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Messages - Limey

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2001
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 16, 2018, 04:45:32 pm »
Kavanaugh's accuser has come forward.  The accusation doesn't get any less credible and any less disturbing when you hear from the accuser - an upstanding successful, professional woman in her own right.

Christine Ford is a professor at Palo Alto University who teaches in a consortium with Stanford University, training graduate students in clinical psychology. Her work has been widely published in academic journals.

Quote
I thought he might inadvertently kill me.  He was trying to attack me and remove my clothing.

In the years since, Ford has consulted therapists about her ongoing issues stemming from this assault.  She provided copies of her therapists' notes for the Washington Post to examine.

This is a credible lady.  I will be shocked / not shocked if Republicans continue to work to ram home this nomination (unfortunate connotations of the prior phrasing intentional).

2002
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:58:02 pm »
The Texans worked very hard to lose this game. 

2003
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:56:58 pm »
According to the rules analyst, it’s just a bullshit rule, not a bullshit call.

The Patriots use this rule on purpose in three...two...

2004
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:45:41 pm »
Not sure if we’re getting ducked by the rules, the refs, or both. 

2005
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:12:57 pm »
When was the last time the Texans were effective in the red zone?

2006
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:11:53 pm »
Innocent if proven guilty.

...and pleas don’t count as guilty. 

2007
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:06:55 pm »
With all the forfeiture I'm sure the outstanding folks on the Republican side of the aisle will quit bitching about the cost of the Mueller investigation, right?

Right?

They don’t even recognize that crimes were committed!

2008
Beer and Queso / Re: Watch your ceiling, AussieAstro!
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:05:38 pm »
Limey's a vegetarian?

I *have* been gone a long time.

Well over a year now. 

2009
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 16, 2018, 02:04:07 pm »
If not for the witness tampering, would he have been free until sentencing? Or would he be considered a flight risk to bolt to Russia?  Then again, doesn't he still owe a LOT of money to some Russian oligarchs?

Probably would be out for now.  I presume whatever time he spends in jail now will be deducted from his eventual custodial sentence. 

2010
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 16, 2018, 01:35:33 pm »
Just cycling back, it's worth taking a look at the breadth of Manafort's plea deal.  He will get reduced jail time, yes, but what he has to give up is breathtaking:

- he forfeits the contents of a number of bank accounts and 5 properties, totaling tens of millions (and this forfeiture is pardon-proof, it's gone for good);

- he had to fess up to having done everything of which he was accused, even the crimes for which charges were dropped as part of the plea deal and, yes, this includes the 10 hung counts from the Virginia trial;

- he has to cooperate, with everyone, about everything, no (Roger) stone will be left unturned, he has to be "forthright" meaning he cannot lie by omission without breaking the agreement;

- he has waived his right to have an attorney present in his interviews with law enforcement (unless there is prior written agreement);

- he has to testify when and where required;

- he has to stay in jail until prosecutors are done with him, which could be years.


He lost hard!  As if to reinforce that we're being conned and held hostage by the dumbest people ever, it's hard to imagine that the deal he was offered - before he burned through a few mil. going into through the first trial - would have been worse than this one.  It's truly spectacular how Manafort has fucked himself so completely.

2011
Beer and Queso / Re: Hurricane Florence
« on: September 15, 2018, 03:44:42 pm »
A cousin of mine for some reason decided to take her infant son and go TO Morehead City to stay with her (perfectly capable/mobile) mom.

A mother and infant child were killed when a tree fell on their house.  I sincerely hope this is not your cousin.


Here in Durham (about 150 miles from where Florence made landfall) it’s been quiet, some wind, some rain, but nothing too unusual, yet.

I hope everything stayed quiet.  Flo is a bitch.

2012
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 15, 2018, 12:06:35 pm »
Cruz - O’Rourke debate schedule set: first of three is on Friday 21st at SMU. 

Opportunity for Beto to land some punches independent of spending power.  Cruz is a slippery customer (because his skin secretes oil) so it will be a big test.  At the same time Cruz is the definition of inauthentic, while Beto - as his viral video about kneeling NFL plays confirms - is honest, articulate and relatable. 

Chalk vs. Cheese. 

2013
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 04:33:00 pm »
I still don't know the answer to that question as it pertains to Rick. (And of course he's still spitting on people from the top of a Ferris wheel.) And I certainly don't know what or if the Trump gang is thinking. Like with Rick, we may never know.

I believe Rick is currently the Deputy Secretary of State.

2014
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 03:56:56 pm »
Womp womp.

Importantly, Mueller now has a first hand witness to the June 2016 Trump Tower meeting.  Junior and Kushner just shit themselves.

2015
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 03:28:42 pm »
While cooperation by Manafort is not in doubt, cooperation by Michael Cohen was.  Until now.  New reporting claims that Cohen is talking to Mueller's team.

2016
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 03:12:01 pm »
The reason pardoning Manafort is in Trump's interest is that the republicans would let him get away with it and that would help lay the precedent for pardoning himself and his family members.

There's the political track, in which Republicans continue to give cover to Trump for they know not what (or they know, but think we won't find out), and the legal track, which is federal prosecutors working to bring charges and gain convictions of those involved regardless of any smoke that is blown from Washington.

At the intersection of the two is Donald Trump.  If Democrats take the House and/or Senate (which is now believed to be in play), the lame duck period between November and January is going to be a shit show of epic proportions as everyone scrambles to try and firewall themselves off from the coming subpoena apocalypse up to and including a Trump self-pardon.

2017
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 11:52:31 am »
The accusation against Kavanaugh.

Quote from: Ronan Freakin' Farrow at The New Yorker
In the letter, the woman alleged that, during an encounter at a party, Kavanaugh held her down, and that he attempted to force himself on her. She claimed in the letter that Kavanaugh and a classmate of his, both of whom had been drinking, turned up music that was playing in the room to conceal the sound of her protests, and that Kavanaugh covered her mouth with his hand. She was able to free herself.

We may be barreling to another Anita Hill moment but, this time, at least there are some women on the Senate committee, not a Victorian town council of disapproving men*.  Watch HBO's excellent movie "Confirmation" on this event for a reminder, but you'll want to take a shower afterwards.

* Even Biden was guilty of treating Hill as some kind of hostile defendant, rather than a witness.

2018
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 11:12:48 am »
Manafort's cooperation agreement includes:
- interviews and briefings he'll give to the special counsel's office
- turning over documents
- testifying in other proceedings

2019
Manafort is cooperating.

...and Trump is exploding.

2020
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 09:54:15 am »
I think a pardon is a hard sell.  I mean, if you maintain that the guy has nothing to do with you and hell, you hardly know him, then you are just pardoning a super rich guy who didn't pay his taxes, on ill-gotten money.

But like you said, Trump is stupid and will likely pardon him.

Trump also has no shame, so he wouldn't give a shit about the optics.  However, Trump never does anything that isn't self-serving, so he won't pardon Manafort because it would be a nice thing for Manafort, he'd do it if it was better for Trump...or at least thinks it's better for Trump (he has a very good brain so doesn't listen to experts very much).

One story from Woodward's book seems apropos here:  John Dowd told Woodward that Trump is unable to understand that the client of White House lawyers is the United States, not Trump.  When Dowd told Trump that Ty Cobb wasn't his lawyer and could be called as a witness against him, Trump said "Jesus!  I've been talking to him a lot!"

2021
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 14, 2018, 09:29:42 am »
Manafort's plea deal is done, and he'll be in court to allocute etc. at 11am EDT this morning.  Mueller's team has already filed its paperwork, and it suggests that he's going to cop to money laundering, tax evasion and witness tampering.  He'll take some prison time, cough up a couple of houses and the contents of 5 bank accounts.

No word as to any cooperation agreement but, as I've said and suspected all along, I don't think Mueller ever needed Manafort's testimony because he had that walking bag of human garbage Rick Gates in his pocket.  Gates had almost everything that Manafort had, plus Gates stayed in the Trump campaign through the election, into the transition and (I think) into office.  He has a much more broad knowledge of what was going on with Trump than Manafort.

It's likely, therefore, that Manafort is just taking the plea to avoid the expense of a second trial (and probable re-trial of the hung charges from Virginia), without a cooperation agreement, particularly as his was likely to have a library's worth of books thrown at him.  The Washington venue for this upcoming trial was never going to be as friendly to him as Virginia was, and he was 1 juror away from losing 18 of 18 there.

I'm sure he's in mortal fear of having to roll over on the Russians, who would absolutely have him or his family killed.  On the flip side, that means that Trump is a fucking moron if he pardons Manafort, because then Manafort could be compelled to testify having had the possibility of self-incrimination rendered moot.

* According to Rex Tillerson, Trump is a fucking moron, so watch this space.

2022
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 13, 2018, 09:59:49 pm »
If you didn’t realize that the rush to complete Kavanaugh’s confirmation was to avoid an avalanche of bad news about him, then you should be left in no doubt now.  Despite all Republican efforts, some of that shit is seeping out.  Just today, the case of his disappearing credit card debt came into more stark relief and, oh yeah, he might be a date rapist.  Honestly, how is this nomination still a fucking thing?

Also, a Manafort plea deal may be done.  If it is, we’ll likely find out tomorrow morning when there’s a court appearance scheduled.

Also in the news tomorrow will be, of course, Flo’s landfall and the fact that dozens of houses in three Mass. towns spontaneously combusted (seriously).  I think we made the Gods angry. 

2023
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 13, 2018, 03:14:42 pm »
I think Florence is going to have an interesting effect on the mid-terms.  The Republicans cannot screw up something do big so close to the election to keep their people happy. 

But, I do wonder if people effected by Harvey and Irma have changed their thoughts on their elected officials.

People from, or sympathetic to, Puerto Rico were unlikely to be Trump voters, so they were left to rot.  Texas and Florida, by contrast, got a decent response: one solid red and the other a swing state.

This hurricane response will be something to watch as regards his support in the south, but Trump has already killed his support in much of the mid-west as his tariffs are absolutely crushing agriculture.

Quote from: The Weekly Standard (yes, them)
On July 6, China slapped duties on $43 billion worth of U.S. goods, nearly $17 billion of it in agricultural products, including soybeans, sorghum, and pork. The move hit markets like a lightning bolt out of a clear sky: Soybean prices dropped a dollar a bushel when the tariffs were announced and another dollar when they were implemented, plummeting to a near-decade low below $9 a bushel.

Other farm commodities—corn, cotton, pork, and dairy—have suffered collateral damage from tariffs as well. And then there are the ripple effects through the farm production chain: suppliers, processors, packers, distributors. Nobody along the line is equipped to absorb the costs of the new tariffs.

On their face, the numbers are devastating for farmers, who operate with high overhead and slim profit margins in the best of times. It gets worse when you consider that tanking prices don’t just affect this year’s harvest: They retroactively damage income from last year, too.

2024
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 13, 2018, 02:44:25 pm »
As if Trump's appointed head of FEMA didn't have enough on his hands with hurricanes coming in and money going out (to fund ICE*), he's also being investigated by DHS for corruption (#BestPeople), involving using government vehicles and drivers to ferry him to and from the office, including using government expenses to house the driver in a hotel near his home.  He and DHS head Nielsen are at loggerheads, reportedly, which should make their working relationship really smooth over the trials to come.

* DHS has snaffled circa $170mm from other agencies under its control, including $10mm from FEMA and $30mm from the Coast Guard, to fund border detention and repatriation efforts.  The fact that the number of children detained at the border has skyrocketed to 12,800 might have something to do with it (and you thought that was all over).

2025
Beer and Queso / Re: Watch your ceiling, AussieAstro!
« on: September 13, 2018, 01:57:59 pm »
Reminds me of the old joke about a lion sitting in the jungle licking its arse... being a pom I guess you have heard that one a few times?

I'm not sure I know that one.

There are shark and lion variations of the same joke: the shark version revolving around the reason to carry a diving knife; it's not to fight off a shark, it's to stab your dive buddy and then swim away.  The lion version revolves around putting on running shoes when confronted by a lion; "You'll never outrun a lion even with those on," says one bloke.  "I don't have to outrun the lion," says the other.  "I just have to outrun you!"

2026
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 13, 2018, 01:54:26 pm »
So Trumpy goes Alex Jones on the Puerto Rican death toll. It'll be fascinating to see what he does with this upcoming series of hurricanes. I don't think it particularly matters that Puerto Rico does not represent his base of voters. I think you'll see an extension of this same behavior in the Carolinas and anywhere else this season's tremendously wet storms happen to make landfall.

He views natural disasters not through the eyes of the affected, but as a personal affront to him and the image he wishes to project. And his response is tethered to that. He responds to natural disasters like he responds to personal insults. The results are predictable.

So, anyway, rotsa ruck, boys.

The tweets today on Puerto Rico are gobsmacking, even for him.  Grotesque is his default position, but as pressures mount from various directions, he will plumb new depths of depravity with each passing tweet storm.

2027
Kathaleen Wall would've been an embarrassment in Congress, but Litton would've had a better shot against her. Crenshaw is a really good nominee for the GOP there.

I think the 2nd is a done deal for Republicans of any stripe until it gets un-gerryfucked, so I'm happy to have the better Republican option running because he's going to be my rep.

2028
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 04:40:21 pm »
I think Litton has a chance but the 7th is more likely to be competitive.

It's less of a foregone conclusion with the incumbent not running, but vote totals in the Republican primary nearly doubled those in the Democratic primary, so it's still a long shot.  Also, the Republican candidate - Dan Crenshaw (good name) - is a handsome, former Navy SEAL with a fucking eye patch (lost an eye to an IED in Afghanistan).  Lawyer / political operative "I'll die before we call our son Todd" Litton is going to have a hard time to get any attention in this race.

2029
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 03:28:30 pm »
Wow..I looked up the district your represented in Limey...2nd District is Ted Poe's right?.

It's impossible for me to look at the 2nd district map and not agree it's gerrymandered to ridiculous proportions.

The city of Houston is a hotbed of communism, so they've sliced it up like a pizza and buried each slice under swaths of suburbs.  Yeah, I share my congressman with Kingwood, because...democracy?

With all the hand-wringing about the loss of bi-partisanship and civility in our politics, the one thing that could bring it back is eliminating gerrymandering.  As the saying goes, voters should pick their representatives, not the other way around.  Gerrymandering is more responsible than anything else for the extremism and tribalism in our politics, as well as the inability to work with the other side because doing so will get your chosen voters mad at you and likely kicked out in a primary.

2030
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 02:22:07 pm »
I'm trying to be optimistic, but then I talk to people around me and realize they are quite different than me.

I live in Montrose, which is awash with Beto signs, yet my district is represented by Ted Poe.  I have no doubt that I will have a Republican as my congressman for the next two years, but the senate race is statewide, so gerrymandering has no impact.  You wins the fights that are winnable...

2031
Beer and Queso / Re: Hurricane Florence
« on: September 12, 2018, 02:08:01 pm »
What's the scientific metric for measuring a storm's wetness?

$130,000.

2032
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 01:50:02 pm »
I love laughlyour optimism.

In true Trumpian style, your "fix" was an incoherent non-sentence that flies in the face of all evidence and achieves nothing other than to make yourself feel superior.

#covfefe

2033
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 12:58:57 pm »
I love your optimism.

All of the numbers are consistent and pointing in the direction of a blue wave.

I know there's some skepticism about polls following 2016, or that Trump defies polls, but they were actually not wrong within the margin of error around the 2016 election.  Further, the state-by-state polling was accurate, and the gap between Trump and Clinton closed dramatically in the final days thanks mostly to Comey's shenanigans.  Every one of the states Trump won was predicted by the polls if you consider the margin of error - so that his razor-thin wins in MI, PA and WI were within that margin and so statistically correct.

This is the trick with all polls.  A 6-point lead with a +/- 4-point MOE could mean that the lead could be as small as 2-points and, if it drops to a 4-point lead, it's potentially a toss-up.  A lot of individual races are toss-ups this year, but there is a strong tendency with toss-ups to go disproportionately more in the direction of the party with momentum which, again, was consistent with 2016 where Trump was coming back as the election approached (thanks James).

2034
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 12, 2018, 12:07:02 pm »
With Florence (aka Hugo II) bearing down on the Carolinas, it is revealed that the Trump administration has just pilfered $10 million from FEMA to give it to ICE.  This also comes not long after the death toll in Puerto Rico from Maria was upped from 60-something to just under 3,000 - the government's response to which Trump described as the best ever.   That's a bit like saying "heckuva job" to airport security after 9/11.

Brett Kavanaugh continues to be underwater in opinion polls, and his nomination is supported by fewer people than Harriett Miers - who withdrew from nomination - and Robert Bork who was...well...Borked (i.e. voted down by the full senate in the face of overwhelming evidence that he was a horrendous choice for the Supreme Court).  Kavanaugh is now facing inquiries about his gambling habits - very relevant to someone who needs to be free of outside influence.

Lastly, in two new opinion polls, a generic Democrat for Congress is now favored over a generic Republican by double-digits: +12% in one and +14% in the other.  Trump is bumping along at historic lows and Jon Cornyn is sounding the alarm about Ted Cruz' senate seat.  It's worth remembering that the Democrats face the worst electoral landscape, perhaps ever; they are defending 24 seats compared to the Republican's  9.  Two years ago, after Trump's win, the talk was of Republicans gaining a 60-vote super-majority in the senate; now they are in danger of dropping into the minority.

2035
Beer and Queso / Re: Watch your ceiling, AussieAstro!
« on: September 12, 2018, 10:42:36 am »
You were spared because sharks have a sixth sense for vegetarians.

"Nope, that guy wouldn't taste good at all."

See apocalypse, zombie.

2036
Beer and Queso / Re: Watch your ceiling, AussieAstro!
« on: September 12, 2018, 09:56:56 am »
In Indonesia, they have what they call "flying snakes".  I've never seen one, but apparently it's not uncommon for them to show up in peoples' houses.  I saw a cobra in the wild once.  It wasn't as scary as I thought it would be.  Mosquitoes are far more dangerous.

I saw a shark whilst scuba diving, and it was cool rather than scary.  Just proves your imagination is the scariest thing in the world.

2037
Beer and Queso / Re: Hurricane Florence
« on: September 11, 2018, 10:06:55 am »
That’s right. And that’s why IKE is a superior measure/index to the Saffir Simpson scale. It calculates both the wind and the water forcing mechanisms.

It’s the difference between trying to block the plate against a charging Altuve, and a charging Gattis.  The former may be moving faster but the latter is going to pack much more of a punch. 

2038
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 10, 2018, 05:31:20 pm »
Trump is going to have to answer written questions - under peril of perjury - in the Summer Zervos defamation suit.  He has 18 days to respond to the questions.

Meanwhile, TrumpWorld is trying to get out from under the competing Stormy Daniels suits by claiming that there never was a valid NDA, so no harm, no foul and no deposition.  Michael Avenatti is having none of it, because paying for the publicity he gets for free out of this would be expensive.  Trump is going to have to pay a lot more to get Avenatti...I mean Daniels... to go away.

2039
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 08:08:08 pm »
Preparation was the biggest problem today.  Hopefully, they knocked some of the rust off, and will be ready to go Week 2.  Because knocking it off in the preseason would be...


To use a hackneyed phrase: they'll play worse and win this season.

2040
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 06:12:39 pm »
There is a lot of blame for BOB, but his not doing the replay official's job for him is not one of them.

Understood.  It’s just a symptom of the malaise whereby he lets things happen to the Texans instead of making things happen for the Texans. 

2041
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 06:02:58 pm »
Head coach of the Texans won't be his job soon, either.

He was pantsed by Romo the whole game, most notably on his decision not to stop the game when the Patriots were clearly trying the benefit from a bad call by rushing the next snap.  Asleep at the switch. 

2042
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 05:53:10 pm »
He's right.  There is one person who's only job is to watch that play and call for a replay.  That person failed at his job.  Miserably.

Of course.  But it’s O’Brien’s job to make sure the Texans win, which means he has to pick up for others who fail to do their jobs.  He ended the half with three timeouts (times-out?) in his pocket; burn one of them to argue with the officials that they should be reviewing that play, instead of arguing with them walking off at the half with 7 more points against you on the board and no chance to overturn shit. 

2043
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 05:43:42 pm »
Also, when asked why he didn’t call a time out to give the replay officials time, BOB literally said “that’s not my job.”

Who do you think needs to tell him...

2044
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 03:16:42 pm »
Yep. Second half, Watson was getting his legs. But he simply wasn’t ready for NFL snaps yet this season.

We got lucky with the muffed punt, and managed to score despite the play calling.  That was embarrassing.

2045
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 03:15:16 pm »
That was frustrating as fuck. 

2046
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 03:10:59 pm »
Texans got out-coached today, and going back into the pre-season.  Per HH, Watson clearly was not ready. 

2047
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 03:01:11 pm »
That blown call on Gronk just became gargantuan. 

2048
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 02:57:32 pm »
WTF is wrong with BOB?

They need to pipe Romo directly into Watson’s helmet. 

2049
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 02:48:19 pm »
Silver linings:  we appear to have a competent kick-returner. 

2050
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 02:14:19 pm »
Funny how all the “they just fucked up” give the Patriots a critical break.

They just got another when no one flagged for the most obvious face grab since Alien. 

2051
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 01:50:27 pm »
You can’t challenge inside 2 minutes. That was the NFL looking the other way.

You can call a timeout to give the video guys a chance to look at it. 

Also, you can call a timeout when the Pats are beating you up in the red zone. 

2052
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 01:38:45 pm »
He is the worst coach I've ever seen in 2-minute situations drill situations, just amazingly stupid.

He’s always too slow to react. 

2053
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 01:30:13 pm »
Can someone inform the Texans that pre-season ended last week.

Especially you, BOB.  Call that fucking time out for a review. 

2054
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 12:46:35 pm »
Defense working well, but someone needs to speed up Watson’s clock. 

2055
Beer and Queso / Re: Texans 2018
« on: September 09, 2018, 12:10:04 pm »
Based on one play...

2056
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 08, 2018, 03:42:37 pm »
Not only should Kavanaugh not be confirmed to SCOTUS, he should be impeached and removed from his current position.   He has lied now in three separate confirmation hearings, and Democrats have released the evidence to prove it.

If not now, he could be impeached down the road if Congress changes hands.  The lifetime of his appointment could be the lifetime of the Republican majority. 

2057
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 08, 2018, 10:53:27 am »
As an aside, looking for the Burke clip from Aliens, I found a deleted scene of which I was unaware until now that shows Burke's fate.  It's so short and satisfying (TWSS) that I can't see why it was left out of at least the extended cut.

2058
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 08, 2018, 10:48:41 am »
Trump has turned the GOP into the InfoWars party. Fucking Sad!

I think that's back to front.  Once Republican voters started embracing conspiracy theories, thanks to Fox News, and their elected officers went along with it in the moment to keep their individual jobs, they opened the door wide for Trump.

Palin was his harbinger; the face-hugger stage of this alien infestation, if you will.  And it was McCain who let her in.  So that means McCain was an android planted by Hillary and the deep state so that this terrifying organism could be used as a weapon against Republicans, but they couldn't control it and now it's going to kill us all.

Paul Ryan is, of course, Carter Burke in this scenario, and the Weyland-Yutani company is NewsCorp.  We waste him...no offense.

2059
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 07, 2018, 11:30:05 am »
Abigail Spanberger was the doxxed Democrat.  She used to work on national security for the USPS (and later for the CIA), and it is USPS who have raised their hand as being the entity that released her full, unredacted SF86 security clearance application to Paul Ryan's PAC.  They also said there are a few more improperly released SF86s out there, and they're trying to clear it all up.  In Spanberger's case, that horse has bolted as Ryan's PAC immediately used information in her SF86 in attack ads and even shared the entire document with media outlets.


For the record, Ryan's PAC is still running ads against Spanberger featuring the information from her inappropriately obtained SF86. 

2060
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 07, 2018, 07:37:59 am »
I love how he tells his fans at his rallies that it's their fault if he gets impeached.

2061
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:33:21 pm »
Trump is slurring again tonight.  Stressed out much?

2062
Beer and Queso / Re: Crack Open a Coors
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:03:42 pm »
Sharkey's Machine, which is not a bad nickname for Tyler.

I have watched Sharky’s Machine probably two-dozen times.  Fantastic movie.

2063
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 08:31:11 pm »
Kamala Harris is a steely-eyed missile man. 

2064
Beer and Queso / Crack Open a Coors
« on: September 06, 2018, 04:26:39 pm »
Burt Reynolds dead at 82.

2065
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 03:46:36 pm »
It's amazing that the Federalist Society couldn't find someone to recommend who hadn't already fucking lied to congress under oath. But I guess if what you want aren't serious jurists but craven political operatives, this is what you have to work with.

They had a whole list of 'em, and Kavanaugh was only added recently...at the bottom.  Purely coincidentally, he's the only one on the list who has expressed an opinion as to whether the president can be subject to civil of criminal proceedings during his or her time in office.  Guess which way his opinion fell?  He has even mooted that US vs. Nixon was incorrectly decided.

McConnell urged against nominating Kavanaugh because of the huge document trail he had from his time in the White House.  It seems they've figured a way around that problem though, just sit on them and shamelessly tough it out (see Garland, Merrick).

2066
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 12:40:43 pm »
For those who didn't see it, here's the Washington Post's review of the Booker - Cornyn spat.  For some reason, they omitted the "bring it" moment, but this basically boils it down.

True to his word, Booker released the memos that had been ruled confidential, and it's really hard to see any justification for keeping this back, other than it impeaches Kavanaugh's testimony that he took no part in such discussions.

2067
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 10:51:08 am »
Leahy pointing out Kavanaugh lies...in this very hearing.

I believe there are three (at least) documentable examples of Kavanaugh lying under oath to the Senate Judiciary Committee the last time he sat before them for a confirmation hearing.  The issue here is the word "documentable", because the Democrats have the documents and the Republicans are forbidding their use.

This whole process is so corrupt that they are now endangering their Senate majority in addition to their House majority.

2068
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 10:49:06 am »
In completely unrelated news, the NYT has got hold of leaked memos from Kavanaugh's time in the White House.  In one particular memo, Kavanaugh wrote:

Quote from: Brett Kavanaugh
I am not sure that all legal scholars refer to Roe as the settled law of the land at the Supreme Court level since Court can always overrule its precedent, and three current Justices on the Court would do so.

That was from 2003.  Counting in 2018, Kavanaugh would be the 5th like-minded Justice.

2069
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:34:13 am »
Chuck Grassley is Grandpa Simpson with a slightly less pointy head.

2070
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:32:00 am »
"Apply the rule. Bring the charges." - Booker

That was pretty cool.

