
No resolution on #Reds/#Yankees/Gray expected tonight. Deadline on 72-hour negotiating window for CIN/Gray is late in day tomorrow, per source. Unclear if teams have different trade ready if no extension is agreed upon, or if NYY would turn to alternate plan with another club.

289
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 18, 2019, 04:19:12 pm »
Added St. Louis, Tampa Bay (where Ensberg lands a new managerial gig after being fired by the Astros), Pittsburgh and Los Angeles...

Minor Leagues
Casey Candaele--manager at short season Vancouver/skill development coordinator (Blue Jays)
Adam Everett--infield coordinator (Braves)
Mike Brumley--hitting coordinator (Braves)
Doug Mansolino--field coordinator (Braves)
Dave Wallace--director of pitching (Braves)
Randy Niemann--pitching instructor (Cardinals)
Greg Gross--hitting coach @ AAA Reno (D-Backs)
Doug Drabek--pitching coach @ AA Jackson (D-Backs)
Franklin Stubbs--hitting coach @ short season Hillsboro (D-Backs)
Dave Borkowski--pitching coach @ AA Tulsa (Dodgers)
Jason Bourgeois--coach @ low-A Great Lakes (Dodgers)

Pete Harnisch--special assignment pitching coach (Mariners)
Jimmy Van Ostrand--peak performance coach (Mariners)
Randy Knorr--manager @ AAA Fresno (Nats)
Jimmy Jones--pitching coach @ AA Amarillo (Padres)
Burt Hooton--pitching coach @ low-A Fort Wayne (Padres)
John Halama--pitching coach @ short season Peoria (Padres)
Jonathan Meyer--fielding coach @ short season Peoria (Padres)
Fernando Nieve--pitching coach @ short season GCL (Pirates)
Quinten McCracken--coach @ AAA Durham (Rays)
Morgan Ensberg--manager @ AA Montgomery (Rays)
Rafael Valenzuela--manager @ short season GCL (Rays)

Danny Darwin--pitching coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Daryle Ward--hitting coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Ricky Gutierrez--manager @ hi-A Daytona (Reds)
Rich Gedman--hitting coach @ AAA Pawtucket (Red Sox)
Doug Henry--pitching coach @ AA Northwest Arkansas (Royals)
Brooks Conrad--manager @ low-A Lexington (Royals)
Harry Spilman--special ass't to player development (Royals)
Leon Roberts--senior hitting advisor (Royals)
Willie Blair--pitching coach @ low-A West Michigan (Tigers)

290
I'm waiting to see if another outlet independently confirms the story before I trust the authority for the 20 best celebrity nip slips. 

We should at least wait until the National Enquirer weighs in on the story.

291
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 17, 2019, 03:51:22 pm »
Jon Heyman  @JonHeyman 11s ago
#SFGiants interesting new entrant in Sonny sweepstakes. It does make sense; Giants prez Farhan Zaidi, who knows Sonny from A’s days, is said to be fan. It appears some other linked teams — A’s, Brewers, Braves, M’s, Pads, Reds — don’t appear to be at forefront of talks at moment.

292
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 17, 2019, 01:11:04 pm »
Yankees sign Adam Ottavino (3 yrs/$27MM) to join Aroldis Chapman, Dellin Betances, Zach Britton, Chad Green and Jonathan Holder in a bullpen from hell.

Yeah, FTY and all that.

293
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2019 Draft
« on: January 15, 2019, 08:09:25 pm »
(Expanded from earlier list. Thumbnails to come on some. Eventually. Probably. Maybe.)

Names to Know for 1st 5 rounds of 2019 Draft

BIG 12
C Shea Langeliers, Baylor
3B Josh Jung, TT
LHP Nick Lodolo, TCU
RHP Alek Manoah, WVU
RHP Ryan Zeferjahn, KU

ACC
LHP Graeme Stinson, Duke
LHP Ryan Laskey, Duke
SS Will Wilson, NC State
1B/OF Michael Busch, UNC
RHP Austin Bergner, UNC
1B Logan Wyatt, Louisville
SS Logan Davidson, Clemson
3B Drew Mendoza, FSU
RHP Evan McKendry, Miami

SEC
LHP Zack Thompson, Kentucky
RHP Tyler Dyson, Florida
SS Brady McConnell, Florida
OF Wil Dalton, Florida
OF Austin Langworthy, Florida
SS Will Holland, Auburn
RHP Davis Daniel, Auburn
INF Braden Shewmake, A&M
OF JJ Bleday, Vandy
OF Cameron Misner, Mizzou
RHP Zach Hess, LSU
SS Josh Smith, LSU
LHP Matt Cronin, Arkansas
RHP Isaiah Campbell, Arkansas
OF Dominic Fletcher, Arkansas
SS Cam Shepherd, Georgia
RHP Garrett Stallings, Tenn

PAC 12
C Adley Rutschman, OSU
RHP Ryne Nelson, Oregon
RHP Kenyon Jovan, Oregon
OF Jonny Deluca, Oregon
1B Andrew Vaughn, Cal
OF Kyle Stowers, Stanford
LHP Erik Miller, Stanford
OF Andrew Daschbach, Stanford
1B/OF Michael Toglia, UCLA
OF Chase Strumpf, UCLA
RHP Ryan Garcia, UCLA
C/OF Blake Sabol, USC
INF Cameron Cannon, Arizona
3B Nick Quintana, Arizona
OF Hunter Bishop, ASU

AAC
LHP Mason Feole, UConn
OF Bryant Packard, East Carolina
1B Spencer Brickhouse, East Carolina
LHP Jake Agnos, East Carolina

CUSA
OF Matt Wallner, Southern Miss
RHP Matt Canterino, Rice

BIG EAST
RHP Ricky Devito, Seton Hall
OF Will Robertson, Creighton

OTHER COLLEGE
RHP George Kirby, Elon
SS Greg Jones, UNCW
RHP Seth Johnson, Campbell
OF Quin Cotton, Grand Canyon

CENTEX/HOUSTON AREA JUCO & HSers
RHP Matthew Thompson, Cy Ranch HS
RHP JJ Goss, Cy Ranch HS
1B Brett Baty, Lake Travis HS
RHP Jimmy Lewis, Lake Travis HS
RHP Will Rigney, Waco Midway HS
INF/OF Trey Faltine, Fort Bend Travis HS
RHP Jackson Rutledge, San Jac

OTHER HSers
SS Bobby Witt, Jr., Colleyville Heritage HS
3B Rece Hinds, IMG Academy (FL)
OF Hylan Hall, TNXL Academy (FL)
OF Emanuel Dean, Anaheim (CA)
OF Glenallen Hill, Jr., Santa Cruz (CA)
SS Matthew Lugo, Carlos Beltran BB Academy (PR)
RHP Bryce Osmond, Jenks HS (OK)
3B Cade Doughty, Denham Springs HS (LA)
SS Kyren Paris, Oakley Freedom HS (CA)



Note: A number of these players will be gone by the time the Astros make their first pick at #32 and are included here merely for the sake of completeness.



