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Messages - SM_Bobcat

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1
Talk Zone / Re: Free Agents 2016
« on: November 20, 2016, 02:52:03 pm »
I suspect it is someone who can be the DH and get a few games in LF, to let McCann and Gattis to share the majority of games 1B, or a pure OF guy.

So Springer is in CF, and Reddick player RF.  LF/1B is still unsettled.

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Talk Zone / Re: Trade Rant
« on: July 31, 2015, 09:04:26 pm »
The OP was put there before the trade and I will stand by it now. I all too vividly recall that the way we got to 55 win seasons was by emptying the talent in the farm system and then being forced to overpay aged veterans. I hate the geometry of the trade. It steals playing time from Preston Tucker who has already proven to be a remarkably adaptable bat. If Mrasnick stays, it moves him to LF, where his ability to go get it is largely wasted. If Jake goes today to SD it messes with the chemistry in the clubhouse and once again removes a significant support piece from Springer's team.  It didn't address the teams fundamental flaw ... 1b. And the logjam now for playing time at 1B and more importantly at DH just gets worse. Gattis, in my view, needs to be in the batting order every night. But then, what of Preston Tucker? Who can argue with Jeff's success. He has turned the ship around. But that doesn't mean that I have to agree with every deal he makes. I had grown very comfortable with the rebuild of the team through the farm system. To me Brett Phillips was the last big piece to come up and make an impact for the team for years. I hate seeing an Elite talent go ... particularly when I would bet $100 to $1 that Gomez will not be here in 2018 when Phillips is potentially reaching his major league prime.  History. Lessons. All of that said, I will continue to enjoy the unexpected ride of 2015. My wife may divorce me for never turning off a game, but its truly worth every dirty look I get to stay up late and watch Castro go yard.

I think you left out the possibility that Jake Marisnick stays around as a 4th OFer for right now, and when George Springer comes back, maybe he gets sent back down to Fresno.  If he doesn't get sent back down with Evan Gattis being the emergency 4th OFer and Jake Marisnick being sent down when Fiers is added to the 25 man roster.

The matter of fact is, adding guys via the trade means that some guys who provide the chemistry to the club will have to be sent back down.

And while it may not be likely that after next year that Carlos Gomez resigns with Houston.  Given that much of the talent on the team right now is very young and on cheap contracts, I don't think it is to difficult to image that ownership deciding to try and go after resigning Carlos Gomez, as they keep saying that payroll will increase when the team is ready to compete.

3
Yeah, that's my impression, too. He can take the 150 with no appeal, or he can appeal and risk a life-time ban. I would take a lot more pleasure from that if it didn't mean that the Yankees were going to be delivered from one of the most idiotic contract decisions in history.

That is my only problem with the lifetime ban for A-Rod....  The Yankees's don't have to deal with the stupid contract that they gave him, and get exactly what they want....

4
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Early 2013 Draft Thread
« on: May 22, 2013, 08:17:28 am »
Because Boggs' hit tool got him into the HOF. Moran's BA has been very good, but not exceptional for a college player. Dustin Ackley hit over .400 all three seasons at UNC, but hasn't taken off as a professional, yet. He had elite patience, also. Boggs hit .357, or better in 5 of his first 10 seasons, .325 in 9 of those, with .302 as the outlier. That's just a very rare hitter.

Can Moran be a good hitter? Sure. I wouldn't be surprised if he had several seasons hitting .290 or .300. It's just a big jump from there to a career .328 average.

Just looking at his stats, I wouldn't say for sure that Moran is only a .290 or .300 hitter.

With the new bats that colleges are using now being able to hit .369 is super impressive in my book.

As I said, I haven't actually see him play, and maybe there is something about his swing, that could very well not equate very well to major league baseball.

But looking only at his stats, I certainly wouldn't put his ceiling at a .290 or .300 hitter.  I don't see what in his stats say he can't be a .330ish hitter.

