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« on: May 26, 2006, 11:52:51 am »
Sorry if this has been discussed already, but what the hay: the simple question is "can we make a better use of Burke to improve our team?"
My basic philosphy is that I am generally willing to sacrifice a good bit of defense, for a larger improvement in offense. I am not well versed in the metrics, but we have some anemic offensive players, and I am going to assume Burke could post an OPS of 800. I actually feel a higher value is much more likely than a lower.
At any rate, based on that assumption, I always look to some of my usual suspects for replacement. First is Everett. I will assume (graciously at this point in the season) that his year end OPS will be 660. I have read that the organization does not consider Burke a shortstop, and I will grant that he can't field the position like Everett, but given Burke's athleticism and experience with the position in the past, I doubt he is a stiff out there. Therefore, it seems logical to me to give Burke a lot of playing time at short. Thoughts?
My second candidate for replacement might be heresy to many Astro fans, but it is Taveras. I realize one could easily argue for Wilson, or even Lane, but I can project Wilson and Lane with OPSs of 750 (to much higher), but I just don't ever project Willy to have an OPS much over 700, certainly not this year. In fact, I read one of the sports writers this morning talk about not trading Willy and I thought "If there is just one other team that projects this guy as valuable, let's make a deal now." At any rate, one could move Burke to left, and Wilson to center.
At any rate, without a trade, or trying some minor leaguers, I see Burke as our best unused offensive talent, and would like to get him in the everyday lineup.
Disclaimer. I'm sort of new to a lot of the new offensive metrics, and used OPS as my measure. There may be better measures, but I doubt they would make Adam's or Willy's offensive production look much better.