294
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 14, 2019, 07:58:42 pm »
Added Seattle...

Minor Leagues
Casey Candaele--manager at short season Vancouver/skill development coordinator (Blue Jays)
Adam Everett--infield coordinator (Braves)
Mike Brumley--hitting coordinator (Braves)
Doug Mansolino--field coordinator (Braves)
Dave Wallace--director of pitching (Braves)
Greg Gross--hitting coach @ AAA Reno (D-Backs)
Doug Drabek--pitching coach @ AA Jackson (D-Backs)
Franklin Stubbs--hitting coach @ short-season Hillsboro (D-Backs)
Pete Harnisch--special assignment pitching coach (Mariners)
Jimmy Van Ostrand--peak performance coach (Mariners)

Randy Knorr--manager @ AAA Fresno (Nats)
Jimmy Jones--pitching coach @ AA Amarillo (Padres)
Burt Hooton--pitching coach @ low-A Fort Wayne (Padres)
John Halama--pitching coach @ short-season Peoria (Padres)
Jonathan Meyer--fielding coach @ short-season Peoria (Padres)
Danny Darwin--pitching coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Daryle Ward--hitting coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Ricky Gutierrez--manager @ hi-A Daytona (Reds)
Rich Gedman--hitting coach @ AAA Pawtucket (Red Sox)
Doug Henry--pitching coach @ AA Northwest Arkansas (Royals)
Brooks Conrad--manager @ low-A Lexington (Royals)
Harry Spilman--special ass't to player development (Royals)
Leon Roberts--senior hitting advisor (Royals)
Willie Blair--pitching coach @ low-A West Michigan (Tigers)

295
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 14, 2019, 01:53:12 pm »
The A's knew that was going to happen before they signed him.  I'm not arguing one way or the other, just trying to wrap my head around a rather unique situation.

And let me clarify: I hope 2-sport athletes like Murray DO play baseball. But this is a problem of MLB's making when they put the draft hard caps in place and now foolishly realize their fuck-up and are trying a band-aid approach that is likely to create even more problems.

296
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 14, 2019, 01:16:07 pm »
He didn't sign the original contract on the expectation of an increase.

How do you know? Were you a fly on the wall during those negotiations? How many signed players say I'll take your money but then skip my first season? How do you know that when the A's consented to that there wasn't some further discussions about sweeteners in 2019? You can argue the specific circumstances about Murray (and they are compelling) but that's not really the point.  It's what comes AFTER. By creating this exception, creative teams (and agents) now have a loophole they can exploit. And Boras and others WILL exploit it.

297
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 14, 2019, 12:51:11 pm »
Looks like Murray signed his draft deal in June, according to the rules when is the earliest he can sign a MLB contract?  I would think it's any time after his draft season ends?

You mean the draft season he spent working out to play football and didn't play 1 inning of baseball? What circumstances can you point to that he deserved to receive such a deal purely in baseball terms? The commissioner's office reviews these contracts and has the power pursuant to the CBA to kill any deal that's an end run around the bonus pool restrictions and other prohibitions that exist. It's a smell test, not a bright line test.

298
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 14, 2019, 12:18:53 pm »
The "Kyler Murray" exception now gives rise to "wink and a nod" type discussions  at the time a player signs after being drafted. The initial bonus is crafted to fall within the restrictions of the bonus pool arrangement. But the player and club also have discussions at that time about further compensation and promises to sign him to a major league contract (prohibited under current rules). Nothing is reduced to writing but is merely a handshake deal.  And if you have your doubts about the clubs following thru on handshake deals note that those occur in the international area all the time. It's how a 14-year old Dominican kid gets taken off the market even though he's not eligible to sign for two more years.

Clubs (and the player) will manufacture excuses as why add'l monies are needed when the time comes. Probably the most likely would be the player claims (with the club going along with the subterfuge) he's going to walk away from baseball if he doesn't get more money. MLB will investigate but probably will have to go along because they created the fucking problem in the first place and absent a smoking gun would likely have to go along with it.

And those handshake deals on the foreign side? Technically not allowed under the rules but MLB has never been able to do anything about it.

299
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 14, 2019, 11:58:49 am »
Aren't all the clubs taking a "file and trial" approach?

Yes, but clubs generally still are willing to talk about multi-year extensions during the period up to the hearing date. 

300
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 13, 2019, 04:55:40 pm »
Speaking of the kid...

Mike Leslie @MikeLeslieWFAA 44 minutes ago
According to a source close to the situation, Kyler Murray’s number is $15M. He wants big time money to stick with baseball, otherwise he will enter the NFL draft tomorrow. The A’s are doing everything they can, sending their top brass, led by Billy Beane, to meet with him.


His agent Scott Boras is also in the meeting.  If the A's do pay him add'l money, that immediately raises the question as to how that wouldn't be a violation of the bonus pool system for draft picks.

301
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: State of the System 2019
« on: January 13, 2019, 04:32:31 pm »
Not Astros-related but BA had an interesting article about the rapid adoption of technology at all levels regards the coaching of hitting:

Quote
But beyond that, front offices now have a tool to measure how effective their coaches are. Judging a hitting coach on the success of his hitters has long been a hard to quantify–even over the course of a full season normalized statistics can be incredibly noisy. Now it can be quantified by how hard his hitters hit and how much quality contact they make, pitch by pitch and swing by swing.