2071
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:10:01 am »
Democrats are now unanimous saying that they're going to document-dump on Kavanaugh in advance of any full vote in the Senate.

Feinstein with the closer.  Grassley argued that this is the same process as was used for Kagen, and Feinstein is pulling his pants down.  For example, 99% of Kagen's White House papers were made public and thus available to be discussed in her open confirmation hearing; contrasted to Kavanaugh where only 7% of his papers have been released and only 4% have been made public and thus available for use in the hearing.

2072
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 09:03:12 am »
Booker is saying that he is going to release emails to the public, knowing that the consequences are severe, up to and including expulsion from the Senate.  Wow!  THAT'S how it's done, Anonymous at NYT.  Cornyn soiled his diaper.

Democrats are now unanimous saying that they're going to document-dump on Kavanaugh in advance of any full vote in the Senate.

2073
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 08:57:46 am »
Democrats on the committee have been pretty feisty so far.  This morning, someone appears to have slipped them an extra shot of espresso.  This is how you win friends and...elections.

2074
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 08:54:37 am »
Watching the opening exchanges in the Kavanaugh hearing, Republicans seem unfazed by last night's op-ed, and are pressing on full bore with ramming through Trump's nominee.  Cornyn is currently railing on Democrats for questioning Kavanaugh about documents that they would not let him read; knowing full well that Democrats have been prohibited from using such documents by Republicans.

As Booker said last night, they have seen about 10% of Kavanaugh's public service papers, and that he wouldn't hire an intern having seen only 10% of their resume.

UPDATE:  Booker is saying that he is going to release emails to the public, knowing that the consequences are severe, up to and including expulsion from the Senate.  Wow!  THAT'S how it's done, Anonymous at NYT.  Cornyn soiled his diaper.

2075
The only member of this White House with this level of knowledge and coherence is Baron.

Ironic.  Given that he's half-immigrant.

2076
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 06:21:05 am »
That's a good guess for any number of reasons, not least of which is that he is not a fan of Russia.

Not my own work, O’Donnell floated it on his show last night.  It was quite compelling, given that the author bigs up national security as a hero here (in reality, there are none) and he is a fiscal conservative who would love the tax cuts and deregulation - both name checked as good things in the essay.  Also, he’s 75 and so probably isn’t interested in anything other than a book deal and speaking gigs after this.

2077
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 06, 2018, 06:16:47 am »
Decent argument in this twitter thread and a few subsequent posts that it's some asshole named Andrew Bremberg.

If this is true, then The NY Times has just scored an own goal against the world.  For all our sakes, it has to be someone properly senior; like cabinet senior. 

2078
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 05, 2018, 10:32:50 pm »
Dan Coates?

2079
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 05, 2018, 06:09:00 pm »
I am presuming that the identity of the author will come out, and I am presuming that it’s someone pretty fucking senior - otherwise why grant immunity. 

We have had report after report after report of how fucked up Trump is, and yet - simultaneously - Republicans are ramming through a SCOTUS nominee, the latest act of their ongoing effort to provide cover to the president for they know not what. 

Blumenthal made the point yesterday that the Kavanaugh papers they’re withholding will come out and they will then be judged in the light of such full disclosure.  Same with Trump; the full extent of his criminality in his life will come out and Republicans will be judged at that time. 

What’s clear is that we’re at a point of extreme danger both nationally, internationally, politically and physically.  As chuck very smartly said earlier, all it takes to end this is for two Republican senators to wake up and smell the covfefe.  I still hold out hope for that happening. 

2080
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 05, 2018, 03:26:24 pm »
A White House insider has had an op-ed published in the (failing) NY Times, basically saying that Trump is out of control and they are just trying to keep a lid on him, to try and make his administration successful.

Part whistleblower, part plea for credit (or at least forgiveness), how about you do your job and uphold the constitution!

Quote
Given the instability many witnessed, there were early whispers within the cabinet of invoking the 25th Amendment, which would start a complex process for removing the president. But no one wanted to precipitate a constitutional crisis. So we will do what we can to steer the administration in the right direction until — one way or another — it’s over.

2081
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 03:32:08 pm »
Oh, and the photo of Kavanaugh looking confused and sheepish at the proffer of a handshake from Parkland parent Fred Guttenberg is going to be a tragic meme.  For the record, Kavanaugh walked off (or was ushered away by security, if you believe the White House version) without shaking that hand.  Of course, if you do believe the White House version, WTF were they protecting Kavanaugh from?

Looks like Kavanaugh walked off on his own, prior to any security intervention.

It's a little hard to reconcile the "supportive and strong and caring" man introduced by Secretary Rice and and this guy who walks away from a parent who lost his son in a school shooting (and who would bounce a desperate 17-year old girl around the court system for weeks instead of allowing her to exercise her constitutionally protected domain over her own body).

2082
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 02:45:14 pm »
Grassley is turning Kavanaugh's hearing into a joke.  They dumped 40,000+ documents on the committee at 5:40pm last night and, when Blumenthal asked for a postponement to be able to review all this new information, Grassley claimed that his staff had already completed its review of every single page.

Grassley then denied Blumenthal's move for a committee vote on postponement, citing a rationale that does not exist in the rules, at one point even asking Blumenthal to cite where it says he can't do the thing that doesn't exist (which of course is nonsensical because it doesn't exist so there's no need to write rules against it).  Blumenthal appealed and Grassley flat denied the appeal, citing his original nonsensical rationale.

Oh, and the photo of Kavanaugh looking confused and sheepish at the proffer of a handshake from Parkland parent Fred Guttenberg is going to be a tragic meme.  For the record, Kavanaugh walked off (or was ushered away by security, if you believe the White House version) without shaking that hand.  Of course, if you do believe the White House version, WTF were they protecting Kavanaugh from?

2083
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 02:35:19 pm »
obviously with a gun fight.

Civil wars are easy to win.

2084
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 11:55:56 am »
Don't know if these quotes are accurate, but the content (idiot, fifth grade intellect and liar) is basically restating what we already know.  Angry tweets will soon follow.

As fun as this kind of stuff is, all it does is reinforce for Trump opponents what they already believe about him, and reaffirm for Trump voters that the media is biased and lying about him.

How we get past this, I have no idea.

2085
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 09:26:31 am »
The Kavanaugh hearing is already breaking new ground with raucous protests inside the hearing room and the fact that he has years of legal work in the White House - on behalf of U.S. tax payers - that we are being barred from seeing without even the effort at claiming privilege (which has never before been allowed for a SCOTUS nominee with White House legal work in his past).  Also, this nominee is also the only one who has previously been referred to the DOJ for investigation for lying to Congress in a previous confirmation hearing.

It will be interesting to see if Kavanaugh is able to execute the now customary Roe vs. Wade tap dance.  With Kavanaugh, though, we have the case of Jane Doe; a pregnant 17-year old immigrant who sued the government to be allowed to leave the shelter where she was being housed (they were physically blocking her from leaving) to get an abortion for which she had already been adjudicated to have right to undergo.  The case came to Kavanaugh when the administration appealed the lower court's ruling allowing her right to choose.

This girl was already 15 weeks pregnant when the case came to Kavanaugh's docket.  Despite being told (repeatedly) of Texas' 20-week limitation on abortion, Kavanaugh tried to run out her clock by imposing another two weeks of trying to find a sponsor family (after 6 futile weeks of searching had already passed) and then - bizarrely - sending her back to the lower court who had already adjudicated her case in her favor.  Then, presumably, after the lower court had no doubt reaffirmed its decision, the administration would have appealed it back to Kavanaugh's court at which point she would have been right up against the 20-week cut-off and in serious danger of being forced to carry an unwanted pregnancy to term.

Kavanaugh was overruled by his colleagues in the appellant court, and Jane Doe had her abortion the next day.
 Kavanaugh wrote a blistering dissent which is not part of his embargoed work history.  It will be interesting to see how he responds to the inevitable questions on this case.  It'll also be interesting to see how he responds to the accusation of lying during his previous confirmation hearing, which I do not believe he has ever even bothered denying.

Kavanaugh is underwater in opinion polls as to his ascension to the Supreme Court, and has an historically low approval rating of 36%.  Lower than Harriet Miers.  At the end of the day, though, Kavanaugh is going to be confirmed and we will have two, Trump-tainted Justices on the court and a 5-4 conservative majority for a generation at least.

Elections matter.  Vote in November.

2086
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 08:49:14 am »
It's both hugely telling and hugely unsurprising that eulogies of McCain are seen as swipes at Trump.

2087
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 04, 2018, 08:41:47 am »
It's going to take him a while to get back to you - he's busy cutting the Nike swooshes off of all the white tube socks he wears with his Rockports.

So predictable, but still hilarious.  I guess their Keurigs needed a break from being sacrificed on the altar of freedom.

2088
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 02, 2018, 01:49:50 pm »
Like Ted Nugent.  He loves to wrap himself in the flag and pound his chest, but when asked to actually serve his country, he shit himself trying to avoid it.  He's not a patriot, he's a coward.

See also Trump, Cheney, Bush (W)...

2089
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 02, 2018, 12:50:38 pm »
By the way, what did gun control have to do with anything? Because you cannot imagine that people are not all as small mean and cruel as you you contrive that their positions are held out of smallness meanness and cruelty, instead of actual human feeling regarding mass slaughter. There’s no living with these fools.

The Republican mindset now is 100% projection.  They accuse "the libs" of every petty, mean, disruptive, unhelpful and unhinged act that they can conjure while remaining ignorant - accidentally or on purpose - of their own behavior which is exactly the behavior of which they accuse others.

2090
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 02, 2018, 11:24:45 am »
Most of the gun owning right are nothing more than uneducated Barney Fifes. They like to wear their camo and get flags tattooed on their necks, dreaming about the day they get to put their bullet in their gun. But they’d piss their pants and shoot  themselves in the foot at the prospect of actually having to use it.

If they’re such these-colors-don’t-run, might=right, willing to die for their country patriots, they’d be in the military or retired military.  They’d also have my undying respect. 

Wrapping yourself in the flag, co-opting the valor of others and waving your guns at (or driving cars into) unarmed “libs” makes you a piece of shit. 

2091
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 02, 2018, 08:59:06 am »
Welp, boys, shut 'er down. Hap's figured us out. Normal people don't want gun control because lunatics regularly wander in to schools and kill kids and so on. Nope. We want to neutralize the crazies' inherent advantage in firepower in advance of the upcoming civil war.

The idiocy of this theory is that, if the left wanted to fight a war, why not just go and buy as many guns as they want?  Surely that’s so much easier than trying to disarm your enemy through legislation.

Also, funny how those who rail against Jade Helm and the deep state run to the bosom of the authorities when they perceive a threat.  The amount of cognitive dissonance required to be a Republican these days could create a black hole of paranoia. 

2092
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 01, 2018, 06:07:56 pm »
One thing is clear, and that is the rumblings of civil disobedience and rioting are nothing to be taken seriously. Very few libs are armed with anything more than a megaphone, while ther opposition is armed to the teeth. I like our chances.

I hope you’re joking because, otherwise, you’re talking about a civil war. 

Trump raised the spectre of violence if Republicans lose in November but, if you think about it, who would be mad enough to resort to violence at that point?   The Democrats who just took back at least one branch of government, or the Trumpanzees who now have to face the fact that “the libs” have subpoena power?  Also, I don’t recall people getting attacked at Hillary’s campaign events. 

The latest polls show Trump at 60% disapproval and only 36% approval.  Obama had far better numbers when he got his ass kicked in 2010, so I wouldn’t sit too comfortably on your advantage in gerrymandering and voter suppression. 

2093
Beer and Queso / Re: Roger Angell on "Most Important" Vote of His Lifetime
« on: September 01, 2018, 05:59:10 pm »
Meanwhile, Mueller has another henchman pleading guilty and flipping on Trump.  This guy - Sam Patten - has, amongst other things,  the road map as to how Russian money was laundered and dropped into the inauguration fund.  He’s also connected to Cambridge Analytica, so he has the potential to fill in a lot of gaps. 

2094
But what would his share of ordinary Republican voters be in a re-election bid right now? I'm guessing he'd get about 95% of them.

Trump's approval rating among likely Republican voters is in the high 80s.  The thing is, those who identify as likely Republican voters is a shrinking number and thus more easily overruled by turnout from other constituencies.  Basically, he's boiling down Republican voters to concentrated crazy.

2095
And yet Congress is beholden to that other 25%.

It's devolving into two distinct groups with almost no one undecided.  That's not good, but at least the Trump side of the ledger is concentrating down and will end up as just that 25%.

2096
Trump's disapproval rating is 60%.  49% want Congress to start impeachment proceedings.

2097
I just don't see how it's possible to make a functioning country with these yahoos.

It's entirely possible if one of the two parties in a two party system doesn't need them to cling on to power, and rig the system to do so in such a way that their voices are amplified over the those of the sane majority.

Right now our country is hostage to 25% of the country that believes everything that Fox News et al pumps directly into their lizard brains.  As Steve Schmidt has said, a forest fire is a cleansing event because it burns down the old and allows new to grow; he sees Trump and Trumpism as a forest fire that will burn down the Republican Party and allow it to grow anew.

I certainly hope so.  Not because I'm a liberal and I want to see the Republican Party burn*, but because we need the tension between the two parties to have any chance of rational, effective government.  Unfortunately, we're going to have to lurch from one-party rule one side to one-party rule on the other in order for the cleanse to take effect.  Hopefully we'll swing back to the middle because, if drunk-on-power Democrats start pandering to liberal extremes, we're just going to hurtle back and forth across the political spectrum until we eventually spin off the rails altogether.

* Just a (too long) list of its elected representatives.

2098
It's worth noting that Democrats have a few former intelligence service personnel running as candidates in the mid-terms.  One has already been doxxed by the White House, who released her full, unreacted, security clearance file to a PAC supporting her Republican opponent.  The security clearance process is designed to be insanely intrusive so as to record any issues a candidate for clearance may have that could be used as leverage.  Because of the intimate, personal details contained in any such files, they are guarded with incredible secrecy.  Usually.

It is unclear whether this was simple - gross - incompetence on behalf of the White House, or if there was some intent behind the doxxing.  Such a file would obviously be insanely useful to a political opponent, as it is in this case because the PAC immediately started using the information it now had in attack ads against the Democrat.  The Democratic Party has taken the step of advising all such similarly credentialed candidates to prepare themselves to respond to intimate details from their security clearance files being used against them.

So, which government building is going to be firebombed in the first week of November?

Update:  It's more than "a few" Democratic candidates with security clearances running for office this November, it's a couple of dozen.  I'll leave it up to you to decide what might have motivated so many former national security personnel to run for office this year.

Abigail Spanberger was the doxxed Democrat.  She used to work on national security for the USPS (and later for the CIA), and it is USPS who have raised their hand as being the entity that released her full, unredacted SF86 security clearance application to Paul Ryan's PAC.  They also said there are a few more improperly released SF86s out there, and they're trying to clear it all up.  In Spanberger's case, that horse has bolted as Ryan's PAC immediately used information in her SF86 in attack ads and even shared the entire document with media outlets.

A couple of things here.  (1)  Spanberger's campaign, sensibly, ran "opposition research" on herself, and made the same FOIA request to USPS for information on her as did Ryan's PAC; Ryan's PAC got the complete SF86 within 3 weeks but, 9 months later, Spanberger's campaign has yet to receive a response to their own request.  (2)  Just because Ryan's PAC received the full document from USPS didn't mean they had to use it; famously Gore's presidential campaign got given Bush's debate prep file prior to a debate whereupon they called the FBI and gave the file back.

Trump sucks up so much of the political oxygen, but let's not forget this very important point:  Fuck Paul Ryan.

2099
In new, truth isn't truth news, Trump is claiming that the tape of him confessing obstruction of justice to Lester Holt is "fudged".

2100
It's worth noting that Democrats have a few former intelligence service personnel running as candidates in the mid-terms.  One has already been doxxed by the White House, who released her full, unreacted, security clearance file to a PAC supporting her Republican opponent.  The security clearance process is designed to be insanely intrusive so as to record any issues a candidate for clearance may have that could be used as leverage.  Because of the intimate, personal details contained in any such files, they are guarded with incredible secrecy.  Usually.

It is unclear whether this was simple - gross - incompetence on behalf of the White House, or if there was some intent behind the doxxing.  Such a file would obviously be insanely useful to a political opponent, as it is in this case because the PAC immediately started using the information it now had in attack ads against the Democrat.  The Democratic Party has taken the step of advising all such similarly credentialed candidates to prepare themselves to respond to intimate details from their security clearance files being used against them.

So, which government building is going to be firebombed in the first week of November?

2101
McGahn was tweet-fired, apparently, as Trump was fed up with McGahn threatening to resign in order to stop Trump doing things that were, in theory, political (and perhaps legal) suicide.  McGahn had 5 deputies, 3 of whom have already left the White House and one more due to leave very soon.  There are no replacements for any of them, prompting the Washington Post to speculate that the Trump administration would be woefully unprepared for a Democratically controlled House.

By comparison, the Clinton White House had double the number of lawyers Trump has when it faced impeachment; and I suspect the individuals would have been of a higher calibre.  For example, Trump repeatedly asked Rob Porter - yes, serial wife-beater Rob Porter - if he would take the job of WH Councel (sic).  Porter had to rebuff the offer repeatedly by pointing out that he was completely unqualified for the job.  Note the word "repeatedly".  Recruitment is also an issue, due in no small part to the fact that White House lawyers tend to need lawyers.  No one wants to take a job that comes with a $500,000 personal legal bill.

The WaPo story had 26 sources "familiar with the issue".  Twenty-six!  That's more people than the total head count of the WH legal staff.  The leaks keep on coming and the more people Trump throws under the bus, the more the leaks will accelerate.  If Democrats take the House and start "monkeying things up", expect to see a parade of staffers leaving the WH with cardboard boxes. 

2102
I'm waiting for Trump's heart-felt tribute to McCain.

It was a cursory tweet.  The background photo was of Trump.   

2103
As long as Trump isn't knocking up Hillary I doubt any of his supporters are going to give a shit.

I can't wait for the Grahams and the Swaggarts to decide that if you conceive with a fallen woman that doesn't count.

I presume that fucking the housekeeper is the modern equivalent of fucking your African slaves: it’s all totally ok as long as the wife doesn’t catch you. 

2104
Now that the National Enquirer deals are gone, shit is hitting the fan.  Doorman, who is no longer under an NDA reports trump has an illegitimate child with a trump tower housekeeper....

Well, amongst the boilerplate language of the Stormy Daniels NDA were clauses  specifically about paternity, which was not an issue in the Stormy Daniels affair.  Setting aside the fact that TrumpWorld had an NDA with boilerplate language about paternity, it had to have been relevant to at least one prior hush money payment. 

As Cohen and Weisselberg were involved in the Daniels contract, it stands to reason that they were involved in at least one other hush money payment where paternity was a problem.  And if those two knew, then now Mueller knows. 

2105
Trump saying that flipping should be illegal.  I know he’s a galactic dumbass, but that is breathtakingly stupid.  He wants to make illegal the act of telling the truth.  It’s both shocking and not shocking that this wasn’t a bigger story because he says crushingly dumb shit all the time and it was part of a shitnado of dumbassery. 

2106
Seems as if the CFO of the Trump organization has been granted immunity.  Shit is going downhill fast.

Does he even have one truly loyal friend?  Of course not.  I bet his children would flip on him if given the opportunity.  May have already, who knows, it's not even noon.

Being a piece of shit comes with a price.

This is quietly enormous.  The Trump organization has been a criminal enterprise for decades now, and this guy has, literally, all the receipts.

As to Trump's children flipping on him, that's nothing.  What's really going to bake your noodle is when Trump flips on his children.  And don't tell me that this could never happen; search your feelings, you know it to be true!

2107
I'm not as cynical, but I entertain the notion that I'm just naive.  I'm expecting the electorate to give the Republicans a big kick in the balls in November, assuming the Russians don't rig the tallies.

Special and local elections consistently point to an energized electorate on the left, and - outside of the Trump base (which is about 25% of the overall electorate) - an unmotivated electorate on the right.  Trump can and does turn out his base, but his base is getting overrun by the broader coalition of liberals, progressives, moderates and people just tired of his shit.  Also, the Republican party has a habit of devolving to the shittiest candidate they can find.

The media will continue to talk up the possibility that the blue wave is not real, and I am certainly not preaching complacency.  But the media also talked up the narrowness of the race between Obama and McCain right up until one nanosecond after the polls closed in California.

Trump voters were always going to vote whether Trump was there or not; they're triggered to do so by Fox News et al regardless.  What Trump also does, though, is motivate a significant portion of the electorate - normally indifferent or agnostic in elections - to come out and vote against Trump and his enablers.  As Trump's legal woes deepen, and his enablers become more and more obvious and nonsensical in their defense of him - the anti-Trump vote will become ever larger.

2108
This is all just so goddamn skeezy. I suppose soon enough Vince McMahon will be involved somehow.

Mr and Mrs McMahon were the single largest contributors to the Trump Foundation, which is under investigation by state and federal prosecutors for any number of crimes.

You're welcome.

2109
David Pecker of the National Enquirer has been granted immunity for providing information about Michael Cohen and Donald Trump.

The dominoes are falling and it seems to be accelerating.

2110
I guess that will forever just be one of those puzzling mysteries.

To be fair, she did convict on 8 of the 10.  Notable among the charges that went undecided - i.e. the ones she alone could not come to a guilty vote - were the conspiracy charges, which relied heavily on the testimony of Gates.  The MAGA-juror interviewed said that they universally considered Gates to be a giant, steaming pile of shit (paraphrasing).

It's important to remember that, among the cooperating witnesses, there are no heroes; just spineless villains.

2111
One more update for the morning...on Manafort.  How hung was the jury on the 10 unresolved counts?  11-1 to convict.  Manafort was a single hold out away from being swept off the board on all 18 counts.  The hold out was over whether prosecutors had achieved the standard of beyond reasonable doubt on those 10 counts.

This will not be encouraging news to Manafort and his defense team, who will surely face a re-trial on those counts.

MSNBC spoke with a juror today, who is a Trump-supporting, MAGA-hat owning (she admitted to leaving it in her car and being a little vague on her politics for jury selection), witch hunt-believer.  She voted to convict Manafort on all counts.  She explained that, while she believes that Manafort is being used as a pawn by Mueller to squeeze Trump, it was clear from the evidence that he was guilty AF of the crimes for which he was charged.  She said she does not know the politics of the lone hold-out.

2112
One more update for the morning...on Manafort.  How hung was the jury on the 10 unresolved counts?  11-1 to convict.  Manafort was a single hold out away from being swept off the board on all 18 counts.  The hold out was over whether prosecutors had achieved the standard of beyond reasonable doubt on those 10 counts.

This will not be encouraging news to Manafort and his defense team, who will surely face a re-trial on those counts.

2113
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA) was arrested for campaign finance violations - basically, he's accused of using campaign funds as his personal slush fund to buy him and his family stuff and to take vacations, to the tune of $250,000.  He was arrested whilst on a golf outing that was paid for out of campaign funds.  Hunter was the second sitting Congressional Republican to endorse Trump's run for President.  The first was Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY), who was arrested and indicted last week on charges of insider trading.

Who was the third Congressional Republican to endorse Trump?  Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III.

#TheBestPeople

2114
However, I suppose it is progress that he is tacitly admitting that he committed impeachable offenses.  Now, it is time to focus on jury persuasion.

This is how they've operated all along.  They deny, deny, deny, well maybe, deny, deny, it's true, deny, deny, deny...

So the admission is out there, but you can never get them to come back to it.  Just like the Press Briefing yesterday, when SHS claimed ad nauseam that Trump "had done nothing wrong" which is plainly untrue, especially as, at the same time, Trump was giving an interview to Fox News during which he fessed up to committing campaign finance violations.  They fill the air with chaff and hope to escape in the confusion.

2115
A new Fox News poll shows support for Robert Mueller at 59%, up by 11% from just July, and now 40% of respondents think he will prove criminal or impeachable acts by the President, up by 5% from July.

Also, Trump's approval is still underwater (45-53), Obamacare is more popular than the tax cut (51-40) and Democrats are favored for Congress (49-38).  In fact, Clinton voters are more engaged and likely to vote in the midterms (58-48) and when the focus in narrowed to those "extremely interested" the Democrats' advantage widens (56-38).

The more shit that sticks to Trump, the more these numbers will widen and the more likely that (a) a rout is coming in November; and (ii) Congressional Republicans will turn on Trump in order to save their own skins.

As a historic note, it was the prospect of dragging Nixon's dead carcass through the midterms in 1974 that had Congressional Republicans turning on the President from their own party.  He was ousted in August but a blue wave still delivered 49 House seats and 4 Senate seats to the Democrats.  In 1976, Congress remained largely unchanged but the Presidency flipped to the Democrats.

Current Congressional Republicans benefit from gerrymandering and Fox News, which acts as an umbilical cord delivering nurturing spin direct from the party to its base.  However, that base is a tiny - and shrinking - minority of the overall voting pool and, if the base isn't 100% energized and present, they cannot survive for long solely by dint of the institutional advantages they've built into the system for themselves*.

* Unless they sit Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court, at which point they will fast track every piece of legislation they need to disenfranchise non-Republican voters for a generation.  No pressure.

2116
David Pecker - head of AMI which publishes the National Enquirer who was implicated by Cohen along with Trump - is cooperating with prosecutors.  In addition to corroborating Cohen, Pecker apparently has clued in prosecutors to the fact that the scheme to "catch and kill" stories from former Trump concubines was hatched in 2015 as Trump was moving towards announcing his candidacy.  In addition to exploding any efforts by Trump to stretch the timeline in his favor, this also would show premeditation.

2117
Cohen subpoenaed in the investigation into the Trump Foundation.  It being a foundation with Don Jr. and Invanka on its board of directors.  Prosecutors seem happy to just keep letting fly with the dick punches.

2118
I am not being mean, but Sarah Huckabee Sanders looks like she hasn't slept in at least 24 hours.  She also deferred even more than normal (and it's usually a lot) to "the President's prior statements".  Almost makes me feel sorry for her.  Almost.

2119
I wish Ivan would just release the tape of that fucking pederast already and put us all out of our collective misery.

I doubt that would make any difference.  Fox News is teasing a new interview with Trump in which he admits to paying the money that went to Daniels and McDougal, but he claims that it was all ok because it came from him and not the campaign.

