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astros.com keeps mentioning Huff is 30, I have his B-Day as Dec. 20, 1976.
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astros.com keeps mentioning Huff is 30, I have his B-Day as Dec. 20, 1976.
Awwwww crap this again... next thing you know, we'll find out his name is incorrect as well...
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I can't imagine Huff being brought over to be a platoon guy. So who sits, Ensberg or Wilson?
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I can't imagine Huff being brought over to be a platoon guy. So who sits, Ensberg or Wilson?
Purpura says Ensberg, but down the road, Mike Lamb. He's not a starter.
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Purpura says Ensberg, but down the road, Mike Lamb. He's not a starter.
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Purpura says Ensberg, but down the road, Mike Lamb. He's not a starter.
Ensberg to the DL? Also, Lane has to clear waivers to be sent down, right?
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Purpura says Ensberg
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Purpura says Ensberg
So one player (Huff), KO'ed 2 guys (Lane and Scott) and gave another the standing 8 Count (Ensturd).
Impressive.
Is there a pitching equivalent we could go after to KO Trevor Miller and Gallo and give Lidge the standing 8?
Wagner?![]()
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I can't imagine Huff being brought over to be a platoon guy. So who sits, Ensberg or Wilson?
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Also, Lane has to clear waivers to be sent down, right?
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Also, Lane has to clear waivers to be sent down, right?
Nope, Jason Lane still had an option year remaining. The Astros optioned him in 2002 and 2003 and kept him on the 25-man since 2004. Btw does the organizaton still have an option on Brad Lidge? I could be wrong, but unless the Astros exercised an option year on him in 2000, he should have one year left, right? Not a suggestion, merely a question.
Quote:I think there's too much credit given to Ensberg's being injured as the primary cause for his woes. He has an approach problem that he needs to work through, or not work through - that may be his problem, thinking too much about how to compensate for a soreness or a slump and throwing himself into all sorts of mental and physical contortions. Either way, he needs to be more aggressive at doing something other than looking at pitches. He heeds that internal take sign of his and attacks the almighty check swing with uncommon gusto. Even with a hale and hardy shoulder he watches too many strikes go by and weakens the middle of the lineup, and, by extension, the organization's and his teammates' confidence in him by repeatedly doing so. He's 31 in another month. He's no longer a kid the organization can build around for the next five years.Quote:
Purpura says Ensberg, but down the road, Mike Lamb. He's not a starter.
Ensberg to the DL? Also, Lane has to clear waivers to be sent down, right?
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I think there's too much credit given to Ensberg's being injured as the primary cause for his woes. He has an approach problem that he needs to work through, or not work through - that may be his problem, thinking too much about how to compensate for a soreness or a slump and throwing himself into all sorts of mental and physical contortions. Either way, he needs to be more aggressive at doing something other than looking at pitches. He heeds that internal take sign of his and attacks the almighty check swing with uncommon gusto. Even with a hale and hardy shoulder he watches too many strikes go by and weakens the middle of the lineup, and, by extension, the organization's and his teammates' confidence in him by repeatedly doing so. He's 31 in another month. He's no longer a kid the organization can build around for the next five years.
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I think there's too much credit given to Ensberg's being injured as the primary cause for his woes. He has an approach problem that he needs to work through, or not work through - that may be his problem, thinking too much about how to compensate for a soreness or a slump and throwing himself into all sorts of mental and physical contortions. Either way, he needs to be more aggressive at doing something other than looking at pitches. He heeds that internal take sign of his and attacks the almighty check swing with uncommon gusto. Even with a hale and hardy shoulder he watches too many strikes go by and weakens the middle of the lineup, and, by extension, the organization's and his teammates' confidence in him by repeatedly doing so. He's 31 in another month. He's no longer a kid the organization can build around for the next five years.
Is the problem that Ensberg puts himself through contortions or that he takes too many pitches? They're not necessary the same problem. It seems that a healthy Ensberg who is willing to take advice and stops fidgeting with his stance can be productive even if he's taking a lot of pitches.
Among major-leaguers, Ensberg is currently third in walks per plate appearance, 11th in pitches per plate appearance and 21st in walk/strikeout ratio. With 68 walks and 70 strikeouts, Ensberg has improved his walk/strikeout ratio to the best rate in any season of his career.
Last season, Ensberg walked 85 times and struck out 119 times in 624 plate appearances. This, season, he's on a pace to walk 122 times and strike out 125 times in that number of plate appearances. That's an additional 37 walks traded for an additional six strikeouts.