302
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 13, 2019, 12:27:41 am »
Anyone spot Billy Spiers on the Clemson sideline this season?

Link

(For those who don't follow college football or read the B&Q thread)

Yes, he now has 2 rings. And the ex-punter is the proud papa of a punter. No, Will is not a 2-sport athlete like the old man. But nephew Carson does play on the Clemson baseball squad and as a soph reliever last year allowed just 22 hits in 48 IP. Three generations of Spiers have played baseball at the school.


303
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / State of the System 2019
« on: January 12, 2019, 07:52:36 pm »
A bit convoluted so not sure how well this will translate but here goes:

Lance Brozdowski @LanceBroz 3h ago
Amazing thread. @drivelinebases emphasized to a group of reporters and myself at the Winter Meetings how big the @astros player development advantage is compared to other teams. Everyday I see stuff like this [referring to thread below by Tyler Wolfe] and realize how correct he was. Will never forget that convo.

Tyler Wolfe @twolfie3 20 hours ago [Wolfe was a 39th round pick who last played in the system in 2017]
Some fun facts about my time with the Astros: In extended we had three cages set up just like this. One fastball machine in each cage paired with a lefty/righty breaking ball or change-up. Pregame BP was similar and also one of the most challenging things I’ve ever done.

Tyler Wolfe @twolfie3  20 hours ago
One group was in the cage with this same double machine set-up to match that days starting pitcher. The on field group involved a normal BP setup but the pitcher would throw different types of pitches and we would have certain situations and counts for each round.

Tyler Wolfe @twolfie3 20 hours ago
Other teams would be down the line laughing at us because we would be breaking bats and barely getting balls out of the cage. Then we would go out and score 6+ runs every game and kick the crap out of them. And of course we had a blast motion sensor on for every BP and game swing.

Tyler Wolfe twolfie3 20 hours ago
One last thing about the Astros that is my favorite to share: In extended spring we only had one tee in the whole complex. We couldn’t use it unless we were doing a drill with a coach, otherwise it was off limits. Usually the drills off the tee only involved a pvc pipe or towel.

304
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 12, 2019, 05:56:41 pm »
Alvarez, Kemp, and Valdez. Who says no?

I'd do that in a heartbeat but you might have to throw JBB into the deal as well to entice the Indians and make it a 4 for 1. And I think I'd do that deal also.
 

305
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 12, 2019, 04:39:43 pm »
Morosi says Padres (and Dodgers) still talking with Indians re Kluber. Tribe seems interested in major league ready players, including outfielders and possibly a starting pitcher (young, cheap and controlled is what I get from reading that).

306
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 12, 2019, 02:32:32 pm »
And Mark Feinsand had Jake's agreed salary...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM  Actual: $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM  Actual: $5.8MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($5MM vs $4.25MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.2MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.1MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   Actual: $2.2MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM   ($1.65MM vs $1.4MM)

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2019 agreed salary (or exchanged figures)

307
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 12, 2019, 02:11:12 pm »
Sonny Gray's agreed salary with the Yankees yesterday came in significantly less than the MLBTR estimate of $9.1MM making him even more attractive as a trade candidate...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$7.5MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen

308
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 12, 2019, 01:38:27 pm »
Nightengale with Correa's exchanged figures, Devo's exchanged figures and salaries for McHugh and Osuna...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM  Actual: $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM  Actual: $5.8MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($5MM vs $4.25MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.225MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.11MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM   ($1.65MM vs $1.4MM)

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2019 agreed salary (or exchanged figures)

309
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 10:02:20 pm »
Astros' arb cases under Luhnow/Crane:

2012 (0)
2013 (0)
2014 (0)
2015 (0)
2016 (1)
  -Castro (5MM vs 5.25MM)  Astros Won
2017 (1)
  -McHugh (3.35MM vs 3.85MM)  Astros Lost
2018 (2)
  -McHugh (4.55MM vs 5MM) Astros Lost
  -Giles (4.2MM vs 4.6MM)  Astros Lost

Not a particularly winning strategy for the Astros thus far with net losses of $1.1MM (not taking into account all the man-hours put in prepping cases to present the arbitrator).

310
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 07:34:25 pm »
Cole's exchanged figures per Heyman...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($13.5MM vs $11.425MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM 
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM 
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  Actual: $4.225MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   Actual: $3.11MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2019 agreed salary (or exchanged figures)

311
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 11, 2019, 06:42:27 pm »
In that Martin deal, Blue Jays hung a bag with $16.4MM in it around his neck and in return got a pair of low-rated prospects from the Dodgers...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM (traded to Yankees)
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.4MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM (traded to Dodgers)
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM (traded to Rays)

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM (traded to Cardinals)
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM (traded to Indians)
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$10MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

312
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 06:26:37 pm »
Astros with 3 of the 15 unsettled cases at this stage...

Jeff Passan  @JeffPassan 3m ago
The full list of players who did not reach arbitration settlement, per league sources:
- Arenado
- Barraclough
- Bauer
- Cole
- Correa
- Devenski
- Fulmer
- McFarland
- Nola
- Pham
- Severino
- Taylor
- Tepera
- Treinen
- Wood

313
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 05:13:06 pm »
Has Correa actually accepted any contract from the Astros since agreeing to his draft bonus? He’s made them renew him each year, right?

Cots says they've all been renewals.

314
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 04:22:50 pm »
Marisnick, McHugh and Osuna also settled (though salary info has yet to be shared) leaving Cole, Correa and Devo to go to hearings.

315
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 03:08:59 pm »
Will Harris has settled...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($6.75MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM   ($5.3MM)
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM   ($5.0MM)
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($1.0MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   ($2.45MM)  Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  ($2.8MM)  Actual: $4.225MM
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   ($1.6MM)  Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   ($2.44MM)  Actual: $3.11MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   ($1.9MM)
Chris Herrmann--$1.5MM (n/a)
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM  ($0.6MM)

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2018 salary vs 2019 agreed salary

316
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 02:12:40 pm »
LMJ sorted out as Bench noted...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($6.75MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM   ($5.3MM)
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM   ($5.0MM)
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($1.0MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   ($2.45MM)  Actual: $4.1MM
Will Harris – $3.6MM  ($2.8MM)
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   ($1.6MM)  Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   ($2.44MM)  Actual: $3.11MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   ($1.9MM)
Chris Herrmann--$1.5MM (n/a)
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM  ($0.6MM)

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2018 salary vs 2019 agreed salary

317
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 11, 2019, 01:45:19 pm »
He was damn good (not just lucky) away from Yankee Stadium last year. Not sure I’d pin my hopes on him, but it’s easy to imagine him returning to form.