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The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: Early 2013 Draft Thread
« on: May 20, 2013, 05:52:37 pm »
Very poor. More power, but the hit tool won't be nearly as good. I didn't see enough of Boggs to compare the two defensively.

I haven't seen Colin Moran play, but just looking at his stats he has hit for a very high average each of the past two years.  What makes you think his hit tool won't be nearly as good as Wade Boggs?

Just looking at his stats, I certainly am not a fan of the idea of taking him at 1-1.  But, I am curious why you don't think he can be a very high average hitter?

6
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 01:21:16 pm »
I really feel like you're underestimating the importance of all their players being dead. That is just a huge, huge hurdle to overcome.

That said, I had to look them up on B-R out of curiosity and HOLY SHIT was that team bad. They actually allowed 8.13 runs a game, so you can give them the spit ball, throw in a full complement of emory boards, sandpaper, laser pointers and vaseline, and I'm still taking the worst baseball team I've seen in my lifetime without a second thought.

To make things worse, the only averaged 3.43 runs a game.....

7
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 01:10:51 pm »
No, he's on the DL.  We cannot consider anyone on the DL.

No, we can consider all the people on the DL that are terrible, and we consider them as full time starters....  We just can't consider the people on the DL that would actually help the team even a little.....

8
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 11:38:30 am »
The Spiders had a worse record, but they gave up when it became obvious it was the end of the line and they were folding.  And I don't judge "better" or "worse" simply by winning percentage.  If it helps you, knock yourself out.

How do you know they gave up when it became obvious it was the end of the line?  Where you some how alive in 1899 to see it?

You specifically said that the Astro's where by far the worst team in the history of MLB, and it wasn't even close.  You have to be beyond stupid to honestly say, that the 1899 Cleveland Spiders where way better than the current Astros.

None of us where alive to see the 1899 Cleveland Spiders, so it certainly is possible that the 1899 Spiders where better than the current Astros.  Unlikely, but possible.  But, there is absolutely positively no way that they where WAY better.


.111 is not my winning percentage, it's the Astros winning percentage over the last month or so.  Over a full season, this team, as it currently is, would struggle to win 10 games.  You don't think so.  Congratulations.

Do the math, to win 10 games would require the Houston Astro's to have a .061 winning percentage.  If you honestly believe that even the current Houston Astros are that bad, you are a complete and total idiot....  They have already won 2 games since all the trades went down to comprise the "current team".  To honestly think that over 153 other games, they couldn't win 9 games is just being completely and totally absurd.

9
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 10:48:54 am »
You haven't proven anything, especially not anything that I've said is false. You've simply said "they're not *that* bad.". Well, they are.

Nothing you have said has been proven false?

What about:
Quote from: HudsonHawk
THIS team is the worst in the history of baseball.  It's not even close.

Explain to me how the 1899 Cleveland Spiders, who had a .103 winning percentage the final 116 games of the season.  And that won 5 of the final 57 games (from August 1st to the end of the year), a .088 winning percentage by the way.  Is not even close to as bad as the current Houston Astros?

No doubt about it, the current Houston Astro's are one of the worst teams in history.  But to say that they are way worse than the 1899 Cleveland Spiders, and it isn't even close is completely and totally absurd.

Or how about:
Quote from: HudsonHawk
This is a team that would struggle to win 10 games in a season.

To struggle to win 10 games over 162 game season is a .061 winning percentage.  Even the worst number you can come up with for this team is a .111 winning percentage, which is certainly higher than the .061 winning percentage needed to struggle to win 10 games.  Even at your .111 winning percentage, the team would end up winning 17 games.  Nowhere near struggling to win 10 games.

10
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 08:20:44 am »
You mean they might be better than the 1899 Cleveland Spiders?  The team that was so bad they only played 42 home games?  The team that lost 40 of 41 to end the season because they were disbanding?  That should be the slogan:  "Your 2012 Houston Astros...Probably Not As Bad As The 1899 Cleveland Spiders".  That'll put asses in the seats.

