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Messages - AllHailCaptainCorrea

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1
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: July 19, 2015, 11:16:46 pm »
For those that have kind of written Colin Moran off, his July splits are .361/.426/.492 /.918

Yep, he's been on fire. Hopefully he'll he grow into a bit more power eventually. He's still pretty skinny.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Fresno 2015
« on: July 19, 2015, 11:14:55 pm »
There was a guy named Roy Halladay.  It took him a few years to figure things out.  But the Blue Jays held on to him because he had good stuff and potential.  It seems short sighted to me to want to give up on Appel this early, especially for a 3 month rental.

I certainly understand this point of view as well.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Fresno 2015
« on: July 19, 2015, 10:37:48 pm »
Appel cored and gored: 4 runs allowed on a single, 2 doubles, 2 HRs and 2 walks in 4 innings. 86 pitches, just 49 for strikes.

I realize this guy still has good stuff and potential...but would you just go ahead and cash him in even for a rental like Cueto, Samardzija, etc??? It would probably be best for him too since there are rumblings a change of scenery is what he needs.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Appel's First Round Reflections Blog
« on: July 17, 2015, 04:50:57 pm »
https://firstroundreflections.wordpress.com/2015/07/17/july-16-2014/

One year ago today in a locker room in Lancaster, my life changed. Find out why.

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Talk Zone / Re: Say Hello to Fresno
« on: July 08, 2015, 03:57:49 pm »
Are Japanese pitchers regarded as particularly durable? I know they throw a lot more when they're young than pitchers do here, but do they hold up any better over their careers as a result?

Also, don't NPB pitchers start only once a week? No idea what standard practice is for bullpen sessions between starts though.
Seems like a lot of them have arm troubles. Or maybe it's just the well-known ones....Tanaka, Darvish, Matsuzaka, Iwakuma

6
Talk Zone / Re: Former Astros news
« on: July 08, 2015, 03:53:26 pm »
He never got a chance last spring.  Even after revamping his swing and performing well in winter ball.  He didn't make a minor adjustment, he completely changed his swing.   I'm happy for JD, but the Astros brass wrote him off before the spring started and they paid for it.   It's not like they had this year's outfield blocking him.  Last year's opening day lineup included Guzman at first with Grossman and Hoes in the outfield.  The front office has made some real good moves but this clearly was a mistake.  I would guess that after Luhnow retires and reflects on his career, JD will be in his top 3 list of mistakes.   Not knocking Luhnow, everyone makes mistakes.  Heck considers Trout a mistake and he had 20 other teams in the same boat.
J.D. was put on waivers and not one team claimed him. Not even Detroit. And then they only brought him in as a free agent bc of Clark. Seems like most of the league thought J.D. was worthless and they've been proven wrong.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: DSL - 2015
« on: July 04, 2015, 12:39:20 am »
Excited about Sierra and Perez. Rafael seems extremely raw and that may be an understatement. Supposedly he's very talented, though, and a hard worker. That at least gives him a shot.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Quad Cities
« on: July 03, 2015, 11:00:34 pm »
It was behind a paywall, but if it is just one quote, I'll assume it is OK. An unnamed scout says "I know Touki Toussaint gets all the hype because of the draft slot and the trade, and I like Touki, but I'll take Martes over him all day."

I didn't realize Touissant was in a trade, but I remember seeing him in the futures game, iirc.

DBacks traded Toussaint to the Braves mostly in order to get the rest of Arroyo's contract off their books. Trade has been widely panned.

9
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Quad Cities
« on: July 03, 2015, 10:40:26 pm »
I see Martes with another good outing. Saw a quote from a scout in BP saying he would take Martes over Touki Toissaint and I thought that was a nice thought. What is the story on Marte?  Was he a highly regarded signing or just a development success?

Martes was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2012 for $78,000.  He was a pitch ability RHP that sat in the upper 80′s, but has managed to jump into the 90-94 realm.  Obviously the 18 year old will be very raw and will be a major project, but it’s the kind of project worth taking a risk on.  Martes made the 2013 top DSL/VSL for baseball america.  Currently his change up is said to be ahead of his curveball.

http://www.astrosturf.com/2014/07/31/astros-marlins-complete-big-trade/

I remember reading something about how the Astros insisted that he be in the deal.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draftees and Status
« on: June 08, 2015, 07:40:44 pm »
This is looking more and more like a predraft deal by Luhnow.  Let's go for three top 10 guys by overpaying for one at 37.

It would be a pretty good haul to say the least. I wonder who they'd go for at 46.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draftees and Status
« on: June 08, 2015, 07:26:50 pm »
Braves taking Allard according to BA's Teddy Cahill.........

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draftees and Status
« on: June 08, 2015, 07:07:13 pm »
It's not hate.  It's just a lack of excitement.  Personally, I prefer guys that are getting better year over year.