The last thing Ensberg needs is to start hacking more.
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I think there's too much credit given to Ensberg's being injured as the primary cause for his woes. He has an approach problem that he needs to work through, or not work through - that may be his problem, thinking too much about how to compensate for a soreness or a slump and throwing himself into all sorts of mental and physical contortions. Either way, he needs to be more aggressive at doing something other than looking at pitches. He heeds that internal take sign of his and attacks the almighty check swing with uncommon gusto. Even with a hale and hardy shoulder he watches too many strikes go by and weakens the middle of the lineup, and, by extension, the organization's and his teammates' confidence in him by repeatedly doing so. He's 31 in another month. He's no longer a kid the organization can build around for the next five years.
Is the problem that Ensberg puts himself through contortions or that he takes too many pitches? They're not necessary the same problem. It seems that a healthy Ensberg who is willing to take advice and stops fidgeting with his stance can be productive even if he's taking a lot of pitches.
Among major-leaguers, Ensberg is currently third in walks per plate appearance, 11th in pitches per plate appearance and 21st in walk/strikeout ratio. With 68 walks and 70 strikeouts, Ensberg has improved his walk/strikeout ratio to the best rate in any season of his career.
Last season, Ensberg walked 85 times and struck out 119 times in 624 plate appearances. This, season, he's on a pace to walk 122 times and strike out 125 times in that number of plate appearances. That's an additional 37 walks traded for an additional six strikeouts.
The last thing Ensberg needs is to start hacking more.
There you go again. All those pesky facts. What a way to ruin an otherwise lively discussion. How are we supposed to generate a difference of opinion now?
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Is the problem that Ensberg puts himself through contortions or that he takes too many pitches? They're not necessary the same problem. It seems that a healthy Ensberg who is willing to take advice and stops fidgeting with his stance can be productive even if he's taking a lot of pitches.
Among major-leaguers, Ensberg is currently third in walks per plate appearance, 11th in pitches per plate appearance and 21st in walk/strikeout ratio. With 68 walks and 70 strikeouts, Ensberg has improved his walk/strikeout ratio to the best rate in any season of his career.
Last season, Ensberg walked 85 times and struck out 119 times in 624 plate appearances. This, season, he's on a pace to walk 122 times and strike out 125 times in that number of plate appearances. That's an additional 37 walks traded for an additional six strikeouts.
The last thing Ensberg needs is to start hacking more.
There you go again. All those pesky facts. What a way to ruin an otherwise lively discussion. How are we supposed to generate a difference of opinion now?
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There's still lots of daylight in there for argument, including a discussion of what Ensberg does when he's not walking.
Here's a couple of interesting comparisons:
2005 Home Runs/100 At-Bats = 6.844
2006 Home Runs/100 At-Bats = 6.884
2005 Strikeouts/100 At-Bats = 22.62
2006 Strikeouts/100 At-Bats = 25.36
2005 Groundballs/Flyballs = 0.78
2006 Groundballs/Flyballs = 0.78
The home runs and groundball/flyball ratio are freakishly similar. The strikeout difference isn't that big either.
But here's the big difference:
2005 Batting Average on Balls in Play (Not Home Run or Strikeout): .305
2006 Batting Average on Balls in Play (Not Home Run or Strikeout): .246
That's what's killing him. It's not that he's striking out a lot more, or that he's homering a lot less. He's also hitting the ball on the ground and the air at about the same rate.
But this year, when he puts the ball in play, he's making outs much more often.
I'd like to hear some suggested explanations for that.
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Why unlucky? I've read about pitchers ball in play average seems random, but not the same for hitters. Maybe it's indicative of a bad approach where he's punching at the ball a lot of the time. Seems like little grounders and pop-ups would have a higer out percentage than smoked line drives.