BTW, after starting a respectable 32-43, the Astros are 4-32, a blistering .111 winning percentage.  

You specifically said:
No, the team that won 10 games in June had Carlos Lee, J.A. Happ, Wandy Rodriguez, Chris Johnson, Brett Myers, etc.  THIS team is the worst in the history of baseball.  It's not even close.

I made it a point to say, that without a doubt the current Houston Astro's are one of the worst teams in history.  And will very likely go down as the worst team in modern MLB history.  But you specifically said that they where the worst in MLB history, and it wasn't even close.

But when your over the top assertions are proven false, you try and put it back on others.

Noone on this thread has ever pretended that the current Houston Astros are not a complete and total disaster.  Noone has ever said that they where not one of the worst teams in MLB history.

But you have made several over the top assertions, that simply do not stand up to the facts, and every time they are proven wrong you act like others think that this team is good.

11
Talk Zone / Re: A picture is worth a thousand words
« on: August 08, 2012, 07:38:31 am »
I haven't backed off of anything.  This team would struggle to win 10 games.   I don't know what kind of sunshine you guys have been mainlining, but this team is bad.  Historically bad.  

No doubt, this team is historically bad.  But, have there been no other teams in the history of MLB that have had fire sales at the trade deadline and gave up most if not all of their top players, and been historically bad for the last two plus months of the season?  Are the current Houston Astro's among the worst in MLB history, no doubt.  Are they absolutely without a doubt the worst team in MLB history, that would blow away all records of futility, that is a bridge to far.  Just a quick look at historically bad baseball teams, the 1899 Cleveland Spiders look like they would take the cake.  They lost 40 of the final 41 games.  Their longest winning streak of the season was 2 games, which they did exactly one time.  After starting the season 8 for 30 they traded away the few remaining respectable players on their team, and finished the season with a .103 winning percentage.

No doubt, the current Houston Astro's are bad.  They would very likely prove to be the worst team in modern MLB history.  But, the absolute worst of all time, appears to be a slight strech....

12
Talk Zone / Re: Terrific, Concise Recap of Yesrterday's Crapfest Plus
« on: July 10, 2012, 10:55:34 am »
Reuben: Fair enough. Let's take a look. For starters, I think that AL clubs will be particularly wary of Wandy's 9-12 5.09 ERA in interleague play. So let's look around the NL at teams in contention. Let's start in the West.

I don't  think that Wandy would prime Cain, Bumgarner or Vogelsong in SFO. And that assumes that he would even prime Lincecum, who, even though he has sucked eggs this season, is a two time Cy Young winner. To me, the only one that Wandy is clearly better than is Zito. In Arizona, you've got Miley, Saunders, Cahill and Kennedy, so Wandy slots in 3-5 there. In LA, you've got Kershaw, Capuano, Harang and Billingsley, so Wandy slots in 3-5 there. That takes care of the NL West teams in contention. Let's head to the NL Central.

You've got three teams in the hunt right now, with Milwaukee on the outside looking in. Pittsburgh has McDonald, Burnett, Correia and Bedard. I think that he slots in a solid 3 there. That might be a trading partner, but it is within the division, so maybe not. In Cincy, the Dickities have Cueto, Arroyo, Bailey, Leake and Latos. Wandy probably slots in 3 or 4 there. In St. Louis, you've got Kelly, Lohse, Lynn, Wainright and Westbrook. Where does he slot there? Anywhere from 2-4. Who's in contention in the NL East?

Washington-Zimmermann, Strasburg, Gonzalez, Detwiler and Jackson. Wandy slots in 4 or 5 there, tops. steM: Dickey, Santana, Niese and Gee. Wandy goes in 3 or 4 there. ATL: Hudson, Hanson, Delgado, Minor and Jurrgens. Now there, Wandy slots in a solid 3-there's another potential trade partner. And they've still got some prospects.