So we're right past the point where the affairs didn't happen, and even though they did the payments didn't happen, and even though they did he didn't know about them...and arrived at "If the President does it, then it's not illegal."  #StupidWatergate

2120
Didn't the same hypocrite vote for impeachment for lying about sex?

total piece of shit

Him and 15 other current members of Congress.  In his impassioned speech in favor of impeaching Clinton, Graham argued:

Quote from: 1999 Lindsey Graham
You don’t have to be convicted of a crime to lose your job in this Constitutional Republic ... Impeachment is not about punishment. Impeachment is about cleansing the office. Impeachment is about restoring honor and integrity to the office.

2121
At Trump's rally last night in West Virginia, the audience chanted "Lock Her Up!" in reference to Hillary Clinton.

So the base is unmoved, which means Congressional Republicans will be unmoved, which is painfully apparent from their reactions this morning.  Noted eunuch Paul Ryan put out a statement that was crushingly underwhelming even by his low standards.  “We are aware of Mr Cohen’s guilty plea to these serious charges. We will need more information than is currently available at this point.”  Are you fucking kidding me?

2122
A couple more tidbits:

* Cohen claims to have proof that Trump knew of the Russian hacking efforts before even the Trump Tower meeting.  Which means that, if true, Mueller has proof that Trump knew of the Russian hacking efforts before even the Trump Tower meeting.  The quote from the email invitation to Don Jr read in part "This is obviously very high level and sensitive information but is part of Russia and its government's support for Mr. Trump" which still works and is even more damning when read in the context of there being prior knowledge of Russia's efforts by Trump.

* The extensive - sealed - sidebar that happened during Gates' cross-examination, when defense attorneys for Manafort strayed too close to the Russia investigation, gets unsealed if Manafort declines to appeal and prosecutors decline to re-try the 10 hung counts.  (All the sealed sidebars do).

* The judge in the Stormy Daniels civil case ruled to allow discovery - including, potentially, a deposition of Trump - but stayed proceedings until the criminal case in New York was complete.  As of yesterday, the criminal case in New York is complete and Michael Avenatti is on a mission to be "America's Lawyer" (and next President) by dethroning Trump.

2123
Cohen is definitely cooperating, at least with the Southern District of NY.  However, prosecutors laid out the evidence they have against him in the counts to which he pleaded guilty, which include hard documents, electronic devices and audio recordings.  They clearly had Cohen by the short and curlies because of this evidence.  Cohen testified under oath that Trump told him to commit the crimes related to election influence, which he would not have been allowed to do if there was evidence to the contrary in the trove of goodies prosecutors swept up in their raid on Cohen - about 3 million individual pieces.

So Trump is proper fucked as to the election influence felonies.

And then there's Manafort.  He faces up to 40 years in prison - but more likely 8-10 years in real time - just from the 8 counts of which he was convicted.  Prosecutors still have the option of re-trying the other 10, and they still have the DC trial in front of a judge almost certain to be less antagonistic to prosecutors and a jury typically more inclined to convict.  Manafort is also broke and unlikely to get any more loans (even from the Federal Savings Bank of Chicago).

So what options does he have?  Appeal the convictions, which takes time and cost money and will likely fail in no small part to the judge's thumb firmly on his side of the scale AND mount a defense in the re-trial of the other 10 counts in Virginia (which takes time and costs money) AND mount a defense in DC...which takes time and costs money.  Or...

Now, I have long suspected that the reason Manafort hasn't flipped prior to now is that prosecutors haven't needed him (Gates was at his side throughout and also survived Manafort on the campaign, going on to serve in the transition) but, maybe, he just wouldn't accept the deal they were offering.  The winds have shifted now, though, and he will almost certainly be going to Mueller, cap in hand, offering whatever they need to keep his sorry ass out of jail for the rest of his life.  Gates knows a lot, but much of what he knows about the campaign may be hearsay.  Manafort was in the room in Trump Tower in June 2016...

I remember a quote about Trump from an unnamed CIA officer, from back at the beginning of this when the intelligence community came out about the Russian efforts to throw the election Trump's way and Trump started going after the IC:  "He will die in jail."  Yesterday made me think that might actually come true.

2124
Interestingly, the evidence in Count #8 against Cohen - the Stormy Daniels payment - implicated the Trump organization in the crime.  While the law is not settled on whether you can indict (or even compel testimony from) a sitting President, you sure as fuck can subpoena and/or indict a company. 

2125
So, are there enough at-risk Republicans in the House to consider impeachment?  It only needs about 10% of them...

2126
He directed his lawyer to commit federal crimes in order to conceal information from damaging his campaign just days before barely winning the election.  That is really fucked up.  The Watergate break in probably didn't influence the '72 election at all.  This crime, which Trump was directly involved in, arguably swung the election.

Exactly.  Pundits seem to think that any ol’ maverick candidate can win under the new Trump paradigm, but the truth is that Trump was a candidate who came in with a relatively long history in politics (including a prior run as an independent) yet still needed the benefit of multiple illegal campaign efforts AND an opponent with record high negatives AND an ethical meltdown by the head of the FBI.

2127
With the Cohen pleadings, Trump is achieving the Full Nixon by now being an unindicted co-conspirator.

2128
Verdict on 8 counts in Manafort trial; deadlocked on other 10.  No idea yet which way on the 8 decided counts. 

2129
WaPo: "Cohen has surrendered to the FBI."

In court now, allocuting to whatever crimes to which he's pleading guilty.  Proceedings expected to finish between 3 and 3:30 CDT.

2130
So, it's likely the meltdown will get louder (if that is possible) and the pardons will soon follow

Depends what Cohen pleads to; Trump can't pardon state crimes.  However, there is also the problem that a pardon (1) affirms guilt and thus confirms crimes were committed; and (b) dissolves 5th amendment protections against self-incrimination like there's been a snap of Thanos' fingers, so Cohen can be compelled to testify or face new obstruction / perjury charges.

2131
Meannwhile, reports claim that Cohen is working on a plea deal for all his alleged tax/bank fraud, and it could be completed as early as today.

"John D'oh!" due in court later today to enter a plea deal.  No reportage yet as to what he's pleaded guilty and the extent of the quo for this quid.

2132
Potentially big day today.  Manafort jury asked the judge how to fill out the verdict form if they are hung on a single count.  Clearly this suggests that they're not hung on the balance of the counts, so either he's guilty on the vast majority of the charges or acquitted on the vast majority of the charges.  The judge sent them back to see if they can't break the impasse on the hung charge, but we may still see the verdict(s) being read today.

Meanwhile, reports claim that Cohen is working on a plea deal for all his alleged tax/bank fraud, and it could be completed as early as today.

2133
"Truth isn't truth." claimed Rudy Giuliani yesterday on Meet the Press, presumably under the fearsome pummeling he was receiving from legendary firebrand...Chuck Todd.  That's the meme-able moment form the interview, but the most notable moment was when Giuliani volunteered the the June 2016 Trump Tower meeting was initially all about getting dirt on Hillary Clinton.

Meanwhile, the NY Times is reporting that White House "councel" (sic) Don McGahn has given hours of testimony to Mueller's team.  Trump tried to tweet it off as "I meant to do that" (spawning the above misspelling), but the Times also reported that McGahn was concerned that he was being set up as a fall guy, so he was sharing more with Mueller's team than was intended.  The plan to have McGahn talk to investigators was dreamed up by John Dowd and Ty Cobb, so he probably wasn't wrong.

It's also Day #3 of deliberation in the Manafort trial.  Trump weighed in over the weekend with negative comments about those prosecuting Manafort and positive comments about the defendant himself.  Remember when Charles Manson nearly got a mistrial because Nixon commented publicly on his trial?

A lot going on in the news; your move Omarosa...

2134
I didn’t want to sully the dedicated thread with this but...behind their obit. of Aretha Franklin, Fox News had a photo of Patti LaBelle. 

2135
One poll has Beto and Cruz tied, another gives Beto a 1 point lead.  Either way, it’s tighter than a duck’s arse.  The Texas Tribune poll also has Trump approval underwater at 54 to 44.  I can only see that getting worse as he continues to chase every rabbit down a hole and get covered in shit in the process.

2136
Judge Kavanaugh's potentially got a lot to hide in his work as Staff Secretary in the Bush administration.  Precedent (and good practice) - including as recently as Justice Sotamayor's confirmation hearing - means that the Senate really needs to have access to all of Kavanaugh's work product from his White House days, but Republicans are trying to steamroller through his confirmation before even a single piece of paper from back then is produced.  What does he have to hide?

Well, there's at least one felony lie to the Senate that we know of from his confirmation hearing for elevation to the DC appeals court.  That would seem relevant, no?  In that hearing in 2006, Kavanaugh was asked specifically by Dick Durbin if he had ever had any input into the administration's policy towards detainees in Guantanamo.  It was relevant, because the DC circuit had jurisdiction over lawsuits working their way through the courts on that very subject.  Kavanaugh gave an unequivocal "no" as his answer.

Later, Durbin came into possession of Bush administration documents relating to Guantanamo detainees, with Kavanaugh's name all over them.  So he lied...or "misremembered".  So Durbin asked him - officially, in writing - if he wanted to revise his answer to that question.  In the 11 intervening years, Durbin hasn't even received an acknowledgement of the question.

Still, what are the chances that a lawsuit about Guantanamo detainees would end up in front of him as a DC appellant judge?  How about the fact that one was the very first case he heard in his new position.  Did he recuse himself?  Nope.

Democrats remain powerless to stop Kavanaugh if Republicans remain in lock step.  They need to keep hammering this point, though, because it could have an effect on the moderate Republicans if  Kavanaugh's numbers fall any lower.  He already polls behind Harriet Myers in polls regarding whether people think he should be a Justice.  By 7 points.  Seven!  He is Bork levels of popular.

2137
Omarosa drops another tape; this time catching Eric's wife Lara offering her a fake job on the campaign, the day after she had been fired from the White House, for $180k/year.  Lara specifically references that Omarosa may have some dirt and such a job would mean her not saying any negative things about Trump.

Not sure if there's anything illegal here, but it's another example of the pattern of Trump paying off women.

2138
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: August 16, 2018, 10:57:52 am »
So James Gunn is definitely not coming back for Guardians Vol. 3.  Given that the stars of the GotG franchise have all campaigned for Gunn to be reinstated, I wonder if there's an emergency re-write for Avengers 4 going on right now.  Maybe the Guardians don't make it back from the Snappening.

2139
So Trump revoked the security clearance of John Brennan and threatened to do the same for an enemies laundry list of former national security personnel because he and they have said bad things about Trump.  That's it.  That's the reason.  Until, of course, he gave an interview a few hours (or weeks, depending on your understanding of the space-time continuum) after issuing said statement, in which he claimed it was because Brennan et al were all part of the conspiracy to fit him up in the Russia thing.

There's a reason why the Mueller probe is not wrapping up any time soon (apart from the fact they they will need an interview with Trump in order to get to the end), and it's because they keep creating new evidence to add to the pile.

But the thing about security clearances is, they're either the President's bailiwick or they're not.  In this case, it's entirely up to the President - they claim - as to who gets and keeps clearances.  The White House didn't even tell any of their own national security folks about what they were doing; they found out, like everyone else, when SHS stepped up to the podium and read the President's statement.  Contrast this with the case of Dan Porter, who was unable to get security clearance - partly due to his habit of hitting women relationship issues - yet was allowed still to see classified information because handling such paperwork was basically his job description.  When Porter was escorted off the premises left the White House, SHS et al claimed that they had no control of security clearances and such things were handled by the national security folks.

I know this is a single needle of an issue - in a giant pile of needles - but I think it's really important that people take a step back from each dumpster fire so that they can see that every dumpster is on fire, and for exactly the same reason.

2140
By the time these slapdicks get done with things we'll be hoping to Make America Germane Again.

I think Stephen Miller wants to Make America German* Again.

* You know.  Those kind of Germans...

2141
A Twitter account gets suspended for abuse, and it's Alex Jones not Donald Trump; a security clearance gets revoked, and its John Brennan not Donald Trump (or even Mike Flynn).

Trump issued a written statement - in writing - explaning the justifications for removing Brennan's security clearance.  Trump says that Brennan:

* is guilty of "erratic conduct and behavior";

* is lacking in "objectivity and credibility";

* has made "unfounded and outrageous allegations";

* has made "wild outbursts on the internet and television"'

* has been caught "lying"; and

* has engaged in "frenzied commentary."

Wow.

It's also worth noting that the press release was dated back in July.  So this was prepared then and has been on hold waiting for the moment to deploy it.

2142
Cornyn and Cruz????

I used to think that Steve Schmidt's very earnest commentary on the Trump administration was somewhat alarmist and over the top.  Well, he turned out to be correct, and prescient, because the descending standards have caught up to his foresight.  What he's saying now about the Republican Party is alarming, but I now listen to his comments with a different ear.

He expects a blue wave in November that will sweep Republicans out of power, at least in the House.  He also thinks that, like what has happened to the Republican Party in California, as any Republican in a race that's closer than a +24 in their favor is in jeopardy, we'll be left only with Republicans from uber-safe +25 or better constituencies.  Those candidates only get through their primary by out-crazying their Republican opponents, and then they cruise the general because the seat is so gerrymandered..

There will be less of them, but the party is about to unleash on the nation a clone army of Issas, Rohrabachers, McCarthys and Nuneses.  They're going to get a lot worse before they get any better (if they ever do) just, hopefully, barking ineffectually in the minority.

2143
A Twitter account gets suspended for abuse, and it's Alex Jones not Donald Trump; a security clearance gets revoked, and its John Brennan not Donald Trump (or even Mike Flynn).

2144
In other unpresidented news, SHS actually apologized for understating the number of jobs for African-Americans created during Obama's term in office.  She claimed the total number - for 8 years, don't forget - was 195,000.  The actual number is 1640% higher than that, so just a little off then.

However, here's the statement SHS had to walk back:

Quote
Just look at the economy alone. This president, since he took office, in the year and a half that he’s been here, has created 700,000 new jobs for African Americans. That’s 700,000 African Americans that are working now that weren’t working when this President took place.

When President Obama left, after eight years in office – eight years in office, he had only created 800 – or 195,000 jobs for African Americans. President Trump in his first year and a half has already tripled what President Obama did in eight years.

What's shocking/not shocking is that she was given these clearly ludicrous numbers and just ran with them, instead of thinking that they're obviously complete bollocks and maybe someone needed to check them.  That's the level of incompetence that runs rife in this administration and, while relatively harmless here, it's the sort of seat-of-the-pants, conspiracy-theory-accepting, fact-free (and racist to the core) governing that's going on every single day.

2145
So now we're (long) past the point of debating if the President is a racist, or even if he's used the N-word out loud, and it's now just a question of whether he dropped that bomb within earshot of an active mic.  Even SHS chose not to lie in the press briefing about it - her default ploy for every other scandal - only saying that she's never heard him use it but she's "not in every room".

Paraphrasing John Oliver, discussing a poll in which had 49% of respondents affirmed they believe the President is a racist, it's amazing that 49% of people think the President is a racist while simultaneously amazing that it's only 49%.  As with all things Trump, the degradation of norms and standards is absolute.

2146
Stay far, far away from the food booths if you're ever at JazzFest.

I went once, over 10 years ago.  Still trying to shed the pounds added.

2147
In other news, Manafort's defense team rested without presenting a defense.  Makes sense, given that mounting a defense meant putting Manafort on the stand, so they're going with the "prosecutors failed to make their case" defense (while peering out from behind a giant wall of documents).

2148
Wow, that's a bummer to hear. Their pheasant, quail and andouille gumbo and crawfish enchiladas are a few of my must-haves at JazzFest.

I got a tightness in my chest just reading that.

2149
Wait a minute - what if Stormy Daniels and Omarosa ARE the deep state???

Well, that's the movie title sorted.

2150
Trump appears to have brought his ageing Android phone to a knife fight.  He, ever so presidentially, tweeted at Omarosa this morning, calling her - amongst other insults - a dog.  In response, Omarosa released another recording from the White House in which she and other staff members discuss Trump's use of the N-word as a real thing that they will probably have to deal with at some point as it will get out eventually.

Hillary, Comey, Mueller, Strozk, the Deep State, Merkel, Erdogan etc. etc., none of them will lay a glove on this guy.  He's going to be brought down by Stormy Daniels and Omarosa.

2151
Anyone that goes to El Tiempo deserves what they get. Goddamn it that place is horrible. I've been telling you idiots that for years. El Tiempo bites more dick than Daniel Roberts.

What's a little crazy is that it was the Montrose location of El Tiempo that was visited by Sessions.  Or maybe it wasn't crazy...

2152
El Real has chimed in.  Last night's Montrose Monday there was the busiest we've seen since they dropped the Montrose discount from 50% to 30%. 

2153
Is "El Tiempo" Spanish for "Red Hen"?  The fallout from the restaurant publicizing a visit by Jeff Sessions has hit the British press.  Their conclusion?

Quote from: The Guardian
It was once the case that visits from a high-ranking politician would boost a restaurant’s fortunes. When then president Obama visited La Hacienda, a Mexican restaurant in Nashville, in 2014, it immediately led to a boost in customers and a new dish was added to the menu honouring the occasion. Now it seems a restaurant’s best hope if a White House official wants to eat there is to hope no one notices, at least if they want to avoid protesters.

2154
Did she see the big board?

You can’t fire in here!   This is the war room!

2155
Omarosa keeps drip feeding the existence of a tape, dropping said tape and then drip feeding existence of the next tape.  She previewed and dropped tapes of Kelly and Trump; now she’s previewing tapes of Jarvanka in private conversation.  You’ll be able to tell who’s who because Ivanka has the more manly voice. 

2156
I don't give a shit about Omarosa, or the fact that she was fired, or the fact that Trump is in a spat with her on Twitter.  All of that is just baseline craptitude with this administration.  What is interesting is this:

1)  Omarosa claims that Kelly took her to the Situation Room to fire her;
2)  Not the CNN show, the actual Situation Room - the most secure SCIF of all the SCIFs; and
3)  Omarosa has a recording of the event on her phone.

Why are they using the Situation Room for routine personnel issues and how the fuck was she allowed inside the Situation Room with a phone?  If true, this was General John Kelly - the man in charge of running the White House - pulling some seriously amateurish bullshit.  What's next?  Will we find out that Kislyak got a private tour and took some "selfies" in there?  (I actually think this may well have happened and, if not, Uncle Vlad definitely gets a tour).

The people running the country are dangerously incompetent.  I keep hearing that we've been lucky so far, in that they haven't been tested with a major disaster, but they have:  Puerto Rico.  And they failed miserably and continue to fail miserably.  Without fanfare or much reportage, the official death toll in PR from "Maria" was upped from the initial ~60 to just under 1,500.  One and a half THOUSAND people died as a direct result of the storm.  The island remains without reliable power, which means they don't have reliable water, or schools, or hospitals, or stores, or offices, or street lighting, or emergency services or pretty much anything you can fucking think of.  I'm sure Trump (and his base) thinks of them as Sea Mexicans, but they're American citizens, and they're being left to rot, out of sight and mind, on a devastated island.

EOR

2157
Oh Lordy, there's tapes...part eleventy-million.

Omarosa claims to have tapes of Trump using the N-word.  This news is shocking...to no one.  Apparently, outtakes from The Apprentice are a cess pool of Trump's racism, misogyny and harassment, so I assume that Omarosa's tapes are a sub-set of those.  NBC have put those outtakes in the same box that Indy put the Arc, so we may never see or hear them but, at this point, there's such a full back catalog of Trump being a piece of shit that it would merely be piling on.

Maybe if Trump was being Trump behind the Resolute Desk, that might move the needle a little with some conservatives, but he maintains 88% approval among Republicans and 90% among those who voted for him, so his bigotry with these folks may be a feature, not a bug.

Probably the only person who could extract any real value from such recordings would be Melanie Melania, who could use them in the divorce proceedings that she's long been reported of desiring, and which now may happen as her parents have just completed their chain migration citizenship.

2158
Beer and Queso / Re: Podcasts
« on: August 09, 2018, 04:37:15 pm »
With the Premier League about to return, we also have the return of The Guardians award-winning "Football Weekly" (and Football Weekly Extra) podcast.  Basically a selection of regular and guest football journalists opining on all things football, mostly Premier League but European Leagues too.  Consistently amusing and informative in equal measure.

2159
Don't forget about the boys down at the club that helpfully offered to run the VA for us.

Remember when Trump claimed that bringing in rich businessmen to his administration would firewall it against corruption, because they're already rich and so impervious to bribes?  Yeah, how's that working out.

Rich men (and I am being gender-specific here on purpose) to a man want to be more rich.  Rich men with the opposite drive include Bill Gates and crickets.  Many of them, especially those in Trump's administration, got rich through means that would barely pass the smell test if not be outright illegal (either by them or by their fathers).  Putting them in charge of trillions of dollars of federal money is just asking for trouble which, it seems, they have been happy to supply.

2160
Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross is actually as big a piece of shit as you thought.  And Michael Cohen is also in bigger trouble, including pardon-resistant State trouble, to do with his dealings in the always honest N.Y. taxi medallion business. 

At this point, is there anyone in the President’s orbit who isn’t in legal jeopardy themselves?

2161
Do tell.

Explained away to his donors not impeaching Rosenstein by lying about the Senate’s duty to take it up immediately if they did (it doesn’t); described a very narrow example of what would be criminal collusion with a foreign power, which matched almost perfectly what happened around the Trump Tower meeting; and told them that they’re all fucked if they don’t hold the House majority. 

Not as blockbuster as Romney’s secret tape, but still very enlightening.  They aren’t just gaslighting the general public, they do it to their own donors too. 

2162
Oh Lordy, there’s tapes...of Devin Nunes. 

2163
ProPublica @ProPublica 22 minutes ago
Kris Kobach's gubernatorial race in Kansas is too close to call. His current office is now responsible for a recount and there's no law stopping him from overseeing it. (via @KCStar)

It's because irony has been on steroids for a few years now.  The head of the fake voter fraud unit is going to be able to decide which votes count.

Remember Bush vs. Gore?  When the Chairman of Bush's Florida campaign was also Florida's Secretary of State in charge of overseeing the election...which was supremely fucked up and decided when the Supreme Court just said "Fuck it!  Give it to Bush"?  Yeah; since then.

2164
If raping children doesn't disqualify a Republican from the support of the president and the party I don't see how a little insider trading will bother anyone.

Probably not.  He may still end up in jail though, which might impact his day job.

2165
US Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY) has been arrested for insider trading.  An early and devout Trumpist, he has already cleared his uncontested primary, so it will be interesting to see what the Republicans do about this one.  Collins is in a district that voted for Trump +24.

Allegedly, he's embraced Trumpism even more than originally thought; he's involved his son, his son's fiancee and her father in the scheme.  He also appears to have been giving insider information to multiple friends and donors.

2166
US Rep. Chris Collins (R-NY) has been arrested for insider trading.  An early and devout Trumpist, he has already cleared his uncontested primary, so it will be interesting to see what the Republicans do about this one.  Collins is in a district that voted for Trump +24.

Meanwhile, the campaign of US Rep. Scott Taylor (R-VA) is under investigation for a scheme to forge signatures on a petition to get an independent liberal on the ballot in November.  Shaun Brown ran as a Democrat in 2016 and was trounced by Taylor by 23 points.  Brown later was indicted on charges of fraud, but still tried to win the democratic nomination to run in 2018 (she lost).  Brown was added to the 2018 ballot as an independent, partly due to help from the Taylor campaign in collecting the necessary signatures for her to qualify - dirty pool but not a crime.  It is a crime to forge such signatures, though, which is what Taylor's campaign is being investigated for.  +23 and still trying to gain an advantage illegally...?

2167
Apropos nothing, in his non-victory speech last night, Republican candidate Balderson vowed to "keep America great again."  Think about that for a moment...

2168
The Ohio 12th may not be decided yet, but it has told us what we need to know about November:

1)  Democrats can win big; and

B)  Trump can rally his base to negate anything other than a tsunami. 

2169
Didn't know Gray got wrapped up in this, and certainly didn't know of the standing ovation for Hader.  Fucking inbreds.

David "Family Values" Vitter got a standing ovation from his fellow Senate Republicans when returning to "work" after taking time off for being busted for using hooker services, including at least one time he ordered up a hooker from his phone while voting on a bill in the Senate.

2170
UKIP:  "Keep Britain White"
Cheddar Man:  "Surprise bitches!"

2171
The Presidents buddy Alex Jones got banned from Facebook and YouTube today. So there is that.

Banned for 30 days only.  I'm sure he'll spend those 30 days preparing a series of posts of a positive and uplifting nature.

2172
How much of what he says does he actually believe, and how much of what he says does his audience actually believe? This is not a rhetorical question; I truly have no idea. I mean, there are some people that think WWE is real so who knows.

Alex Jones has asserted under oath that it's all an act; which would mean he's just a despicable douchebag rather than dangerously unhinged.

2173
Because Trump is guilty of doing everything of which he accuses others; yesterday - after admitting to the actual nature of the Trump Tower meeting, which he had previously tried to obfuscate by concocting a cover story with Hope Hicks - Trump met with Hope Hicks on an plane on the tarmac. 

She actually travelled with him to his Nuremberg Ohio rally, but it just reeks of the same stink he raised when Bill Clinton met with then Attorney General Rice on a plane on the tarmac during the campaign.

2174
Which leads me to what I'm pondering in the wake of this morning's lunacy - will Fredo be indicted this week? Is that what this is all about?


Reportedly, he has not yet been interviewed by Mueller or anyone in law enforcement.  That suggests strongly that he’s a target.  Trump getting ahead of a forthcoming revelation - which is what all of the Giuliani nonsense has been - suggests strongly that he’s going to be indicted.  The WaPo reported today that Trump was in a hissy fit over Jr’s legal jeopardy, which is rich considering he was using his own son as a cut out. 

It was a nice touch at the end of the tweet that confirmed his own son’s felonious act, to reaffirm his own innocence.  Father of the Year. 

2175
Aaaaaand here we are: Trump toilet-tweeting this morning that the 2016 Trump Tower meeting was about dirt on Hillary, but it wasn’t illegal.   Maybe he meant to say “was”, not “wasn’t”.

2176
Why'd they pick such a difficult letter?

Top-left on the keyboard.  No need to have the read any other letters to find it. 

2177
They have to identify themselves with a single letter otherwise they’d spell it wrong. 

2178
Question of the day:  Why would a man who is spending lavishly, flat broke, and struggling to make those ends meet, campaign for and take a job for no pay?  Asking for a Special Prosecutor friend.

2179
Just your basic military veteran, lesbian, Hispanic law enforcement official. Kind of hard to keep all of them straight, to be honest.

She's an awesome candidate, but she has zero presence in the media in Texas. 