Quote:I don't think anyone's suggesting walks, and lots of 'em, are bad. It's about approach, mindset, intent. I don't think it's all that complicated. He doesn't need to start "hacking more" if by hacking you're implying undisciplined swings without regard for the strike zone. He needs to demonstrate consistently that his offensive make-up is one of a run producer first and foremost. The same way David Eckstein's goal as a leadoff hitter is to get on base any way he can for the batters hitting behind him, Ensberg's goal should be to drive in runs any way he can, and secondarily to draw walks if pitchers don't give him anything to accomplish that task or if he can't get an extra-base hit to start an inning. And on second thought, he does need to go up there hacking a little more than he does, because he needs to risk a few more chances at failing to drive pitches that aren't exactly in his perfect, tiny happy zone, in the hopes that he'll be able to keep the traffic on the bases moving a little more frequently ALL THE WAY around.Quote:
I think there's too much credit given to Ensberg's being injured as the primary cause for his woes. He has an approach problem that he needs to work through, or not work through - that may be his problem, thinking too much about how to compensate for a soreness or a slump and throwing himself into all sorts of mental and physical contortions. Either way, he needs to be more aggressive at doing something other than looking at pitches. He heeds that internal take sign of his and attacks the almighty check swing with uncommon gusto. Even with a hale and hardy shoulder he watches too many strikes go by and weakens the middle of the lineup, and, by extension, the organization's and his teammates' confidence in him by repeatedly doing so. He's 31 in another month. He's no longer a kid the organization can build around for the next five years.
Is the problem that Ensberg puts himself through contortions or that he takes too many pitches? They're not necessary the same problem. It seems that a healthy Ensberg who is willing to take advice and stops fidgeting with his stance can be productive even if he's taking a lot of pitches.
Among major-leaguers, Ensberg is currently third in walks per plate appearance, 11th in pitches per plate appearance and 21st in walk/strikeout ratio. With 68 walks and 70 strikeouts, Ensberg has improved his walk/strikeout ratio to the best rate in any season of his career.
Last season, Ensberg walked 85 times and struck out 119 times in 624 plate appearances. This, season, he's on a pace to walk 122 times and strike out 125 times in that number of plate appearances. That's an additional 37 walks traded for an additional six strikeouts.
The last thing Ensberg needs is to start hacking more.
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I don't think anyone's suggesting walks, and lots of 'em, are bad. It's about approach, mindset, intent. I don't think it's all that complicated. He doesn't need to start "hacking more" if by hacking you're implying undisciplined swings without regard for the strike zone. He needs to demonstrate consistently that his offensive make-up is one of a run producer first and foremost. The same way David Eckstein's goal as a leadoff hitter is to get on base any way he can for the batters hitting behind him, Ensberg's goal should be to drive in runs any way he can, and secondarily to draw walks if pitchers don't give him anything to accomplish that task or if he can't get an extra-base hit to start an inning. And on second thought, he does need to go up there hacking a little more than he does, because he needs to risk a few more chances at failing to drive pitches that aren't exactly in his perfect, tiny happy zone, in the hopes that he'll be able to keep the traffic on the bases moving a little more frequently ALL THE WAY around.
It's not a matter that can be quantified. You only have to watch him take *suitable* pitch after pitch, and it's pretty obvious he's not doing the job Garner is begging him to do.
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I don't think anyone's suggesting walks, and lots of 'em, are bad. It's about approach, mindset, intent. I don't think it's all that complicated. He doesn't need to start "hacking more" if by hacking you're implying undisciplined swings without regard for the strike zone. He needs to demonstrate consistently that his offensive make-up is one of a run producer first and foremost. The same way David Eckstein's goal as a leadoff hitter is to get on base any way he can for the batters hitting behind him, Ensberg's goal should be to drive in runs any way he can, and secondarily to draw walks if pitchers don't give him anything to accomplish that task or if he can't get an extra-base hit to start an inning. And on second thought, he does need to go up there hacking a little more than he does, because he needs to risk a few more chances at failing to drive pitches that aren't exactly in his perfect, tiny happy zone, in the hopes that he'll be able to keep the traffic on the bases moving a little more frequently ALL THE WAY around.
It's not a matter that can be quantified. You only have to watch him take *suitable* pitch after pitch, and it's pretty obvious he's not doing the job Garner is begging him to do.
Suitable pitches are pitches in the strike zone. Unsuitable pitches are pitches outside the strike zone. That's the purpose of having a strike zone.
If Ensberg were taking significantly more suitable pitches than he did when he was hitting well, then he'd have a big increase in strikeouts. But that's not the case. His strikeouts are up only marginally.
Whatever his tiny happy zone may be, the umpire does not appear to be disagreeing with it, because the pitches Ensberg is taking are increasing his walks total considerably, meaning they're outside the strike zone, meaning they're unsuitable, meaning he shouldn't be swinging at them.