So, in conclusion, you and Chuck were probably right about Wandy. Even though Wandy is an 80-81 4.01 career pitcher, which are arguably pretty pedestrian numbers, he slots in at 3 or better on several of the teams presently in contention. But the question is how much of an upgrade would he be? To me, even on most of the teams where I have him at least at a 3, he's not a significant enough upgrade to give away many prime prospects, especially given his salary price tag. To me, the best NL trading partners are Pittsburgh and Atlanta, given their needs.

Thanks for nudging me to do a little homework.
  

You may have done some homework, but you let your perception, not the raw numbers influence your perception of reality:
Lets take a look at all of the teams currently in contention, and who might be interested in him.

Washington Nationals: Doubtful that they are intrested, given that they have 5 pitchers with a sub 3.75 ERA.  And three pitchers with a sub 3 ERA.  Pitching, expecially starting pitching is not an area of concern for the Nationals.

Atlanta Braves: Wandy Rodriguez has a better ERA, and Quality Start Percentage than anyone on the Braves Staff.  And he has pitched more inning per start than anyone on the staff not named Tim Hudson.  All the numbers show that Wandy Rodriguez is atworst the #2 starter, and maybe even the #1 starter for the Braves.

New York Mets: The Mets have RA Dickey who obviously has better numbers than Wandy Rodriguez.  But Johan Santana is posting very comparable numbers to Wandy Rodriguez.  Wandy Rodriguez has a slightly higher Quality Start Percentage, and has pitched more inning per star than Santana, but Santana has a slightly better ERA (3.24 compared to 3.38).  Santana probably keeps the #2 role on the staff due to already being on the team.  After that is Niese who Wandy has beat in ERA (3.73 to 3.38), as well has innings per start, and is tied with in number of quality starts.  Plus Wandy has a much better history and track record that Niese has.  Wandy is no worse than a possible #2, likely #3 here.

Pittsburgh Pirates: The Pirates has James McDonald who is still the clear #1 for them, but Wandy Rodriguez is the likely #2 for Pittsburgh.  He has a better ERA, better WHIP, more innings per start, and tied for equal number of quality starts with AJ Burnett.  But, even if you gave Burnett the #2 spot over Wandy Rodriguez, Wandy is no doubt the clear #3, as he blows Kevin Correia away in every category.

Cincinnati Reds: Once again, the Reds have Johnny Cuerto at the #1 spot, but after that, Wandy Rodriguez has more quality starts, and a significantly better ERA (3.38 compared to 3.86) compared to AJ Burnett.  And once you get to the #3 slot Wandy Rodriguez is an absolute no doubt upgrade over Mike Leake.  So you once again have a likely #2 or no doubt #3 starter.

St Louis Cardinals: Kyle Loshe would still be the #1 in St Louis, but after him Wandy has a slightly better ERA, more quality starts, and more innings per start them Lynn.  And all those differences are even more evident once you get to Westbrook.  Wandy is once again a possible #2, easy #3 starter in St Louis.

LA Dodgers: The Dodgers have Kershaw and Capuano at #1, and #2.  And Wandy would only be a slight upgrade to Harang at the #3 spot, but is a clear upgrade to Billingsly at the #4 spot.  So he would slot as a #3 or #4 here no doubt.  But pitching is not the Dodgers weakness.

San Francisco Giants: The Giants are great 1-3 at pitching with Vogelsong, Cain, and Bumgarner.  But Wandy is a definate upgrade to Zito at #4.

Arizona Diamondbacks: Miley likely keeps the #1 spot here.  But after that Wandy is a slight but definate upgrade in all categories, ERA, WHIP, Quality Starts, Innings per start over Cahill, and a no doubt significant upgrade over Kennedy.

The ONLY teams that Wandy would not be a no doubt upgrade at the #3 position at for teams would be the three teams that likely have no intrest in trading for pitching the Giants, Dodgers, and Nationals.  All other teams he slots as either a close #2, solid #3.  Or a likely #2, and no doubt #3 starter.