2180
It also suggests that people have no idea who the Dem gubernatorial candidate is.  I didn't until I clicked on the link.

Yep.

2181
Interesting Texas Lyceum poll.

They have Cruz' lead over Beto at just 2 points:  41 to 39 of likely voters, but Abbot at +16 over Valdez, which suggests the poll isn't weighted against Republicans.

Interestingly, the question about the national economy has respondents thinking that it's better off by +19 (43 - 24), but when asked about Trump's performance as President, bad/very bad beats good/very good by +8 (52 to 44), with very bad getting the biggest share at 34%.  So people think the economy is fine, despite Trump (which is a fair assessment, IMHO).

Both sides of the aisle in Congress get rightly hammered; Republicans at -41 and Democrats at -39 (so maybe vote the bums out this mid-term?).

Healthcare polls very highly as a priority.  Single payer beat private insurance by +6.  Medicare polls very well.  If only there was a way all of us could get some of that Medicare...

One last, shocking, element of this poll: apparently they needed to help poll takers by spelling phonetically the word "denomination".

2182
Trump is screaming at Sessions (over Twitter, of course) to end the Mueller investigation, just as the investigation's first trial is underway (with 4 convictions already in the bag).  It's almost as if he's worried about something.

Also, he seems to be heeding the advice of counsel - Rudy Giuliani - who's opined that you can't obstruct justice in public.

Apparently this TweetStorm was set off because Mueller's team responded to the Trump/Giuliani interview offer in which no questions about obstruction could be asked, which is like searching Buffalo Bill's house but agreeing not to look in the basement.  Mueller, apparently, really wants to ask about obstruction, and he made that clear in his counteroffer, which is what sent Trump off the deep end.

#StableGenius

2183
Manafort's defense team seems to have put all its eggs in the basket that Rick Gates did everything and Manafort is innocent, therefore.  So Mueller's team played Lucy to Manafort's Charlie Brown, and pulled the ball away.  Gates may not testify, removing the defense's free hit at him.

Maybe the lawyers out there can shed some light on this, but it seems to me that the defense calling Gates with the prosecution able to clean-up thereafter is a much weaker position than the defense mounting a vigorous cross-examination of the prosecution's star witness.

Chess meeting checkers.  Again.

2184
He's also opined that breaking the law is not a crime. I don't know about you, but I'm starting to wonder if the mayor is receiving the best possible input from his paralegals.

Seems that his paralegals are Jack Daniels and Angel Dust.

2185
Trump is screaming at Sessions (over Twitter, of course) to end the Mueller investigation, just as the investigation's first trial is underway (with 4 convictions already in the bag).  It's almost as if he's worried about something.

Also, he seems to be heeding the advice of counsel - Rudy Giuliani - who's opined that you can't obstruct justice in public.

2186
Manafort’s trial in Virginia is underway.  His defense - remember this is the tax fraud trial - is to blame his underling, namely Rick Gates.  The Rick Gates who has been cooperating with prosecutors for months.  Good luck with that.

2187
Manafort did this with Deripaska, just for a start.

He also got a bank - one primarily serving veterans - to lend him a ridiculous chunk of their capital in return for making the bank's owner Secretary of the Army.

2188
Since most everything denied is now being revealed, I need to know if they have denied illegal financial dealings with Russian crooks, or simple quid pro quo arrangements with foreign entities?

Even without looking at all the probable money laundering in his business, we will likely learn of more "Give me money, and the USA policy will do this" type deals.  Basically, selling out American policy for cash.  Guiliani will one day say that is no big deal either and 30% of the country will agree.  They'll say: "God Damn Patriots, every last one."


You know this is the case.  In 2014, with interest rates at historic lows, the self-proclaimed "King of Debt" started buying properties cash, instead of with OPM.  Eric Trump reportedly bragged that "We don’t rely on American banks. We have all the funding we need out of Russia."  So Trump stopped borrowing from banks, from whom one can obtain bankruptcy protection if you can't pay it back, to borrowing from Russian oligarchs, from whom you can obtain any number of physical, emotional and financial injuries if you can't pay them back.

Trump has properties the world over that are hemorrhaging money, notably his Scottish golf courses that are complete black holes.  So maybe, Godfather-like, Trump's Russian benefactors asked him to do a simple thing for them: run for President and generally run interference on western democracies.  I'm sure there was no intention or expectation to win, which is why the tracks were so poorly covered, but win he did.

The evidence will be in his tax returns.  If Democrats gain subpoena power in November, those returns have to be the very first thing they demand to see.

2189
The difference between alternative arguments and alternative facts.

I love how Giuliani blurted out that there was a pre-meeting strategy session that included the entire campaign intelligentsia, sans Trump Sr., prior to this completely "nothing" meeting that no one cared about and from which nothing came.  One of the people he name-checked as being there (while theatrically slapping his head as if he was struggling to remember because this was an event of no consequence - even though he wasn't there so he learned about it only recently) was Rick Gates, who's cooperating with Mueller.

So now we know that Mueller knows all about it.  And Trump World knows he knows.

2190
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: July 30, 2018, 12:05:04 pm »
Pretty sure the house arrest angle was the writers way of explaining the absence of Hawkeye and The Antman.  And yes,  it's a little flimsy that Cap (Cap? Cap?!) wouldn't have rounded up everyone but hey,  they had to make 2 movies.

Just another comment on the weakness of the house arrest excuse (and then I'll stop); they used an enlarged ant to get around the house arrest problem in AM&TW, so why would that not have worked in order to get a fairly powerful ally in to the IW fight?

By solving the problem for AM&TW, they torpedoed their own rationale for IW.

2191
Meanwhile, Russia has already started hacking attacks on individual democrats ahead of the mid-terms; the first confirmed victim (of any political stripe) being Claire McCaskill.  Presumably, the Russians want her to win so badly they're prepared to try and break into her campaign's emails, I assume in order to leave helpful advice.

Jeanne Shaheen has also been hacked, but they have not yet said by whom.

2192
They've come a long way from "There was no communication between the campaign and any foreign entity during the campaign." in November 2016.

While TrumpWorld has devolved to the "it's not a crime" defense, Trump himself will still blast out the original blanket denial at will.  Any suggestion that he needed help to get his win is an anathema to Trump, even if he doesn't know what anathema means*.

* It's an antonym of "covfefe".

2193
The “it’s not a crime” bit was visible from light years away, the most predictable thing possible. What I’m looking forward to is their turning their crimes somehow into a virtue, which I’m sure we’ll see shortly.

Yeah.  The only place left to go is to say that these "non" crimes are actually smart politics, and it's why Trump won his historic victory etc. etc.

I just thought it notable that we've finally got here, which means they are expecting proof of collusion to come out pretty soon; maybe during Manafort's trial that starts this week.

2194
Well, they got there, which I'm hoping means that we're getting near the end.  TrumpWorld (including, but not limited to Giuliani), are now arguing that collusion with Moscow isn't a crime even if they did do it.

Umm, yes it is.  It's a felony.

2195
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: July 29, 2018, 12:27:23 pm »
Pretty sure the house arrest angle was the writers way of explaining the absence of Hawkeye and The Antman.  And yes,  it's a little flimsy that Cap (Cap? Cap?!) wouldn't have rounded up everyone but hey,  they had to make 2 movies.

Agree that Michelle Pfeiffer's last minute instructions to Scott will likely prove important.

Also: I still love Michelle Pfeiffer.

That has to be it, but it's pretty weak.  It only makes sense that the entire timeline of AM&TW, up to the mid-credits scene with the scaled down quantum tunnel already built into the back of the van, somehow happens simultaneously with much of the time line of IW, which itself is pretty compressed.

2196
Trump’s CEO - Allen Wesselberg, who’s name came up more than once in the Cohen tape - has been subpoenaed to testify in front of a grand jury.  He’s now been linked to both payoffs, and will be compelled to tell what he knows (or plead the 5th).

Slowly slowly catchee Trumpee...

2197
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: July 26, 2018, 10:57:23 am »
I haven't seen either of the Any Man movies, but didn't they address him early on in IW? I thought I remember a throwaway line saying that both Ant Man and Hawkeye were on "house arrest."

You’re missing out if you haven’t seen Ant-Man.  It’s so good.  And if you see the first, you might as well watch the second.  They should have Michael Peña in every Marvel movie to handle exposition the way he does in the Ant-Man movies!

Anyway, Ant-Man’s house arrest ends seemingly a long time before the Snapture, so there’s no physical reason why he wasn’t involved.  I’ve seen it posited that the IW events were isolated - in Earth terms - to NYC and Wakanda.  Ant-Man hates Stark, so he wouldn’t bother to join in that fight, which seemed to be sorted anyway when the evil donut went back into space.  Meanwhile, the events in Wakanda escalated quickly (I mean, they really got out of hand) and we’re pretty remote, so Ant-Man may not have been aware.  The latter is a bit of a stretch as you’d think Cap. would’ve called him, but still.

Either way, the Ant-Man movie doesn’t explain it at all.

2198
Another front in the War on Trump just moved forward.  A federal court just cleared the last hurdle (barring appeal) of a case brought against Trump by the AsG of DC and MD under the emoluments clause.  The courts have now decided that the two state AsG have standing and, in this latest ruling, WTF “emoluments” means.

The court upheld that it includes things like “profit” and “gain” of anything more than de minimis value.  Ie exactly what Trump gets out of his DC hotel.  It also includes “advantage”, which is something other DC venues have complained about - because if you need somewhere, it can’t hurt to use Trump’s place, because he may TwitterFuck you (at least) if you don’t. 

Now, Trump World may appeal, and this ultimately may die if Trump gets to play his Kavanout of Jail Free card, but discovery is the next step which means that the AsG get to see Trump DC’s books. 

2199
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: July 25, 2018, 08:30:41 am »
I’m all caught up now, having just seen Ant-Man and the Wasp (it’s entertaining but I think they were trying too hard on the comedy, so a lot of it fell flat).  Of course (spoiler alert), the mid-credit clip has Pym, Janet and Hope crumble away leaving Scott in the Quantum Realm with a tube full of “healing particles”. 

The movie still doesn’t explain his absence from the events of Infinity War, but it does leave him in an interesting predicament.  Janet warned him to stay away from the time vortexes in the Quantum Realm, suggesting that he could jump back in time and change something for the better.  Also, there’s also Ghost and Morpheus around to do something too. 

I’m sure more will be foreshadowed in Captain Marvel...

2200
try explaining it to his supporters.  republicans know if they don't give farmers money, their base is gone.  democrats can't vote against it because then they'd be against supporting farmers.  people are stupid and don't have a clue how economics work.

We are spending money on propping up dairy farmers, independent of the trade war issue, because people are switching to non-dairy milks.  I agree with something like this in the short term, but there doesn't seem to be a plan beyond throwing money at the farmers and advertising that we all need to drink more cow's milk.  That's not a strategy, that's cowshit.

2201
Oh, and in the tax cut bill is having the desired effect: real wages - across 80% of industries and 2/3rds of the country - dropped 1.4% in the first 6 months under the new tax regime.  So where did all that money go if not into the pay packets of American workers?  Businesses spent $700 billion on stock buybacks.  The rich are getting richer and the poor getting poorer.

Quote
One of the things we saw is firms are leaning more toward giving bonuses rather than straight pay increases.  It's flashy, it makes you feel good, but it then doesn't stick around and compound year over year.

We are being played.  This isn't news - the alarm that the tax cuts would cause exactly this were being sounded as it was being passed - the only question now is will the voting public at large realise it before the mid-terms and vote accordingly.

On an anecdotal basis, the Houston real estate market (Mrs Limey being a realtor) is mirroring this exaggeration of the wealth gap.  Properties up to, say, $500k are moving roughly as usual.  But between that and $1mm, the market is dead as a door nail; maybe a tenth of the volume of sales now over last summer, and not due to the inventory which is stacked with quality properties and desperate owners.  Over $1mm, things are a little slower, but not much.

So here's the thing.  Tax changes mean that only $10,000 of your property tax is deductible from federal taxes (equivalent to a home value of about $400 - 500k depending on your tax district), and mortgage interest is only deductible up to a loan value of $750k.  So, if you're buying north of $500k, and you're financing, things just got a whole lot more expensive on top of interest rate increases.  But, if you're doing well enough to be able to afford a home over $1mm, such things become incremental, rather than fundamental.

This is destroying home values in Houston.

2202
I like this story especially. A government does something profoundly stupid that harms millions of people (something that any economist who was awake warned would be the inevitable outcome), then, to retain the favor of those harmed, they rain down money on those affected. When the idiot in charge is someone like Maduro Republicans cry SOCIALISM! and wonder aloud if the US should invade. When the idiot in charge is Trump, well, I guess this is winning. So much winning.

It's even more stupid than you think.  Trump has defended the impact of his ego trade  war by claiming that we're playing with banks' money.  Of course, this is stupid on so many levels but, ultimately, it assumes that there will eventually be a winner in the war and it will be the U.S.  This would mark the first example in recorded history of one country "winning" a trade war against another.

As an aside, the really, really stupid part is that Trump doesn't understand trade.  He thinks that a trade deficit with another country  is "losing" while a trade surplus is "winning".  Trade is trade and he is a fucking idiot.

2203
If you liked Helsinki this summer, you'll love DC this fall.

So dumb to remind voters, right before the midterms, that they need to elect candidates who oppose Trump.  But, whatever Vladdy wants, Vladdy gets. 

2204
Geez, now the most pathetic man in the universe is once again on the warpath about players kneeling for the national anthem. Maybe he ought to concern himself with why our pharma companies are outsourcing production to offshore companies that don't seem to give a shit about production standards.

I am less concerned about NFL players on their knees during the anthem than I am Presidents of the United States being on their knees during a joint press conference with our most powerful enemy. 

2205
Oh Lordy, there’s a tape!

Cohen secretly recorded a conversation between himself and Trump during which they discuss paying off his mistress. No, not that one, the other one. 

2206
There are very, very clear statutes that prohibit foreign campaign contributions - cash or in-kind assistance.

That's just a little amuse-bouche for our Republican friends enjoying a meal at the Golden Balalaika Buffet.

Of course.  But there's a vast amount of wiggle room in which to claim plausible deniability.  Unless they're like Facebook and took the money in rubles, if it was routed through a shell LLC, say something like "Essential Consultants", then they can claim they didn't know who they were with and I think that is all it would take.

2207
The most recent indictment indicates that the Russian entanglement with the GOP goes well beyond the Trump folks.  I imagine that's a significant motivation with their ongoing attempts to interfere with Mueller's investigation and general willingness to cover up Trump's crimes, even if they don't know exactly what crimes they are covering up.

Correct.  The Butina case says that the Russians at large were getting conservative lobby groups at large to influence Republicans at large to support agenda(s) that Russia preferred.  As these efforts get identified and unraveled, we will see what they knew and when they knew it.  I'm sure there was near zero scrutiny used to vet offers of money or help, and zero fucks given about the quo to go with the quid, so most of these clowns will be shown to be stupid and craven but innocent of actual crimes.

2208
Nunes and his fellow quislings have already blocked that move on the House side.

You using the word "quislings" may be the first good thing to come out of all this shit!

2209
Trump's own hubris has got him into trouble again following a closed door meeting with a foreign dictator.  After getting pwned by North Korea's Kim, he's in the process of suffering the same ignominious fate following Monday's "summit" with Putin. 

Quote
Russia’s ambassador to the US, Anatoly Antonov, told reporters in Moscow the two leaders had reached “important verbal agreements”, including preservation of the New Start and INF arms control agreements.

Antonov, who called the meeting “important, comprehensive, productive and constructive”, said the Russian president had made “specific and interesting proposals to Washington” on how the two countries could cooperate on Syria.

So, in addition to having the State department and various intelligence agencies scrambling to react to what the Russians say we've already agreed to, there's a growing call for Trump to account for what was discussed.  There's talk of bringing the US' translator in front of Congress to testify as to what was discussed and agreed.

2210
Is that the "Republican Operative" the Russian spy was stuck "cohabitating" with?

On a side note, continued exposure to all the characters in this movie reminds me how much history is created by truly idiotic people.

John Oliver pegged this as "Stupid Watergate" a long time ago.  So named because it's like Watergate but everyone is stupid and rubbish at everything.

Yes, that's the Republican operative she was bedding (and complaining about having to bed to her handler) while offering sex to other Republican operatives to enhance her ability to spy.  I'm sure there's a whole bunch of such operatives, appointed officials and elected officials who are shitting themselves today, because they had dealings (sexual or otherwise) with this Russian spy.

Oh, and she's comfortably qualified to be called a spy.  The prosecution team has been joined with the DOJ's most senior counterintelligence prosecutor, because, you know, she's a fucking spy.

Another aside:  they have communications with her handler (at least her end of such)  from just after Trump's "win" in which she discusses potential picks for Secretary of State.  If you recall, there was a whole series of reality TV-style dates between Trump and candidates for the position, notably that awful dinner when Trump trolled Romney in person.  Well Butina wanted to keep up with what "our people" thought of potential picks.  Later, out of the blue, Trump announced friend of Putin and Russian Friendship medal winner Rex Tillerson as his nominee for State.  Someone needs to get under the hood of that decision and see where the name Tillerson originated, because it might lead back to an NRA-linked operative who was banging a 20-something Russian chick...

2211
Quick update:  Trump has been all over the map about what he did(n't) talk about with Putin.  It's truly breathtaking how many contradictory positions he can maintain at one time.  He's also thinking about handing over US diplomats for questioning by Russian investigators - because Daddy V. asked him to.

Coincidentally, the intelligence community leaked today details of the briefing that Trump got in January 2017 that laid out in detail (hopefully with pictures and a large font) that is was Putin who'd ordered the election interference and Russian military intelligence who'd done it.  It's almost as if they're trying to tell us something...

2212
Anyone know how I can apply for a job with the Treasure Department?

Do you speak Russian?

2213
Quote from: Lefty lin
This is legit?  I don't doubt it but I am seriously curious.
[/quote

The numbers are, sure.

2214
are you just now realizing this?

No.  I gave her the benefit of the doubt for a while, but she burned up any doubt a long time ago.  I am watching her performance today, and I just couldn't help but let that comment out.

2215
Sarah Huckabee Sanders is a truly awful person.

2216
And yet, people still support the President because it is fake news.  This country is seriously broken.  They don't believe what he himself has said.

To be fair, he reverses direction more often and faster than Austin Powers, so they are hearing what they want to hear, not what he says.  And, of course, he always puts far more energy and passion behind the shitty stuff, while he reads the corrections / damage control stuff from a script like a kidnapping victim.

2217
So...Maria Butina.  Allegedly a Russian plant who was fucking at least one guy - American conservative political operative Paul Erickson (56-years old and likely grateful for anything he could get) - and at least one other guy, in return for political favors.  She was part of the dubious Russian gun rights lobby (as if Putin would allow his subjects to be armed) and moved in the upper levels of conservative politics.

Her mission was to get the NRA and other conservative pressure groups to put their weight behind policies that Russia wanted enacted, and it appears that she was successful in achieving this goal.  Oh, and spying, too.

What's not discussed in her indictment is whether the NRA was receiving, knowingly or unknowingly, Russian money to support its activities.  It's notable that the near-half billion dollars the NRA spent on the 2016 election is double what it spent in 2012.  That's $100 for each of it's 5 million members, while membership costs $40/year.  Apropos nothing, the day after this news broke, the Treasure Dept. issued new guidelines that do away with the need for the likes of the NRA to report sources of funds.

Butina has been detained without bail, so her trial is going to go ahead.  Manafort's trial is going to go ahead.  Flynn's plea deal continues to have sentencing left open, a sign that he has more to give to, or do for, prosecutors.  Trump's Russian flag underwear has been on full display for all to see.  This is an amazing time, not in a good way. 

2218
Manafort's case was delayed a week; no one (outside the court) knows why the "Rocket-Docket" judge did this.  The judge denied Manafort's motion to change venue.  Mueller filed paperwork with the court that he will be calling 5 witnesses against Manafort who are currently unknown to the public as being part of the case, but who have been given immunity.  Wait...WTF?

Pass.  The.  Popcorn.

Case starts next Wednesday, and is scheduled to run for two weeks.  Go directly to jail, do not pass go and do not collect a pardon.

2220
I think she’s alone now.

Well, there doesn't seem to be any one around.

2221
I'm sure Tiffany will be fine.

And Melania; who will end up owning it all.

2222
Basically, I think he sealed his fate, at least in the sense that the Mueller probe will have to be allowed to finish because too many people are now asking and concerned about the obvious: what does Vlad have on Donnie?

This is what was laid bare in Helsinki (a name forever ruined for me by this), Trump jumped on a question to Putin and defended/protected him.  It was so disgusting and obvious that even disinterested viewers cannot help but speculate that Trump is Putin's puppet.  It's also hilarious to think that the two people accused of colluding can deflect the accusation by agreeing between themselves that it never happened.

In fact, while we don't know whether there is a pee tape, or if it's Trump's finances that have him on the end of Putin's short leash, there's also a third, obvious driver; the collusion itself.  We know that collusion happened - the Trump Tower meeting is text book collusion - but we have nothing directly involving Trump.  But if Trump did collude, even if he didn't realise that he was at the time, Putin will have proof of it and that may be enough to allow him to lead Trump around by the nose.  And because Trump likes to involve his whole family, he could well be under threat that he and his favored offspring will all go to jail.  That's a helluva lever.

2223
Quote from: John McCain
Today’s press conference in Helsinki was one of the most disgraceful performances by an American president in memory. The damage inflicted by President Trump’s naivety, egotism, false equivalence, and sympathy for autocrats is difficult to calculate. But it is clear that the summit in Helsinki was a tragic mistake.

"...but I'll still vote to confirm his SCOTUS nominee," he didn't need to add.

2224
How can anyone watch that and not think that Trump is completely in Putin's pocket.

#NoPuppet

2225
You and Navin seem to think that most everyone who disagrees with you politically, even in the slightest, are either, dumbshits, fuckwits, racists, facists, sexist, avaricious, or cowardly, or some amalgamation there of. Some are, not all.

The thing is, there really isn't any nuance left any more.  One party is supporting/enabling the caging of children, the destruction of the western alliance, the destruction of trade agreements (which will have the knock-on effect of destroying the economy), the destruction of civil rights, the destruction of equal rights, the destruction of law and order, the destruction of the middle class and the destruction of the United States' position as leader of the free world.

If you support that party in any way, you are part of that problem.

2226
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 15, 2018, 12:49:07 pm »
At least we'll always have Lloris.

ISWYDT

2227
Timely

Quote
Two of the most monstrous regimes in human history came to power in the 20th century, and both were predicated on the violation and despoiling of truth, on the knowledge that cynicism and weariness and fear can make people susceptible to the lies and false promises of leaders bent on unconditional power. As Hannah Arendt wrote in her 1951 book The Origins of Totalitarianism, “The ideal subject of totalitarian rule is not the convinced Nazi or the convinced communist, but people for whom the distinction between fact and fiction (ie the reality of experience) and the distinction between true and false (ie the standards of thought) no longer exist.”

2228
Fake news.

Seriously, no.  The Trump request and the start of the targeting specifically Clinton and her staff, happened on the same day.  That’s a fact, and one helluva coincidence. 

2229
Tweet from Dave Weigel:  I keep thinking of the family of Seth Rich, who have spent two years watching kooks and useful idiots accuse their murdered son of leaking these emails. Imagine how that feels.

But if he didn’t leak the emails, then that means Clinton just murdered him for fun. 

Lock her up!  Lock her up!

2230
Oh, and Mueller indicted 12 Russians - military intelligence all - for the underlying crime today: stealing Democratic campaign emails.  Trump has known this was coming for a couple of days, but is still claiming a witch hunt.  One juicy nugget is that the hacking of Clinton's personal and staff emails began the evening of the day that Trump asked if Russia was listening and if they could...you know...hack into Clinton's emails.  #NoCollusion

Interestingly, the indictment makes reference to an unnamed Republican candidate - not Trump - who was trying to get Clinton's emails from the Russians.  Given that Robert Mercer was bankrolling both Cambridge Analytica and Ted Cruz - it has to be Ted Cruz, right?  Please let it be Cruz!!

2231
Trump in the UK has been a disaster from start to finish, but with one more shoe to drop.  AF1 sat on the pan for about an hour before finally taking off, the press pool didn't know why, until they saw Piers Morgan deplaning.

He gave an "exit interview" to Piers Fucking Morgan.

2232
Rep. Raskin has his own Veep moment, when he ran down a long list of Trump insults by fellow Republicans, to point out the hypocrisy of this kangaroo court.  It was a thing of beauty. 

2233
I've only caught a little (it's still going, btw as House Republicans can't get enough) and while I doubt it changes much public opinion, this type of public exposure surely doesn't help the Republicans in their attempt to thwart the investigation.

It’s both hilarious and maddening.  Some twat is, right now, trying to retry the Clinton email issue.  Strzok is far smarter, ffar better informed and far better prepared than his interrogators.  A few have accused him of being smug, which is rich, but they stomp on their own dicks with almost every utterance. 

2234
The Strzok hearing today was insane.  Strzok's contempt at being questioned by Trumpanzees like Gowdy and Gohmert was not only not hidden, it was worn like a badge of honor.

I think my favorite part was when the committee chairman tried to beat down Strzok because he was testifying under a subpoena, only for Strzok to point out (correctly) that he wasn't.  That was their first, best shot out of the gate and it landed like a marshmallow.  These are not smart people.

Fucking Issa (didn't he quit already) made Strzok read some of the more lurid and/or profane texts, and when Strzok edited out the profanity Issa made him read them again.  Completely unnecessary and done purely to make Strzok embarrassed or uncomfortable.  Issa was beating off under the desk...probably.

2235
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 12, 2018, 01:17:13 pm »
Limey,
What's your opinion of Kyle Walker?  As a defender, I've always thought he brings more to the offensive side of things.  Getting offensive production out of defenders is great, but I'd prefer their primary talent be defending.

He's a very good player.  You're right that his day job is as a wing-back - and he's good at it - but Southgate put him in the middle of a back three, so that he could use his incredible speed to negate attacking threats.  It worked very well, but there's not many teams that have the luxury of multiple, world class wing backs so that one can be sacrificed for central defensive duties.  Not even Man City.  He'll be back to his old job when the season starts.

2236
Beto O'Rourke raised over $10mm in the last quarter - as usual, none of it from special interest groups or PACs.  By comparison, Cruz raised less than half that amount over the same time.