Swinging at pitches outside the strike zone would fundamentally increase his chances of making an out and reducing the team's chances of scoring. If you want to see him really lose all value as a big-league hitter then watch what happens when, in desperation, he starts swinging at pitches outside the strike zone.
The issue is at least partially quantifiable, and the data points to what Ensberg's doing with the pitches he's hitting, as opposed to the pitches he's taking, as being the problem. How is taking too many suitable pitches the cause of him batting 50 points lower on balls in play this season?
His eye is the only thing he's got going for him right now, and yet people are complaining about him using it.
Quote:No, that's not what I mean by suitable. I mean they're strikes that he would rather not swing at. Arky, I can't make my point to you unless you're willing to acknowledge that an AB that results in a walk with RISP may/should have resulted in a sac fly, double, single, HR, RBI groundout with a less finicky approach. Those results are unknowable, but one only need observe his lack of aggressiveness (defined as willingness to take up to two strikes that could have been opportunities to drive the ball somewhere and score runs as a result, and instead work the count for a less immediately productive walk) game after game to see that he is not offering the team the *slugging* they need from him. He's offering walks, so that someone else further down the order and typically less potent is given the burden of driving in the runs. He's merely extending the inning and passing the heavy lifting to someone else. That is not what he's asked to do. We can argue about stats all day long, but he's failing to achieve the objectives his boss has given him. If you listen to Phil Garner, he says repeatedly that he needs Morgan Ensberg to drive in runs. He's hitting .194 since May 1 with 25 RBI in about 240 plate appearances. With numbers like that, no one on the club is going to care that he has 47 walks during that period. He could have 10 fewer walks and 12 more RBIs for all we know and maybe the team would have won a few more games. As for his wonderful OBP during that period, he's only been able to score 19 times through the help of others during that stretch.Quote:
I don't think anyone's suggesting walks, and lots of 'em, are bad. It's about approach, mindset, intent. I don't think it's all that complicated. He doesn't need to start "hacking more" if by hacking you're implying undisciplined swings without regard for the strike zone. He needs to demonstrate consistently that his offensive make-up is one of a run producer first and foremost. The same way David Eckstein's goal as a leadoff hitter is to get on base any way he can for the batters hitting behind him, Ensberg's goal should be to drive in runs any way he can, and secondarily to draw walks if pitchers don't give him anything to accomplish that task or if he can't get an extra-base hit to start an inning. And on second thought, he does need to go up there hacking a little more than he does, because he needs to risk a few more chances at failing to drive pitches that aren't exactly in his perfect, tiny happy zone, in the hopes that he'll be able to keep the traffic on the bases moving a little more frequently ALL THE WAY around.
It's not a matter that can be quantified. You only have to watch him take *suitable* pitch after pitch, and it's pretty obvious he's not doing the job Garner is begging him to do.
Suitable pitches are pitches in the strike zone. Unsuitable pitches are pitches outside the strike zone. That's the purpose of having a strike zone.
If Ensberg were taking significantly more suitable pitches than he did when he was hitting well, then he'd have a big increase in strikeouts. But that's not the case. His strikeouts are up only marginally.
Whatever his tiny happy zone may be, the umpire does not appear to be disagreeing with it, because the pitches Ensberg is taking are increasing his walks total considerably, meaning they're outside the strike zone, meaning they're unsuitable, meaning he shouldn't be swinging at them.
Swinging at pitches outside the strike zone would fundamentally increase his chances of making an out and reducing the team's chances of scoring. If you want to see him really lose all value as a big-league hitter then watch what happens when, in desperation, he starts swinging at pitches outside the strike zone.
The issue is at least partially quantifiable, and the data points to what Ensberg's doing with the pitches he's hitting, as opposed to the pitches he's taking, as being the problem. How is taking too many suitable pitches the cause of him batting 50 points lower on balls in play this season?
His eye is the only thing he's got going for him right now, and yet people are complaining about him using it.
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Why unlucky? I've read about pitchers ball in play average seems random, but not the same for hitters. Maybe it's indicative of a bad approach where he's punching at the ball a lot of the time. Seems like little grounders and pop-ups would have a higer out percentage than smoked line drives.
I tend to agree with this. If your groundballs become weak slaps to the infield instead of shots in the hole, and your flyballs become weak pop-ups instead of deep flies into the gap, you'll get what Morgan Ensberg is experiencing right now.