2015 - 312/406/534
2014 - 316/397/455
2013 - 369/417/546

He's worthy of a top 10 pick.  Just seems more like a money savings pick at 2 though.  He'd likely have been there at 5

Doubt it. All indications were that the Rangers were on him at 4.

13
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draftees and Status
« on: June 08, 2015, 06:54:46 pm »
I don't get the Bregman hate? He's a very good hitter and doesn't strikeout. He's also a good athlete. 36 walks and just 21 strikeouts. Exactly the kind of hitter this lineup could use in the future. Nothing wrong with a college career slash of .334/.407/.514.

14
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 23, 2015, 04:52:11 am »
With McCullers promoted to the ML level and Appel struggling with mechanics etc., who are your favorite pitchers left in the system at the moment? Anybody completely behind trading some of these guys for pitchers like Kazmir, Hamels, and Cueto?

Vincent Velasquez, Musgrove, Feliz, Hader, Martes, Mengden, West, Devenski, Kyle Smith, Emanuel, Harold Arauz, David Paulino, Franklin Perez, Houser

15
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 23, 2015, 04:16:54 am »
Yes.

Thought so. Hope he doesn't have a tjs in his near future. But at least that might explain why he's been so bad this year. I've heard that his velocity has been down  and in the low 90s a good amount of the time.

16
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 23, 2015, 04:13:34 am »
I think we all know this is a horribly blown pick. This guy might eventually become a major league pitcher but it won't be with the Astros.

It'll be intersting to see if the Correa draft is something Astros fans can look forward to every now and then or if that was a total outlier.

Meh....it happens. A lot of top picks, including 1-1, don't become much. Appel was a consensus top three guy in both '12 and '13. There was nothing wrong with the pick at the time. And he can still turn it around. Even if he doesn't, though, it's not like the 2013 draft is barren. The 6th-round HS C Nottingham is hitting .316/.385/.581. The 8th-round HS OF Martin is hitting .304/.359/.435. And the 5th-rounder Kemp is hitting .333/.439/.384. Having a pitcher like Musgrove break out also lessens the hit of Appel's struggles. Musgrove has 1 bb and 45 so in 39.2 innings pitched along with a 1.36 era and 0.96 whip.

And as Jacksonian said, the '14 draft was just an unfortunate occurrence. Aiken was the consensus top guy by the time of the draft and had shown no signs of anything being amiss. The Astros get 1-2 and 1-5 in this upcoming draft along with a gigantic bonus pool. That will be a definite boost to the system and will hopefully put the Aiken debacle completely in the past. Not to mention that the 2014 CBA pick Fisher, the 2nd-round pick Reed, the 3rd-round pick Davis, and the 4th-round pick Mengden have all looked good. Fisher is 7 for 8 in stolen bases with a line of .320/.404/.539. Reed is hitting .293/.403/.607. Davis is hitting .294/.358/.469. And Mengden has a 0.98 whip and a 1.16 era in 38.2 ip. I'm also intrigued by guys like Ritchie, Tanielu, Derick Velasquez, Radziewski, Dykxhoorn, and Ben Smith.

17
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 23, 2015, 03:51:32 am »
I don't blame them for last year.  They were uniquely bitten by the system.  Upfront medicals like in the NFL and they take someone else.  Appel had performance red flags going into the draft.  Aiken had none.

Appel definitely had some red flags coming off of his junior season but he had seemingly answered most of the questions with the way he pitched his senior year.

18
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 23, 2015, 03:49:08 am »
I don't have faith in the mental side of his game, but I hope there isn't an injury issue in there either.

Didn't he have forearm tightness in ST?

19
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draft Thread
« on: May 13, 2015, 03:44:27 pm »
The Appel/Gray tie was broken by the positive drug testing from what I remember.  I think everyone had Aiken at the top by draft day last year.  In 2012, Appel was considered the consensus #1.   Given Luhnow said that Appel was their guy from start to finish in 2013, tends to make me think Heck had a lot to do with Correa being the choice in 2012.  But my opinion is definitely all inference.  I can find no definitive quote anywhere that gives the level of influence Elias had.  The scouts given the credit for Correa were Larry Pardo (Heck's guy) and Joey Sola (not sure if he was hired pre-Heck or not).

Elias was hired in January of 2012 and was considered Luhnow's "right-hand man" in St. Louis. There is no question that Heck had input but I think Elias had a bunch of pull as well.