Cruz is still the presumptive winner, but O'Rourke got handed a signature issue over the child separation debacle on the Texas border.  He's been all over national TV as a result and, IMHO, comes across very well - he seems especially adept at getting a strong message out in a small window.  At the very least, his public profile in Texas must have been raised a good few points because of this scandal.

I'm not suggesting it's a silver lining to a horrific situation, but the stark contrast between Beto's championing of the cause of these children and families, compared to Cruz'...what?  Seriously, what has he done or even said about this?  It's a pretty stark difference.

2237
It would be so inconvenient of you to keep on pointing out all these bald lies if any of the people who support him, tacitly or otherwise, gave a single damn.

I like speaking truth to willfully ignorant.  See also brick wall, head.

2238
Pompeo went to North Korea to try to get codified the things that Trump claimed already to have achieved, and got the complete runaround.  He was denied an audience with Kim Jong Un, had his schedule constantly fucked with, was sidelined by overly long meals and left with DPRK's foreign ministry decrying the U.S' "unilateral and gangster-like demand for denuclearization."

Remember, this is against the backdrop of Trump claiming that the threat from North Korea is over, while the press is reporting that their nuclear program has been accelerated.  So Trump gave Kim the meeting he so desperately craved for nothing in return.  Trump heaped praise on Kim for nothing in return.  Trump cancelled the joint exercises with South Korea for nothing in return, using North Korea's language when describing them as provocative.  And now that Kim has all these things he wanted, he's accelerating his nuclear program.

Just like moving the US embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, Trump has given up his bargaining chips without securing anything in return.  #TheBestDeals

This week, he will mostly be destroying the North Atlantic alliance and playing golf.

An update on the North Korea situation: one of the "concessions" that Trump got was that North Korea would return the remains of US service personnel killed in the Korean War.  I put "concessions" in quotes, because it's something they have been offering for a long time, like nuclear talks, but on which they have never followed through, like nuclear talks.  But, this time, there was a meeting set to arrange for the transfer.  Great!  Except, North Koreans simply didn't show.

Maybe Kim Jong Un will die laughing, because that's the only way this administration is going to get anything out of their efforts.  It's why no one else has given them the honor of meeting the President, because they're lying fuckers who will take it and run.  Which they did.  We now have nothing left to offer, so they are taking the piss and standing us up at scheduled, high-level meetings.

#MAGA

2239
Even if he did send someone, he probably didn't pay them.

Haha!  Exactly.

2240
They played cat and mouse with it. But I'm not really concerned about it.

They didn't play cat and mouse; they confirmed very quickly that Obama had a legit birth certificate.  Conservative media and conservative demagogues - Trump being at the forefront* - ignored this and continued to claim that this wasn't settled.  It was settled, and it should never have been asked.

* Remember when Trump claimed to have sent investigators to Hawaii, and they were finding so much stuff?  Funny thing: he was lying, because he never sent anyone.

2241
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 12, 2018, 08:00:42 am »
Agree.  Would like to arrange a visit then.

Thinking about it with a clearer head, the Euros is basically a repeat of how this World Cup ended up, given that European nations dominated the knockout stages.  Maybe Croatia will be tired by then, because they weren't tired yesterday!

2242
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 11, 2018, 09:27:00 pm »
England and France both figure to be really, really good in four years.

The Euros in two years will be interesting.  A more mature England and France, while Spain, Germany and Portugal will be rebuilding.  Plus, Italy and Holland may be rising from their current ashes.

Should be fun.

2243
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 11, 2018, 06:44:49 pm »
Croatia was the better team, by a small margin, and they win by a small margin.  England are ranked outside the top 10 worldwide, so getting to the last 4 is all bonus.  We finally got found out, but will be better equipped for the Euros in 2 years and the next WC in 4. 

2244
Yep.  But he's still an MP and thus can challenge for leadership of the party, which would make him Prime Minister - if he could keep May's coalition together.  To be honest, I wouldn't trust Boris to keep two pieces of Lego together, so all this is likely to devolve into further chaos and result in the calling of a general election.

Oof!  The (failing) NT Times lets Boris have it with both barrels.

Quote
All of Mr. Johnson’s weaknesses have been exposed: his lazy reluctance to do detail, his preference for bluster over thinking, his contempt for business. The campaign was meant to secure his future; instead, in damaging the country, he fears he has wrecked his own future, too. As one of his allies told me last month: “He knows that the verdict of history is about to come down on him — and bury him.”

Does that description sound like anyone else?

2245
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 11, 2018, 08:31:39 am »
I am
Trying to
Suppress my
Complete mania
Over today’s
Match but
It’s
Not
Going very well as the
Hype is
Overloading
My brain at
Every moment

2246
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 11, 2018, 07:56:54 am »
For the anoraks (stat geeks) out there:

Top Scorers (Team)
1) Belgium 14; 2) England 11; 2) Russia 11; 4) Croatia 10; 5) France 10*
* played one more game

Top Scorer (Player)
1) Harry Kane (Eng) 6; 2) Romelu Lukaku (Bel) 4; 2) Denis Cheryshev (Rus) 4; 2) Cristiano Ronaldo (Por) 4; 3) Six players on 3

Fewest Goals Conceded
1) Denmark 2; 1) Peru 2; 1) Iran 2; 2) Uruguay 3; 2) Colombia 3; 2) Brazil 3; 2) South Korea 3; 30) Nine teams on 4 (inc England, France* and Croatia)
* played one more game

Dribbles
1) Brazil 169; 2) France 118*; 3) Belgium 114; 4) Spain 94; 5) Mexico 84
* played one more game

Average Distance Covered
1) Russia 61.26km; 2) Belgium 60.36km; 3) France 58.34km; 4) Croatia 55.90km; 5) England 53.61km

Sprints
1) Russia 1983; 2) Croatia 1946; 3) Belgium 1945; 4) France 1891*; 5) Brazil 1734; 6) England 1726
* played one more game

Average Top Speed (Team)
1) Morocco 28.9km/h; 2) Poland 28.7km/h; 3) England 28.7km/h; 4) Colombia 28.6km/h; 5) Denmark 28.6km/h

Top Speed (Player)
1) Cristiano Ronaldo (Por) 34km/h; 1) Ante Rebic (Cro) 34km/h; 3) Luis Advincula (Per) 33.8km/h; 3) Marcus Rashford (Eng) 33.8km/h; 5) Santiago Arias (Col) 33.6km/h; 6) Kyle Walker (Eng) 33.5km/h; 6) Jesse Lingard (Eng) 33.5km/h

Passes Completed
1) Spain 3120; 2) Belgium 2776; 3) Brazil 2501; 4) France 2331*; 5) England 2318
* played one more game

Fouls Committed
1) Russia 95; 2) Belgium 88; 3) France 79*; 4) Croatia 78; 5) Sweden 65; 14) England 53
* played one more game


In fairness, England's numbers are flattering, given the easier path to get here but, all in all, I think this shows how well poised the England-Croatia match is, and how the France vs. England or Croatia final will be.  I'm shocked that Mbappe isn't cracking the top 6 fastest individuals, but happy to see that England have 3 of the top 6 - including converted wing-back to central defender Kyle Walker (a stroke of Southgate genius).  Walker snuffs out so many fast breaks with his speed which was looking to be a glaring weakness in the England defense without him being moved to the middle.  Maguire and Stones aren't winning any foot races outside a retirement home.

The trick today is containing Luka Modric - a job likely falling on Jordan Henderson - and Rakitic - probably Walker's mission.  Croatia has plenty of quality elsewhere, but if you can stop Modric running the show, then that mutes Rakitic (and Mandzukic).  Modric is my biggest concern because I don't think Henderson is up to the task and, while he's occupied, it means that Alli and Lingard - neither of whom have any real defensive chops - will have to look after Perisic.  Yikes!

One last factor...maybe...  Croatia's last two games went to extra time plus penalties, whereas England's last game was a relatively easy, 90 minute win.  How much does Croatia have left in the tank if this game is still up for grabs late in the second half?  Can they contain England's across-the-board faster team, especially if Southgate throws that whippet Rashford at them for the last 15 minutes?

2247
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 11, 2018, 06:46:22 am »
Didn't get to settle in and watch the whole game because the was a river cruise booked and my presence not optional.

So from the Seine we could hear the ups/downs coming gettin either bank.  The goal was scored as we were coming back toward the Eiffel Tower.   Cheers from both banks,  air horns, and car horns. Pretty cool.

We headed back to our accommodations on the subway and saw many folks keeping up with things on their phones/tablets.  And we saw two men screaming at each other nose to nose in French because one wouldn't move out out the way for the other.  Awk-ward.

After our stop we walked toward our destination,  rounded the corner and saw a large crowd of people celebrating with flares.  So we took the long way around and they had settled down by the time we got close.

I was in Paris in 1998 when France won their one and only World Cup.  I was surprised at how relatively muted the celebrations were.

2248
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 10, 2018, 05:31:15 pm »
Poor Hazard got beat up pretty good.

France is all about defense and counter-attack.

2249
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 10, 2018, 02:55:53 pm »
Belgium will assault the French goal for the rest of the way.

Actually, the onslaught never really materialised and France looked far more likely to score in the late stages (they would have if not for Courtois' heroics in goal).  France to the final.

2250
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 10, 2018, 02:46:07 pm »
France's Matuidi had his bell rung and now appears to think he's Batman.  Belgium supporters boo and whistle as he wanders around in a fog, stopping the game.  France trying to close this out, have taken off Giroud.  Belgium will assault the French goal for the rest of the way.

2251
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 10, 2018, 02:36:44 pm »
France trying to perform grand larceny here.  Hanging on to a 1-0 lead with about 10 minutes plus stoppage time to go.

2252
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 10, 2018, 09:04:57 am »
Sub-Plot du Jour:  French legend and human shrug Thierry Henry, is an assistant coach to the Belgium  national team.

2253
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 09, 2018, 05:13:17 pm »
Idle question while awaiting the semis:  When did world-class futbol players (especially world-class strikers) become incapable of getting a shot off unless the ball is perfectly positioned on their preferred foot?  I can't believe how many times in this tournament guys have found themselves in possession of the ball in the penalty area with a clear shot, only to go through some weird foot-shuffling pirouette that allows two or three defenders plenty of time to recover.  It's maddening.

It seems to me that strikers would shoot on sight with either foot back in the day, but that may just be the filtering properties of memory.  I agree that it's maddening; I was always too slow to be a decent player, but I worked hard on being "two-footed" because that always gained me some time that the one-foot show ponies didn't have.

I just don't understand how someone can progress through years and years of coaching, reach the highest possible level of competition, and still use one foot just for standing.  Sir Bobby Charlton had a thunderclap shot with either foot, which he perfected by spending hours thumping shots at a goal painted on to a brick wall.  And that was back when the boots were made of lead and the ball - once nicely soaked after a few minutes of play - weighed about the same as a small black hole.

2254
Surely, you've already seen this:  https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/jul/09/boris-johnson-resigns-as-foreign-secretary-brexit?CMP=fb_gu

Yep.  But he's still an MP and thus can challenge for leadership of the party, which would make him Prime Minister - if he could keep May's coalition together.  To be honest, I wouldn't trust Boris to keep two pieces of Lego together, so all this is likely to devolve into further chaos and result in the calling of a general election.

2255
Reports are that May's party has enough members signed on to force a vote of no confidence in her leadership.  She may be about to get the boot, which is nothing but thoroughly deserved as her tenure has been an exercise in sparing no expense to save her own job, but it means resetting the Brexit negotiations under the command of, say, Boris Johnson.

2256
I have friends, that have college degrees, that support the policies of this administration.  I wish they would look beyond their party and see the bigger picture.  But, until they are hit in the pocketbooks and realize that Democrats are not to be blamed, they will stick to their self-righteous beliefs. 

I wish I was wrong about that.

Politics has become tribal.  Thank you Fox News.

Also, among the strongly held principles being abandoned, I forgot to include breast-feeding.

2257
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 09, 2018, 12:37:02 pm »
Croatia has sacked one of the team's assistant coaches for dedicating to Ukraine the team's win over Russia.  Oops.  One of Croatia's players, Domagoj Vida, did the same, but appears to have avoided sanction after issuing an apology.

What this means for Wednesday's game is anyone's guess (probably nothing).  It is an interesting contrast, though, with an England camp that has been shockingly unified, relaxed, jovial and classy.  A stark contrast itself to prior England campaigns that include an on-field revolt in 2014 and the whole "WAGS" disaster of 2006.

2258
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 09, 2018, 12:18:36 pm »
If archers are strategically placed in the stands on both sides of the field, I give the edge to England.

If it ends up that way, I fully expect the St. Crispin's speech from Henry V to be done to death.

2259
Meanwhile, non World Cup (it's coming home) related news out of the UK is that two of May's cabinet have resigned over her latest Brexit proposal (which will surely be rejected by the EU in any case).  Notably, this includes professional buffoon Boris Johnson, who was previously working hard on being the worst Foreign Secretary in history.  More resignations are expected.

They are less than a year from leaping off the Brexit cliff, and there is no soft landing in sight.  Any proposal that would be acceptable to the EU is going to be rejected by many of May's party as being too weak, so she'd need opposition support which she won't get without major concessions that she can't give because her party would vote them down.

To give you an idea of one of the buhzillion things they didn't think about before, but have to now, a friend of mine is taking his family to London and then to Africa on an epic family trip this summer.  Even though Brexit isn't until 2019, airlines are already warning of potential flight cancellations as UK airlines may not have the necessary permissions to overfly EU airspace.

Here's another: Lloyd's of London has set up an underwriting center in Brussels to service business from the EU.  They are currently having to endorse policies with clause that allows them to - basically - abandon the contract if it becomes illegal for Lloyd's to write that policy because of Brexit.  Would you want to buy that policy, knowing that the insurer can bail and leave you scrambling for an alternative?  Or do you find an alternative now because you don't want any part of that shit?

2260
They were also in favor of law and order and pro-family.

Imagine being such a fucking idiot or bigot or both - loser, at any rate - that this imbecile shows up and embodies your ignorant outrage so perfectly that you are compelled to abandon significant numbers of deeply held principles.

Presumably, those deeply held principles weren't held as deeply as the principles espoused by Trump.  Given the option of law and order, sanctity of marriage, family unity etc. etc., or keeping out brown people, they chose the latter ahead of all of the former.

2261
I don't even think this dumbass knows he was played by Kim.  He'll keep repeating his stupid shit at rallies and the South Park character attendees will keep smiling and cheering. 

Oh, and for those Trumpsters, it appears that he requested 61 foreign workers to help at his resort, and apparently made sure that the tariffs on China didn't include shit his daughter's business makes in China.  How fucking brain-dead does one have to be to continue to support this corrupt and hypocritical imbecile?


The Republican Party used to be for free trade.  Like, 18 months ago.

2262
Pompeo went to North Korea to try to get codified the things that Trump claimed already to have achieved, and got the complete runaround.  He was denied an audience with Kim Jong Un, had his schedule constantly fucked with, was sidelined by overly long meals and left with DPRK's foreign ministry decrying the U.S' "unilateral and gangster-like demand for denuclearization."

Remember, this is against the backdrop of Trump claiming that the threat from North Korea is over, while the press is reporting that their nuclear program has been accelerated.  So Trump gave Kim the meeting he so desperately craved for nothing in return.  Trump heaped praise on Kim for nothing in return.  Trump cancelled the joint exercises with South Korea for nothing in return, using North Korea's language when describing them as provocative.  And now that Kim has all these things he wanted, he's accelerating his nuclear program.

Just like moving the US embassy in Israel to Jerusalem, Trump has given up his bargaining chips without securing anything in return.  #TheBestDeals

This week, he will mostly be destroying the North Atlantic alliance and playing golf.

2263
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 09, 2018, 08:08:17 am »

2264
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 08, 2018, 06:46:52 am »
There's been no shortage of excitement in this tournament.

This has been amazing.  So many late goals up-ending results. 

2265
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 02:04:47 pm »
Next match would be the Brexit Cup, no?  Nerve Gas Cup?

Whatev.

#ICH

2266
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 01:48:33 pm »
And then Croatia equalizes with a nice little play.

It would be amusing to see Russia go through so we could have the NATO Cup.

Two superpowers, one cup. 

2267
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 01:45:47 pm »
It’s coming home. 

2268
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 01:31:55 pm »
The George at Belsize.

Quite a fun experience. They broke out into "Good Save The Queen" spontaneously in the second half and sang another one "everything's coming up" something something.   Maybe Limey knows it. Or the internet.

Happy patrons,  happy country.

Funny thing,  we go to Paris next.  Their match is Tuesday.

It’s somewhat ironic (I hope).  There was an awful song put together by a couple of comedian/pundits  for the 1996 Euros in England which proclaimed that “football’s coming home”. 

It’s turned into a really funny meme for this tournament, but it’s still an offront to music and humanity in general.

That said...

2269
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 01:22:29 pm »
Pickford had a heck of a match.

Weirdly, in a match that one team dominates, Pickford was MOTM. 

2270
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 07, 2018, 01:21:06 pm »
England leads at the half 1-0. They really controlled the ball late in the half, came close on 3 others but Sterling is snake bit.

Sterling is good, but not great.  Zaha is great, but England picked Sterling over Zaha. 

2271
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 06:41:24 pm »
Full page story in the New York Times today on Neymar with about ten or so photos of him flopping, flailing and faking.

Those chickens came home to roost today.

Ironically, Brazil had a completely legit penalty shout - not involving Neymar - and that got ignored too.  Kompany went in hard on Jesus as Jesus was running out of room and losing the ball over the touchline.  Still, Kompany went through him pretty thoroughly - one of those that would be given anywhere else on the park.

The Brazilians got no change out of the referee today.  Neymar had a couple of close shouts and one outrageous dive (for which he should have been carded, but wasn't), but it did seem to me as a neutral (all I wanted was extra time for more fun) that Brazil got nothing.

2272
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 06:35:21 pm »
So South Africa is in Europe, but Russia is not.

I forgot about that one.  It's only been not in Europe or the Americas a couple of times (South Africa and Japan / South Korea, I think).

2273
If I attempted to represent a client now, I could be disciplined by the same court that suspended me. It also will be an act of barratry, which is against the law in most jurisdictions. I merely pointed out that I still have duties and obligations to the bar, which is inconsistent with being a former lawyer. I'm still obligated to follow the Rules of Professional Conduct. What you see as technobabble actually is a factually accurate depiction of my situation.

As I said, you can call yourself whatever you want.  I strikes me, though, that if you'd be disciplined by the courts for acting as a lawyer, you really aren't a lawyer.

I'd be disciplined for flying a plane these days (even though I've still got a pretty good idea of how it's done - it's pretty easy until the landing bit), so I don't call myself a pilot.  If it comes up, I say something like "I used to fly, but my license lapsed some time ago."  To say I was a pilot would be seriously misleading.

2274
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 03:16:34 pm »
Excluding Russia all the remaining teams are European.

Until Germany blew everyone's doors off in 2014 in Brazil, it was only Brazil who had won a World Cup outside of their home continent.  They'd done it only once, their other 4 wins all coming in the Americas.

2275
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:55:32 pm »
Belgium survive by the tips of Courtois' fingers.  No doubt that Brazil win that if they force the tie.  Belgium hang on and are into the semis vs. France.  That looks to be epic.

2276
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:42:57 pm »
Belgium making some personnel changes.  Martinez needs to be careful that he doesn't set the team up to hold on for the win, and then be unable to react if they get pulled back to a tie.

As I type, Coutinho just missed a golden opportunity...

2277
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:39:33 pm »
Agusto missed it by that much.

2278
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:37:05 pm »
Who wouldn't want 30 more minutes of this?

2279
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:35:11 pm »
And Agusto for Brazil cuts the lead in half.

Game on.

2280
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:15:38 pm »
Belgium dodges another penalty-shaped bullet.

2281
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:12:55 pm »
If Neymar weren't universally known to be a flopping fool he might have got a call there towards the end.

He just went over again, and the referee mimed a dive but didn't book him (which would suspend him for the next game if they have one).  Bizarre.  It's either a penalty or a dive and a yellow*.

(Replays show it as a clear dive).

* Not every time a player goes to ground is a foul or a dive.  Sometimes there's legal contact and sometimes players just fall over.

2282
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 02:08:28 pm »
Belgium have a free kick wide out on the touchline with the opportunity to play it into the box.  They play it short and end up losing it.  I hate this (same with short corners).  You have all of your tall trees up from the back and set up for the play, and then you faff around with it and, usually, never get the ball across because there's a foul or someone ends up offside.  It's just dumb.  Cross the fucking ball!

2283
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 01:53:52 pm »
Brazil is in a heap of trouble. They're getting a goal scoring opportunities but not finishing.

Belgium ripped Japan's heart out with a counter attack, and they've done it again here. 

2284
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 01:34:12 pm »
Brazil retained their composure since going down 1-0, and have been peppering the Belgium goal.  They're now down 2-0.

2285
This may be splitting hairs to you, but it's very much my reality. I view those who have voluntarily retired and surrendered their licenses and those disbarred to be former lawyers. As I said, I've been able to go back for over nine years, and I explained why I haven't thus far.  I'm still required to report my address changes and other contact information to the Supreme Court. The Supreme Court still considers me a lawyer. I'm still required to be a non dues paying member of the Louisiana State Bar Association. In fact, should I decide to permanently retire, I have to ask permission from the Supreme Court. Therefore, I am still a lawyer,  just without an active, good standing license.

There's a lot of parsing here.  I have a license to practice insurance, so I can call myself an insurance agent.  If I don't keep up my license, I can't represent anyone until I get it back.  I can spin not having a license however the fuck I want but, if I try to represent an insured in a transaction as an agent, I'm breaking the law.

You say, amid a blizzard of technobabble, that you do not have an active license to practice law.  If you tried to represent someone as a lawyer, you would be breaking the law too.

I used to have a pilot's license; want to jump in a plane with me tomorrow?  I can call myself a pilot if it makes you feel safer.

2286
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 01:17:00 pm »
Three or four solid gold scoring opportunities for Brazil already, and they're losing 1-0.

2287
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 01:11:22 pm »
Already shaping up to be a barnburner.

2288
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 12:57:20 pm »
I've been listening to some of the games in the car on the Spanish radio station (850 AM?) and it is a lot of fun.  I can basically only pick out players and teams' names and the word "pelota" but the energy is fantastic.

I cannot watch games in Spanish without being reminded of this.

2289
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:53:41 am »
Uruguay's plan seemed to be getting crosses in.  Without Cavani to get on the end of them, they were basically offering heading practice to the French defenders.  It got very sad towards the end.

2290
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:33:12 am »
Kante is a one-man midfield (#7 in this clip).

2291
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:29:19 am »
Now it's a matter of watching to see what petty villainy Suarez can get into.

Pogba needs to walk away from any shit going on.  He's on a yellow, and they don't reset until after this game is over.  If he gets one now, he sits out the semi-final.

2292
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:26:58 am »
So horrible for goalies.  A striker hoofs the ball into row z from 4 yards, and it's just a miss.  A goalie makes basically the same kind of error...goal.  Everyone will remember the goalkeeper's error but few will remember the individual wild hacks, mis-kicks and frightful efforts put forth by his teammates at the other end.

Like a closer who gives up nine two runs in an inning to blow the save.  Those same two runs, if conceded the first inning, are lost in the mix.

2293
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:19:21 am »
Oh dear...

2294
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:15:52 am »
It's all gone a little flat.  Stuani < Cavani.

2295
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:06:54 am »
Uruguay are going to have to commit forward, and Mbappe is going to burn them.

2296
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:04:15 am »
We are having a watch party at work today.  I'm the only one out of 8 rooting for Belgium.  Should be fun.  I am even creating a jersey.  One co-worker is wearing her Neymar jersey.

Don't let her near any stairs or sharp objects.

2297
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 10:02:25 am »
Dammit, why aren’t today’s games tomorrow. Best 4 teams playing on Friday sucks.  At least I can cut out early to watch Belgium.

Yep.  The likely winner is coming from this side of the bracket; unless they beat the crap out of each other and someone sneaks in from the other side...

2298
We're talking about attorneys, not Aggies.

Either way, forever tarnished.

2299
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 09:59:59 am »
that block by France's goalie was outstanding!

Hugo Lloris.  Who now may be more famous, not for the save, but because a bug flew in his mouth.  The bug already has its own Twitter account.

2300
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 09:49:31 am »
that block by France's goalie was outstanding!

Not arf!

2301
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 06, 2018, 09:45:38 am »
France taking a 1-0 lead turned this lively game up to 11.

2302
Is attorney-ing like the mafia, where once you get in you can't get out?  My wife is a licensed teacher but hasn't taught since 2013.  She doesn't get to go around telling people she's a teacher.  Splitting hairs, I know.

A man walks into his local pub looking glum and sits down for a few drinks.  The bartender pours him a shot and he slams it and continues with his gloomy demeanor.  The bartender pours another shot – same thing.  After a while the bartender asks the man what’s got him so depressed.

“You see that barn over there?" the man says.  "I built that barn with my own two hands, but do they call me 'William the Barn Builder'? No.”

The bartender is confused but the man continues, “You see that bridge over there? I built that bridge stone by stone with my own two hands, but do they call me 'William the Bridge Builder'? No!"

"You fuck one sheep…”

2303
From Wikipedia:

Quote
Benczkowski's clients [at Kirkland & Ellis] included Alfa-Bank, the largest private commercial bank in Russia.

Natch.

2304
Brian Benczkowski.

I know I'm not going to like his position on many things - that's a given - but it will be interesting to see where he sits on the power of the executive and, of course, Roe.  He will not answer questions on anything of substance, and my fear is that confirming judges is the one thing at which this administration and this congress has demonstrated any competence.  If they've picked a low profile dude (it was always going to be a white dude), we won't know this stuff until it's too late.

Of course, there's fuck-all that can be done about it at this point.  That option was given up in 2014 and 2016.  Thank you no-show voters!

2305
Pruitt resigns.  Apparently 15 separate investigations into ethical violations is one too many.

2306
Yesterday, with a little fuss as possible, the Senate Intelligence Committee dropped a report that confirmed that they agree with the intelligence community’s assessment that Russia interfered in the election, to damage Clinton and boost Trump, and that Putin ordered it.

At the same time as this was happening, a 7-Republican delegation was meeting in Moscow with various Russian counterparts - including every Republican's favorite Russian Sergei Kislyac - where they completely cratered on anything important.  Sen. Shelby actually said out loud that he wasn't there to accusing them of "this or that and so forth".  The Russians described it as the easiest such meeting they've ever had.  I don't think it was a compliment.

Republicans went batshit over Obama bowing to a foreign leader out of respect.  Here, Republicans sucked metres of Russian cock because they had to.  I know which one I think is worse.