The roller coaster this season is a bit dramatic:
.326 April 2005
.313 May 2005
.254 June 2005
.317 July 2005
.283 August 2005
.348 September 2005
.333 October 2005
.333 April 2006
.213 May 2006
.194 June 2006
.211 July 2006
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Just from watching, Wilson has been uber-clutch for the last 2 months. And ok, even during his early season slump.
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Burke #2
Ensberg #6
if i were doing it
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he is not being pitched around. he refuses to swing and is way too smart for his own good. he is the most frustrating player for me in my recent memory. i cannot imagine how it must be to be his manager.
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no. all that is doing is giving in to Ensberg's delusions and clogging up the bases. he can drive in runs at #6 and should be told that if he does not, he will be moved.
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And just to compare Ensberg to emphasis my point that he seems to not be your typical RBI guy.
Basesloaded: .000/.143/.000 (4 ABs, 7 PA)
Scoring Position: .219/.422/.384
Scoring Pos 2 outs: .206/.422/.412
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Ensberg is not a 2 hole hitter. It would imply he's good at hitting behind the runner and advancing the runner. Nothing I've seen this year would support that.
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Ensberg is not a 2 hole hitter. It would imply he's good at hitting behind the runner and advancing the runner. Nothing I've seen this year would support that.
Good point. Something I also have overlooked. I am just trying to find a reason for keeping him around. But I still wouldn't mind a package of say Ensberg and Wilson for Carlos Lee, but that is just me.
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Ensberg is not a 2 hole hitter. It would imply he's good at hitting behind the runner and advancing the runner. Nothing I've seen this year would support that.
Good point. Something I also have overlooked. I am just trying to find a reason for keeping him around. But I still wouldn't mind a package of say Ensberg and Wilson for Carlos Lee, but that is just me.
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This just in, MoBerg may actually still be hurting
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No, that's not what I mean by suitable. I mean they're strikes that he would rather not swing at. Arky, I can't make my point to you unless you're willing to acknowledge that an AB that results in a walk with RISP may/should have resulted in a sac fly, double, single, HR, RBI groundout with a less finicky approach. Those results are unknowable, but one only need observe his lack of aggressiveness (defined as willingness to take up to two strikes that could have been opportunities to drive the ball somewhere and score runs as a result, and instead work the count for a less immediately productive walk) game after game to see that he is not offering the team the *slugging* they need from him. He's offering walks, so that someone else further down the order and typically less potent is given the burden of driving in the runs. He's merely extending the inning and passing the heavy lifting to someone else. That is not what he's asked to do. We can argue about stats all day long, but he's failing to achieve the objectives his boss has given him. If you listen to Phil Garner, he says repeatedly that he needs Morgan Ensberg to drive in runs. He's hitting .194 since May 1 with 25 RBI in about 240 plate appearances. With numbers like that, no one on the club is going to care that he has 47 walks during that period. He could have 10 fewer walks and 12 more RBIs for all we know and maybe the team would have won a few more games. As for his wonderful OBP during that period, he's only been able to score 19 times through the help of others during that stretch.
And incidentally, I strongly disagree that swinging at pitches out of the strike zone is a bad idea. It really depends on the location out of the zone. Good RBI-minded hitters know they can drive an inside pitch they're looking for a loooooong way, or punch an outside pitch the opposite way and bring in runs. Pujols, Berkman, Ortiz, to name a few, do this quite routinely. In fact, I've seen each and every one of them hit these types of pitches out of sight, and you have too. Yes, these are pitches that would be called balls, and pitches that Ensberg would likely take. And yes, he might indeed draw a walk eventually. Me, I'd rather have the hits than walks with RISP. It's all about approach and understanding the *hitting zone*, not the strike zone. Overly selective hitters don't belong in the middle of the order. Frank Thomas, as great as he was, used to drive his team crazy because he would refuse to loosen his standards, say, with the tying or winning run on third and one out, opting to take a walk by passing up borderline but eminently hittable pitches. Then of course his BB would eventually lead to no further runs being scored. It's indefensible for a designated run producer in the lineup to take that approach, and it doesn't go over well in the organization.
Stat 2005 2006 Diff
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1B 13 9 -4
2B 5 4 -1
3B 0 0 0
HR 6 5 -1
H 24 19 -5
BB 14 19 +5
HBP 1 1 0
SO 19 20 +1
SH 0 0 0
SF 1 1 0
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Good RBI-minded hitters know they can drive an inside pitch they're looking for a loooooong way, or punch an outside pitch the opposite way and bring in runs. Pujols, Berkman, Ortiz, to name a few, do this quite routinely. In fact, I've seen each and every one of them hit these types of pitches out of sight, and you have too.
