Even with Carpenter struggling down the stretch and the loss of their top middle reliever Reyes, it will take more than what the Padres have to top the Cards.
Think about it - Padres barely finished the season above 500 playing the lion's share of their games against the Rockies, DBacks, Dodgers, and Giants - all weak teams this year.
I say Cards in 4. Heck, the Padres may even be swept.