Definitely not James. Bukauskas maybe.

Agree with you--I'd be tempted to part with JBB for Gray. At $9.1MM he doesn't bust the budget either and still would allow Luhnow a fair amount of payroll flexibility.

318
Talk Zone / Re: Arb-Eligible Players 2018
« on: January 11, 2019, 01:24:12 pm »
Astros have settled with Peacock and Pressly...

Gerrit Cole – $13.1MM   ($6.75MM)
Roberto Osuna – $6.5MM   ($5.3MM)
Collin McHugh – $5.4MM   ($5.0MM)
Carlos Correa – $5.1MM   ($1.0MM)
Lance McCullers – $4.6MM   ($2.45MM)
Will Harris – $3.6MM  ($2.8MM)
Ryan Pressly – $3.1MM   ($1.6MM) Actual: $2.9MM
Brad Peacock – $2.9MM   ($2.44MM) Actual: $3.11MM
Jake Marisnick – $2.4MM   ($1.9MM)
Chris Herrmann--$1.5MM (n/a)
Chris Devenski – $1.4MM  ($0.6MM)

MLBTR 2019 estimate vs 2018 salary vs 2019 agreed salary

319
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 10, 2019, 08:11:47 pm »
What NYY is looking for in return for Gray...

Jon Heyman  @JonHeyman 56m ago
Reds still among teams with interest in Sonny Gray. He has close connection with Reds pitching coach Derek Johnson. Yankees believed interested in multiple pitching prospects -- good ones in the category of [Tony] Santillan, [Vladimir] Gutierrez and [Keury] Mella. upper level guys with a chance.


Santillan/Gutierrez/Mella are the Reds' 6th, 10th and 18th ranked prospects with FVs of 50, 45 and 40 respectively (rankings/valuations per Fangraphs). I'm guessing that at best the Yankees would only be able to pry 2 of those pitchers from the Reds, probably Gutierrez and Mella. Comparable pitchers for the Astros are JBB (FV 45) and either Framber Valdez (FV 40) or Dean Deetz (FV 40).

320
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 10, 2019, 06:03:26 pm »
Added Toronto, San Diego, Boston and Detroit...

Minor Leagues
Casey Candaele--manager at short season Vancouver/skill development coordinator (Blue Jays)
Adam Everett--infield coordinator (Braves)
Mike Brumley--hitting coordinator (Braves)
Doug Mansolino--field coordinator (Braves)
Dave Wallace--director of pitching (Braves)
Greg Gross--hitting coach @ AAA Reno (D-Backs)
Doug Drabek--pitching coach @ AA Jackson (D-Backs)
Franklin Stubbs--hitting coach @ short-season Hillsboro (D-Backs)
Randy Knorr--manager @ AAA Fresno (Nats)
Jimmy Jones--pitching coach @ AA Amarillo (Padres)
Burt Hooton--pitching coach @ low-A Fort Wayne (Padres)
John Halama--pitching coach @ short-season Peoria (Padres
Jonathan Meyer--fielding coach @ short-season Peoria (Padres)

Danny Darwin--pitching coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Daryle Ward--hitting coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Ricky Gutierrez--manager @ hi-A Daytona (Reds)
Rich Gedman--hitting coach @ AAA Pawtucket (Red Sox)
Doug Henry--pitching coach @ AA Northwest Arkansas (Royals)
Brooks Conrad--manager @ low-A Lexington (Royals)
Harry Spilman--special ass't to player development (Royals)
Leon Roberts--senior hitting advisor (Royals)
Willie Blair--pitching coach @ low-A West Michigan (Tigers)

321
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 10, 2019, 04:56:01 pm »
Lowrie off the board as he signs with the Mets...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

322
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 10, 2019, 04:26:10 pm »
In his latest inbox, appears that McTaggart also shares (or at least leans toward) the view that Kemp is the odd man out at this point...

Quote
The Astros typically carry 12 position players, so at this point that would be Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, Yuli Gurriel, Aledmys Diaz, Robinson Chirinos, Max Stassi, Brantley, Springer, Reddick and Marisnick. The other spot would be between Tyler White or Kemp, I'd imagine. White's power potential -- he had a .888 OPS last year in 210 at-bats -- makes him a strong candidate to get at-bats at designated hitter.

323
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 10, 2019, 03:34:57 pm »
Ken Rosenthal  @Ken_Rosenthal 5h ago
From a scout who recently saw free-agent LHP Wade Miley throw a bullpen: “He hasn’t changed since the post season. Every pitch was down with plus command of FB, CH, CB and cutter. He’s in great shape and clearly on a mission.”

Decided to add him below since he also shows up well in the spin rate category...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

324
Talk Zone / Re: AL West News 2019
« on: January 09, 2019, 05:10:01 pm »
With today's Shelby Miller signing...

Evan Grant  @Evan_P_Grant 9m ago
Miller signing gives Rangers a  rotation of
 
Mike Minor (Shoulder surgery '15)
Lance Lynn (Tommy John '15)
Drew Smyly (TJ '17)
Shelby Miller (TJ '17)
Edinson Volquez (TJ '17)

325
Talk Zone / Re: Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 09, 2019, 03:47:07 pm »
First time hearing of the (almost) football career of former Astros' OF Leon Roberts...

Quote
I tried out for the Houston Oilers in '77 as an end/punter and had their team made. There was really nobody in the way of two-sport stars back then. Dave DeBusschere did it a little bit. Pitched for the White Sox and played for the Pistons. Gene Conley pitched with the Red Sox and played basketball for the Celtics. I was going to play (football) only on Sundays and then when the baseball season was over play full time. We had it all set up and then the (Astros') front office found out about it and upped my salary to buy me out of it.