The Houston Astros amateur scouting director helped select Carlos Correa in 2012 then made the call to draft Mark Appel first overall in 2013.

http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/astros-elias-details-search-for-elite-draft-talent/

Luhnow on Elias:

"I knew that I wanted him over here," Luhnow said. "He could help in a variety of ways. At the time, I didn't know if he would end up being a scouting director or farm director or assistant general manager. I knew there would be some role for him. He did such a nice job helping [former scouting director] Bobby [Heck] out in that first Draft."

http://www.crawfishboxes.com/2014/5/29/5761432/thursdays-three-astros-things

Elias was also based in Florida already due to his time with the Cards and was one of the guys at Correa's workout.

Astros staff was "blown away" by Carlos Correa's workout in Kissimee this weekend. One says he's the best Puerto Rican talent since Beltran

https://twitter.com/pgammo/status/206874435104419841

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draft Thread
« on: May 13, 2015, 02:39:41 pm »
I'm going to preface this by admitting that I'm not the biggest Swanson fan (not at #2, at least), but what exactly makes you think that his HR power is underrated?

My uncle's a Vandy guy so I'm forced to watch them more than I'd like. He's not a punch-and-judy hitter. He hit a ton of doubles last year and some of them have started turning into homeruns this year. Will he ever hit 20? I doubt it. But 15 or a bit more isn't out of the question at all.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draft Thread
« on: May 13, 2015, 02:36:33 pm »
Welcome to the board by the way.

Thanks!

22
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draft Thread
« on: May 12, 2015, 10:46:59 pm »
I guess it could fit the purest definition of "take the Best Player Available," but I would be pretty shocked if they took Swanson AND Bregman. Not only are they same-age SSs (creating logistical problems with where to play them as they go through the minors), but they seem like very similar profiles - fast and "gritty" with plus hit tool, not much HR power, good plate discipline, and neither strikes out very much. The main difference seems to be Swanson is regarded as a better fielder, while Bregman may or may not be a MLB-caliber SS, depending who you ask.

I agree. They won't pick both of them. I could see them picking Rodgers and Bregman due to the age difference but not Swanson and Bregman. I also think that Swanson has more pop than he's given credit for. I think he can be a 15 to 18 homer guys with a lot of doubles. And Bregman is just a damn good hitter with great instincts who wouldn't whiff every other ab. The more of those guys......the better.

23
Game Zone 2015 Archive / Re: Gints @ Astros May 12, 2015
« on: May 12, 2015, 10:40:37 pm »
I'm on my phone and I go over to Yahoo to see what's happening with the Rockets game. The page loads and displayed under Last Play I see

Dwight Howard misses a layup

Yep, I think, Houston is blessed with some real forward thinking GMs. And Rick Smith.

Rick Smith is a figurehead and he always has been. Kubiak was the one who brought him in here. Kubiak had final say on all draft picks until Wade got here and took over the defensive side. Then you had three guys who weren't on the same page once you got to that 2013 draft. At least they somehow picked Hopkins rather than Hunter or Cordarrelle Patterson that year. I'm not sure how the power structure works now. I just know that O'Brien has final say over the 53-man roster. And he had his assistants a lot more involved in the draft process this year. He'll have total control in the near future if he doesn't already.

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Game Zone 2015 Archive / Re: Gints @ Astros May 12, 2015
« on: May 12, 2015, 10:32:40 pm »
More impressive is that 2/3rds of the 2013 draft never played a down, which is hard to do without an organizational conspiracy hellbent on futility. 


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Wade had complete and final say on all defensive picks and personnel during his tenure here. McNair is to thank for that. Him and his buddy Herring banged the table to draft Montgomery among others. Watt was the only pick he got right and it was an absolute homerun. But even in that draft his top target was Aldon Smith.

25
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Corpus Christi 2015
« on: May 12, 2015, 10:28:52 pm »
If not for Correa's amazing start, we'd probably be talking a lot more about how dominant McCullers has been. After the struggles he had last year, it sure is great to see.

I wonder if he's finally started to improve his changeup, or if it's more his control of the FB and curveball, or what.

Getting out of Lancaster probably helps a bit as well.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2015 Draft Thread
« on: May 12, 2015, 10:25:23 pm »
Correa was Heck.  Luhnow didn't want to mess with the draft so he let Heck finish out his job through the draft.  That's not to say Elias can't do the same. 

Your Fuhmer pick at #2 would be like a Correa pick.  Well at least at this point.  This year seems so unstable.  Fuhmer could be at the top of the draft lists by the time June 8th roles around.

Heck was just a  figurehead by that point. They only kept that group in place because they had already been scouting the 2012 class for several months. There is no doubt in my mind that Heck with final say would have gone with Buxton looking at his past picks for the team (raw, toolsy guys with upside and speed to burn like Springer and DDJ). Heck always said he liked to pick "best athlete available". Luhnow brought Elias in prior to that draft and Elias was one of the guys blown away by Correa's workout in Kissimmee. Correa was Luhnow/Elias all the way.

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