As an aside, there were no Democrats in the delegation, an unusual move to say the least, because Russia didn't want them there.  This same trip was postponed previously because it included Democrats, who Russia refused to receive, so Republicans refused to go either in a rare moment of conscience or patriotism.  Now, it seems, they don't give a shit about whatever they gave a shit about a few months ago.

2307
Speaking of the witch being hunted, it's widely expected that Trump will be met with protests at every step during his visit to the UK.  This includes flying a giant angry, cell phone wielding Trump baby blimp over Westminster.

Trump will meet with the Queen and Theresa May (guard your pussies, ladies) but does not have any official engagements anywhere there is any kind of population density.  He does have a golf trip planned to one of his courses in Scotland, where the locals are promising "carnival of resistance".

The visit is sandwiched between Trump pissing off everyone at the NATO meeting in Brussels and meeting Putin (one-on-one, behind closed doors) for his annual review.

2308
Speaking of the witch hunt - more precisely, one of the witch hunters - Michael Avenatti, shocking ones of people, has said he might run for President in 2020.  No word on whether (weather?) Stormy Daniels would be his running mate.

2309
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 05, 2018, 09:02:25 am »
Oh, he didn't VAR the penalty, by the way, it just seemed like it since the Colombians spent five minutes before the penalty kick imploring him to do so.

Just to follow up: all penalties are reviewed by VAR.  That Geiger didn't go over a look at the screen indicates only that the VARistas did not see a "clear and obvious" error that required his attention.

2310
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 05, 2018, 07:18:31 am »
Your analysis of the play and the game coincides perfectly with the UK tabloids and with no one else in the world. All I see when I peruse British commentary on the game is a sad variant of a worn theme - jungle living darkies maul our noble men and how dare they!

The video you shared shows Kane initiating contact and then stumbling and tumbling Neymar style. It was a command performance expertly delivered by canny players in front of an incompetent official. Video shot from the other side of the play, conveniently neglected in your film study, shows Kane's arm around Sanchez's neck and in that view it's even more apparent that the contact was Kane's. Again, literally everyone in the world other than British fans and the media that serves them knows that this was a fucked up penalty and has said so, loudly.

But you know something? That's football. It doesn't bother me all that much that occasionally a referee misses something. Oh, he didn't VAR the penalty, by the way, it just seemed like it since the Colombians spent five minutes before the penalty kick imploring him to do so. The human element is part of the game for better and for worse and I can live with that. What I cannot abide is the faux outrage on the part of English fans everywhere who insist that their fair headed sons were mistreated by shadowy colonials of various remote outpost and indeterminate tongue whilst our men, who, after all, invented the game, and are, let's be frank, better bred, showed stiff upper lip and sterner stuff in the face of furious attack on the part of the uncultured amateurs of sport, what what.

So fuck that. And it disappoints me that you'd fall into what is basically the World Cup equivalent of Trump's MS-13 fiction but you did and you do and so here we are.

I'm not going to get into a back-and-forth over the penalty, because we clearly have very different opinions on it.

I will point out though, that my original post was to criticize Geiger and the only mention of the penalty was the 4 - 5 minutes Geiger allowed the Colombians to harass and harangue him (while they hilarious scuffed up the penalty spot) and all that ended with Henderson getting booked.  It was only later, when you focused in on the penalty incident only, that I responded to that.

I never claimed that the English players were/are paragons of virtue.  Lindgard risked a second yellow for an in-box tumble and Maguire similarly wasn't sanctioned for his easy fall (benefitting from what seemingly appears to be the rule that it's ok if you apologize afterwards).  But had an English player been sent off in that match, while Colombia finished with 11, that would have been a grand injustice had it impacted the result.

Henderson certainly exaggerated the force of the headbutt he got from Barrios.  Playacting is a scourge - it's been calculated that poster child Neymar has already spent 14 minutes rolling on the floor this World Cup.  Yet we have seen numerous moments in this tournament when a player declines to fall over under illegal contact and the referees do not give the foul.  The players are responsible for their own behavior, but gutless refereeing has driven some of that behavior.

The fact that the sport has decided that it's long overdue that they properly police the melee that occurs at every set piece around the box is causing heartburn, but only because we are in the crossover between the new - correct - treatment of such shenanigans, and the modification of ingrained player behavior.  England's Stones was punished for a shove on a defender at a corner; unfortunately, the punishment for an infraction by a defender is far more severe than for one by an attacker.

For the record, to address the above imbalance of consequences, I don't believe that every foul in the penalty area should be a penalty.  Unless the foul denies an obvious goal-scoring opportunity, it should be merely a defendable kick from the spot of the foul (i.e. a wall etc.).  I also think penalties should be given for DOGSOs outside the box.  These two changes would allow referees to be more forthright in punishing infractions in the penalty area because they aren't almost always penalizing the offending team with a goal against them, while address the unfairness of not getting a penalty when being clean on goal but caught just the wrong side of the arbitrary line.

The foul on Kane didn't merit the award of, essentially, a penalty goal; the "foul" on Robben against Mexico a couple of tournaments ago didn't merit one either.  De-emphasise the punishment by eliminating the spot kick as punishment for non-goal denying infractions, and raise the bar as to what is required to give a penalty, and you will help referees by removing at least some of the temptation from players.

2311
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 01:45:47 pm »
This had never occurred to me until I saw it almost happen today: if the kicker hits the woodwork and the ball bounces back and hits the keeper (who is clearly well beyond the goal line) and then bounces back into the goal, does it count? At what point does it become a miss?

The ball is dead after the kick, in that you can’t follow up and put the miss away, but it’s not dead until it’s dead.  Basically, if it goes in somehow from the kick without any additional intervention from the kicker, then it’s good. 

What would be interesting would be if the ball his the frame, careened out, hit the ref and went in.  In normal play, the ref is deemed part of the field so that would be a goal.  I’m not sure if that rule applies to a shootout, as those kicks are handled very differently to penalty kicks in the flow of the game. 


2312
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 01:39:05 pm »
I hope nothing bad happens to the Columbian that hit the crossbar.

Death threats have already been made to him and his teammate whose kick was saved. 

2313
Yesterday, with a little fuss as possible, the Senate Intelligence Committee dropped a report that confirmed that they agree with the intelligence community’s assessment that Russia interfered in the election, to damage Clinton and boost Trump, and that Putin ordered it.

2314
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 01:05:28 pm »
No strangulation.  Just Kane trying to break away from Sanchez’ bear hug

2315
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 12:59:29 pm »
First time in history of history that this phrase has been used.

Certainly the mood at the pub plummeted at light speed with the equalizer going in.  Most have heard half a dozen people mention penalty kicks before play resumed.

I downed two pints just st during the shootout. 

2316
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 12:58:54 pm »
I knew this would be your take, colonials doing mean things to my people, BAD! BAD! SHAME!

If you read Latin press or Colombian press specifically I think you will find a different set of views on the matter.

Or, if you were able to have watched the game in anything approaching an impartial way, you would know that Geiger fucked Colombia at every opportunity. As for the penalty, someone partial to the English team might have seen a dark person doing mean things to a noble, blue-eyed warrior. Apparently Geiger did. Everyone else saw Kane literally strangle Sanchez. I'm not sure how he missed it since he was standing right there oblivious to anything else but what those two were doing. It was almost like he had decided to call a penalty and was going to do that at any possible opportunity regardless of what actually happened.

I've lost count of how many times Geiger has been sanctioned by FIFA and how many international contests he has been made to miss as punishment. It doesn't bother me that he officiates in a shit national league that no one else in the world cares about. It bothers me a tremendous amount that he is continually pressed into service in important international matches. As often as not his matches end in international scandal due to his decisions. Yesterday's game is no different.

I have seen the replay of the penalty incident a number of times and, honestly, all I’ve seen is Sánchez taking a piggyback ride on Kane.  It was reviewed by VAR and upheld.  Conversely, Geiger eschewed VAR on the headbutt incident, which was (1) dumb, and (b) impossible to have made a decision because he never saw it in real time. 

I have seen that Colombians are certain of his bias, but he really did let them off a significant number of cards.  Impartial observers agree on this point.  I don’t think he was biased, I think he is a coward who’s bad at his job. 

I think if Colombia had shown the ambition for the whole game that they showed in the last 10 minutes, they might well have won.  As it was, they didn’t offer much until the end, while England were almost punished for failing to turn their sharper play into more than one goal. 

2317
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 07:20:34 am »
Although I'll be a few million English shit themselves when that first penalty was missed.

1 for 7 all time and 0 for 3 at World Cups before yesterday.

But it felt different yesterday.  The coach had put an emphasis on this at training and they didn’t look like deer in headlights for a change.  Even the saved penalty wasn’t a bad effort; a stark contrast to the weak shit and balls in orbit from previous shootouts.  England es mas macho!

2318
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 04, 2018, 07:12:26 am »
Geiger up to his usual bullshit.

The Colombians were ridiculous, but Geiger’s cowardice allowed the game to spiral out of control.  His refusal to issue cards for clear, rule book offenses meant that Colombia had one or two more players than they should have at the end. 

The headbutt on Henderson was a straight red.  England fans remember Beckham getting a straight red for a mere waft of a leg at an Argentinian so, with VAR, how the fuck was there only a yellow here?  The free kick that was given was for a tackle on Kane when the defender came right through Kane from behind with both feet - a clear yellow card offense, especially as it stopped Kane from bursting into the penalty area, yet no card for the hack.  The kick took 4 minutes to take because of all the shit going on.  At the penalty, despite another 4 or 5 minutes of Colombian nonsense,, Henderson was the only player carded.

Any ref would’ve had trouble yesterday.  Geiger was completely ill-equipped (in the trouser department) to deal with it. 

2319
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 10:52:57 am »
That's a red but not a penalty.  Moot in the end, I suspect.

VAR to the rescue.

2320
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 10:51:23 am »
That's a red but not a penalty.  Moot in the end, I suspect.

2321
What happened to honor among thieves?

What did Trump say after hearing that North Korea has been accelerating its nuclear program all along?

2322
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 10:49:09 am »
I had the same problem with Time Warner a couple of years ago. I asked for the deal on the website; they said they couldn't do that, and I left them. Within three months, I was getting offers for that deal. I haven't returned.

It's so crazy.  If they had come close to the cable-cutting deal, I would've stayed (their internet is faster than AT&T's), but it was that double-whammy of not only not being close, it was not even close to their own best deal.

2323
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 10:07:09 am »
Sweden - Switzerland: two teams who couldn't hit a cow's arse with a banjo.

2324
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 10:06:30 am »
I had an interesting series of calls with XFinity yesterday.  Bottom line: despite being a near 20-year customer, the best deal the "Loyalty Dept." could offer was one that was worse than the deal available on their website.  Ummm...no.

2325
No one is loyal anymore.

When criminals can't even trust each other...

2326
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 03, 2018, 09:21:34 am »

2327
It's a Cohen flip.

The Special Master just released 1.3 million items of Cohen's correspondence to prosecutors.  Purely coincidentally, Cohen is changing his legal representation and ceasing to coordinate with Trump's lawyers; known as the Full Flynn.  At the same time, he's giving interviews where he announced that his decisions will be driven by what's best for his family.

Sounds like a flip to me.

2328
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 03:32:19 pm »
Japan was exceptionally valiant. They were eventually (very eventually) bested by a much better team, but I am a fan now.

In a way, naivety cost them.  A more cynical experienced side would've taken that last corner short, and faffed around with it at the corner flag to try and run out the clock to get to extra time.  They launched it into the middle, despite Belgium's height advantage, Cortois grabbed it and set that breakaway for the goal in motion.

Their decision to keep trying to play and score to the very end is both an incredibly admirable and entertaining quality, and it's also what is sending them home.  Hard to process, even as a neutral.

2329
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 03:20:23 pm »
Japan was great is the short answer. They scored one of the goals of the tournament so far. And they stayed in attack mode. (Did they even sub anybody?) Which almost, almost paid off. But that last corner was a disaster.

Japan used two subs (I think).  Belgium's 2nd and 3rd goals were scored by their subs, Chadli and Fellani.

2330
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 03:18:27 pm »
Good for Japan for such a strong showing.

Yes.  Heartbreak at the end, but that's what good teams do.

2331
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 03:02:14 pm »
What the fucking fuck?

2332
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:32:28 pm »
Very much not dead.

They feel much better...

2333
My problem with Comey commenting was that it was an open investigation. Investigations are rarely to never discussed before they are complete.

And, if there are no charges, they are never discussed beyond saying the investigation is closed.  Comey broke protocol eight ways from Sunday.

2334
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:29:00 pm »
WTF Belgium?!  They were all I had left in my bracket!  Assholes.

Their pressure just yielded a huge stroke of luck.  Just like Neo, they're not out yet.

2335
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:23:08 pm »
That should've been three.

2336
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:20:57 pm »

2337
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:18:20 pm »
Poor Belgium. Japan decides to drop 2 big ones and it's not even on the US.

You could argue that Belgium dropped two huge turds in their own bed.

2338
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 02:10:43 pm »
Holy Fuck!!!

Now 2-0 Japan, and thoroughly merited.

2339
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 01:39:04 pm »
Well, I just called a Belgium - England final so one of us will be disappointed.

Based on today, Brazil look pretty fucking scary.  Southgate may well yet be vindicated for his gamesmanship in the group stage.

2340
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 01:26:06 pm »
I'm going to jinx it go out on a limb and say that, if the game stays at this pace, Belgium will run out of steam before Japan.

2341
Y'all certainly can spin tales.  Comey may have presumed her presidency, but how exactly did he act to "protect" it?  He publicly announced that the investigation yielded nothing (it wasn't cut off), while simultaneously scolding her for carelessness.  All of violation of DOJ policy.  Then, he announces the "restarting" the "investigation" all because he is afraid of the Trump-supporting agents who have leaked the idea that pervert's computer actually has damning evidence to Guiliani (it didn't).  This arguably costs her the election.

The point was that Comey was so convinced of the unassailability of Clinton's position, that it was ok for him to go public with the investigation as it would end up being moot.  He admitted that this was out of fear of the agency looking bad once Hillary won and then, later, the public finding about the investigation.  So, basically, it was all about pre-covering his own arse.

The problem was that Comey fooled himself once and then fooled himself again.  After the first announcement (and unnecessary, headmasterly admonition of Clinton), Trump went full Giuliani such that every sentence he sputtered included a noun, a verb and "emails" (the first two being optional; in Trump syntax).  That should have been enough to warn Comey of the acute sensitivity of announcing the re-opening of the case, but he still did it, likely because he'd boxed himself in with the original proclamation.

2342
This is not right.  The FBI acted to protect the presumed Clinton presidency.  Comey was going to cut any Senate investigation into President Clinton at the knees.  He was 100% certain she was going to win.  The IG ripped him for acting from a political perspective.

Correct.  The FBI's own rule was for them to STFU about all of it; Comey broke that rule on the Clinton investigation...and then some.  Opinion polls moved towards Trump by about 4 points after the announcement of the re-opening of the investigation (Anthony Weiner - the gift that keeps on giving) and Trump won the pivotal states of MI, PA and WI by 0.2%, 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

So, for all of his efforts at whitewashing his actions, and all of the efforts of Russia (whether assisted or not by the Trump campaign), Comey delivered the win to Trump.  Of this I am convinced.

2343
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 10:18:12 am »
Mexico has barely held their own. 0-0 at the half. Also Neymar doesn't seem like the "third" best soccer player in the world to me.

Mexico look like they might nick one on the break but, once in front of goal, they elect the least-best option every time.

2344
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 09:29:53 am »
Mexico - Brazil has already had more excitement than yesterday's two games combined, and it's only 30 minutes in.

2345
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 02, 2018, 06:18:44 am »
So in your wives' imaginations, do you guys reckon that you play the role of Nick?

My wife watches those two fruitcake design twins on Netflix all the time. I'm pretty sure that whatever she may or may not imagine of me does not play into it, but I guess you never really know.

Ronda LOVES Christmas and she loves Hallmark movies because "they have a good heart".  I doubt very much that she's seeing me in those movies or expects me to be that way, in real life she's one of the least sentimental people.  The most obvious example being on our first wedding anniversary, I made her a latte, put it in a nice cup and took it to her in bed, woke her up with a kiss and said "Happy Anniversary, sweetheart!"  She replied "Oh.  Is that today?"

2346
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 09:43:39 pm »
God, my wife watches them constantly.  Especially the Christmas movies.  And it's always the same fucking story:  Some chick named "Holly", high power executive, visits her parents in her old hometown, leaving her fiancé to tend to things in the big city.  She hooks up with her old flame, "Nick", who never left town and is kind to small children and animals.  Son of a bitch...wouldn't you know it, Holly discovers what an asshole her fiancé is and that she's really in love with Nick. They kiss under the mistletoe and live happily ever after.  Every.  Fucking.  Movie.

You forgot that Nick’s wife died a few years ago...at Christmas.  So he is conflicted creating complications in the burgeoning relationship.  Trust me, I have pointed this out.  I have also been told to “shut the fuck up”.  It’s serious business. 

2347
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 07:53:25 pm »
What the hell do you get on the Hallmark channel, Murder, She Wrote?

Ronda watches the movies.  It’s July, so that means the DVR is filling up with Christmas movies. 

2348
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 07:17:23 pm »
We had Playstaion Vue and switched it out for youtube TV.   Same basic premise.   Apparently I can get at least 3 of the regional sports nets through YouTubeTV  so tied with MLB.TV and the fact that the Astros now play in the AL West and don't frequent the Midwest much anymore, I can work my around the blackouts to my satisfaction.

No Hallmark channel on YT, so no go for us. 

2349
Beer and Queso / Re: DIRECTV streaming 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 05:32:38 pm »
Along these lines, I recently tried the Playstation Vue service, using my Apple TV as the conduit for the big TV.  The interface on the Apple TV is a little clunky but functional.  As it's a skinny TV service, that doesn't matter so much as you can elect favorite channels that are listed up front and there's only about 50 channels overall.  You can also set up profiles, so my favorites don't have to overlap with Mrs Limey's.  The picture quality is very good, although live sports gets a little YouTubey, if that makes sense.  The quality of picture / service on a phone/tablet or browser is excellent.

The monthly cost for the package that gets Mrs Limey's Hallmark channels is $55/month (if not for one of the Hallmark channels, we could get everything else we need for $45/month) which includes HD and limitless DVR - and this combines quite nicely with AT&T's internet-only service that's $50/month with contract.  Compare that to Xfinity, which charges $120/month for TV and internet (no more channels that we watch than the PSV lineup), plus $10/month each for two set-top boxes, plus $10/month for DVR, plus $10/month for HD ($160/month if you're keeping score at home).  It would be more if I hadn't invested in my own modem (another $10/month).

Unless XFinity will drop their price, then the switch is coming and the cable is getting cut.  I do need an additional Apple TV for the other TV, but that pays for itself in 2 months at these rates and the old v2 Apple TV in the bedroom is due an upgrade anyway and I can add service to other room simply by adding more Apple TVs.

2350
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 04:56:33 pm »
My umpteenth great grandfather was "Gentleman" Henry Hudson the First, Alderman of London.  He played better defense than Spain, I think

Nicely done!

It seems that he Mark Watneyed his way around the New World, naming a river and bay after himself.

2351
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 04:55:42 pm »
So if all of that action had taken place outside the 18, *then* he would have been given a red?

That's my understanding.  Although, to clarify, I believe to qualify for the lesser card, the offending player has to have been making a genuine attempt on the ball - which I think is true in this case.  If you just take out the attacker to stop the goal, you (should) still get a red.

2352
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 03:51:10 pm »
So now that Spain is out, I guess I'll root for the other side of the family....

Let's go England!!

Typhoid Matty?

2353
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 03:46:00 pm »
I'd like to understand why the Dane didn't get a red card on that. If ever there were a clear instance of "clear and obvious goal-scoring opportunity", that was it.

Double jeopardy rule.  If they give a pen., it reinstates the goal scoring opportunity, so only a yellow. 

2354
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 02:30:58 pm »
If there's one thing Russians are good at, it's siege defense.

Croatia's road just got easier (assuming they handle Denmark), especially since Russia will be exhausted.

Croatia is “Spaining” their way to extra time and penalties. 

2355
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 02:29:52 pm »
Not much of a siege when your opponent just wants to walk around and not attack.

Bingo.  No one to blame but themselves. 

2356
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: July 01, 2018, 11:45:58 am »
Germany out.  Argentina out.  Portugal out.  Now Spain out. 

Wow!

2357
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 07:06:11 pm »
Argentina. But good for the young man.

Agreed.  Reminiscent of Michael Owen at that age.

2358
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 07:04:10 pm »
There appears to be no depth he won’t lower himself to

In moments of desperation, he has resorted to cannibalism.

2359
I don't think it takes any particular political persuasion to understand that Trey Gowdy doesn't want to see any further damage to the reputation of the FBI.

This is Trey Bengowdy, who kept an investigation into Clinton open for over two years, at the cost of millions, yielding no charges (and thus no convictions), only to shutter it the moment she lost the election.  And he wants Mueller to wrap up his multiple indictment, multiple conviction investigation before pending prosecutions have even started?

Can you not smell even that bullshit?

2360
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 10:50:45 am »
Como se dice “Maginot Line” en espanol?

Malvinas?

2361
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 10:30:42 am »
That’s probably true, but as a non soccer fan, it’s a pretty exciting game. And another as I type.

Oh, don’t get me wrong.  I am thoroughly enjoying this.

2362
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 10:24:23 am »
Who knows what the final score will be here.  Both teams are wonderfully bad at defending. 

2363
The investigation has backfired and revealed willful intent on the part of scumbags like Rod Rosenstein, Andrew McCabe and James Comey to adversely affect a candidate for president of the United States. This isn't a coup d'etat, but it's getting damn close. When Strzok said that he'd personally prevent Mr. Trump from becoming president and then acted on it, in my opinion, he crossed the line of criminality.

There are 5...FIVE...convictions to date.  F.I.V.E.

With another dozen individuals and entities under an avalanche of indictments.

That you choose to ignore all of this says so much.  And none if it is good. 

2364
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 30, 2018, 09:20:53 am »
Mbappe is donating his pay from the World Cup to charity.  Which begs the question: Qui es mas charitable?  Mbappe or this Argentinian defense?

2365
I was thinking it usually takes at least 6 months for new legislation to go into effect, even after it's been promulgated.  But yeah, it will be swift.

Apparently the number of states that will see an immediate ban on abortion is 21.  4 have trigger laws that take effect the moment Roe is overturned, 10 have pre-Roe laws still on the books that will become enforceable again and 7 have laws that restrict access to abortion to the bare minimum allowed by SCOTUS.

Oddly, Texas is not one of these states.  So, ironically, Kennedy's retirement has just made all the local and state elections much, much more important.  Because, if things like abortion are going to be up to the individual states, the firewall against losing the right to choose (assuming a Democratic-controlled House that will kibosh and Federal legislation) becomes the state legislatures and governorships.  Lupe Valdez just got a signature issue to run on.

2366
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 29, 2018, 08:27:44 am »
So the bracket is set.  England avoided winning the group when it's B team lost to Belgium's B team.  Belgium get to play Japan but are on the side of the bracket that also includes Brazil, France, Argentina and Portugal.  England, conversely, have a tougher Rof16 opponent - Colombia - but have avoided most of the big names save Spain and Croatia, either of which they can face only in the semi-final.

No games today.  Tomorrow sees France v Argentina in the morning and Uruguay v Portugal in the afternoon - both games are delightfully poised.

2367
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 29, 2018, 08:22:09 am »
There are some really nice looking futbal players on your team.

Yep

2368
Roe v Wade will be overturned in the next 18 months. Abortion will be criminalized in the the next 24. It’s just going to happen. Gay marriage will take a little longer to outlaw, but it’s coming. Followed by sodomy and masturbation.

Sooner than that.  There are dozens of states with laws on the books that are written to kick in the moment Roe is overturned.  They won't need to pass new legislation, it's already locked and loaded.

2370
There is never an honest debate when each opposition party believes their side is absolutely correct and the other side is absolutely wrong. Even when the same result is desired, they argue over methodology. And if you don't totally buy in to one side or the other, you get accused of lacking passion and being apathetic or even cynical.

It's also impossible to take seriously, from the party that has embraced Trump, any complaints about honest debate and civility.

2371
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 11:49:59 am »
Except on the other side you get Sweden or Denmark.  I'd rather go that side.  I'll let England top the group.

Oi!

2372
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 10:53:31 am »
the last 10 minutes of this game were boring.

It's been posited that it would be fantastically ironic if Japan picked up a couple of yellow cards for time wasting as they try to see out this result.

2373
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 10:50:21 am »
Senegal is on the brink of being eliminated by dint of two yellow cards, picked up in time added on to the end of their game with Japan as they clung on to the tie with Japan going hard for the win.  If so: (1) it seems a just result, if only by the thinnest of margins; but (b) Senegal would be the first team ever eliminated by the fair play tie-breaker.

2374
Let's not also forget John McCain and Jeff Flake.  The latter may yet grow a spine to go along with his mouth, and the former may vote against an unfit nominee.

That's 4, at least, flippable Republicans.

2375
This excerpt from Jennifer Rubin's Wapo column is relevant here.  She basically concludes, like those here, that confirmation is likely, but these are weird times, it is an election year, and Trump can certainly step on his very small hands.

You spelled "dick" wrong.

2376
There is no fucking chance in hell that McConnell will stall a vote, even if it was January 19th of a lame duck Republican, let alone a non-Presidential election year. The man has no integrity whatsoever. Likewise, there is no chance in hell that a Republican Senator would not vote to confirm a Republican Supreme Court nominee. I appreciate your optimism, but it’s fantasy.

I am basing my...not optimism...hope(?) on the fact that the female Republican senators helped block healthcare reform because of the horrendous effect it would have on women's health.  I see a SCOTUS vote as being part of the same issue.  I would not be surprised to be proved wrong, but that doesn't mean that I am going to be resigned to that fate.

2377
His replacement will be in seat before the upcoming election.  The timing could not have been worse for Democrats, pending blue wave or not.

The plan seems to be crystallising to use the new "McConnell Rule" to deny consideration of a SCOTUS nominee in an election year.  That might work if McConnell had any shame, which he doesn't.  It's also an intellectual argument which - no offense - is not going to resonate with the public.

The other option is to get Collins or Murkowski - who people may not remember as being pivotal to the failure of healthcare reform because John McCain's theatrics sucked up all the coverage (as it was intended to do) - to vote against anyone not demonstrably pro-choice or at least properly agnostic on the matter.  Their votes against healthcare reform were due to justifiable concerns about the effect on women's health, and this is very much inside that Venn.

