There was a piece in the NY Times June 3rd edition (I don't have a link) written by the author of "Friday Night Lights" that discussed Wood and the ongoing debate regarding pitchers throwing too much or too little. It seemed to me, at least, to suggest that it may just all depend upon the pitcher in question. Wood thinks the low pitch counts mandated in his minor league career hurt his big league career. Nolan Ryan was cited as a firm believer in letting pitchers go. I don't know--maybe Zambrano defies the odds and throws that nasty ass slider for a long time and for a lot of innings. But I'm inclined to agree with Noe (and the sly Deshaies) that his time may be coming.
One thing Zambrano has in his favor -- it seems like most pitchers who break down due to bad mechanics do so pretty early on. Carlos has a lot of innings under his belt already, not counting what he did in the minors (which was probably closely monitored) and in Venezuela before that (which probably wasn't.) And no major problems to this point. A lot of the same things being said about him have been said about Oswalt, too. Not specifically, but there was a general feeling that Roy O. threw too hard for his size, or something. Anyway, he worked out OK. I'd give Zambrano a better than even chance.
I also agree the individual matters more in this than mechanics or pitch counts. Prior was lauded for his excellent mechanics, but has had no better luck than Kerry Wood.
Mea culpa mea culpa mea maxima culpa.
Or, as St. Augustine said, 'Mea saurus, mea saurus, mea maxima saurus.' I'm a lizard, I'm a lizard, I'm an enormous lizard,