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General Discussion => Archive => Game Zone 2016 Archive => Topic started by: Mr. Happy on August 16, 2016, 05:11:38 pm

Title: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Mr. Happy on August 16, 2016, 05:11:38 pm
Your lineups for tonight's tilt:

Cardinals

LFTommy Pham (R)
RFS. Piscotty (R)
2BMatt Carpenter (L)
1BBrandon Moss (L)
CYadier Molina (R)
DHJhonny Peralta (R)
3BJedd Gyorko (R)
CFRandal Grichuk (R)
SSGreg Garcia (L)

STL: Jaime Garcia (L)  (9-8, 3.93)

Astros

RF George Springer (R)
3B Alex Bregman (R)
2B Jose Altuve (R)
SS Carlos Correa (R)
1B Marwin Gonzalez (S)
DH Evan Gattis (R)
LF T. Hernandez (R)
C Jason Castro (L)
CF Jake Marisnick (R)

HOU: Dallas Keuchel (L)  (7-11, 4.56)
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Jacksonian on August 16, 2016, 06:01:24 pm
Your lineups for tonight's tilt:

Astros

RF George Springer (R)
3B Alex Bregman (R)
2B Jose Altuve (R)
SS Carlos Correa (R)
1B Marwin Gonzalez (S)
DH Evan Gattis (R)
LF T. Hernandez (R)
C Jason Castro (L)
CF Jake Marisnick (R)

HOU: Dallas Keuchel (L)  (7-11, 4.56)

I like this outfield and the batting order is Hernandez can hit a little.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: jbm on August 16, 2016, 07:11:42 pm
Is Ashby on vacation or have they just wised up?

Baseball, mediocre or better, is more enjoyable with Blum.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MikeyBoy on August 16, 2016, 07:23:14 pm
Keuchel has to get off the middle of the plate. Fuck.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Jacksonian on August 16, 2016, 07:24:15 pm
Keuchel has to get off the middle of the plate. Fuck.

He's been there most of the season.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:25:25 pm
T1:

Pham doubles to LCF
Piscotty strikes out looking
Carpenter singles to RF, Pham to 3B
Moss hits double play ball to 2B, but the shift...single to CF, Pham scores, Carpenter to 3B
Molina hits double play ball to 2B, but the shift...Altuve runs it down, but can only go to 1B, Carpenter scores, Moss to 2B
Peralta strikes out looking

Shift fucks em again...2-0 Cardinals
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:26:32 pm
Keuchel has to get off the middle of the plate. Fuck.

It'd be helpful if the Astros didn't insist on leaving half the fucking infield uncovered for a groundball pitcher.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:29:31 pm
Bregman!!!

First big league tater ties it up at 2-2
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: austro on August 16, 2016, 07:36:07 pm
Bregman has really started to look a lot more comfortable in the last 7 days or so, and seems very well-suited to that #2 spot.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:42:09 pm
B1:

Springer hit by pitch
Springer moves to 2B on a wild pitch as Molina gives it a token "ole" wave
Bregman homers to RF, Springer scores
Altuve singles to LF
Altuve moves to 2B on a TE-1 on a pickoff attempt
Correa...battling...full count...finally works a walk
Marwin sac bunt...1-3, Altuve to 3B, Correa to 2B...would have been safe if he hadn't been jogging down the line
Gattis takes a cookie then pops out F3 in foul ground on a ball in the dirt
Hernandez lines out to CF

Astros tie it up, but squander a big opportunity...2-2 after one.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:47:20 pm
T2:

Gyorko grounds out 5-3 on the first pitch...nice barehanded pickup by Bregman
Grichuck flies out F7
Garcia strikes out looking

2-2
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 07:57:00 pm
Bases juiced with one out for Altuve and he hacks at the fist pitch at his ankles and pops it up
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:01:25 pm
B2:

Castro...3-0...3-1...3-2...draws a leadoff walk
Marisnick chops one back to the mound, reaches on a FC, Castro out 1-6
Springer walks, Marisnick to 2B
Bregman check swings chops one over the mound, SS can't pick it up...E-6...Marisnick to 3B, Springer to 2B
Altuve pops up on the first pitch..IFF...F6
Correa...3-0...3-1...3-2...takes a hanging curve right over the center of the plate

Astros step on their dicks again...leave the bases loaded

2-2
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:07:01 pm
T3:

Pham strikes out looking
Piscotty pops out F6 on the first pitch
Carpenter bounces back to the mound...1-3

2-2
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:10:29 pm
Marwin!!!