Trump vowed to nominate only anti-choice Justices, so even though they will duck and dodge questions about their position on Roe, we must hope that Trump remains Trump and torpedoes his own nominee by touting their stance on this.

Also, control of the Senate after 2018 is not certain, even if there's a blue wave.  The fight is here and now.

2378
I am consoling myself with the thought that the timing of this resignation is precisely because Kennedy (or those who persuaded him) are pretty certain of the coming blue wave.

James Comey's decisions to talk - early and often - about the Clinton email investigation (and not about the far more serious one into Trump running simultaneously therewith), was driven by his certitude that she was a shoo-in.

Trump said of Kennedy that he (Trump) appreciates the confidence that the Justice put in him to nominate his successor - thus ensuring the Trump stank all over him like he was a porn star / playboy model / random woman in grabbing distance.

2379
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 08:30:08 am »
The used to reset after the group stage, but the heartbreaking episode of a crying Gazza - having an on-field emotional meltdown for collecting the yellow card (courtesy of some fine exaggeration by a German) that would have seen him suspended for the final had England not lost on penalties (natch).

2380
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 06:54:01 am »
I understand that one side of the bracket has the more glamorous names, but based on what I've seen so far, people overlook Croatia (and even Sweden) at their own peril.

I am presuming that, after the Iceland debacle, England isn't overlooking anyone.  Eh?  Oh.

2381
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 28, 2018, 06:18:10 am »
Ideally both England and Belgium will come out strong tomorrow because I would like to have a better idea of what I'm looking at with both teams. I'm a believer in Belgium and have been very impressed with England but it's not as if they've been up against the stiffest competition so far.

I am with you on neither team yet being tested.  Unfortunately, I doubt that today is going to show us anything.  Still, I'll be watching it at a Twin Peaks, so if I get bored with watching a bunch of boobs running around, I'll be able to watch a bunch of boobs running around.

2382
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 09:59:34 pm »
Personally I would not want to play Senegal, inconsistent but deadly when they are on

For sure, no easy games (England made the mistake of looking past Iceland in the Euros in 2016), but much better to let the other major sides knock each other out and risk playing the wildcard... and Spain in the semis.  Once you're in the final, anything can happen.

A win is a win.  Although, it must be said, doing it the hard way - like going through Boston, NY and LA - lends more than a strong whiff of legitimacy to it.

2383
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 09:27:13 pm »
Why is this? Certainly nobody in the other group against which they'll be matched in the next round is particularly frightening. Is it because the next round would feature a likely matchup with Brazil?

One side of the draw - the side the Group G winner goes into - has France, Brazil, Argentina and Portugal.  The other side has Spain.

2384
Exactly, just because they've had a whole lot of close associates die (far more than anyone else I know of outside of the mafia) under abnormal circumstances, doesn't mean they had anything to do with it. That is just such a reach and I'm not suggesting anything but that there are numbers there. Some on the dark side would say that's just doing business...

OR...if everyone around you - from cabinet members to campaign members to family members - has had meetings with Russians that were only disclosed under duress...

2385
This is such horseshit on many different levels. First, prior presidents engaged in this practice. The pictures while President Obama was in office are undeniable. President Trump actually acted unilaterally to end the practice, and several of your helpful comrades complained that he lacked the authority to do the very thing about which they were complaining! Will anything he does ever make you happy?  And to baldly accuse the other side of murderous intent and capability is laughable, hypocritical and sad, particularly since the string of deaths around the Clintons is so long.

As to the situation with kids at the border, Obama was confronted by an epidemic of UNACCOMPANIED children showing up, and came up with a far from ideal method of handling them.  Trump, CREATED the unaccompanied children by taking them away from their parents.  That was entirely new and entirely the choice of Trump and his administration. 

The two scenarios are completely different - one forced and one by choice - so you can take your false equivalence and shove it.

As to murderous intent, if that was a reference to my comment that people will die, then you're misrepresenting what I said.  My reference was to the fact that women die when access to safe, legal abortions is taken away.  There is no doubt about this.  I never said murderous and I never said intent.  That was all you.

2386
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 07:29:44 pm »
So, tomorrow.  Group G.  Both England and Belgium are through; they play each other; and neither wants to win the group.  England are top by dint of fewer yellow cards - 2 vs. Belgium's 3.

The tactics and shenanigans to avoid winning and/or picking up many, many yellow cards should make this a farce of a game.  Comedy gold.

For the record, England's coach says he wants to win.

2387
The real travesty lies, like so many things, with Mitch McConnell.

McConnell will go down in history as a Buchanan-like figure; he didn't perpetrate the horrors that are to come, but he laid the groundwork for them to happen. 

2388
It’s gonna be more than that. Kennedy is right-leaning, mostly conservative. Trumps first two SCOTUS picks will be replacing other conservatives. But there’s a pretty good bet he’ll get to replace at least two more, both of whom are liberals. Trump will have appointed 4 out of the 9 judges, who will be in place for the next 40 years.

Kennedy was the vote keeping abortion rights and allowing gay marriage.  Trump's next nominee is going to vote against both of those things and 30+ states have "trigger laws" that mean that as soon as SCOTUS overturns Roe, abortion becomes illegal immediately.  That very moment.  Gone.

I agree that Trump defining the court for a generation or two is horrific, but the immediate impact will be literally deadly.

2389
And Kennedy is retiring.  Somehow I don't think the "too close to an election" rule will apply here.

This is seismic and will have profound and lasting effects for generations.

The ONE thing the Senate has been doing with ruthless efficiency, is confirming young, conservative Federal judges.  They are at a record-breaking pace; to the point that they will have confirmed about 50% of all sitting appellant court judges just in the first two years of Trump's term.

Another seat on SCOTUS is the cherry on the icing on that cake.  Even if there's a blue wave this year and again in 2020, sweeping Democrats into control of two of the three branches of government, conservatives will have a stranglehold on the third branch for a generation at least, with the ability to undo much of what Democrats can get done, and roll back things like a woman's right to choose.  #Gilead

2390
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 01:58:55 pm »
Serbia going out as it stands.  They need to come from behind to beat Brazil to stay in (and put Brazil out).

2391
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 01:08:31 pm »
Football, especially the World Cup, makes for strange bedfellows.  I have no reason to like Serbia as a team or as a country, except...

1)  They're playing Brazil, and who wouldn't want to be in the position of being in a tournament from which Germany and Brazil have already been eliminated; and

2)  Luka Milivojevic is the girded loins of my beloved Crystal Palace.


The only other thing that's Serbia-related that I've liked, is Man Utd's fans' chant for their thuggish Serbian defender Nemanja Vidić.  To the tune of Dean Martin's "Volare", they sang:

Ne-man-ja, oh-oh-oh oh
Ne-man-ja, oh-oh-oh oh

He comes from Serbia
He'll fuh-king murder ya!

Repeat until bored or Vidić is sent off.

2392
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 12:28:31 pm »
Fate, it seems, is not without a sense of irony.

On this day in 2010, Germany put England out of the World Cup when this goal was chalked off by a corrupt myopic referee.  At that point in the match, Germany had taken a 2-goal lead, England pulled one back and that that "goal" would've been England's second in as many minutes.

The momentum was all with England at the time, and the waiving off of that goal - at 2-1 - killed England's mojo.  Germany eventually ran out 4-1 winners, but there is no doubt that this moment made an immense difference in how the rest of the match played out.

Today, Korea (and Mexico) almost suffered the same fate, as the on-field officials were about to chalk off a perfectly good goal.  VAR reversed the call on the pitch, and the rest - along with Germany's 2018 World Cup - is history.

2393
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 11:51:16 am »
It definitely works sometimes in hockey, though I have no data on the actual success rate, and I am certain it's far lower than the percentage of empty net goals surrendered.

I can't remember seeing it in soccer before, at least not with the keeper that far forward. Mexico used to move their keeper up to midfield back in the 90s (forget his name) and sometimes substitute in net so that he could attack full-time late in games, IIRC.

The difference is that, in hockey, they add an extra outfield player; in soccer, it's just the goalie loafing around trying to occupy a defender and otherwise be a nuisance.

2394
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 11:49:42 am »
In hockey or soccer, I don't recall having ever seen that work to the advantage of the "pulling" team. Most of the time it backfires.

Dunno about hockey, but in futbol, it's almost always a non-event.  I think I've seen marginally more empty-netters than I've seen goals resulting from having a goalie marauding forward.

2395
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:56:57 am »
Germany "pull" the goalie - pushing Nueur up front - and get caught.  Son with the tap in for 2-0.

The reigning champs are out, Mexico go on. 

2396
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:54:27 am »
And now it's 1-0 in favor of S Korea.

VAR to the rescue; the video replay rightly reversed the offside call as the ball was played through to the Korean by a German.

2397
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:51:27 am »
That.  Is.  A.  Goal!

2398
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:46:47 am »
That German coach creeps me out.

In which orifice is he jamming his fingers today?

2399
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:45:25 am »
5 mins (plus stoppages) to play; Germany look likely to score at anytime, but also likely to concede one on the break.  Everyone looks dead on their feet.

2400
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 27, 2018, 10:36:59 am »
Mexico is choking on Sweden's cock. 0-3

They need South Korea to hang on against the Germans, which they are doing (desperately) as I type.  As it stands, Mexico are still in and Germany (and South Korea - who cannot go through now) are out; a German goal flips that.

2401
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 26, 2018, 03:15:22 pm »
I was watching both games and really wanted Iceland to get the second goal and boot Argentina from the tournament but it just wasn't to be. Croatia still looks like one of the best teams at the tournament. Argentina will be playing France in the knockouts and I cant see them getting past the French, I'd predict 3-1. Croatia will now play Denmark, I think it'll be a tight croatia win, I could see a 1-0 here.

Yeah, even if Argentina get their shit together, I still think France will be too strong.  Denmark was the best of three second choice teams in that group (or the one second choice with two third choice teams), and really don't look to have the chops to handle Croatia.

2402
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 26, 2018, 02:58:33 pm »
Iceland went down to Croatia, meaning that the 2nd slot was down to the Nigerians and Argentinians.  Could Nigeria avoid its 5th successive World Cup defeat to Argentina?  No.

In a wild game, in which Argentina played with passion and their boots on the wrong feet, while Nigeria were full of running and woeful finishing (save Moses' ice cold penalty), it ended 2-1 Argentina, with Rojo sealing the win with a blast of a volley as the clock ticked towards full time.

Nigeria got one penalty, could have had a few more, but really only have themselves to blame as they missed a boat load of opportunities.  Argentina got a moment of sheer brilliance from Messi for their first goal and a fine finish against an absent defense for the winner.

#drama

2403
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 26, 2018, 11:19:19 am »
This morning, Australia could pip Denmark to the 2nd spot behind France who are already through, if they can beat Peru and hope that France can be bothered enough to beat Denmark.

No dramas this morning:  France and Denmark played to the tournament's first 0-0 draw, which confirmed them both through, while Australia made that moot by losing 2-0 to Peru.

Interestingly, France may have just booked themselves a Rof16 date with Argentina, which may or may not be a good thing depending on which (and if) Argentina shows up.  We will find out later today...

2404
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 26, 2018, 08:33:50 am »
Here's a handy primer on the group qualification permutations.

This morning, Australia could pip Denmark to the 2nd spot behind France who are already through, if they can beat Peru and hope that France can be bothered enough to beat Denmark.

This afternoon is much more interesting.  Croatia, on the back of their 3-0 thumping of Argentina, have qualified, while the other three teams are in the hunt for the other spot.  Nigeria appears to be in the driver's seat, needing a mere point, but I'll quote the above-linked primer to explain the chaos:

Quote
A draw against Argentina will be enough for Nigeria, provided that Iceland don’t beat Croatia. Iceland need Argentina and Nigeria to draw, and then if they can beat Croatia by two goals or more they can just about edge out Nigeria. Argentina need to win, and hope Iceland don’t beat Croatia. If Iceland and Argentina both win, it would come down to goal difference between the pair. Get the abacus out.

2405
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 01:22:01 pm »
And would you believe it, Spain are losing!

And then they aren’t!  1-1 after a stonking goal by Isco. 

2406
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 01:16:22 pm »
And would you believe it, Spain are losing!

2407
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 09:59:15 am »
Russia has thrown in the towel, subbing off their best player and letting Uruguay play keep-ball.  Saudi Arabia has been awarded two penalties and has scored one, currently tied with Egypt who were given a 1-0 lead by Mo Salah.

2408
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 09:43:57 am »
The red-carded Russian was Smolnikov; which makes me want to have a bloody mary.

2409
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 09:39:47 am »
Russia appears to be suffering from a bad case of roid rage the Mondays, as they implode against Uruguay, who are beating them 2-0 with Russia shortly thereafter reduced to 10 men.  About an hour left to play.

Russia has qualified anyway, and being runner up they get to play their next game in Moscow against either Spain or Portugal, so it's not such a bad thing.  The suspension of their first choice right back may hurt them, though, and they're also being shown perhaps to have flattered to deceive against Saudi and Egypt who, as it turns out, are both pants.

2410
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 09:31:52 am »
Since Spain beat Iran head to head I thought that would settle it. They would both have 4 points while Portugal would have 5.  What did I miss?

They look at goal difference and goals scored before they look at the head-to-head.  Spain's GD is +1 while Iran's is 0, so if Spain lose by 2 goals, they will have 4 points while their GD drops to -1.  If Iran ties Portugal, whatever the goal tally, they get to 4 points while their GD stays at 0, beating Spain on that measure.

If Spain loses by 1 goal, they will have 4 points and a GD of 0, same as Iran if Iran ties Portugal.  So the next tie-breaker is goals scored, which Spain has 4 (plus whatever they score today) and Iran has 1.  So, to win the goals scored tie-breaker, Iran will need to score 3 goals PLUS match Spain's tally today.  So we're looking at a 3-3, 4-4 or more tie with Portugal, which is inconceivable; if they score that many goals they really should be winning that match (and the Portuguese should throw themselves into the Volga in shame).

Iran loses the next tie-breaker regardless (head-to-head) so, barring a major collapse by Spain against Morocco (who are better than their zero points suggest), Iran's goose is cooked.

2411
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 25, 2018, 06:53:35 am »
That is the way I read it. Iran would have to beat Portugal, though. Any other result leaves them out.

Iran can qualify from Group B with a tie with Portugal, if Spain loses to Morocco.  Unlikely, but still a permutation.  To complicate it further, the Iran tie scenario also requires Spain to lose by 2 goals or, if it's only by 1, Iran has to score 3 goals more than Spain today.  So, yeah, Iran has to beat Portugal.

In the other Group being decided today, Group A, there are two dead rubbers.  Uruguay and Russia are both through, and play each other for the somewhat meaningless privilege of topping the group.  They match up against the qualifiers from Group B (above), so they will play either Spain or Portugal, and they cannot tell who that will be as the order of that group won't be decided until later in the day.  I.e. don't bother watching any of this morning's games.

2412
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 24, 2018, 04:47:15 pm »
So how would they break a tie in a group should two teams have the same record, having tied each other, the same number of goals scored, goals allowed and goal differential?  I’m looking at Spain and Portugal in particular. I know they each have another group match, but what if they both win 1-0?

Here's the full list of tie-breakers, but after goal difference, goals scored etc., they look at the disciplinary records of the teams - which is why England top Ground G currently - and then draw lots if still tied.

In both the Spain-Portugal and England-Belgium situations, both teams have qualified for the knockout stages so it's all about seeding in the Round of 16.  There's a debate that England might want to tank the Belgium game because they would thus avoid Brazil or Germany in the quarters (overlooking, of course, Colombia - probably - in the Rof16, which worked so well against Iceland in the Euros) but they way games are going, it's impossible to predict outcomes.  The advantage for England and Belgium is that they play last of all the groups, so they will be able to strategize their match accordingly if they so choose.

I think you just win, baby, and let the chips fall where they may.  Germany look beatable, Brazil look beatable and, avoiding them puts you in the bracket with Mexico, who look pretty fired up.  Be careful who you wish for...

2413
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 24, 2018, 08:17:30 am »
I’m sorry for Chuck that this is unfolding the way it is, but Panama’s tactics have been Neanderthal and ugly. 

2414
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 21, 2018, 03:54:03 pm »
3-0 Now. Argintine fans in the stands are crying. Maradona is crying.

Sorry I missed that.  Fuck that stumpy cheat. 

2415
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 16, 2018, 10:07:45 am »
Iceland! 1-1 draw with Argentina.

[Golf Viking Clap]

2416
Oh, and after Sarah Sanders’ to-the-core sickening defense yesterday of the Trump administration’s evil policy to rip kids away from their asylum-seeking parents - including one who was literally wrenched from its mother’s breast whilst feeding - the administration has admitted to separating 2,000 kids from their parents in the last six weeks. 

Two. Thousand. 

They are going to house them in a tent city set up on a military base in Texas.  In the summer.  In tents. In Texas. 

This is an episode of Black Mirror, right?   It’s going to be over soon, right?

2417
Update to the legal jeopardy update:

Part Deux:

Cohen just lost his bid to have a restraining order imposed on Stormy Daniels’ lawyer Michael Avenatti.  Cohen really is a shit lawyer.

Also, today is/was the deadline for objections to the release to the NY A.G. of the 99%+ of materials seized from Cohen that have been found not to be privileged communications.  Even his clients didn’t want Cohen lawyering for them, it seems. 

Meanwhile, Trump called the FBI "scum" and said that the DOJ’s IG report exonerated him which is an outlandish stretch even for him.  #TheMostPresidential

2418
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 15, 2018, 03:11:18 pm »
Hello! My name is Cristiano Ronaldo. You fined me $22M. Prepare to die!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Bet they wish they’d jailed him now. 

2419
Update to the legal jeopardy update:

They just put Manafort in jail pending trial(s).  When it was suggested that Manafort could be released with new restrictions the judge said “This isn’t middle school; I can’t just take your phone away.”

Trump today said he hardly knew the guy, while also lying about Manafort’s role and how long he performed it.

2420
Trump legal jeopardy standings:

Mueller investigation
22 individuals or entities indicted
~90 charges brought (about half on Manafort alone)
5 guilty pleas, including NSA Mike Flynn (remember him) as well as Deputy Campaign Chairman and long-time Manafort side-kick Rick Gates
Manafort himself goes on trial in July and then again in September, in both cases facing mountains of documentary and personal testimony against him from Rick Gates et al


Trump Foundation
Suit filed by the NY A.G. against the foundation, Trump and the Trumpettes (Jr., Ivanka and Eric) for persistent self-dealing and illegally using charitable funds for campaign purposes
NY A.G. also referred its findings to the FEC and the IRS from which could stem serious (jailable) charges


Cohen Investigation
As discussed above, Cohen now making all the moves of a man about to roll over
Internal White House sources claim that this matter scares them far more than Mueller’s investigation


Defamation Suit
The appeals court in this suit against Trump by a contestant on The Apprentice is now the third court to rule against Trump’s efforts to terminate the suit
There is now nothing to stop the commencement of the discovery phase which could bring into the public domain all the outtakes from the NBC show which are reported to be seriously damning


Stormy Daniels Suit
Remember this one?   It’s still around, still moving forward and still likely to result in Trump getting subpoenaed


Did I miss anything?   I remember an anonymous CIA agent quoted (not long after Trump was elected and went on his shit-on-law-enforcement tour) that he (Trump) would “die in jail”.  I’m starting to see how that could happen.

2421
Michael Cohen is about to get buried.  The Special Master has found less than 1% of the documents seized to be privileged, so every sordid, criminal thing this piece of shit has done is about to get released to the NY AG's office.  That last part is important, because Trump can't pardon Cohen for state crimes.  The deadline for objections from Cohen's legal team expires tomorrow.

Speaking of which, Cohen's legal team is exiting stage left.  Experts suggest that this is a precursor to Cohen rolling on Trump, and it's exactly how things went down with Flynn all those months ago.  Cohen is facing decades in jail, financial ruin and no pardon in sight.  He's also been disavowed by the man he'd take a bullet for, and is reportedly feeling very alone and angry*.

Between this and Manafort's impending date with an orange jumpsuit, and back-to-back trials starting in July, things are going to get very crazy very quickly.


* This was news to me only because I assumed that "alone and angry" was Cohen's default state.

2422
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2026
« on: June 13, 2018, 06:18:20 pm »
According to my source for all things futbol, the FIFA announcement said that the automatic bid issue was still to be determined, but a resolution would be reached within "the next few weeks".

Check’s in the mail. 

2423
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2026
« on: June 13, 2018, 01:28:10 pm »
My faith in USMNT's unlimited ability to fuck up simple tasks exceeds your faith in FIFA's fix.

There is a moment here, to do a Germany, and identify a core of young talent (+/- 20 years old) around which to build a winning team for 2026.  Groom them and blood them and let them grow together over the next 8 years. 

Let’s see if they take it.

2424
Beer and Queso / World Cup 2026
« on: June 13, 2018, 10:46:26 am »
Congratulations Team USA for qualifying for the 2026 finals.

In other news, my email has been blowing up with enquiries about the status of my spare room(s).

2425
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 13, 2018, 10:44:39 am »
Spain cans their manager a day before the tournament.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/soccer/2018/06/13/spain-julen-lopetegui-fired-world-cup/697166002/

This is seriously crazy.  And I say this as a fan of Crystal Palace, who has made a habit of such things. 

2426
Beer and Queso / Re: World Cup 2018
« on: June 12, 2018, 11:03:57 am »
Panama may get a gift if England slips on the banana skin that is its opening fixture against Tunisia (something England has a storied history of doing at international finals tournaments).  If Tunisia wins that game, it blows the whole group wide open for everyone.  Belgium is very, very good.

The Portugal / Spain / Iran / Morocco group is the closest we have to a  “Group of Death” this time around.  Iran and Morocco purport to be hard to break down, so the one of the big two might take out the other in their head to head if they fail to put the minnows to the sword. 

VAR is likely to be a disaster as it’s been a disaster already and many of the match officials at the tournament have never used it in a live game.  The VAR officials in the booth in Moscow - the Varistas? - will be wearing full kit, however, so that’ll help. 

2427
The rationalizations required to avoid reaching the conclusion that Trump is working for Putin must really be something.

It's the same mental gymnastics that allows evangelicals to be pro-Trump, anti-immigration, pro-death penalty and anti-healthcare, to name but a few contradictions.

2428
Republicans don’t care if he rapes 12-year olds. His base would brag about how biblical that rape was.

Giuliani has already posited the hypothetical extreme that Trump could have shot James Comey in the White House and still would be able to quash any investigation of it and pardon himself for it.  Long live King Trump!

2429
If Dan Patrick somehow becomes governor, I am out of here.

Do it quickly, before he starts removing the exits.

2430
We are talking about a guy who sent the troops to observe Jade Helm to make sure Obama wasn’t planning on invading Texas. He is a fucking dumbass.

The devolution of the Texas governorship continues:  Bush to his Lieutenant Perry to his Lieutenant Abbot.  I don't need to remind you that Abbot's Lieutenant is Dan Patrick.  It's like the evolution of man cartoon in reverse.

2431
Catching up on yesterdays news:

- Cambridge Analytica admitted that it used the pilfered Facebook data, presumably including in its efforts to influence the 2016 US election (and Brexit).

- Cambridge Analytica had meetings with, offered help to and funneled money to Wikileaks for its efforts to disseminate the emails stolen by Russian intelligence.

When you step back and realize that CA was, while all this was going on, being paid by the Trump campaign, was being run by Trump Campaign Chairman Steve Bannon and was funded by major Trump donor Robert Mercer, it's hard to reconcile that there was "no collusion".

- On the collusion front, a senior Trump campaign and now White House advisor has been busted for setting up meetings between the campaign and a Russian who was promising to be able to get Trump and Putin together to discuss Trump Tower Moscow.  That senior advisor's name?  Ivanka.

- Scott Pruitt broke a Federal law about not using your office to endorse a private business while defending himself on camera about breaking a Federal law about not using your office for personal gain.

- Oh, and in case you hadn't seen it, Water Bottle-a-Lago.

2432
After they went from No Collusion! to I Can Pardon Myself! so swiftly I sort of thought they'd stop there or at least the self-pardon float was some sort of end point. Shows what I know.

It looks like things are accelerating against them - Cohen's world is about to be laid wide open and Manafort is about to go to jail - so they are having to accelerate the pre-gaslighting of their supporters.

2433
Giuliani, today, accused Mueller of trying to frame Trump.  Yep, we’ve reached the last straw to be grabbed.

Also today, a State Department spokesperson responded to a question about the state of U.S. - German relations by claiming all is well, citing today being the anniversary of the D-Day landings.  #TheBestPeople

2434
Two really big things happened amidst the incessant pneumatic drilling that is the noise around the Russia investigation:

1) Manafort is about to get his chain yanked - maybe directly to jail - because he’s been contacting potential witnesses to coach their testimony.  Watch out for the corn hole, bud!

And b) The Special Master has completed reviewing hundreds of thousands of pieces of communication seized in the raids on Cohen, and is finding ones of them to be privileged or “highly personal”.  Shocking when you remember that Cohen’s vast client base consisted of three scumbags who all disavowed him as doing any meaningful work for him. 

Cohen’s lawyers have been reviewing all the same documents and the judge has given them until the end of next week to come back with any challenges.  That’s going to be the day when the Trump-Cohen dealings are going to be laid bare for prosecutors to see.  Manafort could be in jail by the end of this week. 

Any surprise, therefore, that Team Trump is talking about pardon power?

This is speeding up towards the end game. 

2435
Beer and Queso / Re: Rockets
« on: May 30, 2018, 06:55:32 pm »
What you see is what the league wants.

They want east coast vs. west coast.  Houston teams are cursed by their location.

Of course, the league's thumb on the scale has spared us the image of Fertita's gurning mug, while he cuddles the trophy* like its an endangered species he wants to put on display in one of his restaurants.

* As if they would ever let the Rockets beat LeBron.

2436
By now, everyone has heard of Roseanne's moronic shit, and today, Trump follows it with an inane missive about how ABC should apologize to him.  OK, it makes zero fucking sense, but it's Trump, so I excuse it to his typical lunacy.  Now I read that Sanders is serious about this, making it an issue.  In that world, Roseanne's racism means that ABC should apologize to Trump. 

I get that this probably makes sense to some morons in Trump's base, who can only see the world through their extremely warped victimhood blinders, but this is insane.  Seriously fucking insane.


It's often hard to step back and see the big picture - of the world's most privileged individuals acting like its most put-upon caste - but episodes like this allow that to happen.