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Yes, these are pitches that would be called balls, and pitches that Ensberg would likely take. And yes, he might indeed draw a walk eventually. Me, I'd rather have the hits than walks with RISP. It's all about approach and understanding the *hitting zone*, not the strike zone.
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Overly selective hitters don't belong in the middle of the order. Frank Thomas, as great as he was, used to drive his team crazy because he would refuse to loosen his standards, say, with the tying or winning run on third and one out, opting to take a walk by passing up borderline but eminently hittable pitches. Then of course his BB would eventually lead to no further runs being scored. It's indefensible for a designated run producer in the lineup to take that approach, and it doesn't go over well in the organization.
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No, that's not what I mean by suitable. I mean they're strikes that he would rather not swing at. Arky, I can't make my point to you unless you're willing to acknowledge that an AB that results in a walk with RISP may/should have resulted in a sac fly, double, single, HR, RBI groundout with a less finicky approach. Those results are unknowable, but one only need observe his lack of aggressiveness (defined as willingness to take up to two strikes that could have been opportunities to drive the ball somewhere and score runs as a result, and instead work the count for a less immediately productive walk) game after game to see that he is not offering the team the *slugging* they need from him. He's offering walks, so that someone else further down the order and typically less potent is given the burden of driving in the runs. He's merely extending the inning and passing the heavy lifting to someone else. That is not what he's asked to do. We can argue about stats all day long, but he's failing to achieve the objectives his boss has given him. If you listen to Phil Garner, he says repeatedly that he needs Morgan Ensberg to drive in runs. He's hitting .194 since May 1 with 25 RBI in about 240 plate appearances. With numbers like that, no one on the club is going to care that he has 47 walks during that period. He could have 10 fewer walks and 12 more RBIs for all we know and maybe the team would have won a few more games. As for his wonderful OBP during that period, he's only been able to score 19 times through the help of others during that stretch.
And incidentally, I strongly disagree that swinging at pitches out of the strike zone is a bad idea. It really depends on the location out of the zone. Good RBI-minded hitters know they can drive an inside pitch they're looking for a loooooong way, or punch an outside pitch the opposite way and bring in runs. Pujols, Berkman, Ortiz, to name a few, do this quite routinely. In fact, I've seen each and every one of them hit these types of pitches out of sight, and you have too. Yes, these are pitches that would be called balls, and pitches that Ensberg would likely take. And yes, he might indeed draw a walk eventually. Me, I'd rather have the hits than walks with RISP. It's all about approach and understanding the *hitting zone*, not the strike zone. Overly selective hitters don't belong in the middle of the order. Frank Thomas, as great as he was, used to drive his team crazy because he would refuse to loosen his standards, say, with the tying or winning run on third and one out, opting to take a walk by passing up borderline but eminently hittable pitches. Then of course his BB would eventually lead to no further runs being scored. It's indefensible for a designated run producer in the lineup to take that approach, and it doesn't go over well in the organization.
If he's taking strikes then that's a problem that should be manifested by him striking out more, and he needs to correct that. But, as stated, his strikeout rate isn't up significantly. More strikeouts is certainly not the discernable major culprit in the collapse in his batting average.
And you're ignoring what is the biggest difference between this year and last year, besides the walks: Ensberg's batting average is 50 points lower this year than last year when he puts the ball in play.
When he puts the ball in play, he's 46-for-187 (.246). Last year, that number was 113-for-371 (.305).
His walk rate this year is 68 in 349 plate appearances (.195). Last year it was 85 in 624 plate appearances (.136).
Say Ensberg, instead of drawing those "extra" walks, decided to start swinging at pitches outside the strike zone. Say he swung away enough that he had the same walk rate this year as last year. That would mean 48 rather than 68 walks, or 20 more balls in play (.136 * 349 = 48).
How many of those 20 extra balls in play would result in a positive outcome? Given how poorly he's fared when he puts the ball in play this season (.246), the aggressive approach theoretically would yield about five more hits (.246 * 20 = 5).
If those are all with runners on base, that's at least five more RBI. Of course, he might also drive in some runs with his outs in the other 15 plate appearances when he puts the ball in play. But he's also going to kill some rallies as well.
