Ben Reiter Predicts

[toddthebod]

Just finished a segment on high heat. 

Says the series doesn't go back to Boston.  Astros in 5

Says the Astros are a "generational kind of team"

Reiter previously picked the Astros over in the Indians in 4.  https://www.si.com/mlb/2018/10/05/alds-preview-cleveland-indians-houston-astros-world-series-title

[subnuclear]

I like his attitude, but baseball happens. I just hate having to wait till Saturday.

[Navin R Johnson]

I’d be pretty surprised if this didn’t go at least 6.

[Limey]

To win in 5, you have to think the Astros must win the first two in Boston behind Verlander and Cole, split the next two and Verlander goes in again in Game #5 for the series win.

It's not crazy to think that could happen, but to expect it, is.

[toddthebod]

Seems to me that the more likely scenario where the Astros win in 5 is to split the first two, and then have Keuchel/Morton/Verlander sweep the games in Houston.

That being said, I don't care how many games it takes, I just want the win.

[Limey]

Seems to me that the more likely scenario where the Astros win in 5 is to split the first two, and then have Keuchel/Morton/Verlander sweep the games in Houston.

That being said, I don't care how many games it takes, I just want the win.

Absolutely on the last part.  On the first point, sweeping 3 games featuring your 3rd and 4th starters is a tall order.  Of course, you're facing their 3rd and 4th starters, so who the fuck knows.  Not me.

[doyce7]

I expect the series to end in Boston, one way or the other. Would I be shocked if the Astros won in 5? No. Would I be shocked if the Sox won in 5? No but I would be surprised. This series is going to be dog fight between the two best teams in baseball and even though I think the Astros are the better team, that doesnt mean they will win. Baseball is a weird game. Sale vs verlander could turn into a 12-10 slugfest or it could be a 1-0 game with 30 strikeouts, you cant truly predict baseball.

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[Limey]

I expect the series to end in Boston, one way or the other.

Ted Berg agrees with you:

The Red Sox have baseball’s best offense, but the Astros’ strong starting rotation should mitigate the damage done by the likes of Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez. Houston has no apparent weaknesses whatsoever, and enough depth on their roster to mitigate any that may arise.

Prediction: Astros in 6

[Waldo]

Says the series doesn't go back to Boston.  Astros in 5

I had the exact same premonition this morning.

[JimR]

4,5,6, or 7–I do not care. Just win.

[subnuclear]

Here are Dan Szymborski's ZIPs probabilities which give the Red Sox the edge in the Sale games and the Astros the edge on the rest.

[JimR]

Here are Dan Szymborski's ZIPs probabilities which give the Red Sox the edge in the Sale games and the Astros the edge on the rest.

Do not tell Bregman about Sale.