That Astros' FO then traded him in December to the Mariners.

326
Talk Zone / El Tortugo
« on: January 09, 2019, 03:09:44 pm »
Snowflakes who're triggered by HR celebrations shouldn't read/watch this on Willians Astudillo.

327
Talk Zone / Ex-Astros News 2019
« on: January 09, 2019, 02:50:16 pm »
I'll expand this as time/interest warrants and clubs issue more press releases as to 2019 staffing...

Minor Leagues
Adam Everett--infield coordinator (Braves)
Mike Brumley--hitting coordinator (Braves)
Doug Mansolino--field coordinator (Braves)
Dave Wallace--director of pitching (Braves)
Greg Gross--hitting coach @ AAA Reno (D-Backs)
Doug Drabek--pitching coach @ AA Jackson (D-Backs)
Franklin Stubbs--hitting coach @ short-season Hillsboro (D-Backs)
Randy Knorr--manager @ AAA Fresno (Nats)
Danny Darwin--pitching coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Daryle Ward--hitting coach @ AA Chattanooga (Reds)
Ricky Gutierrez--manager @ hi-A Daytona (Reds)
Doug Henry--pitching coach @ AA Northwest Arkansas (Royals)
Brooks Conrad--manager @ low-A Lexington (Royals)
Harry Spilman--special ass't to player development (Royals)
Leon Roberts--senior hitting advisor (Royals)


328
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 09, 2019, 02:12:40 pm »
Interesting: Crane said he still expects Luhnow to add a bat and a pitcher, “I’m sure we’ll make 2 or 3 moves before it’s done.”
Fuller quotes from Crane:

Mark Berman @MarkBermanFox26 2h ago
Owner Jim Crane on potential #Astros moves coming up: "Jeff's (Luhnow) still looking for a couple pieces. I know he's looking for another bat possibly and another starting pitcher. He's studying that hard. He's very efficient. I have confidence he'll eventually get something done".

Mark Berman @MarkBermanFox26 1h ago
While Jim Crane says Jeff Luhnow looks to possibly add a bat & a starting pitcher other moves could still be made: "You never know. We might add something to the back of the bullpen. Everything's possible at this point, but I'm sure we'll make 2 or 3 moves before everything's over".

329
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 08, 2019, 04:49:45 pm »
Prospects Live updates their list adding Santana at #14  while dropping off Jeremy Pena...

5 or More Prospect Lists (20)
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL   
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
C Garrett Stubbs....................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF J.J. Matijevic.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Brandon Bielak..............FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL
3B Joe Perez...........................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Dean Deetz....................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
LHP Framber Valdez.............FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Cristian Javier................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Myles Straw......................BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL

4 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Riley Ferrell....................FG/BA/MP/Sickels
3B Abraham Toro..................FG/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Ronnie Dawson................BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Tyler Ivey........................FG/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Peter Solomon...............FG/MP/Sickels/PL

3 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Bryan Abreu...................FG/MP/PL
RHP Jayson Schroeder...........FG/MP/PL
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/MP/PL
RHP Brandon Bailey...............FG/Sickels/PL
RHP Trent Thornton..............MP/Sickels/PL

2 Prospect Lists (6)
RHP Elian Rodriguez..............BA/Sickels
2B Luis Santana......................MP/PL
SS Jeremy Pena.......................FG/MP
SS Miguelangel Sierra............BA/Sickels
OF Carlos Machado................BP/Sickels
C Nathan Perry.......................BP/Sickels
RHP Jandel Gustave...............FG/BA
1B Randy Cesar......................MP/PL

1 Prospect List (19)
OF Ross Adolph......................MP
LHP Reymin Guduan.............FG
RHP Manny Ramirez.............FG
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte.............FG   
RHP Carlos Sanabria.............FG
SS Deury Carrasco.................FG
RHP Cody Deason..................FG   
LHP Kit Scheetz......................FG
RHP Enoli Paredes.................FG
RHP Luis Garcia......................BA
RHP Johanse Torres...............BA
LHP Brett Adcock...................Sickels
C Michael Papierski................Sickels
C Lorenzo Quintana...............Sickels
C Chuckie Robinson...............Sickels
RHP Leovanny Rodriguez......Sickels
RHP Carlos Sierra...................Sickels
LHP Alex Winkelman..............Sickels
RHP Heitor Tokar....................PL

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--24
LHP--6
C--5
2B--1
3B--2
SS--5
UTIL--1
OF--9


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (as adjusted by their midseason update for the Top 10 prospects) + one bonus supplemental prospect (sent with prospect handbook) + three "rising prospects" from the midseason update
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 21 Prospects
MP = MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/6/19)
Sickels = Minor League Ball's Preseason Top 20 Prospects + nineteen "other C+ prospects" from that preseason list + future additions noted in his midseason review article
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/8/19)

330
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 07, 2019, 07:58:01 pm »
Some comments on the two other players received in the JD Davis trade with Ross Adolph first...

MLB Pipeline
After having multiple knee surgeries earlier in his career, Adolph led the Mid-American Conference and set a Toledo record with 15 homers in 2018. Adolph offers both plus raw power and speed. He has the strength to drive the ball out the park to all fields, with most of his present power coming to his pull side, though he'll need to tighten his strike zone to hit for average against more advanced pitching. While teams were wary of his medical history, he's still quick and has the upside of a 20-20 player. Despite his quickness, Adolph is still a work in progress defensively. He played center field for the Rockets and saw duty at all three outfield spots in his first season in pro ball. He has an average arm and probably fits best in a corner.

Baseball America
The lefthanded-hitting Adolph is a grinding outfielder who can play all three outfield positions and shows above-average raw power. He is prone to striking out, but he takes competitive at-bats and makes hard contact when he connects. He even showed speed with 12 triples and 14 stolen bases at Brooklyn.

Fangraphs
Adolph,22, is an interesting small-school sleeper who hit .322/.445/.654 as a junior at Toledo, then signed for $125,000 as a 2018 12th rounder. He continued to rake at short-season Brooklyn after signing, hitting .276/.348/.509 and swiping 14 bases (on 17 attempts) in 60 games. He’s an above-average runner with good instincts in center field, and there’s a chance he can stay there. He could be a 50 bat with gap power who is playable in center, which would make him at least a viable big league fourth outfielder.  We whiffed on him pre-draft but our sources who saw him in pro ball raved and I’m very interested to see how he hits in full-season ball next year because I think the industry’s error bars on small school bats are pretty large due to the quality of pitching they face.