So even if you assume Ensberg reduced his walk rate to last year's rate, that he always put the ball in play (never striking out) instead, that there were always runners on base when he put the ball in player, I think you'd have trouble demonstrating that he would have driven in as many as 10 extra runs.
The walks aren't the problem. What he's doing with the pitches he hits are the problem. Which might have a lot to do with the fidgeting with his stance. And which I suggest would only be made worse by him swinging at pitches outside the strike zone.
FYI, per 100 plate appearances, here's how Ensberg's 2005 and 2006 seasons compare:Stat 2005 2006 Diff
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1B 13 9 -4
2B 5 4 -1
3B 0 0 0
HR 6 5 -1
H 24 19 -5
BB 14 19 +5
HBP 1 1 0
SO 19 20 +1
SH 0 0 0
SF 1 1 0
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Barry Bonds and Jeff Bagwell and Mark McGwire and Ted Williams and Babe Ruth were willing to take the walk, even with runners on base, when the pitch was outside the strike zone. Ensberg isn't near those guys as a hitter, but why does the same principle that they applied not apply in Ensberg's case?
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just curious--do you think that "Ensturd" is funny? if so, why? are you in junior high?
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In an effort to not get lost in your stats, impressive as they are, I think you made the point that it's not his "approach" that's the problem but what's happening when he puts the ball in play. A big part of that is how well hit the ball is. From what I've seen, and this wouldn't show up in statistics that I can think because slugging doesn't include "outs", he's not hitting the ball anywhere nearly as hard as he did in the past.
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I agree with that. The fact that Ensberg is doing so poorly when he puts the ball in play could very well be a result of what Zipp aptly calls "stanceapalooza."
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i thinks he's 13-15 years old.
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Ensberg is not a 2 hole hitter. It would imply he's good at hitting behind the runner and advancing the runner. Nothing I've seen this year would support that.
Good point. Something I also have overlooked. I am just trying to find a reason for keeping him around. But I still wouldn't mind a package of say Ensberg and Wilson for Carlos Lee, but that is just me.
This just in, MoBerg may actually still be hurting!
"Obviously, it's going to cut into (Ensberg's) playing time," Purpura said of the trade. "And the thing with Morgan is, I know he hasn't admitted to having (right) shoulder problems, but he did hurt his shoulder. I don't know if that's still affecting him, but I think we'll have a good, frank conversation tomorrow. Unfortunately, we're in a position where we have to start moving forward.
"We can't give at-bats to players because they've been in that spot before. We're at a point that the potential that players have has to now translate into production and performance. We have to get production and performance out of our hitters."
Ensberg, who reluctantly admits his right shoulder is hurt, welcomes Huff.
chron article
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just curious--do you think that "Ensturd" is funny? if so, why? are you in junior high?
Turdin R. Johnson is just having fun, why you hatin?
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Rod Carew used to be noted for four different stances in 4 ABs. And to a lesser extent, Tony Gwynn, too. And I don't get to see him much, but it appears to me that Ichiro!? is moving around alot in the box, sometimes even during the pitch.
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In an effort to not get lost in your stats, impressive as they are, I think you made the point that it's not his "approach" that's the problem but what's happening when he puts the ball in play. A big part of that is how well hit the ball is. From what I've seen, and this wouldn't show up in statistics that I can think because slugging doesn't include "outs", he's not hitting the ball anywhere nearly as hard as he did in the past.
I agree with that. The fact that Ensberg is doing so poorly when he puts the ball in play could very well be a result of what Zipp aptly calls "stanceapalooza."
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2005 Home Runs/100 At-Bats = 6.844
2006 Home Runs/100 At-Bats = 6.884
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And just to add another tangent to this thread (as if it needed more) this club seems to lack clutch hitters. And by that I mean guys who hit well in the following situations (Bases Loaded, 3rd and less than 2 outs, Scoring positon and 2 outs, Scoring position and late). We all know Berkman can do it, and lately I would add Burke to that. I have no idea about Huff, but I know Wilson has something like .200 BA for career with bases loaded, Ensberg is worse. I even think Biggio is pretty bad in this spot in his career.
Arky, you are the stat king, what is the break down of the 9 primary hitters in those categories for careers? (Biggio, Lamb, Berkman, Wilson, Ensberg, Burke, Everett, Ausmus, Huff).