2437
Beer and Queso / Re: Rockets
« on: May 29, 2018, 06:42:07 am »
The Rockets should have won this series.

What was required in both games 6 and 7 was for then tio simply play their game with energy.

Maybe they got tired,  maybe the fog of war affected their judgment, maybe they just aren't very smart in a basketball IQ sense, maybe they aren't mentally tough.

Whatever.

They fucking blew it

Of course, the refs didn’t throw all those bricks from behind the arc, or make the Warriors drain everything they tossed up but, when the Rockets were looking to pull away in the 2nd qtr, the refs choked them down by not calling shooting fouls on Harden - even on one he actually drained - robbing the Rockets of points and momentum.  They ensured the Warriors stayed close at the half, which allowed GS to do their thing in the 3rd. 

Also, there’s a video going around where - with the scores close early in Q2 - the Warriors missed a shot and we’re given 2 points anyway.  The clip continues well into the Rockets’ possession, and it’s not corrected. 

With all those bricked 3-point shots, the refs still were the deciding factor. 

I will return to not watching the NBA. Sorry Rockets, you’re a good bunch of lads, but the pro game is a joke. 

2438
Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, who claims that gun control measures aren’t feasible, suggests that the state needs to look at redesigning all schools to limit the number of entrances.


Yes, I’m happy that my tax dollars will go towards reconstructing every school in the state to resemble a SuperMax facility.  It’s a sensible use of resources and avoids upsetting the snowflakes at the NRA and Fox News. 

2439
Today, House Republicans failed to pass the farm bill.  The.  Farm.  Bill.

If there was any justice, they would be voted out of power for a generation. 

2440
The Qatar shakedown should be the biggest scandal in a generation, but instead, it's just one of many Thursday night stories. The scale of corruption overwhelms even those that care. Those that aren't bothered, I don't begin to understand.

I agree.  Although I think the scale of corruption is overwhelming the media’s ability to deal with it too, partly because of their flawed preference for balance.  Sometimes, one side is right and one side is not, and both don’t merit equal weight. 

In the meantime, I think the shakedown model is going to be the common thread emerging in many/most of the Trump scandals.  Think about the fact that Cohen was hitting up Fortune 500 companies for contracts to be their Trump Whosperer; then recognize that some did and some didn’t go along; then think back to the transition, when Trump would randomly tweet @ a major corporation and send their stock price plummeting.  Does anyone think that we (Mueller) won’t find an almost perfect correlation between the refuseniks and the recipients of negative tweets from the President-Elect?

The stripping naked of Michael Cohen is going to reveal the entire scheme.  I think Michael Avenatti knows this for a fact, which is why he has repeatedly foreshadowed such (well, that and because it gets himself on TV). 

2441
While the volume, seriousness and speed at which Trump shit comes at us, today was a notable day which is notable in itself given that it follows on from the day on which Trump fessed up to the Stormy Daniels payment and got referred to the DOJ as a result. 

Today the pay-for-play shakedown of Qatar was laid bare; the efforts towards getting a Trump Moscow green lit were revealed to have been far greater than previously thought and ongoing far deeper into the campaign that previously thought - including Cohen dealing with some of the very Russians named by Mueller as being part of Russia’s Team Trump in the election; and Mueller got another set of guilty pleas and a cooperating witness in the form of Manafort’s former son-in-law.

Oh, and Trump called some Mexicans “animals”. 

2442
I wish I shared your confidence. Don't get me wrong: I'm quite confident that Mueller will detail a multitude of crimes so significant that in normal times the perps would be locked for multiple lifetimes. But I'm really afraid that TrumpCo's campaign to discredit the investigation has gained sufficient traction to prevent any action from being taken.

TrumpCo’s bluster serves to keep the base in line.  It won’t impact the legal cogs that are turning. 

To wit, Mueller interviewed - last November- AT&T, Novartis and the Russian Vekselberg.  When it all comes down, the 60% of us who haven’t drunk Trump’s kook aid will be more than enthusiastic about rounding them all up and throwing them in jail. 

2443
There's a lot to like in this whole Essential Consultants deal, not least of which is that it served as a vehicle through which giant multinational corporations blatantly and brazenly sent bribes to the president of the country.  But I think so far the thing I like best is that it was receiving hundreds of thousands of dollars in funds from Russian organized crime AFTER the investigation into Russian interference had officially begun.

This is a heady mix of arrogance and stupidity. And the funny thing is, we haven't even really scratched the surface of what these bungling fuckwits were really up to. All this latest information is directly attributable to the lawyer of a porn star that the president fucked and then paid for silence. And it's crazy that that bit isn't even scandalous. God knows what we'll find out when Nikolett's attorney shows up on Twitter or when it gets revealed that it was really Trump who knocked up that Playboy model. Wonder how Franklin Graham will spin that one.

The very bestist part is that Bob Mueller has had all this information for weeks now, at least.  Avenatti has been saying for a while that the Stormy Affair will bring down Trump, and now we know how...by being a back door into the rampant money laundering that's been the business model of the Trump Organization since they stopped borrowing money to buy real estate in 2006 and started using found cash.

They're all going to jail.

2444
Essential Consultants, LLC may not be the smoking gun, but it's covered in gunpowder residue and stinks of cordite.

2445
Beer and Queso / Re: free at last from spectrum
« on: May 08, 2018, 08:01:44 pm »
do you remember fireball x l 5

Too young to remember XL-5, but not UFO*, Singray, Thunderbirds, Captain Scarlet, Space 1999 and - breaking an impressive streak - the God-awful Terrahawks. 

* Sci-Fi and Gabrielle Drake was a heady mix for a young lad!

2446
Beer and Queso / Re: free at last from spectrum
« on: May 07, 2018, 07:53:35 pm »

2448
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: May 04, 2018, 09:24:08 pm »
Why haven’t half the Agents of Shield crumbled to dust?

2449
In two separate soft-ball interviews on Fox, Rudd Giuliani managed to tie Trump to the Stormy Daniels payment and also tie the payment to the election.  Add these to his guest appearance in the Muslim Ban debate, when his public confirmation that it was a Muslim Ban was used in court to block it, and he’s the gift the keeps on giving. 

2450
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: May 02, 2018, 11:14:44 am »
That was really well done. Especially Thanos.  Not a one dimensional arch villain.  Those writers are good.

I was worried about my 10 year old but he took it all in stride (when we saw Civil War he thought Capt America killed Tony Stark when he smashed the generator thing with his shield,  took me awhile to calm him down).

The looper you tube videos helped fill in some blanks for me.

I'm guessing Dr Strange saw it all and knew he had to give the time stone to Thanos.

Agreed.  Thanos’ motivation is twisted but still better than most super villains who want to destroy the world / universe just because. 

Dr. Strange uncryptically stated that this was the winning strategy just before he crumbled. 

2451
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: May 02, 2018, 09:24:46 am »
Captain Marvel is a she? Well it is 2018.

Brie Larson is debuting as Captain Marvel next spring (prior to Infinity War Part Deux).  It will be a back-story piece based in the 90s, I understand.  I’m also assuming that Ant Man and the Wasp will explain their absence from Infinity War Jong-Un, and set them up for cavalry duty next summer. 

2452
Beer and Queso / Re: Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: May 02, 2018, 08:42:29 am »
No surprise.  Ruffalo gave it away last year.

I try and stay away from spoilers etc. 

I watched a YouTube clip explaining the ending and, it seems, this is following very closely to the comic book, even to the point of mimicking some of the actual panels.  So the story is out there!

I’m assuming that only the likes of Loki, Heimdel (sp?) and Vision are actually dead, and the half of the universe who crumbled to dust are resurrectable somehow.  Also, Capt Marvel, Ant Man and the Wasp and Hawkeye will have some say in it, I’m sure. 

2453
Beer and Queso / Infinity War (Spoilers)
« on: May 01, 2018, 09:46:43 pm »
Holy fucking shit!  That went way darker than I could’ve imagined. 

2454
Marco Rubio said, in an interview today, that the benefits of the tax cuts are going mostly to corporations who are using them to buy back stock and pay executive bonuses.  Very little is being paid forward to workers.

He was surprised by this development. 

2455
“Babbling like Rain Man ate a bag of coke.”
 - Bill Maher’s description of Trump’s Fox and Friends call-in. 

2456
On a somewhat related note, how slimy do you have to be to have FIFA call you out for ethical lapses?

Jabba the President. 

2457
GOP pollsters say that Republicans shouldn’t be hitting the alarm button, they should be slamming it.  A great many House Republicans will be drowned by a 16-point swing.  Which seems more and more likely as these dead-red seats take giant leaps to the left.

There are 147 House districts that were won by Trump by less than 16 points...

2458
Good God.  When I read about this I thought for sure that it was an impersonator that called in.  But it sure sounds like him.  Sanders' press briefing later today should be fun.

Plumbing the depths of moronitude.

I haven’t seen it yet, but a report I read said that the Fox hosts pretty much hung up on him to stop him from incriminating himself further.  When those three chuckleheads are smarter than the President...?

2459
Trump called in to Fox and Friends (“Donald from DC, hello!”) and emphasized that Cohen did “only a tiny, tiny percentage” of his legal work.

Prosecutors have already identified the comments to the court in a request for expedited review of the seized materials.

They are so, so bad at this. It would be funny if it weren’t ruining our country.


"Michael represents me like with this crazy Stormy Daniels deal."


Amazingly, in one, unhinged phone call to a TV station, Trump managed to blow up any concerns about privilege applying to the fruits of the FBI raids on Cohen AND tie himself to the Daniels contract.  Stormy’s lawyer called the interview - during which Trump also mooted further acts of obstruction - a gift from the Gods. 

America’s Dumbest Criminals.

2460
That's not an excuse to avoid testifying altogether.  He'll still have to show up and specifically invoke his  5th amendment rights in response to each question.  And generally (though not always the case) in civil suits when someone refuses to testify by invoking the 5th the fact-finder is entitled to make an adverse presumption.

Thanks.  I assumed that pleading the 5th in a civil case is basically refusing to offer a defense, so it becomes a default win for the other side.  It’s amazing that (a) we have the President’s personal lawyer doing this; and (2) that they’re really that dumb that they think this will work.

The pressure is coming on so many fronts now - Mueller, the NY USA and from a porn star (just mind boggling that this is part of the discussion) - that they cannot get free of it and Trump can’t fire / pardon his way out of it.

2461
Michael Cohen posted documents in court yesterday stating that - because of the parallel Federal investigation- he can’t answer any questions under oath in the Stormy Daniels civil case without the possibility of self-incrimination.  Wow!

Hilariously, this could lead the court to speed past Cohen and green light a deposition of Trump himself.  After all, he spends most of the day on Twitter proclaiming that he’s not under investigation and that he’s done nothing wrong.  No chance of self-incrimination there!

2462
Arizona 8th, where registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats by 17 points.  Won by Trump by 21points, an experienced Republican - supported by $1mm of RNC money - running against a 1st time Democratic candidate with negligible support from the DNC.  No contest, right?  The Republican won by 5 points. 

GOP pollsters say that Republicans shouldn’t be hitting the alarm button, they should be slamming it.  A great many House Republicans will be drowned by a 16-point swing.  Which seems more and more likely as these dead-red seats take giant leaps to the left. 

2463
I care. They can do that, but it is bad for them to do that.

It’s a bad look when you say you’re going to one thing (primary) but then try and do the other (smoke-filled room) on the QT.  Nothing illegal about it, but conning your own supporters is self-destructive. 

2464
The DNC is the most effective Republican institution in existence. Incredible.

The Pod Save America boys were in Houston a few weeks back.  When they mentioned - at their live show stacked with an extremely liberal audience - the DCCC, the crowd booed lustily.  They are a disaster and Tony Perez is planning on running a very generic campaign in 2018.  Progressive voters will, as usual, have to try to save the party from itself. 

2465
My gut reaction was:  here come the Democratic Party leaders, here to whine  and play into Trump's narrative and generally fuck up something that is going their way.  I hope my gut reaction is way off base.

My gut reaction too.  This is how they’re going to screw this particular pooch.  Instead of letting the multiple investigations run their course, they’re going to grandstand with a lawsuit that’s so easily dismissed as being partisan hackery, distract attention from the real issue and give Republicans something to attack them with. 

It takes some true genius to come up with a ploy so completely self-destructive.  You almost have to admire it.

2466
All the talk about Michael Cohen this week, including (and notably) from Jay Goldberg - Trump’s former divorce attorney to whom Trump reached out last week looking for advice - is about whether Cohen will flip on Trump.  So I guess we’re past the point where people still have any doubts about whether Trump has committed any crimes and we just now know that he has and all that’s left is to see if and how he gets caught. 

This is nuts. 

2467
There's no requirement that money change hands to form the attorney-client privilege.  The only requirement is from the client's perspective communications were made with a lawyer for the purpose of securing legal advice. 

It's fairly obvious that Hannity sought legal advice from Cohen, even to the point that he asked Cohen not to reveal his identity.  It's also perfectly plausible that Cohen didn't do much in the way of providing legal services beyond a few conversations and his lawyers overstated the extent of his Hannity file in order to recover the seized records.

Thanks for the clarification. 

2468
FWIW, various legal types on TV last night - including Stormy’s lawyer - think that there’s something “bad” in Cohen’s files with Hannity’s name on it.  Lordy, let there be tapes. 

2469
I'm starting to wonder how Cohen earns a living... apparently he not only works for free, but hands out hundreds of thousands of dollars of his own money to random strangers just for the hell of it.

He certainly seems to have been left out of the public money orgy going on in Washington.   I wonder if that made him even a little bit resentful...

2470
I don't actually have trouble believing that. Hannity's an idiot for asking Cohen's advice on anything, but I don't see a reason to believe they had a relationship of any significance.

(for entertainment's sake, I do hope I'm wrong about this)


Edit: I'm going to clarify and say it wouldn't surprise me at all if Cohen helped Hannity make a hush payment to someone. I just think it's very, very possible this is nothing.

It’s worth remembering that Hannity’s name was brought up by Cohen’s lawyers, saying that he was a proper client in order to bolster their defense that Cohen is a proper lawyer.  Hannity’s claim contradicts that, although he did also say that he may have casually given Cohen “10 bucks”, which is a token sum that courts have upheld as enough to establish an attorney-client relationship. 

So either Cohen’s lawyers are lying in court or Hannity is lying on Twitter.  Or both.  But it can’t be neither. 

2471
While we may never know why Hannity consulted a lawyer whose specialty appears to be facilitating payoffs to the concubines of rich men, I’m sure Mrs Hannity will want to know. 


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

2472
“Contingency fee?
No - money down!”

...no attorney-client privilege. 

2473
Hannity on Twitter:
“Michael Cohen has never represented me in any matter. I never retained him, received an invoice, or paid legal fees. I have occasionally had brief discussions with him about legal questions about which I wanted his input and perspective.”

How much of that do you think the FBI already knows to be bullshit?

2474
Interesting New Yorker piece from this weekend.

The Link

That’s more warming than a puppy video. 

2475
Yeah, what another fucked up element to the plot.  Fox won't give a shit, but makes one wonder who Hannity has fathered and/or what what woman might have had him by the balls.   

Further proof that Hannity is an idiot.  Seriously, isn't there a real attorney he could hire with all his money.  Or maybe, this was just a perk offered by Cohen, a quid pro quo for all Hannity's propaganda.

“Other” attorneys may not have wanted to touch Hannity with a 10 foot pole. 

2476
At a legitimate news organization, Hannity’s failure to disclose that he was Michael Cohen’s unnamed third client would be grounds for immediate termination. 

This is fucking awesome!*

* As long as it doesn’t lead to discussions of Hannity’s proclivities. 

2477
Comey does not look great in this.

In trying to make himself look good, he’s making himself look worse.  As Stephanopolous repeatedly highlighted, he didn’t stand up to Trump when he had the opportunity.  And let’s not forget the whole hiding in the curtains thing. 

2478
Have only read excerpts but to me Comey sounds like he is as petty as Trump.

He went to the height and hands thing.  That petty. 

2479
So, Comey.  While I am enjoying (metaphorically) him pantsing Trump, his admissions around the announcement(s) of the investigation into Clinton’s emails - while, on the surface, seemingly self-exculpatory - are actually quite damning.  He admits that the only reason he announced the re-opening of the case just days before the election was because he believed Hillary would win, and he didn’t want her Presidency tainted if news of this came out later. 

Two things:

1) That’s not his call to make!  That’s a political decision being made by the person running a deliberately apolitical agency.  His actions also directly impacted the result, so it was a wrong move on many fronts; and

B)  HE WAS INVESTIGATING THE OTHER CANDIDATE AT THE SAME FUCKING TIME AND NEVER SAID A FUCKING WORD ABOUT IT!

He wants to been seen as a hero here, but he’s not. He’s no villain either, just a guy in a difficult position who abandoned principles in order to avoid potential embarrassment later.  That’s just weak.

EOR

2480
Not only support, but think he’s doing a great job.

I imagine that there’s no overlap in the Venn between these people and Fox News viewers, who have been fed a steady diet of obfuscation and misinformation (putting it mildly) about Comey, Rosenstein and Mueller. 

2481
Even better, there's less he can do about it.

Cohen is involved in everything Trump is involved in.  Mueller is investigating Cohen's trip to Prague, which was first reported in the Steele pissier dossier, denied by Cohen and since proven*.  What's not proven (that we know of) is whether Cohen met with a prominent Russian in Prague, as Steele claims, but hands up who thinks that part of the story is going to be the bit that's not true.

Cohen knows everything about everything.  Is he the sort of person to take a double-digit year jail sentence to protect Trump?  A man Cohen has privately confided that he thinks will throw him under the bus?

* It's a continuing and expanding truism that everything in the Steele dossier that's been checked out, has checked out, while nothing in there...not one thing...has been disproven through these investigations.

2482
And on a side note, Dead Men Don’t Wear Plaid is a very under appreciated film.

https://youtu.be/rmkbudWbQ9A

2484
I wonder if they’ll actually hit something this time.

What this really means, though, obviously, is that he’s going to fire Rosenstein tomorrow.


No and yes.

2485
Apparently Trumpy had a love child with the cleaning lady. Fukin anchor babies. Anyway, great news for Trumpy, takes the lustre right off the pee tape!

Aside from the fact that the phrase “cleaning woman” always makes me think of Steve Martin in “Dead Men Don’t Wear Plaid”, the important takeaway here isn’t the affair or the baby, it’s that this is now the third payoff we know about to prevent a salacious news story hitting the airwaves in the run up to the election.  Moreover, this is another “catch and kill” favor by Trump’s good friends at the National Enquirer. 

What’s different here is the the Enquirer was in communication with Michael Cohen, so the Feds may already have proof of the conspiracy between TrumpWorld and the Enquirer to engage in criminal violations of Federal election laws. 

Also, Cohen has a habit of recording conversations, including those with Trump.  Mueller may now have some/all of those recordings. 

Also Cohen, if forced to give a deposition in the Daniels civil suit, will plead the fifth.  In a civil suit...

Also, Trump isn’t going to do an interview with Muellerks team, to which they say “Cool!  We’ll just accelerate the release of our findings,” which start with at least four incidents of obstruction of justice. 

Also, Pompeo shit the bed in his confirmation hearing and may not make it out of committee.

Also, the seemingly nice man who is the White House doctor and has been put forward to run the VA did worse than Pompeo. 

Expect a massacre at the DOJ this weekend as Trump Nixons his way through the senior management in order to have Mueller fired.  Fox News has been screaming- literally - about this for a couple of days now and I’m sure the President’s most trusted advisers- Fox & Friends - will be championing that cause this morning. 

2486
Pssst!  Russia...bombs are coming so you’d better move your shit out of the way*. 

* They have now done this; recalling aircraft to their own bases and moving their ships out of Syrian ports. 

2487
PS:  Won’t the Kochs be pissed because the gave Ryan $500,000, or does in not matter because it was  taxpayers’ money anyway?

2488
What, Ryan wont run for re-election? Horrible news. But no time for grief. Someone needs to quickly decide who next will be responsible now for gargling with enormous quantities of Charles Koch's semen and excrement, rolling around in an inflatable pool of hog vomit, jacking off to Ayn Rand objectivist snuff films, then marching into Satan's cavernous anus wearing a rubber Yogi Bear mask and sucking his balls for two years without coming up for air. Hopefully the selection process has already begun.

Wow!

2489
I look for Trump to fire Mueller and for the GOP to back him on that.  While they know it's wrong, Mueller's investigation is hitting home while they're trying desperately to convince people to keep their party in the majority.  They're already going to spend the entire summer trying to spin Trump's madness, and more and more guilty pleas will not help their cause.  They need this to stop.   They'd rather take their chances with a Constitutional crisis than with the consequences of the investigation.

We know that Mueller has used sealed indictments and, more notably, sealed convictions, in this investigation.   If they fire him and shut down the investigation, any sealed convictions will spring open like Sonic the Hedgehog giving up his rings.  They really don’t know what will happen if they shut him down, but I agree that this may not stop them. 

2490
President?  I'd scoff at the idea, but you know.

2020 doesn't seem likely though.  Either he'd have to run against the dumbass and explain how he is superior to someone he enabled at every turn, or fill the post-impeachment void and explain why he enabled the impeached man at every turn.  History won't be kind to this amoral coward.

I agree completely.  That doesn’t mean he won’t run anyway. 

What legislative achievements does he have to run on?  The tax cuts and...

After that, it’s all Freedom Caucus revolts, government shutdowns and exploding debt and deficit. 

2491
And now Paul Ryan is fleeing.  He won't seek reelection in the fall.

He knows - after the PA special election - that his beloved tax cuts are not a winner at the ballot box.  The people who put Trump over the top aren’t seeing any benefit from it, and they know why.  So he’s cutting and running so that he doesn’t have to fight a losing battle against an amateur opponent, and so that he can stay clean to run for President in 2020.  #Leadership

2492
I really hope that Trump denying knowledge of the deal with Daniels and the raid on Cohen are not unrelated.

Quick update: there were 36 "office" hours between Trump denying knowledge of the deal to the press core (sic) and the Feds kicking in Cohen's doors (three of them).  Also, it's been reported that the US Attorney is looking into payments to at least two women.

Daniels' lawyer was Pooholing it around the bases last night on TV, but he made a good point: Cohen is fucked three ways from Sunday because he used banks to "facilitate" the payment.  Specifically:

(1) if he took out a new line of credit on his house to make the payment, he had to have lied about the purpose (he may have to have given a reason for the draw down even if it was an existing line of credit);

(2) he set up a bank account for the LLC through which the payment flowed, so he may well have lied here too, to get the account opened; and

(3) the actual transfer of funds was flagged and interrupted by the banks as suspicious, so he may well have lied in order to free up the funds and get them moving - he was up against the clock after all.

If Cohen lied at any or all of these banking checkpoints, and it's hard to see how he could have done this without lying to the banks at least once as "to pay a porn star $130k in hush money" is likely not passing muster at any of these challenge points, he's guilty of quite serious bank fraud.  That evaporates any attorney-client privilege that Trump thought he enjoyed, at least in relation to the Daniels affair, and likely opens the doors to go deeper into the Cohen-Trump dealings.

Trump's unhinged ramble at the press availability yesterday - in which he looked more confused and defensive than normal (arms wrapped tightly around his own torso) - suggests that this hit home really hard.  He knows what Cohen knows, and now Cohen is in the wringer.  Will he hold the line and take the fall for Trump?  It will be interesting...

2493
The ambassador here quit, you know. I think it was a direct response to the shithole country comment, but in any event it was directly related to his unwillingness to work for an ignorant, racist fuckface.

Also, Trump poisons everything - and everyone - he touches.  No one gets away clean.

2494
This is pretty good:

https://www.prensa.com/politica/TrumpOrganization-pressures-Varela_0_5003499704.html

That’s awesome!  They’re simultaneously side-stepping and highlighting the giant ethical problem here. 

[Golf Clap]

2495
Meanwhile, in routine Trump administration business, his national security spokesman and his homeland security advisor have both recently quit.  I’m sure this has nothing to do with the start of John Bolton as National Security Advisor...

2496
At some point in the next twelve months evidence will come to light that makes it quite clear that Trump is fully answerable to Russian organized crime. I don't see any of his supporters or any of his GOP enablers doing anything other than digging in deeper.

This is a group of people for whom, on many fronts, reality is irrelevant.

I have seen Republicans described as a runner who has taken too much of a lead off base, and now has to run it out and hope that something happens to stop them being thrown out easily.  It’s a good analogy, especially for a baseball forum. 

2497
In other news, Trump's company has written a letter to the President of Panama, asking for him to intercede on behalf of the company.  Probably butchering the facts, but at a Trump-branded hotel there, the Trump folks lost a legal battle to retain the Trump name on the hotel.  I assume the hotel owner didn't want to be associated with the fucker's brand any more.  Anyways, now Trump wants the Panama president to intervene.  I don't know the dynamics of Panamanian politics, but in many non-autocracies, being seen as supporting Trump isn't a popular look.

Trump’s management team were removed from the Panama facility because, amongst others issues with how they were running it, the facility was being used as a money laundromat for Russian oligarchs. 

Nothing to see here...

2498
History's sake? That is the standard?

So we can learn from it lest we be doomed to repeat it. 

Remind me again where the Starr investigation started and where it ended; and also just how many millions of dollars, thousands of man-hours and separate congressional committees were involved in the Benghazi investigations and where that ended up (*cough* emails *cough*).

2499
I fear that you expect too much from this investigation, that Mueller is going to come up with the goods on Trump, and he'll resign or be impeached.  Nothing...I mean nothing...let me repeat...NOTHING...that comes out of that investigation could possibly influence the GOP or his supporters to turn on him.  Rape...murder...treason...using descriptions or accounts without the express written consent of Major League Baseball...will only solidify his standing.

This I completely understand.  Mueller is likely to refer any criminality by Trump to Congress - there’s a significant doubt as to whether he has the power to indict a sitting President.  He could just name Trump as an unindicted co-conspirator and leave it at that.  Even if control of Congress switches hands in November, there will not be enough votes on hand to convict in the Senate even if the House indicts. 

However, for history’s sake, it is important to learn what happened here.  As Adam Schiff very succinctly tweeted: there was an offer of help, that help was enthusiastically welcomed and the help was given.  It’s not a question of if, it’s a question of how much conspiring went on between the Trump campaign and the Russians. 

2500
Whatever happened with the payment there were election law violations. But I feel quite sure that the Stormy Daniels business will be little more than a footnote.

Agreed.  Mueller passed this one off to the US Attorney as, presumably, it’s acside story to the main event. 

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