Prospects Live
He’s a solid defensive centerfielder, with some power and the ability to run. At the plate he sets up at the back of the batter’s box, slightly closed, hands in with his bat on his shoulder. This allows Adolph to turn on fastballs in on his hand and drive them to his pull side. More than likely system depth in the end, but Adolph has enough skills to fight for the big leagues one day.


And now Scott Manea...

Baseball America
[Scott] Manea is an offensive-minded catcher with pull-side power who is working to improve his receiving and catch and throw skills. He packs solid-average raw power in his bulky 5-foot-11, 216-pound frame and controls the strike zone well, limiting his strikeouts. He's physically maxed out and not particularly athletic behind the plate, which limits his ability to improve defensively. He caught in only 65 of the 100 games he played at Columbia, although he showed arm strength by throwing out 37 percent of attempted basestealers.

Fangraphs
Manea, 23, was drafted by Seattle out of high school but didn’t sign. He transferred to St. Petersburg College in Florida after his freshman year at NC State, but wasn’t drafted after his sophomore year despite being eligible. He had a good summer for the Wachusett Dirt Dawgs of the Futures Collegiate Baseball League and was eligible to sign as an undrafted free agent, which he did with the Mets in late July of 2016. He’s a heavy-bodied catcher with power who hit .261/.368/.432 at Low-A Columbia last year. Manea’s a below-average receiver who lets his target sag as his pitcher starts to deliver the ball home, which means he has to come back to that spot with his glove, creating a lot of unnecessary movement that isn’t great for stealing strikes. He’s also a well-below average athlete and thrower, so he probably can’t catch.

Prospects Live
The 2018 season was a breakout for Manea as he made strides both at the plate and behind it. He hit career highs in nearly every statistical category, trading in some walks for a massive increase in pull-side power. Another profile on the upswing, but more than likely a system depth player.

331
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 06, 2019, 04:51:52 pm »
Luis Santana enters the MLB Pipeline Top 30 list at #22. OF Ross Adolph, one of the other prospects coming in the JD Davis trade, added at #30. Pitchers Brandon Bailey and Brett Adcock dropped off the list.

5 or More Prospect Lists (20)
OF Kyle Tucker.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL   
RHP Forrest Whitley..............FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Yordan Alvarez.................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
LHP Cionel Perez...................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Corbin Martin................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
SS Freudis Nova.....................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP J.B. Bukauskas................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
C Garrett Stubbs....................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Rogelio Armenteros......FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Jairo Solis........................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF J.J. Matijevic.......................FG/BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Seth Beer..........................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Josh James......................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Brandon Bielak..............FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
SS Jonathan Arauz.................FG/BA/BP/MP/PL
3B Joe Perez...........................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Dean Deetz....................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
LHP Framber Valdez.............FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Cristian Javier................FG/BA/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Myles Straw......................BA/BP/MP/Sickels/PL

4 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Riley Ferrell....................FG/BA/MP/Sickels
3B Abraham Toro..................FG/MP/Sickels/PL
OF Ronnie Dawson................BA/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Tyler Ivey........................FG/MP/Sickels/PL
RHP Peter Solomon...............FG/MP/Sickels/PL

3 Prospect Lists (5)
RHP Bryan Abreu...................FG/MP/PL
RHP Jayson Schroeder...........FG/MP/PL
OF Alex McKenna...................FG/MP/PL
SS Jeremy Pena.......................FG/MP/PL
RHP Brandon Bailey..............FG/Sickels/PL
RHP Trent Thornton..............MP/Sickels/PL

2 Prospect Lists (4)
RHP Elian Rodriguez..............BA/Sickels
SS Miguelangel Sierra...........BA/Sickels
OF Carlos Machado...............BP/Sickels
C Nathan Perry......................BP/Sickels
RHP Jandel Gustave...............FG/BA
1B Randy Cesar......................MP/PL

1 Prospect List (20)
2B Luis Santana.....................MP
OF Ross Adolph......................MP
LHP Reymin Guduan.............FG
RHP Manny Ramirez.............FG
UTIL Osvaldo Duarte.............FG   
RHP Carlos Sanabria.............FG
SS Deury Carrasco.................FG
RHP Cody Deason..................FG   
LHP Kit Scheetz......................FG
RHP Enoli Paredes.................FG
RHP Luis Garcia......................BA
RHP Johanse Torres...............BA
LHP Brett Adcock...................Sickels
C Michael Papierski................Sickels
C Lorenzo Quintana...............Sickels
C Chuckie Robinson...............Sickels
RHP Leovanny Rodriguez......Sickels
RHP Carlos Sierra...................Sickels
LHP Alex Winkelman..............Sickels
RHP Heitor Tokar....................PL

Positional Breakdown:
RHP--24
LHP--6
C--5
2B--1
3B--2
SS--5
UTIL--1
OF--9


FG = Fangraph's "The Board" (37 players)
BA = Baseball America's Preseason Top 30 Prospects (as adjusted by their midseason update for the Top 10 prospects) + one bonus supplemental prospect (sent with prospect handbook) + three "rising prospects" from the midseason update
BP = Baseball Prospectus' Preseason Top 21 Prospects
MP = MLB Pipeline's Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 1/6/19)
Sickels = Minor League Ball's Preseason Top 20 Prospects + nineteen "other C+ prospects" from that preseason list + future additions noted in his midseason review article
PL = Prospects Live Top 30 Prospects (retrieved 11/19/18)

332
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 06, 2019, 02:02:02 pm »
A roundup of comments on 19-year old INF Luis Santana, one of three Mets' minor leaguers acquired in today's JD Davis trade:

Eric Longenhagen @longenhagen 1h ago
Luis Santana was going to be 10th on the Mets list that will still drop tomorrow. We really like the bat and think he stays on the middle infield.

eithlaw  @keithlaw 1h ago
Santana’s interesting for a smaller guy, with a potentially plus hit tool. Shrewd pickup for Houston.