3-2 Astros
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:13:40 pm
B3:

Marwin homers to LF
Gattis flies out F9 on the first pitch
Hernandez flies out F9
Castro taps in front of the plate on the first pitch...2-3

But the Astros grab a 3-2 lead after three
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MikeyBoy on August 16, 2016, 08:14:02 pm
Great interview with AE.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 08:17:35 pm
Great interview with AE.

He played one hell of a shortstop. I'm glad he's still in the system, I'd guess he's equally as good a teacher.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:19:55 pm
T4:

Moss grounds out 4-3
Molina grounds out 5-3
Peralta strikes out swinging

3-2 Astros
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: chuck on August 16, 2016, 08:32:10 pm
These are not the Cardinals I remember.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: austro on August 16, 2016, 08:32:28 pm
999 for Altuve!
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:32:50 pm
Altuve with an RBI single for his 999th hit...
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: austro on August 16, 2016, 08:33:00 pm
These are not the Cardinals I remember.

Yeah, this is a pretty sloppy defense.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:34:29 pm
B4:

Marisnick doubles down the LF line
Springer grounds out 6-3
Bregman...0-2...1-2...2-2...3-2...flies out F9, Marisnick tags and moves to 3B
Altuve singles to RF, Marisnick scores
Correa grounds into FC, Altuve out 4U

4-2 Astros
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:43:30 pm
And a 2-out, 2-strike home run ties it up at 4-4
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:45:24 pm
T5:

Gyorko strikes out swinging
Grichuck doubles to LF...good throw gets him easily at 2B, but Hernandez gagged it a little
Garcia grounds out 4-3, Grichuck to 3B
Pham...3-0...3-1...3-2...homers to RF, Grichuck scores
Piscotty strikes out looking

But the Cards tie it up...4-4
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 16, 2016, 08:48:16 pm
Dallas threw 4 straight belt-high or higher to Pham. Probably the shift's fault.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:50:23 pm
Dallas threw 4 straight belt-high or higher to Pham. Probably the shift's fault.


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Have you ever made an argument without a giant strawman?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 08:53:35 pm
B5:

Marwin flies out F7
Gattis flies out F7
Hernandez strikes out swinging

4-4 after five
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:01:55 pm
Keuchel throwing puss.  That's all for him...runners at the corner with nobody out in the 6th, as Neshek in
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 16, 2016, 09:03:51 pm
FACT: the Golden State Warriors led the NBA Finals 3-1, then decided to employ an infield shift against LeBron James. They haven't won since.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 16, 2016, 09:04:27 pm
Have you ever made an argument without a giant strawman?

I sometimes work in origami.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: AstroNut on August 16, 2016, 09:05:20 pm
Minute Maid sounds like the Cards are at home ? WTF
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MrKnuckleball on August 16, 2016, 09:06:43 pm
Minute Maid sounds like the Cards are at home ? WTF
They have quite a fan base. A big baseball city.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:07:10 pm
Keuchel throwing puss.  That's all for him...runners at the corner with nobody out in the 6th, as Neshek in

At this point, the most difficult part to comprehend is how consistently lights out he was last year.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: austro on August 16, 2016, 09:08:27 pm
At this point, the most difficult part to comprehend is how consistently lights out he was last year.

I'm trying to figure out if this is an off year, or if last year was.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:09:11 pm
8-4 Cardinals...one out in the 6th...
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Col. Sphinx Drummond on August 16, 2016, 09:13:25 pm
Kick that motherfucker out of the ballpark! Asshole!
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Jacksonian on August 16, 2016, 09:14:09 pm
I'm trying to figure out if this is an off year, or if last year was.