Biggio Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .275 .357 .436
Runners On .303 .390 .437
RISP .293 .397 .422
RISP/2 Outs .282 .414 .409
Bases Loaded .220 .285 .352
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Lamb Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .279 .324 .422
Runners On .284 .349 .434
RISP .273 .353 .429
RISP/2 Outs .249 .331 .403
Bases Loaded .340 .359 .440
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Berkman Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .296 .398 .560
Runners On .311 .432 .563
RISP .299 .437 .534
RISP/2 Outs .291 .442 .520
Bases Loaded .322 .386 .522
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Wilson Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .269 .332 .488
Runners On .263 .331 .458
RISP .255 .336 .451
RISP/2 Outs .240 .338 .417
Bases Loaded .204 .281 .357
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Ensberg Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .270 .361 .505
Runners On .276 .380 .481
RISP .283 .405 .468
RISP/2 Outs .266 .405 .486
Bases Loaded .298 .343 .544
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Burke Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .247 .325 .373
Runners On .275 .333 .431
RISP .256 .331 .410
RISP/2 Outs .190 .239 .317
Bases Loaded .125 .111 .125
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Everett Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .242 .292 .343
Runners On .262 .316 .378
RISP .255 .314 .380
RISP/2 Outs .204 .300 .370
Bases Loaded .328 .394 .500
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Auamus Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .255 .317 .356
Runners On .254 .340 .342
RISP .242 .343 .337
RISP/2 Outs .231 .375 .310
Bases Loaded .206 .265 .298
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Huff Avg OBP Slg
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Bases Empty .285 .330 .485
Runners On .291 .358 .466
RISP .271 .359 .457
RISP/2 Outs .250 .359 .451
Bases Loaded .214 .240 .405
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By the way, Ensberg is batting .233/.372/.493 with none on and .238/.410/.508 with runners on this season.
Ensberg has drawn 32 walks in 183 plate appearances (.175) with none on and 36 walks in 166 plate appearances (.217) with runners on.
When you take away the six intentional walks, all with runners on, that lowers it to 30 walks in 160 plate appearances (.1875) with runners on.
In other words, intentional walks aside, the difference in the number of walks he's drawing with none on and runners on is very small.
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By the way, Ensberg is batting .233/.372/.493 with none on and .238/.410/.508 with runners on this season.
Ensberg has drawn 32 walks in 183 plate appearances (.175) with none on and 36 walks in 166 plate appearances (.217) with runners on.
When you take away the six intentional walks, all with runners on, that lowers it to 30 walks in 160 plate appearances (.1875) with runners on.
In other words, intentional walks aside, the difference in the number of walks he's drawing with none on and runners on is very small.
Which, because I don't understand relational statistics, supports my assertion that his actions are completely independent from the situations they occur in.
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Huff's numbers look horrible
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Huff's been hot lately, too. He batted .359 (33-for-92) with three home runs and 13 RBIs in June. He's been even better this month with a .389 (14-for-36) mark and three homers in nine games.
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By the way, Ensberg is batting .233/.372/.493 with none on and .238/.410/.508 with runners on this season.
Ensberg has drawn 32 walks in 183 plate appearances (.175) with none on and 36 walks in 166 plate appearances (.217) with runners on.
When you take away the six intentional walks, all with runners on, that lowers it to 30 walks in 160 plate appearances (.1875) with runners on.
In other words, intentional walks aside, the difference in the number of walks he's drawing with none on and runners on is very small.
Which, because I don't understand relational statistics, supports my assertion that his actions are completely independent from the situations they occur in.
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Huff's numbers look horrible
Be careful how you read Huff's stats for this season. He was injured earlier this season, and he took a little while to warm up after coming off the DL. Since June 1, he's been doing very well. I don't have the break down of runners on in that time, but there is this:
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Huff's numbers look horrible
Be careful how you read Huff's stats for this season. He was injured earlier this season, and he took a little while to warm up after coming off the DL. Since June 1, he's been doing very well. I don't have the break down of runners on in that time, but there is this:
Umm, I think Arky's numbers on him are career, at least that is what I was looking for.
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Huff's numbers look horrible
Be careful how you read Huff's stats for this season. He was injured earlier this season, and he took a little while to warm up after coming off the DL. Since June 1, he's been doing very well. I don't have the break down of runners on in that time, but there is this:
Umm, I think Arky's numbers on him are career, at least that is what I was looking for.
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It also may be worth a look at the lineups around him when he's had slumps or down years, beyond his normal slow starts. I can think of another Astro (former??) who always started slow. I don't think that's an issue, personally.