Ben Badler @BenBadler 1h ago
Big fan of Luis Santana going to the Astros. Young, hard-nosed 2B with great-hand eye who knows the strike zone and barrels it up consistently.


From the MLB Pipeline writeup:

Quote
here have been enough players, especially middle infielders, who have overcome the "undersized" label to have Major League success. That's why it might be a mistake to overlook the 5-foot-8 Santana, who was having a huge United States debut in the Appalachian League after two summers in the Dominican Summer League.

Two things stand out for the second baseman: his knack for contact and his high-energy play. His career has been brief, but he's always hit, with a quick swing and very few strikeouts. He might never be a huge power guy, but he is capable of driving the ball with more strength than you'd expect, and he already is showing a very advanced approach at the plate and a willingness to draw walks. He's an average runner who should be capable enough at second defensively.

Santana loves to compete and his makeup, when combined with his hit tool, gave the Mets confidence to jump him over the Gulf Coast League up to the Appy League in 2018, where he was one of the league's best hitters. That ability to swing the bat should carry him up the ladder, and if he can maintain that approach, a future as an everyday offensive-minded second baseman awaits.


333
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 06, 2019, 01:33:37 pm »
And then there were 38...

Pitchers (20)
Abreu
Armenteros
Cole
Deetz
Devenski
Guduan
Harris
James
Martes (questionable whether he's moved to 60-day DL due to possible service time implications)
McCullers (almost certainly gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training)
McHugh
Osuna
Peacock (out of options)
Perez
Pressly
Rodgers
Rondon
Smith (probably gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training if spot needed)
Valdez
Verlander

Catchers (3)
Chirinos
Stassi (out of options)
Stubbs*

Infielders [7]
Altuve
Bregman
Correa
Diaz
Gurriel
Reed*
White (out of options)

Outfielders [8]
Brantley*
Fisher*
Kemp* (out of options)
Marisnick (can elect free agency under Article XIX(A) if sent to minors 40 days after the season starts)
Reddick*
Springer
Straw
Tucker*

*Lefty-hitting

334
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 09:58:13 pm »
In his The Athletic column today, Rosenthal says the multi-year offer Keuchel turned down from the Astros back in early 2016 was for  5 yrs/$90MM and would have bought out his final 2 arb years (2017 &2018) and his first 3 years of free agency. Taking into account his subsequent $22.35MM in arb earnings, he'll have to receive a guarantee of more than $67.65MM under any new contract to have come out ahead.

(Rosenthal's reporting also summarized in MLBTR)

335
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 09:19:51 pm »
Britton heads to  the Bronx...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

336
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 07:50:33 pm »
Mostly because they’re cheap. Also because of my pie in the sky optimism.

As far as Karns and TOS I’ve always thought he was underrated and Tyson Ross, Vince Velasquez and Matt Harvey all had good to decent seasons. Has there been an improvement in the recovery process or is it just small sample size?

I think the red flag with Karns is that he's now going on 20 months without having pitched again (and 18 months since having the surgery). There were some reports of elbow inflammation more recently so that may explain the slow return. Either way, he's probably not someone you'd count on going in to the 2019 season (particularly if you're a contending team like the Astros).

Although as you say he would come cheap (almost certainly a minor league deal).

337
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 06:09:47 pm »
Gio, Karns, Brett Anderson, Buchholz. I’d be happy with any of them.

Curious as to why you'd be happy with the latter three. Karns hasn't pitched since mid-May 2017 after undergoing TOS surgery which is notoriously hard to recover from. Buchholz's extensive injury history was detailed in the other thread. Anderson has alternated between sucking and being hurt for most of his career (twice undergoing back surgery).

338
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 03:58:15 pm »
Added  Gio to the FA list...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

339
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 05, 2019, 03:47:44 pm »
I think Gio's curve rates high on the almighty spin-rate list, too. And perhaps the fact that Luhnow's protege Stearns traded for him in MIL last year is an indication that the analytics like his potential... if the 25 IP he threw for the BrewCrew are any indication, maybe they did help him: 5.0 H/9, 0.7 HR/9, 2.13 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, after putting up very sub-par stats for the Nats prior to the trade.

Went back to his 4-seamer and away from his sinker when he got to the Brewers (comparable to his usage rates in 2017 when he had a lot of success).

340
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Top Prospect Lists 2018-2019
« on: January 03, 2019, 12:02:58 pm »
BAlso mentioned the following as rising prospects:
  • Johanse Torres--way too old for DSL but "95-99 FB and a potentially plus slider are worth paying attention to"

In their annual list of "Century Club" rankings, Baseball America lists Torres as one of 3 junior stros who reached triple digits this past season (Reymin Guduan and Josh James the others). FWIW, 62 pitchers in total made the list (compared to 81 in 2017).



341
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 02, 2019, 01:09:53 pm »
Jeff Passan quotes an exec as saying that Yasmani Grandal might be this year's version of Mike Moustakas as someone who was looking for a multi-year contract but may end up accepting a 1-year pillow contract.

(MLBTR)

342
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: January 01, 2019, 12:16:18 pm »
The only two estimates I've seen for a contract were 6 yrs @ $7MM AAV (MLBTR) and 3 yrs @ $10MM AAV (Ken Davidoff). Posting fee is 20% of the 1st $25MM and 17.5% of the next $25MM. Important to note that the release fee (aka posting fee) is NOT subject to the CBT.

It actually turned out to be a fairly rich deal with guaranteed money significantly above those estimates--3 yrs @ $14.33 AAV with a player option of $13MM for a 4th year (for a total guarantee of $56MM). The release fee would tack another $10MM or so on to that total. Not quite sure what the Mariners were thinking agreeing to a deal at that price.

343
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: December 31, 2018, 07:18:15 pm »
Lefty  Yusei Kikuchi's deadline for signing with a US club is Wednesday at 2PM after being posted by the Seibu Lions a month ago. The only two estimates I've seen for a contract were 6 yrs @ $7MM AAV (MLBTR) and 3 yrs @ $10MM AAV (Ken Davidoff). Posting fee is 20% of the 1st $25MM and 17.5% of the next $25MM. Important to note that the release fee (aka posting fee) is NOT subject to the CBT.