He was also very good in 2014.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:14:34 pm
T6:

Carpenter draws a leadoff walk
Moss singles to RF, Carpenter to 3B

Keuchek out, Neshek in

Molina grounds out 3U, Carpenter scores, Moss to 2B
Peralta singles to CF, Moss to 3B
Gyorko crushes a home run to deep LCF...Moss scores, Peralta scores
Grichuk pops down RF line, fan reaches out and takes it away from Springer...strikes out swinging anyway
Garcia strikes out swinging

8-4 Cardinals

Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:18:54 pm
Castro blasted that one.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MrKnuckleball on August 16, 2016, 09:19:36 pm
Castro hit one that is still flying, jesus.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:19:52 pm
Castro blasted that one.


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Carlos Correa simply willed that home run.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MrKnuckleball on August 16, 2016, 09:26:09 pm
What a horrible call on Bregman wow.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:27:10 pm
They have quite a fan base. A big baseball city.

St. Louis being a (self proclaimed) "big baseball city" has very little to do with the organization having a broad national following.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:29:09 pm
B6:

Castro homers to deep in the upper deck in RCF, in awe of Carlos Correa's presence and extra large penis

That's it for Garcia, Reyes in

Marisnick carved up on strikes, Carlos Correa must have been in the head during that at bat and couldn't use his powers
Springer draws a walk as Correa zips up
Bregman strikes out looking at a pitch in his eyes..no word on Correa's penis
Altuve lines to RF, denying Carlos Correa tying up the game with his inevitable 700-ft home run

8-5
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MrKnuckleball on August 16, 2016, 09:30:22 pm
St. Louis being a (self proclaimed) "big baseball city" has very little to do with the organization having a broad national following.
Ok!
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 16, 2016, 09:33:23 pm
Ok!

The Cards relationship with Houston goes back to the Houston Buffs being a minor league affiliate of the Cards for years.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:34:24 pm
The Cards relationship with Houston goes back to the Houston Buffs being a minor league affiliate of the Cards for years.

Not to mention that the Cardinals have been very good for a very long time.  Though that will all change now that Carlos Correa has been born.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: AstroNut on August 16, 2016, 09:35:54 pm
The Cardinals are/was a hated rival...fuck them. I think it is embarrassing to be out cheered at MM
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:36:06 pm
T7:

Devenski in...

Pham strikes out looking
Piscotty grounds out 6-3 on the greatest routine play in baseball history
Carpenter strikes out looking, thinking about Carlos Correa and fearing for his at bat

8-5 still
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:48:34 pm
B7:

Correa...who was player of the week, but should be been player of the century...all centuries...chops a magical ball right past a shifted first baseman...oh the irony, he wrote...
Marwin...hitting left handed in honor of Carlos Correa's great, great uncle...grounds into FC, the Great Correa is unceremoniously put out 6-4, and women everywhere vow to never eat again
Gattis strikes out swinging...likely because he doubts Carlos Correa
Gonzalez moves to 2B on a wild pitch, another "ole" by Molina, who doesn't appear to be really trying
Reed, pinch hitting for Hernandez...strikes out swinging because he's got a really, really slow bat...which has nothing to do with Carlos Correa's magnificicence. 

8-5
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:49:08 pm
The Cards relationship with Houston goes back to the Houston Buffs being a minor league affiliate of the Cards for years.

Their radio feed was broadcast across much of the southeast during the childhood years of the boomers before the braves moved to Atlanta. A lot of exposure and a lot of winning builds a following.

Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 16, 2016, 09:51:16 pm
If the French had bothered to consult with Carlos Correa, he would have pointed out that the Maginot Line included a shift.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:52:04 pm
B7:


Reed, pinch hitting for Hernandez...strikes out swinging because he's got a really, really slow bat...which has nothing to do with Carlos Correa's magnificicence. 

8-5

I would consider sending him down when Yuli comes up and tell him that the team expects him to be a long term contributor but his success may hinge on him coming to camp next season in the best shape of his life and stress the importance of focusing on that for the next six or so months.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:53:49 pm
T8:

Moss strikes out swinging
Molina flies out F8 on the hill
Peralta grounds out 5-3

8-5
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 09:56:17 pm
I would consider sending him down when Yuli comes up and tell him that the team expects him to be a long term contributor but his success may hinge on him coming to camp next season in the best shape of his life and stress the importance of focusing on that for the next six or so months.

I don't think Reed's problem is his weight.  You don't have to be skinny to swing the bat with authority. 
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 09:56:38 pm
If the French had bothered to consult with Carlos Correa, he would have pointed out that the Maginot Line included a shift.


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Fitting because the Astros have represented the proverbial Alsace-Lorraine of the MLB
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 16, 2016, 09:58:14 pm
Fitting because the Astros have represented the proverbial Alsace-Lorraine of the MLB

Pangaea was perfectly fine until those fucking plates shifted.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:01:18 pm
B8:

Duke in for the Cardinals

Castro strikes out swinging
Marisnick grounds out 4-3
Springer takes a cookie right down the middle...he's no Carlos Correa

to the 9th...8-5 Cardinals
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 10:06:38 pm
I don't think Reed's problem is his weight.  You don't have to be skinny to swing the bat with authority.

I agree that fitness doesn't equate to bat speed, but he looks overmatched due to that   slow bat speed. He's obviously a great athlete and could benefit from more time in the gym and cage. He's not going to be able to rely on hitting fat (no pun intended) pitches and driving them out. He may never take the next step to become a consistent big league power hitter, but I'd try to use it to motivate him to improve as a player rather than get discouraged by his major league futility. The coaches who work with him every day likely know best how to manage him and try to get the most out of him though and can work to make adjustments in the offseason if that's all he needs to improve.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:09:49 pm
T9:

Giles in

Jerko strikes out looking
Grichuk doubles to LF, Marisnick bobbles it and Grichuk gets to 3B...inexplicably scored a triple
Garcia...infield in, including the Great Correa...strikes out swinging
Pham strikes out swinging

One more chance...Astros chasing three runs
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: The Third Man on August 16, 2016, 10:10:01 pm
I think Giles has electrifying stuff, but I wish he could get through an inning without reminding me of the Russian roulette scene from "The Deer Hunter" every time.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 16, 2016, 10:10:11 pm
Their radio feed was broadcast across much of the southeast during the childhood years of the boomers before the braves moved to Atlanta. A lot of exposure and a lot of winning builds a following.

there was a time when the Cards were the only team west of the Mississippi.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:11:49 pm
there was a time when the Cards were the only team west of the Mississippi.

That was BC...Before Correa...so it doesn't count.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:12:04 pm
What does Correa think about selfie sticks?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:14:12 pm
Bregman reminds me of Jessie Pinkman.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:14:12 pm
And there's #1,000 for Altuve
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 10:14:32 pm
1000 for Altuve. Fortunately, he didn't go Full Biggio and keep running.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: hostros7 on August 16, 2016, 10:16:17 pm
Bregman reminds me of Jessie Pinkman.

CPN Cook
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:18:07 pm
CPN Cook

Chili P!
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:18:48 pm
B9:

Oh in to try to close it out

Bregman strikes out looking
Altuve singles to LF, number 1,000
Correa...allowing Altuve to share his aura...briefly...with the greatest three pitch strikeout in baseball history...Donald Trump says he will make Correa great again
Marwin strikes out swinging at a pitch in the dirt, obviously distraught about Correa.

Astros lose, and everyone is to blame except the Great Correa.  Which goes without saying.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:25:00 pm
Well HH... At least you're free to travel whenever you need to. No need to put your life on hold to get the Astros in the playoffs.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 16, 2016, 10:26:51 pm
If I had to put a finger on the one difference between this year's Astros and last years' it would be the performance by Keuchel.
If I"m Luhnow I'm thinking my off-season goals are the bottom half of the lineup and the top of the rotation.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:28:07 pm
If I had to put a finger on the one difference between this year's Astros and last years' it would be the performance by Keuchel.

And a ten game winning streak.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 16, 2016, 10:28:09 pm
Well HH... At least you're free to travel whenever you need to. No need to put your life on hold to get the Astros in the playoffs.

I tried shifting the PBP responsibilities to you guys, but you stepped on your collective dick.  It may now be too late
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: WVastro on August 16, 2016, 10:29:50 pm
I tried shifting the PBP responsibilities to you guys, but you stepped on your collective dick.  It may now be too late

Agreed. My pbp would be of the late Milo vintage.

"Oh man that sucked"

"Hell yeah"

"Fucking ump! I'm going to bed..."
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 16, 2016, 10:30:54 pm
And a ten game winning streak.

they had a nice run there for two months. Had a 10/12  IIRC.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MusicMan on August 17, 2016, 09:07:49 am
If I had to put a finger on the one difference between this year's Astros and last years' it would be the performance by Keuchel.

I think I'm repeating myself from earlier in the season, but if you had to pick one thing before the season that would sink this team, Keuchel going in the shitter would have been at the top of the list.


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Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: pots on August 17, 2016, 09:34:43 am
At this point in the season last year the Astros were 16-8 when Keuchel started.  This year they are 10-14.  Yeah that pretty much will do it.

As for those thinking top of the rotation help this off season, Fister is possibly the #1 option this year on the free agent market.  There isn't a single top of the rotation guy on the market this year.  Going to be a plethora of overpaid pitchers this offseason. 

I'd say a qualifying offer to Fister is a no-brainer at this point.  He'd be a fool to accept it.

Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 17, 2016, 09:35:02 am
Bregmans' 1st 10 games and his last 10 games:     .053/.143/.053
                                                                                         .295/.333/.477

Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: jbm on August 17, 2016, 09:43:24 am
Each time he appears to figure it out, a regression seems to follow.  With each regression, the probability of seeing Cy Keuchel (or even a TOR Keuchel) in the future decreases, at least in my mind.  Maybe I'm just being pessimistic, but if his future is as a replacement level arm, it's a big hole to patch.

It seems like the lineup looks damn promising for the near future, with a lot of certainty in that evaluation.  However, while I can imagine a solid pitching staff in the near future, the certainty is pretty low.   
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: pots on August 17, 2016, 09:48:43 am
He threw a combined 246 innings between the regular season and post season last year.  Any benefit to shutting him down early this year if they are out of it by September?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Jacksonian on August 17, 2016, 09:51:16 am
He threw a combined 246 innings between the regular season and post season last year.  Any benefit to shutting him down early this year if they are out of it by September?

Unless he's injured what would be the point?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: pots on August 17, 2016, 09:59:30 am
Unless he's injured what would be the point?

This is what I'm asking.  If there is any point.   
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Mr. Happy on August 17, 2016, 10:02:05 am
Each time he appears to figure it out, a regression seems to follow.  With each regression, the probability of seeing Cy Keuchel (or even a TOR Keuchel) in the future decreases, at least in my mind.  Maybe I'm just being pessimistic, but if his future is as a replacement level arm, it's a big hole to patch.

It seems like the lineup looks damn promising for the near future, with a lot of certainty in that evaluation.  However, while I can imagine a solid pitching staff in the near future, the certainty is pretty low.

Keuchel's stuff is just not plus stuff. He has to have pinpoint command in order to be effective. He had that in 2014 and even more in 2015. However, he's had very inconsistent command this season, which explains his problem. Simply put, his margin of error is very small, and he';s found error far more this season.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: jbm on August 17, 2016, 10:21:31 am
Keuchel's stuff is just not plus stuff. He has to have pinpoint command in order to be effective. He had that in 2014 and even more in 2015. However, he's had very inconsistent command this season, which explains his problem. Simply put, his margin of error is very small, and he';s found error far more this season.

I'm not saying you are wrong, cause I don't know, and while I agree that Keuchel operates on a margin, I'm not sold that it is just a command issue.  My observation is that he used to throw his sinker early in counts and get a lot of ground outs or get ahead in the count.  Now, he is not getting those ground outs as the sinker is getting squared more frequently.  This has led to him trying to finesse the zone and rely on his change and breaking ball.  This has also upped his pitch counts and led him to look more like a junk baller than a guy who works off his sinker.  In sum, I wonder if it is just that his sinker is no longer effective and not that he has lost pinpoint command.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: Jacksonian on August 17, 2016, 10:26:16 am
I'm not saying you are wrong, cause I don't know, and while I agree that Keuchel operates on a margin, I'm not sold that it is just a command issue.  My observation is that he used to throw his sinker early in counts and get a lot of ground outs or get ahead in the count.  Now, he is not getting those ground outs as the sinker is getting squared more frequently.  This has led to him trying to finesse the zone and rely on his change and breaking ball.  This has also upped his pitch counts and led him to look more like a junk baller than a guy who works off his sinker.  In sum, I wonder if it is just that his sinker is no longer effective and not that he has lost pinpoint command.

Far more pitches this year are up.  The last two years he worked constantly on and off the corners.  He hits the edges of the plate but has left many more pitches between the thighs and belt this year.  Those are the pitches getting hammered and that's the inconsistency in his command because you can be sure he does not want to pitch belt high anywhere near the plate.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MikeyBoy on August 17, 2016, 10:28:46 am
I'm not saying you are wrong, cause I don't know, and while I agree that Keuchel operates on a margin, I'm not sold that it is just a command issue.  My observation is that he used to throw his sinker early in counts and get a lot of ground outs or get ahead in the count.  Now, he is not getting those ground outs as the sinker is getting squared more frequently.  This has led to him trying to finesse the zone and rely on his change and breaking ball.  This has also upped his pitch counts and led him to look more like a junk baller than a guy who works off his sinker.  In sum, I wonder if it is just that his sinker is no longer effective and not that he has lost pinpoint command.

His sinker is flat which is mostly what's getting hammered. Probably due to something mechanical, i.e. arm slot/separation timing/etc.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 17, 2016, 10:30:49 am
His sinker is flat which is mostly what's getting hammered. Probably due to something mechanical, i.e. arm slot/separation timing/etc.

Maybe he's too worried about his arm slot/separation timing to just "see the mitt, hit the mitt". 
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: homer on August 17, 2016, 10:33:04 am
Maybe he's too worried about his arm slot/separation timing to just "see the mitt, hit the mitt". 

So... not trusting his stuff?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 17, 2016, 10:45:17 am
So... not trusting his stuff?

His pronation coefficient must be down by at least 12 parsecs. 

Seriously...he's not hitting spots, and there could be lots of reasons for that.  Personally, I've thought for a while he's injured, at least somewhat.  He just looks like he's really laboring, not throwing free and easy.  But some of the diagnosis sounds like some of the crap that 12-year old "select" coaches sell to delusional parents when they want more money.  "For $1,000 worth of lessons, I can improve his separation timing by 3-5%..."
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: JimR on August 17, 2016, 10:47:28 am
what the fuck is separation timing?
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MikeyBoy on August 17, 2016, 10:55:48 am
Seriously...he's not hitting spots, and there could be lots of reasons for that. 

Right...like something mechanical, which is what I was pointing out. He has been struggling since April, I would think if he was dealing with an injury, it would have surfaced by now.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: MikeyBoy on August 17, 2016, 10:56:59 am
what the fuck is separation timing?

Something I read about on the internet.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: jbm on August 17, 2016, 11:01:09 am
His pronation coefficient must be down by at least 12 parsecs. 

Seriously...he's not hitting spots, and there could be lots of reasons for that.  Personally, I've thought for a while he's injured, at least somewhat.  He just looks like he's really laboring, not throwing free and easy.  But some of the diagnosis sounds like some of the crap that 12-year old "select" coaches sell to delusional parents when they want more money.  "For $1,000 worth of lessons, I can improve his separation timing by 3-5%..."

So, is this what a "giant strawman" is?  I read if from you earlier in the thread? 
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 17, 2016, 11:07:13 am
Right...like something mechanical, which is what I was pointing out. He has been struggling since April, I would think if he was dealing with an injury, it would have surfaced by now.

Unless he's trying to play through it.  Players do that all the time. 
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: HudsonHawk on August 17, 2016, 11:07:44 am
So, is this what a "giant strawman" is?  I read if from you earlier in the thread?

No. 
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: homer on August 17, 2016, 11:10:03 am
Right...like something mechanical, which is what I was pointing out. He has been struggling since April, I would think if he was dealing with an injury, it would have surfaced by now.

Ground Control does have a top notch medical team. Intriguing.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: chuck on August 17, 2016, 12:11:51 pm
Ground Control does have a top notch medical team. Intriguing.

But they're busy trying to establish best practices on an ear cyst.
Title: Re: Co-Ards @ Astros August 16, 2016
Post by: juliogotay on August 17, 2016, 12:36:41 pm
what the fuck is separation timing?

this is what I practice when the wife has girlfriends coming over for a glass of wine.