13
Talk Zone / Re: Terrific, Concise Recap of Yesrterday's Crapfest Plus
« on: July 10, 2012, 10:02:03 am »
Maybe I'm seriously underestimating Wandy and you're probably right about some club (even the Rangers given how Oswalt has looked so far) that is desperate for starting pitching will want him, especially this year given the added wildcard playoff spot. However, I've always seen Wandy as a June/July pitcher, and not as an August/September pitcher when it is all on the line. When the leaves turn brown, I expect Wandy to go down.

His career numbers seem to bear that out. He's 17-16 in June and 20-10 in July, but 13-15 in August and 6-13 in September/October. Granted, even though he's been pitching for a traveling horseshit show for the past few seasons and his numbers this season (7-6 3.39) are pretty good, especially for this team, I just wouldn't bet on Wandy coming up huge in a big game. Wandy beats the lesser clubs (8-5 against Pittsburgh) but not the upper echelon clubs. For example, he's 0-2 with an 11.70 ERA against the Yankees and only 6-11 against the Cardinals.

I think that we're going to see him pitching for another club this season before too much longer. I hope that he surprises me and rises to the occasion. I'll be pulling for him. However, I won't be surprised if he doesn't.

Lets try looking at some numbers that are actually relevent.  Not numbers that Wandy Rodriguez posted his first year in the league.  Noone is looking at Wandy Rodriguez for how he pitched his first year or two in the league.  They are looking at Wandy Rodriguez for how he has pitched this year, and the past several years.

Here are his numbers from 2009-2011:
Pre All Star Break:
3.78 ERA, 20 Wins - 23 Losses, .267 BAA, 6.078 innings per star

Post All Star Break:
2.88 ERA, 16 Wins - 12 Losses, .230 BAA, 6.397 innings per star

Looks like the recent numbers show you have no idea what you are talking about.  Lets look at the month by month break down:
April: 3.23 ERA, 4-7, .260 BAA
May: 3.91 ERA, 6-7, .296 BAA
June: 4.45 ERA, 7-6, .260 BAA
July: 2.58 ERA, 9-4. .215 BAA
August: 2.83 ERA, 7-6, .220 BAA
September: 3.34 ERA, 3-4, .250 BAA

Monthly break downs once again show you have no idea what you are talking about.  Recent history, and current numbers are all that teams are looking at, not how he performed 8 years ago.....

14
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2012 draft
« on: August 10, 2011, 08:40:13 am »
Yikes.
Actually when you are talking just about hitting that description is 100% accurate.

Now when it comes to running the bases, fielding, or just about anything else in the game.  Manny was as clueless as they come.  And would certainly appear to prefer not to have to deal with playing in the field at all.

15
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2011 Draft
« on: June 07, 2011, 02:40:20 pm »
10th rd: Kyle Hallock, LHP from Kent State.

BA: A Kent State lefthander was named Mid-American Conference pitcher of the year, but it wasn't Andrew Chafin. It was Kyle Hallock, who returned for his senior season after the Phillies drafted him in the 49th round last June. The 6-foot-2, 190-pounder is a craftsman who gets outs by throwing four pitches for strikes. He excels at pitching off his fastball, working both sides of the plate at 87-88 mph and peaking at 90. His changeup and slider are solid offerings, giving him a chance to remain a starter when he gets to pro ball.


Kyle Hallock pitched against Texas State in the regional tournament.  He doesn't have over powering stuff, but he is a very good pitcher who kept us off balance all day working both sides of the plate.

16
The Bus Ride Discussion Forum / Re: 2010 Draftees and Status
« on: June 18, 2010, 11:08:44 am »
Astros sign NDFA Matison Smith (RHP, Lamar). LINK.  (h/t Astros County)

Being a Texas State fan, I can give a first hand assessment on Matison Smith, as we faced him twice this year.

He is a soft toss right handed pitcher.  Who won't blow you away with any pitch, but keeps guys off balance with a wide array of different pitches.  He reminds me alot of of right handed version of Jamie Moyer.

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