So Kikuchi apprently has been in LA the past couple of weeks negotiating with clubs (although reportedly today he was visiting the Mariners). His agent is...Scott Boras. Boras I'm sure has hordes of subordinates so the fact he took time out to visit Houston during that time is probably of zero note. OTOH, the price tag for Kikuchi may not be extremely high (at least based on those two estimates) so despite the lack of evidence elsewhere could the Astros be making a stealth approach there?

344
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: December 31, 2018, 08:37:24 am »
    Added a few more names that folks have mentioned and that there has been trade speculation about...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)
  • Dylan Bundy--3 yrs/$3MM (#57 on spin rate list)
  • Aaron Sanchez--2 yrs/$3.8MM (#28 on spin rate list)
  • Michael Fulmer--4 yrs/$3MM (#141 on spin rate list)
  • Chris Stratton--4 yrs/$600K (#12 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitchers who show up on this Statcast search screen[/list]

345
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: December 29, 2018, 09:42:23 pm »
Added some more names mentioned recently in the other thread...

TRADE POSSIBILITIES

(years of control/2019 salary)

Pitchers
  • Sonny Gray--1 yr/$9.1MM (#9 on spin rate list)
  • James Paxton--2 yrs/$9MM
  • Corey Kluber--3 yrs/$17MM (#17 on spin rate list)
  • Carlos Carrasco--2 yrs/$9.75MM
  • Zack Greinke--3 yrs/$34.1MM (#74 on spin rate list)
  • Robbie Ray--2 yrs/$6.1MM (#169 on spin rate list)
  • Rich Hill--1 yr/$18.7MM (#10 on spin rate list)
  • Mike Minor--2 yrs/$9.8MM (#19 on spin rate list)
  • Marcus Stroman--2 yrs/$7.2MM
  • Seth Lugo--4 yrs/$600K (#4 on spin rate list)
  • Rick Porcello--1 yr/$21.1MM (#13 on spin rate list)

Catchers
  • J.T. Realmuto--2 yrs/$6.1MM
  • Salvador Perez--3 yrs/$11.2MM
  • Yan Gomes--3 yrs/$7.1MM (traded to Nats)
  • Russell Martin--1 yr/$20MM
  • Francisco Cervelli--1 yr/$11.5MM
  • Mike Zunino--2 yrs/$4.2MM

1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Paul Goldschmidt--1 yr/$14.5MM
  • Jose Abreu--1 yr/$16MM
  • Carlos Santana**--2 yrs/$15MM
  • CJ Cron--2 yrs/$5.2MM (DFA'd & then claimed by the Twins)
  • Jose Martinez--4 yrs/$600K
  • Justin Smoak**--1 yr/$8MM
  • Nick Castellanos--1 yr/$11.3MM
  • Brandon Belt*--3 yrs/$17.2MM
  • Edwin Encarnacion--1 yr/$25MM

REMAINING FREE AGENTS

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

Spin rate list = out of the 228 pitches who show up on this Statcast search screen

346
Talk Zone / 2019 Roster (New & Improved)
« on: December 29, 2018, 09:40:05 pm »
Thought the other thread was getting a bit unwieldy so as we head into the new year a new thread...

Pitchers (20)
Abreu
Armenteros
Cole
Deetz
Devenski
Guduan
Harris
James
Martes (questionable whether he's moved to 60-day DL due to possible service time implications)
McCullers (almost certainly gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training)
McHugh
Osuna
Peacock (out of options)
Perez
Pressly
Rodgers
Rondon
Smith (probably gets moved to 60-day DL during spring training if spot needed)
Valdez
Verlander

Catchers (3)
Chirinos
Stassi (out of options)
Stubbs*

Infielders [8]
Altuve
Bregman
Correa
Davis
Diaz
Gurriel
Reed*
White (out of options)

Outfielders [8]
Brantley*
Fisher*
Kemp* (out of options)
Marisnick (can elect free agency under Article XIX(A) if sent to minors 40 days after the season starts)
Reddick*
Springer
Straw
Tucker*

*Lefty-hitting

347
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster
« on: December 28, 2018, 08:45:24 pm »
Angels git a catcher as Lucroy continues his tour of the AL West...

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

348
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Offseason Transactions 2018-2019
« on: December 28, 2018, 03:53:59 pm »
OF Carlos Diaz has appeared on the wrong side of the transactions list. The 14th-rounder (2017) out of Puerto Rico was like Yoanys Quiala suspended for PED use this past season and has been largely ineffective with the bat since being drafted.

And also like Quiala now finds himself released.

349
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Fall & Winter Leagues 2018-2019
« on: December 28, 2018, 02:43:38 pm »
Performances over the last week:
  • After playing a handful of games earlier in the LIDOM, INF Osvaldo Duarte has joined Carolina in the LBPRC and has gone 2-9 over his first couple of games.
  • INF Nick Tanielu has reported to Aukland in the ABL and went 2-11 with a double in three games there.
  • OF Wilyer Abreu joins Zulia in LVBP, going 5-19 over the past week but with 7 Ks.
  • C Cesar Salazar went 4-17 in the week including his first LMP homer.
  • LHP Jervic Chavez signed on with Caracas and had a smooth first outing in the LVBP, K'ing 2 in a scoreless frame.

350
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster
« on: December 28, 2018, 02:20:50 pm »
Added a couple of names...

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
Multi-Position

Bold=QO of 17.9 is in place

*Lefty hitter
**Switch-hitter

351
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster
« on: December 28, 2018, 01:36:20 pm »
Jon Morosi  @jonmorosi 5h ago
Source: #Brewers remain prominent in Sonny Gray talks with #Yankees. #Reds were involved earlier this offseason but have faded somewhat due to additions of Wood and Roark.

352
Talk Zone / Re: 2019 Roster
« on: December 27, 2018, 09:54:30 am »
The free agent options (cough...cough) narrow...

Heyman's expert vs Heyman vs MLBTR vs Bowden vs Davidoff (length of [email protected]$AAV):

Pitchers
Catchers
1B/DH and/or LF (mostly)
  • Nelson Cruz: